The Impact of Environmental Uncertainty, Managerial Autonomy and Size On Budget Characteristics
The Impact of Environmental Uncertainty, Managerial Autonomy and Size On Budget Characteristics
The Impact of Environmental Uncertainty, Managerial Autonomy and Size On Budget Characteristics
This study provides the results of an empirical investigation into the impact of various
contextual variables on the design of the corporate budgeting system. The results
support earlier findings linking contextual variables to budgetary characteristics.
Further, the results indicate that compared with corporate context variables as
measured by managerial autonomy and size, the external variable represented by
perceived environmental uncertainty (PEU) had a greater impact on the design of
budget characteristics. The results also suggest that the impact of PEU was much
stronger for larger size companies compared with smaller size companies.
Key words: environmental uncertainty; managerial autonomy; size; budget
characteristics.
Budget characteristics
Five characteristics of the corporate budgeting system have been selected as the
dependent variables in this study (see Figure 1). These characteristics were found to be
important by previous researchers [5, 6, 10, 12, 341. Other potentially important
budget characteristics such as budget incentive plans are outside the scope of this
paper. A summary of the proposed effects of contextual variables on each budget
characteristic is provided in Figure 2. Each of these characteristics is examined below.
Budget HI Hz H3
characteristics Environmental Organization Managerial
uncertainty size autonomy
Participation + + +
Goal difficulty + NR -
Evaluation + + NR
Required + + NR
explanation
interactions + - -
with superiors
NR = not relevant to that characteristic.
Figure 2. Proposed direct effects of contextual variables on budgetary characteristics.
Budget participation. Budget participation refers to the extent to which managers
engage in setting the budgets of their subunits. Bruns and Waterhouse [12] found that
budgetary participation was related to participation in other decision-making areas,
and that large organizations, presumably with more complex technologies, tend to
allow greater participation in budgets. They have also implied that managers in
decentralized organizations and in organizations facing highly uncertain contingencies
tend to perceive themselves as having high levels of budget participation, and as
appearing more satisfied with budget-related activities. The reverse was observed in
centralized organizations and in organizations operating in the face of lower levels of
uncertainty where the relative lack of emphasis on participation was perceived as being
more appropriate.
Similarly, Merchant [lo] noted that managers in the larger, more diverse,
decentralized companies participated more highly in budget setting. Participation by
middle and lower managers in budget-related activities is consistent with the spirit of
decentralization. In organizations characterized by large size, decentralized structure,
and greater PEU, middle and lower-level managers are likely to be better informed
about their local, specialized conditions. Hence, their involvement in budget prepara-
tion is likely to yield more realistic budgets and provide positive motivational
inducements [lo].
Goal difficulty.' Budget goals can vary in difficulty ranging from loose and easily
attainable to very tight and unattainable. According to Locke et al. [35], p. 127, 'goal
difficulty specifies a certain level of task proficiency measured against a standard'.
Compared with easy goals, the attainment of difficult goals requires the expending of
greater effort, and possibly the possession of more knowledge and skills. Several
researchers have investigated the effects of budget goal difficulty on employee
motivation e.g. Kenis [6], and on task performance e.g. Hofstede [16], Lock et al. [35],
Stedry [36] but few have considered the effects of contextual variables on goal
difficulty.
PEU makes managerial planning and control problematic [24, 25, 391. Under high
uncertainty future events become highly unpredictable and this could render budget
goals inappropriate. Hirst [37] has argued that task uncertainty is likely to be negatively
correlated with completeness of task knowledge and this could make budget goals
difficult to attain. Similarly, PEU is likely to be negatively correlated with completeness
of task knowledge and this could lead to difficult goals. It is also possible that in
situations of high PEU budget goals are deliberately made difficult in order to improve
performance. Various studies have shown that perceived budget goal difficulty and
performance are strongly related; the main ambiguity being whether or not perfor-
mance deteriorates after a certain degree of goal difficulty. Several studies [16, 381 have
suggested a bell shaped relationship between goal difficulty and performance, where up
to a certain degree goal difficulty leads to higher performance, but thereafter to lower
performance, see also Hopwood [9]. However, in a review of over 100 studies in the
areas of cognitive psychology and organization theory Locke et al. [35] found that the
'Budget goal difficulty emerged as one of the factors summarizing budget related behaviour in several studies
e.g. [6, 121, but this was not the case in Merchant's [lo] study.
Budget Characteristics 185
evidence overwhelmingly indicated that difficult goals produced better performance
than medium or easy goals. Further, the impact of goal difficulty on performance is
likely to be moderated by other variables such as personality factors and aspiration
levels. In a laboratory study, Stedry [36] found that performance was positively
associated with budget difficulty for subjects who set their aspiration levels after
receiving the budget, thereby suggesting that in this case aspiration levels reflect the
performance objectives contained in the budget.
Previous evidence on the relationship between managerial autonomy and budget goal
difficulty is not straightforward. Bruns and Waterhouse [12] found that difficulty in
meeting the budget was positively, but not significantly, correlated with structuring of
activities, centralization of authority, and complexity of the control system. Onsi [ l l ]
and Cammann [40] reported that where managers participated actively in setting the
budgets, they had less motive to build slack presumably because they succeeded in
making their budget goals attainable. In contrast, they reported a positive relationship
between an authoritarian control system, where managerial autonomy is limited, and
budgetary slack. In the latter case, budget goals will be difficult to attain if subunit
managers are unable to build sufficient slack into the budget. It is thus plausible to
suggest that budget goal difficulty is lower in organizations with high managerial
autonomy compared with those with low autonomy. Greater managerial autonomy
could imply greater participation in budget setting and this enables managers to make
their budget goals attainable.
'In the Bruns and Waterhouse ([12], p. 195) study, lack of autonomy was defined as 'the extent to which
decisions are made outside the organization under study'.
can be controlled by informal, interpersonal mechanisms. In contrast, control in large,
decentralized organizations operating in highly uncertain environments is problematic
because they experience more complex communication and coordination problems.
Such organizations tend to use administrative control mechanisms which lead to
increased structuring of activities, greater formalization of communication channels,
and more reliance on standardized evaluation schemes such as budgets [12, 411.
Budgets are useful in communicating the intentions of various subunits to each other.
If budget targets are treated by subunits as organizational commitments, deviations
from budgets will be minimized and the amount of communication required to
maintain coordination will be reduced [lo, 421.
Research method
Sample
Data was collected by administering a mailed questionnaire to the financial directors1 of
186 U.K. companies selected from the Times 1000. Of these 81 companies (44%) sent
complete responses. The unit of analysis was the organization as a whole. Respondents
covered a great variety of industrial classifications thus offering the potential for a wide
range for each of the experimental variables. The replies received were subjected to the
usual tests for randomness compared with the total sample and no discernible
differences were observed.
Tht measurements
In order to enhance the comparability and reliability of the findings of this study, the
questions contained in the questionnaire were developed from existing instruments.
Characteristic Items
Contextual
variables:
Environmental
uncertainty
Size
Managerial
autonomy
Dependent
characteristics:
Participation
Goal difficulty
Evaluation
Required explanation
Interactions with
superiors
Table 2
K&l's tau intercorrelationsfor independent and dependent variables
- -
Independent/ Intercorrelations
dependent variables
(n = 81) 1 2 3 4 5
Independent variables:
1. Environmental
uncertainty
2. Size
3. Managerial autonomy
Dependent variables:
1. Participation
2: Goal difficulty
3. Evaluation
4. Explanation
5. Interactions
factors were extracted, which explained 66.4% of the total variability in the data and
the factors corresponded to the a prim' classification. Again, factor scores were derived
for each of the five budget characteristics.
Table 1 contains some descriptive statistics for each of the budget characteristics and
contextual variables.
Kendall's tau intercorrelations of the dependent and independent variables are
reported in Table 2. The correlations between the independent variables are
insignificant with the exception of the correlation between managerial autonomy and
size. In contrast, six out of the ten intercorrelations for the dependent variables were
found to be significant, which is consistent with the results of Merchant [lo] but not
with those of Kenis [6].
Results
The results presented in Table 3 strongly support H,, offer only weak support for H,,
and no support for H,.
As stated in H,, the results in Table 3 indicate that PEU is positively associated with
budget participation, budget evaluation, required explanation of variances, and
interactions between subordinates and superiors concerning budget preparation and
problems. The only discrepancy between the results and H, relates to budget goal
Table 3
Kendd's tau correlations between the dependent and independent variables (n = 81)
Dependent variables Independent variables
(budgetary characteristics)
Uncertainty Size Autonomy
HI H2 H3
Participation
Goal difficulty
Evaluation
Require explanation
Interactions with
superiors
'The underlying distributions of all the variables used in this study were tested for normality. The
histograms and various descriptive statistics (e.g. skewness; kurtosis) were examined. The X2 and the
Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics were also computed. The hypothesis that the underlying distributions were
normal was only rejected in the case of managerial autonomy and PEU.Logarithmic transformations of both
these variables (and of size) did not result in any significant improvements in the results. As suggested in the
text, Kendall's tau was used in preference to parametric statistics and this represents yet another means of
dealing with non-normally distributed variables.
Budget Characteristics 191
difficulty which did not exhibit a significant relationship with PEU as hypothesized.
Either the hypothesized relationship has been mis-specified, or the measurement
instrument was not sufficiently sensitive to proxy budget goal difficulty. Further
empirical work is needed to test this relationship further.
The results show only very weak support for H,, as interactions with superiors was
the only budget characteristic which exhibited a significant relationship with man-
agerial autonomy. As hypothesized, this variable was not relevant to budget evaluation
nor to required explanation of variances. But contrary to expectations, it was not
significantly associated with budget participation nor with budget goal difficulty.
Detailed correlations between managerial autonomy and the individual items of each of
these two characteristics showed only one significant relationship in the hypothesized
direction (budget achievement requires effort, P < 0.10). The results therefore suggest
that managerial autonomy, as defined here, has a limited impact on the design of the
corporate budgeting system.
The results relating to H, are disappointing, given the importance of organization
size in explaining variations in the characteristics of the corporate budgeting system
reported by previous studies e.g. [lo, 12, 18, 29, 411.
Taken together, the results support the notion that the organization's budgeting
system is related to the contextual variables facing the organization. This is consistent
with the results of previous research [lo, 12, 341. The results also indicate that PEU, as
a proxy for variables external to the organization, has a much stronger impact on the
design of the corporate budgeting system compared with the variables relating to the
corporate context, as proxied by managerial autonomy and size. But the analysis
conducted thus far fails to address several important questions. First, would the various
dimensions of both PEU and managerial autonomy have differential effects on budget
characteristics compared with those of the single scalar used for each of the two
contextual variables? Second why has the impact of organization size on budget
characteristics been so negligible compared with the results of previous research (e.g.
Merchant [lo])? Third, would the relative impact of PEU and managerial
autonomy on budget characteristics differ for populations of organizations of different
sizes? Fourth, would the presence of a significantly high correlation between
organization size and managerial autonomy bias the correlation coefficients between the
dependent and independent variables? These questions are addressed below.
First, Kendall's tau correlation coefficients were calculated between each budgetary
characteristic and each of the six dimensions of PEU and the five dimensions of
managerial autonomy using factor scores as described previously. In the case of PEU,
uncertainty with respect to suppliers, competitors and financial markets had by far the
strongest relationship with budget characteristics, with all significant correlations
exhibiting the hypothesized signs. In contrast, the impact of PEU in relation to
government regulatory bodies and actions of labour unions was muted, being
significant only in the case of interactions between superiors and subordinates. In the
case of managerial autonomy, the detailed correlations added little to the results
obtained for the aggregate scalar, thereby supporting the conjecture that managerial
autonomy had a marginal impact on the design of the corporate budgeting system.
Second, in order to test for the possibility that sample heterogeneity may have
dampened the effect of size on the dependent variables, correlation coefficients were
calculated for three broad industrial classifications: consumer g o o d d u r a b l e (n = 30),
consumer goods-nondurable (n = 36) and miscellaneous (n = 9). The results were
similar to those obtained earlier in the sense that size remained an unimportant
explanatory variable of budget characteristics, except in the case of budget participation
for the consumer goods-durable group and interactions with superiors for the
miscellaneous group. It should be noted, however, that Merchant's sample was drawn
from one industrial classification (electrical industry) and is therefore much more
homogeneous than each of the three subsamples used here.
Third, the sample was partitioned into two size groups: smaller (number of
employees less than 5000; n = 45), and larger (number of employees equal to or greater
than 5000; n = 36). This analysis yielded two interesting insights: (a) PEU and
managerial autonomy were significantly correlated with more budget characteristics in
the case of the larger size sample compared with the smaller size sample, and (b) the
correlation coefficient between managerial autonomy and goal difficulty for the larger
size sample was negative as hypothesized but was positive for the smaller size sample.
A plausible explanation of the first finding is that large firms tend to be diversified
(e.g. Merchant [lo]) and diversified firms tend to operate with higher PEU. Further,
organizations operating in the face of greater environmental instability, complexity and
diversity tend to allow subunit managers greater measures of autonomy [24, 54, 551.
Some support for this argument can be found in the data, where the mean score and
standard deviation for PEU for the larger group were ( x = 79.14; S.D. = 14.25)
compared with ( x = 75.69; S.D. = 14.06) for the smaller group (even though the t-test
for the difference in means is not statistically significant the difference has the right
sign). Similarly, the mean score and standard deviation for managerial autonomy for
the larger group were ( x =43.92; S.D. = 10.24) compared with (X = 37.53; S.D. =
10.45) for the smaller group with the t-test significant at the 5% level.
The positive correlation coefficient between goal difficulty and managerial autonomy
is more perplexing. This may be indicative either of pseudo autonomy or, alternatively,
of the inability of subunit managers to build sufficient slack into their budget targets.
Clearly, more research is needed to corroborate this result.
Fourth, partial correlation coefficients were calculated in order to assess the impact
on budget characteristics of controlling for the effects of managerial autonomy and size
one at a time. When managerial autonomy was controlled for, the only difference in the
results was that size was significantly positively correlated when required explanation of
budget variances (P < 0.10). No significant differences were observed, however, when
organization size was controlled for. It appears, therefore, that the impact of
multi-collinearity between managerial autonomy and size on budget characteristics was
insignificant.'
Discussion
This paper has sought to investigate the relationships between a number of budget
characteristics and some contextual variables. The framework for the study is presented
in Figure 1.
'To test further for the possible effects of interactions between managerial autonomy and sue, a new
explanatory variable, AUTOSIZE (autonomy x size) was constructed and correl~tionswith the dependent
variables were calculated, but none was significant. It should be noted that such composite variables are
difficult to interpret. Further, combining collinear variables together can violate the true specifications
linking the independent and dependent variables [68].
Budget Characteristics 193
The results suggest that:
(i) PEU is positively correlated with budget participation, use of budgets for
performance evaluation, required explanation of variances and interactions with
superiors, but shows no significant relationship with budget goal difficulty.
(ii) Managerial autonomy is negatively correlated with interactions between superiors
and subordinates.
(iii) Organization size is not significantly correlated with any of the budget characteris-
tics studied.
Overall, this evidence is both plausible and consistent with the results of previous
research. First, the plausibility of the evidence is reflected in the notion that external
variables and corporate context variables impact on the design of the corporate
budgeting system. In designing their accounting systems organizations should therefore
take cognizance of both the internal and external contexts in which they operate.
Second, the results lend support to the findings of previous research e.g. [lo, 12, 341
which indicate that the characteristics of the corporate budgeting system are related to
the contextual variables of the organization. Managerial autonomy exhibited weaker
relationships with the dependent variables than hypothesized. The relationships
between size and the dependent variables were insignificant, as this study failed to
replicate the results of previous research relating to size. Of the three independent
variables, PEU exhibited the strongest relationships with budget characteristics. This
appeared to be particularly true for larger size firms compared with smaller size firms.
Further, the results lend some support to those who contend that environmental
variables have a most pronounced impact on organizational structure. In particular, the
results can be interpreted as supportive of the population ecology model according to
which the environment is viewed as a selective mechanism and organizations that
survive are perceived to be only those which are suited to environmental selection
criteria [56, 571. However, without a more exhaustive examination of the impact of
other contextual variables (e.g. technology; strategy) on the corporate budgeting system
the above conjecture has to remain tentative.
The designers of accounting and budgeting systems need to consider carefully the
implications of various higher-level variables, relating not only to the corporate context
but also to forces external to the organization, for the accounting systems they design.
However, these findings should be evaluated in the light of the limitations of the
study. First, the model used in this study (see Figure 1) is not complete. It could be
expanded to include other corporate contextual variables such as technology and
interdependence [14, 33, 541, diversity [lo], strategy [58, 591 and the controller's
personality [60]. Second, in common with questionnaire-based studies, this study was
limited to organizations which were willing to participate. Despite the good response
rate obtained, the results may have been affected by self-selection bias. Third, while
established measurement instruments were used in this study, they may still be
somewhat crude and this may have biased the results.
Conclusion
This paper examined the relationships between a number of budget characteristics and
various contextual variables. Despite the limitations of the model and measurement
instruments used, the results are useful. First, at a broad level the results support the
194 M. Ezzamel
findings of previous research which indicate that budget characteristics vary in relation
to the contextual variables with which the organization operates. Second, compared
with corporate contextual variables, PEU appears to have the strongest impact on the
design of the corporate budgeting system. Within the corporate context, managerial
autonomy appears to be more powerful in explaining variations in budget characteris-
tics compared with organization size, particularly in the case of larger size firms.
One limitation of the analysis undertaken here is that it emphasizes traditional
budget roles while ignoring other important roles. For example, the analysis did not
deal explicitly with the political-negotiation mode through which budgets are
'negotiated' between budgeters and budgeteers, given the asymmetric distribution of
power between these groups [61-641. Argyris [ l , 651 has called for broadening our
understanding of control by examining the theories espoused and the theories used by
practitioners; this he calls 'double-loop learning'.
It should also be noted that, in common with questionnaire-based research, the
present study has some potential shortcomings. These include the possibility of model
mis-specification, the problems associated with measurement of contextual variables,
and the exclusion of other, potentially important, variables.
To reduce these limitations, additional studies using more complete frameworks and
more refined measurement instruments are needed in order to improve the validity of
the results reported here. Future research could proceed at different levels of analysis
such as major divisions or strategic business units. Moreover, in order to control for
some of the potential biases and measurement errors of questionnaire-based studies
[66], 'softer methodologies' employing case study research could contribute sig-
nificantly to our understanding of these complex phenomena [67]. Not only would such
research help in trangulating the results reported here, but it would also add a new
dimension to our understanding of corporate budgeting practices by capturing the
dynamics of organizational processes [63, 641.
Acknowledgements: The author acknowledges the useful advice provided by the late Ken Hilton
and by Norman Macintosh at the design stage of this study, and by Chris Burke, Richard
Macve, Bob Scapens, Steve Ward and an anonymous reviewer on earlier drafts. The paper has
also benefitted from various comments made by the participants of the EAA Conference,
Stuttgart, March 1989, the International Conference on Research in Management Control
Systems, London, July 1989, and the Staff Seminar at the University of Warwick, December
1989. The author also acknowledges the financial support provided by the School of Business,
Queen's University, Canada.
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