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Conclusions
This new virus outbreak has challenged the economic, medical and public health
infrastructure of China and to some extent, of other countries especially, its
neighbours. Time alone will tell how the virus will impact our lives here in India.
More so, future outbreaks of viruses and pathogens of zoonotic origin are likely to
continue. Therefore, apart from curbing this outbreak, efforts should be made to
0105
proteins without the presence of S protein would not confer any noticeable
protection, with the absence of detectable serum SARS-CoV-neutralizing
antibodies (170). Antigenic determinant sites present over S and N structural
proteins of SARS-CoV-2 can be explored as suitable vaccine candidates (294). In
the Asian population, S, E, M, and N proteins of SARS-CoV-2 are being targeted for
developing subunit vaccines against COVID-19 (295).
After 4 months of struggle that lasted from December 2019 to March 2020,
the COVID-19 situation now seems under control in China. The wet animal
markets have reopened, and people have started buying bats, dogs, cats, birds,
scorpions, badgers, rabbits, pangolins (scaly anteaters), minks, soup from palm
civet, ostriches, hamsters, snapping turtles, ducks, fish, Siamese crocodiles, and
other
0127
been used based on the experience with SARS and MERS. In a historical control
study in patients with SARS, patients treated with lopinavir-ritonavir with ribavirin
had better outcomes as compared to those given ribavirin alone [15].
had >95% homology with the bat coronavirus and >70% similarity with the SARS-
CoV. Environmental samples from the Huanan sea food market also tested
positive, signifying that the virus originated from there [7]. The number of cases
started increasing exponentially, some of which did not have exposure to the live
animal market, suggestive of the fact that human-to-human transmission was
occurring [8]. The first fatal case was reported on 11th Jan 2020. The massive
migration of Chinese during the Chinese New Year fuelled the epidemic. Cases in
other provinces of China, other countries (Thailand, Japan and South Korea in
quick succession) were reported in people who were returning from Wuhan.
Transmission to healthcare workers caring for patients was described on 20th Jan,
2020. By 23rd January, the 11 million population of Wuhan was placed under lock
down
0136
fever, cough, and sputum (83). Hence, the clinicians must be on the look-out for
the possible occurrence of atypical clinical manifestations to avoid the possibility
of missed diagnosis. The early transmission ability of SARS-CoV-2 was found to be
similar to or slightly higher than that of SARS-CoV, reflecting that it could be
controlled despite moderate to high transmissibility (84).
Guo Yanhong, an official with the National Health Commission (NHV), stated that
convalescent plasma therapy is a significant method for treating severe COVID-19
patients.
All ages are susceptible. Infection is transmitted through large droplets generated
during coughing and sneezing by symptomatic patients but can also occur from
asymptomatic people and before onset of symptoms [9]. Studies have shown
higher viral loads in the nasal cavity as compared to the throat with no difference
in viral burden between symptomatic and asymptomatic people [12]. Patients can
be infectious for as long as the symptoms last and even on clinical recovery. Some
people may act as super spreaders; a UK citizen who attended a conference in
Singapore infected 11 other people while staying in a resort in the French Alps
and upon return to the UK [6]. Theses infected droplets can spread 1-2 m and
deposit
0155
Since at this time there are no approved treatments for this infection, prevention
is crucial. Several properties of this virus make prevention difficult namely, non-
specific features of the disease, the infectivity even before onset of symptoms in
the incubation period, transmission from asymptomatic people, long incubation
period, tropism for mucosal surfaces such as the conjunctiva, prolonged duration
of the illness and transmission even after clinical recovery.
N Protein
prongs, face mask, high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or non-invasive ventilation is
indicated. Mechanical ventilation and even extra corporeal membrane oxygen
support may be needed. Renal replacement therapy may be needed in some.
Antibiotics and antifungals are required if co-infections are suspected or proven.
The role of corticosteroids is unproven; while current international consensus and
WHO advocate against their use, Chinese guidelines do recommend short term
therapy with low-to moderate dose corticosteroids in COVID-19 ARDS [24, 25].
Detailed guidelines for critical care management for COVID-19 have been
published by the WHO [26]. There is, as of now, no approved treatment for
COVID-19. Antiviral drugs such as ribavirin, lopinavir-ritonavir have been used on
the experience with SARS and MERS. In a historical
0163
including IL2, IL10, GCSF, IP10, MCP1, MIP1A, and TNFα [15]. The median time
from onset of symptoms to dyspnea was 5 d, hospitalization 7 d and acute
respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) 8 d. the need for intensive care admission
was in 25-30% of affected patients in published series. Complications witnessed
included acute lung injury, ARDS, shock and acute kidney injury. Recovery started
in the 2nd or 3rd wk. the median duration of hospital stay in those who recovered
was 10 d. Adverse outcomes and death are more common in the elderly and
those with underlying co-morbidities (50-75% of fatal cases). Fatality rate in
hospitalized adult patients ranged from 4 to 11%. The overall case fatality rate is
estimated to range between 2 and 3% [2].
system (30).
This emerging virus will establish a niche in humans and coexist with us for a long
time166. Before clinically approved vaccines are widely available, there is no better
way to protect us from SARS-CoV-2 than personal preventive behaviours such as
social distancing and wearing masks, and public health measures, including active
testing, case tracing and restrictions on social gatherings. Despite a flood of SARS-
CoV-2 research published every week, current knowledge of this novel
coronavirus is just the tip of the iceberg. The animal origin and cross-species
infection route of SARS-CoV-2 are yet to be uncovered. The molecular
mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2 infection pathogenesis and virus-host
0176
droplets can spread 1-2 m and deposit on surfaces. The virus can remain viable on
surfaces for days in favourable atmospheric conditions but are destroyed in less
than a minute by common disinfectants like sodium hypochlorite, hydrogen
peroxide etc. [13]. Infection is acquired either by inhalation of these droplets or
touching surfaces contaminated by them and then touching the nose, mouth and
eyes. The virus is also present in the stool and contamination of the water supply
and subsequent transmission via aerosolization/feco oral route is also
hypothesized [6]. As per current information, transplacental transmission from
pregnant women to their fetus has not been described [14]. However, neonatal
disease due to postnatal transmission is described [14]. The incubation period
varies from 2 to 14 d [median 5 d]. Studies have identified angiotensin receptor 2
0178
SARS- or MERS-CoV outbreak (120). However, there has been concern regarding
the impact of SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 on pregnancy. Researchers have mentioned
the probability of in utero transmission of novel SARS-CoV-2 from COVID-19-
infected mothers to their neonates in China based upon the rise in IgM and IgG
antibody levels and cytokine values in the blood obtained from newborn infants
immediately postbirth; however, RT-PCR failed to confirm the presence of SARS-
CoV-2 genetic material in the infants (283). Recent studies show that at least in
some cases, preterm delivery and its consequences are associated with the virus.
Nonetheless, some cases have raised doubts for the likelihood of vertical
transmission (240-243).
Diagnosis [21]
A suspect case is defined as one with fever, sore throat and cough who has
history of travel to China or other areas of persistent local transmission or contact
with patients with similar travel history or those with confirmed
0195
or even die, whereas most young people and children have only mild diseases
(non-pneumonia or mild pneumonia) or are asymptomatic9,81,82. Notably, the risk
of disease was not higher for pregnant women. However, evidence of
transplacental transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from an infected mother to a neonate
was reported, although it was an isolated case83,84. On infection, the most
common symptoms are fever, fatigue and dry cough13,60,80,81. Less common
symptoms include sputum production, headache, haemoptysis, diarrhoea,
anorexia, sore throat, chest pain, chills and nausea and vomiting in studies of
patients in China13,60,80,81. Self-reported olfactory and tase disorders were also
reported by patients in Italy85. Most people showed signs of diseases after an
incubation period of 1-14 days (most commonly around 5 days), and dyspnoea
and pneumonia developed within a median time of 8 days from illness onset9.
of persistent local transmission or contact with patients with similar travel history
or those with confirmed COVID-19 infection. However cases may be
asymptomatic or even without fever. A confirmed case is a suspect case with a
positive molecular test.
in Yunnan. This novel bat virus, denoted ‘RmYN02’, is 93.3% identical to SARS-
CoV-2 across the genome. In the long lab gene, it exhibits 97.2% identity to SARS-
CoV-2, which is even higher than for a RaTG13 (REF.28). in addition to RaTG13 and
RmYN02, phylogenetic analysis shows that bat coronavirus ZC45 and ZXC21
previously detected in Rhinolophus pusillus bats from eastern China also fall into
the SARS-CoV-2 lineage of the subgenus Sarbecovirus36 (FIG. 2). The discovery of
diverse bat coronavirus closely related to SARS-CoV-2 suggests that bats are
possible reservoirs of SARS-CoV-2 (REF.37). Nevertheless, on the basis of current
findings, the divergence between SARS-CoV-2 and related bat coronaviruses likely
represent more than 20 years of sequence evolution, suggesting that these bat
coronaviruses can be regarded only as the likely evolutionary precursor of SARS-
CoV-2 but not as the direct progenitor of SARS-CoV-2 (REF.38).
Beyond bats, pangolins are another wildlife host probably linked with SARS-
CoV-2. Multiple SARS-CoV-2-related viruses have been identified in tissues of
Malayan pangolins smuggled from Southeast Asia into southern China from 2017
to 2019. Theses viruses from pangolins independently seized by Guangxi and
Guangdong provincial customs belong to two distinct sublineages39-41. The
Guangdong strains, which were isolated or sequenced by different research
groups from smuggled pangolins, have 99.8% sequence identity with each other41.
They are very closely related to SARS-CoV-2, exhibiting 92.4% sequence similarity.
Notably, the RBD of Guangdong pangolin coronaviruses is highly similar to that of
SARS-CoV-2. The receptor-binding motif (RBM; which is part of the RBD) of these
viruses has only one amino acid variation from SARS-CoV-2, and it is identical to
that of SARS-CoV-2 in all five critical
0202
identified angiotensin receptor 2 (ACE2) as the receptor through which the virus
enters the respiratory mucosa [11].
The basic case reproduction rate (BCR) is estimated to range from 2 to 6.47 in
various modelling studies [11]. In comparison, the BCR of SARS was 2 and 1.3 for
pandemic flu H1N1 2009 [2].
The clinical features of COVID-19 are varied, ranging from asymptomatic state to
acute respiratory distress syndrome and multi organ dysfunction. The common
clinical features include fever (not in all), cough sore throat, headache, fatigue,
headache, myalgia and breathlessness. Conjunctivitis has also been described.
Thus, they are indistinguishable from
0203
recovered patients and used for plasma transfusion twice in a volume of 200 to
250 ml on the day of collection (310). At present, treatment for sepsis and ARDS
mainly involves antimicrobial therapy, source control, and supportive care. Hence,
the use of therapeutic plasma exchange can be considered an option in managing
such severe conditions. Further randomized trials can be designed to investigate
its efficacy (311).
In December 2019, adults in Wuhan, capital city of Hubei province and a major
transportation hub of China stated presenting to local hospitals with severe
pneumonia of unknown cause. Many of the initial cases had a common exposure
to the Huanan wholesale seafood market that also traded live animals. The
surveillance system (put into place after the SARS outbreak) was activated and
respiratory samples of patients were sent to reference labs for etiologic
investigations. On December 31st 2019, China notified the outbreak to the World
Health Organization and on 1st January the Huanan sea food market was closed.
On 7th January the virus was identified as a coronavirus that had >95% homology
with the bat
0212
infections clinically or through routine lab tests. Therefore travel history becomes
important. However, as the epidemic spreads, the travel history will become
irrelevant.
with COVID-19 showed typical features on initial CT, including bilateral multilobar
ground-glass opacities with a peripheral or posterior distribution118,119. Thus, it has
been suggested that CT scanning combined with repeated swab tests should be
used for individuals with high clinical suspicion of COVID-19 but who test negative
in initial nucleic acid scrreening118. Finally, SARS-CoV-2 serological tests detecting
antibodies to N or S protein could complement molecular diagnosis, particularly in
late phases after disease onset or for retrospective studies116,120,121. However, the
extent and duration of immune responses are still unclear, and available
serological tests differ in their sensitivity and specificity, all of which need to be
taken into account when one is deciding on serological tests and interpreting their
results or potentially in the future test for T cell responses.
Therapeutics
Other laboratory investigations are usually non specific. The white cell count is
usually normal or low. There may be lymphopenia; a lymphocyte count <1000 has
been associated with severe disease. The platelet count is usually normal or
mildly low. The CRP and ESR are generally elevated but procalcitonin levels are
usually normal. A high procalcitonin level may indicate a bacterial co-infection.
The ALT/AST, prothrombin time, creatinine, D-dimer, CPK and LDH may be
elevated and high levels are associated with severe disease.
The chest X-ray (CXR) usually shows bilateral infiltrates but may be normal in early
disease. The CT is more sensitive and specific. CT imaging generally shows
infiltrates, ground glass opacities and sub segmental
0227
and chest discomfort, and in severe cases dyspnea and bilateral lung infiltration6,7.
Among the first 27 documented hospitalized patients, most cases were
epidemiologically linked to Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, a wet market
located in downtown Wuhan, which sells not only seafood but also live animals,
including poultry and wildlife4,8. According to retrospective study, the onset of the
first known case dates back to 8 December 2019 (REF9). On 31 December, Wuhan
Municipal Health Commission notified the public of a pneumonia outbreak of
unidentified cause and informed the World Health Organization (WHO)9 (FIG. 1).
such instance was in 2002-2003 when a new coronavirus of the β genera and with
origin in bats crossed over to humans via the intermediary host of palm civet cats
in the Guangdong province of China. This virus, designated as severe acute
respiratory syndrome coronavirus affected 8422 people mostly in China and
Hongkong and caused 916 deaths (mortality rate 11%) before being contained [4].
Almost a decade later in 2012, the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus
(MERS-CoV), also of bat origin, emerged in Saudi Arabia with dromedary camels
as the intermediate host and affected 2494 people and caused 858 deaths
(fatality rate 34%) [5].
[median 17 d]. in the case series of children discussed earlier, all children
recovered with basic treatment and did not need intensive care [17].
There is anecdotal experience with use of remdeswir, a broad spectrum anti RNA
drug developed for Ebola in management of COVID-19 [27]. More evidence is
needed before these drugs are recommended. Other drugs proposed for therapy
are arbidol (an antiviral drug available in Russia and China), intravenous
immunoglobulin, interferons, chloroquine and plasma of patients recovered from
COVID-19 [21, 28, 29]. Additionally, recommendations about using traditional
Chinese herbs find place in the Chinese guidelines [21].
exponentially in other countries including South Korea, Italy and Iran. Of those
infected, 20% are in critical condition, 25% have recovered, and 3310 (3013 in
China and 297 in other countries) have died [2]. India, which had reported only 3
cases till 2/3/3030, has also seen a sudden spurt in cases. By 5/3/2020, 29 cases
had been reported; mostly in Delhi, Jaipur and Agra in Italian tourists and their
contacts. One case was reported in an Indian who traveled back from Vienna and
exposed a large number of school children in a birthday party at a city hotel.
Many of the contacts of these cases have been quarantined.
These numbers are possibly an underestimate of the infected and dead due to
limitations of surveillance and testing. Though the SARS-CoV-2 originated from
bats, the intermediary
0234
lower respiratory tracts. Acute viral interstitial pneumonia and humoral and
cellular immune responses were observed48,75. Moreover, prolonged virus
shedding peaked early in the course of infection in asymptomatic macaques69,
and old monkeys showed severer interstitial pneumonia than young monkeys76,
which is similar to what is seen in patients with COVID-19. In human ACE2-
transgenic mice infected with SARS-CoV-2, typical interstitial pneumonia was
present, and viral antigens were observed mainly in the bronchial epithelial cells,
macrophages and alveolar epithelia. Some human ACE2-transgenic mice even
died after infection70,71. In wide-type mice, a SARS-CoV-2 mouse-adapted strain
with the N501Y alteration in the RBD of the S protein was generated at passage 6.
Interstitial pneumonia and inflammatory responses were found in both young and
aged mice after infection with the mouse-adapted strain74. Golden hamsters also
showed typical symptoms after being infected with SARS-CoV-2 [REF.77]. In other
animal models, including cats and ferrets, SARS-CoV-2 could efficiently replicate in
the upper respiratory tract but did not induce severe clinical symptoms43,78. As
transmission by direct contact and air was observed in infected ferrets and
hamsters, these animals could be used to model different transmission modes of
COVID-19 [REFS77-79]. Animal models offer important information for
understanding the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the transmission
dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, and are important to evaluate the efficacy of antiviral
therapeutics and vaccines.
It appears that all ages of the population are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2, and the
median age of infection is around 50 years9,13,60,80,81. However, clinical
manifestations differ with age. In general, older men (>60 years old) with co-
morbidities are more likely to develop severe respiratory disease that requires
hospitalization
0237
article gives a bird’s eye view about this new virus. Since knowledge about this
virus is rapidly evolving, readers are urged to update themselves regularly.
History
There have been two events in the past two decades wherein crossover of animal
betacorona viruses to humans has resulted in severe disease. The first such
instance was in 2002-2003 when a
0238
The international response has been dramatic. Initially, there were massive travel
restrictions to China and people returning from China/ evacuated from China are
being evaluated for clinical symptoms, isolated and tested for COVID-19 for 2 wks
even if asymptomatic. However, now with rapid world wide spread of the virus
these travel restrictions have extended to other countries. Whether these efforts
will lead to slowing of viral spread is not known.
pandemic flu where patients were asked to resume work/school once afebrile for
24 h or by day 7 of illness. Negative molecular tests were not a prerequisite for
discharge.
At the community level, people should be asked to avoid crowded areas and
postpone non-essential travel to places with ongoing transmission. They should
be asked to practice cough hygiene frequently every 15-20 min. Patients with
respiratory symptoms should be asked to use surgical masks. The use of mask by
health people in public places has not shown to protect against respiratory viral
infections and is currently not recommended by WHO. However, in China, the
public has been asked to wear masks in public and especially in crowded places
and large scale gatherings are prohibited (entertainment parks etc). China is also
0248
mask and practice cough hygiene. Caregivers should be asked to wear a surgical
mask when in the same room as patient and use hand hygiene every 15-20 min.
exponentially in other countries including South Korea, Italy and Iran. Of those
infected, 20% are in critical condition, 25% have recovered, and 3310 (3013 in
China and 297 in other countries) have died [2]. India, which had reported only 3
cases till 2/3/3030, has also seen a sudden spurt in cases. By 5/3/2020, 29 cases
had been reported; mostly in Delhi, Jaipur and Agra in Italian tourists and their
contacts. One case was reported in an Indian who traveled back from Vienna and
exposed a large number of school children in a birthday party at a city hotel.
Many of the contacts of these cases have been quarantined.
These numbers are possibly an underestimate of the infected and dead due to
limitations of surveillance and testing. Though the SARS-CoV-2 originated from
bats, the intermediary
0255
At the time of writing this article, the risk of coronavirus in India is extremely low.
But that may change in the next few weeks. Hence the following is
recommended: