Question 2

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Revolutions often spawn counterrevolutions and the efficient market hypothesis in finance is no

exception. The intellectual dominance of the efficient-market revolution has more been challenged
by economists who stress psychological and behavioral elements of stock-price determination and
by econometricians who argue that stock returns are, to a considerable extent, predictable. This
survey examines the attacks on the efficient-market hypothesis and the relationship between
predictability and efficiency. I conclude that our stock markets are more efficient and less
predictable than many recent academic papers would have us believe.

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