Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 6

Typhoon “KIKO” (CHANTHU)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 09 September 2021
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today

TYPHOON “KIKO” RESUMES ITS INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF CENTRAL LUZON.

Location of Center (4:00 AM)

The center of the eye of Typhoon “KIKO” was located

based on all available data at 785 km East of Baler,
Aurora (15.5°N, 128.9°E)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 230 km/h, and central
pressure of 935 hPa
Present Movement

Westward at 20 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to
180 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 15.8 127.1 595 km East of Baler, Aurora 185 TY WNW 20
09 September 2021
24-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 16.7 125.1 320 km East of Casiguran, Aurora 195 TY WNW 20
10 September 2021
36-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 18.1 123.4 190 km East of Aparri, Cagayan 195 TY NW 20
10 September 2021
48-Hour Forecast
Over the coastal waters of Babuyan Island,
2:00 AM 19.6 121.9 205 TY NW 20
Calayan, Cagayan
11 September 2021
60-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 20.9 120.9 100 km West of Itbayat, Batanes 205 TY NW 15
11 September 2021
72-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 22.1 120.1 230 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes 195 TY NNW 15
12 September 2021
96-Hour Forecast
450 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
2:00 AM 24.3 119.7 175 TY N 10
(outside the PAR)
13 September 2021
120-Hour Forecast In the vicinity of Ningde, Fujian Province,
2:00 AM 27.2 120.2 China or 730 km North Northwest of Itbayat, 155 TY N 15
14 September 2021 Batanes (outside the PAR)

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 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 6

Typhoon “KIKO” (CHANTHU)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 09 September 2021
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao

1 The eastern portion of Cagayan (Buguey, Lal-Lo, Santa Teresita,

(Strong winds Gonzaga, Santa Ana, Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca) and the
- -
prevailing or expected northeastern portion of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, San Pablo,
within 36 hours) Cabagan, Palanan)

Page 2 of 3

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 6

Typhoon “KIKO” (CHANTHU)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 09 September 2021
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall
 Beginning tomorrow evening, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains due to the typhoon may be experienced over Batanes,
Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and northern Isabela. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains may also be experienced
over Batanes and the rest of Isabela.
 Under these conditions, scattered to widespread flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are possible
especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps.

Severe Winds
 Winds reaching strong breeze to near gale in strength (i.e, strong winds) with occasional gusts will be experienced within 36 hours
within the areas where Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1 is in effect. This may result to up to very light damage to structures
and vegetation. However, it must be noted that as the typhoon progresses towards Extreme Northern Luzon, higher wind signals
will be hoisted in some localities within Northern Luzon.
 Based on the latest track and intensity forecast, TCWS #4 remains the highest wind signal that will be hoisted for this typhoon.

Coastal Inundation
 Due to the strength of this typhoon, coastal inundation associated with high waves near the coast and storm surge may affect
several coastal municipalities in Northern Luzon. The public and disaster managers, especially those in localities of Northern
Luzon are advised to monitor for updates.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

 In the next 24 hours, moderate to very rough seas (1.5 to 2.8 m) initially and becoming rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) will
prevail over the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon. Sea travel is risky for most sea vessels over these waters. Mariners without
the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor. Due to the strength of this tropical cyclone, sea condition over the
aforementioned waters will further worsen tomorrow, making sea travel risky for all types of seacrafts.
 Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.8 m) will be experienced over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards
of Central and Southern Luzon. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea.
Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 Typhoon “KIKO” is forecast to move west northwestward or northwestward today through Saturday, with periods of short-term
wobbling in its movement. On the forecast track, the typhoon is forecast to pass very close to northeastern Cagayan and cross the
vicinity of Babuyan Islands between tomorrow afternoon and Saturday early morning. The typhoon will then pass to the south and
west of Batanes between Saturday early morning and Saturday afternoon.
 Given the recent southward shift in the track forecasts of “KIKO” from the previous bulletins, the possibility of landfall over mainland
Cagayan is not yet ruled out. As such, the public is advised to continue monitoring for possible changes in the track forecast in the
succeeding bulletins.
 After traversing the Babuyan Islands and Luzon Strait, the typhoon is forecast turn north northwestward and northward on Sunday
through Monday morning as it passes near the southwest and west coasts of Taiwan and move over the Taiwan Strait. For the
remainder of Monday through Tuesday morning, “KIKO” will turn north northeastward and make landfall in the vicinity of
southeastern China.
 KIKO” is forecast to continue intensifying and may reach a peak intensity between 185 and 205 km/h tomorrow evening while
passing close to mainland northern Luzon and over the Babuyan Islands. Weakening is forecast to begin by Sunday as the typhoon
passes close to and begins to interact with the rugged terrain of Taiwan.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.

DOST-PAGASA Page 3 of 3

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