International Finance
International Finance
International Finance
Finance
Unit 3: International
Monetary System
Part A -
Exchange Rate Regime
Dr SUDHEESH K
M. Com, MBA, MPhil, PhD, NET JRF(Commerce), NET
(Management), SET
Assistant Professor
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
Introduction
Money
D.H. Robertson, “anything which is widely accepted in payment for goods or in
discharge of other kinds of business obligation, is called money.” Seligman defines
money as “one thing that possesses general acceptability.”
Prof. Crowther’s definition of money is considered better as it takes into account all the
important functions of money. He defines money as “anything that is generally
acceptable as a means of exchange (i.e., as a means of setting debts) and at the
same lime, acts as a measure and a store of value.”
Functions of Money
Money serves several key functions in an economy:
Medium of exchange: Money serves as a common medium of exchange for goods and
services, allowing transactions to occur without the need for barter or other forms of
direct exchange.
Unit of account: Money provides a common unit of measurement for pricing goods and
services, allowing for easy comparison and assessment of value.
Store of value: Money can be saved and held for future use, serving as a store of value
for individuals and businesses.
IMS
International monetary systems are sets of internationally agreed rules,
conventions and supporting institutions that facilitate international trade, cross
border investment and generally the allocation of capital between nation states.
Stability and Confidence - the system must be able to keep exchange rates
relatively fixed and people must have confidence in the stability of the system
Liquidity - the system must be able to provide enough reserve assets for a
nation to correct its BoP deficits without making the nation run into deflation or
inflation
An exchange rate regime is a way a
Exchange Rate monetary authority of a country or
currency union manages the currency
Enable the currency's value to remain stable Central bank must intervene often
Can help lower inflation which encourages Country loses monetary independence
investment
The Central Bank has the power to maintain Can be expensive to maintain
rate
Floating Rate Regime - Pros and Cons
Fixed exchange rates: The Bretton Woods system was a monetary agreement
established in 1944 that established fixed exchange rates between currencies.
Centralized Authority: Under the Bretton Woods system, the exchange rates between
currencies were fixed and maintained by a centralized authority, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF).
Adjustment Mechanism: If a country's balance of payments was in deficit, its currency
could be devalued to correct the imbalance. Conversely, if the balance of payments
was in surplus, the currency could be revalued.
Anchor Currency: The U.S. dollar was established as the anchor currency under the
Bretton Woods system, with other currencies pegged to it at fixed exchange rates.
This ensured stability and predictability in international trade and investment.
Adjustable Peg
Adjustable Peg: The Adjustable Peg was a feature of the Bretton Woods System that
allowed participating countries to adjust their exchange rates with each other to
maintain stability and prevent imbalances in their balance of payments.
IMF Approval: The Adjustable Peg system required approval from the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) in order for a country to make changes to its exchange rate.
Limited Flexibility: While the Adjustable Peg allowed for some flexibility in exchange
rates, the system was still relatively rigid, with only limited changes allowed.
Abandonment: The Bretton Woods System eventually broke down in the 1970s, due in
part to the limited flexibility of the Adjustable Peg, which was unable to accommodate
the changing economic conditions of the time. The system was replaced by floating
exchange rates, where currency values are determined by market forces rather than by
a central authority.
Trade Liberalization
Trade Imbalances: The Bretton Woods System also created imbalances in the global
economy, with some countries experiencing persistent trade deficits while others had
persistent surpluses. These imbalances put pressure on the system and contributed to
its eventual collapse. Statistical evidence of this can be seen in the persistent trade
deficits experienced by countries like the U.S. and the persistent surpluses of countries
like Germany during this period.
Limited Flexibility: The adjustable peg system was limited in its ability to accommodate
changing economic conditions, leading to persistent trade imbalances and the eventual
collapse of the Bretton Woods System. This can be seen in the inability of the system
to respond effectively to the changing economic conditions of the late 1960s and early
1970s.
Capital Flows: The increasing flow of capital between countries also contributed to the
failure of the Bretton Woods System. The large movements of capital between
countries made it difficult for central banks to maintain their exchange rate targets and
led to increased currency volatility.
Monetary Policy: Monetary policy also played a role in the failure of the Bretton Woods
System. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, which was focused on controlling
inflation, led to a tightening of monetary policy in the U.S., which put pressure on the
system.
Changes in the Global Economic Environment: The global economic environment also
changed during the 1960s and 1970s, with the emergence of new economic powers and
a shift in the balance of power in the world economy. These changes put additional
pressure on the Bretton Woods System and contributed to its eventual collapse.
Consequences of Failure
Rise of Inflation: One of the most significant consequences of the Bretton Woods
system failure was a rise in inflation. For example, in the United States, the average
annual inflation rate was 4.9% between 1965 and 1970, but rose to 9.1% between 1975
and 1980.
Currency Fluctuations: The end of the Bretton Woods system resulted in significant
currency fluctuations, as exchange rates became more flexible. For example, between
1970 and 1973, the value of the US dollar fell by 20% against the German Deutsche Mark.
Increased Volatility in Financial Markets: The failure of the Bretton Woods system
contributed to increased volatility in financial markets, as investors became more
cautious and uncertain about the future. For example, the stock market crash of 1987
was partly caused by the uncertainty and instability resulting from the end of the
Bretton Woods system.
Decreased International Trade: The end of the Bretton Woods system led to
decreased international trade, as countries became more protectionist and erected
trade barriers to protect their domestic industries.
Devaluation of Developing Countries' Currencies: The failure of the Bretton Woods
system also contributed to the devaluation of the currencies of developing countries,
making it more difficult for them to compete in international markets.
Decline in the US Dollar's Dominance: The end of the Bretton Woods system marked the
decline in the US dollar's dominance as the world's leading reserve currency.
Notable Topics of Further Study
● The Great Depression
● Vietnam War
● Economic Impact of World War 2
● Rise of US Hegemony
● The Atlantic Charter
● Marshall Plan
https://www.cs.mcgill.ca/~rwest/wikispeedia/wpcd/wp/b/Bretton_Woods_system.htm
BWS to Smithsonian Agreement
The world moved from a gold standard to a dollar standard from Bretton Woods to the
Smithsonian Agreement.
Growing increase in the amount of dollars printed further eroded faith in the system and
the dollars role as a reserve currency.
By 1973, the world had moved to search for a new financial system: one that no longer
relied on a worldwide system of pegged exchange rates.
An agreement was reached by a group of 10 countries (G10) in 1971 that effectively
ended the fixed exchange rate system established under the Bretton Woods
Agreement.
The Smithsonian Agreement re-established an international system of fixed exchange
rates without the backing of silver or gold, and allowed for the devaluation of the U.S.
dollar. This agreement was the first time in which currency exchange rates were
negotiated.The Smithsonian Agreement only lasted 15 months, as speculators drove
the dollar lower and countries abandoned the peg in favor of floating exchange rates.
Post - Bretton Woods
End of the gold standard: The Bretton Woods system, which pegged the value of the
US dollar to gold, broke down in the early 1970s. This marked the end of the gold
standard and the beginning of a new era in foreign exchange.
Floating exchange rates: After the end of the Bretton Woods system, the major
currencies of the world began to float freely against each other, without any official peg
or target rate.
Increased currency volatility: With floating exchange rates, the value of currencies
became more volatile, leading to fluctuations in the exchange rate between countries.
Expansion of international trade: The post-Bretton Woods era saw a significant
expansion of international trade and investment, leading to increased demand for
foreign exchange.
Post - Bretton Woods
Development of financial markets: As a result of increased currency volatility, financial
markets such as the foreign exchange market (FOREX) grew in size and importance.
Growth of currency trading: The rise of currency trading as a result of floating
exchange rates led to the development of new financial instruments, such as currency
futures and options.
Increased importance of central banks: The role of central banks became increasingly
important in the post-Bretton Woods era, as they sought to manage currency volatility
and maintain financial stability.
Emergence of the Euro: The post-Bretton Woods era also saw the emergence of the
Euro as a major global currency, further challenging the dominant role of the US dollar in
the international monetary system.
International Forex Market
Participants: The international foreign exchange market (FOREX) is a decentralized and global
market that includes a wide range of participants, including central banks, commercial banks,
investment banks, hedge funds, multinational corporations, and retail traders.
Currencies traded: The FOREX market allows for the exchange of over 180 different
currencies, including major currencies such as the US dollar, Euro, Japanese yen, British
pound, and Swiss franc.
24-hour trading: The FOREX market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, with trading
taking place across the world, from Sydney to New York.
Electronic trading: The FOREX market is primarily an electronic market, with most trading
taking place through electronic platforms. This allows for near-instant execution of trades
and reduces the need for physical market places.
Leverage: The FOREX market allows traders to use leverage to trade larger amounts of
currency with a relatively small amount of capital. This can amplify gains, but also increases
the risk of losses.
International Forex Market
Volatility: The FOREX market is known for its high volatility, with currency exchange rates
fluctuating in response to economic, political, and geopolitical events.
Interbank market: The FOREX market is primarily made up of banks and financial institutions
that trade currencies between each other in the interbank market. This market is responsible
for the majority of FOREX trading volume.
Regulated market: The FOREX market is regulated by financial authorities in various countries,
including the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the European
Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA).
Impact of technology: The FOREX market has been greatly impacted by technology in recent
years, with the rise of algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading, and other forms of
automated trading.
Interconnectivity: The FOREX market is highly interconnected, with events in one part of the
world having the potential to impact exchange rates and financial markets around the globe.