C4 Politics and Society
C4 Politics and Society
C4 Politics and Society
1. National Party
ii. In general elections, the party must manage to win six percent
of the votes and win at least four Lok Sabha seats;
They provide effective links between the citizens and the governments on
the one hand, and the electorates and their representatives on the other.
They try to cater to people’s demands on public matters, and mobilize
political participation.
➢ Towards the end of his book, Kothari offered one judgement and
one prediction.
Regionalism
As a process it plays role within the nation as well as outside the nation i.e.
at international level. Both types of regionalism have different meaning and
have positive as well as negative impact on society, polity, diplomacy,
economy, security, culture, development, negotiations, etc.
Regionalism in India
At the same time, it is the return to ‘self’ for the natives. We can analyze the
tangible and intangible forms of regionalism through the behavioural and
social aspects of the diverse sections of people from the different parts of
India.
The Indian state was confronted with demands for the reorganisation of the
states (provinces or federating units) immediately after independence.
By the 1960s, the provinces seemed to have settled down within the redrawn
boundaries.
- The aspirations of the tribal groups were soon recognised by the Indian
state.
- The states of Manipur, Tripura, and Meghalaya were formed in the late
1970s.
- The North Eastern Frontier Agency (NEFA) was granted statehood under
the name of Arunachal Pradesh in 1987.
- The restive Nagas and the Mizos, however, were granted statehood only
after violent encounters with the Indian state.
The Naga insurgency continues until the present day, even after the
formation of the state of Nagaland in 1956.
The Mizo insurgency subsided after the 1973 agreement which declared the
Mizo district of Assam as a Union Territory.
Mizoram was later granted full state status after the 1986 agreement with
the rebel leader Laldenga.
However; this did not completely exhaust the aspirations for autonomous
administration or statehood by many groups.
The cultural differences within the overarching linguistic unity, in many
cases, led to demands for statehood within the primarily language-based
federating units of the Indian union.
Today, even the states often get entangled in violent clashes as was seen in
deadly clashes of forces of Assam and Mizoram in 2021.
Factors related with emergence of Regionalism
• The existence of relative deprivation is one of the most important
aspects in constructing the argument for regionalism.
For instance, if the people from any particular region feel that they are
more deprived than others in terms of distribution of resources,
infrastructures and so on, then it may create regional affiliation.
iii) The desire of the various units of the Indian federal system to maintain
their sub-cultural regions and greater degree of self-government has
promoted regionalism and given rise to demand for greater
autonomy;
iv) The desire of regional elites to capture power has also led to rise of
regionalism. It is well known that political parties like DMK,
AIADMK, Akali Dal, Telugu Desam, Asom Gana Parishad etc. have
encouraged regionalism to capture power;
vi) The growing awareness among the people of backward areas that they
are being discriminated against has also promoted feeling of
regionalism.
The local political leaders have often fully utilised this factor and
tried to feed the people the people the idea that the central
government was deliberately trying to maintain regional imbalances
by neglecting social and economic development of certain areas.
1. There remains a competition for job between migrant and local educated
middle class youth.
2. This theory works mostly in cities, because here outsiders also, get
opportunity for education, etc.
- The shift is visible in the way the new states are now being proposed on
the grounds of good governance had development rather than on the
language principle that had, ostensibly, guided state formation during the
first phase of the reorganisation of states.
- The dialect communities of late have been asking for their own “territorial
homeland” while underlining the cultural and literary distinctiveness
and richness of the dialectic, i.e., Bundelkhand, Ruhelkhand, and
Mithilanchal.
What could be the criteria, then, for recognising a region?
A Kumar writing in Exploring the Demand for New States says that the
underlying principle in various accommodations of identity in India has
remained internal self-determination.
But the specific factors fostering regionalism are apt to vary from place to
place, and even in the context of the same place, the precise mix of them and
their individual potency do not remain unaltered over a period of time.
Among all these explanations there is a common thread of argument that says
that the shrinking capacity of the state, underdevelopment, and the
politicisation of plural peripheral identities, together with the search for
power by neo-elites at the margins, have snapped the interethnic and
intercultural bonds that have so far drawn them together.
This has created new identities and led to an overwhelming craze for
autonomy or self-legislation.
- Formation of Jharkhand
The demand for the separate state of Jharkhand, shows the dynamics of the
politics of regionalism in India. It was demanded by the Jharkhand Mukti
Morcha. The struggle for the separate state of Jharkhand took almost fifteen
years. All the political parties have played an active role in it.
The rationale for creating this state is also based on the uniqueness of its
tribal cultural heritage.
The problem begins when these interests are politicized and regional
movements are promoted for ulterior political motives. Such unhealthy
regional or sub-regional patriotism could be cancerous and disruptive. The
continuing regional imbalances have given rise to militant movements in
certain parts of our country.
The BJP’s victory in 2014 ushered in a debate among political scientists and
political analysts over whether the country’s electoral politics was
experiencing a paradigm shift.
Indian politics was synonymous with coalition politics between 1989 and
2014, following decades of Congress Party dominance at the national
level; but for that quarter century, no single party was strong enough to
earn a parliamentary majority on its own, relying instead on dozens of pre-
and post-election allies to form a governing coalition.
The debate was therefore about whether India had left the era of
multipolarity, fragmentation, and coalitions behind in favor of a new,
dominant-party system in which the BJP assumed the role of central pole
that the Congress had once played.
There were scholars who were less hesitant in asserting that India was
witnessing the birth of a new party system. In the Journal of Democracy,
E. Sridharan wrote: “The results were dramatic, possibly even epochal. The
electoral patterns of the last quarter-century have undergone a sea change,
and the world’s largest democracy now has what appears to be a new
party system headed by a newly dominant party.”
2014
• The BJP’s victory in 2014 relied on near-total sweeps of a relatively
small number of states in the Indian union; in fact, 75 percent of the
BJP’s parliamentary tally in 2014 came from just eight states in the
north, west, and central regions of the country.
• Second, although the BJP clinched a majority in the Lok Sabha, it was
nowhere close to a majority in Rajya Sabha.
• Finally, the BJP’s reach was limited at the level of India’s states. Prior
to the 2014 election, the BJP ruled just five (of twenty-nine) states.
2019
• India ushered in a new, fourth party system—one that is premised on
a unique set of political principles and that shows a clear break with
what came before.
• In the 2019 general election, the BJP clinched a second consecutive
majority in the Lok Sabha, a feat last accomplished by the Congress
Party in 1980 and 1984.
• By June 2019, the party controlled twelve states while its allies
controlled another six. And made significant gains in Rajya Sabha.
THIRD PARTY SYSTEM
• In the third party system, no national party served as the central
gravitational force organizing politics.
• Electoral politics was marked by increasing party fragmentation,
intensifying political competition, and a federalization of national
politics.
• Furthermore, national voter turnout appeared to be relatively
stagnant, painting a stark contrast with rising turnout in state
elections—a signal that states had become the primary venues of
political contestation as opposed to national-level politics.
• Finally, the third party system was characterized by a changing
composition of political elites in which lower castes—Dalits
(Scheduled Castes, or SCs) as well as Other Backward Classes
(OBCs)—gained political representation, largely at the expense of
upper and intermediate castes.
Today, many of these principles stand altered, and 2014 represents a key
structural break.
3. The third and final factor was the market, due to India’s
decision to liberalize its economy in 1991, embrace the
forces of globalization, and welcome global economic
integration.
BEYOND INDIA’S THIRD PARTY SYSTEM
In order to evaluate whether India has truly entered a new era of politics
with the BJP’s recent general election victories in 2014 and 2019, it is
necessary to clarify the precise attributes of the third party system against
which any future change can be measured.
o First, the BJP won India’s first single-party majority in the Lok
Sabha since 1984, the year the Congress Party under Rajiv
Gandhi won an overwhelming mandate in the wake of Indira
Gandhi’s assassination.
Headed into the 2019 race, many election analysts doubted the BJP’s
ability to replicate its 2014 feat for at least four reasons:
In 2014, BJP, for the first time, surpassed the Congress in the numbers of
MLAs. As of June 2019, the BJP boasts 32 percent of MLAs compared to 21
percent for the Congress and 47 percent for all other parties.
Recent data points suggest that state and national verdicts have become
partially decoupled.
Here, there was not a single opposition leader who had the stature or
popularity to favorably compete head-to-head with Modi.
− A central component of what people were voting for is Modi’s
leadership—the belief that he is a decisive leader, is
incorruptible, and operates with the national interest at heart.
− On the campaign trail, Modi was explicit in rallying
supporters with the plea that a vote for the BJP is a vote for
Modi, irrespective of whose name actually appears as the local
candidate on the ballot.
− Another aspect of weakening federal character of elections is
the change in the balance of power between national and
regional parties. Between 1996 and 2014, voters in India have
been evenly divided between the two big national parties—the
Congress and BJP—and other regional parties.
− As a general rule of thumb, 50 percent of the vote has
traditionally gone to the two national parties while the
remaining 50 percent has accrued to hundreds of regional
players. In 2009, the share of the regional party vote peaked at
52.6 percent. In 2014, that share dipped to 48.6 percent
− While the Congress earned roughly 20 percent of the vote in
each of the past two elections, the grip of regional parties has
declined sharply—and this has redounded to BJP’s benefit. In
2019, the regional party vote share plummeted to 43.2 percent.
Since electoral statistics began accounting for gender in 1967, there has
been a clear gender gap in turnout whereby women’s participation has
lagged far behind men’s.
− From 1967 to 2004 : Women’s turnout 8-12 percent points lower
than men’s.
− As the third party system waned, the gap between 2004 and 2009
decreased by 50 percent.
− The decline grew more intense in 2014, when the gap shrank to 1.8
percent.
− In 2019, for the first time in Indian electoral history, male and
female turnout rates were virtually at parity (the gap was a
negligible 0.1 percent).
− This change is likely a combination of demand-side and supply-
side shifts:
o Ideology
o Electoral Performance
− According to Palshikar, BJP’s twin emphases on Hindu
nationalism and what he calls a “new developmentalism” have
allowed the party to saturate the political space in India.
− This has been made possible, in part, by the fact that the
Congress Party’s legacy of secular nationalism appears to
have fallen out of favor and that the BJP has adopted many of
the Congress Party’s welfarist policies.
− The party has developed a new, nationalist narrative. To
reduce this narrative to one of Hindu nationalism would be
inaccurate; the party’s pro-Hindu views are but one element of
its overall nationalist discourse.
− Broadly, this narrative has three elements:
Modi’s pro-welfare emphasis has placed the Congress on the back foot
for a simple reason: many of the schemes he has invested in were
essentially schemes the Congress set up. What Modi did was rebrand
them, scale them up, and give them priority status in the Prime Minister’s
Office (PMO). At root, many of these welfare schemes emerged from
Congress Party blueprints.
ORGANIZATIONAL AND FINANCIAL PROWESS
− A political machine gave the BJP the ability to project Modi
as a leader with unimpeachable credentials, to deliver its
nuanced messages of nationalism to different target
audiences, and to parry the opposition’s jibes.
− Under the tutelage of BJP President Amit Shah, the party has
built a well-oiled party machine that is organized down to
the level of the panna pramukh—literally a party worker
who is in charge of an individual panna (page) of the voter
roll linked to a neighborhood polling station.
− Furthermore, the BJP owns a first-mover advantage insofar
as integrating technology with campaigning is concerned.
E.g.: Facebook to SMS to WhatsApp to build cohesion
among its workers, between voters, and between workers
and voters.
− BJP’s financial advantage- BJP’s advantage over Congress
when it comes to corporate funding stood at twenty to one in
2018.
− In 2018, the government also formally unveiled a new
mechanism of political giving, known as electoral bonds.
Based on information acquired through a Right to
Information Act request, 95 percent of the bonds purchased
in 2017–2018 accrued to the BJP’s accounts.
CHARISMATIC LEADERSHIP
− It could be argued that both the 2014 and 2019 elections were
Modi’s victories rather than the BJP’s.
− In the 2014 race, the BJP encountered a perfect storm of anti-
incumbency against the ruling Congress, economic malaise, a
pervasive sense of policy paralysis, and lackluster leadership
on the part of the Congress.
− At that time, Modi also enjoyed (apart from being a charismatic
opposition leader) a well-regarded reputation as a no-
nonsense, pro-business economic reformer—was able to take
the country by storm.
− Modi’s favorability has to be seen in the context of a general
dearth of popular, charismatic leaders among opposition
forces.
CONCLUSION
Since 2014, India has embarked on a new chapter in its political evolution.
Gone are the days of Congress dominance, but India’s grand old party has
clearly been replaced by a new, formative political force in the BJP.
With the 2019 general election, it is now clear that India is in the midst of a
new, dominant-party system.
The dawn of this fourth party system raises important questions that
deserve greater exploration by political scientists in the years to come.
- The second conception is that elections are about chemistry, rather than
arithmetic. In other words, leadership, messaging, coalition dynamics,
and so on trump purely identity-based calculations in which a party’s
popularity can be measured merely with reference to the vote banks that
have traditionally supported it.
- A third area relates to role of political campaigns. Both the 2014 and 2019
elections suggest that campaigns have a material impact on voter
behavior. For instance, it is indisputable that the tensions between India
and Pakistan helped bolster the BJP’s case for re-election even while it
is very much disputed how significant this factor was in terms of votes
and seats.