Final Research
Final Research
Final Research
JUNE, 2017
JIMMA, ETHIOPIA
ACKNOWLEDGEMINTS
First and for most I would to thanks the almighty GOD for helping me in all aspect without the help
of him I could never been what I am today. Secondly my great thanks go to my families and relatives
especially my sister w/r Itenesh Eshetu for giving me encouragement by ideal and financial support.
Next, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my advisor Mr. Muhudihin (MCS) for directing
and giving me constructive advice in my work.
I am also heart fully acknowledge social science library documentation staff member for their
consistent and support. And I want to really thank my partners whose helping me through giving me
so many supported ideas.
ABSTRACT
Investment is very essential to mobilize human and natural resource to more productive efficient and
effective utilization of available resource by allocating them in investment activity. So the government
of Ethiopia has given much concern to this activity. However, this activity is in its low level in the
country and in one of the urban center, Ambo town. For this reason, the purpose of this research
paper is to assess the factors responsible for the level of investment activity in the town.
The sources of data include both primary and secondary method of data collection. Primary data
obtained by conductive structured questionnaire on private investment in the town and oral questions
for the manager of investment office of the town. To conduct the questions on time 30 respondents
have been selected by convenience sampling method. The questions include information about
investment type in the town, promotional activities on investment opportunities and incentives given
for investors by the governmental bodies, problems faced investors and possible solutions to alleviate
problems in the future. The secondary data collected from written materials available in investment
office.
Finally, the data obtained from primary and secondary source analyzed, through inferential methods.
ACRONOMY
IMF International Monetary Fund
NGO Non-Government Organizations
SSA Sub Saharan African Countries
WB World Bank
Table of Contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMINTS......................................................................................................................I
ABSTRACT...........................................................................................................................................II
ACRONOMY........................................................................................................................................III
CHAPTER ONE.....................................................................................................................................1
INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................................................1
1.1 Background of the study.........................………………………………………………….…....1
1.2 Statement of the problem.............................................................................................................2
1.3 Objectives of the study.................................................................................................................3
1.3.1 General Objective of the Study..............................................................................................3
1.3.2 The Specific Objectives Are:.................................................................................................3
1.4 Scope of the study........................................................................................................................3
1.5 Significance of the study..............................................................................................................3
1.6 Organizations of the study...........................................................................................................4
1.7 limitation of the study..................................................................................................................4
CHAPTER TWO.....................................................................................................................................5
LITERATURE REVIEW........................................................................................................................5
2.1 Theoretical literature....................................................................................................................5
2.2 Theories of investment.................................................................................................................6
2.2.1 Classical theories of investment.............................................................................................6
2.2.2 Neoclassical theory of investment..........................................................................................7
2.2.3 Keynesian theory of investment.............................................................................................7
2.2.4 Accelerate theory of investment.............................................................................................7
2.2.5 Investment and economic development.................................................................................8
2.2.6 Determinants of investment...................................................................................................8
2.3 Empirical literature......................................................................................................................9
CHAPTER THREE...............................................................................................................................11
METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY...................................................................................................11
3.1 Description of the study area.....................................................................................................11
3.1.1 Location................................................................................................................................11
3.1.2 Climate.................................................................................................................................11
3.1.3 Population.............................................................................................................................11
3.2 Types and source of data............................................................................................................11
3.3 Method of data collection..........................................................................................................12
3.4 Sampling Technique and sample size......................................................................................12
3.5 Method of data analysis and interpretation................................................................................12
CHAPTER FOUR.................................................................................................................................13
RESULT AND DISCUSSION.............................................................................................................13
4.1 Result and finding of the town...................................................................................................13
4.2 Major Factors That Affect Level of Investment Activity in Ambo Town.................................16
4.2.1 Institutional Factors..............................................................................................................16
4.1.2. Infar–Structural Problems in Investment Activity..............................................................23
CHAPTER FIVE………………………………………………………………………………………….......26
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION....................................................................................26
5.1 Conclusion.................................................................................................................................26
5.2 Recommendation.......................................................................................................................28
REFRENCE..........................................................................................................................................29
APPENDIX...........................................................................................................................................30
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the study
The role of investment to the development of a nation is very large. Investment increases the
productive capacity of an economy. It is a very important to utilize untapped resource to create job
opportunity for citizen, to increase foreign currency through import substitution and export promotion
of a nation and facilitate the communication and cultural exchange of society.
In our country there is huge amount of idle resource which is not mobilized to investment activity due to
inefficient and ineffective utilization of resource which results in low level of income. Because of low
level of income it is difficult for the people to allocate their income for investment activity out of their
consumption.
To develop the investment activities in urban areas, facilitation of the infrastructure facilities, ownership
right policy, identification of potential investment opportunities, access of information about investment
activity, given incentives and promotion of investment opportunities for investment are very essential
steps to be undertaken (FantunMelles, 2004).
Less developed countries are facing as great challenge in the way to get poverty or to minimize
its extent .Thus developing countries have been expanding a number at strategies which are
prescribed by international monetary fund (IMF) and World Bank (WB) 2006. In the growth
literature investment has been regarded as one of the primary engines of growth.
Growth theories emphasize the importance of investment in determining the level of
income(Neoclassical theory) and pace economic growth ( Endogenous growth model
theory).Investment defined as expenditure on real capita good . It is the amount by which the stack
of capital of a firm or economy increase. It is a crucial macroeconomic variable which paves the
way for achievement of growth and development. Investment is one of the major contributor to
economic growth and development in both developed and developing countries . This is because
through investment, new technology can be adopted, employment opportunity can be created,
incomes can grow and living conditions of the people can improved. Thus, ultimately lead
alleviation of poverty,(Frederick,2000) and investment is an essential factor in bringing an
economy out of the mud. Sub-Saharan African (SSA) is generally described as the poorest region
of the world .
One that is getting poorer in the face of sustained growth and significant improvement of living
standard in the rest of the world(World Bank) ,2005 and UN (2000).Ethiopia being one of the
SSA countries recorded the lowest investment rate in the 1960’s as well in 1980’s compared
with other developing countries The Ethiopian investment performance has been weak for a long
period of time. It had stagnantly low until the end of socialist regime. Recently, private investment is
being considered as an engine of growth and development. This is because it has a leading role
in job creation, generating income and profit for re-investment and tax for government.
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Theoretical literature
Investment is the volatile components of GDP when expenditure on goods and services fall during a
recession, much of the decline is usually due to a drop in investment spending. Economists study
investment to better understand fluctuation in the economy’s output of good services. Investment fall
is the great causes for the fall of expenditure on goods and services during the recession. Both firms’
house hold purchase investment goods firms buy investment goods to add to their stock of capital and
to replace existing capital it wears out. House hold buy new house, which are also parts of
investment. The quality of investment goods demanded depend on the interest rate which measures
the cost of the funds used to finance investment (N.GreogoryMankiw)
The term investment refers to a sum of funds committed on the physical and human cavity by both
profit and no profit oriented individuals and institutions. It is applied to production of goods not
meant for immediate consumption but further production of goods such goods are called, investment
goods. The investment of business firms usually comprises of capital goods and inventories (Baddely
2005).
Many scholars defined investment in different way. Herfert (1997) has defined investment as a fixed
and initial operating resource used for the production of goods, the provision of services and the
development of science and technology capacity. Gateman (1997) defines it as a sizable out lays of
funds that commit a firm to some course of operation, the firm lies on specific procedures to analyze
and select those investments properly. In economics, investment can be defined as the purchase of
plant, equipment or inventory. In lay terms investment is the acquisition of an asset such as a stock or
a bond.
Once an individual receives income, there are two choices: to spend or to save it. Regardless of how
you use your income, investment can be defined as post – pond consumption (R.stephen sears, 1993).
Individuals may postpone their current consumption to accumulate for the sake of accumulating. For
any or all of these reasons individuals save part of their income rather than spend all of their income.
The above analysis shows that investment has a strong relationship with saves in come. But the extent
of investment also depends on the level of consumption. As mayrad observes “there are no other road
of economic development than a compulsory rise in the share of the nation’s income which is with
held from consumption. In an economy where living standards of the masses are too low, to curb
consumption, it is difficult to mobilize and allocate resource in to investment activity.
Harrod-Domar growth model can be used to predict the role of foreign capital inflows on growth. The
model assumed that saving depends on income via the marginal propensity to save and that
investment is a constant ration of capital. The positive difference between investment and saving
equals current account defect. Harrods – Domtar model predicts a positive relationship between the
foreign aid and investment. That is to supplement the internal resources through foreign aid;
investment should be increased to under developed economy.
As investment activity is affected by social, political and economic condition, there are some criteria
have to be considered before starting investment activity. Before starting investment activity, one
investor must know and analyze in what area he is going to invest, the available funds he/she has for
investment, the economic and political situations and profitability. In addition, an investor should
know the advantage for the society. That is the quality and quantity of goods and service to be
produced, employment, export and utilization of natural resources.
The theories of investment behaviors’ are varied immense. There exists a considerable variation in
though among economist as to what determines investment behaviors. One reason can be the complex
nature of the subject itself. Another reason can be setting which makes the developments of universal
theories is difficult. Theories of investment behaviors are developed for industrial countries because
of we may find limited relevance in such theories to study investment behaviors in less developed
countries. Theories of investment are one of the most important issues in economic development.
There are different approaches which are used in explaining investments behaviors . For instance
investment is defined in different ways by different economist. Investment is capital formation or
creaton resources that are used in the production (Ccoen and Fisher, (1992).
There are many theories of investment that discussed such as classical, Keynesian, And Neoclassical,
Accelerate and other theories of investment.
The empirical research on investment has invariably been limited in the developed country. However
many studies have been made in developing country recently and have been conducted about the low
level of investment activity in different countries. The research study which is prepared by Lemessa
Tadese for the partial fulfillment of the requirement of BA degree in Economics program on the
economic impact on one hand and social and political constraint of investment Ambo town in 2007
conclude that, activity in the town is low than small town that recently gained a higher administrative
status. This low level of investment is due to absence of well qualified workers to study investment
opportunities in the town and promote to investors who has a potential to investors who has a
potential to invests, bureau critic system of land lease policy, high competition among investors
Corruption can also deter investment and there by lower the economic development. Corruption is a
specific measure of illegal activities within the political system (Mauru 2004).
The opportunity for corruption occurs when public officials are the gate keeper of public goods and
services.
Daniel(2004) has tried to model the determinants of investment in Ethiopia following the
argument that investment is externally constrained in developing countries and it is affected by risk
and un attained variables. The model tries to capture the effects of external financial constraints
domestic and international risk variables, public investment of infrastructure and out on the private
investment. In his thesis he concluded that private investment is determined by availability of finance,
the real exchange rate, investment policy, debt service payment and the debt over hanging.
The other studies conducted in Ethiopia shows their results indicated the factors that influence
investment activities decisions are various. Esuballew (2011) studies the determinants of private
investment in Ethiopia in using both descriptive and regression methods of analysis. He found that
the real government investment Rear GDP real private sector credit has a positive impact on private
investment in both short and long run.
Mignot Tesfaye (2009) attempt to investigate the determinants’ of investment in Ethiopian economy
using correlation of quantitative analysis. He found that the GDP affecting private investment
positively whereas the inflation has negative effect on private investment in Ethiopian economy in
long run-real exchange rate indicates the negative of devaluation in investment
CHAPTER THREE
3.1.2 Climate
Ambo town is characterized by sub-tropical climate condition. At measured at an elevation 1500 -2500
meter above sea level. Mean annual temperature 14c in march with arrange of 16.2c in June and
August to 14c in march annual total rainfall is 1500mm more than 75% of the total rain fall is
in the month of June , July ,August and September . The driest month are November, December,
January and February
3.1.3 Population
According to the central statics agency of Ethiopia national census condition in 2007 is 48,171,
of whom 24,634 were men and 23,537 were women. The majority the inhabitants said that they
observed Ethiopian orthodox Christianity, with 65.18% of population reporting they observed this
belief ,while 27.45% of population were protestant and 7.37% of them are Catholics and others belief.
Married 25 83.4%
Divorced 2 6.6%
Widow 3 10%
Total 30 100%
The table above show that majority of investor in the study area are included in the married marital
status. The total indicators that 25(83.3%) of them are categorized in the married marital status, 2(6.6
%) of them found themselves in divorced group and 3(10%) them are widowed
Table 4.5 the information obtained on private investors about the type of investment activities.
There is no large – scale industrial activities in the town, even there are some wood and metalwork,
grain mills, bakeries and pastries which the local Department of industry and Handicrafts recognizes
as small scale industries. The dominant manufacturing activities are grain mill and metal works taken
account for about the percent of the total number of manufacturing enterprises in the town. There are
also a significant number of hotel facilities exist in the town ranging from mini bars to those with
relatively higher service capacity. It is worth that most of these facilities located in the town are poor
in service and below the standard.
Currently the major constraints, which hinder the development of the investment activities in the
town, can be categorized in to institutional, economical and infrastructural problem. Institutional
problems include lack of advisory and consultation services or information related to service, lack of
promotional activities and incentives, corruption and administrative problem (level of qualified
workers in offices) and problem which is related to land lease system.
Economic problem include lack of capital loan, low level of market activity due to lack of diversity
and high level of tax. Infrastructural problem include transport service, health service, educational
service, water supply, telephone, electricity limited to recreational centers, It is very important to
analyze these problem to understand their impact on investment activity in the town.
4.2 Major Factors That Affect Level of Investment Activity in Ambo Town
4.2.1 Institutional Factors
A. Land Lease Holding Policy
Land lease holding policy has a major impact on investment activity in the town. Due to high
competition among investors to get land for construction purpose, currently a small plate of land has
high amount of price. The questionnaire conducted on private investor’s show that among 30
respondents 24 investors replied that land lease policy as a major cause on investment activity.
Table 4.6 Respondent opinion on the cause for low level of investment activity in the
town.
If yes is it adequate?
Respondent Frequency Percentage %
Yes 10 33.4%
No 0 0
Source: primary date, 2017
Is it continuous?
Respondent Frequency Percentage %
Yes 10 33.4%
No 0 0
Source: primary date, 2017
The data collected from the interview questionnaire shows that from 30 investors about 20(66.6) of
them which did not get advisory and consultation services. This shows that only10 (33.4%) get
advisory and consultation service when they start their activity, while the remaining 66.6% did not
get any information. Due to this fact, there are some business men who stopped their activity due to
incurring of loss. The data also shows from the 30 respondent 10 of them say the service is adequate
and also continuous. This show only about 33.4% is adequate and continuous.
Ambo has better infrastructure facilities like transportation service; finances service (private and
governmental) telephone, social service (education and health centers). But the currently available
infrastructure services do not correspond to the exact supply and demand condition to facilitate
business activity in general and for investment activity in particular due to poor quality and quantity
of these services. With regard to this issue the following data has been obtained from interview
questionnaire.
Table 4.14 the respondent’s opinion on the infrastructural service for the developments of
investments
Respondent Frequency Percentage
Yes 7 23.3%
No 23 76.7%
Source: primary date, 2017
Education Service: - The availability of higher education and training institutional has a
potential role in development activities of private sector. Currently one university, which consists
of various faculties, is undertaking undergraduate and postgraduate programs. Besides there is one
teacher training college and three private college primaries which provide distant education
program in Ambo town.
Despite the fact that the educational access has risen, it has faced with high quality problem.
The existing schools are facing problems like poor physical state of buildings, shortage of
furniture, shortage of classroom, low level of teaching process and absence of capable teachers
are among few problems to be mentioned.
Water supply: Until recently Ambo water supply has been obtained from ground water source.
And the existing water supply situation does not reflect the exact supply demand conditions.
Electricity Supply There are transformers that step down the higher power in to low voltages for
household consumption. Most of the users are domestic users followed by commercial and
government institutions. But there is shortage of electricity for private consumers. Besides, there is no
light for some roads and it is difficult for movement at night which is one affect investments
negatively.
CHAPTER FIVE
5.1 Conclusion
Allocation of capital on different sectors of economic activity is essential to move the available
resources in to more productive. To increase the development, allocation of human and natural
resources in effective and efficient manner on investment activity is very crucial aspect. Without
investment it is impossible to have any development rather it remains in poverty. This is mainly seen
in developing countries like Ethiopia. If there is unemployment, there was below productivity which
results in low level of income, there is poverty.
This research is conducted in Ambo town to investigate the factors responsible for the level of
investment activity. Data was collected through primary and secondary method. The data obtained
was analyzed through inferential method. According to data obtained shows that the investment
activity was found in its low level to activity due to various a constraints. However, the town has
good opportunity to become an important distribution center in west shea zone, owing to its strategic
location due to its proximity to Addis Ababa and as a function point for roads that head to various
directions.
Yet the level of investment activity in the town is rather small particularly when compared with the
level of the investment in other small towns that recently gained a higher administrative status.
Bureaucratic system of land lease policy has a great impact on investment activity.
Due to administration problem, a small unit of land has high price in the town and it is difficult to get
land easily for construction purpose.
Level of in situational capacity due to absence of well qualified workers to study investment
opportunities in the town and to promote it to potential investors, to give advisory and incentives for
private investors have its own limitation on this activity. The town’s low level of infrastructure
facilities like deteriorated and overcrowded roads, unbalance educational and health services with the
town’s population have also negative influence on investment activity.
In general, Ambos strategic location as a middle route with favorable climatic condition can be
seen as an opportunity for development of new investment activity, And due to economical,
infrastructures and political hindrances this activity in its low of stage in the town.
5.2 Recommendation
To enhance the investment activity in the town in the future, the following recommendations are
suggested by the researcher.
Regarding to the participation of Female’s their contribution is less to be participated
in different investment activities. So it is better if concerned part of the town gives
them an encouragement for them because they have great role to participate equal to
males
The work force people given them incentives to employ in the investment activities
.There for the governments should motivate them through facilitate good condition.
The institutions of the investment activity in the Town should allocated sources of the
capital for the skilled force to increase their motivation in investing on investment.
The government also should facilitate health and transportation system for the society.
The main constraint for business activity in the town is the difficulty to easily obtain
land for new investment. In this regard the land lease policy which is being used by
the local authorities for implementation in the town should be handled in a manner
that will contribute to the reflection of local urban economy.
Development of infrastructure facilities plays a major role for the development of
investment activities. In order to facilitate transportation service, deteriorated roads
should be maintained, gravel surface roads should be asphalted and the construction
of additional inner roads which can help for fast movement of goods and service
within the town.
To diversify the business activities, it is essential to provide sufficient information to
private investors about alternative investment opportunities. In this regard investors
before starting their investment activities by seeing only others doing if should
identify new investment activity in the town.
The institution capacity of the town should strengthen to give advisory and
consultation service for potential investors.
REFRENCE
Baddely M.C (2005), Investment Theories and Analysis.
Neoclassical theories on determinants on Investment. .
Daniel Zerfu (2004) Macroeconomic Determinant of Private Investment in Ethiopian.
Fantaun Melles, Investment Guide to Ethiopia, January 2004, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
( N.Greogory model 1930)
Keynesian theories (1936) on determinants on Investment.
(R. Stephen sear 1993)
(Frederick 2000)
Serven L. and Anders solimano (1991), Economic Adjustment and Investment performance in
developing countries.
(World Bank) on investment on sustained Growth.
Harrod-Dommar model (investment and foreign income.
(Genet (1992),Workie (1996),Seyoum(2002))
APPENDIX
JIMMA UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Dear respondents;
The purpose of this questionnaire is to collect information from the private investors, for research
purpose. The information you provide will be used for academic research purpose any and all your
response will be secret, Hence I kindly request you to fill this questionnaire, I am forward my thanks
for you are going to do use ‘” “ in the box.
9. Was there any difficulty in getting investment licensee and permission from local government
when there is investment opportunity in the town?
Yes No
If the above question is yes, please specify
10. Is there any activity done by the investment office of the town and other government agencies in
promoting investment opportunities?
Yes No I don’t know
If yes, how? By advertising (video, television)
By seminary (Newspaper, magazine)
Other methods (specify it)
If No, why?
11. Generally, do you think the promotional activity of the town is adequate to attract potential
investors?
Yes No
If No, what should be done and how?
12. Is there any support for investors in the town?
If Yes, which one? - Loan from a bank
- Accede of land
- Exception from tax
- Market for your goods or service
Others (specify)
13. To develop the investment activity more rapidly, is there infrastructural facilities for this activity?
Yes No
If yes, which one?
Power supply (electricity, water supply)
Banking and loan service
Telephone
Land and aired rate
14 .As a general what is the transportation service in the town
DECLARATION
I undersigned declared that this student research is my original work and has not been presented for a
degree in any other University. And all the materials used for these studies have been duly
acknowledged.
_____________________ _________________
Name of student Signature
This student Research has been submitted for examination with approval as a university advisor.
_______________________ _________________
Name of Advisor Signature
______________________
Date.