Measurement of Epidiology
Measurement of Epidiology
Measurement of Epidiology
Epidemiological Tools
Background
information
• Epidemiology entails the
study diseases as well as
health outcome in
population
• Health outcome include issues related to
behaviours, illnesses, disorders, symptoms, risk
factors, injuries, death e.t.c
Prevalence
Exercise
• During flu season, there are 20 sick children
and 80 healthy children taking a course in
statistics. What is the prevalence of flu
among the children?
Relationship between incidence and
prevalence
(CDR) =
X 1000
CRUDE DEATH RATE (CDR)
Affected by
-Health of the population,
-Composition of the population
X 1000
Group Specific Death rates
• Age specific death rate:
Age Sp. DR =
X 1000
CFR =
X 100
• More relevant to acute diseases
PROPORTIONAL MORTALITY RATE
• “the ratio of deaths due to a specific cause, in
a specific age, sex, group or sub-area, to the
total deaths
• E.g. PMR due to a specific cause (or an age
group) will be:
X 100
•
Questions and answers
Exercise: Crude death rate
• Calculate the crude death rate- Total mid year
population is 10000, number of death in a
year is 20
Questions
• Efili is a community in Delta State having
100,000 people in 2001, 50 of which are
infected with malaria out of which 25 died of
the infection
• What is the mortality rate of malaria in 2001?
2001?
Exercises on measurement
• In New York City, 200 out of 14,000 people as
at December 1st had cold. What is the
prevalence of cold in the population?
• 11,000 people in an area with large nuclear
power plant were followed up for 7 years until
development of cancer in the blood. 30 cases
were identified over the 7 years period. What
is the absolute risk of development of blood
cancer?
Exercises on measurement
• A Researcher recruited 10,000 residents living
near a nuclear power plant and follow the
residents up for 5 years until development of
cancer of the blood. Over the 5 years study
period, 25 cases of cancer of the blood were
identified and 5 deaths recorded. What is the
absolute risk of developing cancer of the
blood:
• What is the case fatality rate?
ATTACK RATE
• ATTACK RATE- An attack rate is an incidence
rate (usually expressed as a per cent), used
only when the population is exposed to risk
for a limited period of time such as during an
epidemic
• It relates the number of cases in the
population at risk and reflects the extent of
the epidemic
ATTACK RATE
• (No. of new cases of a specified disease during
a specified time interval /Total population at
risk during the same interval) X100
• E.g. calculation of attack rate in case of acute
food poisoning
• A food borne attack rate tells us the
proportion of all people who ate a certain
food who became ill
Secondary attack rate
• It is defined as as "the number of exposed
persons developing the disease within the
range of the incubation period, following
exposure to the primary case"
• SAR= (No. of exposed persons developing the
disease within the range of incubation period/
total no. of exposed/ susceptible contacts)
X100