Finance Seminar 4

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Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Sales Unit 200 210 220 230 240


Unit Value 2.5 2.7 2.9 3 3.1
COS Unit Value 1.77 1.89 2.03 2.1 2.17
Operating Cost 70 80 90 95 100
Working Capital 45 5 5 5

Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5


Outlay
Equipment Cost -280
(+) Delivery/Installing/Training -20
(+) Working Capital -45

Cashflow
Sales (Sales unit x Sales units value) 500 567 638 690 744
(-) COS (Sales unit x COS unit value) 354 396.9 446.6 483 520.8
(-) Operating expenses 70 80 90 95 100
EBIT (Earnings before interest/tax) 76 90.1 101.4 112 123.2

(Equipment Cost + Deliver Cost)


Asset Value Capital Allowance (20%) Tax (25%)
Year 0 300
Year 1 240 60 15
Year 2 192 48 12
Year 3 153.6 38.4 9.6
Year 4 122.88 30.72 7.68
Year 5 42 80.88 20.22
(-) Tax (25%) 19 22.525 25.35 28 30.8
Operating income after tax 57 67.575 76.05 84 92.4

(-) Increase in working capital 5 5 5


(+) Scrap 42
(+) Tax Savings 15 12 9.6 7.68 20.22
(+) Working Capital Recovery 60
Project Cash Flow -345 67 74.575 80.65 91.68 214.62

NPV (13%) -345 59.29204 58.40316 55.8945 56.22906 116.4871 1305.893


NPV (14%) -345 58.77193 57.38304 54.43645 54.28192 111.4669 -8659.754

IRR (13%-14%)
13.131039250866
Payback Period
4.14488398098966
Payback Cumulative CF
Year 0 -345 -345
Year 1 67 -278
Year 2 74.575 -203.425
Year 3 80.65 -122.775
Year 4 91.68 -31.0949999999999
Year 5 214.62 183.525

Decision NPV Accept


IRR Reject
Paayback Reject
*opportunity cost $3m sales over 5 years (if abandon project loss $3m)
*if you stop production, will customer stay? Impact sahre price, reputation
*Competitor
*Sensitivity Snalysis
*Forecast Value

ACCEPT PROJECT - NPV still positive, no loss

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