Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Special Overview 2021
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Special Overview 2021
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Special Overview 2021
Analytics
www.spacetech.global/uap
Table of content On June 25th Office of the Director of National Intelligence
(ODNI) published a report called “Preliminary Assessment:
Introduction 2
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena” concerning the question of
UAP Global Overview and Statistics 3 existence and the means of evaluation of the information
Preliminary Assessment by Office of The Director of related to the UAP (Undefined Aerial Phenomena).
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National Intelligence - Report
This Overview summarizes the report and provides Special
US Report Overview and Conclusions 13
Case Study on it. Besides, it expands the theme to a global
US Report Summary 17 scale and briefly retells the story of humanity to catch the
US Policy and Agencies 18 UAP observed. Since 2004, there have been about 200 UAP
Investigational Programs 21 cases reported worldwide. Also, there are new advanced
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena / Persons 31 technologies (SMART, CORE3D, IARPA) to monitor and
discover UAP. However, the challenge is to coordinate
International UAP Cases 34
international cooperation, develop standardized approaches
Tech and R&D 40 and provide sufficient funds.
Risks 43
In light of the techno-signatures received from outer space,
Summary 45
potential challenges and threats regarding UAP are discussed
About SpaceTech Analytics 46 here.
About Deep Knowledge Group 50
As result, the brand new reality implies a need to define and
From year to year, interest in UAP is growing and gaining elaborate on relevant policies and technologies. SpaceTech
more weight. SpaceTech Analytics had analysed the UAP Analytics discusses the current and future developments and
landscape over the period of last 15 years relying on credible makes a few projections concerning the future social
publicly available sources. impacts.
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SpaceTech Analytics
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Introduction
Publication of the report is going to cause increased attention to the UAP all over the world. Additionally, researchers who
studied and addressed these issues will be now de-stigmatized. Their scientific works are expected to be more frequently
highlighted. There is possibility for them to receive certain acknowledgments and become opinion-makers in this area.
The “Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena” report is a phenomena itself, which is going to become a
trigger for follow-up acknowledgment of UAP in other countries besides the US. Consequently, a number of new reports
provided by these countries within the next 2 years are expected to appear. All of the UAP-related reports, disclosures, and
discoveries will be monitored and analyzed in our new overviews and case studies .
The recent 9-page US Report apparently is only tip of the iceberg. Clearly, there is a sealed, fuller report which was presented
to the Congress. The Report is aiming to provide means to define and elaborate on relevant policies and technologies for the
U.S. military and other U.S. Government (USG) personnel.
Due to the growing UAP recognition, data appearance and potential development of the area, SpaceTech Analytics presents
a special case study Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Global Overview 2021.
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SpaceTech Analytics
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UAP Global Overview and Statistics
There is a clear downward trend on UAP sightings in the United States, which may be caused by the development of
entertainment technologies, making people spend less time outside.
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Insider
UAP Global Overview and Statistics
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Medium
UAP Global Overview and Statistics
Interest in UAPs has risen from a lull Google Searches for “UAP” in the World, 2004-2021
over the past years, with a peak
occurring these days in response to
newly released research "Preliminary
Assessment: Unidentified Aerial
Phenomena" by the Office of the
Director of National Intelligence
(ODNI).
Note: The numbers on this graph show the popularity of a search term relative to the high point on the graph for a particular region and time
period. 100 is the peak popularity of a term. 50 means that the popularity of the term is half as high.
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Google Trends
UAP Global Overview and Statistics
A Gallup poll, made in 2019, found that 68% of Americans believe the government wasn't being completely clear about
the UAPs. However, regardless of what Americans thought of the government's awareness of them, 86% of U.S. adults
said they have heard of or read about unidentified aerial phenomena. That's why the publication of the Pentagon's
research caused such a resonance worldwide.
Does the U.S. government know more about Do you hear or read about UAP/UFO?
UPAs/UFPs than it is telling?
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Gallup
Preliminary Assessment by
Office of The Director of
National Intelligence - Report
SpaceTech
Analytics
www.spacetech.global
Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: The Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: The Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: The Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: The Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Policies and Conclusions
SpaceTech
www.spacetech.global Analytics
US Report Overview and Conclusions / UAP Recognition
Probably one of the most important takeaways of the report is the UAP recognition. Moreover, it states in the report that
data gathering and analysis have been executing for 17 years straight. During this period, 144 unresolved UAP-related
incidents were documented. One of the first question arises whether or not general public will be able to assess the data of
such incidents, including the comments from governmental authorities.
As was mentioned before, the recognition of the UAP will reshape the structure of the current opinion-makers, including
scientists who have been studying such phenomena. This, in turn, might also affect the current R&D focus and existing
policies of all types. The unclassified origin of this report brings some other issues, namely the report does not provide any
solid or groundbreaking conclusions, and many issues remain, it should put an end to years of intragovernmental infighting
over the subject.
The proposal of the scientific The most famous UAP Deputy Secretary of Defense approved
study of UAPs, University of encounters in modern aviation the establishment of an Unidentified
Colorado. The study of UAP history involving pilot sightings, Aerial Phenomena Task Force (UAPTF).
was deemed to be not radar tracking, and objects UAPTF should detect, analyze and
scientifically interesting. caught on video remained catalog UAPs that could potentially
unsolved. pose a threat to U.S. national security,
improving the understanding of the
nature and origins of UAPs.
The amount of data officially gathered is still quite limited, but UAP expanded classification categories
it states in the report that some clusterization analysis was
performed which showed the existence of observation Airborne Clutter
patterns, at the same time, such observational correlations
could be biased due to different reasons, as discussed in the
report. Natural Atmospheric or Other Phenomena
The assessment means proposed in the report will be deeply Unclassified Private Technology
connected to the employment of artificial intelligence and
machine-learning algorithms for additional clustering and
recognition analysis. This technologies shall be applied to the Other
historical data evaluation too.
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US Report Overview and Conclusions / Programs
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US Report Summary
UAP recognition
● The report states that since 2004 there were at least 144 unresolved UPA-related incidents. Over that time period,
such phenomena were being taken more seriously.
● The US government has publicly acknowledged that strange aerial sightings by Navy pilots and others are worthy of
legitimate scrutiny.
● Although the report does not provide solid or groundbreaking conclusions, and many issues remain, it should put an
end to years of intragovernmental infighting over the subject.
The Need For Further R&D
● The report emphasizes the need to prioritize and guide future theoretical and observable studies. This relates, in
particular, to non-radio "techno-signatures" — that is, observable manifestations of technology, particularly those that
could be detected through astronomical or other means.
● Considering the nature of UAPs, there is a need for a coherent explanation that will accommodate and connect all the
facts of the events. For this purpose, interdisciplinary scientific investigation is necessary.
● The crucial point is to end frivolous speculation and develop a professional approach to studying the problem. It
implies a need to expand the coordination between agencies, standardize the reporting, increase investment in
research, etc. The approach should account for possible social and security threats as well as benefits.
Unknown Nature of UAPs
● The stigma associated with reporting such phenomena has ended, and it is now officially recognized as very real.
Moreover, the 5 potential UAP sources framework was proposed in the report.
● According to the title, this preliminary report is only the beginning of something much bigger. As we move forward
from here, the consequences of further targeted research could have unpredictable and profound effects on our
understanding of physics, with all that implies for science-fictional technology advancement, and of our place in the
universe. 17
SpaceTech Analytics
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US Policy and Agencies / Agencies Involved in Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) Monitoring
Department of Defense
Office of the Director of
Unidentified Aerial
National Intelligence
Phenomena Task Force
Security Research
Ongoing Civil Airspace Potential National Security
Standardize the Reporting Expand Data Collection
Concerns Challenges
UAPs pose a safety hazard to flights and may pose a broader Most of the UAP data comes from US Navy reports, but efforts
threat if, in some cases, they represent sophisticated fundraising are underway to standardize incident reporting across the US
against US military activities by a foreign government or military and other government agencies to ensure that all
demonstrate disruptive aerospace technology to a potential relevant data is collected in relation to specific incidents and any
adversary. US action that may be relevant. The UAPTF is currently working
on receiving additional reports, including from the United States
The UAPTF indicated that additional research and development Air Force (USAF), and has begun receiving data from the Federal
funding could contribute to further exploration of the topics Aviation Administration (FAA).
outlined in this report. Such investments should be governed by
the UAP Collection Strategy, the UAP R&D Technical Roadmap The UAPTF is looking for new ways to increase the collection of
and the UAP Program Plan. UAP clustered areas when US forces are not present, as a way to
determine basic “standard” UAP activity and reduce data
The long-term goal of the UAPTF is to expand its scope to collection bias. One suggestion is to use advanced algorithms to
include additional UAP events documented by a wider range of search for historical data captured and stored by radars. The
US government personnel and technical systems. As the dataset UAPTF also plans to update its current inter-agency UAP
grows, the UAPTF's ability to use data analytics to identify trends collection strategy to leverage appropriate DoD and IC collection
also improves. platforms and methods. 19
SpaceTech Analytics
Investigational Programs &
International UAP Cases
SpaceTech
www.spacetech.global Analytics
Investigational programs
In January of 2021 IARPA announced the launch of the The SMART program will also leverage algorithmic
Space-based Machine Automated Recognition Technique approaches to:
Program (SMART).
The SMART program may help with the limited data problem,
which leaves most UAP unexplained. However, it will require Characterize the progression of events and
innovations in new computing approaches and calibration activities temporally and categorically
techniques in order to rapidly and reliably compare thousands of
images from multiple sensors registered in space and time.
At the same time it is important to understand that SMART program isn’t created specifically for the UPA-related purposes,
therefore we forecast the emergence of the additional strictly UAP-focused programs akin to SMART in order to evaluate
all existing information in a standardized manner.
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Investigational programs
Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) Currently for now, one of the big projects executing by
plays a critical roles in the UAP-related assessment system. IARPA is Creation of Operationally Realistic 3D
IARPA was founded in 2006 as an organization within the Office Environment (CORE3D). The CORE3D program aims to
of the Director of National Intelligence responsible for leading develop technology that generates, in an automated way,
research to overcome complex challenges relevant to the accurate 3D object models with real physical properties,
United States Intelligence Community. Its main goal is to from multiple data sources including commercial satellite
“envision and lead high-risk, high-payoff research that panchromatic and multi-spectral imagery for global
delivers innovative technology for future overwhelming coverage, and airborne imagery and Geographic
intelligence advantage". IARPA invests in multi-year research Information System (GIS) vector data for improved
programs, in which academic and industry teams compete to resolution and fidelity.
solve a well-defined set of technical problems, regularly scored
on a shared set of metrics and milestones.
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Investigational programs
On the other hand, UAP-unrelated investigational programs play significant role in the process of the UAP analysis since
they provide additional information about the atmospheric or other physical process on other planets. Such information, in
turn, might help us to understand our own geophysical phenomena. These programs can also provide additional means for
the UAP-related programs. As for United States, probably one of the most recent and advanced are The Juno Mission, The
InSight Mission and Mars and Jupiter exploration missions. These programs could also provide technical solutions for UAP
programs since different types of sensors and detectors play key role for satellites, robots and other SpaceTech solutions.
Launched in 2011, the Juno mission is expected to continue It is extended for two years, running through December
until September 2025 or the end of its life, whichever comes 2022. InSight's spacecraft deployed its highly sensitive
first. The Juno spacecraft has already made discoveries about: seismometer to expand the understanding of Mars' crust
• Jupiter's interior structure, and mantle. The mission team collected data
• magnetic field, and magnetosphere demonstrating the robust tectonic activity of Mars.
• have found its atmospheric dynamics to be far more • In April 2019, the InSight lander recorded the first-ever
complex than scientists previously thought. "Mars quake."
Juno will further continue to observe both the gas giant and the • In September 2019, the InSight lander detected
planet's rings and its moons, including "close flybys" of bizarre bursts of magnetic pulses on Mars.
Ganymede, Europa, and Io.
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Investigational programs
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Investigational programs
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SpaceTech Analytics Sources: IntechOpen, Alén Space
Investigational programs
30-499
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SpaceTech
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Investigational Programs
There is a crucial thing in SETI. In order to find life, you first have to find planets that are habitable. In
order to be considered habitable the planet should remain its orbit not too close and not too far
from its star, because the equilibrium temperature influences the possibility of liquid water being
present on the planet’s surface. The star shouldn’t have frequent and powerful solar flares, because
otherwise any life form would be wiped out by a deadly dose of radiation. Humanity knows about 47
potentially habitable planets, and 11 of them are quite likely to have water on their surfaces.
Moreover there are theoretically at least 25 millions of Earth-sized planets in Milky Way that lay in
the habitable zone of their stars, but it is not clear if there is any life there. That is why such thing as
biosignatures exists. Those are mostly gases, such as Ozone, Methane, Carbon Dioxide or Water,
that carbon-based lifeforms need or produce. Spectral characteristics of the starlight transmitted
through the planet’s atmosphere reveal the gases within. So seeing such gases in the atmosphere
leads us to a conclusion, that life is really possible on that planet.
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Investigational Programs
The probes have a quarter inch chip each, that weighs five
grams and fulfills the function of a camera, laser transmitter,
computer and a navigation system. The crucial point of the
technology is a giant featherweight foil sail that will be pushed
by the laser beam. The information received by the probes in
approximately 20 years after the launch will be transmitted
back to Earth via laser, that will travel home for another 4
years. The scientists expect to prove the existence of liquid
water on the planet.
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Investigational Programs
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Unidentified Aerial Phenomena / Persons
Type: Sighting
Authority: US Government
These still shots are from the video that leaked out in 2017 and
was confirmed to show unidentified aerial phenomena by
Pentagon in 2020.
“I’ve talked to those Navy pilots. They know that they saw
something. I’ve asked our scientists here at NASA, if they’ll see if
they can help us have any understanding of something that we do
not know what it is”
Bill Nelson, former astronaut and NASA Administrator.
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Insider, CNN
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena / Persons
Type: Sighting
Authority: US Air Force
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: The New York Times
Unidentified Aerial Phenomena / Persons
Type: Sighting
Authority: Former Director, Advanced Aerospace Threat
Identification Program
Luis Elizondo, the former head of a government-funded UFO
program explained the observables associated with UAPs, and
says current observation technology has record them underwater.
“There’s five distinct observables that set this technology as I
mentioned earlier aside from everything we have in our inventory.
The first is hyper sonic velocity, the ability to change directions
instantly… the third observable is a bit like ‘cloaking,’ we call it low
observability, but the forth observable is… trans-medium travel… the
ability for an object to not only fly in our atmosphere low and high
altitudes but also potentially in a vacuum environment like space
and even underwater… We’ve seen these things, they’ve been
recorded not only in our atmosphere, but there’s data to suggest that
they’ve also been tracked by some of our capabilities underwater as
well”.
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Washington Post Live
International UAP Cases
Type: Statement
Authority: Former Israeli Space Security Chief
According to Haim Eshed, former Israeli Space Security
Chief, humanity has been in contact with extraterrestrials
from a so-called "galactic federation".
“They have been waiting until today for humanity to
develop and reach a stage where we understand, in
general, what space and spaceships are” Eshed said. He
goes on to say that the United States and Israel have long
been in contact with an alien race called “galactic
federation”.
He claims that former US President Donald Trump knew
about that and was deeply concerned about the fact.
Eshed insists that Trump was going to reveal this
information but was kindly asked not to do so by the
aliens, because that could lead to “mass hysteria”.
A "galactic federation" has been waiting for humans to
"reach a stage where we will understand... what space
and spaceships are," Haim Eshed said.
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: NBC News
International UAP Cases
Type: Sighting Illustration of the first two objects, based on Captain Terauchi's
Authority: Crew members of the Boeing 747-200F (Japan) drawings and descriptions. They were "shooting off lights", were
square in shape and some 500 to 1,000 feet in front of the
Japan Airlines Flight 1628 was a UFO incident that occurred on cockpit, but somewhat higher in altitude.
November 17, 1986 involving a Japanese Boeing 747-200F cargo
aircraft. The aircraft was en route from Paris to Narita International
Airport, near Tokyo, with a cargo of Beaujolais wine. On the
Reykjavík to Anchorage section of the flight, at 17:11 over eastern
Alaska, the crew first witnessed two unidentified objects to their
left. These abruptly rose from below and closed in to escort their
aircraft. Each had two rectangular arrays of what appeared to be
glowing nozzles or thrusters, though their bodies remained
obscured by darkness. When closest, the aircraft's cabin was lit up
and the captain could feel their heat on his face.
Type: Sighting
Authority: Russian astronaut
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Twitter
International UAP Cases
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Forbes
International UAP Cases
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: Futurism
International UAP Cases
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SpaceTech Analytics Source: History
Future of R&D
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Future of R&D
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Future of R&D
At the same time it is important to allocate this financial support equally but this will require additional safety and non disclosure policies.
Another important thing is how to create new international collaboration policies and formats for these R&D projects.
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Risk Framework
Security-driven threats
Actuation of national nuclear defense systems (S1)
High
B1 S1
Cyberattacks (S2)
Satellite telecommunication disruption due to
objects collisions (S3)
T S3
Economic-driven threats
Medium
Biologically-driven threats
E2
Bacteriological pandemic (B1)
Social panic and mass psychosis (B2)
Low
Technologically-driven threats
IMPACT
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Risk Framework: Explanation
Actuation of national nuclear defense systems (S1). Possible risks are associated with false warnings of military systems
due to reactions on UAP. Most of the close calls of accidental nuclear war were triggered by errors in early warning
systems.
The actions of other countries disguised as UAP can significantly reduce the efficiency of strategic sectors of the
economy through cyberattacks (S2).
Satellite telecommunication disruption due to objects collisions (S3). Telecommunications infrastructure in Earth orbit is
endangered due to the risk of collision with space debris / unidentified object.
Stock market panic (E1). False or unverified information about UAPs can cause panic in financial markets, which
significantly increases asset volatility and cause significant losses to the economy.
Shortage of vital goods (E2). Unverified information can cause public panic, which will significantly increase demand for
essential goods, cause shortages and increase prices.
Bacteriological pandemic (B1). The main biologically-driven threats of the near future include the risk of pandemics or the
use of biological weapons.
Social panic and mass psychosis (B2) may be caused by unverified research information on unidentified aerial
phenomena.
Slowdown in financing for the development of the 5th industrial revolution (T). If UAPs do not exist in reality, the
diversion of resources to this problem and the fears associated with it may divert attention from main technological
problems such as the development of artificial intelligence, nanotechnology breakthrough, irreversible global warming and
the risks of hadron colliders.
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Summary
The “Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena” report published by the Office of the Director of National
Intelligence (ODNI) is the first report of its kind. Its emergence should be treated as a part of a future international trend
concerning the UAP.
It is hard to underestimate the international influence of the aforementioned report. As a SpaceTech leader, the United
States have created new info trend that can’t be ignored by other countries and international Space Agencies, therefore we
forecast the emergence of the akin reports among other international SpaceTech players.
The influence of the report is not informational solely, it was clearly stated in the report that additional financial support is
needed, therefore we prospect the reshaping of the scientific attitude to the UAP scene, as well as additional attention to
the R&D processes concerning the UAP programs and technical solutions.
As it was shown in our case study, UAP is not a unique phenomenon to the United States. On the other hand, the
acknowledgment and official reaction to the report by other countries are of great importance for the future development
of the UAP scene.
At the same time, the future participation of other countries in the UAP-related collaborations is clear, therefore the
importance of the SpaceTech ecosystem possessed by countries will gain additional importance in the foreseeable future.
In this situation, the importance of the DeepTech analysis is growing rapidly. It is clear that data gathering and analysis,
creation of the relevant policies, optimization of the existing technologies and future role of the UAP at the economical
level require adequate means, which could be only provided by the DeepTech industry.
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