Climate Change 2022
Climate Change 2022
Climate Change 2022
of
Climate Change
Climate Change Division
Environmental Management Bureau
Key Messages
• Learn the basic concepts of climate change
IPCC-AR4
The Earth’s climate system is created by complex interactions between the Sun, our atmosphere,
oceans, land, ice and biosphere which in turn are affected by an area’s latitude, elevation, terrain, and
distance from coasts, mountains and lakes.
Four Climate Types of the Philippines
based on Modified Coronas Classification System
Source: PAGASA
To be able to understand
climate change is to
understand first the
concept of
greenhouse effect.
www.eere.energy.gov
Most greenhouses look like a small glass house. Greenhouses are used to grow plants,
especially in the winter. Greenhouses work by trapping heat from the sun. The glass panels
of the greenhouse let in light but keep heat from escaping. This causes the greenhouse to
heat up, much like the inside of a car parked in sunlight, and keeps the plants warm enough
to live in the cool seasons.
Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming
So what are the greenhouse gases (GHGs)?
• Water vapor
• Carbon dioxide (CO2)
• Methane (CH4)
• Nitrous oxide (N2O)
• Ozone (O3)
The GHGs are produced by natural processes such as:
• water cycle
• growth and death of plants and animals
• decaying of wood and other biodegradable materials
• volcanic activities
Importance of greenhouse gases
These are the naturally occurring gases that keep the Earth
comfortably warm enough for plants and animals to live in at an average
temperature of 15oC. They act as a natural blanket around the earth,
trapping heat much like a glass roof of a greenhouse.
Without the greenhouse effect, the Earth’s average surface
temperature would be some 30°C colder or approximately -15°C
and possibly not warm enough to sustain life.
Unfortunately, humans are affecting atmospheric
greenhouse gas concentrations by introducing new sources or
by interfering with natural processes that destroy or remove
GHGs.
How do greenhouse gases influence climate change?
Transportation
Land Use:
Energy Generation
Agriculture & Forestry
Industrial Processes
KLIMA
Sources of Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse Gas Natural Sources Human-Induced Sources
Carbon Dioxide ▪ Soils (biological processes) ▪ Burning of fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas)
▪ Ocean for:
(CO2)
- power/energy generation
- manufacturing
- industrial processes
- fuel for transportation
▪ Land-use changes, deforestation
Methane (CH4) ▪ Wetlands ▪ Flooded rice agriculture
▪ Termites ▪ Livestock production
▪ Ocean ▪ Waste management system (landfills,
etc.)
Nitrous Oxides ▪ Tropical soils (wet forests) ▪ Nitrogen-based fertilizers and
▪ Ocean chemicals
▪ Acid production processes, other
industrial processes
▪ Combustion processes in vehicles
CFCs, HFCs, ▪ None ▪ Coolants
▪ Sealants
PFCs, SF6
▪ Insulations
Fossil fuel combustion
is the largest source of
carbon dioxide
emissions.
Greenhouse Gases (GHGs)
A warmer climate also means less snow cover, melting Source: NOAA, State
of the Climate in 2009
glaciers and shrinking Arctic sea ice.”
The starting point
for WWF’s analysis was
2C
º
the strong scientific consensus that
any human-induced warming
greater than two degrees Celsius
above pre-industrial levels
would have a dangerous
and highly damaging impact
on both human societies
and their economies
and the global environment
as a whole.
Coastal/Marine Human
Agriculture
Ecosystem Health
• Coastal erosion • Added heat stress, shifting • Increase in vector-borne diseases
• Storm surges monsoons, drier soils, water • Increase in cardio-vascular
• Coastal flooding shortages/ irrigation demands illnesses
• Saltwater intrusion • Decreased rice/crop production • Increase in upper respiratory
• Coral bleaching • Impact on livestock production illnesses
• Ocean acidification • Occurrence of weed infestation & • Occurrence of infectious diseases
diseases
Observed globally
averaged combined
land and ocean
surface temperature
anomaly 1850-2012
Source: DOST-PAGASA
Ten Warmest Years (1880–2017)
RANK: 1880–
YEAR ANOMALY °C ANOMALY °F
2017
1 2016 0.94 1.69
2 2015 0.90 1.62
3 2017 0.84 1.51
4 2014 0.74 1.33
5 2010 0.70 1.26
6 2013 0.67 1.21
7 2005 0.66 1.19
8 2009 0.64 1.15
9 1998 0.63 1.13
10 2012 0.62 1.12
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, State of the Climate: Global Climate Report for Annual
2017, published online January 2018, retrieved on July 23, 2018
from https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201713.
Latest from
WMO
Working Group 1 Contribution to the
IPCC 5th Assessment Report
PAGASA/DOST
As temperature
rose in these
areas, the ice
cover receded by
9% per decade.
Common in Bhutan,
Tibet/China, Pakistan,
Nepal and other parts of
HKH (Hindu-Kush-
Himalayan Region)
The failure of the monsoon rains in 1998 contributed to one of the worst
fire outbreaks ever recorded in Indonesia.
Warmer temperatures contributed to wildfire outbreaks around the world (i.e., United
States and the Amazon Region)
A temperature increase of 3-4oC since 1950 has resulted in the melting of the
Alaskan permafrost. The absence of summer sea-ice resulted to coastal
erosion and has created subsidence causing roads and buildings to collapse
making low-lying communities unenviable.
In 2006, more than 17 million
people in some countries of
Africa including Kenya faced
serious food shortages due
to consecutive years of
failed rains.
Europe was experiencing a
historic heat wave that had been
responsible for at least 3,000
deaths in France alone in the
summer of 2003. Compared to
July 2001, temperatures in July
2003 were sizzling. This image
shows the differences in day
time land surface temperatures
collected in the two years by the
Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on
NASA’s Terra satellite. A blanket
of deep red across southern and
eastern France (left of image
center) shows where
temperatures were 10 degrees
Celsius (18 degrees Fahrenheit)
hotter in 2003 than in 2001.
1993 2000
In February 2006, an estimated 1,500 to 2,500 people died after the village of
Guinsaugon, Leyte was buried by mudflow. This mudslide happened after heavy
rains dumped 459.2 millimeters of rain in only 3 days.
Latest from WMO
What are the manifestations/signals of
climate change in the country?
As a country geographically situated in the “Pacific ring of
fire” and along the typhoon belt, the Philippines is no
stranger to natural hazards and their impacts.
CLIMATE
CHANGE
FORESTRY
DESERTIFICATION
WATER QUALITY
According to the United
Nations, vulnerability to
climate change will be
GREATER in DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES, which are
located in WARMER
LATITUDES, like the
PHILIPPINES
RP: Highly Vulnerable
• Humid equatorial climate, located
within the Pacific Typhoon Belt
Area, with an average of 19-20
tropical cyclones a year
• Highly prone to other natural
hazards: rain-induced landslides;
active volcanoes; earthquakes
• Forest cover decline rate: 2%/year
(INC)
• Poverty incidence: 33% of pop
(2006)
• Major infectious diseases:
- food/water-borne
- vector-borne
67
Highly Susceptible to
Floodings and Inundation
• Archipelago, composed of
low lying small islands
• 70% of cities and
municipalities are coastal
areas
• Highly susceptible to
flooding and storm surges
Low Agricultural
Productivity
Rice production will largely be
affected because of changes in
temperature and rainfall. For every
1°C increase in temperature, rice
yields will decrease by 10%-15%
(IRRI). This will directly threaten
food security.
Highly Susceptible to loss
of Biological Resources
According to UN, 20% - 30%
of Plant and Animal Species
may become EXTINCT as a
result of Climate Change
Highly Susceptible to
Illnesses
• Philippines as a Tropical
Country
• Water-borne and parasitic
illnesses will become
prevalent with climate
change.
What can we do?
• Limit the cause of climate change
through measures that could slow down
the build up of atmospheric GHGs
concentrations by reducing current and
future emissions and by increasing GHG
sinks (Mitigation)
Reduce, minimize, avoid or
stop GHG emissions
Water Sector
• Expanded rainwater
harvesting
• water storage and
conservation techniques
• water re-use
desalination;
• water-use and irrigation
efficiency
Agriculture
• adjustment of planting dates
• development of crop varieties
• crop relocation
• improved land management,
e.g. erosion control and soil
protection through tree planting
Slope stabilization through vegetation
2/19/2021
Coastal Areas
• Relocate residents
living along low lying
areas
• Set up marine reserve
networks to replenish
coral/fish larvae
• Mangrove
reforestation to serve
as buffer for strong
waves and storm surge
Health Sector
• Sanitary practices
• Preventive care(e.g.,
vaccines)
• Information and awareness
• Health surveillance and
monitoring
Energy Sector
• Strengthening of overhead
transmission and
distribution infrastructure
• Energy efficiency
• Use of renewable sources
• Reduced dependence on
single sources of energy
EbA in Urban Ecosystems
Early Warning Systems
Awareness and Information Dissemination as
Adaptation Strategies
to Climate Change
• Promote awareness on
climate change in your
office, school, community,
or in your home
• Transport
More fuel efficient vehicles; hybrid vehicles; cleaner diesel
vehicles; biofuels; modal shift from road transport to rail and
public transport systems; non-motorised transport (cycling,
walking); land use and transport planning
• Buildings
Efficient lighting and daylighting; more efficient electrical
appliances and heating and cooling devices; improved cook
stoves, improved insulation; passive and active solar design for
heating and cooling; alternative refrigeration fluids, recovery
and recycling of fluorinated gases.
Mitigation measures/strategies
Forestry Sector
▪ Reforestation
▪ Afforestation
▪ Forest management
▪ Reduced deforestation
▪ Use of forestry products
for bioenergy to replace
fossil fuel use
Climate change is a core
development issue
• Driver: Climate change is caused by fossil
fuel use to power development as well as
land conversion for production and
development
• Outcomes: Impacts of climate change
jeopardize the inputs to development and
people’s ability to benefit from and sustain
development gains
• Solutions: Climate change solutions will be
achieved through low-carbon and climate-
resilient development
2°C world 4.5°C world
Amount
Remaining:
Total Carbon 275
Limiting
Budget:climate
change will require substantial
GtC
96
Climate Change Act of 2009
(RA 9729)
➢ Signed by the President on 23 October 2009.
97
The Philippine Strategy on Climate
Change Adaptation (2010-2022)
99
National Framework Strategy CLIMATE CHANGE
on Climate Change •
•
Increasing temperatures
Changing rainfall patterns
• Sea level rise
• Extreme weather events
ADAPTATION
MITIGATION • Enhanced Vulnerability and Adaptation
Assessments
• Energy Efficiency & Conservation
• Integrated Ecosystem-Based Management
• Renewable Energy
• Climate-Responsive Agriculture
• Environmentally-Sustainable
• Water Governance &Management
Transport
• Climate-Responsive Health Sector
• Sustainable Infrastructure
• Disaster Risk Reduction &Management
• National REDD+ Strategy
• Climate-proofing of Infrastructure
• Waste Management
101
A Social Contract with the Filipino People
(EO 43)
▪ Good governance
▪ Risk assessment and early warning
▪ Knowledge building and awareness raising
▪ Reducing underlying risk factors
▪ Preparedness for effective response and early
recovery
The Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Act of
2010 (DRRM Act) - R.A. 10121
Mainstreaming DRR
and CCA in Planning
and Implementation
Source: LGA and AECID, Pampanga River Basin Collaboration Workshop, 07 June 2012, Clark, Pampanga
DRR-CCA Integration into the Philippine
Environmental Impact Statement System (PEISS)
• The DENR’s EIS System has Integrated
DRR and CCA to the process to serve as a
mechanism for ensuring that future
projects are resilient and that their
environmental impacts do not aggravate
natural hazards or climate change’s
effects on human or natural.
• To ensure that hazards and risks are
taken into account in siting development
projects
• Shall serve as the standard for the scope
of the EIA Studies required for ECC
applications
• Where applicable, climate projections by
PAGASA for 2020 and 2050 shall be used
in the conduct of relevant modelling
studies and assessments as may be
required in the EIA reports.
The People’s Survival Fund
(R.A. 10174)
DENR MEMORANDUM
111
“Climate change will not be
effectively managed until
individuals and communities
recognise that their behaviour
can make a difference.”
-The Royal Society, Climate Change: what we know
and what we need to know. (2002)
Thank you
For your questions / queries: