Strictly Confidential/954/3

By G.L.LEE/23September2014
SMJK JIT SIN − STPM Baharu Peperiksaan Percubaan Penggal 3 Tahun 2014
Section A [45 marks]
Answer all questions in this section.

1. The lengths (in minutes, to the nearest minute) of the phone calls made between two
teenagers are summarised in the table below.
Length, t
0t<5 5  t < 10 10  t < 15 15  t < 25 25  t < 30
(minutes)
Number of
2 k 15 18 3
phone calls
Given that the median is 14.5, find the value of k. [3 marks]
Hence, calculate the estimate of the mode, giving your answer to the nearest minute.
[3 marks]

2. In the recent intake of form six students into SMJK Jit Sin, it was found that 54% of
the students were males and 19.1% of the students joined the Red Crescent Society.
5.6% of the students who join Red Crescent Society were male students. A student is
chosen randomly. Event E is a male student being chosen and event F is a student who
join Red Crescent Society being chosen.
(a) Determine whether E and F are mutually exclusive and whether E and F are
independent. [3 marks]
(b) Find P( E ' | F ) . [2 marks]

3. In SMJK Jit Sin, the ratio of the number of boys’ and girls’ students in form 6 is
3 : 2. The students are chosen randomly to form groups of 7. The total number of the
students is 240. The same student may appear more than once in different groups.
(a) Find the probability that a group contains 4 boys and 3 girls. [2 marks]
(b) A random sample of 10 groups is taken. Find the probability that at least 1 of them
has 4 boys and 3 girls. [2 marks]
(c) A random sample of 80 groups is taken. Using a suitable approximation, find the
probability that more than 30 groups has 4 boys and 3 girls. [5 marks]

4. In a survey made by Health Ministry Department on 400 people aged 30 and above. It
is found that 60 of them are obese.
(a) Obtain a 98% confidence interval for the proportion of people who are obese.
[4 marks]
(b) Determine the smallest sample size which should be surveyed so that the error of
estimation is not more than 0.03 at the 90% confidence level. [4 marks]

5. It is claimed that, on average, people following the LGL weight loss program will lose
more than 1 kg per week. The weight losses, x kilograms per week, of a random sample
of 150 people following the weight loss program were recorded and summarised by
 x  195 and  x 2  560 .
(a) Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance. [3 marks]
(b) Test the claim at the 1% significance level. [5 marks]

−1−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

6. The null hypothesis is that the random variable X has a binomial distribution with
2
n = 5 and p = . A random sample of 140 observations gave the following results :
3
x 0 1 2 3 4 5
frequency 2 10 27 42 39 20
Test the null hypothesis using a 5% significance level. [9 marks]

Section B [15 marks]

Answer only one question in this section.

7. The continuous random variable X has probability density function

 2
 5 x, 0  x 1

f ( x)   px(4  x), 1  x  3

otherwise, 0

where p is a constant.
6
(a) Show that p = . [3 marks]
55
(b) Find the cumulative distribution function of X. [3 marks]
(c) Find the value of E(X). [3 marks]
(d) Find the modal value of X. [2 marks]
(e) Verify that the median value of X lies between 1.76 and 1.77. [4 marks]

8. A nutrition drink ‘Milo’ is packed into packets of two sizes. The distribution of the
mass in each small packet may be regarded as normal variable with mean 1003 g and
standard deviation 5 g while the mass in each large packet is another independent normal
variable with mean 2008 g and standard deviation 9 g.
(a) The random variable Y is defined as the difference of mass of one randomly chosen
large packet and the total mass of two randomly chosen small packets. Find E(Y) and
Var(Y). [2 marks]
(b) A random sample of 150 observations of Y was chosen with a sample mean 2.3.
Calculate a symmetric 90% confidence interval of the population mean. [3 marks]
State, with a reason, whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit Theorem in the
calculation. [1 mark]
(c) The value of p is given as P(Y > 0). Find the value of p. In (b), it is found that 90
observations of Y exceeds zero. Using a hypothesis test at 5% significant level,
determine whether the value of p has changed. [9 marks]

~ End of the paper ~

−2−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014
SMJK JIT SIN − STPM Baharu Peperiksaan Percubaan Penggal 3 Tahun 2014
Marking scheme for Mathematics (T) P3 : (For non-exact numerical values, allow 3
to 5 significant figures or otherwise stated.)
Total
No Working/Answer Partial marks
marks
1 1 B1 [value 10] 6
(38  k )  (2  k ) M1 [2nd term]
14.5  10  2 (5)
15
k=7 A1
8 B1 [value 10]
mode  10  (5)
86 M1[2nd term his k]
mode = 13 A1

2 (a) P( E  F )  0.056  0 or equivalent 5

E and F are not mutually exclusive B1
P( E)  P( F )  0.10314 and P( E)  P( F )  P( E  F ) or M1
Show P( E | F )  P( E ) or P( F | E )  P( F ) A1
E and F are not mutually independent
0.135 M1
(b) P( E '| F ) 
0.191
135
P( E'| F )  0.707 or 0.7068 or 0.70681 or ] A1
191
3 (a) Total number of students = 240, 9
3
Number of male =  240 = 144
5
2
Number of female =  240 = 96
5
P(4 boys and 3 girls)
144
C4 96C3 M1
= 240
C7
= 0.295 or 0.2946 or 0.29462 A1
(b) Y ~ B(10, 0.2946)
P(at least 1 group has 4 boys and 3 girls)
= 1  10C0 (0.2946)0 (0.7054)10 M1(his p for Y)
= 0.969 or 0.9695 A1
(c) Y ~ B(80, 0.2946)
Approximate to normal, Y ~ N(, 2)
 = 80(0.2946) = 23.57
2 = 80(0.2946) (0.7054)= 16.62 B1
P(Y > 30) = P(Y  30.5) [continuity correction] M1
30.5  23.57
 P( Z  ) [standardise] M1(his p for Y)
16.62
= P(Z > 1.6999) or P(Z > 1.700) M1
= 1  P(Z < 1.6999) or R(1.6999) A1
= 0.0446 or 0.04458 or 0.044575

−3−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

4 60 4
(a) ps   0.15 B1
400
0.15(0.85)
z0.01  2.326 or ˆ  B1
400
98% CI =
0.15(0.85) 0.15(0.85) M1
(0.15  2.326 , 0.15  2.326 )
400 400
= (0.108, 0.192) or (0.1085, 0.1915) or (0.10847, 0.19153) A1
(b) At 90% confidence level, z0.05  1.645 B1 4
Error of estimation,
0.15(0.85)
1.645  0.03 M1
n
n  383.35 A1
the smallest sample size = 384 A1
5 (a) unbiased estimates of the population mean ( ̂ ) = 1.3 B1 8
150  560 195 2 
s2  ( )
149 150 150 
M1
613
s2  or 2.057
298
unbiased estimates of the population variance ( ̂ 2 ) = 2.06 A1
or 2.057
(b) Ho :  = 1 or   1 [average loss of weight not more
than 1 kg]
H1 :  > 1 [average loss of weight more than 1 kg] B1
At 1% significant level, z0.01 = 2.326 (critical value for one
tail test) B1
n is large,
By CLT,
ˆ 2
X ~ N ( , )
n
2.057
X ~ N (1, )
150
1.3  1 M1
Z
2.057
150 M1
Z  2.56 > 2.326 [2.562 or 2.5618]
Reject Ho. A1
There is sufficient evidence to support that the program will
lose more than 1 kg per week.

−4−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

6 Ho : The random variable X has a binomial distribution 9

2
with n = 5 and p =
3
H1 : The random variable X does not have a binomial
2 B1
distribution with n = 5 and p =
3
[Notes : for H1 : … does not fit …]
X 0 1 2 3 4 5
Frequency, Oi 2 10 27 42 39 20
P( X  x )
1 10 40 80 80 32
2 1 B1(prob.)
5Cx ( ) x ( )5  x 243 243 243 243 243
3 3 243
Expected frequency,
M1A1(all – at
0.5761 5.761 23.05 46.09 46.09 18.44 least 4sf)
Ei

x 0 and 1 2 3 4 5
Frequency,
12 27 42 39 20
Oi
Expected
frequency, 6.337 23.05 46.09 46.09 18.44
Ei

(12  6.337) 2 (27  23.05) 2 (42  46.09) 2

2   
6.337 23.05 46.09
(39  46.09) 2
(20  18.44) 2
M1 (at least 4sf)
 
46.09 18.44 A1

 2  7.32 or 7.323 M1
A1
Degree of freedom, v = 5  1 = 4
 02.05, 4  9.488
 2  7.32 < 9.488
Do not reject Ho A1
Insufficient (no significant) evidence to reject null
2
hypothesis that X ~ B(5, ).
3

7 3

−5−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

 2
 5 x, 0  x 1

f ( x)   px(4  x), 1  x  3

otherwise, 0

B1
1 2 3
(a)  x dx   px(4  x) dx  1
0 5 1
1 3
2  x2   x3  M1
   p 2 x 2    1
5 2 0  3 1
6 A1
p
55
 3
 0, x0 M1
 1 2 M1
 x , 0  x 1
 5 A1
(b) F ( x)  
1
 (12 x 2  2 x3  1), 1 x  3
 55

 1, x3

 2 3
 x, 0  x 1
5
 6
(c) f ( x)   x(4  x), 1 x  3
 55
 otherwise, 0

1 2 3 6
E(X) =  0
x( x) dx   x[ x(4  x)] dx
5 1 55
M1
1 3
2  x3  6  4 x3 x 4  M1
=      
5  3  0 55  3 4 1
26 11 A1
E(X) = or 1 or 1.73 or 1.733 or 1.7333
15 15
 2 2
 x, 0  x 1
5
 6
(d) f ( x)   x(4  x), 1 x  3
 55
 otherwise, 0

Any valid method M1
Modal value X = 2 A1

−6−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

 4
 0, x0
 1 2
 x , 0  x 1
 5
(e) F ( x)  
1
 (12 x 2  2 x3  1), 1 x  3
 55

 1, x3

1
F (1) 
5
1 1 M1
F(m) = > , m lies in 1  x < 3, m = median
2 5
1 1 M1
(12m 2  2m3  1) =
55 2
4m  24m + 53 = 0 or equivalent
3 2

Let g(m) = 4m3  24m2 + 53

g(1.76) = 4(1.76)3  24(1.76)2 + 53
= 0.4647
g(1.76) > 0
g(1.77) = 4(1.77)3  24(1.77)2 + 53
= 0.008668
g(1.77) < 0
By intermediate value theorem,
g(1.76) and g(1.77) have opposite signs and g is continuous M1
between 1.76 and 1.77,
therefore the median value of X lies between 1.76 and 1.77. A1
(Verified)
8 L ~ N(2008, 81), S ~ N(1003, 25), 2
(a) Y = L − S1 − S2
L − S1 − S2 ~ N(2, 131),
Y ~ N(2, 131)
E(Y) = E(L  S1  S2)
= E(L)  E(S1)  E(S2)
= 2008  1003  1003
E(Y) = 2 B1
Var(Y) = Var(L  S1  S2)
= Var(L) + Var(S1) + Var(S2)
= 92 + 52 + 52
Var(Y) = 131 B1
131 4
(b) Y ~ N (2, )
150
z0.05  1.645 B1

131 131 M1(his Var)

90% CI = (2.3  1.645  , 2.3  1.645  )
150 150 A1
= (0.763, 3.84) or (0.7627, 3.837) or (0.76271, 3.8373)
No. X is normally distributed or population is normally B1
distributed.

−7−
Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

(c) p = P(Y > 0) 9

02
 P( Z  ) M1
131
= P(Z > 0.17474)
= P(Z < 0.1747) or P(0.1747) or R(0.1747)
M1
= P(Z < 0.175) or P(0.17474) or R(0.17474)
= 0.569 [0.56934 ~ 0.56936] A1
Ho : p = 0.5694 B1(his p)
H1 : p ≠ 0.5694
5% significant level, z0.025  1.96 B1
n is large,
the distribution is approximated to normal,
0.56396  0.43604
Ps ~ N (0.56936, )
150
90
ps  = 0.6 B1
150
0.6  0.56396
Z M1(his p)
0.56396  0.43604
150
Z = 0.89011 < 1.96 M1(his p)
Do not reject Ho.
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that p has
changed. A1

−8−