Week 3

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MA 3014 – S3 (’20 Batch) - 2022

Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval will give you a range of values for a given population parameter, within which the
parameter falls in 100(1-α)% of the time.

In general a Confidence Interval (CI) is

𝑺𝒕𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒄 ± 𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒈𝒊𝒏𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒆𝒓𝒓𝒐𝒓 𝒂𝒕 𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝟏 − 𝜶)% 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒇𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝒍𝒆𝒗𝒆𝒍

Confidence interval for mean and variance

The following table includes the standard errors of some statistics to help you in finding the confidence
intervals for the respective population parameters.

Statistic Standard Error (SE)

Sample mean, 𝑥 s/√n

Sample proportion, p √ [ p(1 - p) / n ]

Difference between means, 𝑥̅ − 𝑥̅ √ [ s21 / n1 + s22 / n2 ]

Difference between proportions, p1 - p2 √ [ p1(1-p1) / n1 + p2(1-p2) / n2 ]

𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝟏 − 𝜶)% confidence interval for population mean (µ)

𝒙 ± 𝒁𝜶 (𝑺𝑬)
𝟐

Margin of Error

𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝟏 − 𝜶)% confidence interval for population proportion of success (P)

𝒑 ± 𝒁𝜶 (𝑺𝑬)
𝟐
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MA 3014 – S3 (’20 Batch) - 2022


𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝟏 − 𝜶)% confidence interval for population variance(𝝈𝟐 )

You know that;

(𝑛 − 1)𝑠 (𝑛 − 1)𝑠
𝐶ℎ𝑖 − 𝑠𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐 = 𝑎𝑛𝑑 ~𝜒2( )
𝜎 𝜎

(𝑛 − 1)𝑠
Thus, 𝜒2 / ,( ) ≤ ≤ 𝜒2 / ,( )
𝜎

= 𝜒2 1
,( )/ (𝑛 − 1)𝑠 ≤
𝜎
≤ 𝜒2 ,( ) /(𝑛 − 1)𝑠

= (𝑛 − 1)𝑠 /𝜒2 ,( ) ≤ 𝜎 ≤ (𝑛 − 1)𝑠 /𝜒2 ,( )

Computational Exercise

Breakdown voltage is a characteristic of an insulator that defines the maximum voltage difference that
can be applied across the material before the insulator collapses and conducts. In solid insulating
materials, this usually creates a weakened path within the material by creating permanent molecular or
physical changes by the sudden current. Within rarefied gases found in certain types of lamps,
breakdown voltage is also sometimes called the "striking voltage". [Wikipedia]
The breakdown voltage of a material is observed on 17 experimental units as it is not a definite value
because it is a form of failure. Thus we have n = 17 and 𝑠 = 137324:3. Find the 95% confidence interval
for 𝜎 , to describe more about the population variance (variance of the breakdown voltage of the
material)?

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