Barrons - July 2023
Barrons - July 2023
Barrons - July 2023
Bargains
In Real
Estate
Commercial
properties are on
sale, from office
buildings to data
centers. Picking
the best REITs.
PAGES 18, 22
Server
equipment
inside an
Equinix
data center
>
63142
C O NT EN TS 07.03.23 VO L.CIII NO.27
COVER STORY P. 22 P. 27
P. 18
Economy: Deficits
Savvy Moves to Make Dislocation Spells Opportunity Do Indeed Matter
in Real Estate Q&A: Jeffrey Kolitch, manager of the Baron Real Estate fund, says reports of a looming Regulators need to re-evaluate
Commercial-property stocks are commercial real estate crisis are greatly exaggerated. By SHAINA MISHKIN their risk assumptions about
cheap after a slump. Our best government debt as the federal
bets among warehouses, data deficit continues to balloon.
centers, apartments, and more. By RANDALL W. FORSYTH
By BILL ALPERT and
NEAL TEMPLIN P. 28
Trader: A Midyear
P. 12 Outlook for Markets
After the market’s best first half
The 10 Best Ways to since 2019, albeit narrowly led,
Generate Income Now consider a more cautious stance.
Yield seekers have a host of solid One option: six-month T-bills.
choices, from dividend stocks and By NICHOLAS JASINSKI
oil pipelines to munis and REITs.
By ANDREW BARY P. 31
P. 15
International: Russian
Money to Aid Ukraine
Time to Take Profits There are problems with an EU
on Activision Stock plan to tap frozen Russian assets
Follow-Up: Microsoft could still for Ukraine’s benefit.
succeed in buying the videogame By CRAIG MELLOW
maker, but it won’t be simple.
By CONNOR SMITH P. 32
P. 16
Striking Price: A Simple
Strategy That Works
The Hottest Thing in A disciplined approach to using
TV Feels Old-School options can deliver solid long-term
Free, advertising-supported TV is returns through volatile markets.
quickly winning fans—and driving By STEVEN M. SEARS
big changes across the media
industry. A look at the key players.
By ERIC J. SAVITZ
Barron’s Roundtable
P. 24 10 BEST INCOME INVESTMENTS NOW • PAGE 12
P. 6 P. 25
on Fox Business
Rockwell Plugs Into VOL. CIII NO. 27 JULY 3, 2023 $5.00
Up & Down Wall Street: Tech Trader: Alphabet Watch our TV show each week:
an Automated Future Bargains
The Hype Over Gen-AI Wrestles With AI Fridays at 7:30 p.m. ET, and
In Real
transformation, could gain 30%. to the Nasdaq Composite this year. parent figures out its role in the see an interview with geopolitics
Server
equipment
inside an
Equinix
data center
By AL ROOT
Courtesy Equinix
So why does it feel like a fad? future of artificial intelligence. analyst Dmitri Alperovitch on the
By ALEX EULE By ERIC J. SAVITZ implications of the Wagner mutiny
P. 54 in Russia. Plus, examine stocks to
I N D EX
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S Shriram Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Siemens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
B Bandhan Bank . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Simon Property Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Bank of America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 SL Green Realty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,34
Blackstone . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Snowflake . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
D Delta Air Lines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 MANAGING EDITORS Kristen Bellstrom, Matt Bemer, Daren Fonda, Amey Stone, Joe Woelfel
DICE Therapeutics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 ASSISTANT MANAGING EDITORS Henry Cutter, Mel Gray, Anita Hamilton, Mary Romano,
Digital Realty Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 V Viking Therapeutics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Robert Sabat, Rupert Steiner (London bureau chief) Virgin Galactic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
ASSOCIATE EDITORS Andrew Bary, Randall W. Forsyth, Jack Hough, Reshma Kapadia, Eric J. Savitz Visa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
E Eagle Bulk Shipping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 SENIOR WRITERS Bill Alpert, Megan Cassella, Lauren Foster, Nicholas Jasinski, Tae Kim, Megan Leonhardt,
Eli Lilly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Joe Light, Elizabeth O’Brien, Al Root, Avi Salzman
Energy Transfer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 W Walgreens Boots Alliance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Equinix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 REPORTERSJacob Adelman, Janet H. Cho, Adam Clark, Emily Dattilo, Jack Denton, Catherine Dunn, Walker & Dunlop . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Equity Residential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Carleton English, Sabrina Escobar, Callum Keown, Evie Liu, Shaina Mishkin, Josh Nathan-Kazis, Walmart . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25,36
Extra Space Storage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Angela Palumbo, Teresa Rivas, Connor Smith, Jacob Sonenshine, Brian Swint, Karishma Vanjani, Andrew Welsch Warner Music Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Exxon Mobil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Wells Fargo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
STORY EDITORS Ed Lin, Erin McCarthy, Liz Moyer, Patrick O’Donnell, Stacy Ozol,
Ross Snel, Neal Templin, J.J. Thompson
COPY DESK Michael J. Burlingham, Robert Teitelman
F Ford Motor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,24 X XPeng . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Full Truck Alliance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 IDEAS EDITOR Matt Peterson Xponential Fitness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
DEPUTY DIGITAL MANAGING EDITOR Zoe Szathmary
SENIOR AUDIO MANAGER Mette Lützhøft DIGITAL PRODUCERS Robert Cushing, Nick Devor, Clare McKeen
G General Motors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Y YDUQS Particiapaceoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Goldman Sachs Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,33 Chelsea Schiff
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ART DIRECTORS Lynne Carty, Nick Hallam, Sue Ng
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6 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
Confessions of
promise disappeared or stalled. constant headlines, announcements,
I covered the meteoric rise of 3-D and massive stock market gains not-
printing stocks for Barron’s in 2014. withstanding.
There was a time when 3-D printers I’ve always been intrigued by our
An AI Skeptic
were on the cusp of replacing home tendency to overshoot on technology’s
builders or generating spare lightbulbs potential. Gartner, the consulting and
from our living rooms. research firm, has found a significant
In early 2014, market leader 3D business in advising companies on
Systems (DDD) announced a partner- the habit.
ship with Hershey (HSY) in which In 1995, Gartner analyst Jackie Fenn
T
3-D printers would revolutionize unveiled the Hype Cycle, a now-famous
he first time I used staring at a graphing calculator. candy: “Whether it’s creating a whole tool for tracking technology’s progress.
ChatGPT, I I’m not used to feeling left behind new form of candy or developing a new Fenn took a literary approach to coin-
thought I was when it comes to tech. I brought my way to produce it, we embrace new ing tech’s phases, which included the
pushing the artifi- high school newspaper onto the World technologies such as 3-D printing as a “Peak of Inflated Expectations,” the
cial-intelligence Wide Web when Mosaic was still the way to keep moving our timeless con- “Trough of Disillusionment,” the
chatbot to the dominant browser. I waited in long fectionery treats into the future.” “Slope of Enlightenment,” and the
brink. I made a lines for the first iPhones. People usu- There’s nothing wrong with 3-D “Plateau of Productivity.”
dumb request hoping to get a smart BY ALEX ally come to me for tech advice. printing or dreaming big. But nearly a Back then, wireless communications
response: Write me a poem about the EULE Maybe I’m just getting old. Or decade later, 3-D printing is mostly were still brand new, well below peak
Washington Capitals. maybe we’re in another hype cycle, known as aggregate manufacturing, expectations, and behind technologies
It turns out I wasn’t thinking big destined for disappointment, similar and it’s a niche industrial application. like “the Information Superhighway,”
enough. A few weeks after ChatGPT’s to the ones that have followed 3-D We’re similarly waiting for the societal virtual reality, and videoconferencing,
release in November, a friend texted printing, autonomous driving, the revolutions brought by self-driving, the which had all already peaked, accord-
me to say: “I’m completely ad- blockchain, and, most recently, the blockchain, and the metaverse. ing to Gartner.
dicted...just sent you an Oval Office metaverse. All of those sparked mini- So forgive me for being skeptical of “The majority of advanced technol-
address about the zombie apocalypse.” stock-market bubbles, before their AI’s own game-changing powers, ogies follow a predictable life cycle of
I offered a snarky response, but he
wasn’t deterred: “Think of something
random and tell it to write a screen-
play. I asked for a screenplay about
two monkeys writing a screenplay.”
Half a year later, we’ve gone way
beyond monkeys writing screenplays.
Generative AI has been discussed in
every corporate boardroom, been the
subject of long Congressional hear-
ings, and sparked labor unrest across
Hollywood.
The technology’s surprise emer-
gence has almost single-handedly
driven the Nasdaq Composite up 32%
in 2023, the tech-heavy index’s best
six-month start to a year since 1983.
That’s more than $5 trillion worth
of value creation. And yet, when it
comes to generative AI, I still feel
stuck in the novelty phase. The rest of
the world is supposedly using AI to
write essays, code software, and save
humanity, but personally I haven’t
found any productive uses for Chat-
GPT or its chat cousins—Bard from
Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL) and Bing
Dreamstime (2)
from Microsoft (MSFT).
I keep going back to the chatbots
hoping for inspiration to strike, but Game-changers that weren’t: Testing VR devices during the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona in 2019 (left), and a 3-D printed structure
instead I just feel like a six-year-old (right). Excitement around the metaverse and 3-D printing sparked mini-stock-market bubbles before their promise faded or stalled.
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 7
hype, disillusionment, realism and, even- home of the New York Mets, from You-
tually, productivity,” Fenn wrote in her Tube TV, which I’ve been using since cut-
1995 note. “By tracking a technology’s ting the cord on Verizon Fios during the Celebrating 10 Years of Shareholder Yield
1
progress along the hype cycle, organiza- pandemic.
tions can determine when the technology’s YouTube TV looks mostly like cable,
maturity reaches a point compatible with aside from the fact that it is delivered over
their own tolerance for risk.” the internet to any smartphone, laptop, or
#
There’s no doubt that companies, in- smart TV. It’s more convenient than cable
cluding my own, are currently having television and a good bit cheaper. At least
these very discussions about AI. The risk that was the original promise from
SYLD
of missing out is enormous, but there’s Google, Hulu, DirecTV, and other virtual
also considerable danger in moving too cable providers.
FOR
soon at the expense of present business. The services portrayed themselves as a
10
Consider Facebook, which bet the com- more evolved version of TV. There were
THE
pany on the metaverse, changing its name no contracts, undercutting the yearslong
to Meta Platforms (META) in 2021. commitments cable often required.
Founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg got But the economics have never worked. Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF
social networking right, but he has been TV content is expensive, particularly
too bullish on the near-term potential of sports. ESPN charges cable providers
virtual worlds. more than $10 per subscriber, according
Dividends + Buybacks
Meta’s stock tumbled 71% in the 12 to Bloomberg Intelligence. Either that gets
months after the name change. It has since passed on to consumers, or the provider
largely rebounded, with Zuckerberg more eats the cost.
focused on cost cutting than on the meta- Sure enough, as Google and other tech cambriafunds.com
verse. companies emphasize profits, virtual cable
This past week, I asked Mark Raskino, a packages have gotten more expensive—and
Gartner analyst and author of the book less convenient. I now pay $73 a month for
Mastering the Hype Cycle, to offer some his-
torical perspective on AI’s surge.
“As humans, we’re attracted to novelty,”
YouTube TV, up from $50 in 2020. Along
the way, I’ve gotten fewer channels.
With SNY on the way out, I’ll miss most
YEAR PERIOD
Raskino says. “And we tell our friends, so Mets games. YES, the Yankees cable net-
there’s this kind of social contagion factor in work, was pulled from YouTube TV in The Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF ranked #1 out of 267 funds in the Morningstar Mid-Cap Value Category on
the early stages...you get a sharp rise of ex- 2020. As of July, on most nights its New an absolute, total return basis over the 10-year period as of 5/31/2023.
citement. But what’s actually happening is York subscribers won’t be able to watch
the number of people applying or using the either of their Major League Baseball SYLD received a 5-star Overall Morningstar rating as of 5/31/23 out of 381 funds in the Mid-Cap Value Category based on risk-adjusted returns. For the
thing is much slower.” teams. 3-year period, SYLD received a 5-star rating out of 381 funds. For the 5-year period, SYLD received a 4-star rating out of 361 funds, and for the 10 year period,
SYLD received a 5-star rating out of 267 funds, as of 5/31/23.
That disconnect drives the never-ending In its email update, Google said that
hype cycle. “There was social. Then there Mets fans could “continue watching select
was mobile and there was the cloud and national Mets games on FOX, ESPN, and ©2023 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its
there was the blockchain. Now there’s AI. TBS, all available through our Base Plan.” content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete, or timely. Neither
Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
And it’s like waves coming at you on a That’s a long way from YouTube TV’s Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
beach. It feels repetitious.” message at launch. “While what we watch
After talking to Raskino, I felt a bit more on TV seems to get better every year, the
The Morningstar Rating™ for funds, or “star rating”, is calculated for managed products (including mutual funds, variable annuity
and variable life subaccounts, exchange-traded funds, closed-end funds, and separate accounts) with at least a three-year history.
justified about my current hype fatigue. way we watch TV never seems to Exchange-traded funds and open-ended mutual funds are considered a single population for comparative purposes. It is calculated
“We just have an unusual juxtaposition,” change,” Google said in 2017. “When will basedonaMorningstarRisk-AdjustedReturnmeasurethataccountsforvariationinamanagedproduct’s monthlyexcessperformance,
he says. “We’ve had the generative-AI hype we be able to get the channels we care placing more emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance. The Morningstar Rating does not include any
this year, hot on the heels of the metaverse about, at a price we can afford, without all adjustment for sales loads. The top 10% of products in each product category receive 5 stars, the next 22.5% receive 4 stars, the next
35% receive 3 stars, the next 22.5% receive 2 stars, and the bottom 10% receive 1 star. The Overall Morningstar Rating for a managed
last year.” the commitments, equipment fees, and product is derived from a weighted average of the performance figures associated with its three-, five-, and 10-year (if applicable)
Raskino emphasized that the hype cycle hassle? The answer? Today.” Morningstar Rating metrics. The weights are: 100% three-year rating for 36-59 months of total returns, 60% five-year rating/40% three
isn’t a stock-picking tool, but I’d argue the But, apparently, not tomorrow. year rating for 60-119 months of total returns, and 50% 10-year rating/30% five-year rating/20% three-year rating for 120 or more
history is informative for investors. “Most Technology, and the emergence of months of total returns. While the 10-year overall star rating formula seems to give the most weight to the 10-year period, the most
often, but not always, the plateau of pro- streaming, has ultimately made TV far
recent three-year period actually has the greatest impact because it is included in all three rating periods.
ductivity or profitability is not as high as more of a hassle. One of my colleagues Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
the original peak of excitement,” he says. notes a recent five-day stretch in which Dividends are not guaranteed. Companies currently paying dividends can stop paying dividends without notice. A buyback is when a
As for the exceptions? He pointed to Yankees fans, himself included, needed company buys its own outstanding shares to reduce the number of shares available on the open market.
web search and software as a service, or four different subscriptions to watch To determine if this Fund is an appropriate investment for you, carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risk
cloud-based applications. games: cable TV (via YES), Apple TV+, factors, charges and expense before investing. This and other information can be found in the Fund’s full or summary
Where will ChatGPT land? Check back NBC’s Peacock, and Amazon Prime Video. prospectus which may be obtained by calling 855-383-4636 (ETF INFO) or visiting our website at www.cambriafunds.com.
with me in 10 years. Hopefully, it won’t be TV’s latest mess is a reminder to inves- Read the prospectus carefully before investing or sending money. For fund performance as of the most recent month-end
please visit www.cambriafunds.com. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does
writing this column. tors, consumers, and media executives: not guarantee future results.
Technology has brought huge improve-
S
ments to our lives, but progress isn’t inev-
The Cambria ETFs are distributed by ALPS Distributors Inc., 1290 Broadway, Suite 1000, Denver, CO 80203, which is not affiliated with
peaking of dashed tech dreams, Cambria Investment Management, LP, the Investment Adviser for the Fund.
earlier this month I received an itable. B
email from Google telling me that
it was pulling the SNY channel, email: [email protected]
8 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
P E N TA X I N DAGA R E
B O LO G N A , PA R M A , M O D E N A
OCTOBER 24 – 28, 2023
L E A R N M O R E : 6 4 6 .7 8 0. 8 3 8 3
I N D A G A R E .C O M / M O D E N A P E N TA
ST R E E T W I S E
Eli Lilly raised the bar on obesity drugs in a recent
Phase 2 study that saw its new drug slim patients
down by an average of 58 pounds.
Weight-Loss Wave. It
through this decade. “That would lost five pounds over 72 weeks, versus
equate to just absolutely huge peak 52 pounds for patients on an obesity
sales numbers,” he says. He calls Lilly drug. “That’s the difference of the
his top pick among large-cap bio- drug,” says Ricks. “This isn’t in their
F
in this space a year ago about the com- or now, obesity drugs cost
pany’s looming obesity lead. (See $1,000 to $1,500 a month, and
“There’s No Miracle Cure for Obesity— insurance is tough to come by.
M
or Is There?”) It trades at more than Enter med spas and com-
y summer expected to win approval for obesity 50 times this year’s projected earnings, pounding pharmacies. Anne Marie
slimdown isn’t later this year. It was shown to reduce which seems expensive, but then Fombu runs AnneMarie Aesthetics in
going accord- weight by some 22%, on average. again, earnings per share are expected Bellevue, Wash., and goes by Dr. Fo-
ing to plan. The newest drug showed 24% to double in two to three years. mbu on her website and Tik Tok, al-
Much of my weight loss, which might understate its Job one for Lilly CEO Dave Ricks is though she tells me that she’s not a
free time is effectiveness. The trial was a relatively to ramp up production ahead of a medical doctor, but rather a nurse
spent traveling short 48 weeks, and patient weights tirzepatide obesity launch expected practitioner with a doctorate in nurs-
with my kids for sports, so I’m ex- hadn’t plateaued. So, a longer Phase 3 later this year. Lilly is building its larg- ing. Before the pandemic, 90% of her
tremely fitness-adjacent, but that’s not BY JACK trial might show more weight loss. est factory yet. Job two is to expand the patients wanted Botox and similar face
the same as exercising, it turns out. HOUGH Also, women lost more than men—29% potential patient population for obesity treatments. Now it’s 90% obesity.
I’ve also been binge-watching past versus 22%—which was expected. But drugs, and the insurance coverage. Leads and inquiries are up 700% over
seasons of Wicked Tuna, in which salty the trial had a lower mix of women Those two are related if Lilly can show a year and a half. “We’ve had to get a
New England fishermen dangle lit than one for the earlier drug, so an that obesity care can help control costs few nurses to help out,” she says.
cigarettes from their mouths while apples-to-apples comparison would of related conditions. For example, the Treatment runs some $850 a month,
reeling in 8-foot “butterballs,” and push average results higher. obese are likelier to suffer from sleep including support and advice—“a lot of
then dockside buyers examine tail These are early results. Lilly still apnea, which can lead to heart damage hands-on,” she says. It also includes the
cuts for color and fattiness to deter- has to optimize the dosage to manage and the use of pricey, cumbersome medicine, which Fombu gets from a
mine pricing. That part gets me think- side effects. Approval isn’t assured. masks and machines while sleeping. compounding pharmacy. Those are
ing about my own marbling. But these drugs aren’t total departures They’re also likelier to need knee re- pharmacies that combine, mix, or alter
Meanwhile, here comes Eli Lilly from each other. They all use receptor placements. Lilly is testing its drugs for ingredients to create tailored medicines,
(ticker: LLY) raising the bar on obesity agonists, which aren’t evil robots that apnea and knee osteoarthritis. the FDA explains, and the results don’t
drugs—again. In Phase 2 results re- turn into vehicles—you’re thinking of Pills will eventually replace injec- carry its approval. There are reports of
leased this past week, its experimental the Decepticon antagonists from old tions for obesity meds. Within a de- compounded obesity treatments selling
drug retatrutide slimmed patients Transformers cartoons. Receptor ago- cade, Ricks says, care will be as routine for $300 a month. Novo Nordisk re-
down by an average of 58 pounds. nists can target hormones, and in this as getting pills for high blood pressure. cently announced it is “initiating legal
That’s four bowling balls. It’s a case, help control appetite and food He takes issue with people, including proceedings against medical spas,
healthy second-grader. On American intake. Semaglutide uses one of them, half of doctors the company interviews, weight loss or wellness clinics, and
Airlines, it’s a checked bag that gets and tirzepatide, a combination of two. who he says view obesity as a personal compounding pharmacies to cease and
hit with a $100 surcharge at the scale. The new experimental drug has three. failure, rather than a health condition desist from false advertising, trademark
Perhaps a market comparison infringement, and unlawful sales.”
would be more helpful. The best- I asked Fombu about that. In an
known injectable obesity drug, Ozem- email, she said it relates to “med spas
pic, isn’t actually for obesity; it’s techni- BARRONS.COM/PODCASTS advertising that they are doing Ozem-
cally for diabetes. But the company pic but they aren’t,” and that she’s
behind it, Novo Nordisk (NVO), has
an obesity drug called Wegovy that
uses the same active ingredient, sema-
Barron’s Streetwise using a “compounded medication that
has the same active” and is “proprie-
tary to the pharmacy making it.”
glutide. In one key study, patients lost In a weekly podcast by Barron’s, columnist Jack Hough looks I’ll stick with medical doctors and
an average of 17% of their body weight. at the companies, people, and trends you should be watching. FDA-approved drugs. But first, let me
Eli Lilly has a more effective drug, This is Wall Street like you’ve never heard before. Subscribe take a break from Wicked Tuna and give
sort of. Mounjaro is approved for diabe- to Barron’s Streetwise on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, the treadmill another shot. B
tes, and there’s a version with the same or your favorite listening app.
active ingredient, tirzepatide, that’s email: [email protected]
10 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
R E VIEW 34,407.60
Dow Industrials: + 680.17
517.06
Dow Global Index: + 10.08
3.82%
10-Year Treasury Note: + 0.08
$66 M
cording to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In its Ameri- internet to all Americans—part of a
can Time Use Survey, released this past week, the BLS larger effort to sell President Biden’s
found that Americans working full time from economic agenda. Meanwhile, the big banks passed Federal Reserve stress
home—33% in 2022, up from 25% in 2019—put in 2.5 Supreme Court overturned affirmative tests, allowing them to increase buybacks
hours fewer a day than their colleagues at the office. “It’s Average value for a private-eq- action in higher education and tossed and dividends…Micron Technology
no wonder labor force productivity has been negative for uity deal this year, the smallest out Biden’s student-loan relief plan. unexpectedly beat on earnings...On Fri-
the past five straight quarters amid office occupancy since the financial crisis. day, Apple hit $3 trillion in market cap.
Mutiny and Fallout
$3.6 B
that remains at sub-50% in the largest U.S. cities,”
writes DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas. After sending his Wagner Group forces Annals of Deal Making
Overall, the U.S. civilian population worked an aver- north toward Moscow, Yevgeny Prigo- IBM announced it was buying software
age of 3.23 hours a day in 2022, down from 3.26 hours a zhin agreed to a deal with Russian company Apptio from Vista Equity Part-
day in 2019. (That seemingly low number is for the total The U.S. box-office haul for President Putin brokered by Belarus ners for $4.6 billon in cash. Vista took
population, including nonworkers like babies.) Labor movies released so far this President Alexander Lukashenko: Go Apptio private in 2018 for $1.9 billion…Lo-
productivity is the engine for gains in economic output. year, 31% below the compara- into exile in Belarus, disband Wagner, gistics real estate giant Prologis bought a
Living standards are driven by more output per worker. ble period in 2019. and be cleared of treason charges. The portfolio of industrial assets from Black-
P R EV IEW Thursday ADP releases its National Employment Report for Sign up for the Review &
June. Economists see a gain of 250,000 private-sec- Preview daily newsletter at
tor jobs, following a 278,000 increase in May. The leisure and hospitality sector Barrons.com/reviewpreview
continues to lead gains while manufacturing and finance shed workers in May.
Living With an
Reading the Curve ued strength in the services sector has
An inverted yield curve has preceded lifted the overall economy up. Friday 7/7
most recessions since the 1950s. But
not all inverted yield curves lead to The BLS releases the jobs report for
gap since Silicon Valley Bank failed in March. An inversion The past three years have shown dodging its second recession since
TH
Levi Strauss & Co. (Q2) $0.03 $0.29
this big hasn’t happened since the high inflation, rising rates, just how hard it is to predict, or even 1991 are 50/50, according to Common-
and recessions of the 1970s and ’80s. Dow Jones Market Data define, recessions. wealth Bank of Australia, the nation’s
F
AZZ (Q1) 1.16 1.40
says inversions of two-year and 10-year yields have preceded Annualized GDP Growth largest lender.
recessions by as little as seven months or as much as two Consensus Estimate
years, so a slump could be coming soon. A New York Fed
recession model, using the three-month/10-year spread, spits
1Q 2020
2Q 2020
3Q 2020
Wednesday 7/5 Day
M May Construction Spending
Consensus Est
0.40%
Last Period
1.2%
out a 71% likelihood of a recession in the next 12 months. W May Factory Orders -0.50% 0.40%
4Q 2020
But an inverted yield curve doesn’t say anything about 1Q 2021 The Federal Open Market Commit- TH May Trade Balance -$69.5 bil -$74.6 bil
May JOLTS Job Openings 9,900,000 10,103,000
the severity of a coming recession. The stock market’s resil- 2Q 2021 tee releases the minutes of its mid- F June Nonfarm Payrolls 212,500 339,000
ience could be due to expectations of a shallow recession. 3Q 2021 June monetary-policy meeting. June Unemployment Rate 3.7% 3.7%
4Q 2021
The worst of the banking mini-crisis appears past, and there 1Q 2022 Unless otherwise indicated, times are Eastern. a-Advanced;
aren’t signs of an asset bubble or a credit crunch. Investors
seem to believe inflation will continue to fall and labor mar-
2Q 2022
3Q 2022
4Q 2022
Thursday 7/6 f-Final; p-Preliminary; r-Revised Source: FactSet
For more information about coming economic reports
kets will be resilient. “In our view, equity market investors - and what they mean - go to Barron’s free Economic
1Q 2023 Calendar at www.barrons.com
are largely ‘looking through’ this classic recession signal,” -50% 0 50 The Bureau of Labor Statistics re-
writes Wolfe Research’s Chris Senyek. — Nicholas Jasinski Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis leases the Job Openings and Labor
12 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
Energy Pipelines
10 Income Plays for
But as attractive as cash remains, the
odds are that a year from now, T-bill
Alerian MLP / AMLP
rates could be closer to 4%. This ar-
gues for some, but not total, exposure
to cash.
8.0% 6.3%
2023’s Second Half All this suggests that investors
shouldn’t give up on a traditional
60/40 mix of stocks and bonds. The
poor 2022 returns for such an alloca-
tion don’t mean a lot now. It’s future
Yield YTD Return
Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
3.4% -2.0%
Yield YTD Return Utilities
Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
Utilties Select Sector SPDR / XLU
A simple strategy of owning high-divi-
dend stocks has paid off over time, and
it looks like a winning move now be-
cause it gives investors exposure to so
many attractive out-of-favor sectors.
3.3% -6.8%
Yield YTD Return
BY ANDREW BARY risk stocks like AT&T (T), Verizon The Vanguard High Dividend Yield Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
I
Communications (VZ), and Altria exchange-traded fund (VYM), yielding This historically rate-sensitive sector
f you think you missed the Group (MO), the maker of Marlboro 3.4%, and the Schwab U.S. Dividend has lagged this year despite strength
stock market rally this year, cigarettes. The rest of this year could Equity ETF (SCHD), at 3.7%, are two in the bond market as investors shun
think again. If income is your belong to these sectors and stocks. of the largest, with Exxon and John- traditionally defensive stocks. The
thing, the run may only be get- Dividend-paying stocks aren’t the son & Johnson (JNJ) the top two hold- Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
ting started. only place to find income. Junk bonds ings for the Vanguard fund, and (XLU) is down about 6% this year,
Though the S&P 500 index yield 8%; preferred stocks, 6%; mort- Broadcom (AVGO) and PepsiCo while big utilities like Duke Energy
has gained 15% this year, the gage securities, 5%; and municipal (PEP) leading the Schwab fund. (DUK) and NextEra Energy (NEE)
rise has been driven higher by a nar- bonds, 2% to 4%. Most sectors of the Investors can find even higher yields have dropped 10% or more.
row group of megacap tech stocks bond market have returned 3% to 4% overseas, where the average dividend Investors should take advantage of
like Apple (ticker: AAPL), Micro- this year—a respectable bounceback yield is 2.6%, a percentage point higher the selloff. The outlook for utility
soft (MSFT), and Nvidia (NVDA). after a tough 2022, when there were than the S&P 500’s payout. The earnings is probably the best it’s been
Many industry groups that pay nice double-digit losses. Schwab International Dividend Eq- in decades as the build-out of wind
dividends are in the red, healthcare, Cash is also tempting, with risk- uity ETF (SCHY) yields 3.7%, with top and solar power combined with the
electric utilities, banks, and con- free U.S. Treasury bills yielding over holdings Italian utility Enel (ENLAY) construction of new transmission
Today’s
uncertainty
demands an
income expert.
As a global leader in active fixed income,
PIMCO builds strategies designed to
help maximize your income in changing
market environments.
pimco.com/outcomes
end fund (UTG). Bartlett favors Michi- S&P 500. They look particularly good
gan utilities CMS Energy (CMS) and relative to private real estate funds,
DTE Energy (DTE), which both yield which haven’t adjusted nearly as much
about 3.5%, because of the utility- as public markets. “Investors don’t
friendly regulation of the state. have to worry about lower private-mar-
IBKR pays up to USD 4.58% ket values because it’s already priced
into public markets,” he says.
Mortgage-Backed Securities Lachance is partial to mall-industry
on instantly available cash in DoubleLine Total Return Bond / DLTNX
leader Simon Property Group (SPG),
which yields nearly 7%, due to its
5.1% 2.9%
savvy management team. He also likes
your brokerage account Invitation Homes (INVH) and AMH
(AMH), which trade at a 15% discount
Yield YTD Return to what he views as the value of their
Sources: Bloomberg; company reports portfolios of single-family homes.
This $8 trillion sector deserves more
attention from investors because of its
combination of historically attractive Junk Bonds
yields and high credit quality.
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond / HYG
Yields are now in the 4.5% to 5.5%
8.0% 4.3%
range, with benchmark mortgage is-
Broker Interest Rate sues from Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac offering a yield that is 1.75 per-
centage points above the 10-year Trea- Yield YTD Return
E-Trade 0.01% sury note—about double the average Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
spread over the past 20 years. The With recession concerns fading, junk
U.S. government controls Fannie and bonds have generated decent returns
Freddie and likely will stand behind this year with the iShares iBoxx $
Interactive Brokers 4.58% 1
the companies in the unlikely event of High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
a housing collapse. (HYG) returning more than 4%. The
“Mortgages are the cheapest part of second half looks just as promising.
Schwab 0.45% the fixed-income market on a risk-ad-
justed basis,” DoubleLine Capital CEO
The yield on the key BofA index is an
ample 8.75%, while the yield premium
Jeffrey Gundlach said on a recent in- to U.S. Treasuries stands at 4.6 per-
vestor call. His DoubleLine Total centage points, in line with the his-
TD Ameritrade 0.35% Return fund (DLTNX) is broadly fo- toric average. Junk bonds are also
cused on the mortgage sector. Also safer than they have been historically:
worth a look: the actively managed More than half the market is rated
Janus Henderson Mortgage-Backed double-B, the highest junk rating cate-
Securities ETF (JMBS), which has gory, and just 10% is in speculative
outpaced the passive iShares MBS CCC bonds.
(MBB) by about one percentage point a “You’ve got a good shot at both
Move your account to IBKR now! year in the past three years. price appreciation and income,” says
Kevin Loome, manager of the T. Rowe
Price U.S. High Yield fund
Real Estate Investment Trusts (TUHYX), of the second half.
Loome likes the bonds of Carnival
Vanguard Real Estate / VNQ
(CCL), the heavily indebted cruise-line
4.5% 1.7%
leader that is seeing a surge in cus-
tomers. Carnival’s six-year debt yields
about 9% and offers a lower-risk al-
Yield YTD Return ternative to the common stock.
Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
6.5% 3.4%
tate ETF (VNQ) was down 26%. Out-
side of offices, most sectors, including
apartments, warehouses, and data
Member NYSE, FINRA, SIPC. Supporting documentation for any claims and statistical information will be provided upon request. centers, are in good shape. Yield YTD Return
Competitor rates and offers subject to change without notice. Services vary by firm. [1] Rate shown applies to IBKR Pro clients only. As Barron’s cover story argues, there Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
Positive settled cash balances held in the securities segment of accounts with NAV>100k earn the stated interest rate 5/5/2023 and
those with NAV<100k earn a proportional rate. Cash held in the commodities segment of an account does not earn interest. For is value in REITs, with Green Street The failures of Silicon Valley Bank
more information, see ibkr.com/interestpaid
05-IB23-1623-HP
Advisors analyst Cedrik Lachance say- and First Republic Bank this year
ing they are “a little cheap” versus the highlighted the risk in the bank-domi-
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 15
FOLLOW-UP
nated preferred market. Both banks Convertibles Although Activision stock has rallied in recent
were preferred issuers and holders weeks, there is clearly a concern that the
SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities / CWB
face a near-total loss on their invest- Microsoft takeover deal won’t go through.
2.4% 8.8%
ments. That’s the downside of pre-
ferreds, a senior form of equity, but
equity nonetheless. When a bank
fails, preferred holders generally fare Yield YTD Return
Game Over
no better than common shareholders. Sources: Bloomberg; company reports We reupped our pick in November, after
Still, they have a lot to offer, partic- The hybrid securities have had a good shares fell to $74.10, on the assumption that
ularly the preferred from big banks, 2023, with the SPDR Bloomberg Activision’s business selling videogames
For Activision?
with their financial strength and regu- Convertible Securities ETF (CWB) was worth at least that much. Shares are up
latory support. JPMorgan Chase up over 8%. Converts usually carry low 8.3% from the July pick and 13.8% from the
(JPM) preferreds yield 5.5%; Bank of yields—the Bloomberg fund yields just November follow-up.
America’s (BAC) yield close to 6%; 2.5%—but offer an equity kicker be- It might be time to sell. We still believe
and Wells Fargo’s (WFC) yield cause they can be swapped for com- the deal could clear the remaining hurdles,
6.25%. These payouts are about two mon shares if the stocks appreciate. but it won’t be simple. Regulatory scrutiny
percentage points more than the rate This year’s appreciation in the $235 Activision’s Microsoft saga is almost has been elevated, with FTC Chair Lina
on the 30-year Treasury. billion market reflects a high weighting over. It may be time to sell the stock. Khan and regulators in the United King-
Preferreds aren’t just for banks. in tech stocks as well as a rally in such dom setting their sights on big mergers. A
More speculative preferreds from New sectors as cruise lines, with Carnival positive ruling in the U.S. is no guarantee,
York office REITs Vornado Realty and Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) BY CONNOR SMITH and the U.K.’s Competition and Markets
Trust (VNO) and SL Green Realty sizable issuers. Michael Youngworth, a Authority’s decision to block the deal, cur-
(SLG), both yield about 9%. The $13 convertibles analyst at BofA Securities, rently being appealed, further complicates
T
billion iShares Preferred & Income sees a more muted second half due to he fate of Microsoft’s $69 billion things. The deal would need to be renegoti-
Securities (PFF) now yields 6.5%. elevated tech valuations. Issuance has purchase of Activision Blizzard ated or extended by the July 18 deadline.
picked up to $26 billion so far this year, will finally be known in the coming Yes, a stand-alone Activision Blizzard
three times the 2022 pace, he says. weeks—and investors may want to would be worth owning over the long term.
Municipals Looking for higher yields? Riskier consider taking profits on the videogame The stock was recently trading at 19.5
“busted” convertibles from the likes of maker’s stock before then. times next year’s estimated earnings, com-
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt / VWITX
Coinbase Global (COIN) and Mi- On Thursday, lawyers for the U.S. Fed- pared with a five-year average of 20.7
3.3% 2.4%
croStrategy (MSTR) act like regular eral Trade Commission and Microsoft times, according to FactSet. That’s based
bonds and yield over 10%. (ticker: MSFT) wrapped up their argu- on analyst estimates that would improve if
ments in a case that will likely determine Activision continues to string together
Yield YTD Return whether the software giant can pull off strong releases, following the success of
Sources: Bloomberg; company reports Treasuries history’s largest tech deal and add games Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II and Diablo
The combination of tax-free income like Call of Duty to its silo. It’s now up to IV. And a $3 billion breakup fee from Mi-
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond / TLT
and relative safety has made munis U.S. District Judge Jacqueline Scott Corley crosoft would provide some dry powder to
3.8% 5.4%
the most popular bond investment to weigh in on the commission’s request to drive more upside.
for retail buyers. Yet the sector looks block Microsoft from acquiring Activision But if the deal falls apart, Activision
less appealing than it did a year ago. (ATVI) before an FTC administrative law shares would likely tumble, as funds bet-
AAA-rated 10-year munis, for Yield YTD Return judge holds hearings in August. ting specifically on the merger opt to dump
instance, yield 2.5%, or two-thirds of Sources: Bloomberg; company reports If Corley rules in favor of Microsoft, it the stock. If you’re pessimistic about the
the equivalent Treasury yield, down Treasuries have a lot to offer, whether would effectively clear the path for the merger, there will likely be a better oppor-
from 100% a year ago. That’s low by investors want to stay short or go long. deal to close in the U.S. The FTC would tunity to buy shares in the weeks and
historical standards, and offers little While short-term T-bills offer yields likely withdraw its antitrust complaint, as months ahead. B
benefit to muni holders after adjust- of 5%, they’re unlikely to drop below it did when a judge declined to grant the
ing for taxes. 3%, and returns could exceed the infla- regulator an injunction blocking Meta
Long-term munis look better. tion rate. The 10-year note locks the Platforms’ (META) acquisition of vir- Activision Blizzard
Their yields roughly equal equivalent rate in but loses value if yields rise. tual-reality firm Within Unlimited. If the (ATVI / Nasdaq)
Treasuries, meaning a big after-tax ETFs offer a good alternative be- injunction is granted, Microsoft and Ac-
yield advantage. Los Angeles airport cause they offer easy liquidity and can tivision will likely walk away from the $90.0
bonds with double-A ratings yield be bought and sold like stocks. SPDR deal when it expires on July 18. 87.5
about 4%, as do other high-quality Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill (BIL) Activision stock recently closed at
long-term munis from essential-ser- yields about 5%, while iShares 1-3 $84.30, which represents a $10.70 dis- 85.0
vice entities. Year Treasury Bond (SHY) yields count to the $95-a-share cash takeout 82.5
The largest municipal-bond fund, more than 4.5%. The longer-term price. Though the stock has rallied in re-
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax- iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond cent weeks as investors re-evaluate the 80.0
Exempt (VWITX), yields 3.3%, with a (TLT) yields about 4%. risks and rewards of owning it ahead of a 77.5
portfolio weighted to AA-rated bonds. Treasury inflation-protected securi- major regulatory decision, there is clearly
Closed-end muni funds have been ties, or TIPS, offer inflation-adjusted concern that the deal won’t go through. 75.0
forced to cut their dividends due to yields in the range of 1.5% to 2%, high Barron’s first recommended Activision 72.5
higher rates, but trade at a large dis- relative to the 15-year average. The stock a year ago, when it was trading at
count to net asset value. The largest, iShares TIPS Bond (TIP) ETF and $77.86. At the time, we argued that con- 70.0
Nuveen AMT-Free Quality Munici- the shorter-maturity iShares 0-5 Year cerns about competition were overblown July 2022 '23
pal Income (NEA), yields 4%. TIPS Bond (STIP) are solid choices. B and that the merger would likely close. Source: FactSet
16 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
A New Way to
Watch TV Is
Shaking Up
The Industry
“FAST” channels are catching on
among viewers looking for an old-
school TV-viewing experience.
Media executives are taking note.
BY ERIC J. SAVITZ
F
orget about Succession’s Lo-
gan Roy. The new power-
house in the TV business is
Bob Ross.
Yes, Bob Ross, the host of
The Joy of Painting, which
ran for more than 400
calming, low-budget episodes on PBS
before finishing its run in 1994. All of cracking down on password sharing. A New TV naturally, Bob Ross en Espanol. You Succession aired. (Fox shares common
the shows are comfortingly familiar. Through it all, customers continue to Dictionary may not be watching FAST channels ownership with Barron’s parent News
There’s Ross, with his trademark cut the cord on their cable and satel- Not every streaming just yet, but plenty of your neighbors Corp.)
perm, in a crisp white shirt, standing lite subscriptions. This year, the pro- service is the same. are. The Roku Channel, launched by
by an easel, holding a palette. And portion of U.S. households with tradi- While the prospect of navigating Roku (ROKU) in 2017, had 1.1% of all
he’s talking right at the camera in tional pay TV will drop below 50%. AVOD thousands of channels across dozens viewing hours for in May, about even
soothing tones, while painting land- As carriage fees drop for broadcast Advertising-supported of platforms sounds nightmarish, with Comcast’s Peacock streaming
scapes dotted with “happy little and cable channels, pay-TV providers video on demand. Macien Jenckes, who runs Comcast’s service.
trees.” It’s Zen TV. are scrambling for ways to salvage Think streaming (CMCSA) FAST business, known as Pluto TV, acquired for $340 mil-
service with ads.
Ross died in 1995, but the magic of their businesses. Xumo, isn’t worried. “Good, old-fash- lion in 2019 by Paramount Global
a growing streaming TV phenomena Enter FAST, short for “free adver- FAST
ioned channel surfing is remarkably (PARA), then called Viacom, had
called FAST channels has brought tising-supported television.” These Free, ad-supported
powerful,” he says. User interfaces 0.9% of all viewing hours in May,
Ross back to TV at no cost—24 hours are linear channels, like broadcast television. Linear chan- “without a grid guide don’t work. aided by its access to the company’s
a day, seven days a week. There are 23 TV. FAST viewers surf through cable- nels, like old-school People like to see what’s available. It’s library of Paramount, Showtime, and
streaming services that offer versions style electronic programming guides. TV, but far greater the power of linear viewership. We CBS content. Combined, the big three
number. And no sub-
of the Bob Ross channel via smart- There were 3,720 FAST channels as scription required.
once thought everything would be FAST services had 3.3% of all U.S.
phones, TVs, or laptops, together gen- of October 2022, according to Vari- viewed on demand. But we found that viewing hours in May, ahead of every
erating 15 million viewers a month, ety’s research arm, up by almost SVOD sometimes people just want to lean subscription service other than You-
according to American Public Televi- 1,000 channels from a year earlier. Subscription video on back and be captured by something.” Tube, Netflix, and Hulu.
sion, which handles syndication of the They’re now collectively raking in demand; i.e., Netflix, Nearly every major media com- Pluto co-founder Tom Ryan, now
show. That’s more than quadruple the billions of dollars a year. Apple TV+, and Max. pany is investing in FAST, and while heading all of Paramount’s streaming
audience for the finale of Succession, You can watch single-title shows it isn’t yet moving the needle for their businesses, says that when Pluto
TVOD
the most-watched episode in the se- like The Love Boat or I Love Lucy, or Transactional video on
stocks, the segment is quickly becom- launched in on April Fools’ Day in
Illustration by Anthony Gerace
ries about a struggling media empire. personality-driven channels, with demand; i.e., pay per ing material. 2014, almost no one thought they’d
That’s a massive audience, espe- Ross and Julia Child. There are view. FAST leader Tubi, which was ac- make it.
cially amid a reeling business for TV. themed channels focused on West- quired by Fox (FOXA) for $440 mil- “People thought we were going
Writers are currently on strike. The erns, mysteries, and romance. There vMVPD lion in 2020, represented 1.3% of against the conventional wisdom with
market for subscription streaming are live news channels, sports chan- Virtual Multichannel overall U.S. TV viewing hours in May, linear, ad-supported TV,” he says.
Video Programming
services is saturated, forcing Netflix nels (think chess, bass fishing, pickle- Distributor. Cable
according to Nielsen. That’s bigger “Everyone thought advertising was
(ticker: NFLX) to offer an advertising- ball, and cornhole), kids channels, replacements like than the 1.2% share for Max, the new doomed in the streaming world. It
supported subscription tier while and Spanish channels, including, YouTube TV and Sling. name for the old HBO Max, where was hard to raise money, or to get
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 17
partners, or to convince people of our TV in the Fast Lane and 2025,” TVRev said in a recent
vision.” He says the company raised Free ad-supported TV, or FAST, is like old-school television for the 21st century. Think broadcast report. “That’s when streaming view-
an initial round of funding in 2014, channels delivered via the internet. ership will start to surpass combined
started to get traction in 2016, then broadcast and cable viewership and
sold to Viacom in 2019. Company Ownership Comment the shift will start to seem inevita-
“A flywheel emerged,” Ryan says. Pluto TV Paramount Global (PARA). 2021 revenue was over $1B, but company no longer breaks out ble.”
“Get better content, with well-curated Acquired for $340 million in 2019. the totals. Says 30%-40% of content Paramount-owned. So far, about 80% of FAST view-
channels, attract advertising dollars, Tubi Fox Corp. (FOXA). Acquired for More focused on AVOD—ad-supported video on demand. ing is in the U.S., says KA Srinivasan,
then reinvest into better content.” $440 million, March 2020. Access to Fox content. chief revenue officer at Amagi, a ven-
For the most part, FAST’s growth The Roku Channel Roku (ROKU) Launched in September 2017. Early AVOD focus now includes large ture-backed Bangalore company that
is still happening under the radar. number of FAST channels. Few owned titles, but wide distribution. helps content owners build and
One former executive at a leading Xumo Comcast (CMCSA). Acquired Comcast phasing out free version of Peacock. Some Xumo channels maintain their channels. But FAST is
streaming platform says that the con- February 2020, reportedly for are on its new $20 Now TV streaming service. emerging in more markets—FAST
tent business is generally run by Suc- “more than $100 milion.” viewing in India is up five times since
cession watchers, not Bob Ross fans. Freevee Amazon.com (AMZN) Companion to Prime Video. Scored a recent original hit in faux court the end of 2022, he says.
Their focus has been on subscription show Jury Duty. Launched in 2019 as Freedive, rebranded as AppLovin (APP), a company
IMDb TV, and renamed again.
services, but that’s now changing. which helps app developers market
In 2020, Comcast paid a reported Samsung TV Plus Samsung Electronics Only available on Samsung TVs and smartphones. New revenue and distribute their wares, spent
(005930.Korea) source for thin-margin TV business. Samsung is the No. 1 TV seller in
$100 million-plus for Xumo, which the U.S. market.
$430 million last year to buy Wurl, a
has a FAST channel platform called company that helps content owners
LG Channels LG Electronics (066570.Korea) Only on LG TVs. Programmed by Xumo.
Xumo Play. Amazon (AMZN), Sling create FAST channels.
TV, and Redbox parent Chicken Vizio WatchFree+ Vizio Holding (VZIO) Only on Vizio TVs. More than 260 channels. Wurl CEO Ron Gutman sees a
Soup for The Soul Entertainment Plex Privately held. Has raised $81M Originally built home media servers, accessible through Roku and growing opportunity for ad sellers
(CSSE) have FAST platforms, as well. in venture funds. other plaltforms. More than 300 channels. and buyers. He contends that FAST
The major TV manufacturers have Sling Freestream DISH Network (DISH) Launched February 2023. Has more than 400 FAST channels. channels are generating, on average,
their own FAST channel collections, Vix TelevisaUnivision Only U.S. FAST service focused on Spanish language programing. about 25 cents per hour of individual
including Samsung Electronics Premium version includes additional content, including some viewer time. For people who watch
(005930.Korea), Vizio Holding futbol matches. an hour of FAST a day, that would be
(VZIO), and LG Electronics Redbox Chicken Soup for the Soul (CSSE). Offers FAST channels, would really prefer customers watch VOD $7.50 a month, more than the $6.99 a
(066570.Korea). Their customers can Acquired in 2022 as part of Redbox content—or better yet, paid video on demand. month that Apple (AAPL) charges
get free and unlimited content just by DVD kiosk business. for its Apple TV+ streaming plat-
plugging in their new television and Local Now Allen Media Group, which also owns Particular focus on local news and weather. form.
connecting to Wi-Fi. That ease of use the Weather Channel and dozens of The emergence of FAST channels is
TV stations
and quick onboarding could earn the driving big changes in how some con-
TV makers considerable viewing Sports.TV Allen Media Group The only sports-focused FAST platform, though mostly less popular tent companies operate, even ones
sports: fishing, poker, cornhole.
market share in the years to come. that have already had digital success.
Salek Brodsky, senior vice presi- Stirr Sinclair (SBGI) Includes some content from Sinclair-affiliated cable channels, JP Evangelista, a senior vice president
including Stadium, a sports channel, plus news from Sinclair-
dent for Samsung TV Plus, says the owned local TV channels.
at the music-video company Vevo,
platform has more than 250 channels says his business was long driven by
in the U.S., with over 1,900 channels viewers on YouTube and conventional
across 24 countries. Last year, he cable. In 2018, Vevo’s ad revenue from
says, Samsung’s FAST platform split ad revenue with the platforms, of its content from other parts of Par- FAST channels and connected TVs
streamed three billion hours—up generally 50/50. Financial data are amount, including shows from CBS was just 4% of its total revenue; now,
100% from 2021—with similar scant, but there are tantalizing hints and Showtime. Tubi, which has ex- he says, it’s close to 50%, accounting
growth expected this year. of early success. Paramount reported clusive access to some Fox content, is for a third of its U.S. viewing, spread
The content model has the poten- that 2021 revenue for Pluto was over emphasizing advertising-supported over 15 FAST channels on multiple
tial to significantly boost profits for $1 billion. Tubi reports that ad reve- video on demand, or AVOD, over platforms.
the traditionally low-margin TV nue jumped 31% in the March quarter FAST. But it offers both options, There’s a wild card in the FAST
hardware business. Samsung, Brod- compared with the prior year, al- building on a library of more than market: whether streaming giant Net-
sky says, “strongly believes in the though it doesn’t report a specific to- 50,000 movies and TV shows. flix enters the field. The company still
significant economic prospect that tal. On the content-provider side, In its first decade or so, streaming spends some $17 billion a year on new
FAST presents to creators, advertis- E.W. Scripps (SSP), which owns local was largely viewed as a subscription content. It has a growing store of orig-
ers, and the service operators them- TV stations and basic-cable networks play. But advertisers are being forced inal content that could fill up a dozen
selves.” such as ION and Court TV, expects to to join the party as more viewers FAST channels. Netflix has said very
generate more than $100 million this transition away from traditional TV. little about FAST, but the streamer
T
he FAST audience is growing at year from its growing collection of Research firm TVRev estimates hasn’t ruled it out.
a time when other formats are FAST channels. that FAST, combined with AVOD, In response to a question on the
losing viewers. Overall TV Most of the FAST platforms have could take in $43 billion of total do- company’s December-quarter earn-
viewing fell 4.4% in May from 200 to 400 channels each, with con- mestic TV ad spending in 2027, top- ings call, Netflix Co-CEO Ted Saran-
the prior month, according to Niel- siderable overlap in content—thus the ping the total for broadcast and cable dos said, “We’re open to all these dif-
sen, driven by a 5.5% drop in broad- ubiquity of Bob Ross. The platforms ad markets combined. ferent models that are out there right
casting views and a 5.4% slide in ca- bring varying strengths to the table. “Because nothing in TV happens now….We are keeping an eye on that
ble. Not all will survive, and it is conceiv- quickly, and because agencies are still segment, for sure.”
The business model for FAST is able that the power balance could somewhat skeptical of streaming, the Bob Ross lovers, TV viewers, and
straightforward: Content providers shift. Pluto says it draws 30% to 40% real dollar shift will happen in 2024 investors should do the same. B
18 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
Finding Bargains in
At the start of 2023, cap rates for
public REITs were more than 15%
above private real estate, Pierzak says.
REIT total returns also fell nearly
40% behind returns for privately
P
environment.
aul McDowell’s busi- 6.5% mortgages with average lending standards, and loan-loss provi- One optimist is Willy Walker, CEO
ness has seen happier monthly payments that have doubled sions—worries that the Fed highlighted of commercial real estate financing
days. He runs Orion to almost $3,000 since early 2022, in a recent report on financial stability. firm Walker & Dunlop (WD). The
Office REIT, a real according to Apollo Group chief “The most striking thing right now company has been hit hard; Wall Street
estate company that economist Torsten Sløk. is the delta between fundamentals on sees its earnings per share at around
owns 81 office proper- Even the office space offers oppor- the ground, which are pretty good, and $4.90 this year, down from a peak of
ties with an 88% occu- tunities. Some Sunbelt and suburban lending conditions, which are pretty $8.15 in 2021. But after a lean 2023, the
pancy rate. But hybrid work has hurt areas are seeing healthy occupancy tight,” says Cedrik Lachance, research Mortgage Bankers Association trade
profits and demand for new offices. and rents. Office REITs, while trou- chief at Green Street Advisors. “Lend- group expects a revival in loan origina-
Since going public in late 2021, Orion’s bled, are now deeply discounted. Hy- ers don’t want to play ball right now.” tions next year. Walker notes that his
stock is down 74%. brid work may be here to stay, but Yet real estate stocks are quite sen- company hasn’t backed off its goal of
“Being in the office sector is not corporations are pushing workers to sitive to economic data, reviving when increasing revenue 50% by 2025.
necessarily the easiest place to be,” return. Recent data show job postings leading indicators turn up. And com- “The market is progressing at a
Orion’s (ticker: ONL) McDowell told a for remote jobs have flattened. pared with privately held real estate, slow pace,” he says. “But we remain
recent investing conference in New The selloff has delivered cheaper
York, looking at his sparse audience. valuations and higher dividend
The great debate in real estate is yields. REITs, which must pay out
whether the vacant office buildings in almost all taxable profits as divi-
many cities will ever refill. Office va- dends, are yielding an average 4.1%,
cancy has reached nearly 25% in cities roughly double that of the S&P 500.
like San Francisco and Chicago. Office After a large correction, REITs also
real estate stocks are down 50% from look cheaper on measures of value
pre-Covid highs, while the REIT sec- such as the capitalization rate, or “cap
tor has lost 9.5% in the past year rate”—which is like an earnings yield
against the S&P 500’s 14.5% gain. on rental properties. Cap rates now
But offices are now just 3.4% of the average nearly 7%, up from 5.5% be-
$1 trillion public market for real estate fore the pandemic, according to real
investment trusts, or REITs. The estate analytics firm Green Street
broader REIT space isn’t as troubled. Advisors.
With valuations laid low, there are The sale prices reflect the fact that
bargains amid the rubble. conditions aren’t yet favorable. A re-
Some sectors are thriving, includ- cession may lie ahead. The Federal
ing warehouse/logistics properties Reserve hasn’t signaled that it’s done Apartment REIT
and data centers. Apartment owners raising rates. And few of the bankers Avalon Bay owns
thousands of units
are enjoying healthy rental demand, who make real estate loans are taking like this one in New
as home buyers stay sidelined by calls, frozen by higher rates, tighter York City.
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 19
most mall REITs, and yields 6.6% with FFO expected to rise about 6% Real Estate on Sale
with enough cash flow to cover the this year and 9% in 2024. These companies are weathering the downturn and could be winners as conditions improve.
payout.
The stock looks inexpensive at a Healthcare Recent YTD Market
Forward
12-Month Dividend
price-to-FFO of about nine times, Healthcare REITs own medical of- Company / Ticker Price Return Value (bil) Price/FFO Yield Sector
notes Green Street’s Lachance. The fices, nursing homes, and life-science AvalonBay Communities / AVB $186.76 16.8% $26.5 17.7 3.5% Apartments
discount reflects anxieties about retail research labs. Some of these stocks
Equity Residential / EQR 64.77 12.3 24.5 17.1 4.1 Apartments
and consumer spending. But have floundered as investors worried
Digital Realty Trust / DLR 109.59 11.8 32.6 16.3 4.5 Data Centers
Lachance calls Simon a “best-in-class about funding for biotech start-ups
operator” with a low stock multiple and the pandemic’s pause in office Equinix / EQIX 769.20 18.6 71.9 35.0 1.8 Data Centers
that should price in “any kind of prob- visits—though the latter trend has First Industrial Realty Trust / FR 51.74 7.9 6.8 21.1 2.5 Industrial
lems that will occur.” reversed, as patients come back for Simon Property Group / SPG 112.79 -0.9 36.9 9.4 6.6 Malls
elective procedures. Healthpeak Properties / PEAK 19.82 -18.9 10.8 11.3 6.1 Medical
Industrial One diversified healthcare REIT
Kimco Realty / KIM 19.31 -6.7 12.0 12.3 4.8 Strip Centers
The rise of e-commerce has fueled with a 6% yield is Healthpeak Prop-
huge gains for logistics and ware- erties (PEAK). It has a roughly even Cousins Properties / CUZ 22.18 -9.8 3.4 8.6 5.8 Suburban Offices
house REITs. The country’s largest split of medical offices and life-sci- Highwoods Properties / HIW 23.31 -13.2 2.5 6.2 8.6 Suburban Offices
REIT now is Prologis (PLD), with a ences buildings. That provides both FFO=funds from operations, a measure of cash flow commonly used to value REITs Source: Bloomberg
$140 billion enterprise value and defensive stability and growth, says
plenty of cash for acquisitions—in- Lachance, who recommends the stock.
cluding a recent deal for 14 million Trading at about 11 times this year’s are on-ramps to the internet and the now limiting new data-center builds.
square feet of properties purchased earnings—compared with a healthcare flywheels that keep it humming. Lease That restricts competition and gives
from Blackstone for $3 billion. Yet REIT average of 22 times—Health- renewal rates are high, as the steep incumbents like Digital more pricing
Prologis is also one of the priciest peak’s portfolio is one of the most-dis- costs of switching to another site keep power. “It’s not easy to build data cen-
REITs on the market, with a relatively counted in its sector, as investors most tenants in place. ters anymore,” CEO Andy Power said
low 2.9% yield. worry about new supply of life-sci- Mergers have consolidated data at a recent conference.
Less well-appreciated is First In- ence space in key markets like Boston. center REITs, leaving Equinix (EQIX) Green Street’s Lachance admits
dustrial Realty Trust (FR). Its col- Yet the company faces few near- and Digital Realty Trust (DLR) in that Digital stock has been a headache.
lection of distribution centers covers term lease expirations in Boston. It command of much of the market. But it goes for a 2023 FFO multiple of
coastal markets, which are the best has pulled back sharply on develop- Equinix stock has been a runaway 16 times, compared with 35 times at
locations for such properties. First ment, to conserve capital and capture winner, outperforming both Digital Equinix. With an implied cap rate that
Industrial has wide margins, a better- better prices in a downturn. “When Realty and the S&P 500 for years. is more than 1.3 percentage points
than-average balance sheet, and good fundamentals turn, which they inevi- Digital is a contrarian value idea: It higher than that of Equinix, Digital
management, according to Lachance. tably will, we expect to be in great trades at a 50% discount to Equinix, trades at a “monstrous” discount, he
In presentations, the REIT notes that shape to capitalize,” CEO Scott based on FFO estimates, and it offers says.
its properties are full and rents are Brinker told investors in April. a 4.5% yield versus Equinix’s 1.8% Data REITs therefore present a
rising. Yet compared with some other payout. classic barbell opportunity, with
midsize industrial REITs, the stock Data Centers The case for Digital is that it could Equinix offering cloud-computing
trades at a bigger discount to operat- A wave of private equity flooded into be on the cusp of closing those gaps. growth, and Digital Realty offering a
ing earnings and book value, as inves- data centers over the past few years, The company has shored up its capi- higher yield on a discounted stock. B
tors overlook upgrades in its portfolio. aiming to profit off tech trends like tal, by raising several billion from
The REIT’s yield is low, at 2.5%, but cloud computing and corporate de- stock and property sales over the past How one savvy fund manager is playing
Wall Street sees profit momentum mand for connectivity. Data centers few years. Cities around the world are the real estate slump, page 22.
Repricing REITs
As building values have tumbled, the implied cap rates—or earnings yields—for real
estate investment trusts have increased.
September 2019 June 2023
David Williams/Bloomberg
Self-Storage
Data Center
Single-Family Rental
Manufactured-Home Park
Simon Property
Group’s Roosevelt Industrial
Field mall in Garden
City, New York Source: Green Street Advisors
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 21
© 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 4EIIE6102
22 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
W
preciation—“sparked a curiosity” that
ith mortgage rates high led to a college major and, ultimately,
and offices empty, in- a career.
vestors have soured on Kolitch spoke with Barron’s on
real estate stocks. But June 20 about how investor jitters are
not Jeffrey Kolitch, a creating attractive opportunities for
portfolio manager at real estate investors. An edited ver-
Baron Funds. sion of the conversation follows.
The market’s aversion to all things
real estate–related is “providing a gift Barron’s: In your latest quarterly
for us—an opportunity to buy high- letter, you highlighted a number
quality companies at attractive prices,” of real estate–related companies
says Kolitch, who oversees the $1.4 that you consider attractively val-
billion Baron Real Estate fund (ticker: ued. Why now, when so many in-
BREFX) and the $80 million Baron vestors are down on the sector?
Real Estate Income fund (BRIFX). Jeffrey Kolitch: There is a fair
With a gain of 13.2% this year through amount of caution and concern re-
June 27, Baron Real Estate is No. 1 in its garding real estate investments be-
category, according to Morningstar, cause of the narrative out there: We
which rates the fund five stars. Its could be on the cusp of a commercial
three-, five- and 10-year performance real estate crisis, there are challenges the broader market. and perhaps what will be cyclical
ranking is similarly impressive. in the housing market, and so forth. As we evaluate a larger swath of decline over the next couple of years.
Kolitch has managed the fund We disagree emphatically. The setup public real estate companies, two- to The new world, in which many em-
since its 2009 inception, but his in- for real estate in the public markets is three-year return prospects look quite ployers are adopting more flexible
terest in real estate stretches back attractive. compelling. work arrangements, will create de-
decades. “My father, who is my clos- For the past three and a half years, mand pressures for occupancy and
est mentor and adviser, has been a real estate–related stocks have faced Let’s take a closer look at the case rent [issues] for lower-quality office
private real estate developer and a trifecta of headwinds. It started for office real estate, which has buildings in the next few years.
landlord for most of his professional with the Covid pandemic, during been plagued by vacancy concerns When you layer on that the fact
career,” says Kolitch. which many real estate businesses as more people work from home. that in many cities there is an excess
The fund manager recalls being a were effectively shut down, which There is an assumption that the chal- supply of older buildings, you have
teenager visiting a shopping center hurt the stocks. Then, real estate has lenges facing lower-quality buildings an unfavorable relationship between
his father had developed, when he been in the crosshairs of the most are representative of all of commer- demand and supply. But what I am
asked his father to explain what he aggressive interest-rate tightening cial real estate. We couldn’t disagree describing is a small percentage of
did for a living. The answer—which cycle in decades. Third, there are more. Most commercial real estate, the overall real estate landscape.
touched upon the concepts of anchor sensationalized—in our view—re- and certain individual office build-
ports of a commercial real estate cri- ings, are performing quite well. Yes, How does the rest of the market
Photograph by sis on the horizon. As a result, many old and poorly located B and C office look?
GEORGE ETHEREDGE real estate stocks have lagged behind buildings are in both secular decline At Baron, we believe that a commer-
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 23
largely misrepresented. Trust [DLR] are benefiting from cloud 1.5 times book value, and had a peak
We’re leaning into this dislocation adoption, an increase in internet use, valuation of two times book value. If
because we expect it to reward our and perhaps artificial intelligence. the company can just recover to its
investors in the next few years. We Short lease-duration real estate, long-term average, we would have
continue to emphasize four high-con- whose leases are shorter in nature, another 50% upside.
viction investment themes: real estate may have an opportunity to increase
investment trusts, non-REIT residen- rents on a more frequent basis to off- What other opportunities do you
tial real estate, travel-related real es- set some of the inflationary pressures. see in commercial real estate?
tate, and the commercial real estate Think single-family rental REITs such Shares of the largest commercial real
service firms and real estate alterna- as Invitation Homes [INVH] and estate service firm in the world,
tive managers. American Homes 4 Rent [AMH]; CBRE Group [CBRE], have been
apartment REITs such as AvalonBay pressured because the company got
What is the outlook for residential Communities [AVB] and Equity swept into the negative narrative. That
real estate? Residential [EQR]; or perhaps self- has created a terrific opportunity to
Sentiment has picked up quite a bit. storage REITs such as Public Storage once again acquire a premier commer-
May housing-start and permit data [PSA], Extra Space Storage [EXR], cial company at a highly discounted
were encouraging. We are long-term and CubeSmart [CUBE]. price.
bullish on the prospects for the U.S. We are long-term bullish on the
housing market. There has been a One of the non-REIT companies commercial real estate service industry.
multidecade structural underinvest- highlighted in your letter to in- More companies are outsourcing their
ment in U.S. housing. come-fund shareholders, Toll commercial real estate needs to service
Six months into 2023, we’re seeing Brothers [TOL], is closely tied to companies such as CBRE Group. The
a meaningful uptick in demand in the the residential market. Why do you company has the leading global com-
housing market. Buyers are getting recommend it, and how do you mercial real estate service brand. Its
over the sticker shock that occurred view its valuation and stock funda- management team is led by CEO Bob
last year, when mortgage rates went mentals? Sulentic, who is exceptional.
from a low of 3% up to 7% following a Toll Brothers is a best-in-class home- After the shares performed well
period of home-price appreciation of building company. It is led by a highly earlier this year, CBRE got hit by fears
30% to 40%. capable management team. Over the of a significant slowdown in bank
There are several years of pent-up years, it has acquired and developed a lending and economic growth, which
demand. Perhaps buyers are adjusting valuable owned-land real estate portfo- would negatively impact the com-
by purchasing a smaller home or lio in excellent markets. Much of it was pany’s leasing and property-sales
choosing a different suburb, but this purchased before the run-up in home businesses. We’re fully aware that
near-term dynamic has been one of prices during Covid, so there is very those businesses will be challenged
the key pillars supporting the econ- little risk to the book value. this year, but that misses the forest for
omy this year, and we think it will do Importantly, Toll focuses on luxury the trees. These businesses will come
so in the years ahead. homes. Toll Brothers is more insu- back in the years ahead.
lated from higher mortgage rates be- Usually you have to pay a pre-
Which REITs look best to you cause about 25% of the buyers of Toll mium multiple for a premium com-
cial real estate crisis is highly unlikely. now? homes pay 100% in cash. The com- pany. This company historically has
Very simply, business prospects for While certain REIT segments might pany has maintained a terrific balance traded at a multiple of 16 to 17 times
most commercial real estate operators face headwinds in the next few years, sheet. There are approximately 132 earnings and reached a peak multiple
are solid. There is little competitive the setup for REITs in general is at- million households in the U.S., of of 20 times earnings. Right now the
new construction activity in the pipe- tractive over two to three years. Early which about 25 million earn at least shares are valued at about 13 times
line, as land costs, labor costs, and in 2022, before the Federal Reserve’s $150,000 a year annually. That’s Toll’s our estimate of next year’s earnings.
material costs have gone up. Debt pro- tightening cycle, REITs were trading target audience. Management continues to believe that
files, generally speaking, are in pretty for 25 times earnings. Now they are 17 There is a massive addressable they can exceed the earnings gener-
good shape. times earnings. market for Toll. With its pristine bal- ated last year in 2024, which would
After the failure of Silicon Valley We are focused on what we would ance sheet, several billion dollars of imply over 20% growth next year.
Bank, there was concern about a ma- call secular REITs, whose cash flows liquidity, and superior capital sources, Our team sees a path where CBRE
jor banking crisis. Sure, there perhaps are less vulnerable to an economic the company has a major opportunity Group could generate more than $7 a
will be additional challenges in the slowdown. Think about industrial to increase market share at the ex- share in earnings in 2025. That com-
months ahead, but so far, it has been REITs such as Prologis [PLD] or pense of its competitors over the next pares to about $5.40 a share in 2022.
fairly contained. The loan defaults Rexford Industrial Realty [REXR], several years. That assumes nothing for acquisi-
that you may read about will be which are benefiting from the e-com- Toll has been a good stock this year. tions, which could add another 50
largely isolated in the lower-quality B merce trend and supply reconfigura- It is trading at just over our estimate cents a share.
and C office space. This is an impor- tions. Data-center REITs such as of 2024 tangible book value. The stock
tant point of clarification that is Equinix [EQIX] and Digital Realty historically has been valued at 1.4 to Thanks, Jeffrey. B
24 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
Rockwell Automation
PlaytheAutomation
reported $8.1 billion in sales during
2022, up 12% from $7.2 billion in 2021, (ROK / NYSE)
faster than its 5% or so average annual
growth rate over the past five years. $400
That faster growth was spurred in
investors begin to consider it for what it really is—a tech company ond-quarter earnings in April, while
150
raising full-year financial guidance to
a midpoint of $11.85 a share from a 2021 '23
prior midpoint of $11.10. “[The im- Source: FactSet
provement was] more a factor of chip
supply starting to come in better and
better,” says CEO Blake Moret. could be in the past. Even if a recovery
More semiconductors, however, isn’t a straight line up, Rockwell’s
aren’t the only reason that sales will backlog of $5.6 billion at the end of the
grow faster. Rockwell benefits from second quarter—up from roughly $4
one of the biggest changes of the past billion a year earlier—should provide
few years—the reshoring of U.S. man- a buffer. “We’ve got such a large back-
ufacturing. log that the lead times for a lot of our
When China joined the World Trade products are still out there a ways,”
Organization in 2001, the U.S. ac- says CEO Moret.
counted for about 25% of global manu- But the biggest change in Rock-
facturing output, but today represents well’s business—the one that is most
just 15%. China accounts for 30%. The responsible for its rapidly rising sales
U.S. government, whether dominated growth—is the continued shift to auto-
by Republicans or Democrats, wants to mation with an artificial-intelligence
change that, and spending roughly $2 kicker. Software-related sales have
trillion—the total amount coming from grown to $2.4 billion, or about 30% of
the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Rockwell’s total sales in calendar year
Act, the Inflation Reduction Act, and 2022, up from 27% in 2020, and
the Creating Helpful Incentives to Pro- should hit about 32% of sales in 2025.
duce Semiconductors and Science Act, Software has better operating-profit
or CHIPS Act—is a good start. margins, at almost 30%, than Rock-
That headline number has started well’s overall 18.3%, which should
BY AL ROOT viding the technology necessary to to turn into real economic activity. help earnings grow at a roughly 10%
T
automate manufacturing, Rockwell is Ford Motor (F) announced a record clip, to $13.30, in 2024.
ech stocks are all the rage— growing faster than it has in the past, $9.2 billion loan from the Energy De- Historical valuations, however,
and that makes industrial and that growth should continue as partment to help it build electric-vehi- don’t take into account the higher val-
stock Rockwell Automa- supply chains continue to ease, indus- cle battery capacity in Kentucky and uations that investors now place on
tion a stock to buy now. trial activity begins to recover, and the Tennessee, while Taiwan Semicon- Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft
When investors think of U.S. brings manufacturing back home. ductor Manufacturing (TSM) an- (MSFT), which currently fetch about
industrials, they tend to What’s more, the stock should earn a nounced another $20 billion invest- 29 times. In the past, they and Rock-
imagine companies that higher valuation as investors begin to ment in Arizona for a second fab to well have traded at similar multiples,
make pipes, turbines, tractors, and consider it for what it really is—a tech make cutting-edge microchips. All observes Citigroup’s Kaplowitz, who
backhoes. That isn’t Rockwell Auto- company. told, some $500 billion in new proj- has a Buy rating on Rockwell shares.
mation (ticker: ROK). The Milwaukee- “[Trends] across automation and ects have been announced since 2020, “As such, we do think that industrial
based company, which competes with shoring, as well as the emergence of AI according to Melius Research CEO tech could be relatively well posi-
the likes of Siemens (SIE.Germany) over time, could lead manufacturers to and analyst Scott Davis. Only about tioned going forward,” he writes.
and ABB (ABBN.Switzerland), is a lean in and invest in smarter devices half of those have been started, which Morgan Stanley analyst Joshua
leader in the automation and digital and software solutions,” writes Citi- means more spending is on the way. Pokrzywinski’s most bullish case for
transformation of manufacturing pro- group analyst Andrew Kaplowitz. “We That spending bodes well for com- the stock has earnings rising by 37%,
Photograph by Lyndon French
cesses. Companies producing every- view Rockwell to be a key beneficiary.” ing results, even if U.S. manufacturing to $15.37 a share, over the coming 12
thing from cars to cookies use Rock- Some of that is already priced into remains in a slump. After five consec- months and its multiple improving to
well hardware and software to make the stock. Rockwell shares trade at 26 utive monthly readings below the ex- 27 times. In such a scenario, Rock-
their plants function. times 12-month forward earnings of pansionary level of 50, the Institute well’s shares would be worth $415, up
Rockwell’s stock has had a great $12.59 a share, above their five-year for Supply Management’s manufac- more than 25% from a recent $329.45.
start to 2023—it has gained about 28% average of about 24 times. That re- turing purchasing managers index of It may not be automatic, but it seems
through Friday’s close—and there are flects the fact that Rockwell’s growth production turned higher in May, a reasonable for a stock with so many
probably more gains ahead. By pro- already has accelerated. The company sign that the worst of the downturn tailwinds at its back. B
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 25
T ECH T RADER
Hiding beneath this year’s impressive 34% rally in
Alphabet shares have been several whipsaw
shifts in investor sentiment.
For Alphabet, AI
shift some of their searches to Chat- pocket by cannibalizing prime real
GPT and Bing. Asked which chatbot estate for their gen-AI results, which
they would use if they could only pick will take time for ad buyers to adopt.”
one, 49% chose ChatGPT, versus 26% There are other places to spend
Promise—and Threat
from Outperform. Among other just Amazon.com (AMZN), but also
things, he notes that the company’s Walmart (WMT), Uber Technolo-
accelerating push into chatbots and gies (UBER), TikTok, and the online
other generative AI tools means a travel agencies as a competitive threat.
ramp-up in hiring and a pickup in cap- “AI headlines have masked a very real
ital spending. That could mean pres- threat to Google’s search business from
sure on earnings and free cash flow. retail media,” the analyst says, adding
G
oogle was one of tive AI roadkill was just plain wrong.” Bard has no ads. “There are cur- there are signs that Meta Platforms
the most success- Alas, sentiment is shifting again, as rently no ads on Bard,” says Bard, in (META) is clawing back some ad dol-
ful initial public the world learns more about the power response to my query to the bot. Bard lars lost amid Apple’s crackdown on
offerings of all of AI. In a research note previewing noted that Google plans to use Bard threats to iPhone user privacy.
time—and its in- Alphabet’s June financial results, queries to better target ads. “It is un- Regulatory risk is rising. Shmulik
ternet search arm Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski clear when these ads will be rolled contends Alphabet has deeper regula-
has been one of the inched up near-term estimates, citing out, or how they will be integrated tory risks than the rest of the tech
best businesses ever created. “recent strong ad market trends.” But into Bard,” adds Bard. “However, it is megacaps. He notes that both domestic
As Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik BY ERIC J. he is worried about the future. “As the possible that users will start seeing and European Union regulators are
pointed out in a recent research note, SAVITZ global search incumbent with nearly ads on Bard in the future. Meanwhile, pushing the company to spin off its ad
the company now known as Alphabet 90% revenue share, we see more risk you can use Bard without having to tech business, and that the Department
(ticker: GOOGL) has produced an av- than opportunity and do not view Al- worry about seeing any ads. Bard is a of Justice lawsuit over the company’s
erage annual return of 23% since its phabet as an AI winner,” he writes, free tool...and it is not currently used search business goes to trial in Septem-
2004 public debut. Google at launch reiterating his Equal Weight rating. He to generate revenue for Google.” ber. He sees an “outside chance” the
was worth $23 billion—and it now has warns that Alphabet faces both in- Google didn’t respond to a request for case could strike down Google’s deal to
a market cap of $1.5 trillion, trailing creasing competition and higher costs. comment. provide search services to Apple prod-
only Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft Here’s why the market is getting Google has a real estate prob- ucts as anticompetitive.
(MSFT) among U.S. stocks. That in- jittery: lem. Try this—go to Google’s home Is AI friend or foe? UBS analyst
cludes a 34% rally this year, driven by People love AI chatbots. In an page, click on the little flask icon at the Lloyd Walmsley, who also cut his rat-
the market’s enchantment with all eye-opening report, BofA Global Re- top right, and opt in to Google with ing on Alphabet stock this past week,
things generative AI. search wrote recently that a survey of SGE, or Search Generative Experi- says the answer is unclear. He notes
But some analysts are getting wor- more than 1,100 U.S. internet users ence. At the top of the search results that Google has substantial data it can
ried—and maybe you should be, too. found that 59% use ChatGPT, 51% use page, you get a big window with a leverage for gen-AI applications. But
Hiding beneath this year’s impres- Bing, and 34% use Alphabet’s Bard generative AI answer to your query. In he also sees risks from a more competi-
sive rally in Alphabet shares have been chatbot. Among other things, the sur- a regular Google search, the top of the tive landscape, increasing capital inten-
several whipsaw shifts in investor sen- vey found that 45% would use Google page would be littered with sponsored sity, and disruption to the ad business
timent. The stock slumped 12% in Feb- more as they integrate AI tools with listings. Says Shmulik: Google “risks as Google figures out how to revise its
ruary, after Microsoft launched Bing core search—but 19% said they would creating a near-term revenue air search results page for the AI era. B
Chat, powered by OpenAI, which had
launched ChatGPT on Nov. 30.
But the slide didn’t last. In May, ad-
ditional Google AI product announce-
ments turned sentiment around, trig- A survey of U.S. internet users found that
gering newfound confidence that
Google’s years of investment in search 59% use ChatGPT, 51% use Bing, and 34%
and artificial intelligence would pay
off—and keep the Bing threat at bay. use Alphabet’s Bard chatbot. Asked which
“Google just took that narrative
back. We don’t believe there will be chatbot they would use if they could only
only one AI winner,” Evercore ISI ana-
pick one, 49% chose ChatGPT, 26% Bing,
Dreamstime
F UN DS
China’s small-cap companies were largely
unaffected during the recent crackdown on the
technology, education, and real estate sectors.
This Top-Performing
escalate between the U.S. and China. more effectively target that cancer.
“China didn’t get to where it did over The Food and Drug Administration
the past 35 to 40 years without being has approved the therapy for use in
pragmatic,” he says. China’s small-cap certain patients.
Small-Cap Manager Is
companies were largely unaffected “The CAR-T therapy is among the
during the country’s recent crack- world’s most efficacious and safe
down on the frothy technology, educa- treatments of its kind,” he says. Since
tion, and real estate sectors, he adds. purchasing Legend Biotech not long
V
companies that provide necessary It has created a digital platform to
ivek Tanneeru under- BY DEBBIE ings, respectively. Both have strong services will benefit both consumers optimize routes by matching available
stands why investors CARLSON balance sheets and cost-of-funds ad- and investors. truckers and businesses, benefiting
are avoiding China. vantages that could help them grow in To find those companies, he works truckers and reducing heavy-truck
Blame it on lackluster the medium term. Tanneeru calls them closely with Matthews Asia’s team of emissions.
post-Covid growth “very attractively valued.” eight analysts and fellow co-managers Tanneeru isn’t surprised by China’s
and continued geopo- He views China—which, at 27.8%, Jeremy Sutch and Alex Zarechnak, current tepid economy, noting the
litical tensions with represents the largest share of the employing quantitative screens to find government didn’t provide the same
the U.S., among other reasons. But to fund—as one of the few markets, in- companies with consistent, profitable massive stimulus Western govern-
underweight or ignore China is to cluding the U.S. and India, where growth that are good stewards of capi- ments did during Covid, nor does he
miss opportunities, particularly in small companies can grow exponen- tal. The bottom-up stockpickers study expect the current stimulus injections
small-cap stocks, he argues. tially in a short time. As the world’s private, high-quality companies to to be substantial. Once China’s econ-
As the lead portfolio manager of the second-largest economy, it has a mas- know management teams, product omy rebounds, he expects companies
$440 million, no-load Matthews sive consumer base. “If you have the pipelines, capabilities, and competitive such as Full Truck Alliance to benefit.
Emerging Markets Small Compa- right product and the right strategy, positions. It’s a collaborative and itera- Outside of Asia, Small Companies
nies fund (MSMLX) since 2020, Tan- there is potential for growth. To me, tive process, although Tanneeru has is adding Latin American holdings,
neeru, 46, steered the Morningstar that is the primary attraction of final say. including No. 7 holding YDUQ3 Par-
five-star fund to a 15.1% annualized China,” he says. The team looks for companies with ticiapaceoes (YDUQ3.Brazil), a Bra-
three-year return, landing it in the top Geopolitics are always a risk, but strong balance sheets that can fund zilian educational company. It offers
1% of its peers. Even with an above-av- he doesn’t expect tensions to seriously their own growth, whether those with undergraduate classes and has a med-
erage 1.37% annual fee, the fund wal- “massive cash positions” or a product ical college business. It invested heav-
lops its peers and the benchmark MSCI or service so attractive, they can raise ily in distance learning during Covid,
Emerging Markets Small Cap Index, in Matthews Emerging Markets Small Companies capital even in stressful economic and Small Companies bought it in late
each case by about 11.5 percentage Total Return times. The fund doesn’t hedge currency 2021 when prices slumped. Valuations
points annualized over three years. YTD 1-Yr 3-Yr risk, which Tanneeru says is too chal- rebounded in the past few months,
Although the San Francisco–based MSMLX 12.7% 12.0% 15.1% lenging and expensive. Instead, it seeks after strong first-quarter earnings.
Tanneeru is relatively new to the Diversified Emerging Markets Category 6.4 3.2 3.4 higher returns as a way to manage the Tanneeru is optimistic about
Small Companies fund, he has also risks of emerging market investing. emerging markets, noting that coun-
Top 10 Holdings
managed the $225 million Matthews tries such as China and India aren’t
T
Company / Ticker % Assets
Emerging Markets Sustainable he Small Companies fund experiencing the same inflation prob-
Bandhan Bank / BANDHAN.India 7.2%
Future fund (MASGX) since that can invest across emerging lems as in the West, while countries
Morningstar bronze medalist’s 2015 Shriram Finance / SHFL.India 5.8 markets, but Tanneeru is such as Brazil appear to be managing
inception. That fund’s all-cap strategy Legend Biotech / LEGN 5.5 heavily overweight China their inflation targets after a round of
has a heavy dose of small- and mid- Ecopro BM / 247540.Korea 5.3 versus the index, at 27.8% versus 9.5%, aggressive interest-rate hikes.
cap holdings, he says, to underscore Full Truck Alliance / YMM 2.9 respectively. He says that the country is He recognizes that outlooks may
his small-company chops. home to the best opportunities, and remain tough in emerging markets,
Hugel / 145020.Korea 2.7
The Small Companies fund is heav- that Chinese companies have under- including China. That’s why the Small
Silergy / 6415.Taiwan 2.7
ily focused on China, but Indian com- pinned the fund’s outperformance. Companies fund focuses on risk man-
panies represent 18% of its assets, with YDUQS Participacoes / YDUQ3.Brazil 2.6 The No. 3 holding, Legend Biotech agement and being able to pick stocks
Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN.India), Phoenix Mills / PHNX.India 2.6 (LEGN), exemplifies Tanneeru’s phi- at cheap valuations that can compound.
the country’s largest microfinance M31 Technology / 6643.Taiwan 2.5 losophy and process. The company “I think it will take a little while for
lender, and Shriram Finance partnered with Johnson & Johnson some of the animal spirits to come
Total 39.8%
(SHFL.India), a small-enterprise finan- Note: Holdings as of May 31. Returns through June 26; three-year returns are annualized.
(JNJ) to develop a multiple myeloma back,” he says. “But I do expect that to
cier, the fund’s No. 1 and No. 2 hold- Sources: Morningstar; Matthews Asia therapy that allows immune cells to happen.” B
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 27
THE EC ONOMY
The federal budget deficit is forecast to total 5.8%
of GDP this year, declining to 5% of GDP in 2027,
then climbing every year to 10% in 2033.
E
debt, and pose significant risks to the conomic textbooks also treat
fiscal and economic outlook; it could fiscal and monetary policies
“R
been sounded, to little actual effect. together during the height of the pan-
eagan annual report released last weekend, The recent debt-ceiling deal, which demic, with the Treasury selling some
proved which got lost in the news flow domi- caps nondefense discretionary $5 trillion of securities to fund the
deficits nated by events in Russia. The finan- spending in fiscal 2024, does little to fiscal stimulus, of which the Fed pur-
don’t mat- cial impact of fiscal deficits should be slow the flow of red ink, as the CBO chased $3 trillion, according to the
ter,” Dick considered, according to the BIS, the projections show. Moreover, as the Brookings Institution. And the Fed
Cheney, so-called central bank for other cen- longtime deficit hawks at the Peter- pushed short-term rates to zero in
the vice tral banks. And regulators should son Foundation noted, the CBO fore- March 2020, further helping the Trea-
president under whom George W. re-examine their assumption that gov- cast shows that the federal govern- sury’s borrowing, and only began to
Bush served, famously told Paul By RANDALL ernment debt denominated in domes- ment will spend $71 trillion on lift them in March 2022.
O’Neill, who would be fired shortly W. FORSYTH tic currencies is fully risk-free. interest through 2053, sucking up Even before Covid-19 hit, interest
thereafter as Treasury secretary in That came before the latest sober- 35% of revenue by then, and crowd- rates were at their lowest levels in his-
2002. And that’s been pretty much ing projections from the nonpartisan ing out other spending. tory in the wake of the 2008-09 finan-
the story ever since, as budget sur- Congressional Budget Office, released The BIS further warned about the cial crisis, which helped foster the no-
pluses at the turn of the century gave this past week. The federal budget effects on financial systems from ex- tion of deficits without limit. But the
way to deficits that were running at a deficit is forecast to total 5.8% of gross cess deficits. Banks, for instance, can four-decadelong decline in interest
trillion-dollar annual rate—even be- domestic product this year, declining get into trouble because of their expo- rates that began shortly after the Gip-
fore Covid-19 hit in 2020. to 5% of GDP by 2027, then climbing sure to their government’s bonds, per got to the White House is over.
The embrace of fiscal deficits also every year to 10% by 2053. Total fed- which in turn could force the govern- That means interest expense is cer-
came from the left in the form of so- eral debt held by the public is pro- ment to bail them out in what the re- tain to take up an increasing part of
called Modern Monetary Theory, jected to climb from 98% of GDP this port called a “doom loop”—credit the federal budget, as the Peterson
which essentially asserted that gov- problems of governments and banks Institute pointed out. As the chart
ernments can’t go broke if they can would reinforce each other. Fiscal here shows, the CBO projects interest
issue bonds in the currency they also The Deficit Is Getting Too Interesting policies should prepare for future will consume over one-third of federal
print; there is no theoretical limit to Interest costs will eat up an increasing share of federal bank bailouts, the BIS declared. revenue after 2050, up sharply from a
what they can borrow. Those who revenue in the future as the U.S. pays higher rates on an On that score, the BIS also advised bit less than 14% in the current fiscal
objected to this notion of a fiscal free ever-expanding national debt. governments to take into account the year. The CBO also assumed that the
lunch were dismissed as being wed impact of financial booms, which can average interest rate on the federal
Net Interest as a Percent of Revenue
to old shibboleths or simply being fill their coffers when capital gains are debt rises relatively slowly, only reach-
too old. 40% being reaped and taxed. But, similar ing 3% by 2028, from 2.7% this year.
And indeed, there seemed to be no to the biblical tale of Joseph advising (That was a sharp rise from 2.1% in
penalty for deficits. Rather than push- 35 Egypt’s pharaoh to stockpile grain 2022, as those near-zero-rate matur-
ing up interest rates and crowding out from rich harvests for the inevitable ing securities were replaced with new
private borrowers, Uncle Sam has 30 famines, the BIS urged governments ones paying upward of 5%.)
been able to borrow at historically low to prepare to bail out balance sheets How will Washington deal with this
costs, including virtually zero for 25 and stimulate demand in future busts. rising interest burden? In the decades
short-dated maturities. Plus, the U.S. Finally, the BIS said governments after World War II, low real (inflation-
could issue IOUs that also served as 20 should reduce or remove tax incentives adjusted) interest rates and rising infla-
the world’s safest and most liquid fi- to borrow, which favors debt over eq- tion helped to reduce the federal debt
nancial asset, owing to the dollar’s 15 uity financing. Some of that may be to relative to the economy. Good for the
status as the world’s primary currency promote social goals, such as increas- government, bad for bond investors.
10
for transactions as reserves. ing homeownership. But much of the This history may well repeat. B
The Bank for International Settle- 2023 '25 '30 '35 '40 '45 '50 implicit tax subsidy for debt merely
ments took these notions to task in its Note: Fiscal year ends in September. Source: Congressional Budget Office goes for financial engineering, such as email: [email protected]
28 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
MARKET WEEK
June 26 through June 30, 2023
Dow Jones Industrials S&P 500 Nasdaq Composite Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
34,407.60
52-wk: +10.65% YTD: + 3.80% Wkly: +2.02%
4450.38
52-wk: +16.34% YTD: +15.91% Wkly: +2.35%
13,787.92
52-wk: +23.90% YTD: +31.73% Wkly: +2.19%
$149.64
52-wk: +10.13% YTD: +5.94% Wkly: +3.36%
4%
Optimism Abounds The Calm and the Storm
The consumer confidence index rose Wednesday saw a bumpy trading
to its highest level since early 2022 session, with big moves under the
3
in May, data on Tuesday showed. Amer- surface but a relatively flat index
icans are bullish on their job prospects result by the close. Energy stocks led
and the market. Stocks gained. as utilities lagged.
2
0
Bank on It Broad Gains
The Federal Reserve published the Stock indexes closed the week with
results of its annual stress test late a day of decent gains across sectors,
-1
Wednesday. All 23 large banks passed, after a growth-dominated first half
sending financial stocks sharply of 2023. Apple hit the $3 trillion market
higher on Thursday. cap threshold.
-2
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Close
Source: Barron’s Statistics
C
all it the “What, week to finish the first half of 2023 up positive performance. The Nasdaq
Time to
certainly not the fact that a recession Big Tech is rallying like it’s 2020. Ap- There are two ways things could go
felt like it was always just around the ple (ticker: AAPL), which hit a $3 in the second half: Either the rest of
Prepare for
corner. Many professional prognosti- trillion market capitalization on Fri- the S&P 500 catches up to the mega-
cators overlooked the enduring day, has gained 48% year to date, cap eight and the gains continue by
strength of the U.S. labor market. while Nvidia (NVDA) has surged broadening out, or the market leaders
the Worst. Still, investors might just redis-
cover some nagging concerns during
189%. Add in a half-dozen other tech
giants, and the Nifty Eight have re-
join the S&P 492 and the rally fizzles.
For the former to happen, the market
the second half of the year. turned an average of 85% this year, would need that fabled soft landing, in
The S&P 500 rose 2.35% this past accounting for the bulk of the market’s which inflation comes down to a 2%
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 29
annual rate without a major hit to growth. short-term U.S. Treasuries remain the
That gets harder to imagine the longer that fattest pitch for the year’s second half. The
inflation remains elevated and the Fed six-month T-bill yields a risk-free 5.5%
keeps raising rates. today. It can be purchased directly from
“The Fed is not going to come to the res- the U.S. Treasury at TreasuryDirect.gov or
cue this time,” says Wei Li, BlackRock’s via the US Treasury 6 Month Bill ETF
global chief investment strategist. (XBIL). Locking that return in today may
But one doesn’t have to believe the appear prudent six months from now.
doomsayers to lean into caution—just look By then, we’ll be looking ahead to the
at valuations. The S&P 500 trades at 19 2024 economic outlook and discussing the
times expected earnings over the coming potential implications of a high-stakes U.S.
year, up from 15 times in October, as stocks election year. And maybe the market won’t
have gained even as earnings estimates have shrugged it all off so easily.
FINANCIAL SECTOR OF
have fallen. With a valuation that high, the
risk/reward trade-off at the index level The Eerie Quiet Won’t Last
doesn’t appear all that attractive from here, Yes, the S&P 500 is as calm as it’s been in
Industry Action
Performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials, ranked by weekly percent change.*
INTERNATIONAL TRADER
EU Has a Troubled Plan Put
For Russia’s Frozen Assets
Automation
BY CRAIG MELLOW Von der Leyen is reportedly pushing for
I
f you think following the Wagner mu-
tiny was complicated, wait for the
battle over frozen Russian central
bank reserves.
a European Union–wide agreement by
next month. Germany itself isn’t keen,
however, judging by a recent flurry of
press leaks from anonymous officials. The
European Central Bank doesn’t like the
to Work
The Western world and Japan “immobi- plan either, fearing any asset grab would
lized,” to use the term of art, some $300 damage the euro as a reserve currency. “It
billion in Russian central bank deposits may lead to diversification away from
soon after Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine euro-denominated assets and increase
in February 2022. Ukraine’s rebuilding financing costs for European sovereigns,”
expenses from the war are $411 billion and reads a recent internal ECB memo, also
Robotics & Artificial
counting, according to the World Bank. strategically leaked.
Using Russia’s money to offset those A similar tussle may be brewing in the Intelligence ETF
enormous costs seems simple enough, as a U.S., Keitner says: Bipartisan legislation to
matter of justice. The legality and long-
term advisability of such a strategy are
anything but.
If security of borders is a bedrock prin-
ciple of the post–World War II interna-
tional order, so is the security of assets,
redeploy Russian reserves is steaming
through Congress; the Federal Reserve,
which actually holds them, remains skep-
tical. “Central bankers hate this because
they devote their careers to maintaining
stability in markets,” she comments.
BOTZ
sovereign assets especially. “A lot of schol- Daleep Singh, a U.S. deputy national
ars have been scratching their heads over security adviser turned chief global econo-
the past year over how to do something mist at asset manager PGIM, shrugs off
like this legally,” says Chimène Keitner, the threat of other countries taking their
1 (888) 493-8631
who teaches international law at the Uni- savings elsewhere. The dollar and euro
versity of California College of the Law, account for 80% of global reserves be- GLOBALXETFS.COM
San Francisco. tween them, with no viable competitor in
Head-scratching extends to where all sight, he argues.
that money actually is, and who controls it. He proposed his own workaround in a
Most of it, maybe $200 billion, seems to be recent Barron’s essay: using the Russian ®
parked in the euro zone. Moscow was sovereign reserves as collateral for future Beyond Ordinary ETFs
wary of holding dollars before the current Ukrainian reconstruction borrowing. “So
conflict. Member states hold jurisdiction long as other reserve holders don’t invade Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The Fund
over assets on their soil. another country, they should feel safe,” he invests in companies engaged in Information Technology, which can be
So the theoretical biggest player is Bel- says in a separate interview. affected by rapid product obsolescence and intense industry competition.
gium, because clearing house Euroclear is In the real world, those $300 billion- BOTZ is non-diversified.
headquartered in Brussels. Belgium is plus-interest in Russian reserves loom as a
most unlikely to act unilaterally, though, significant chip in eventual talks to end the Carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risk factors, charges
observes Timothy Ash, senior sovereign Ukrainian war. They are a ready-made pile and expenses before investing. This and additional information can be
strategist at BlueBay Asset Management. of reparations, though Russia would have found in the Fund’s full or summary prospectus, which are available at
European Commission President Ursula to experience a crushing battlefield defeat
globalxetfs.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
von der Leyen is floating a first-step com- before accepting that. On the other hand, if
promise: taxing the investment gains on Moscow wants its money back, it will have Shares of ETFs are bought and sold at market price (not NAV)
Russia’s immobilized billions for Ukraine’s to satisfy Western conditions. and are not individually redeemed from the Fund. Brokerage
benefit, without touching the principal. The past week’s events show the situa- commissions will reduce returns. Distributed by SEI Investments
That could produce some $6 billion a year, tion on the ground could change rapidly. Distribution Co.
assuming the current 3% yield on Europe’s It’s good that Ukraine’s allies are thinking
lowest-risk instrument, German bunds. about Russia’s immobilized reserves now. B
32 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
T H E ST RIKING PRIC E
As a potential civil war erupted in Russia, most of
Wall Street was debating the power of artificial
intelligence to help or harm stock prices.
210
185
28
160
BY STEVEN M. SEARS Reinvest the dividends. If you have the
wherewithal, curate the stock with put and 135
A
chasm exists between what we call options. The goal with options is sim- 20
110
know about the world around us ple: Try to match or exceed the quarterly
and what we think we know. stock dividend. If the dividend is 90 cents, 85
The point was raised once for example, try to match or exceed that 12 60
more as the world recently watched in payment without taking on too much risk A S O N D J F M A M J A S O N D J F M A M J
surprise as the fierce mercenary Wagner in the options market. Daily Values Source: CBOE Source: McMillan Analysis Corp.
Group rumbled toward Moscow in what The world is volatile, and options, per-
seemed an effort to topple Vladimir Putin, haps more than other investments, allow
one of the world’s most powerful leaders. investors to harness volatility, which might SPX Skew NDX Skew
Few investors, if any, had even consid- otherwise encourage bad decisions. Inves- Implied volatility % Implied volatility %
ered that Putin could face a revolt from tors too often react badly to unexpected 13% 11%
mercenaries who have long been thought stock swoons or surges. Options can help 12
of as administers of the Russian presi- them manage stocks to lessen that urge. 10
11
dent’s will across the globe. Had the Wag- Pick just about any quality stock that 9
ner Group’s war convoy not stopped a few you own or that intrigues you. To buy the 10
hours outside Moscow, we might have wit- stock below the current price, sell a put 9 8
nessed the start of the collapse of one of option that expires in one month and that 8
7
the world’s greatest powers. has a strike price that is 5% to 10% below
7
As a potential civil war erupted in Rus- the stock price. (Puts let investors sell 6
6
sia, most of Wall Street was debating the stocks at predetermined prices and times.)
power of artificial intelligence to help or If the stock advances, you keep the put 5 5
harm stock prices. Almost no one had pre- premium. If it falls, buy the stock. Either A S O N D J F M A M J A S O N D J F M A M J
pared for what might happen if a nuclear way, you generate income or get paid by Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy
power were controlled by mercenaries who the options market to buy a good stock that Skew indicates whether the options market expects a stock-market advance or decline. It measures the difference between the implied
volatility of puts and calls that are 10% out of the money and expire in three months. Higher readings are bearish.
operate an international business empire. you wanted to own.
Yet we persist with this false notion that To generate income, or to sell a stock
we have meaningful insights because we above the current market price, sell a call Week’s Most Active
live with algorithms, data, powerful com- option that expires in one month and that Company Symbol Tot Vol Calls Puts Avg Tot Vol IV %ile Ratio
puters, and a continuous news cycle. Most has a strike price that is about 10% above Black Diamond Therapeutics BDTX 36371 17629 18742 116 94 313.5
AC Immunce ACIU 8316 6533 1783 76 97 109.4
everyone has become so overconfident on the stock price. (Calls let investors buy Apartment Investment AIV 22918 22825 93 424 65 54.1
what they think they know that they feel stocks at predetermined prices and times.) Xponential Fitness XPOF 30781 20188 10593 684 51 45.0
and talk like experts on politics and pan- If the stock advances, you can sell the Immunome IMNM 2841 2437 404 96 98 29.6
Cara Therapeutics CARA 9454 9179 275 452 92 20.9
demics and medicine and investing and stock at the higher price, or, even better, American Equity Invt Life AEL 4301 1263 3038 216 0 19.9
whatever else. Ask your doctor friends adjust the call to avoid assignment and sell Bausch & Lomb BLCO 4991 1793 3198 264 0 18.9
about how many times they have argued another call at a higher strike price. Kaleyra KLR 9066 3479 5587 488 95 18.6
Enfusion ENFN 3368 2338 1030 232 30 14.5
with, or been lectured by, patients who Of course, all of this takes some energy,
Albertson’s ACI 30829 27362 3467 3328 11 9.3
consult Dr. Internet. and maybe even a little real expertise. But Joby Aviation JOBY 116742 77705 39037 12856 98 9.1
We have long argued that investors not much. Just set aside the overconfident World Wrestling Entertainment WWE 13926 9418 4508 1536 23 9.1
would be much more successful if they pontification and focus on discipline and Protagonist Therapeutics PTGX 10841 7469 3372 1244 79 8.7
Freyr Battery FREY 28007 18276 9731 3912 24 7.2
focused on financial facts made truer by action to turn your portfolio into a com- NanoString Technologies NSTG 14925 13157 1768 2076 84 7.2
time—for example, that dividends and pounding machine. B XPO XPO 34326 22972 11354 5944 47 5.8
inflation have historically generated about Rite Aid RAD 27814 20280 7534 5132 85 5.4
Abcam ABCM 4369 4278 91 844 84 5.2
50% of historical stock returns—rather Steven M. Sears is the president and chief oper-
FingerMotion FNGR 20158 18569 1589 4560 94 4.4
than chasing after the next hot stock. Such ating officer of Options Solutions, a specialized
actions might even help us to avert Amer- asset-management firm. Neither he nor the firm This table of the most active options this week, as compared to average weekly activity – not just raw volume. The idea is that the unusually heavy trading in these options might be a predictor of
corporate activity – takeovers, earnings surprises, earnings pre-announcements, biotech FDA hearings or drug trial result announcements, and so forth. Dividend arbitrage has been eliminated. In
ica’s retirement crisis. has a position in the options or underlying securi- short, this list attempts to identify where heavy speculation is taking place. These options are likely to be expensive in comparison to their usual pricing levels. Furthermore, many of these
situations may be rumor-driven. Most rumors do not prove to be true, so one should be aware of these increased risks if trading in these names
Pick just about any blue-chip stock. ties mentioned in this column. Ratio is the Tot Vol divided by Avg Tot Vol. IV %ile is how expensive the options are on a scale from 0 to 100. Source: McMillan Analysis
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 33
I NS ID E SC O O P
equivalent of 2,183,333 shares. All POWER PLAY
but 50,000 of those Motorcar Parts
M&A Could
shares may be granted upon con-
version of 10% convertible promis-
sory notes. The 50,000 common
Come Back
shares were purchased by Bison
Capital on June 23 at a price of
I
junction with the notes purchase,
Bison Capital co-founder Doug t has been a tough start to the
Trussler was appointed to Motor- year for deal making, but
BY ED LIN company’s largest shareholder. car Parts’ board on March 31. Wall Street is hopeful that
L
The stock options had been set to things will turn around in
arry Ellison, Oracle’s expire on July 1. the back half of 2023.
founder and current chair-
man, followed his first stock
Oracle didn’t respond to a request
to make Ellison available for com- Oracle founder Decreases in U.S. merger-and-acquisi-
tion volume totaled $219 bil-
sales in two years with an-
other large sale.
Oracle stock (ticker:
ment.
The sales came on the heels of
similar transactions between June 20
and current chair-
man Larry Ellison
just sold another
Holdings lion in the second quarter, accord-
ing to a tally by KPMG. That’s
down 8% from the prior quarter
ORCL) has climbed more and June 22 that also saw Ellison $208 million of Eagle Bulk Shipping and 50% from the year-ago quarter.
than 40% this year, thanks to a surge exercise stock options, and then sell shares of the soft- (EGLE) It’s less than a third of the $736
in earnings from artificial-intelligence $640 million of stock. Those were his ware giant. It fol- Oaktree Capital liquidated its billion in volume seen during fren-
customers. first sales in two years. lowed his first interest in the shipping-vessel oper- zied deal making in the first quar-
On June 23, Ellison used options Ellison hasn’t managed Oracle for sales in two years. ator through a June 22 securities ter of 2021. That has been bad news
that he had been awarded earlier to buy fir some time. Barron’s has noted that purchase agreement. Through that for investment bankers who count
1.75 million Oracle shares for $52.7 while Ellison often overshadows CEO agreement, Eagle Bulk Shipping on advisory fees. Already Citi-
million, or $30.11 a share. He then sold Safra Catz, she is most responsible for purchased 3,781,561 of its shares, group (ticker: C), Goldman Sachs
the same number of shares that day for transforming the software company nearly 28% of the outstanding Group (GS), Morgan Stanley
$208 million, at an average price of into a cloud and AI player. Catz stock, directly from Oaktree Capital (MS), and other banks have culled
$118.79 each. brought Oracle’s traditional enter- at a price of $58 apiece. Those their workforces amid a deal-mak-
Ellison’s stock ownership remains at prise-software customers online to the shares were Oaktree Capital’s long ing slump.
1.15 billion shares, according to a form company’s cloud-computing business, remaining stake in the shipping The reasons for languishing cor-
he filed with the Securities and Ex- which now competes with Ama- firm, a position that hadn’t changed porate marriages are manifold:
change Commission. His Oracle stake zon.com (AMZN), Microsoft since early April 2021. rapidly rising interest rates make
is more than 40%, making him the (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL). B acquisitions expensive to finance,
Dice Therapeutics (DICE) uncertain economic conditions
Northpond Ventures slashed its make buyers and sellers hesitant to
position in the pharmaceutical move forward, and regulators have
company as it took advantage of taken a harsher stance on mergers
Holdings
switched to an active investor as it 5% in any class of a lion deal to acquire Dice Thera- Janet Yellen sees banking mergers
company’s securities.
plans to meet with Cardlytic’s C- Subsequent changes peutics before the market opened picking up.
suite to discuss “opportunities to in holdings or inten- on June 20, propelling Dice stock Cathy Bedrick, U.S. financial due
tions must be re-
enhance stockholder value,” in- Motorcar Parts of America ported in amended
to open at $46.55, a 37.5% jump diligence leader at KPMG, said in a
cluding through improved opera- (MPAA) filings. This material is from the previous trading day’s recent presentation, “People are
tional efficiencies, capital structure, Bison Capital Partners raised its from June 22 through closing price. Lilly said the trans- still going to do deals at 5% and 6%
June 28, 2023.
and board composition. CAS In- economic interest in the maker of af- Source: VerityData action is expected to close in the rates, but they’re not going to do
vestment noted that it supports termarket automotive parts to the (verityplatform.com). third quarter. deals when they don’t know where
it’s going to go.”
Bankers are hoping she’s right.
34 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
CH ARTING T HE MA R K E T
A graphic look at selected stock activity
for the week ended June 30, 2023
Edited by Bill Alpert
The charts record the net change in share price, the high, low and closing trades, and share volume for companies with noteworthy stock activity last week. In addition, the graphs depict last week’s daily price activity in detail. The dotted line on some graphs denotes the stock’s 200-day moving average; lack of a moving average means the shares have traded for less than
that time period. If the close from the current week is lower than a year ago the graph will be presented in red. If the close from the current week is higher than a year ago then the graph will be presented in green.
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 35
W I N N E R S & LO S E R S
Saturday Inbox: Sign up for the
Market Lab Newsletter every Saturday
at Barrons.com/newsletters
NYSE Biggest % Movers NYSE Most Active NYSE American Most Active Nasdaq Most Active
Winners Volume Percentage Leaders Volume Percentage Leaders Volume Percentage Leaders
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change
Kaleyra(KLR) 8472 6.74 +2.71 +67.2 GenAsia I A(GAQ) 3230 7215.5 10.52 +0.02 GalataAcqn(GLTA) 1503 657.8 10.59 +0.03 Pharvaris(PHVS) 1285 1912.3 15.14 +3.54
JobyAviation(JOBY) 179694 10.26 +3.94 +62.3 SDCLEDGEAcqn(SEDA) 1504 1399.7 10.44 +0.01 FriedmanInds(FRD) 195 316.1 12.60 +2.94 AuraFatProjectsA(AFAR) 1829 1370.0 10.58 –0.02
IonQ(IONQ) 94562 13.53 +4.16 +44.4 AresAcqnA(AAC) 12744 1145.9 10.57 +0.05 BlackSpadeA(BSAQ) 1582 263.3 10.34 +0.01 Fortrea(FTREV) 3015 1351.0 34.01 +0.26
AlticeUSA(ATUS) 34672 3.02 +0.89 +41.8 AfterNextA(AFTR) 1904 954.2 10.36 +0.00 51TalkOnlineEd(COE) 121 193.3 8.90 +1.91 FibroGen(FGEN) 61911 1036.5 2.70 –13.35
Greenbrier(GBX) 3776 43.10 +11.69 +37.2 XponentialFit(XPOF) 25826 783.4 17.25 –8.35 AultAlliance(AULT) 421 109.3 5.15 –2.85 GlblBlockchain(GBBK) 939 964.0 10.44 0.00
XPeng(XPEV) 97512 13.42 +3.52 +35.6 Doma(DOMA) 1742 737.6 4.94 –0.63 AditEdTechA(ADEX) 79 71.1 10.56 –0.03 Strattec(STRT) 280 872.4 18.14 +0.64
FreyrBattery(FREY) 24780 9.35 +2.33 +33.2 CorsairPtrA(CORS) 3013 728.9 10.36 +0.01 DeltaApparel(DLA) 125 45.0 10.48 –0.52 AN2 Therap(ANTX) 2644 852.7 8.50 +1.05
Offerpad(OPAD) 725 12.96 +2.97 +29.7 JobyAviation(JOBY) 179694 712.1 10.26 +3.94 EVI Industries(EVI) 173 34.8 22.00 –0.30 CompassDigitalAcqn(CDAQ) 1434 788.7 10.35 +0.01
LiveOakCrestA(LOCC) 1540 632.4 10.25 –0.02 Cryo-Cell(CCEL) 53 29.8 6.08 –0.16 MercurySystems(MRCY) 10901 471.6 34.59 –0.28
Losers TristarAcqnI(TRIS) 968 577.5 10.47 –0.01 BattalionOil(BATL) 120 27.1 5.71 +0.06 TyraBiosciences(TYRA) 1231 426.1 17.03 –0.48
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
FreedomI A(FACT) 1183 465.9 10.60 +0.07 ContangoOre(CTGO) 100 22.5 25.48 +0.98 MGE Energy(MGEE) 2244 422.4 79.11 +3.24
XponentialFit(XPOF) 25826 17.25 –8.35 –32.6 AndrettiAcqnA(WNNR) 2353 451.6 10.64 0.00 EvolutionPetrol(EPM) 2096 21.6 8.07 +0.16 LFCapAcqnIIA(LFAC) 755 393.2 10.68 +0.03
Leju(LEJU) 675 2.31 –0.97 –29.6 CircorIntl(CIR) 7486 390.3 56.45 +8.51 BK Tech(BKTI) 58 17.6 16.56 –0.05 ChengheAcqnA(CHEA) 1203 376.5 10.70 +0.05
SuperGroup(SGHC) 4526 2.90 –0.92 –24.1 ComputeHlthA(CPUH) 669 347.4 10.67 +0.02 GencorInds(GENC) 298 17.1 15.58 +1.04 FTACEmeraldA(EMLD) 1023 363.4 10.35 0.00
EmergentBiosol(EBS) 7677 7.35 –1.97 –21.1 M3-BrigadeIII A(MBSC) 914 280.5 10.45 –0.01 BluerockHomes(BHM) 185 15.1 16.14 +0.46 CoStar(CSGP) 47078 344.9 89.00 +2.25
OneConnectFin(OCFT) 2074 3.30 –0.80 –19.5 AmerEquity(AEL) 11011 277.9 52.11 +11.44 CaledoniaMining(CMCL) 555 8.1 11.62 –1.03 UTA Acqn A(UTAA) 1780 344.0 10.55 –0.03
ATI PhysTherapy(ATIP) 418 9.15 –1.98 –17.8 EmpresaDisCom(EDN) 594 272.8 15.42 +0.77 CoreMoldingTech(CMT) 399 –0.1 22.75 +2.56 Collplant(CLGN) 173 337.8 8.16 +0.19
Waterdrop(WDH) 7191 2.08 –0.35 –14.4 LomaNegra(LOMA) 3462 240.5 6.80 +0.15 IssuerDirect(ISDR) 28 –4.9 18.79 –0.71 ChipMOSTechs(IMOS) 307 330.5 23.69 –1.72
Lanvin(LANV) 1722 4.82 –0.80 –14.2 ATI PhysTherapy(ATIP) 418 228.2 9.15 –1.98 EVeMobilityA(EVE) 1564 –8.4 10.51 +0.09 Overstock(OSTK) 31646 320.3 32.57 +8.66
MiX Telematics(MIXT) 262 221.9 6.32 +0.24 Chase(CCF) 143 –9.4 121.22 –0.73 Telesat(TSAT) 344 312.6 9.42 +0.48
NYSE American Biggest % Movers By Share Volume By Share Volume By Share Volume
Winners Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Carnival(CCL) 441593 18.83 +3.03 +19.2 Senseonics(SENS) 41731 0.76 –0.05 –6.6 Tesla(TSLA) 747974 261.77 +5.17 +2.0
FriedmanInds(FRD) 195 12.60 +2.94 +30.4 FordMotor(F) 265041 15.13 +1.11 +7.9 TherivaBio(TOVX) 41671 1.00 +0.30 +42.9 Lucid(LCID) 396493 6.89 +1.42 +26.0
51TalkOnlineEd(COE) 121 8.90 +1.91 +27.3 PalantirTech(PLTR) 260370 15.33 +1.30 +9.3 Tellurian(TELL) 30386 1.41 +0.09 +6.8 AdvMicroDevices(AMD) 307022 113.91 +3.90 +3.5
ArenaGroup(AREN) 671 4.58 +0.92 +25.1 NIO(NIO) 253955 9.69 +1.26 +14.9 DSS(DSS) 29829 0.36 +0.12 +48.4 Apple(AAPL) 280820 193.97 +7.29 +3.9
AmbiparEmergency(AMBI) 353 9.70 +1.50 +18.3 VirginGalactic(SPCE) 250004 3.88 –0.46 –10.6 B2Gold(BTG) 24691 3.57 0.00 0.0 Amazon.com(AMZN) 253411 130.36 +1.03 +0.8
TimberPharm(TMBR) 700 2.43 +0.37 +18.0 BankofAmerica(BAC) 243042 28.69 +0.94 +3.4 NavideaBiopharm(NAVB) 23132 0.09 –0.00 –3.2 NVIDIA(NVDA) 251504 423.02 +0.93 +0.2
CoreMoldingTech(CMT) 399 22.75 +2.56 +12.7 JobyAviation(JOBY) 179694 10.26 +3.94 +62.3 DenisonMines(DNN) 18891 1.25 +0.07 +5.9 SoFiTech(SOFI) 249906 8.34 +0.06 +0.7
RegionalHealth(RHE) 43 3.60 +0.38 +12.0 Pfizer(PFE) 175732 36.68 –1.62 –4.2 UraniumEner(UEC) 18293 3.40 –0.01 –0.3 Nikola(NKLA) 234958 1.38 +0.09 +7.0
DecisionPointSys(DPSI) 43 5.50 +0.51 +10.2 AT&T(T) 153952 15.95 +0.50 +3.2 Zomedica(ZOM) 16132 0.20 +0.00 +1.3 BlackDiamond(BDTX) 234946 5.05 +3.23 +177.5
Uber(UBER) 137400 43.17 –0.17 –0.4 Globalstar(GSAT) 15206 1.08 +0.11 +11.2 Intel(INTC) 177661 33.44 +0.44 +1.3
Losers Snap(SNAP) 135487 11.84 +1.02 +9.4 Cybin(CYBN) 12034 0.38 +0.09 +33.1 Rivian(RIVN) 170635 16.66 +3.13 +23.1
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
SouthwesternEner(SWN) 128191 6.01 +0.51 +9.3 NewGold(NGD) 11764 1.08 +0.02 +1.9 OpendoorTech(OPEN) 160717 4.02 +1.09 +37.2
KartoonStudios(TOON) 10358 1.91 –1.33 –41.0 C3.ai(AI) 123465 36.43 +3.04 +9.1 NovaGoldRscs(NG) 11555 3.99 –0.59 –12.9 Alphabet A(GOOGL) 154180 119.70 –2.64 –2.2
AultAlliance(AULT) 421 5.15 –2.85 –35.6 Carvana(CVNA) 113906 25.92 +4.51 +21.1 KartoonStudios(TOON) 10358 1.91 –1.33 –41.0 MicronTech(MU) 141809 63.11 –2.17 –3.3
LoopMedia(LPTV) 827 2.39 –0.51 –17.6 NorwegCruise(NCLH) 105537 21.77 +2.37 +12.2 DunxinFinl(DXF) 10265 0.14 –0.00 –1.3 Canoo(GOEV) 134192 0.48 –0.02 –4.1
Azitra(AZTR) 179 3.64 –0.64 –15.0 PG&E(PCG) 104085 17.28 +0.39 +2.3 i-80Gold(IAUX) 8649 2.25 +0.09 +4.2 AmerAirlines(AAL) 127095 17.94 +1.68 +10.3
NovaGoldRscs(NG) 11555 3.99 –0.59 –12.9 PetroleoBrasil(PBR) 101944 13.83 –0.26 –1.8 Ur-Energy(URG) 8012 1.05 +0.04 +4.0 Alphabet C(GOOG) 112439 120.97 –2.05 –1.7
Espey(ESP) 28 16.75 –2.26 –11.9 AMC Ent(AMC) 101302 4.40 +0.39 +9.7 RingEnergy(REI) 7948 1.71 –0.01 –0.6 QurateRetailA(QRTEA) 111388 0.99 +0.12 +14.2
ProtalixBio(PLX) 4750 2.00 –0.24 –10.7 NuHoldings(NU) 99454 7.89 +0.33 +4.4 GeniusGroup(GNS) 7367 0.70 –0.01 –1.0 Microsoft(MSFT) 109405 340.54 +5.52 +1.6
CaledoniaMining(CMCL) 555 11.62 –1.03 –8.1 XPeng(XPEV) 97512 13.42 +3.52 +35.6 EquinoxGold(EQX) 6870 4.58 –0.02 –0.4 CoinbaseGlbl(COIN) 108506 71.55 +10.08 +16.4
Includes Common shares only. All figures reflect activity for the most-recent five-day trading week. Share volume figures are expressed in thousands. Volume percentage leaders exclude stocks with average daily volume of fewer than 5,000 shares or priced under $5.
Average volume is based on 65 trading days. Volume figures do not reflect extended trading hours. a-Stock has not been in existence or not been traded for 65 consecutive sessions. S-Stock split or stock dividend amounting to 10% or more. X-Ex-dividend
36 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
RE SEARCH REPORTS
For a look back at more analyst
research and reports, go online to
Barrons.com/researchreports
or other services to largest US e-commerce retailer be- flexible operating expense (as seen
the companies being hind Amazon, Apple, Walmart, and during the pandemic); 5) generative AI
analyzed.
eBay. And the annual spend on its applications, internally and externally; Insider Transactions Ratio
co-branded American Express 5) stable earnings and free-cash-flow
40
SkyMiles credit card is now ap- growth in the near to medium term; 6)
proaching 1% of US GDP. Airline balance-sheet leverage within bounds;
demand continues to be very strong 7) not shy of buybacks; and 8) unde- 30
as the company heads into the peak manding valuation. Price targets: $29 Bearish
Barron's 50-Stock Average 51 Dow Jones Per Share Values 50 Mutual Funds 47 Week In Stocks 50
DATA
Cash Track 47 Exchange Traded Portfolios 46 N.Y. Stock Exchange 37 Weekly Bond Statistics 52
Charting the Market 34 Federal Reserve Data Bank 52 Nasdaq National Market 41 Winners & Losers Stocks 35
Coming Earnings 11 Foreign Exchange 51 New Corporate Listings 50
Conference Call Calendar 51 Gold & Silver Prices 52 New Highs & Lows 53
Delta Tactical Sentiment 51 Gold Mining Index 52 NYSE Half-Hourly Volume 50
Distributions & Offerings 50 Indexes P/Es & Yields 50 Other Market Indexes 49
Dividend Boosts - Reductions 52 Initial Public Offerings 50 Pulse of the Economy 51
Dividend Ex-Payment Dates 52 Investor Sentiment Readings 50 Stock Splits - Special Dividends 52
DJ Averages 49 Key Foreign Market Indexes 45 Stock Volume 50
DJ U.S. Total Market Industry Groups 51 Market Lab 49 Trading Diary 49
Contact Us
Dow Jones Averages 49 Money Rates, U.S. & Foreign 51 Vital Signs 29 For queries, email us at
Statistics from June 26-30, 2023 [email protected]
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE COMPOSITE LIST - NEW HIGHS - NEW LOWS
–52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div
High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
13.17 2.01 AlticeUSA ATUS ... 58 3.02 +0.89 ... 122.50 90.23 Aptargroup ATR 1.3 33 115.86 +3.03 .38 220.42 153.07 Avalonbay AVB 3.5 26 189.27 +7.90 1.65 68.78 53.15 BlackKnight BKI ... 40 59.73 +2.73 ...
A 10.88 9.80 AltimarAcqnIIIA ATAQ ... 24 10.27 +0.04 ... 124.88 77.96 Aptiv APTV ... 46 102.09 +4.69 ... 51.71 36.81 Avangrid AGR 4.7 21 37.68 +0.49 .44 11.05 9.93 BlackMountainA BMAC ... 83 10.60 +0.03 ...
58.36 33.75 AAR AIR ... 23 57.76 +2.64 ... 48.11 40.35 Altria MO 8.3 15 45.30 +1.88 .94 45.72 29.67 Aramark ARMK 1.0 46 43.05 +3.76 .11 31.99 19.32 AvanosMedical AVNS ... 28 25.56 –0.32 ... 7.20 3.17 BlackBerry BB ... dd 5.53 +0.74 ...
50.20 37.68 ABMIndustries ABM 2.1 15 42.65 +2.12 .22 14.72 4.08 AltusPower AMPS ... dd 5.40 +0.24 ... 16.77 10.10 ArborRealty ABR 10.9 9 14.82 +1.17 .42 32.77 17.91 Avantor AVTR ... 23 20.54 +0.87 ... 785.65 503.12 BlackRock BLK 2.9 21 691.14 +10.695.00
17.75 11.15 AmbacFin AMBC ... 1 14.24 +0.60 ... 32.49 19.25 ArcelorMittal MT ... 4 27.34 +0.59 ... 204.37 157.28 AveryDennison AVY 1.9 21 171.80 +3.95 .81 2.98 1.12 BlackSkyTech BKSY ... dd 2.22 +0.29 ...
7.28 4.27 ACCO Brands ACCO 5.8 dd 5.21 +0.23 .075
3.24 2.40 Ambev ABEV 3.4 18 3.18 –0.02.1457 173.90 102.42 ArchResources ARCH .9 2 112.76 +1.28 2.20 49.73 27.65 Avient AVNT 2.4 43 40.90 +2.26.2475 110.90 71.72 Blackstone BX 4.2 cc 92.97 +5.13 .82
10.72 7.23 AcresCmclRlty ACR ... dd 8.84 +0.59 ...
13.37 9.53 Amcor AMCR 4.9 15 9.98 +0.11.1225 4.98 1.62 ArcherAviation ACHR ... dd 4.12 +0.74 ... 45.29 35.72 Avista AVA 4.7 21 39.27 +0.85 .46 31.46 16.61 BlackstoneMtg BXMT11.9 14 20.81 +1.41 .62
10.88 1.85 ADC Therap ADCT ... dd 2.15 +0.10 ...
97.53 73.28 Ameren AEE 3.1 20 81.67 +0.84 .63 98.28 69.92 ADM ADM 2.4 9 75.56 +2.66 .45 33.08 20.66 AxaltaCoating AXTA ... 35 32.81 +1.52 ... 3.82 0.53 BlendLabs BLND ... dd .95 +0.09 ...
10.10 4.89 ADT ADT 2.3 cc 6.03 +0.17 .035
76.54 39.62 Ameresco AMRC ... 33 48.63 +1.50 ... 11.49 6.28 Archrock AROC 5.9 27 10.25 +0.31 .15 51.46 33.15 AxosFinancial AX ... 9 39.44 +2.80 ... 48.76 28.83 BlockHR HRB 3.6 11 31.87 –0.73 .29
92.16 61.96 AECOM ACM .8 32 84.69 –0.30 .18
23.07 16.09 AmericaMovil AMX 1.6 17 21.64 +0.15.1967 30.68 16.33 Arconic ARNC ... dd 29.58 +0.30 ... 13.78 3.82 Azul AZUL ... dd 13.69 +0.41 ... 93.19 51.34 Block SQ ... dd 66.57 +3.71 ...
29.89 18.90 AES AES 3.2 dd 20.73 +0.30.1659
30.81 16.04 AmericanAssets AAT 6.9 25 19.20 +1.12 .33 10.30 6.23 ArcosDorados ARCO 1.9 14 10.25 +0.30 .04 13.78 1.50 AzurePowerGlbl AZRE ... ... 1.77 +0.16 ... 31.47 12.33 BloomEnergy BE ... dd 16.35 +0.91 ...
74.02 53.04 Aflac AFL 2.4 10 69.80 +2.66 .42
11.96 6.61 AmericanAxle AXL ... 17 8.27 +0.54 ... 76.69 43.52 Arcosa ACA .3 13 75.77 +4.18 .05 98.64 4.91 BlueApron APRN ... dd 5.84 –0.54 ...
145.53 88.55 AGCO AGCO .9 10 131.42 +1.655.00 B
17.09 9.46 AmerEagle AEO 3.4 21 11.80 +0.33 .10 36.13 15.70 ArcusBiosci RCUS ... dd 20.31 +1.07 ... 14.04 8.06 BlueOwlCapital OWL 4.8 cc 11.65 +0.63 .14
8.39 3.52 AG Mortgage MITT12.3 dd 6.12 +0.02 .18
53.68 28.05 AmerEquity AEL .7 11 52.11 +11.44 .36 6.98 3.31 ArdaghMetalPkg AMBP10.6 13 3.76 +0.42 .10 35.94 16.24 BluegreenVac BVH 2.2 11 35.65 +2.50 .20
3.23 0.30 a.k.a.Brands AKA ... dd .43 +0.02 ... 2.74 1.00 Bark BARK ... dd 1.33 –0.09 ...
182.15 130.65 AmerExpress AXP 1.4 18 174.20 +6.13 .60 19.41 6.32 ArdmoreShipping ASC 13.0 3 12.35 –0.23 .35 96.34 57.50 BlueLinx BXC ... 5 93.78 +4.13 ...
16.89 3.77 AMC Ent AMC ... dd 4.40 +0.39 ... 26.13 10.91 B&G Foods BGS 5.5 dd 13.92 –0.18 .19
150.98 111.55 AmericanFin AFG 2.1 12 118.75 +2.72 .63 10.58 9.82 AresAcqnA AAC ... dd 10.57 +0.05 ... 10.51 9.71 BluescapeOppsAcqn BOAC ... 84 10.00 +0.03 ...
129.04 81.15 AMN Healthcare AMN ... 12 109.12 +5.22 ... 51.11 39.88 BCE BCE 6.4 21 45.59 +1.01.7243
38.94 28.79 AmHomes4Rent AMH 2.5 40 35.45 +1.73 .22 10.19 10.10 AresAcqnII A AACT ... ... 10.15 +0.01 ... 223.91 120.99 Boeing BA ... dd 211.16 +5.75 ...
2555.30 6.10 AMTD Digital HKD ... ... 6.45 –0.06 ... 6.30 2.00 BEST BEST ... dd 2.13 +0.12 ...
64.88 45.66 AIG AIG 2.5 8 57.54 +2.32 .36 14.01 7.52 AresCommRealEst ACRE13.0 71 10.15 +0.19 .02 90.72 55.14 BoiseCascade BCC .7 6 90.35 +10.283.00
25.80 1.44 AMTD IDEA AMTD ... 2 1.58 +0.04 ... 16.02 8.85 BGSF BGSF 6.3 11 9.53 –0.27 .15
31.59 13.35 AmRltyInv ARL ... 1 21.78 –0.22 ... 97.34 56.43 AresMgmt ARES 3.2 89 96.35 +5.94 .77 88.80 50.20 BootBarn BOOT ... 15 84.69 +5.65 ...
11.18 10.02 AP Acqn A APCA ... cc 10.76 ... ... 71.52 46.92 BHP Group BHP 8.8 8 59.67 +0.36 1.80
100.51 77.91 AmerStWater AWR 1.8 33 87.00 +2.36.3975 45.27 31.26 Argan AGX 2.5 20 39.41 +0.75 .25 112.55 87.99 BoozAllen BAH 1.7 55 111.60 +4.16 .47
3.87 2.11 ARC Document ARC 6.2 13 3.24 +0.33 .05 179.85 68.30 BILL BILL ... dd 116.85 +8.66 ...
43.52 6.70 AmerStratInvt NYC ... dd 7.91 +0.91 ... 37.63 19.00 ArgoGroup ARGO 4.2 dd 29.61 +0.10 .31 3.90 0.69 BoqiiHolding BQ ... dd 1.67 –0.26 ...
9.03 4.45 ASE Tech ASX 5.5 9 7.79 –0.87.5714 8.60 1.40 BitMining BTCM ... dd 2.70 +0.08 ...
282.47 178.17 AmerTowerREIT AMT 3.2 65 193.94 +7.91 1.57 23.58 6.69 ArisWater ARIS 3.5 43 10.32 +1.12 .09 51.14 31.14 BorgWarner BWA 1.4 12 48.91 +3.68 .17
106.88 63.27 ASGN ASGN ... 15 75.63 +5.31 ... 80.41 60.33 BJ'sWholesale BJ ... 17 63.01 +0.12 ...
24.38 15.01 AmerVanguard AVD .7 27 17.87 +0.65 .03 178.36 91.31 AristaNetworks ANET ... 34 162.06 +13.24 ... 42.00 40.00 BorgWarnerWi BWA.WI ... ... 42.00 ... ...
21.53 14.46 AT&T T 7.0 dd 15.95 +0.50.2775 41.38 25.37 BP BP 4.2 4 35.29 +0.48.3966
162.59 122.77 AmerWaterWorks AWK 2.0 31 142.75 –3.01.7075 4.64 2.53 ArlingtonAsset AAIC ... 42 4.63 +0.34 ... 8.13 2.45 BorrDrilling BORR ... dd 7.53 +1.17 ...
44.39 20.52 ATI ATI ... 39 44.23 +4.98 ... 22.20 4.52 BP Prudhoe BPT 76.6 1 4.56 –0.60.2974
5.43 1.95 AmericanWell AMWL ... dd 2.10 –0.02 ... 11.31 2.93 ArloTech ARLO ... dd 10.91 +1.74 ... 422.75 299.26 BostonBeer SAM ... 63 308.44 –4.26 ...
85.50 7.55 ATI PhysTherapy ATIP ... dd 9.15 –1.98 ... 32.99 21.49 AmericoldRealty COLD 2.7 dd 32.30 +1.41 .22 14.62 10.04 ArmadaHoffler AHH 6.7 18 11.68 +0.21 .195 11.07 4.79 BRC BRCC ... dd 5.16 –0.22 ...
48.44 26.03 ATS ATS ... 44 46.09 +0.39 ... 3.42 1.06 BRF BRFS ... dd 1.90 –0.10 ... 29.40 18.36 BostonOmaha BOC ... dd 18.82 +0.32 ...
357.46 219.99 Ameriprise AMP 1.6 17 332.16 +15.14 1.35 7.98 4.38 ArmourResREIT ARR 18.0 dd 5.33 +0.24 .08 91.71 46.18 BostonProps BXP 6.8 12 57.59 +6.09 .98
19.79 12.61 A10Networks ATEN 1.6 25 14.59 +0.07 .06 193.44 135.14 AmerisourceBrgn ABC 1.0 25 192.43 +4.76 .485 94.94 62.03 ArmstrongWorld AWI 1.4 17 73.46 +2.97 .254 25.67 16.43 BRT Apartments BRT 5.1 11 19.80 +0.70 .25
63.99 48.32 AXIS Capital AXS 3.3 21 53.83 +0.17 .44 71.94 49.14 BWX Tech BWXT 1.3 27 71.57 +3.97 .23 54.75 36.15 BostonSci BSX ... 92 54.09 +0.12 ...
162.69 106.98 Ametek AME .6 31 161.88 +5.82 .25 145.05 89.38 ArrowElec ARW ... 7 143.23 +8.15 ... 17.45 10.47 Bowlero BOWL ... dd 11.64 +0.02 ...
30.53 15.12 AZEK AZEK ... cc 30.29 +2.62 ... 3.71 1.24 AmnealPharm AMRX ... dd 3.10 +0.22 ... 40.68 25.67 ArtisanPtrsAsset APAM 5.6 14 39.31 +3.06 .50 8.66 3.89 Babcock&Wilcox BW ... dd 5.90 –0.44 ...
47.57 30.21 AZZ AZZ 1.6 dd 43.46 +3.23 .17 156.15 76.88 BadgerMeter BMI .6 61 147.56 +3.90 .225 34.98 24.00 Box BOX ... cc 29.38 +0.65 ...
4.80 2.15 Ampco-Pitt AP ... 42 3.18 +0.26 ... 23.43 9.64 Artivion AORT ... dd 17.19 +1.36 ... 71.69 46.10 BoydGaming BYD .9 11 69.37 +3.58 .16
16.61 7.65 Aaron's AAN 3.5 dd 14.14 +1.53 .125 85.21 61.78 Amphenol APH 1.0 27 84.95 +4.76 .21 29.51 11.32 Asana ASAN ... dd 22.04 –0.49 ... 3.79 1.08 Bakkt BKKT ... dd 1.23 –0.04 ...
115.69 93.25 AbbottLabs ABT 1.9 33 109.02 +0.97 .51 74.35 46.00 Ball BALL 1.4 41 58.21 +2.40 .20 56.35 40.52 Brady BRC 1.9 14 47.57 –0.53 .23
10.38 5.49 AmplifyEnergy AMPY ... 1 6.77 +0.31 ... 253.67 138.88 AsburyAutomotive ABG ... 6 240.42 +12.06 ... 5.85 3.41 BraemarHtls BHR 5.0 dd 4.02 +0.12 .05
168.11 130.96 AbbVie ABBV 4.4 32 134.73 –1.19 1.48 26.01 4.15 AmpriusTech AMPX ... dd 7.18 –0.93 ... 12.09 2.61 AshfordHosp AHT ... dd 3.73 +0.20 ... 26.78 13.09 Bally's BALY ... dd 15.56 +1.04 ...
38.21 14.02 Abercrombie&Fitch ANF ... 54 37.68 +0.75 ... 18.54 9.72 BancCalifornia BANC 3.5 8 11.58 –0.09 .10 9.80 3.42 BrandywineRealty BDN 16.3 19 4.65 +0.55 .19
18.72 10.26 Amrep AXR ... 3 17.94 +0.41 ... 114.36 80.00 Ashland ASH 1.8 dd 86.91 +4.96 .385 6.48 4.11 BrasilAgro LND 18.8 46 5.18 –0.14.6018
18.11 12.28 AcadiaRealty AKR 5.0 dd 14.39 +0.92 .18 10.71 9.95 AndrettiAcqnA WNNR ... cc 10.64 ... ... 15.11 5.41 AspenAerogels ASPN ... dd 7.89 +0.86 ... 6.60 2.03 BancoBBVA BBAR .0 4 6.13 +0.03.0162
12.18 7.26 AccelEnt ACEL ... 14 10.56 +0.28 ... 7.93 3.93 BancoBilbaoViz BBVA 4.8 7 7.68 +0.47.3333 14.76 6.26 Braskem BAK ... dd 11.65 –0.46 ...
15.77 4.43 AngelOakMtgREIT AOMR15.5 dd 8.24 +0.50 .32 33.00 16.88 AssetMarkFin AMK ... 22 29.66 +1.73 ... 45.75 23.19 BreadFinancial BFH 2.7 3 31.39 +1.94 .21
327.93 242.80 Accenture ACN 1.5 27 308.58 +10.15 1.12 30.27 11.94 AngloGoldAsh AU 2.1 30 21.09 –1.45 .177 25.50 14.47 AssociatedBanc ASB 5.2 6 16.23 +0.59 .21 3.35 2.12 BancoBradesco BBDO 4.5 9 3.01 –0.01.0036
10.40 9.66 AcropolisInfrA ACRO ... 93 10.15 –0.15 ... 22.97 15.64 BancodeChile BCH 7.7 7 20.96 +0.722.1466 18.60 8.43 BridgeInvt BRDG 5.3 25 11.35 +0.75 .15
67.09 44.51 AB InBev BUD 1.1 19 56.72 –0.40.8245 44.50 31.01 AssocCapital AC .6 dd 35.40 +0.39 .10 171.60 7.57 BrightHealth BHG ... dd 12.22 –1.40 ...
202.90 149.30 AcuityBrands AYI .3 14 163.08 +2.80 .13 27.96 15.11 AnnalyCap NLY 13.0 dd 20.01 –0.11 .65 178.76 104.49 Assurant AIZ 2.2 28 125.72 +1.91 .70 3.71 2.50 BancoItauChile ITCL 4.8 5 3.50 –0.02.1646
55.73 40.76 Acushnet GOLF 1.4 18 54.68 +3.83 .195 22.11 13.00 Bladex BLX 4.5 7 22.06 +1.48 .25 95.53 54.19 BrightHorizons BFAM ... 78 92.45 +2.41 ...
23.91 9.84 AnnovisBio ANVS ... dd 14.29 –0.17 ... 67.13 45.21 AssuredGuaranty AGO 2.0 24 55.80 +2.45 .28 4.48 1.13 BrightScholar BEDU ... ... 1.13 –0.24 ...
10.09 6.95 Adecoagro AGRO 3.4 16 9.36 –0.39.1626 11.67 8.56 AnteroMidstream AM 7.8 17 11.60 +0.86 .225 9.70 0.77 Atento ATTO ... dd 1.00 –0.39 ... 27.96 9.72 BancoMacro BMA 2.6 6 26.39 +1.08.0729
47.50 27.15 Adient ADNT ... cc 38.32 +2.19 ... 6.59 4.76 BancSanBrasil BSBR 4.1 ... 6.36 –0.07.0816 26.88 14.73 BrightSphere BSIG .2 10 20.95 +0.62 .01
45.33 19.91 AnteroResources AR ... 3 23.03 +1.77 ... 10.90 9.82 AthenaTechII A ATEK ... cc 10.44 +0.08 ... 9.45 5.21 BrightSpire BRSP11.9 71 6.73 +0.32 .20
44.40 33.71 AdtalemGlbEduc ATGE ... 19 34.34 –0.61 ... 12.96 4.33 AnywhereRealEst HOUS ... dd 6.68 +0.87 ... 157.45 70.50 Atkore ATKR ... 8 155.94 +11.64 ... 20.04 13.37 BcoSantChile BSAC 5.0 10 18.85 +0.501.2511
212.25 63.56 AdvanceAuto AAP 1.4 10 70.30 +4.63 .25 4.09 2.26 BancoSantander SAN 2.3 7 3.71 +0.39.0631 13.27 5.16 BrightView BV ... dd 7.18 +0.27 ...
347.37 262.42 Aon AON .7 28 345.20 +13.77 .615 41.04 23.32 AtlUnionBkshs AUB 4.6 9 25.95 –0.34 .30 73.39 48.38 Brink's BCO 1.3 28 67.83 –0.34 .22
153.36 75.02 AdvDrainageSys WMS .5 19 113.78 +2.44 .14 46.38 32.51 AptIncmREIT AIRC 5.0 11 36.09 +2.45 .45 18.95 15.06 AtlasEnergySolns AESI 3.5 ... 17.36 +1.11 .15 33.23 21.55 BanColombia CIB 4.2 7 26.68 +0.40 .852
44.57 30.69 AdvanSix ASIX 1.7 7 34.98 +1.07 .145 38.60 26.32 BankofAmerica BAC 3.1 9 28.69 +0.94 .22 42.12 21.65 BrinkerIntl EAT ... 19 36.60 +2.55 ...
9.79 6.37 ApartmtInv AIV 19.2 23 8.52 +0.55 .02 121.92 97.71 AtmosEnergy ATO 2.5 20 116.34 +1.92 .74 81.44 62.88 BristolMyers BMY 3.6 19 63.95 –1.09 .57
5.69 3.76 Aegon AEG 4.0 dd 5.07 +0.21.1288 27.48 13.09 APi Group APG ... cc 27.26 +1.82 ... 23.78 19.10 AtmusFiltration ATMU ... ... 21.96 –0.06 ... 38.31 22.93 BankofButterfield NTB 6.4 6 27.36 +0.78 .44
5.90 1.76 Aenza AENZ ... dd 1.90 –0.12 ... 85.45 30.83 BankofHawaii BOH 6.8 8 41.23 +0.08 .70 0.17 0.08 BristolMyersRt CELG.RT ... ... .11 +0.03 ...
13.10 7.91 ApolloComRlEst ARI 12.4 6 11.32 +0.59 .35 3.55 1.52 ATRenew RERE ... dd 2.92 +0.05 ... 30.94 20.08 Bristow VTOL ... 90 28.73 +1.89 ...
66.85 37.87 AerCap AER ... 9 63.52 +2.92 ... 77.60 45.62 ApolloGlbMgmt APO 2.2 dd 76.81 +3.81 .43 40.89 23.66 Autohome ATHM 1.9 13 29.16 +0.34 .53 105.40 81.57 BankofMontreal BMO 3.8 12 90.31 +2.611.0888
56.80 38.48 AerojetRocket AJRD ... 60 54.87 –0.07 ... 52.26 36.22 BankNY Mellon BK 3.3 14 44.52 +1.68 .37 43.30 31.64 BritishAmTob BTI 8.5 9 33.20 +0.05.7006
10.40 9.78 ApolloStratII A APGB ... 34 10.33 +0.05 ... 98.00 65.74 Autoliv ALV 3.1 18 85.04 +2.47 .66 24.49 17.62 BrixmorProp BRX 4.7 17 22.00 +1.23 .26
4.64 0.89 AevaTech AEVA ... dd 1.25 +0.07 ... 18.22 13.66 AppleHospREIT APLE 6.4 22 15.11 +0.75 .08 166.27 94.92 AutoNation AN ... 7 164.61 +10.00 ... 63.75 45.26 BankNovaScotia BNS 6.2 10 50.04 +2.05.7851
180.63 108.12 AffiliatedMgrs AMG .0 6 149.89 +6.96 .01 41.34 15.83 BankUnited BKU 5.0 6 21.55 +0.31 .27 183.33 131.35 BroadridgeFinl BR 1.8 35 165.63 +7.62 .725
149.42 88.09 AppliedIndlTechs AIT 1.0 17 144.83 +7.81 .35 2750.00 2050.21 AutoZone AZO ... 20 2493.36 +69.63 ... 22.72 14.98 Broadstone BNL 7.3 20 15.44 +0.24 .28
10.55 9.79 AfricanGoldA AGAC ... ... 10.55 +0.01 ... 10.95 9.95 BanyanAcqnA BYN ... 43 10.40 +0.02 ...
10.60 9.67 AfterNextA AFTR ... 98 10.36 ... ... 9.44 5.89 Barclays BCS 4.3 ... 7.86 +0.45 .104 5.49 2.27 BrookdaleSrLiving BKD ... dd 4.22 +0.32 ...
160.26 113.02 AgilentTechs A .7 27 120.25 +0.83 .225 10.47 6.96 BaringsBDC BBDC12.5 36 7.84 +0.22 .25 36.50 26.76 BrookfieldAsset BAM 3.9 6 32.63 +0.98 .32
22.53 14.15 Agiliti AGTI ... cc 16.50 +0.51 ... 3.22 0.99 Barnes&NobleEduc BNED ... dd 1.26 +0.12 ... 29.65 16.81 BrookfieldBus BBUC 1.3 2 18.88 +0.06.0625
–0.67
...
...
...
...
NYSE ARCA
AB UltShIncm YEAR 4.0 50.17 +0.01 .1819
Selected ETF Leaders ProShShrtQQQ
ProShShRuss2000
ProShShrtS&P500
PSQ .5
RWM .4
SH 2.5
10.57
22.83
13.88
–0.18
–0.83
–0.29
.1447
.2414
.1752
VanEck IG FR
VanEckJPMEMLCBd
VanEckJrGoldMin
FLTR 4.3
EMLC 5.6
GDXJ .5
25.25
25.56
35.66
+0.06
+0.09
+0.45
.1285
.1293
.1825
VanEckHYMuni HYD 4.0 51.34 –0.28 .1736 AGF USMktNeut BTAL 1.1 18.76 –0.52 .2132 ProShSh20+Tr TBF 2.6 21.69 +0.09 .2844 VanEckMerkGoldTr OUNZ ... 18.60 +0.01 ...
VanEckMstrWdMoat MOAT 1.0 79.79 +1.87 .8119 ARK Innovation ARKK ... 44.14 +2.00 ...
iShares Core S&P ProShUltBlmCrude UCO ... 23.65 +0.77 ... VanEckOilSvcs OIH 1.0 287.60 +20.20 2.8887
4.30%
VanEckVietnam VNM .8 13.30 –0.24 .0034 ARK NextGen ARKW ... 58.61 +2.72 ... Small Cap (IJR) ProshUltBlmNatGas BOIL ... 68.99 –2.71 ... VanEckPfdxFin PFXF 6.5 17.67 +0.39 .141
VangdUltShrtBd VUSB 2.9 49.16 +0.05 .1792 abrdnBbgAllCmdK1 BCI 21.9 20.16 –0.20 4.4075 ProShUltDow30 DDM .5 67.44 +2.43 .2345 VangdInfoTech VGT .7 442.16 +13.36 .6757
WTAI&InnovFd WTAI ... 19.07 +0.77 ... abrdnPhysGold SGOL ... 18.37 +0.01 ... Vanguard Total Stock ProShUltraQQQ QLD .2 64.38 +2.24 .1092 VangdSC Val VBR 2.2 165.40 +7.05 .8874
abrdnPhysSilver SIVR ... 21.85 +0.35 ... 2.48 ProShUltRus2000 UWM .4 34.40 +2.41 .1259 VangdDivApp VIG 1.9 162.43 +3.43 .7731
NASDAQ AdvShPureUSCan MSOS ... 5.54 +0.03 ... Market (VTI) ProShUltraS&P SSO .3 58.15 +2.53 .1815 VangdEnergy VDE 4.1 112.89 +4.48 .981
AXS1.25XNVDABrDly NVDS 3.2 8.45 –0.04 2.2591 AlerianMLPETF AMLP 8.0 39.21 +1.26 .86 ProShUltSilver AGQ ... 26.95 +0.81 ... VangdFTSEAWxUS VEU 2.9 54.41 +1.05 .6054
AXSShInnovDly SARK .0 36.18 –1.70 13.748 AllianzUSLCBf20J JULW ... 29.80 +0.18 ... SPDR S&P 500 ETF ProShUltTech ROM ... 45.01 +2.54 ... VangdAWxUSSC VSS 2.7 110.48 +2.10 .9979
AXSTSLABrDly TSLQ 1.4 32.36 –0.81 2.0285 AllianzIMUSLC6MJJ SIXJ ... 24.90 +0.09 ... 2.32 ProShUltDow30 UDOW 1.0 59.67 +3.22 .207 VangdFTSEDevMk VEA 2.6 46.18 +1.00 .4319
Trust (SPY)
DirexAAPLBear1X AAPD 2.9 20.05 –0.76 .243 AmpCWPEnhDiv DIVO 4.7 36.00 +0.59 .1417 ProShUltRus2000 URTY .3 41.64 +4.25 .0846 VangdFTSE EM VWO 3.5 40.68 +0.53 .2267
DirexTSLABr1x TSLS 2.6 19.65 –0.48 .1859 ArkFinInnov ARKF ... 20.91 +0.91 ... ProShUltS&P500 UPRO .8 47.38 +2.97 .1455 VangdFTSE Europe VGK 3.1 61.70 +1.50 1.099
DirexTSLABl1.5x TSLL 1.1 17.36 +0.46 .0833 AvantisUSSCValue AVUV 1.9 77.61 +3.28 .3711 Vanguard FTSE ProShUltShDow30 SDOW .4 23.87 –1.38 .2584 VangdFTSE Pac VPL 2.6 69.72 +0.97 .5213
2.21
DirexNasd100EW QQQE .8 76.98 +2.34 .159 BNYM US MC Core BKMC 1.5 84.66 +2.98 .3297 Developed Markets ProShShtRus2000 SRTY 1.8 40.50 –4.79 .3547 VangdGrowth VUG .6 282.96 +6.29 .4122
FT CapStrength FTCS 1.4 75.08 +1.24 .2368 BondBbg1yUS XONE 4.2 49.68 –0.01 .1588 ProShUltSh&P500 SPXU 3.0 10.66 –0.71 .1367 VangdHiDiv VYM 3.1 106.07 +2.53 .8767
(VEA)
FT EnhShtMat FTSM 3.5 59.41 –0.20 .229 BondBbg6mUS XHLF 3.8 50.23 +0.03 .1449 ProShUltBloomCrd SCO ... 25.70 –0.92 ... VangdIntermBd BIV 2.6 75.23 –0.19 .1926
FT GlTactCommod FTGC 12.6 22.77 –0.34 .1892 BreakwDryBulk BDRY ... 5.55 –0.61 ... Vanguard Dividend ProShUltShBlmGas KOLD ... 55.45 +1.14 ... VangdLC VV 1.5 202.72 +4.60 .7397
2.16
FT LowDurOpp LMBS 2.9 47.67 –0.15 .135 CapGrpCorePlus CGCP 4.1 22.26 –0.12 .0928 Appreciation (VIG) ProShUltShQQQ QID .3 13.22 –0.49 .1327 VangdLongTermBd BLV 3.9 74.92 +0.07 .2562
FT NasdCybersec CIBR .3 45.41 +1.44 .053 CapitalGrpDivVal CGDV 1.6 27.04 +0.57 .1186 ProShUltShRus2000 TWM 1.6 13.97 –1.03 .1178 VangdMC VO 1.6 220.16 +8.02 .8135
FTRisingDivAch RDVY 2.4 47.10 +1.26 .3021 CapGrpGlbGrw CGGO .8 24.29 +0.40 .1126 ProShUltShS&P500 SDS 2.4 34.30 –1.51 .3753 VangdMC Val VOE 2.4 138.38 +4.81 .7644
iShares Core MSCI .9277
FT SMID CapRising SDVY 2.5 28.31 +1.03 .2077 CapitalGrpGrw CGGR .4 25.23 +0.51 .0529 2.03 ProShUltShSilver ZSL ... 20.58 –0.65 ... VangdRealEst VNQ 4.5 83.56 +3.43
FT TCW Opp FIXD 3.8 44.17 –0.26 .125 CapGrpIntlFocus CGXU 1.1 23.52 +0.26 .1406 EAFE (IEFA) ProShUltraSh20+ TBT 2.7 29.40 +0.22 .3429 VangdS&P500ETF VOO 1.5 407.28 +7.67 1.5762
GlbXAI&Tech AIQ .3 27.96 +0.53 .0303 CommSvsSPDR XLC .7 65.08 +1.02 .1049 RPAR RiskParity RPAR 3.1 19.23 –0.11 .1819 VangdST Bond BSV 1.9 75.57 –0.10 .1463
GlbX Cybersec BUG ... 24.26 +0.65 ... CnsmrDiscSelSector XLY .9 169.81 +4.36 .3344 Invesco QQQ Trust RealEstSectorSPDR XLRE 3.7 37.69 +1.83 .3588 VangdSC VB 1.6 198.89 +8.28 .7587
GlbXNasd100Cv QYLD 11.5 17.75 +0.27 .1768 CnsStapleSelSector XLP 2.5 74.17 +0.39 .526 1.89 RoundBallMeta METV .1 10.38 +0.29 .0063 VangdTaxExemptBd VTEB 2.5 50.22 –0.02 .1147
GlbX Robotics&AI BOTZ .2 28.74 +0.80 .0532 DimenCoreFxIncm DFCF 3.7 41.73 –0.07 .1503
(QQQ) SPDRBlackSrLoan SRLN 6.8 41.87 +0.35 .29 VangdTotalStk VTI 1.5 220.28 +5.34 .8265
Granite1.5xLgCoin CONL ... 10.24 +2.02 ... DimenEmgCore DFAE 2.7 23.46 +0.30 .1764 SPDRBlmCvSecs CWB 2.1 69.95 +1.16 .1397 VangdTotWrldStk VT 2.0 96.98 +2.20 .6504
GrShr1.5xLgNVDADly NVDL ... 84.26 ... ... DimenEMCore2 DFEM 2.3 24.05 +0.34 .1553 Vanguard FTSE SPDR Blm HY Bd JNK 6.4 92.03 +1.13 .5236 VangdValue VTV 2.6 142.10 +3.36 .9208
InvscActMgdETC PDBC 14.2 13.61 –0.14 1.9283 DimenGlbRealEstate DFGR 1.8 24.39 +0.98 .1134 1.32 SPDRBlmInvGrdFR FLRN 3.9 30.69 +0.05 .1439 WisdTrEMxSOE XSOE 1.4 27.95 +0.18 .18
Emerging Markets
InvscBS25CpBd BSCP 2.9 20.13 ... .0581 DimenIntlCore DFAI 2.7 27.32 +0.57 .3548 SPDRBB1-10YTIPS TIPX 4.6 18.46 –0.04 .0543 WT EM HiDiv DEM 7.2 38.27 –0.58 .72
InvscBS24CpBd BSCO 2.7 20.57 +0.01 .0496 DimenIntlValue DFIV 3.5 32.85 +0.83 .5869
(VWO) SPDRBbg1-3MTB BIL 3.1 91.82 +0.10 .3707 WisdTrFRTrea USFR 4.0 50.32 –0.18 .2157
InvscBS27CpBd BSCR 3.3 19.03 ... .0594 DimenUSCore DFAU 1.3 30.99 +0.82 .1031 SPDR Gold Shares SPDRBlmSTHYBd SJNK 6.7 24.70 +0.25 .1533 WisdTrIndiaEarn EPI .2 34.80 +0.78 .06
0.04
InvscBS26CpBd BSCQ 3.2 18.95 +0.02 .0559 DimenUSCoreEq2 DFAC 1.3 27.15 +0.80 .0922 (GLD) SPDR 3-12MT-Bill BILS 3.5 99.46 +0.10 .4018 WT JapanHdg DXJ 3.1 83.25 +1.08 .7821
InvscBS23CpBd BSCN 2.2 21.17 +0.03 .0651 DimenUSHiProf DUHP 1.4 26.54 +0.81 .0917 SPDRDoubleTRTact TOTL 4.9 40.55 –0.02 .1545 WT YdUSAggBd AGGY 3.4 43.09 –0.16 .13
InvscHYEquDivAch PEY 4.5 19.22 +0.56 .0713 DimenUSMktVal DFUV 1.8 34.50 +1.10 .1705 SPDR DJIA Tr DIA 1.9 343.85 +6.69 .7757 XtrksHarvCSI300 ASHR 1.2 26.76 +0.07 .3162
InvscKBWBank KBWB 3.8 41.05 +1.41 .4455 DimenUSSCValue DFSV 1.3 25.70 +1.07 .0996
Vanguard Total Bond SPDREuroStx50 FEZ 3.1 45.98 +1.61 .9444 XtrkIntlRealEst HAUZ 3.3 20.12 +0.40 .397
-0.16
InvscNasd100 QQQM .6 151.98 +2.86 .2167 DimenUSTargVal DFAT 1.4 46.39 +1.96 .1971 Market (BND) SPDRGoldMini GLDM ... 38.09 +0.01 ... XtrksMSCIHiDiv HDEF 4.7 23.03 +0.41 .6689
InvscQQQI QQQ .6 369.42 +6.88 .504 DimenWorldexUS DFAX 3.3 23.31 +0.46 .3019 SPDR Gold GLD ... 178.27 +0.07 ... XtrksMSCIEAFE DBEF 5.0 35.37 +0.81 1.6133
InvscVarRateInvt VRIG 4.7 24.89 +0.02 .123 DirexCSIChinaInt CWEB .6 35.89 +0.38 .1707 Source: Barron’s Statistics SPDRNuvBBHYMuni HYMB 3.9 25.01 –0.03 .0847 XtrkUSAESGLdrs USSG 1.5 40.65 +0.92 .2203
iShBiotech IBB .3 126.96 –1.54 .0062 DirexDJBear3X WEBS 3.4 13.67 –0.92 .2059 SPDRNuveenMuniBd TFI 2.1 46.16 –0.11 .0864 XtrksUSDHYCpBd HYLB 5.7 34.50 +0.45 .184
iShBrdUSDInvCpBd USIG 3.5 50.09 +0.11 .167 DirexDJBull3X WEBL .0 11.42 +0.66 .0001 SPDRNuveenSTMuni SHM .8 47.05 +0.01 .0383 YieldMaxTSLAOpt TSLY 48.7 17.15 +0.50 .8033
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 47
Cash Track
open-end funds by assets. These
funds value their portfolios daily barrons.com/cefund. They will no longer appear in print. The
and report net asset values (the
dollar amount of their holdings Herzfeld chart has moved to the Market Lab Newsletter. To sign
divided by the number of shares
outstanding) to the National up for the newsletter, go to barrons.com/newletters. Losing Interest: Money-market fund inflows continued to moderate, narrowing the past month’s aver-
Association of Securities Dealers.
Total returns reflect both price age weekly inflow to $3.6 billion. Cash left equity funds, widening the month’s average weekly outflow to
changes and dividends; these Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. $8.5 billion. Taxable-bond fund inflows were flat, at a weekly $1.6 billion. Muni-bond outflows shrank to
figures assume that all distribu- NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
tions are reinvested in the fund. IntlGrIncA 34.54 0.58 10.0 28.2 CorePlusBond 8.78 -0.03 1.9 -7.9 GlEqInst 29.09 0.58 11.4 47.9
$100 million.
Because Lipper is constantly up-
dating its database, these returns LtdTEBdA 15.07 -0.02 1.0 -2.0 Intl Eq 12.09 0.24 12.8 26.7 GlRESec 9.78 0.39 0.7 13.4
may differ from those previously N PerA 55.39 1.11 17.1 34.8 LargeCapGrowth20.54 0.39 20.2 35.2 InfProtSec 10.88 -0.20 2.0 -0.8 Equity Funds Municipal Bond Funds
published or calculated by others. NEcoA 51.26 1.14 17.8 18.4 LargeCapValue 15.78 0.35 5.7 59.5 IntGvFxdInc 10.92 -0.10 1.9 -14.6
3 year returns are cumulative. The NwWrldA 74.25 1.23 11.7 17.5 MunicipalBond 9.80 -0.01 1.9 -0.7 IntlCoreEq 14.58 0.09 9.8 35.6 -1300 120
NAV is the last reported closing SmCpA 62.76 1.61 11.9 16.4 IntlREst 3.59 0.08 -3.2 3.2
price for the week. Footnotes: NA: S/MCapGrowth 13.39 0.45 14.0 21.8
not available. NE: performance STBFA 9.38 -0.03 0.7 -3.7 S/MCapValue 13.03 0.50 5.3 59.0 IntlSustCore1 11.65 0.11 11.2 28.4 -3600 -210
excluded by Lipper editor. NN: fund STTxExBdA 9.80 -0.01 0.7 -1.7 Brown Advisory Funds: IntlVal 19.19 0.09 10.4 57.6
not tracked. NS: fund not in TECAA 16.37 -0.02 2.3 -2.1 GrwthEquityInst 26.74 0.64 23.5 17.2 IntlVectorEq 12.72 0.11 9.1 39.6 -5900 -540
existence for whole period. e: ex TxExA 12.20 -0.02 2.7 -1.6 IntSmCo 18.38 0.14 6.9 31.0
capital gains distributions. f:
previous day’s quote. n: no front- WshA 54.18 1.20 7.7 49.3 C IntSmVa 19.91 0.12 7.5 43.1 -8200 -870
or back-end sales charge. p: fund AMG Managers Funds: IntTermMuni 9.90 -0.02 0.9 -2.4
assets are used to pay marketing YachtmanFocFd I 19.35 0.46 7.3 47.6 Calamos Funds: IntVaIII 16.48 0.05 10.4 58.0 -10500 -1200
and distribution costs (12b-1 fees). MktNeutI 14.52 0.09 6.0 11.1 ITExQual 9.30 -0.03 3.3 -11.9
r: fund levies redemption fee or YacktFocFd N n 19.41 0.46 7.2 46.9 May Jun May Jun
back-end load. s: stock dividend or YacktmanFd I 22.40 0.55 6.0 49.1 Calvert Investments: LgCo 30.33 0.59 16.9 50.2
split of 25% or more. t: fund charges Angel Oak Funds Trst: Eq A 72.29 1.68 9.3 39.0 LgCpIntl 25.30 0.18 11.2 33.1
12b-1 fees (for marketing and
AglOkMtiStFdClIn 8.38 NA NA NA Carillon Reams: SclCrEqInst 13.47 0.13 10.6 32.4 Money Market Funds Taxable Bond Funds
distribution) and a back-end load.
v: capital-gains distribution may be AQR Funds: CorePlBd I 29.99 -0.07 3.3 -7.6
STExQual 10.28 -0.01 2.0 -2.8 64800 4400
a return of capital. x: ex cash
STGov 9.88 -0.05 2.4 -3.4
LgCapDefStyle I 26.19 0.47 4.8 31.4 UnconstrndBd I 11.98 -0.06 3.5 3.3
dividend. STMuniBd 10.09 -0.01 1.2 0.8 49100 3100
MgdFutStrI 8.86 0.06 1.7 35.2 Carillon Scout:
US CoreEq1 33.53 0.82 13.4 54.9
Net YTD 3-Yr. Artisan Funds: MidCap I 20.80 0.73 7.4 36.8
NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
US CoreEq2 30.30 0.79 12.4 57.3 33400 1800
GblOppInst 30.49 0.55 15.4 15.7 CausewayInst : US Micro 24.27 0.74 6.6 67.3
A Intl Inv n 26.12 0.46 9.2 12.1 CausewayInst 19.10 0.31 19.9 56.8 US Small 41.39 1.42 7.6 62.5
IntlInst 26.28 0.47 9.4 12.8 CIBC Atlas: US SmCpVal 40.69 1.49 4.4 93.3
17700 500
AAM: IntlVal Inst 44.23 0.73 14.6 60.1 DispEq Inst 26.80 0.54 11.2 37.0 US TgdVal 28.69 1.02 5.6 93.0
IntlVal Inv n 44.05 0.73 14.5 59.0 USLCpGr 29.12 0.66 14.9 48.1
2000 -800
B&GIncGroClI 22.54 0.55 2.3 37.2 ClearBridge:
AB Funds: MidCapInst 39.31 1.18 17.5 7.7
AggressGrowthA109.31 3.16 13.4 15.2 USLgVa 42.54 1.00 3.7 56.0 May Jun May Jun
MidCapInv n 32.92 0.99 17.4 7.0 USLgVaIII 27.85 0.65 3.7 56.4
CapFdInc.LCapGow85.68 1.92 22.7 36.3 AllCapValueA 12.92 0.39 6.1 54.0
USSoCoreEq2 22.02 0.64 15.1 54.4 A red chart indicates a lower value than the starting period. Green means it's higher than the starting period.
MuniIncmShares 10.95 -0.06 3.3 5.8 B AppreciationA 30.33 0.67 12.8 48.1
USSustCoreI 34.44 0.79 14.9 52.7 The charts above show four-week moving averages of net cash flow in millions of dollars. BARRON'S • Lipper FMI
AB Funds - A: DividendStrat1 n 28.25 0.09 8.7 50.9
Baird Funds: USVectorEq 22.67 0.70 7.1 63.4
LgCpGrA 76.16 1.70 22.5 35.0 DividendStratA 28.24 0.12 8.5 49.7
Dodge & Cox:
RelatValA 6.05 0.14 3.2 54.5 AggBdInst 9.68 -0.05 2.4 -10.7 LargeCapGrowthA n 51.86 1.08 32.5 32.1 Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr.
AB Funds - ADV: CorBdInst 9.96 -0.05 2.6 -9.0 LargeCapGrowthI60.66 1.28 32.7 33.3 Balanced n 96.73 0.76 4.7 36.9
NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
IntBdInst 10.11 -0.05 1.8 -6.7 SmallCapGrowthIS40.30 2.08 8.0 17.4 Dodge & Cox n 10.51 -0.03 5.3 4.2
GlbBd 6.73 -0.02 1.8 -8.2 GblStock n 13.99 0.38 10.9 61.2 InflPrBdIndInsPr n 9.20 -0.03 2.0 -0.7 StkSelAllCap 64.41 1.49 16.6 44.7 DivGth n 31.27 0.75 7.9 50.2 SrsCommStrt 96.80 -0.84 -8.1 61.3
HiIncmAdv 6.61 0.02 5.1 10.9 ShtTBdInst 9.22 -0.04 1.6 -1.3 Cohen & Steers: IntlIdxInstPrem n 46.16 0.90 12.1 30.0 Fidelity Freedom: DivIntl n 41.53 0.98 13.9 18.8 SrsEmrgMkt 16.95 0.18 8.5 5.1
Baron Funds: Income n 12.35 -0.12 3.2 -5.2
IntlStraEquPtADV 11.45 0.21 9.0 17.1 GlbRltyI 49.18 1.19 1.6 14.3 IntlIndex n 10.81 0.19 10.2 24.3 FF2010 n 13.39 0.05 5.3 7.1 DivIntl K6 13.35 0.32 13.8 20.2 SrsGlobal 13.56 0.23 9.8 23.4
Intl Stk n 47.73 0.99 10.7 43.4
LgCpGrAdv 85.77 1.93 22.7 36.0 Asset n 94.68 3.00 9.0 14.6 InstlRlty 44.25 1.90 4.7 25.6 IntrTresBdIxPrem n 9.63 -0.06 1.5 -14.5 FF2015 n 10.95 0.07 6.5 10.5 DivIntlK 41.45 0.97 14.0 19.2 SrsIntlGrw 16.43 0.37 15.2 25.6
Stock n 227.43 5.32 7.2 65.0
NationalPtf 9.56 -0.02 2.7 -0.2 Growth n 94.06 2.96 10.7 37.7 PrefSecIncnI 11.25 0.02 -1.9 -1.8 LgCpGwId InstPre n 26.81 0.57 29.0 47.0 FF2020 n 13.71 0.11 7.6 13.6 DivStkO n 30.35 0.61 17.8 48.6 SrsGroCoRetail 18.26 0.27 32.6 51.4
DoubleLine Funds:
SelectUSLgShrt 13.06 0.19 6.3 27.6 Partners n 158.85 4.16 42.4 125.7 RltyIncI 15.80 0.68 5.0 25.1 LgCpVlIdxIstPrem n 15.47 0.43 5.1 49.2 FF2025 n 12.70 0.12 8.4 16.5 EmrMkt n 34.92 0.39 11.1 8.2 SrsIntlSmCp 16.23 0.22 9.4 23.6
SmMidCpValAdv 21.64 0.91 6.8 63.7 Baron Instl Shares: RltyShs n 60.80 2.62 4.7 25.1 CoreFxdIncmI 9.25 -0.06 3.0 -7.3 LTTrsBdIdxInstPr n 10.42 -0.05 4.3 -32.1 Eq Inc n 65.84 1.45 3.8 49.2 SrsIntlVal 11.06 0.23 10.3 47.0
FF2030 n 15.99 0.19 9.3 20.6
Aberdeen Fds: Colorado BondShares: LowDurBdI 9.42 -0.04 2.6 2.8 MidCpInxInstPrem n 28.16 1.06 9.0 42.4 EqDivIncm n 26.64 0.64 4.3 50.3 STBF n 8.24 -0.01 1.6 -1.9
AssetInst 100.10 3.18 9.2 15.5 FF2035 n 13.90 0.20 10.8 28.2
ShillerEnhCAPEI 13.41 0.29 16.4 42.5 OTCK6Port 18.35 0.33 30.5 44.5 Fidel n 69.85 1.56 19.8 39.9 StkSelSmCp n 30.77 1.12 9.8 52.3
EmMktEqty Inst 13.14 0.07 5.2 3.8 EmergingMktsInst 13.90 0.01 6.6 1.0 ColoradoBdShs 8.68 -0.01 3.7 8.2 FF2040 n 9.96 0.18 12.4 33.9
TotRetBdI 8.81 -0.07 2.5 -8.9 RealEstIdxInst n 14.96 0.77 3.6 22.3 FltRateHi n 9.17 0.05 6.3 20.7 StkSlcACap n 64.84 1.50 16.6 44.3
Advisers Inv Trst: GrowthInst 99.16 3.13 10.8 38.8 Columbia Class A: FF2045 n 11.44 0.21 12.7 34.3
TotRetBdN n 8.81 -0.06 2.4 -9.5 SAIUSLgCpIndxFd 19.64 0.45 16.8 50.4 FocsdStk n 28.38 0.61 20.1 37.0 StratDivInc n 15.97 0.35 4.4 32.6
Balanced n 84.48 1.44 6.4 31.9 PartnersInst 165.19 4.34 42.6 127.4 BalancedA 45.46 0.53 13.0 25.4 FF2050 n 11.58 0.21 12.7 34.2
Growth n 106.03 2.51 10.2 51.7 SmallCapInst 30.86 1.38 16.5 25.8 SeriesBondFd 8.94 -0.03 2.3 -11.6 Free2055 n 13.40 0.24 12.7 34.2 FournOne n 52.72 0.97 12.0 29.7 TaxFrB n 10.82 -0.01 3.4 -0.4
ContCoreA 29.28 0.60 20.6 50.5 E
Bernstein Fds: SeriesOverseas 12.54 0.30 15.5 28.8 Free2060InstPrem 15.47 0.30 12.6 30.3 GNMA n 10.09 -0.05 1.8 -10.0 TotalBond n 9.43 -0.02 3.1 -6.9
Akre Funds: DisplCoreA 12.65 0.27 15.6 45.4
Eaton Vance Class A: SerLTTreBdIdx 6.02 -0.03 4.2 -32.1 Freedom2015 K 10.94 0.07 6.5 10.7 GovtInc n 9.18 -0.04 1.7 -13.6 TotalBond K6 8.77 -0.02 3.0 -6.5
AkreFocusInst 55.30 1.85 15.0 23.6 DivrMuni n 13.73 -0.02 2.0 0.4 DivIncA 29.75 0.79 3.8 46.1
SmCpIdxInstPrem n 23.39 0.84 8.2 36.4 Freedom2020 K 13.71 0.12 7.7 13.8 GroCo n 30.25 0.46 34.4 47.6 Trend n 143.00 3.96 32.8 40.2
AkreFocusRtl 53.24 1.77 14.9 22.6 IntmDur n 11.27 -0.05 1.9 -11.0 LgCpGrowA 54.29 1.16 30.9 39.3 TMG1.1 87.72 1.87 17.8 47.1
STBdIdx InstPrem n 9.52 -0.02 1.3 -4.8 Freedom2020K6 13.65 0.12 7.8 14.2 GroInc n 52.60 1.58 11.0 61.4 Value n 13.26 0.59 6.2 81.7
AmanaGrowth n: NY Mun n 13.28 -0.02 2.1 0.7 LgCpVl A 15.08 0.38 2.5 48.9 Eaton Vance Class I:
STTreIdx InstPre n 9.89 -0.03 1.1 -5.6 Freedom2025 K 12.69 0.13 8.6 16.8 GrowCoK 30.40 0.46 34.5 47.9 ValueDisc n 35.22 0.65 0.2 49.9
AmanaGrowth n 66.13 1.43 15.6 53.7 BlackRock Funds: LiGoBalA 10.53 -0.17 10.8 19.4 AtlCpSMID 35.87 1.41 5.0 46.5 TMktIdxInstPrem n 122.98 3.10 16.3 47.2 Freedom2025K6 12.65 0.13 8.6 17.2 GrStrt n 53.30 1.96 14.2 26.2 Wrldw n 29.49 0.63 17.3 29.2
Amer Beacon Insti: CoreBd Inst 8.31 -0.03 2.9 -10.5 SelgComuInfoA 106.57 4.13 30.4 70.3 FltgRt 8.33 0.03 5.9 15.7 TotalMarketIndex n 15.53 0.39 16.3 48.1 Freedom2030 K 15.98 0.18 9.3 20.9 GwthDiscovery n 50.18 0.83 22.9 44.1 Fidelity SAI:
HiYBlk 6.79 0.05 5.7 12.0 TaxEA 11.69 -0.05 3.2 -2.8 GblMacAbR 8.30 NA NA NA TtlIntIdxInstPr n 12.81 0.21 9.4 23.9
SmCpInst 23.85 1.02 6.3 73.7 Freedom2030K6 15.93 0.19 9.4 21.5 HighInc n 7.40 0.04 4.3 4.5 FidSAIEmgMktIndx 12.82 0.08 5.2 6.0
HiYldBd Inst 6.79 0.05 5.7 11.7 Columbia Class Adv: IncBos 4.97 0.02 5.0 12.8 USBdIdxInstPrem n 10.26 -0.04 2.2 -11.7
American Century G: Freedom2035 K 13.90 0.21 10.9 28.7 IntBd n 9.90 -0.03 1.7 -6.4 FidSAIIntlIndxFd 13.17 0.25 12.1 30.0
InflProtBdInst 9.80 -0.05 2.3 0.8 DivIncom 30.35 0.81 4.0 47.3 NatlMuniInc 9.21 -0.01 3.9 -1.1 USSusIdx n 19.59 0.41 17.6 49.2 Freedom2035K6 13.85 0.20 11.0 29.1 IntlDisc n 44.08 0.90 11.2 16.4
GlBond 8.59 -0.02 2.9 -6.9 IntlValIdx 9.32 0.21 12.0 43.2
LowDurI Inst 8.84 -0.02 1.6 -1.4 Columbia Class C: Edgewood Growth Instituti: Fidelity Adv Focus A: Freedom2040 K 9.97 0.18 12.4 34.4 IntlEnhIdx n 10.53 0.19 12.5 30.4
Sustain Equity 44.73 1.01 15.4 47.9 LowDurationInc 9.97 -0.01 2.4 NS
BlackRock Funds A: DivInc 28.73 0.76 3.5 42.9 EdgewoodGrInst40.05 0.91 28.0 16.8 HthCarA 59.52 0.33 3.0 12.5 Freedom2040K6 9.92 0.18 12.5 34.8 IntlGrRet n 18.25 0.41 14.6 22.2
American Century I: Muni Inc 9.76 -0.01 3.4 -0.8
AdvLgCapCore 17.59 0.34 15.5 44.2 Columbia Class I: TechA 91.20 2.79 46.8 62.0 Freedom2045 K 11.44 0.21 12.8 34.7 IntlSmCap n 29.45 0.40 10.2 35.1 SAIEmgMktLoVolIx 10.46 0.08 7.0 23.0
EqInc 8.92 0.16 3.0 34.3 F
CapAppr 29.73 0.71 33.6 23.8 Acorn I 10.43 0.33 16.3 7.6 Fidelity Advisor: Freedom2045K6 11.39 0.21 12.9 35.3 IntMu n 9.99 0.00 2.1 -0.3 SAIInflaFocFd 8.92 -0.09 -8.9 61.6
Growth 47.19 0.87 29.0 38.2
EqtyDivd 19.29 0.47 6.4 47.3 Balanced I 45.34 0.54 13.1 26.3 SrsAdvIntlCapApp 27.73 0.69 18.6 21.1 Freedom2050 K 11.58 0.21 12.8 34.6 InvGB n 7.14 -0.01 2.9 -9.8 ShortTermBd 9.49 -0.02 1.5 NS
IntTF 10.71 -0.01 2.3 0.0 FAM Value:
GlblAlloc 17.58 0.17 6.8 14.9 ContCore I 29.64 0.61 20.7 51.7 StragInc n 11.07 0.02 3.8 4.3 Freedom2050K6 11.56 0.21 12.9 35.2 InvGrBd 9.95 -0.03 3.0 -7.3 TotalBd 8.93 -0.01 3.2 -6.0
MdCapVal 15.75 0.43 2.8 52.4 FAMValue n 88.48 3.36 7.2 40.0
HlthScOp 66.80 0.43 1.8 23.1 DivIncom I 29.78 0.80 4.0 47.3 TotBdFdClZ 9.42 -0.02 3.2 -6.6 Freedom2055 K 13.41 0.25 12.8 34.7 LargeCap n 42.49 1.19 13.8 63.3 TxFreeBd 9.87 -0.01 3.1 -0.5
SmCapVal 9.68 0.39 6.5 73.0 Federated Hermes A:
MdCpGrA 29.95 1.03 17.3 10.4 LgCpIdx I 50.53 1.18 16.8 49.7 Fidelity Advisor A: Freedom2055K6 13.39 0.25 12.9 35.3 LCapCrEIdx n 20.70 0.43 15.9 53.7 U.S.TreBdIdx 8.72 -0.04 1.8 -13.9
American Century Inv:
MultiAstIncome 9.71 0.06 4.5 8.5 SelComunInfo 123.51 4.79 30.5 71.5 StrValDivA p 5.36 0.05 -5.4 38.0 Freedom2060 n 12.31 0.22 12.6 34.2 LCapGrEIdx n 28.95 0.56 26.4 48.9 Fidelity Selects:
DiscCoreVal n 30.90 0.79 1.4 31.3 BalancA 25.05 0.35 13.7 31.1
NatlMuni 10.09 0.00 3.0 -2.5 SelLCVal 31.83 0.99 1.9 60.3 Federated Hermes Int: Idx2020InsPre 15.16 0.13 7.7 10.7 LevCoSt n 36.26 1.34 16.2 57.1
EqGro n 24.89 0.56 13.7 30.1 EqGrA p/r 15.59 0.26 22.8 43.0 Biotech n 16.60 -0.23 2.0 -8.8
ScTechOppA 46.01 1.11 34.6 17.3 StratInc I 20.82 -0.03 4.1 2.0 InsHiYld 8.47 0.05 5.0 7.4 Idx2025InsPre 17.25 0.19 8.6 13.5 LgCpVHIdx n 14.94 0.38 4.3 54.8
EqInc n 8.90 0.15 2.8 33.4 GrOppA 114.78 2.64 29.8 23.8 DfAero n 16.29 0.40 5.6 45.2
TotRet 9.97 -0.07 2.6 -10.1 TotReBd I 29.97 -0.09 2.8 -10.2 TtlRtnBdI 9.45 -0.05 1.7 -7.4 Idx2030InsPre 18.34 0.23 9.3 17.4 LmtTrmMuniIncm n 10.18 -0.01 1.1 -1.2
Grwth n 45.78 0.85 28.8 37.4 NwInsghtA 30.85 0.53 22.7 34.0 Energy n 53.39 2.55 -4.8 161.4
BlackRock Funds III: Columbia Class I2: Federated Hermes IS: Idx2035InsPre 20.71 0.32 10.8 24.5 LowP n 48.08 1.26 4.1 55.6
Heritage n 20.93 0.59 14.5 23.7 StrInA 10.91 0.01 3.6 3.3 Gold n 22.34 0.44 0.0 -21.9
iShS&P500IdxK521.71 10.11 16.9 50.3 KaufmnSCI 46.25 1.14 11.3 4.5 Fidelity Advisor Fun: Idx2040InsPre 21.27 0.40 12.2 30.0 LowPriStkK 48.03 1.26 4.1 56.0
MdCapVal n 15.73 0.42 2.7 51.4 DivIncom 30.31 0.81 4.0 47.5 Health n 28.51 0.16 3.2 15.0
iShUSAggBdIdxK 8.97 -0.03 2.3 -11.5 StraValDivIS 5.40 0.05 -5.3 39.0 Idx2045InsPre 22.16 0.43 12.6 30.3 LowPriStkK6 14.67 0.38 4.4 56.7
OneChMod n 13.80 0.14 8.0 18.7 Columbia Class I3: InterDiscZ 43.87 0.90 11.2 16.7 HlthCareSrvPt r n 128.29 2.62 -2.8 38.9
BlackRock Funds Inst: UltraShortI 9.04 0.00 2.4 3.5 Idx2050InsPre 22.20 0.43 12.6 30.3 LtdTmBdFd n 10.88 -0.02 1.9 -3.6
Select n 97.41 1.85 29.4 41.6 ContCore I3 30.43 0.62 20.8 52.2 IntlGrwZ 18.24 0.41 14.7 22.6 ITSvs n 58.35 1.92 11.0 1.3
AdvLgCapCore 18.62 0.36 15.7 45.3 Federated Hermes R: Idx2055InsPre 18.27 0.36 12.6 30.4 Magin n 11.33 0.34 18.6 31.5
Ultra n 72.67 1.53 31.7 43.0 DivIncom 30.36 0.81 4.0 47.7 Fidelity Advisor I: MdTchDevis n 65.42 0.92 6.2 22.9
CAInsMun 11.72 -0.14 1.3 1.7 Idx2020 Premier 15.16 0.14 7.8 10.8 MAMun n 11.24 -0.02 2.1 -3.0
American Century R6: Credit Suisse Common: KaufmnR 5.03 0.09 7.7 -10.7 BalancI 25.72 0.36 13.9 32.1 Retail n 18.06 0.33 14.0 23.6
EmgMkts 23.99 0.23 7.7 6.8 Idx2025 Premier 17.24 0.19 8.6 13.6 Manager40 n 12.09 0.09 6.5 11.2
AmCentUltraFdR6 77.49 1.63 32.0 44.5 ComdtyRet 22.73 -0.19 -8.8 63.5 Federated Hermes R6: ConsvIncmMuni I 9.99 0.00 1.5 2.3 Semiconductors r n 24.21 1.05 66.1 136.0
EqtyDivd 19.39 0.47 6.6 48.4 Idx2030 Premier 18.33 0.23 9.3 17.4 Manager60 n 14.11 0.17 8.8 18.8
MdCapVal 15.75 0.43 2.9 53.1 FedInstHYBondL 8.48 0.06 5.2 7.5 EqGrI 18.04 0.30 22.9 44.1 Idx2035 Premier 20.71 0.32 10.8 24.6 Softwr n 25.50 0.50 29.8 33.3
FloRateIncPorIns 9.59 0.04 6.3 18.2 MidCap n 38.94 1.38 4.3 61.4
SmCpVal 9.68 0.39 6.6 73.7 D StrValL 5.40 0.05 -5.3 39.1 FAEmgMktI 28.02 0.20 4.7 11.9 Idx2040 Premier 21.27 0.40 12.3 30.1 Tech n 26.34 0.79 47.7 54.1
GlblAlloc 17.78 0.17 6.9 15.7 MidCapEnIdx n 16.66 0.57 7.8 46.6
American Funds Cl A: TtlRtnBdL 9.45 -0.04 1.7 -7.4 FAInvGrdI 7.14 -0.02 2.7 -9.9 Idx2045 Premier 22.16 0.43 12.6 30.4 UtilGr n 100.62 0.95 -3.1 39.6
HiEqInc 27.62 0.56 5.2 51.0 MuniInc n 12.06 -0.02 3.0 -0.8
2020TarRetA 12.72 0.10 4.5 13.2 Davis Funds A: Fidelity: FltRatel 9.16 0.05 6.1 20.4 Idx2050 Premier22.20 0.44 12.6 30.4 Fidelity Series:
HlthScOp 71.35 0.46 1.9 24.0 NASDAQ n 174.56 3.76 32.4 40.6
2025TarRetA 14.23 0.13 5.7 15.2 NYVen A 25.20 -0.05 17.0 38.9 500IdxInstPrem n 155.01 3.58 16.9 50.5 GrOppI 127.17 2.93 30.0 24.7 Idx 2055 Premier 18.26 0.36 12.6 30.4 NewInsights Z 32.39 0.56 23.0 35.5 Canada 14.26 0.45 8.6 60.9
MdCpGrEq 35.27 1.22 17.4 11.3 HthCarI 66.13 0.37 3.1 13.4 IntMuni Z 10.00 -0.01 2.0 -0.2
2030TarRetA 15.62 0.18 7.5 19.3 Davis Funds C & Y: BalancedK6 13.42 0.18 14.1 33.8 Income n 10.28 0.02 4.1 2.3 NewMill n 45.74 1.20 15.7 75.9
MultiAstIncome 9.72 0.06 4.7 9.4 IntlGr 18.20 0.40 14.6 22.2 FidelityAdviAsset:
2035TarRetA 16.89 0.25 9.2 24.7 NatlMuni 10.08 -0.01 3.1 -1.8 NYVenY 26.18 -0.06 17.1 39.9 Contrafund K6 20.85 0.33 24.0 35.1 Fidelity Invest: NewMkt n 11.62 0.01 3.5 -6.0
2040TarRetA 17.66 0.31 10.9 28.1 Del Invest Instl: EmgMktIdxInstPre n 9.93 0.07 5.3 6.3 MuniIncI 10.00 -0.01 2.1 -0.5 AggrInt n 24.75 0.61 18.6 21.3 OTC n 16.66 0.32 29.9 42.9 ADVAssetMan60 14.11 0.17 8.8 19.1
ScTechOppInst 50.66 1.22 34.8 18.2 NwInsghtI 32.24 0.56 22.9 35.0
2045TarRetA 18.08 0.34 11.5 28.7 StratIncOpptyIns 9.16 -0.04 1.8 3.8 Value 18.06 0.44 -1.1 38.2 ExtMktIdxInstPre n 70.92 2.64 12.7 30.5 AilSectEq 10.37 0.27 19.7 57.6 OTC K 17.04 0.32 30.0 43.3 First Eagle Funds:
2050TarRetA 17.74 0.34 12.0 28.5 FidAdAsset 13.10 0.05 4.0 3.9 REIncmInst 11.42 0.21 4.1 20.2 AMgr20% n 13.10 0.04 4.0 3.7 Ovrse n 58.05 1.37 14.8 24.9
StratMuniOppI 10.27 -0.21 0.8 -0.3 Deutsche DWS: GlbA 63.31 1.01 9.2 34.4
AmcpA 35.87 0.82 19.6 25.5 FidAdEm 34.90 0.40 11.2 NS StrInI 11.07 0.02 3.8 4.1 AMgr50% n 18.99 0.19 7.6 14.8 PuritanK 22.89 0.29 12.3 28.6
TotRet 9.97 -0.08 2.6 -9.3 CoreEq n 29.65 0.70 14.5 49.3 OverseasA 24.14 0.24 7.5 19.2
AMutlA 49.67 0.99 3.5 40.0 FidSAI 8.63 0.05 4.5 NS Total Bd 9.42 -0.02 3.1 -7.0 AMgr70% n 24.76 0.36 10.0 23.8 Puritn n 22.91 0.29 12.2 28.3
BNY Mellon Funds: Diamond Hill Funds: FPA Funds:
BondA 11.34 -0.05 1.3 -10.2 FidSAIEmerg 11.84 0.11 9.1 22.3 Fidelity Advisor M: AMgr85% n 23.10 0.41 11.8 30.4 RealE n 38.70 1.93 4.0 21.8
Aprec n 40.34 0.89 14.2 45.7 LgCapI 30.56 0.79 5.2 44.6 NwInc n 9.50 -0.04 2.2 1.1
BalA 30.52 0.42 6.8 21.9 FidSer5 7.90 -0.04 2.6 NS Balanced 25.44 0.35 13.6 30.1 AstMgr30R n 11.23 0.06 5.3 7.1 RealEstInc n 11.48 0.22 4.1 20.3
Dr500In n 50.87 1.17 16.6 48.3 LgCapY 30.60 0.80 5.3 45.1 FPA Funds Trust:
CapIBA 64.33 0.86 3.5 23.6 FidSer0-5 9.43 -0.02 1.6 NS EqGr 15.02 0.25 22.5 42.0 Balanc n 26.02 0.36 13.9 32.4 SAIIntlMinVolInd 10.67 0.11 8.5 13.9
CapWA 16.12 -0.06 1.2 -15.0 Dreyf n 15.60 0.31 19.4 53.3 LongShortI 25.92 0.39 3.8 30.2 FIDSerEmgMkt 8.31 0.06 7.4 4.5 GrOppM 112.87 2.59 29.7 22.9 FPACres Inst n 37.07 0.43 12.4 44.2
BalancedK 26.02 0.36 13.9 32.6 SAILTTreBdIdx 7.83 -0.03 4.6 -33.7
CapWGrA 57.40 1.15 12.4 30.8 GlFxIncI 19.31 -0.04 2.9 -4.2 Dimensional Fds: FidSerInt 8.58 -0.01 3.5 NS NwInsghtM 28.79 0.50 22.6 33.0 SAISm-MidCap500I 5.83 0.24 9.4 46.1 Franklin A1:
BluCh n 156.42 3.46 39.1 43.3
EupacA 54.78 1.03 12.0 16.1 InstS&PStkIdx I 61.55 1.42 16.8 49.6 2TGlFxd 9.71 0.01 2.1 -0.8 FidSerToMarket 14.65 0.37 16.3 47.3 Fidelity Advisor Z: SAIUSMinVolIndFd 17.96 0.40 8.5 36.5 CA TF A1 6.78 -0.02 2.5 -3.2
BluChpGr K6 24.05 0.53 39.0 45.5
FdInvA 67.82 1.61 14.3 42.2 IntlStkI 23.84 0.41 16.2 20.8 5GlbFxdInc 10.04 0.00 2.1 -5.2 FIDSerTresIndxFd 9.94 0.00 2.3 3.7 SAIUSQtyIdx 18.05 0.35 17.9 45.5 Fed TF A1 10.69 -0.02 3.4 -2.9
AssetManager50% 18.94 0.19 7.7 15.1 BluChpGrK 157.19 3.47 39.2 43.7
GBalA 34.66 0.40 7.6 14.5 IntlStkY 23.54 0.40 16.2 20.9 DFARlEst 37.42 1.66 2.9 19.5 FIDZroExtMktIx n 11.48 0.47 9.1 46.3 SmCapDisc n 24.78 0.98 9.3 60.0 HiInc A1 1.65 0.00 5.7 11.8
AsstMngr70 24.72 0.35 10.0 24.1 CAMun n 11.99 -0.01 2.5 -2.1
GovtA 12.10 -0.09 0.2 -11.0 SmMidCpGrI 25.07 0.65 10.1 -4.4 EmgMkt 26.84 -0.01 7.5 19.7 FIDZroLgCpIx n 15.73 0.36 17.4 48.2 SmlCapO n 12.88 0.48 10.4 50.2 HY TF A1 8.71 -0.07 2.9 -1.6
EmMkt Z 27.96 0.20 4.8 12.4 CapAp n 37.52 0.73 17.7 45.3
GwthA 60.89 1.45 23.0 31.0 StrgVal I 40.32 0.85 4.2 83.8 EmgMktSoCoEq 13.60 0.02 8.9 21.6 Flex 500 Index 19.05 0.44 16.9 50.5 SmlCpGrth n 26.46 0.97 11.8 28.1 IncomeA1 2.28 0.02 3.3 32.0
FloatRateHighInc 9.16 0.04 6.2 20.7 CapDevO n 19.69 0.55 14.0 62.7
HI TrA 9.15 0.06 4.2 15.8 BNY Mellon Funds Tru: EmgMktVa 28.42 0.09 8.5 38.0 FlexIntIdx 12.32 0.21 9.8 23.6 GovtIncome 9.20 -0.04 1.8 -13.4 SmlCpGrth K6 14.15 0.52 12.0 29.0 NY TF A1 9.91 -0.01 3.8 -3.9
CnvSc n 31.85 0.50 7.4 34.6
HiInMuniA 14.67 -0.04 3.7 2.4 MCMultiStrM 17.39 0.58 9.7 37.4 EmMktCorEq 21.64 -0.01 8.7 26.5 FlexUSBdIdx 9.04 -0.03 2.2 -11.8 GrOpp 128.90 2.98 30.1 25.2 Contra n 14.92 0.24 25.2 35.2 SmlCpGrth Z 26.73 0.97 11.9 28.5 US Gov A1 5.08 -0.03 1.5 -10.6
ICAA 47.44 1.08 15.8 45.2 NtlIntmMuni 12.85 -0.01 2.3 -1.0 EmMktSmCp 21.85 0.15 8.7 38.7 Freedom2060K 12.32 0.23 12.7 34.7 InvestGradeBd 7.15 -0.02 2.9 -9.6 ContraK 14.98 0.24 25.3 35.4 SmlCpVal n 18.73 0.71 5.5 76.6 Utils A1 20.51 0.25 -3.8 28.5
IncoA 22.78 0.31 2.2 28.2 Bridge Builder Trust: Fixd 10.15 -0.01 2.3 0.9 GlexUSIdxInstPre n 13.78 0.23 9.8 23.5 NewMktsIncFdZ 11.62 0.01 3.6 -5.8 CpInc n 9.31 0.08 5.9 23.6 Srs1000ValIndRet 14.47 0.41 5.2 49.4 Franklin Templeton:
IntBdA 12.32 -0.07 0.6 -6.6 CoreBond 8.89 -0.03 1.7 -10.4 GblAll60 40Inst 19.86 0.23 7.7 25.1 GrowthCompanyK620.42 0.31 32.7 48.7 RE Income 11.42 0.21 4.2 20.7 DisEq n 55.36 1.29 21.1 36.9 SrsBlChGroRetail n 13.96 0.31 39.9 47.4 TgtModA 13.72 NA NA NA
48 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
January February March April May June Low (t) 896.51 903.60 893.33 887.08 895.65 NYSE Amer Comp4087.70 4104.65 4123.31 4155.60 4182.48
High (a) 912.74 912.80 910.77 902.07 907.54 AmMajorMkt 3104.76 3122.42 3131.00 3160.10 3193.89
Selected IPOs
U.S. Dollar Index vs Euro and Yen Per Share Values of Stocks Alliance Entertainment
Ticker
AENT
Initial Offer Price
3.00
IPO Date
6/30
Recent Price
2.55
%Chg
-15.0%
Intensity Therapeutics INTS 5.00 6/30 5.96 19.2%
Buck, Buck No. 1: Fed Chairman Powell met with central bankers from around the world, and he refused
to rule out further interest rate hikes in fighting inflation. Other bankers concurred. Treasury yields didn’t In the Dow Jones Averages Vesta Real Estate
Fidelis Insurance
VTMX
FIHL
31.00
14.00
6/30
6/29
32.22
13.65
3.9%
-2.5%
Kodiak Gas Services KGS 16.00 6/29 16.24 1.5%
move much, but the dollar edged up—leaving the ICE U.S. Dollar Index a sliver higher for the week, at 102.92. This is a list of the Dow Jones trailing 52-week diluted share
Savers Value Village SVV 18.00 6/29 23.70 31.7%
earnings, dividends and book values as reported by the company.
10 Bolded numbers indicate new values. Sources Barron's Stats and GEN Restaurant Group GENK 12.00 6/28 16.99 41.6%
FactSet.
EURO in $ Industrial Stocks
s
5
Book Book
Investor Sentiment Readings New Listings
Earns Divs. Value Earns Divs. Value
NYSE
Am Exp 9.51 2.16 29.14 Johnson&John 4.78 4.58 28.16 High bullish readings in the Consensus stock index or in the Market
Vane stock index usually are signs of Market tops; low ones, market Fidelis Insurance (FIHL)
Amgen 14.71 8.14 12.00 JPMorgChase 13.55 4.00 88.07 bottoms.
Apple 5.89 0.93 3.84 McDonalds 9.44 5.94 (6.17) Kodiak Gas Service (KGS)
0 Boeing (6.92) Nil (25.47) Merck Co 5.12 2.88 15.11
Last Week 2 Weeks Ago 3 Weeks Ago
Savers Value Village (SVV)
Caterpillar 13.53 4.80 30.76 Microsoft 9.23 2.66 22.31 Consensus Index Vesta Real Estate (VTMX)
Chevron Corp 18.52 5.86 72.06 Nike Inc 3.23 1.325 9.73
s Cisco Sys 2.78 1.53 9.79 Proc Gam 5.11 3.6806 19.11
Nasdaq
s Consensus Bullish Sentiment 60% 59% 56%
-5 Coca Cola 2.28 1.80 5.32 3M Co 9.65 5.98 26.31 Alliance Ent (AENT)
DXY (102.92)
YEN in $ Disney Walt 1.82 Nil 48.71 Salesforce.com 0.38 0.00 58.78 AAII Index GEN Restaurant (GENK)
Dow 4.00 2.80 24.71 Travelers Cos 11.73 3.79 119.76
Intensity Therapeutics (INTS)
Goldman Sachs 28.09 10.00 297.50 UnitedHealthGrp 21.87 6.83 76.26 Bullish 41.9% 42.9% 45.2%
-10 Home Depot 16.41 7.98 (1.64) Verizon 5.14 2.5975 19.48
Bearish 27.5 27.8 22.7
J A S O N D J F M A M J
Honeywell
IBM
7.70 4.07 27.12
7.15 6.61 21.05
Visa
Walgreens (3.84)
7.54 1.725 16.32
1.98 27.06 Neutral 30.6 29.4 32.1
Trading
Source: Tullett Prebon Intel (0.68) 1.22 23.44 Wal-mart 4.16 2.26 30.15
Market Vane Suspended
Transportation Stocks NYSE & NYSE American
Bullish Consensus 47% 47% 47%
None
AlaskaAirGroup 0.46 Nil 30.19 Kirby Corp 2.42 Nil 48.02 TIM Group Market Sentiment Nasdaq
Distributions & Offerings
Secondary Distributions of common stocks
144 Filings AmericanAirlines 2.53
AvisBudgetGrp 55.20
Nil (11.33)
Nil (3.93)
Landstar Sys
Matson Inc
10.58
19.42
1.20 22.87
1.24 40.67 Indicator 46.4% 37.7% 44.9%
BELLUS Health (BLU)
CTI BioPharma (CTIC)
C.H. Robinson 6.21 2.33 15.65 Norf Southern 13.01 5.18 56.80 HEXO (HEXO)
SEC Form 144 must be filed by holders of restricted securities (also called letter stock) who intend to Sources: Consensus Inc.; American Association of INDUS Realty Trust (INDT)
Alliance Entertainment 1,335,000 $3.00 $4,005,000 CSX Corp 2.03 0.42 6.13 Old Dominion 12.16 1.40 32.00
sell shares. Shares Indicated: the number to be sold. Sales Date: the approximate date of the sale. OncoSec Medical (ONCS)
AST SpaceMobile 12,500,000 $4.75 $59,400,000 (Sometimes shares aren't sold, even though their owner has filed a Form144.) Source: Thomson Delta Air Lines 2.95 Nil 6.07 Ryder Sys 16.65 2.48 52.02 Individual Investors; Market Vane; TIM Group
Expeditors Int'l 7.64 1.36 20.90 Southwest Air 1.00 Nil 17.59 Qualtrics International (XM)
Axsome Therapeutics 3,000,000 $75.00 $225,000,000 Reuters
Black Diamond Therapeutics 1,500,000 $5.00 $7,500,000 FedEx 15.50 4.71 95.98 Un Pacific 11.32 5.20 22.17
CorMedix 10,000,625 $4.00 $39,999,999
Company Sym
Shares
Indicated $ Value
Sale
Date Seller Title
Hunt (JB) 8.80 1.64 29.67 UPS 12.36 6.28 16.38
Name
Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta SAB 125,000,000 $31.00 $387,500,000 JetBlue Air (0.91) Nil 12.03 United Airlines 5.82 Nil 15.53
Arms Index
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics 8,000,000
Nextracker 18,150,000
$50.00 $400,000,000
$36.50 $662,475,000
C3.Ai
Samsara
AI
IOT
948,883 35,526,179 6/23/23
902,950 23,091,411 6/27/23
Behzadi, Houman
Bicket, John
FO
H Utility Stocks The Arms index, also known as the short term trading index,
is a number derived by dividing one quotient into another
Changes
NYSE
Source: Dealogic LLC, New York City; (212) 577-4400. Samsara IOT 898,000 22,962,398 6/27/23 Biswas, Sanjit H quotient. The numerator in the index is the number of
advancing stocks divided by the number of declining stocks. None
Coming U.S. Auctions Information Services
C3.Ai
III
AI
700,000 3,997,000 6/22/23
457,585 15,082,825 6/27/23
Connors, Michael
Abbo, Edward
H
O
AES Corp. (0.29) 0.6478 2.96
Am Elec 3.87 3.27 44.49
Exelon
FirstEnergy
2.25 1.395 35.13
0.57 1.56 15.21
As of 3/14/11, the denominator in the index is now the
composite volume of advancing stocks divided by the
composite volume of declining stocks.
NYSE American
AmericanWaterWorks 4.55 2.6725 40.18 NextEra Energy 3.36 1.785 18.95 Kartoon Studios (TOON),
Yields (%) Credo Technology CRDO 280,000 5,000,800 6/27/23 Brennan, William O Atmos Energy 5.82 2.90 59.71 Xcel Energy 3.23 2.015 28.70 formerly Genius Brands
Daily 6/26 6/27 6/28 6/29 6/30
Monday When Issued* Last Auction Best Buy BBY 250,000 20,700,000 6/27/23 Schulze, Richard SH Con Ed 7.04 3.20 56.60 Pub Sv Ent 4.64 2.22 28.65 International (GNUS)
Best Buy BBY 200,000 16,500,000 6/27/23 Schulze, Richard SH DominionEnergy 1.43 2.67 31.51 Sempra Energy 7.76 4.625 79.17 Nasdaq
$65.0 bil 3-month 5.320 5.180 NYSE 1.11 .66 1.02 .77 .79
$58.0 bil 6-month 5.452 5.215 Duke Energy 3.25 4.02 61.55 Southn Co. 3.11 2.74 25.36 PHAXIAM Therapeutics
Alphatec ATEC 170,716 3,038,745 6/27/23 Hunsaker, Craig O NYSE American .96 1.53 .47 .63 .92
Edison Int'l 2.20 2.875 36.57 (PHXM), formerly Erytech
* As of Friday afternoon. Pinterest PINS 150,000 3,973,635 6/27/23 Sciarra, Paul AF Nasdaq .92 .73 .92 .97 .75 Pharma (ERYP)
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 51
Dow Jones U.S. Total Market Industry Groups CBOE Put / Call Ratio Foreign Exchange
Foreign
Currency
Foreign
Currency
U.S. $ in
Foreign
U.S. $ in
Foreign
Bullish
Steel, rated capacity, % (AISI) June 24 78.1 77.5 80.2 –2.62 Initial jobless claims (thous.) June 24 239 r265 213 12.21 2014 4806.91 Dec 29 3996.96 Feb. 03 3 months 5.43 5.48 2.25
Continuing claims (mil.) June 17 1.742 r1.761 1.340 30.00 2013 4176.59 Dec 31 3091.81 Jan. 08 6 months 5.55 5.60 2.95
Consumption and Distribution 2012 3183.95 Sept 14 2648.36 Jan. 04
Construction Libor Interbank Rate
Consumer spending, (bil. $) 2011 2873.54 Apr 29 2335.83 Oct. 03
May 18,266.4 r18,247.5 17,231.1 6.01
Current Sentiment Home Price Index S&P Case–Shiller – Comp. 10 (SA) Apr 320.87 r315.42 324.64 –1.16 2010 2671.48 Dec 22 2091.79 July 02 1 month 5.22 5.15 1.80
Durable goods (bil. $) May 282.7 r277.9 268.9 5.13 2009 2291.28 Dec 30 1268.64 Mar. 09 3 months 5.55 5.54 2.29
Other Indicators 2008 2609.63 Jan 02 1316.12 Nov 20
61.2%
Instinet Research Redbook Avg. (monthly %) June 24 –2.62 0.65 1.23 …. 6 months 5.76 5.69 2.90
Baltic Dry Index June 30 1,091 1,240 2,214 –50.72 2007 2859.12 Oct 31 2340.68 Mar. 05 12 months 6.04 5.93 3.56
Consumer confidence (Conference Board) June 109.7 r102.5 98.4 11.48 2006 2465.98 Nov 22 2020.39 July 21
New home sales, (thous. units) May 763 r680 636 19.97 Foreign Prime Rates
Citi Research Panic–Euphoria Reading June 30 0.02 –0.07 –0.05 …. 2005 2273.37 Dec 02 1904.18 Apr 28
Personal consumption, (bil. $) 1st Qtr 14,360.4 14,214.9 14,028.4 2.37 2004 2178.34 Dec. 30 1752.49 Aug. 12
Last Week a-1997 equals 100. b-1982-84 equals 100. c-1982 equals 100. f-1996 equals 100. h- Canada 6.95 6.95 3.70
benchmark revision, 2016 equals 100. r-Revised. 2003 2009.88 Dec. 30 1271.47 Mar. 11
Inventories Germany 4.00 4.00 0.00
2002 2059.38 Jan. 04 1114.11 Oct. 09
65.8%
Japan 1.475 1.475 1.475
Domestic crude oil, (thous. bbls) Comm. (Excl. Lease Stck) June 23 453,690 463,293 415,566 9.17 2001 2859.15 Jan. 24 1423.19 Sept. 21 Switzerland 2.25 2.25 0.25
2000 5048.62 Mar. 10 2332.78 Dec. 20 Britain 5.00 5.00 1.25
1999 4069.31 Dec. 31 2248.91 Feb. 17
1998 2192.69 Dec. 31 1419.12 Oct. 08 Other Money Rates
2 Weeks ago 1997 1748.78 Oct. 09 1194.16 Apr. 22 Fannie Mae Home Loan:
1996 1328.95 Dec. 10 977.79 Sept. 16 30-Year Fixed Conv 6.38 6.12 4.91
American Debt and Deficits Adjustable Mortgage Rates
60.8%
1995 1075.14 Dec. 05 740.44 Jan. 04 Bank money market-z 0.32 0.32 0.09
1994 803.93 Mar. 18 693.79 June 24 Interest Checking-z 0.06 0.06 0.04
Latest Preceding Year Ago Yr over Yr 1993 787.42 Oct. 15 645.87 Apr. 26 6-Month Certif-z 1.38 1.38 0.27
Report Report Report % Chg Jun 30 Jun 23 Yr. Ago YOY % Chg 12-Month Certif-z 1.72 1.70 0.39
3 Weeks ago 30 Month Accounts-z 1.25 1.25 0.54
Barron’s Gold Mining Index Weekly Bond Statistics Dividend Payment Boosts Top 5 Insider Purchases by
12-Month Year Week %
High Low
983.45 684.61 Gold mining
6/29
850.37
6/22
855.64
Ago
774.64
Chg.
–0.62
New Offerings, (mil $) (v) Last Week Prev. Week Yr Ago Adjusted % Record Ex-Div Payment Company in 2023
Corporate (z) 16,216 r14,258 7,986 Company Name-Ticker Symbol (Exchange) Yield Period To From Increase Date Date Date Number of Number of Avg.
Municipal (z) 9,383 r6,242 11,320 Company Sym Insiders Shares $ Value Price
BanColombia ADR-CIB (NYSE) 4.2 Q .851989 .695869 22.4 % 6-30 6-29 7-14
Best Grade Bonds-y B Riley Financial RILY 15 342,024 12,585,432 $36.80
Gold & Silver Prices (Barron's index of 10 high-grade corporate bonds.)
Cadiz Pfd. A-CDZIP (Nasdaq)
Cdn Imperial Bk Of Comm-CM (NYSE)
13.6
5.9
Q .56
Q .661245 .617733
.55 1.8
7.0
7-03
6-28
6-30
6-27
7-14
7-28
Movano
Compass Diversified
MOVE
CODI
11 575,711 686,495
10 97,648 1,868,239
$1.19
$19.13
Handy & Harman 6/30 6/23 Year Ago 4.87 4.63 3.77
Cohen & Steers Real Est-RLTY (NYSE) 9.6 M .11 .104 5.8 7-12 7-11 7-31 FidelityNationalInformationServices FIS 10 19,608 1,303,895 $66.50
Gold, troy ounce 1912.25 1930.70 1797.45 Interm-Grade Bonds-y General Mills-GIS (NYSE) 3.1 Q .59 .54 9.3 7-10 7-07 8-01 Keurig Dr Pepper KDP 10 121,560 4,152,509 $34.16
Silver, troy ounce 22.76 22.36 19.86
(Barron's index of 10 medium-grade corporate bonds.) Greenbrier-GBX (NYSE) 2.7 Q .30 .27 11.1 7-18 7-17 8-08 Top 5 Insider Sales by Company in 2023
Base for pricing gold and silver contents of shipments and for making 5.06 5.20 4.92
refining settlement. John Wiley & Sons A-WLY (NYSE) 4.1 Q .35 .3475 0.7 7-06 7-05 7-20 Atlassian TEAM 38 955,663162,805,364 $170.36
Confidence Index John Wiley & Sons B-WLYB (NYSE) 4.2 Q .35 .3475 0.7 7-06 7-05 7-20 Doordash DASH 24 2,274,924143,102,034 $62.90
Coins Price Premium $ Premium % Korn Ferry-KFY (NYSE) 1.4 Q .18 .15 20.0 7-07 7-06 7-31 Moderna MRNA 23 968,134149,064,794 $153.97
(High-grade index divided by intermediate-grade index; decline in
Krugerrand 2008.70 86.50 4.50 latter vs. former generally indicates rising confidence, pointing to Smith & Wesson Brands-SWBI (Nasdaq) 3.7 Q .12 .10 20.0 7-13 7-12 7-27 Datadog DDOG 19 1,025,253 86,090,807 $83.97
Maple Leaf 2056.75 134.55 7.00 higher stocks.) Palo Alto Networks PANW 18 428,924 82,166,025 $191.56
Mexican Peso 2479.83 162.23 7.00 96.2 89.1 76.7 STRATS Allstate 2006-3-GJT (NYSE) 7.2 M .130458 .126542 3.1 6-30 6-29 7-03
Austria Crown 1887.14 56.52 3.00
Austria Phil 2018.31 96.11 5.00 Utd Security Bancshares-UBFO (Nasdaq) 7.1 Q .12 .11 9.1 7-10 7-07 7-24
U.S. Eagles 2056.75 134.55 7.00 Other Confidence Indicators:
Worthington Industries-WOR (NYSE) 1.9 Q .32 .31 3.2 9-15 9-14 9-29
Premium is the amount over the value of the gold content in the coin.
Source Manfra, Tordella & Brookes, Inc. Bullion spot gold price 1922.2 Bloomberg Barclays US Long Treasury* Week’s Week’s
(This index measures the performance of fixed-rate, nominal US
Treasuries with at least 10 years to maturity. Jan. 1, 1973=100.)
Dividend Payment Reductions Dividend Dividend
Gold Performance Bloomberg Barclays US Credit
3275.66 3289.49 3545.54
Adjusted % Record Ex-Div Payment Payment Payment
Gold Sold: With Fed rate rises still possible, Company Name-Ticker Symbol (Exchange) Yield Period To From Decrease Date Date Date This list includes payouts on This list includes payouts on
(This index includes all publicly issued, fixed-rate, non-convertible, common stocks. common stocks.
gold’s price slipped 1%, to $1,912 an ounce. investment-grade, dollar-denominated, SEC-registered corporate
debt.)
NONE NYSE NASDAQ
2899.96 2903.37 2872.84 Monday (July 3)
Monday (July 3)
30
Barron's Gold Mining Index (850.37) Ryan Labs Treasury Index
Special Dividends Stock Splits/Dividends Albemarle
Allstate
.40
.89
CH Robinson Worldwide
Chemung Financial
Community Trust Bancorp .44
.61
.31
(Index of total return from active Treasury notes and bonds. Dec. Record Ex-Div Pay Avangrid .44
31, 1996=100.) Company Name-Ticker Symbol (Exchange) Amount Date Date Date Record Ex-Div Pay Banc of California .10 Financial Institutions .30
20 268.23 268.97 278.46 Company Name-Ticker Symbol (Exchange) Amount Date Date Date Baxter International .29 First Financial Indiana .54
NONE Brown-Forman Cl A .206 First Fincl Bankshares .18
Huntington Bancshares .155
Bond Buyer 20 Bond Index Security Natl Finl-SNFCA (Nasdaq) 5% 7-07 7-06 7-14 Brown-Forman Cl B .206 Paramount Global Cl A .05
Cadence Bank .235 Paramount Global Cl B .05
10
(Index of yields of 20 general obligation municipal bonds.)
3.65 3.65 3.54 Week’s Ex- Week’s Ex- WisdomTree Japan-DXJS (Nasdaq) 2-for-1
WT Eur Hedged Equity-HEDJ (NYSE ARCA )2-for-1
8-07
8-07
8-10
8-10
8-09
8-09
Coca-Cola
FedEx
.46
1.26
Pathward Financial
Phillips Edison
.05
.093
First Horizon .15
Bond Buyer Municipal Bond Index Dividend Dividend WT Int Rate US Agg-AGZD (Nasdaq) 2-for-1 8-07 8-10 8-09 Genuine Parts
Infosys ADR
.95
.213
Popular Inc.
Simmons First Natl Cl A
Stock Yards Bancorp
.55
.20
.29
0 (Index of 40 actively-traded tax-exempt bonds; component issues
are changed regularly to keep the index a current picture of the
market. Source: The Bond Buyer
Dates Dates U.S. Treasury Bills
ITT
Macy's
.29
.165
Trustco Bank
UMB Financial
United Bankshares WV
.36
.38
.36
McKesson .54
4.43 4.45 4.56 This list includes payouts on This list includes payouts on New Jersey Resources .39 Universal Logistics .105
common stocks. common stocks. Wkly Ask
NewMarket 2.25 Valley National Bancorp .11
-10 Stock/Bond Yield Gap-s Maturity Bid Asked Chg. Yld.
NYSE NASDAQ PPL Corp .24 Tuesday (July 4)
July 05 4.92 4.91 0.03 5.00 Prosperity Bancshares .55
(Difference between yield on highest-grade corporate bonds and Tuesday (July 4) NONE
Handy & Harman Gold Price Tuesday (July 4) July 06 4.95 4.94 0.11 5.01 Regions Financial .20
yield on stocks on the DJIA.) Sendas Distribuidora ADR .051 Wednesday (July 5)
-2.80 -2.52 -1.65 NONE NONE July 11 4.98 4.97 0.04 5.06
-20 Synovus Financial .38 JOYY ADR .51
Wednesday (July 5) July 13 4.96 4.95 .... 5.03 TEGNA .095 Lam Research 1.725
Yield on DJ Equal Weight US Corp Bond Idx: Wednesday (July 5)
J A S O N D J F M A M J July 18 4.99 4.98 0.01 5.08 Tredegar .13 Seagate Technology .70
Cisco Systems .39
Corp Bonds, (y) 5.54 5.50 4.78 ABM Industries .22 July 20 5.01 5.00 0.04 5.08 Westwood .15 Utd Community Banks .23
CVB Financial .20
AECOM .18 Erie Indemnity Cl A 1.19 July 25 5.00 4.99 0.03 5.09 Tuesday (July 4) Thursday (July 6)
v-Week ended Thursday. y-Yield to maturity, week ended Thursday. z- Campbell Soup .37
Source: Refinitiv.*Barclays T-Bond Index discontinued by firm. Ingles Markets Cl A .165 July 27 5.00 4.99 .... 5.07 TELUS Corp. .268 Heartland Express .02
John Wiley & Sons A .35 Village Super Market A .25 August 01 5.04 5.03 0.02 5.13 Mercer International .075
Wednesday (July 5) NXP Semiconductors 1.014
John Wiley & Sons B .35 August 03 5.09 5.08 0.04 5.17
Thursday (July 6) Alpha Metallurgical Rscs .50 QCR Holdings .06
JPMorgan Chase 1.00 August 08 5.14 5.13 0.07 5.24 Utah Medical Products .295
Canadian Natural Rscs .678
Federal Reserve Data Bank Simpson Manufacturing
Steelcase
.27
.10
ChampionX
Encore Wire
.085
.02
August 10
August 15
5.14
5.14
5.13
5.13
0.07
0.04
5.22
5.25
Chesapeake Utilities
CONMED
.59
.20
Friday (July 7)
Gentex .12 ATN International .21
One week ended Jun 28: Sylvamo .25 August 17 5.15 5.14 0.08 5.24 Curtiss-Wright .20
Horizon Bancorp .16 Bank7 .16
Trinseo .01 August 22 5.16 5.15 0.09 5.27 Graphic Packaging .10 FirstService .225
Member Bank Latest Prev. Week Year Ago Marvell Technology .06 Hartford Financial .425
Wabash National .08 Morningstar .375 August 24 5.17 5.16 0.12 5.27 Hackett Group .11
Reserve Chgs. (Mil. $) Week Change Change HP .262 Hamilton Lane Cl A .445
NetApp .50 August 29 5.14 5.13 0.07 5.26 Kimberly-Clark 1.18 Independent Bank .55
Thursday (July 6)
U.S. Gov't securities: Preferred Bank LA .55 August 31 5.16 5.15 0.07 5.28 Myers Industries .135 Omega Flex .33
American Eagle Outfitters .10 Royal Gold .375 September 05 5.12 5.11 0.06 5.25 Nike Cl B .34
Bought outright 7,694,437 -10,572 -792,201 Saturday (July 8)
American Express .60 VersaBank .019 PulteGroup .16
September 07 5.13 5.12 0.03 5.24 NONE
Federal agency secur: Rogers Communications B .367
Bristol Myers Squibb .57 Friday (July 7) September 12 5.13 5.12 0.07 5.26 Rogers Communications B .374 Sunday (July 9)
Bought outright 2,347 .... .... Ennis .25 September 14 5.16 5.15 0.04 5.29 Spire .72
Intuit .78 NONE
General Dynamics 1.32 September 19 5.17 5.16 0.08 5.30 STMicroelectronics .06
Reserve bank credit: Sat. (July 8)-Mon. (July 10) Telefonica ADR .165
Korn Ferry .18 September 21 5.16 5.15 0.01 5.30
Primary Credit 3,399 +151 +517
Secondary Credit .... .... -1
Lennar Cl A
Lennar Cl B
.375
.375
NONE September 26
September 28
5.15
5.17
5.14
5.16
0.02
0.09
5.28
5.31
Thursday (July 6)
Aaron's .125
Week’s
Seasonal Credit 27 +2 +14
Float -213 -42 +97
Mastercard
Progressive
.57
.10 Week’s Ex- October 03
October 05
5.17
5.16
5.16
5.15
0.03
0.03
5.31
5.29
ADT
Belden
Best Buy
.035
.05
.92
Dividend
Other F.R. Assets 42,059 +689 +3,422
Total Fed Credit #
Gold stock
8,317,639
11,041
-17,196
....
-571,980
....
Sysco
Thor Industries
.50
.45 Dividend October 10
October 12
5.18
5.19
5.17
5.18
0.04
0.03
5.33
5.34
Broadridge Finl Solutions
Dole
.725
.08
Payment
Toll Brothers .21 October 17 5.21 5.20 0.03 5.37 Edgewell Personal Care .15
SDR Certif. Accounts
Treas. Curr. Outst.
5,200
51,821
....
+14
....
+728 Friday (July 7)
Dates October 19 5.21 5.20 0.02 5.37 H & R Block
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings
.29
.24
This list includes payouts on
common stocks.
October 24 5.21 5.20 .... 5.38
Total 8,404,056 -17,290 -571,127 Brady Cl A .23 This list includes payouts on Nordic American Tankers .15 NYSE American
common stocks. October 26 5.20 5.19 0.04 5.37 Orion .021
Currency in circ 2,341,032 -1,980 +62,428 Darden Restaurants 1.31 Monday (July 3)
October 31 5.24 5.23 .... 5.41 Restaurant Brands Intl .55
Treas. Cash Hldgs 218 -7 +120 Lincoln National .45 NYSE American Tootsie Roll Indus .09 NONE
November 02 5.21 5.20 0.08 5.37
Treas. Fed Deposits 390,571 +113,721 -366,056 OGE Energy .414 Tuesday (July 4) Utz Brands .057
November 09 5.20 5.19 0.08 5.38 Tuesday (July 4)
Foreign Fed Deposits 9,685 -2 +2,251 Roper Technologies .683 NONE VICI Properties .39
November 16 5.20 5.19 0.08 5.38
Other Fed Deposits 202,220 -2,203 -66,705 Toronto-Dominion Bank .706 Friday (July 7) NONE
Wednesday (July 5) November 24 5.19 5.18 0.06 5.38
Other FR liab/cap -20,582 +859 -69,630 Universal Corp .80 Air Lease .20 Wednesday (July 5)
NONE November 30 5.20 5.19 0.04 5.38
Total factors 5,232,489 +62,701 -612,607 Verizon Communications .652 Avient .248
Thursday (July 6) December 07 5.21 5.20 0.05 5.41 NONE
Reserves F.R. banks 3,171,567 -79,991 +41,480 Chubb .86
Saturday (July 8) NONE Dec 14 '23 5.23 5.22 0.09 5.43 Dine Brands Global .51
Fgn hold U.S. debt 3,432,403 +6,979 +41,559 Thursday (July 6)
Dec 21 '23 5.24 5.23 0.05 5.46 Eastman Chemical .79
NONE Friday (July 7) NONE
Dec 28 '23 5.25 5.24 0.18 5.45 Flowserve .20
NONE Omnicom Group .70
Reserve Aggr (Mil. $) Latest Prev. Month % Year Sunday (July 9) Jan 25 '24 5.00 4.99 0.14 5.20 Friday (July 7)
Month Ended May: Month Month Chg. Ago Saturday (July 8) Feb 22 '24 5.07 5.06 0.18 5.27 Turning Point Brands .065
NONE West Fraser Timber .30 NONE
NONE Mar 21 '24 5.11 5.10 0.13 5.34
Total Reserves: 3,235,600 3,269,500 -1.04 3,317,900 Saturday (July 8)
Monday (July 10) Sunday (July 9) Apr 18 '24 5.15 5.14 0.13 5.40 Saturday (July 8)
Nonborrowed Res 2,928,400 2,939,800 -0.39 3,296,000 NONE
Dollar General .59 NONE May 16 '24 5.16 5.15 0.13 5.42 NONE
Borrowed Reserves 307,190 329,662 -6.82 21,883
Monetary Base 5,569,100 5,592,600 -0.42 5,591,500 MSC Industrial Direct .79 Monday (July 10) Jun 13 '24 5.13 5.12 0.15 5.41 Sunday (July 9) Sunday (July 9)
Quest Diagnostics .71 NONE NONE NONE
July 3, 2023 BARRON’S 53
293
New Highs
94
New Lows
IES Holdings
Immunome
InsightEnt
UnitedAirlines
UnvlStainless
US Lime&Min
CumberlandPharm
Cyanotech
Cytokinetics
ModularMed
MoleculinBiotech
Momentus
UniversePharm
urban-gro
Vaccinex
ComfortSystems
COPEL
Constellium
MSA Safety
MarineProducts
Marsh&McLen
VulcanMatls
Wabtec
Watsco
IntensityTherap VarexImaging DiffusionPharm MonoparTherap VBI Vaccines Core&Main MartinMarietta WattsWater
Nasdaq InterDigital VectivBio DISH Network Monro VenusConcept Vesta Masco WeaveComms
InterlinkElec VeecoInstr DolphinEnt MSP Recovery VerbTech Crane MasoniteIntl WescoIntl
307
New Highs
364
New Lows
IntuitiveSurgical
IspireTechnology
IVERICbio
Vericel
VerraMobility
VertexPharm
DrillingToolsIntl
Dynatronics
EastRscsAcqnA
MullenAuto
MySize
NanoStringTech
Vericity
ViaRenewables
View
CraneNXT
Crawford A
Crawford B
MasTec
Mastercard
McCormickVtg
WestPharmSvcs
WorthingtonInds
XPO
JFrog VisionSensingA EBET NaturalAlt ViewRay Curtiss-Wright McDonald's YPF
NYSE American KernelA WelsbachTech EcoWavePower NauticusRobot VillageFarms DeckersOutdoor McKesson
KLA EigerBioPharma NearIntelligence DellTechC MeritageHomes NEW LOWS
Woodward VincoVentures
AMTD Digital
15 27
Kulicke&Soffa Workday Eightco NetSolTech VintageWineEstates DeltaAir MuellerIndustries
LamfGlbI A XcelBrands EledonPharm NeuBaseTherap DiamondOffshore MuellerWater AbbVie
VistaGenTherap
LamResearch YottaAcqn Embecta NeuroBoPharm DorianLPG NVR AdtalemGlbEduc
Vodafone
New Highs New Lows
LandseaHomes Zillow A EnantaPharma NeuroMetrix DoubleVerify NaborsEnerA AllianceBernstein
Volcon
LandstarSystem Zillow C Energous NGM Biopharm DrReddy'sLab NY CmntyBcp AmerStratInvt
Only includes COMMON and REIT stocks VorBiopharma
LatticeSemi EnergyFocus Nkarta elfBeauty NewparkResources Ashland
NEW LOWS voxeljet
LCattertonA EnochianBio Novan EMCOR NorwegCruise Bakkt
NYSE American ApplMaterials WalgreensBoots
LegacyHousing 22ndCentury EnsysceBio Novocure ESAB NuHoldings Beachbody
APxAcqnI A WillametteValley
LeonardoDRS 23andMe Erasca NRX Pharm ESCO Tech nVentElectric BorgWarnerWi
NEW HIGHS AryaSciencesV Workhorse
LFCapAcqnIIA 36Kr EsportsEnt Nutriband EagleMaterials Oil-Dri BostonOmaha
AgeX Therap Astronics Xos
LGI Homes AadiBioscience EudaHealth NymoxPharm Eaton Omnicom BrightScholar
AthenaCnsmrA Atlanticus XWELL
LifeMD ABVC Bio Femasys OceanPal Ecolab OntoInnovation BristolMyers
CatchaInvtA AtossaTherap Yellow
Light&Wonder AdaptHealth FGI Industries OconeeFedFinl ElliottOppIIA Orix CVR Partners
CoreMoldingTech Augmedix Yunji
Limbach AdaptimmuneTher FibroGen OkyoPharma EmpresaDisCom OsirisAcqn CalWtrSvc
DSS AvadelPharm ZW DataAction
LincolnElectric Addentax FirstGuarBcshs Opthea EncompassHealth OtisWorldwide CampbellSoup
51TalkOnlineEd Avnet ZyVersaTherap
Liquidia AddexTherap FloraGrowth OrchestraBioMed EnelChile OwensCorning ChathamLodging
FirstLightAcqnA AxcelisTechs AdicetBio NYSE Chegg
Littelfuse FocusUniversal OrganiGram EnerSys PGT Innovations
GencorInds BeaconRoof Aditxt ChinaGreenAg
LIVCapAcqnII A FreightCarAmer PanbelaTherap EnPro PHINIA
InterPrivateII A BentleySystems AdventTech NEW HIGHS ClearwayEnergyC
LiveOne FreightTech PassageBio Enviri PPG Ind
NorthernStrII A BetterwaredeMexico AerwinsTech AAR ClearwayEnergyA
ManhattanAssoc FrequencyTherap PAVmed Equifax PampaEnergia
SuperiorDrilling BioRestorativeTher AgileTherap AP Acqn A Vesta
Marriott GalmedPharm PENN Entmt FederalSignal ParkerHannifin
WirelessTel BitDigital Akumin ATI DineBrands
MatthewsIntl Gaucho PerformShipping FedEx PenskeAuto
NEW LOWS BlackDiamond MetalphaTechnology AlaunosTherap GEN Restaurant PhenomeX AZEK Ferguson Pentair Doma
BOS BetterOnln MetaPlatforms AlchemyInv1 A GeneDx PhioPharm Abercrombie&Fitch Ferrari Penumbra EmergentBiosol
AgEagleAerial AcropolisInfrA
BridgetownA MicrochipTech Alector GenerationIncm Phunware FidelisInsurance PrimeImpactI A Entergy
AultAlliance Acushnet
CabalettaBio MiMedx AllarityTherap GeneticTech PierisPharm Fiserv Primerica F45Training
Azitra AfricanGoldA
Camtek MongoDB AlloVir GlobusMaritime Pilgrim'sPride FleetCorTech PrimorisSvcs FathomDigital
CamberEnergy Alcon
Cantaloupe MontereyCapA AltamiraTherap GolarLNG PlusTherap Floor&Decor PulteGroup FidelisInsurance
cbdMD AllisonTransm
CarticaAcqnA MontereyInnov Altimmune GoldenStarAcqn PoseidaTherap Forestar QuanexBldg FiverrIntl
GalataAcqn AmerEquity
CellebriteDI MoonLakeImm AmericanRebel Greenlane PowerbridgeTech Fortive QuantaServices FlowersFoods
GoldResource AmerisourceBrgn
CelsiusHldg MrCooper AmeriServFin GreenwaveTech Precipio FortuneBrands RelianceSteel GoGreenInvtsA
GoldenMinerals Ametek
ChinookTherap NatureSunshine AppliedUV GRI Bio PrecisionBio FreedomI A RepublicSvcs HanoverIns
GranTierraEner Amphenol
Cimpress NavitasSemi ApreaTherap GromSocialEnts PreludeTherap GATX RestaurantBrands HershaHospitality
IntlTowerHill Amrep
Cintas NewcourtAcqnA AptevoTherap GSE Systems ProMISNeurosci GFLEnvironmental Rockwell HoraceMannEdu
KartoonStudios AnteroMidstream
CloverLeafA Novanta AptoseBiosci GSRIIMeteoraA ProSomnus GMS RoperTech KenonHoldings
LoopMedia Aon
CognyteSoftware NVE AquaBountyTech GulfIslandFab ProtaraTherap GOL Linhas RoyalCaribbean KodiakGasSvcs
Marygold APi Group
Cohu NXP Semi ARBIOT HarborCustom Psychemedics GXO Logistics RyersonHolding Lindsay
MatinasBioPharma ApolloGlbMgmt
CommVaultSys ON Semi AspenTech HarborCustomWt RedHillBio Gallagher S&P Global LocalBounti
NewPacificMetals ArcosDorados
CommVehicle OricPharm Aterian Harte-Hanks RegencellBio GeneralElec SeacorMarine Mytheresa
NovaGoldRscs ConsldWater Arcosa
Paccar AtlanticAmerican Hempacco Repligen Glaukos SPX Tech MariaDB
PalatinTech Copart AresAcqnA
PaloAltoNtwks AtlanticaSust HighPeakEner ReShapeLife GlobalIndemnity SaversValue Mativ
Polished.com CoStar AresAcqnII A
ParkCity AvaloTherap HitekGlobal ReToEcoSol GoGreenInvtsA SelectMedical MethodeElec
PowerREIT CovenantLogist AresMgmt
Patterson AytuBioPharma HomologyMed RevelationBio Graco ShakeShack MiX Telematics
RaMedicalSys CreativeRealities ArlingtonAsset
PDF Solutions Backblaze Hurco RoyaltyPharma Grainger SherwinWilliams NL Industries
Stereotaxis CSW Industrials ArloTech
PhathomPharm BankofSC HycroftMining RVL Pharm GreenBrickPtrs SilverBoxIIIA NatlStorage
StrongGlbEnt CymaBayTherap ArrowElec
Photronics BaudaxBio Hydrofarm SarcosTech&Robotic Greenbrier SimpsonMfg Nautilus
WilliamsIndlSvcs D-MarketElec AthenaTechII A
PioneerPwrSols BellerophonTherap iClickInteract SaveFoods GreenTree SiteOneLandscape Netstreit
Nasdaq DiamedicaTherap PlainsAllAmPipe Beneficient iMediaBrands SenecaFoods A Atkore Group1Auto SmithAO NouveauMonde
DiceTherap PlainsGP Biocept Incannex SenecaFoods B AtmusFiltration HCA Healthcare Snap-On NuScalePower
NEW HIGHS DigitalHealth Playstudios BioCryst Incyte SenmiaoTech AutoNation HSBC Spotify OneConnectFin
7GC A DPCapAcqnIA PotlatchDelt BionanoGenom InMedPharm SenseiBiotherap AxaltaCoating Hexcel St.Joe PHINIA
A SPAC II DraftKings PowerIntegrations Biophytis InovioPharm SenstarTech Azul DR Horton Stantec Pfizer
Abcam Dropbox Quanterix BioXcelTherap Intchains SentiBiosciences BWX Tech HowmetAerospace SteelPartners PhoenixNewMedia
AC Immune DXP Ents QuickLogic BlinkCharging IntensityTherap SharpsTech BancoBBVA Hubbell Stryker PlanetLabs
AchariVenturesI EastRscsAcqnA Redfin BlueStarFoods InteractStrength Shineco Bladex HubSpot SummitMaterials RiteAid
AdvEnergyInds EdifyAcqnA RockwellMedical BoneBiologics Intercure SidusSpace BancoMacro HysterYaleMatls SunLifeFinancial SignaSports
AlchemyInv1 A EdocAcqnA RushEnt B Bonso iSun SIGA Tech Bausch+Lomb InFinTAcqnA TE Connectivity SQZ Biotech
Alkermes EnergyRecovery RxSight BorqsTechs JaguarHealth SingularGenomics BeardEnerA IngersollRand TJX SaversValue
AllegiantTravel Ent4.0TechAcqnA Ryanair BranchOutFood JamesRiver SiNtxTech BeazerHomes InspireMedical TaylorMorrison Sibanye-Stillwater
AlphaStarAcqn EosEnergy Saia BuzzFeed JazzPharm SiyataMobile Belden InstalledBldg TechnipFMC Skillz
Alphatec EverspinTech Schrodinger C3is JerashHldgs SMXSecurityMatters BerkHathwy B IntegerHoldings Tecnoglass SummitHotelProp
AlphaVestAcqn ExpeditorsIntl SigilonTherap C4 Therap Jewett-Cameron SocietyPass BluegreenVac ICE Teradata Unifirst
AmbrxBio ExtremeNetworks SilverspacA Cal-MaineFoods Joann Sohu.com BlueLinx IonQ Textainer UnitedNatFoods
Amdocs Fastenal SkyWest CalAmp JX Luxventure SolGelTech BoiseCascade JPMorganChase Tidewater Vapotherm
AmerAirlines FirstService SlamA CaliberCos KaryopharmTherap SparkNetworks BorgWarnerWi Jabil Timken Victoria'sSecret
AmericanWoodmark Flex SMART Global Canoo KeurigDrPepper SunOpta Brown&Brown JobyAviation TimkenSteel VinceHolding
Andersons FocusFinPtrs SP Plus CanopyGrowth KioraPharm Synlogic BuildersFirst JohnBeanTech Toll Bros WNS
ANI Pham Fortinet SPS Commerce CaraTherap Koss T Stamp CACI Intl KB Home TopBuild WheelsUp
Apple Fortrea StealthGas CaravelleIntl Lazydays TarenaIntl CCNeubergerIII A KinsaleCapital TortoiseEcoIII A XeniaHotels
AppliedOptoelec FranklinElec SterlingInfr CaribouBio Leafly TayshaGene CRH Kirby TransDigm ZimIntShipping
54 BARRON’S July 3, 2023
O T H E R VO I C E S
Housing production has lagged behind household
growth since 2010, but this doesn’t account for
the massive overhang from the previous decade.
rising housing costs are driven by a units than households. The New York
shortage of housing. area was the largest, with a surplus of
True, some measures indicate a over a quarter-million units. The
housing shortage. Freddie Mac, for Phoenix area was the smallest, at just
example, points out that the growth in over 20,000 units.
housing units has lagged behind the The belief that there is a housing
growth in households over the past shortage is correctly motivated by con-
decade, causing vacancy rates to drop cern over the housing-affordability
below customary levels. problems that confront so many
A longer-term perspective, how- households. But census data show that
ever, shows that America isn’t suffer- these housing-affordability problems
ing from a housing shortage. Housing largely reflect a mismatch between
production has lagged behind house- household incomes and housing
hold growth since 2010, but this prices. Here, prices refer to housing
doesn’t account for the massive over- prices in the market as a whole, not
hang of housing produced in the pre- just the prices of new-to-the-market
vious decade. Fueled by the housing homes, which fluctuate widely with
bubble of 2000-07, 160 homes were the pace of housing production.
added to the stock for every 100 Housing-affordability problems for
households formed during the aughts, the population as a whole aren’t re-
our analysis of Census Bureau data lated to housing shortages or low va-
shows. This level of production cre- cancy rates. Rather, they are driven by
ated a huge surplus of housing, which high overall housing prices and low
has yet to be fully absorbed. household incomes. Geographic varia-
Put differently, from 2000-21, the tions in housing prices and rents
nation grew by 18.5 million house- show no significant relationship with
holds. To maintain an adequate inven- differences in housing supply or va-
tory of vacant housing, which histori- cancy rates. The housing markets
T
small, containing less than 1% of the and more on raising the incomes of
here is a growing, BY KIRK burden of housing costs is to boost the nation’s population. Two-thirds of the low-income households and giving
bipartisan consen- MCCLURE supply of quality housing.” growing markets had a surplus of them access to good-quality housing in
sus that the U.S. AND ALEX The U.S. has long faced a severe housing, meaning the increase in units safe neighborhoods. We know how to
suffers from a hous- SCHWARTZ housing-affordability crisis. About from 2000-21 exceeded the growth of do this. Raising minimum wages to the
ing shortage, and McClure is profes- one-half of all renters and about one- households by at least 10 percentage living-wage level will help the working
that this shortage is sor emeritus at the fifth of all homeowners spend more points. These growing markets with poor afford housing. Zoning reform
at the root of the University of Kan- than 30% of their income on housing surpluses house about 72% of the U.S. can encourage the production of multi-
MAILBAG
Send letters to [email protected]. To be considered for Numbers by Barron’s, which breaks down the markets,
publication, correspondence must bear the writer’s name, is available wherever you listen to podcasts.
address, and phone number. Letters are subject to editing.
For Us All
To the Editor: and you need to analyze each stock if this trend. They’ve cut production by
What about the inverted yield curve? you want to make money. one million barrels a day each quarter
What about a large number of con- Jonathan Towle this year to prop up the price. Oil is
sumers being tapped out and deep On Barrons.com dying a slow death.
into debt? What about the student Natural gas is another story. The
To the Editor: loan payments kicking back in later U.S. produces 40% of our electricity
Leadership matters, and it matters greatly. That is what this year? What about high interest Oil Opportunities with it, and everything from plastics
one gleans after reading “The Top CEOs of 2023” (Cover rates discouraging people from bor- to the fertilizer industry uses it for
Story, June 26). The underlying message: Grit, determi- rowing for mortgages or businesses or To the Editor: feedstock. We will probably be using
nation, brilliance (in some cases), trust, and vision are large-ticket purchases? What about In Andrew Bary’s recent story recom- copious amounts long after our grand-
vital characteristics of success, both for the individual the commercial real estate reset when mending oil drillers (“These Drilling kids are old. Natural gas is the fossil
and his/her organization. Warren Buffett, Tim Cook, borrowers have to refinance? What Stocks Could Be Gushers as the Oil fuel to invest in. Oil is eventually go-
Jamie Dimon, and the others are living proof—some are about individuals, when adjustable- Industry Rebounds,” June 23), you ing to go the way of coal.
true icons in corporate America. The reasons for their rate mortgages reset? And, if you’re an write, “Most of the operators have Mark Lamont
success transfer to virtually all professions: the military, equity investor, you are buying into a little or no net debt after restructuring On Barrons.com
sports, education, public service, etc. Maybe one or more market that is pricey by any measure.
will decide to hold public office. We can only hope. So, from your lips to God’s ears,
Tom Verdi but I think a recession is inevitable.
Providence, R.I. Paul Kersey
To the Editor:
New York, N.Y.
“Grit, determination, brilliance (in
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