Transunion Insights 1695098999
Transunion Insights 1695098999
Transunion Insights 1695098999
→ Key themes
1. Rising scale of digital finance
2. Digital finance permeating
everyday use-cases
3. Consumer behavioral shifts
in digital finance
4. Accelerated inclusion and
future runway for growth
1
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
India has emerged as the global leader in the
creation and adoption of digital infrastructure
1.3 billion 74 billion 28 billion app 1.2 billion 759 million 667 million+ 531 million
people enrolled in UPI transactions in downloads in wireless Active smartphones net-commerce
Aadhaar - world’s 2022 – highest 2022 - 5% of phone Internet users in 2022. Over # users in 2022
largest unique volumes of digital total global subscribers – in 2022 – 53% 1/3rd of – 258 million
digital identity payments2 app 45% in rural in rural India5 Indians own a shopped online7
program1 downloads3 India4 smartphone6
# Net Commerce are internet users who have done any online transactions (bill payment, food ordering, online shopping, cab booking, travel ticket booking, etc.)
in the last 1 year Online Shopping is a subset of Net Commerce users and are the group of people who have shopped online in the last 1 year
Source: 1. Economic Survey 2023 | 2. NPCI | 3. State of Mobile 2023 by Data.ai | 4. Telecom Regulatory Authority of India
5. Kantar IAMAI 2023 | 6. Nielsen's India Internet Report 2023 | 7. Kantar IAMAI 2023
2
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
Confluence of mega trends has
accelerated shift to digital
3
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Digital adoption fuelling the economy - Social
networking driving e-commerce
₹13/-$0.16
Lowest cost per GB
531 M
Social media users
of mobile internet
data in the world
77 M 36%
Increase vs last year
Shopping through
in Indians shopping
Online Social
through social
Platforms
platforms
52%
34%
9.3 B
Number of transactions
36%
Digital Payments users
in June 2023 from Rural India
₹14.75 T$177.7 B
Value of transactions
in June 2023
36%
of Digital Payments
users hail from
Rural India
56%
of total new internet
users in India will be
from Rural India
by 2025
8
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
Large young workforce becoming
financially influential
52%
of India’s population is
2x
Growth in individual
under 40 years of age, EPFO accounts in
higher than global 10 years
average of 46%
20+ M
out of total 67 M
ITRs in FY 22-23
filed by Gen Z
10
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
Rebound in domestic consumption set to drive
India's economic growth forward
58%
of GDP is Private
100%+
growth in Per
Consumption in Q2 Capita Net
FY 2022-23. National Income in
Highest in Q2, 10 years
across 10 years
6.9%
GDP growth in
1.6x
Rise in Per Capita
FY 2023-24 Income in 10 years
AADHAR Biometric
National Identity Entry of MSME
FinTech
CANADA - 1376 GERMANY - 978 SPAIN - 977 FRANCE - 903 BRAZIL - 869 MEXICO - 844 SINGAPORE - 696 AUSTRALIA - 693 COLOMBIA - 642
SWITZERLAND - 599 NETHERLANDS - 572 ISRAEL - 496 ARGENTINA - 452 ITALY - 378 SWEDEN - 365 CHILE - 361 ESTONIA - 310
Consumer Internet
e-Commerce and
Neo Banking
India Is A Burgeoning
FinTech Market
1500+ FinTechs
Illustrative View Only 450+ in LendingTech
Source: TransUnion CIBIL
130+ FinTech Lenders Analyzed 17
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
FinTech Lender (Digital Lending) Defined
This research analyzes the on-book lending over the last 5 years,
for a cohort of over 130 credit institutions (NBFCs) hereinafter
collectively referred to as ‘FinTechs’
Key Trends
19
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
1 2
3 4
Rising scale of
digital finance
21
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Indian retail
credit industry
and UPI payments
have seen
unprecedented
growth in the
last 5 years
Source: TransUnion CIBIL
22
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
Indian retail credit industry
growth trajectory
The industry has almost doubled in the last 5 years Unsecured Loans have been growing the fastest
Balance
1.7X Balance
35%
20%
+16% LAP: `7.34T
Consumer Durable Loans: `0.53T
207 M CAGR 370 M 15% Commercial Vehicle
Live Loans Live Loans Loans: `3.08T
Two Wheeler Loans: `0.94T
1.8X 10%
Commercial Equipment
Loans: `0.79T Home Loans: `29.21T
5%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
+100%
FY 2018-19 FY 2022-23 Volume in Billions Value in ` Trillions
CAGR
160.0
UPI growth trends 160.0
`8.8 T `139.2 T
16X
$0.11 T $1.68 T 140.0 139.2 140.0
60.0 60.0
+99%
CAGR
46.0
40.0 41.0 40.0
15.5X
5.4 B 83.8 B 20.0
8.8
21.3 22.3 20.0
12.5
UPI transaction UPI transaction 0.0 5.4 0.0
volume volume 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
Sum of Volume (in Billion) Sum of Value
Rise in UPI transaction volume (in ` Trillion)
91 4X Growth 399
UPI = Unified Payments Interface Banks Live on UPI Banks Live on UPI
Mar - 18 Mar -23
Source: National Payments Corporation of India
24
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FinTechs have
catered to
consumption
needs and have
driven overall
retail credit
volumes
Source: TransUnion CIBIL
25
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Indian FinTech Lending Industry Snapshot
FinTech Originations by Value
in FY 2022-23
10.61%
13.95%
in FY 2022-23 in FY 2022-23
64.5%
Consumer Loans
Business Loans
`1,107 B 79 M
Other Loans
10.95%
($13.3 B)
as on March-23 as on March-23
Personal Loans
54.2%
23.4%
Business Loans
($7.9 B) Other Loans
6.5%
2%
1%
13%
Other Loans
% of Accounts
55%
1% 89%
Consumer Durable Loans
13% 21%
10%
2.4x `28 T
Originated in
`55 T 2.9x `5 T `11 T 15x `0.07 T `0.84 T
Originated in Originated in Originated in Originated in Originated in
FY 2018-19 FY 2022-23 FY 2018-19 FY 2022-23 Rise in Origination FY 2018-19 FY 2022-23
Rise in Origination Rise in Origination
Volumes Volumes Volumes
35
30
No. of Loans Originated (M)
25
Wave 1 Wave 2
15
6 41 3
New lenders have catapulted to the FinTechs disbursed 10 times Lenders are consistently in
list of Top 10 FinTech originators higher consumption loans the Top 10 consumption
of consumption loans in in FY 2022-23 vs. FY 2018-19 loans originating FinTechs
FY 2022-23 vs. FY 2018-19
Consumption Loans = Personal Loans, Consumer Durable Loans and Credit Cards
Source: TransUnion CIBIL
29
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Key themes - Topic 2
Led by rising
consumption,
digital finance
is permeating
everyday
use-cases
30
2
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Digital credit and payments are embedded across
online shopping and purchase journeys
Payment Methods
8%
3%
10K-25K
9%
1%
25K-50K
7%
2%
50K-1L
16%
3%
>1L
12%
4% 16%
FY 2018-19
80%
% of Accounts
70%
60%
21%
50%
89%
40% 84% 88%
78% 79%
30%
20% FY 2022-23
10% Increase in Share of
loans with Average
0% Ticket Size above 10K
FY 2018-19 FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21 FY 2021-22 FY 2022-23
Higher profitability focus and launch of adjacent higher ticket loans for up-sell by
FinTechs, has improved the product mix and average ticket-sizes in the last 24 months
60% 57%
40%
20%
3%
0%
Personal Loan Consumer Durable Loan Business Loan
FinTech
Lenders
70%
52% 57%
34% 37%
14%
Other
Lenders 33% 35%
31% 31% 20%
22%
Consistent investment in technology and use of data and analytics by FinTechs has enabled
improvements in speed and consumer experience levels over the years
FY 2022-23 FY 2022-23
P2M
P2M 22%
51%
FY 2021-22
FY 2021-22
P2M
42%
1.8x Total UPI Volume
83.8 B
P2M
19%
1.6x Total UPI Value
₹139.2 T
46 B
transactions Rise in P2M UPI P2P Rise in P2M UPI
Total UPI Value
transaction Volume 49% ₹84.2 T transaction value P2P
P2P P2M P2P P2M 78%
P2P P2P
58% 81%
P2P P2M
High UPI Volume Categories (Mar’ 23) Medium UPI Volume Categories (Mar ’23) Other UPI Volume Categories (Mar ’23)
• Groceries and supermarkets • Dairies • Professional services
• Eating places and restaurants • Utilities electric, gas, water and sanitary • Electronics shops
• Telecommunication services • Miscellaneous personal services • Online Marketplaces
• Fast food restaurants • Drinking places - alcoholic beverages • Securities brokers and dealers
• Digital Goods: Games • Debt collection agencies • Cable and other pay television
• Department stores • Miscellaneous general merchandise • Candy, nut and confectionery
• Service stations • Variety stores • Beauty and barber shops
• Drug stores and pharmacies • Financial institutions merchandise • Government services
• Bakeries • Men, women and children’s uniforms • Motor freight carriers and trucking
• Debit card to wallet credit • Freezer and locker meat provisioners
PVT Banks,
PVT Banks 26%
25%
PVT
Banks,
PVT NBFC, 28% 28%
NBFC, 33%
Banks, NBFC,
26% PSU Banks, FY 2018-19 FY 2022-23 PSU Banks,
NBFC, FY 2022-23 7%
44%
PSU 10%
45% FY 2018-19 Banks,
PSU Others, 16%
Banks 4% Others, 6%
Others,
15% FinTech, 8%
Others, 5%
FinTech, 5% FinTech
FinTech,
9% 25%
36%
Consumers of age less than 25 years Consumers of age between 26 and 30 years
1.7
< 25 Yrs and has 3+ Trades Opened in last 6 months
1.2 1.4
Loans Loans Loans 21% <25 52%
in FY 2018-19 in FY 2022-23 years
in FY 2018-19 in FY 2022-23
Loans
Loans Loans
2.2
in FY 2022-23 in FY 2018-19 in FY 2022-23
Loans
in FY 2022-23
Source: TransUnion CIBIL
39
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
FinTechs provide super consumer experience and
convenience, which leads to high levels of loyalty
Cohort loyalty - Next Loan Lender loyalty - Next Loan
from any FinTech from same FinTech
19%
35%
28%
49%
Personal Personal
Loans Loans
Loyalty measured for subsequent loan in next 12 months for loans originated by Fintech from July'21 to Dec'21
2.3x
35%
30% 6%
50%
2%
3% 6%
10%
18%
14%
5% 1% 10%
9% of all FinTech consumers have a
1%
credit footprint of 2 years or more
3%
0%
FY 2018-19 FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21 FY 2021-22 FY 2022-23
CreditVision (CV) score ranges are: Prime = 731-770; Prime Plus = 771-790; Super Prime = 791-900
% of Consumers
FinTech Others
6%
3% 3%
4%
2% 2%
1.30% 2%
BUSINESS LOAN 0%
3.60% Metro Urban Semi-Urban Rural
2.80%
CONSUMER LOAN
1.40% FinTech Age wise Balance level 90+ delinquency
% of Consumers
3.20%
PERSONAL LOAN 6% 5%
0.90% 3%
4%
2% 1%
2%
0%
<25 26-35 36-45 >45
Accelerated
inclusion and
future runway
for growth
43
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
FinTech Lenders have diversified from a largely urban
to a geographically well diversified play in just 5 Years
FinTech Originations
Metro & Urban Semi Urban & Rural
36%
51%
% of Consumers
64%
49%
75%
Karnataka (₹134B)
65%
Telangana (₹99B)
55%
45%
45% 55% 65% 75% 85% 95% 105% 115%
Value Volume
Product
CAGR CAGR
Tamil Nadu | CAGR by Value 51%
PL 91% 94%
Value Volume
CDL 24% 43% Product
CAGR CAGR
BL 8% 18% PL 102% 107%
CDL 22% 53%
BL 7% 24%
Karnataka, 11%
TN, 7%
Share of originations
6
7.36
40%
35%
1.25M 7.3M
5 29% NTC Consumers NTC Consumers
30%
in FY 2018-19 in FY 2022-23
4 25%
22% 4.72
20% 20%
3
29% 13%
14% 15%
2 4.49 3.04 13%
10%
1 5% NTC Origination NTC Origination
1.25
0 0% share in FY 2018-19 share in FY 2022-23
FY 2018-19 FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21 FY 2021-22 FY 2022-23
Share of originations
<25 years
26-30 years
31-40 years
41-45 years
32%
46+ years
29% FY 2022-23
27%
FY 2022-23
Male 83%
> 6 Month
27%
FY 2022-23
73%
<= 6 Months
53
© 2023 TransUnion CIBIL All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer
This Presentation is prepared by TransUnion CIBIL Limited (TU CIBIL). This Presentation is based on collation of information, substantially, provided by credit
institutions who are members with TU CIBIL. While TU CIBIL takes reasonable care in preparing the Presentation , TU CIBIL shall not be responsible for errors
and/or omissions caused by inaccurate or inadequate information submitted to it by credit institutions. Further, TU CIBIL does not guarantee the adequacy
or completeness of the information in the Presentation and/or its suitability for any specific purpose nor is TU CIBIL responsible for any access or reliance
on the Presentation and that TU CIBIL expressly disclaims all such liability. This Presentation is not a recommendation for rejection / denial or acceptance of
any application nor any recommendation by TU CIBIL to (i) lend or not to lend; (ii) enter into or not to enter into any financial transaction with the concerned
individual/entity. The user should carry out all the necessary analysis that is prudent in its opinion before making any decisions based on the Information
contained in this Presentation. The use of the Presentation is governed by the provisions of the Credit Information Companies (Regulation) Act, 2005, the
Credit Information Companies Regulations, 2006, Credit Information Companies Rules, 2006. No part of this presentation should be copied, circulated,
published without prior approvals.