BAEC 12 Block 01
BAEC 12 Block 01
BAEC 12 Block 01
All the Units of this block is designed and developed by ePG Pathshala.
Bachelor of Arts (Honours) in
Economics
BEC-12
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS I
Block-1
Structure
The study of economic growth and development is important to know not only the rate
of increase in output and capacity but also the mechanism by which this rate is realized,
sustained or impeded.
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Since World War II more interest has been taken by the economists in the problems
of backward and less developed countries. Thus, the students of economics of
development must understand and distinguish between the concepts of economic
growth and economic development. Whereas development may not result from
1
economic growth, economic growth always results from economic development.
Economic growth is therefore a concern of advanced countries; economic
development is a major issue for less developed nations.
Moreover, as the economies are classified into developed and underdeveloped, one
must understand the differentiating features of the two categories as well as the reasons
for the persistence of gap between the two. The unit also examines the factor which
helps in measurement of levels of growth and development across various nations.
The concept of economic development has taken a central place in economic literature
since World War II. Although economists like Karl Marx and even some of the
classical economists explained about this problem in 18th century yet economic
growth and development has now become a special area of study. The key element of
development is that people are the major participants in the process of change in an
economy as well as in the enjoyment of benefits flowing from these changes and this
process of change in the economy is referred to as economic development.
The traditional approach to the concept of development was strictly in economic terms
whereby an economy is transformed from a low level of economic activity to a higher
level. Development process, here, implied some forces working over a period of time
to change certain variables which result in the growth of national product. While
growth is only a quantitative change, the process itself involves many other changes
which can be classified into
b) Changes in the structure of demand due to the change in the level and
distribution of income as well as due to the changes in the structure of
production and employment.
This quantitative approach towards growth was based on the policy of inducing
industrialization at the expense of agriculture. The concepts of poverty elimination,
reduction in inequality, generation of employment were assumed to be the outcome of
2
rapid growth in GNP and GNP per capita. Since a vast majority of world population
could not get the benefits of economic growth this narrow approach of development
had to be redefined. Therefore, while growth involves focusing on an increase in
height or weight (or GNP) development draws attention to changes in both functional
and learning capacities. In the early stages any economy that grows is likely to
develop. But, the study of Liberian economy ‘Growth without development’ which
shows an absence of both structural changes to induce complementary growth in other
sectors and of institutional changes to diffuse gains in all sectors has necessitated the
focus back on the problem of development.
The achievements in enhancing gross national product has been indeed remarkably
significant in certain countries (e.g Brazil, South Africa and Oman) but their success
in delivering public health, education and enhancing the life expectancy and reducing
mortality has been quite dismal, what Professor Sen has termed an example of
‘unaided opulence’ (Dreze and sen, 1990). While the countries like China and Sri
Lanka with relatively quite low-income levels have made significant progress in the
pubic provisioning of these services.
The concept of development, therefore, has been redefined to include direct attack on
the problems of poverty, unemployment and inequalities etc. Thus, economic
development is a wider concept which not only includes improvements in material
welfare but also includes changes to fulfill the objectives of eradication of mass
poverty along with its correlates of illiteracy, morbidity and early death. It also
includes changes in the structure of output, a change in occupational structure, and
changes in institutional and organizational set up along with the changes in allocation
of resources. Moreover, it also includes changes in attitudes of people which make
them more rational and more modern in outlook and behavior, as Kindleberger puts
“Whereas economic growth merely refers to a rise in output, economic development
implies a change in technological and institutional organization of production as well
as the distributive pattern of income.” Thus, while economic growth is a single
dimension concept economic development is a multi-dimensional concept which
includes both an increase in GDP per capita as a primary goal as well as a number of
sub-goals like poverty alleviation, reduction in inequalities, more employment
opportunities and improving the living standard of the masses.
Since the end of World War II, more interest has been taken in the problems of
backward and less developed countries. Although, there is no single definition of
under development which is universally acceptable yet there are certain indicators on
which there is a consensus and those can be used to identify the under-developed
countries. The United Nation experts have defined “an Under-developed country as
the one which has a real per capita income that is lower in relation to the real per capita
income of USA, Canada, Australia and Western Europe”. Thus, under-development
3
is a relative concept as it involves comparison of one set of countries with the other.
It refers to the state of an economy where levels of living of masses are too low due to
low per capita income resulting from low level of production. Although, it is a relative
concept yet it sustains absolute poverty wherein more than 30% of the people fail to
fulfill their basic needs of food, clothing and shelter. But, an under-developed country
should not be identified as a potentially poor country. These economies have the
capabilities for achieving higher growth rates and only need a big push through some
concerted domestic factors as well as some outside help. They also need same internal
re-organization to make them move in the desired direction. These are the countries
whose actual and potential resources have not been fully utilized due to lack of capital,
technological backwardness and unskilled manpower. These have good potential for
development if provided with sufficient capital with modern technology. Even,
Planning Commission of India has observed “An underdeveloped economy is one
which is characterized by the co-existence of unutilized or under-utilized manpower
on the one hand and of unutilized natural resources on the other. This state of affairs
may be due to stagnancy of techniques or to certain inhibiting socio-economic factors
which prevent the more dynamic forces in an economy from asserting themselves.”
World Bank, in the World Development Report has classified countries as low income,
middle income and high income countries. This classification is based on per capita
GNP. The data shows that low income countries comprise 12.5 % of the World
Population but account for only 0.7% of the total world GNI while high income
economies which have only 16.5% of world population account for 71% of world
GNI. The middle income countries which account for 71% of world population have
27.4% of world GNI. Thus, lower and middle income groups taken together which
are known as developing economies comprise about 83.5% of world population but
account for only 28.1% of the world GNI. Most of these countries are in Asia, Africa,
Latin America and some part of Europe. The most common characteristics of these
economies are
Thus, under-developed countries are low income countries whose resources have not
been fully utilized. These economies can achieve high rates of growth if their
4
resources are fully utilized by mobilizing more capital and by utilizing the modern
technology judiciously.
The history of modern economic growth and development shows that it has not
affected all corners of the globe. While in some parts the economic performance in
the aggregate has led to a thorough transformation of a country’s economic and social
framework, there are countries which have been lost untouched and the conditions of
under-development perpetuate. We can, therefore, discuss those factors which have
been responsible for perpetuation of under-development between nations. These
factors include:
B. Urban Bias: - The govt. policies based in favor of metropolitan areas have
encouraged migration from rural areas and thereby, increasing facilities for the
urban population may promote growth in the short period but it won’t produce
long term sustainable and equitable development industrial investment, if
promoted at the cost of agriculture will further reduce land for agriculture and
thus will force migration to urban areas. This distorts urban labour market and
restricts comprehensive economic development. In the absence of rural
development, especially agricultural development resources particularly
unskilled labour shifts to the urban areas and stimulates social unrest and thus
perpetuates under-development.
5
D. Institutional framework: - Institutions are those rules and conventions which
govern human behavior and social interactions. These form the social structure
on which the edifice of economic development can be built. Since, these are
the constraints imposed by the society and are both formal and informal in
nature; development requires that these institutions are reformed. Although
formal institutions can be easily changed with the help of low but it takes a
long time to change the conventions and codes of behavior which depends on
the mindset of the society. Since, the changed formal rules work only in a
social set up which is willing to accept these changes, it is necessary that the
informal constraint must change. Thus, development is not simply related to
use of material resources but is also linked up with institutional framework.
Any economy caught up in the traditional and primitive institutional set up
cannot expect a high rate of development unless the institutions are
modernized.
The first and the most important measure of economic development is the Gross
Domestic Product which means the total value of goods and services, produced within
a country during a year or GNP which also includes the net income from abroad or
GNP per capita which is obtained by dividing the total value of GNP by population.
Here a distinction has to be made between the level which is a crude indicator of
average welfare and the rate of change which indicates the speed and direction of
change. A country grows if its total income increases, but since our interest in
6
development is for human welfare income per capita is more important which takes
into account the size of the population and can provide some information about
efficiency. But, there are some theoretical and practical problems of using
GDP/GNP/or income per capita as a measure of development. The basic problems
faced are
• It remains hard to draw a line between consumption and costs or between final
product and intermediate product.
• The valuation of goods and services.
• The exclusion of govt. spending on administration and distribution in
particularly socialist economies.
• Informal economy and unpaid work such as home-makers services, and
subsistence farming and bartering.
• High informal sector as rural economy cannot give accurate information.
• It hides inequality in distribution even within a country.
• Negative externalities like pollution and environmental damage is not
included.
• The benefits of environmental services are not included.
Thus, GNP is only a measure of the economic value of what is produced and paid for.
It does not take into account the environmental and social costs as well as the
distribution aspect. There are a number of other problems faced whenever attempt is
made to reduce national product originating under different social conditions to
comparable aggregates. In order to measure and evaluate a country’s development
performance, one can use measures of the extent to which people in the country receive
the benefits of development process. One approach is to look at the indices like -
Absolute Poverty- Those living in a situation where they are unable to satisfy their
basic needs for survival, food, clothing, shelter, water and sanitation for which the
World Bank gives an income of $1.25 per day and that of
Relative Poverty- A level of poverty relative to the rest of the population which has
been taken as 50% of the average earnings and inequalities in income distribution
which has increased over the planning period in India. Inequality becomes a problem
when differences in income across sections of society are deemed to be excessive and
perpetuating.
7
development. Other social indices which can also measure the level of development
in an economy are:
• GDP/GNP/GNP Per Capita in which the gap between India and USA is around
40 times. While the average GNP per capita in India was $ 1180 that of USA
was $ 47240 at the official exchange rate.
• Nearly 51% of the bottom household own only 10% of the assets and 10% of
the rich own 49% of the assets in India which shows the extent of inequality.
• Not only in Economic indices even the social indicators show a wide gap
between developed and under-developed nations. While life expectancy in
USA was 79 years in India it was 64 years, the literacy ratios were 99 and 66
respectively. The infant mortality rate and the total fertility rates were 53 & 2.6
in India while there were as low as 4 and 1.2 in the country like Korea. While
8
India ranked 134 in HDI index Canada occupies fourth place in this index. The
PQLI index and International suffering index which covers daily calorie
intake, access to clean water& communication, inflation rate and political
freedom and civil rights also indicate the similar types of gaps.
1.7 SUMMARY
• It is clear from the discussion above that while economic growth in terms of a
sustained increase in real national income is a uni-dimensional concept. But
economic development on the other hand, involves many structural and functional
changes. More recently the focus of development has been shifted to the quality
of life and enrichment of human life as the ultimate aim of all development is
improving the well-being of the people. The unit also examines some diverse
features of underdeveloped countries which differentiate these economies from
the developed economies.
• Moreover, since many of the countries could not transform their economic and
social framework, a few factors have been discussed which are responsible for the
perpetuation of the problem of underdevelopment in these economies.
9
UNIT-2 MEASUREMENT AND INDICATORS OF
DEVELOPMENT
Structure
2.1 INTRODUCTION
11
market causes rise in the interest rate and cause crowding out effect. Hence the
private investment gets discouraged.
9. High imbalance of payment account- Theses economies have high trade deficits
and overall balance of payment deficits. These economies are primarily
agricultural based economies and export mainly agricultural products while
mostly imported goods are manufactured products. The unit value of agricultural
produce is very low while price of unit value of manufacturing products is high
so this fact goes against the welfare of these economies and the result is overall
deficits. Likewise there is not much export of service trade in economies.
12
implies the existence of two separate markets independent of each other in a
country. This is a lack of integration of financial markets. Participants have
information asymmetries in the market.
12. Highly Polluted Economies – All underdeveloped economies are highly polluted
in nature due their mismanagement of the natural resources and poor technologies.
Ecology of these nations is highly disturbed. Outdated and inferior technology
contaminate not only environment, biosphere but is also very costly and less
efficient. So it is imperative to switch to new and sophisticated technologies which
are not only environment friendly that is low carbon intensive but also reduces
the overall cost significantly.
Environment is a good which provides utility to people in many ways. Unlike the other
private goods environmental assets are public goods and hence have no markets. So it
becomes difficult to evaluate an economic asset. Green GDP or Environmentally
Adjusted GDP is the measure of sustainable development. It is the amount of national
income adjusted for the cost of pollution and depletion of natural resources. There are
two concepts related to sustainable development viz. weak sustainability and strong
sustainability. Weak sustainability implies that total value of physical, human and
natural capital should not deplete while strong sustainability implies that only natural
stock of capital should not deplete. Weak sustainability is a wider concept than strong
sustainability.
There are various popular measures of development which are discussed as follow –
13
• Per Capita Income as a raw measure of development does not take into account
the following things
1. Does not look at the income inequality among the different people
2. Does not include the human development indicators like literacy, health ,
knowledge
3. Does not adjust the cost of polluting the environment
4. Does not include the various aspects of political, cultural, social freedom
as emphasized by Amartya Sen
5. Only official not the unofficial income is reported. It implies gross
underestimation of national income due to underground economic
activity.
The term "gross national happiness" was coined in 1972 by Bhutan's fourth Dragon
King, Jigme Singye Wangchuck. It includes sustainable development, cultural values,
natural environment, and good governance as the elements of development. And these
four elements are further divided nine sub divided elements. The nine subdivided are:
psychological wellbeing, health, knowledge and education, time use, cultural diversity
and resilience, good governance, community vitality, ecological diversity and
resilience, and living standards. The Gross National Happiness Index is a single
number index developed from 33 indicators categorized under nine domains. The
14
GNH Index is constructed based upon a robust multidimensional methodology known
as the Alkire Foster method. (Quoted from a short guide to Gross Happiness Index)
2.5 POVERTY
Poverty: A person is said to poor if it is not able to afford his basic essential
necessities. Necessities implies without which he can’t survive. However there is no
consensus what is essential or not for a person. In general poverty is measured as the
reasonable amount of money income to keep the people out if the clutches of poverty,
however the emphasis in India is on the minimum standard. Poverty line is measured
in terms of minimum calorie intake taken by a person per day. It is 2400 calorie per
person per day in rural areas and 2100 calorie per person per day in urban areas as per
decided by the medical council of India. This approach was used in India to define the
poverty lines by planning commission in the past. However critics argue that poverty
is a multidimensional issue and should not be confined to the deprivation of food
requirements of only. The measurement based on the calorie needs should be called
starvation lines instead of poverty lines. Poverty on the other hands includes the
deprivation in many other essential facilities like health, education, clothing,
sanitation, access to cleaning drinking water, housing etc. A London based institute
has recently measured poverty with a new index called Multidimensional Poverty
Index (MDI) by taking data for various parameters like health, education etc. and India
was ranked abysmally low for MDI.
Here is important to distinguish between the absolute poverty and relative poverty.
Absolute poverty means a person falls below the poverty lines. But relative poverty
means relative position on the income distribution of the society. For example per
capital income of USA in a year is 25000 Rs and that of UK is 24000Rs and poverty
line cutoff is 5000 Rs then both USA and UK are prosperous economies but UK is
relatively poor than USA. The concept of relative poverty is more concerned with
measurement of income inequalities.
1. Lack of any productive asset: There is a skewed distribution of assets e.g. land
in the society. A section of people in the society has high concentration of the
total wealth while they constitute a small percentage of population. On the other
hand majority of the population small and marginal farmers has very less
percentage of the total wealth.
2. Lack of quality education or any skill: Another reason for the poverty in the
developing country is the lack of formal schooling and lack of any special
knowledge for the employment purpose.
15
3. Larger size of household: It reduces the size of per capita cake. Larger size of
household actually both the cause and effect of the poverty. Larger children are
viewed as helping hands to the family.
1. Larger size of population: As is described earlier that in order to tackle the curse
of poverty poor tend to have more and more children in order to have more money
income. Larger children are viewed as additional source of earning.
2. Hunger and Malnutrition: The state of abject poverty leads to the people to
starve and suffer from malnutrition. They do not have even the food for
maintaining their subsistence level. They can be easily caught by and are
vulnerable to serious diseases.
4. Increase in inequality: The affluent society on the one hand and miserable state
of poverty on the other hand widens the gap between rich and poor. It makes rich
more rich and poor more poor.
• Headcount Ratio- The ratio of people living below the poverty line to total
population is called headcount ratio. It is a very crude measure of poverty and
does the take into account the sensitivity of poverty among the poor people.
𝐻𝐶
Head count Ratio =
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
16
For example if A and B are two person below poverty lines and A,s income rises but
remains below the poverty line while B position remains same, so now A is relatively
less poor than B. But HC does not take this into account.
Where z is the amount of income denoting poverty line, N is the total number of
population, yj is the income of jth person falling below the poverty line and q is the
total number of the poor person.
Poverty gap index ignores the effect of inequality between the poor. It does not capture
differences in the severity of poverty amongst the poor.
• Squared Poverty Ratio- The relative poverty among the poor was the limitation
of poverty gap ratio is solved by this index. In order to calculate this we take the
average of the square of the poverty gap ratio by placing higher weight on a
relatively higher poor person. The squared poverty gap index is one form of a
weighted sum of poverty gaps, with the weight proportionate to the poverty gap.
Where z is the amount of income denoting poverty line, N is the total number of
population, yj is the income of jth person falling below the poverty line and q is the
total number of the poor person.
For α=o it is equal to head count ratio. For α=1 it is equal to poverty gap ratio. For α=2
it is equal to squared poverty gap ratio.
17
• Sen P Index of Poverty:
Sen P index, sometimes referred to PSEN is related to poverty gap index (PGI). It is
calculated as follows:
PSEN= H*GZ + PGI*(1-GZ) where, H is the headcount ratio and GZ is the income Gini
coefficient of only the people below the poverty line.
• Black Money: Huge amount of black money nearly 50% of the official reported
income is earned in the India and likewise might be figures for the underdeveloped
countries.
• Poor Implementation of Minimum wage laws: Wage laws are not properly
implemented in the underdeveloped nations. They appear good only on the paper
work and there are really no efforts to get these laws implemented.
• Rising Level of corruption: The wide spread dragon of corruption eats out the
public funds sanctioned for the developed and welfare schemes and therefore
these funds can’t reach the actual beneficiaries. Actually issue of inequality can’t
be removed unless there is a removal of poverty. Both are interconnected issues.
18
2.10 MEASURES OF INEQUALITY
• Range – It is the difference between the income of richest person and income of
poorest person in a group. It is only a crude measure of inequality. It does not take
into account the fact that transfer of income from a rich person but not the richest
to poor person but not the poorest reduces the inequality. If there is equal
distribution of income then range takes a zero value. It is not a unit free measure
of inequality.
• Standard Deviation- It is the average of the sum of the square of its deviation of
a series from its mean value.
• Kuznet Ratios: These are the pieces of the Lorenz curves and are measured in
the ratio. For example it is expressed as the ratio of income of top 5% people to
top 5% of people. If top 5% of rich people earns 30% of the total income in the
society and bottom 5% people earn 2% of the total income the Kuznet ratio for
this given information is 15. If a Kuznet ratio is greater than unity then it shows
inequality. Higher the value of Kuznet ratio higher is the inequality.
19
However the Lorenz curve is subject two limitations. First it does not give a numerical
value for measuring inequality and second in case two Lorenz curve cross each other
it is not possible to compare two different income distributions as shown in the
diagram below.
20
An equal distribution takes zero value while complete inequality takes unity
value.
2.11 SUMMARY
In order to summarize there is mass poverty, unemployment and illiteracy among the
under developed nations. There are various measures of economic development such
as human development index, physical index and many more. Poverty is also a critical
issue that we discussed and measured through the indicators of Head count ratio,
Poverty Gap Ratio etc. This gives rises to inequality among the groups of people.
Inequality itself can be measured through Gini coefficient and Lorenz Curve.
a) Kuznet curve
b) Gini coefficient
21
2.13 Text Book and Reference Books
22
UNIT-3 PARTIAL THEORIES OF GROWTH AND
DEVELOPMENT: VICIOUS CIRCLE OF
POVERTY
Structure
3.1 INTRODUCTION
The concept of vicious and virtuous circle of poverty as formulated by Ragnar Nurkse
describes the state in which the underdeveloped countries (UDCs) are entrapped in,
where poverty seems to be the cause and effect of poverty. It means that if you are
poor, you are bound to remain poor. This holds true for both individuals and societies.
Nurkse argued that it is due to the impoverish state of these economics that any
development effort to shift these economics to a higher growth path fails to fructify.
“Poverty, according to Nelson, is a circular constellation of forces tending to act and
react upon one another in such a way as to keep a country in a state of poverty”. It
implies that in the presence of such forces, achieving higher levels of economic growth
becomes no longer automatic or spontaneous. This is because poverty hinders the
inducement to invest, especially given the small size of the markets in the UDCs. Thus
it results in a shortage of capital accumulation in these economies. Due to this reason,
lack of capital accumulation is the central problem faced by the UDCs in their path of
23
development. Capital investment especially social overhead capital is ‘lumpy’ in
nature i.e. it cannot be acquired in small increments but must be obtained in large,
discrete units and has a long gestation period. This works as a deterrent for the private
investor to invest in capital formation in the small market economy. Another factor
contributing to the vicious circle of poverty is the inelasticity of demand faced by the
UDCs at the early stages of development.
Nurkse looked at the problem of vicious circle of poverty from both sides: the supply
side and the demand side wherein he gave more emphasize to the supply side problem.
The supply side argument explains that the capacity to save of UDCs is severely
limited by their low level of income earned. Hence, the mobilisation of savings into
investment generates low levels of investment in an economy. Due to shortage of
investment in the economy, productivity levels are also adversely affected which in
turn results in an overall low level of income produced.
Figure
The demand side argument on the other hand explains the low level of income
resulting in a lack of demand by the consumers and producers leading to a limited size
of the market. The small size of the market works restraints the incentive to invest in
that market. Hence the lack of effective investment results in low levels of income.
According to Nurkse, in addition to these two vicious circles of poverty, the UDCs
also face one other circle of poverty that operates in terms of Market Imperfections.
These economies work in a manner that resources are not optimally utilised. There are
no economies of scale. The scale of production is low and cost of production is high.
There is lack of competitiveness and thus the UDCs are losers in international market.
24
So in such a scenario the question is how the UDCs will break the vicious circle of
poverty and move to higher path of growth. Nurkse borrowed the idea from ‘Allyn
Young’ to provide the solution for the same. He quoted the famous example of the
Shoe Factory which highlights that if a firm is only producing one product i.e. shoes
then it is bound to fail. This is because the workers (then consumers) engaged in the
factory will not spend their income entirely on the purchase of shoes. This is so
because human wants are diverse. So the demand for shoes will be less than the supply
of shoes and hence a glut of shoes will be created which will result in the price to fall.
Thus the firm will suffer losses. He said it might be acceptable in the Short run but not
in the Long run.
So the way out is to set up a number of factories producing different goods that are
market-wise and technologically interdependent so that workers working in one firm
are the buyers of another firm and vice-versa i.e. there should be a synchronized
application of capital in a number of factories simultaneously so as to cater to the
complementarities of demand. If such kind of investment is made then the size of the
market will expand, there’ll be no deficiency of demand and all benefits will be
realized in terms of cheap goods both domestically and internationally. He said this
will result in a FRONTAL ATTACK on poverty. According to him a single factory
fails and many factories succeed to come out of the vicious circle of poverty through
their forward and backward linkages. Backward linkages can be defined as "the
growth of an industry leads to the growth of the industries that supply inputs to it".
Forward linkages exist when the growth of an industry leads to the growth of other
industries that uses its output as input.
Before Nurkse, Adam Smith propagated the idea of division of labour and expansion
of the size of the market to accelerate the process of economic development. Nurkse
seems to have been influenced by his ideas also.
• The approach promotes practices like Division of Labour that ensure economies
in terms of time, money and effort.
• It promotes development of various ancillary industries through working of
vertical linkages.
• It accelerates the pace of economic development by developing a large number of
sectors simultaneously.
• The approach suggests that the UDCs can move on the path of economic progress
by massive investment simultaneously in all sectors appears totally impractical
because the central problem faced by the UDCs is the dearth of capital and other
resources.
25
• There could be problems of coordination. If large number of interdependent
industries will be established then underperformance of few might disrupt the
whole chain.
Hence this theory is good on paper only but in practice lack of technical knowledge
and skills will restrain growth.
“The thesis of a general vicious circle of poverty thus conflicts with the most
elementary empirical evidence” (Bauer, 1965).
Circular Causation The classical economists are of the view that the expansion of
international trade can be taken as an important source of economic development as it
has equalizing effect i.e. it has developed both export and import countries irrespective
of type of goods traded. But some of the recent economists have argued that
international trade cannot encourage growth especially in underdeveloped countries.
It may only help to the developed country. The theory of circular causation is one of
the explanations to this.
26
Evolution of Theory
Gunnar Myrdal developed the concept from Knut Wicksell and developed it alongside
with Nicholas Kaldor when they worked together at the United Nations Economic
Commission for Europe. Myrdal concentrated on the social provisioning aspect of
development, while Kaldor concentrated on demand-supply relationships to the
manufacturing sector. About Economic Theory and Underdeveloped Regions Myrdal
wrote that ‘the argument moves on a general and methodological plane in the sense
that the theory is discussed as a complex of broad structures of thought’. His aim was
to submit ‘broad generalizations, as a ‘theory’ is permitted to be, grasp the social facts
as they organize themselves into a pattern when viewed under a bird’s-eye perspective
into this general vision, the specific characteristic. Myrdal developed further the
circular cumulative causation concept and stated that it makes different assumptions
from that of stable equilibrium on what can be considered the most important forces
guiding the evolution of social processes. These forces characterize the dynamics of
these processes in two diverse ways.
3.6 SUMMARY
• The concept of Vicious Circle of Poverty is defined as the state of UDCs at the
subsistence level of output. The UDCs are poor because they are poor. They seem
to be entrapped in the vicious circle of poverty where poverty is the cause and
effect of poverty. And any developmental effort to pull the economy out of this
27
trap requires synchronized application of capital to cater to complementarities of
demand.
• It propagates that piece-meal effort is bound to fail in the UDCs and hence there
is a need for simultaneous investment in a number of projects/sectors.
• The theory states that a change in one form of institution will lead to successive
changes in other institutions.
• These changes are circular in the way that they continue in a cycle many times in
a negative way and there is no end it functions in a vicious circle.
• This model combines both national and international forces which tend to keep
backward countries in the morass of cumulative process where poverty become
its own cause.
28
UNIT-4 HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX AND
OTHER INDICES AND QUALITY OF LIFE
Structure
4.1 INTRODUCTION
29
4.2 MEANING OF HDI AND MEASUREMENT BY OLD METHOD
It can also be said that the purpose of HDI was to shift the focus from Economic
Growth to Economic Development as the latter is a multi-dimensional process that can
forever alter the stationary state so that the economies can move to a higher trajectory
of well being.
HDI is a composite index. The key magnitudes of the HDI are in terms of three social
pointers:
• Knowledge and education, as gauged by the adult literacy rate (with two-thirds
weighting) and the gross enrollment ratio (with one-third weighting). Adult
literacy rate is percentage of the population age 15 and above who can, with
understanding, read and writes a short, simple statement on their everyday life.
Gross enrolment ratio is the combined total of all primary, secondary and
tertiary enrolment.
30
GDP and divides it by the number of people in the country. The per capita GDP
is particularly useful when comparing one country to another because it shows
the relative performance of the countries. An upsurge in per capita GDP
gestures growth in the economy and inclines to interpret as a surge in
productivity.
For any component of the HDI, individual indices can be computed by applying the
formula:
And fixed minimum and maximum values have been set for each of the individual
indices. These are as follows:
𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒−25
Therefore, Life Expectancy Index is given by:
85−25
log(𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒)−log(100)
GDP Index =
log(40000)−log (100)
HDI is then calculated by taking an average of these three individual indices. The
numeric value of the HDI can vary between 0 to1. On the basis of the HDI value, one
can rank and compare the countries on the basis of its performance in terms of these
social indicators and not just a mere comparison between the incomes of the countries.
Higher HDI implies higher human well being which further implies that quality of life
is betteroff in this country vis-a-vis the other countries.
Advantages of HDI:
HDI is a composite index that tries to capture the building blocks for sustained
Economic Development of any economy i.e. it takes into account the performance of
the economy in terms of health and education which are the important components of
Human Capital. And as any economy progresses the role of human capital becomes
increasingly vital.
31
It also divulges that a country with a low level of income can do significantly better in
terms of other parameters of development and vice-versa. Two countries having the
same amount of national income can be poles apart in terms of HDI value. So
inferences can be made about the potential of the long run performance of the two.
Disadvantages of HDI:
The problem of HDI is that it permits a joint substitutability within all three
dimensions which are used and those alike countries which are very close in a ranking
they can have pointedly diverse development in particular dimensions in a close look.
HDI is an average of the individual indices. Therefore, the problem with any average
i.e. it being affected by extreme values is there with HDI also. So, high value of HDI
might just be because of high value of any two individual indices. Hence it has a bias
for the rich countries.
In HDI, equal weights are given to all indices, which make it subjective and difficult
to interpret in concrete terms. Gross enrolment ratio is an appropriate measure of
education index, as it doesn’t take into account the percentage of dropout rate at each
stage.
The role of quality, especially when HDI is covering the impact of social indicators,
becomes important to access the well being of the population. However, it appears to
be missing in the calculation of HDI.
It was published on 4 November 2010 (and updated on 10 June 2011). The basic three
dimensions of the new HDI remains the same i.e. index on health, education and
income of a country. The measure of long and healthy life remains the same as Life
expectancy at birth whereas the index on a decent standard of living and education
has changed.
Education index: It is taken as the average of Mean years of schooling (MYS) (in
years) and Expected Years of Schooling (EYS) (in years). MYS is the average
amount of years of education received by people ages 25 and older, reformed from
education attainment levels using official periods of each level. EYS is the number of
years a child of school entrance age can expect to spend in a given level of education.
A decent standard of living: GNI per capita - Gross national income (GNI) (PPP
US$) is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less
subsidies) not involved in the evaluation of output plus net receipts of primary income
(compensation of employees and property income) from abroad. The difference
between Gross Domestic Income (GDI) and GNI is the net factor income received
32
from abroad. In the globalized world, there are cases where GNI may be a better
indicator of country’s economic performance than GDP. Case of a nation such as
Ireland, for example, where large-scale repatriation of profits from foreign companies
located there far exceeds income flows from overseas. So much so that Ireland’s GNI
was 20% below its GDP in 2011, which means that although Ireland attracts
substantial foreign investment that contributes to its economic growth, a big chunk of
the profits arising from such foreign investment does not remain in the nation., Hence
GNI is a superior indicator of Ireland’s performance than GDI since the latter
overstates the strength of the Irish economy.
In the Human Development Report of 2010, the UNDP started using a new technique
of calculating the HDI. The following three indices are used:
LE−20
1. Life Expectancy Index (LEI) =
85−20
LEI is 1 when Life expectancy at birth is 85 and 0 when Life expectancy at birth is 20.
MYSI+EYSI
2. Education Index (EI) =
2
MYSI
Mean Years of Schooling Index (MYSI) =
15
EYS
Expected Years of Schooling Index (EYSI) =
18
In (𝐺𝑁𝐼𝑝𝑐)−In (100)
3. Income Index (II) =
In (75,000)−In (100)
II is 1 when GNI per capita is $75,000 and 0 when GNI per capita is $100.
Finally, the HDI is the geometric mean (GM) of the previous three normalized indices:
3
HDI = √LEI . EI . II
Geometric mean allows estimating the average growth rate for processes with variable
in time growth rate whereas Arithmetic mean characterizes the average value in data
set and is affected by extreme values. Hence for financial analysis, GM is a more
reliable measure of central tendency.
33
4.5 IMPORTANCE OF HDI
Economists like Adam Smith, J.S.Mill emphasized the idea that freedom to lead a
valuable life is intrinsically important to human beings and hence, the motivation of
development economics is seen as uncompromisingly on the growth of income. In
other words, the entitlements that a person possesses are tremendously important at
the first place. “Entitlements as defined by Amartya Sen are the commodity bundles
that a person can command in the society using the totality of rights and obligations
that he or she faces”. Rights represent the benefits that are derived out of the different
set of goods and obligation is a sort of cost i.e. in terms of the price tag attached to
these set of goods. Entitlements generate the capacity to do certain things. They lie at
the center of what we can do and what we can’t do. Therefore, in this context, the
Development Economics has shifted its focus to take a more inclusive view of
economic development, which emphasizes not only on material possessions but also
on the kind of use that one can make out of these entitlements. Hence we can say that
the growth of income is not an end in itself, real freedom depends on one’s capability
to make the most effective use of alternative combinations of entitlements. These
human capabilities are dependent on a number of factors other than income. Of these,
two most important factors affecting human capabilities are the education and health.
Good and proper education develops personality of the people, offers physical and
mental standard and transforms people’s living status. It endorses the feeling of
physical, mental and social well being by providing better life. It helps us to earn
recognition and respect in the family and society. It provides freedom from dogmatic
values and negative thoughts. It helps in developing additional skills that are required
in this ever-changing technological world. Likewise better health is vital to human
happiness and well-being. Health may be pronounced as a potentiality—the capability
of a person or a social group to adapt himself or itself repeatedly, in the face of
changing circumstances of life not only, in order to function good in the present but
also to prepare for the future. According to World Health Organization, health makes
a significant influence to economic improvement, as healthy populations live longer,
are more productive, and save more. Due to all these reasons, health care as a right of
every individual has been recognized in many countries. Thus both these factors are
regarded as a prerequisite for optimum socio-economic development of human beings.
Both these parameters are adequately signified in the HDI. Thus, HDI is a better
indicator to access the economic well being and quality of life for a community.
Physical Quality of Life Index (PQLI): Speedy economic growth raised average living
standards in numerous countries round the globe in the 1960s and the early 1970s, but
inequality also came out as a problem.
34
Prosperity evaded large sections of the population, especially in developing countries,
which stimulated a search for meaningful measure of development in terms of
fulfillment of basic human needs. As some researchers showed up progress in the
segments of the population that lacked essential human needs, such as clean water,
basic medical care, suitable housing, and adequate calories. This led to the formulation
of PQLI in the mid1970s by Morris D Morris. It is a composite index that attempts to
access the standard of living or the quality of life of the people in a country. It relies
on three correlated social indicators to access the well being or development of the
citizens of a country. The three indicators of PQLI are infant mortality rate (IMR)
(it is the number of deaths of infants under one year old per 1,000 live births), life
expectancy at the age of one it is number of years a one year old child is expected to
live) and basic literacy rate (the total percentage of the population of an area at a
particular time aged fifteen years or above who can read and write with
understanding).Morris found that most of the indicators were inputs to development
process rather than result of the development process. Each indicator is sensitive to
the distribution effect. And none of them depends on any particular level of
development.
In order to facilitate comparison between countries, Prof. Morris placed each of the
three cases on the scale of zero to 100 to represent the best and worst levels in
performance of each indicator. Basic literacy can have a natural zero for minimum and
100 for maximum. However, there exist no natural minimum or maximum values for
other indicators. Thus for life expectancy and infant mortality, actual minimum and
maximum are taken into calculation.
In the case of positive pointers of life expectancy and basic literacy, the best is shown
by the maximum and worst by the minimum. While in case of negative gauge of infant
mortality, the best is signified by the lowest and the poorest by the maximum.
For changing the actual levels of a positive variable into normalized indicators, first
the minimum values are subtracted from the actual values and then the gap is divided
by the range. For positive indicators, the formula is:
For negative indicator of infant mortality, actual value has to be subtracted from the
maximum value and the gap if any has to be dividing by the range. The formula is
35
Advantages of PQLI:
• The PQLI way is better because it does not have those errors, which exist, in
per capita GNP measure. The PQLI gauge retains in view the welfare
considerations, and it assigns the influence of economic growth with human
betterment.
• The PQLI can also be used like other indices to make comparisons between
countries.
• PQLI is useful in identifying the areas where social policy is lacking and hence
immediate action is required. So this index is particularly more useful for the
developing economies.
Disadvantages of PQLI:
• There is a high degree of negative correlation between the two indicators i.e.
infant mortality rate and life expectancy. The index is thus criticized on
theoretical grounds.
• The education index is inappropriate, as it does not take in account the changes
in human capital, which is an essential tool in measuring the overall
development of human beings.
4.7 SUMMARY
37