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    Activity Description Predecessor Time (Days) Activity Description Predecessor A

    Uploaded by

    Alvin Luisa
    The document analyzes a CPM/PERT network for a housing contractor to determine the probability of completing a house within 45 days. It calculates a 36.53% probability. It indicates which activities must be kept on schedule and suggests shifting workers from laying drain tiles to installing plasterboard, mud, and plaster to improve the probability of completing on time.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Activity Description Predecessor Time (Days) Activity Description Predecessor A

    Uploaded by

    Alvin Luisa
    59 views4 pages
    The document analyzes a CPM/PERT network for a housing contractor to determine the probability of completing a house within 45 days. It calculates a 36.53% probability. It indicates which activities must be kept on schedule and suggests shifting workers from laying drain tiles to installing plasterboard, mud, and plaster to improve the probability of completing on time.

    Original Title

    TQM-Module-9_Case-Problem_Luisa-Talana

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    The document analyzes a CPM/PERT network for a housing contractor to determine the probability of completing a house within 45 days. It calculates a 36.53% probability. It indicates which activities must be kept on schedule and suggests shifting workers from laying drain tiles to installing plasterboard, mud, and plaster to improve the probability of completing on time.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    59 views4 pages

    Activity Description Predecessor Time (Days) Activity Description Predecessor A

    Uploaded by

    Alvin Luisa
    The document analyzes a CPM/PERT network for a housing contractor to determine the probability of completing a house within 45 days. It calculates a 36.53% probability. It indicates which activities must be kept on schedule and suggests shifting workers from laying drain tiles to installing plasterboard, mud, and plaster to improve the probability of completing on time.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 4

    TIME (DAYS)

    ACTIVITY   DESCRIPTION PREDECESSOR  

    ACTIVITY DESCRIPTION PREDECESSOR aa m b


    a Excavation, pour footers — 3 4  6
    b Lay foundation a 2 3  5
    c Frame and roof b 2 4  5
    d Lay drain tiles b 1 2  4
    e Sewer (floor) drains b 1 2  3
    f Install insulation c 2 4  5
    g Pour basement floor e 2 3  5
    h Rough plumbing, pipes e 2 4  7
    i Install windows f 1 3  4
    j Rough electrical wiring f 1 2  4
    k Install furnace, air conditioner c, g 3 5  8
    l Exterior brickwork i 5 6 10
    m Install plasterboard, mud, plaster j, h, k 6 8 12
    n Roof shingles, flashing l 2 3  6
    o Attach gutter, downspouts n 1 2  5
    p Grading d, o 2 3  7
    q Lay subflooring m 3 4  6
    r Lay driveway, walks, landscape p 4 6 10
    s Finish carpentry q 3 5 12
    t Kitchen cabinetry, sink, and appliances q 2 4  8
    u Bathroom cabinetry, fixtures q 2 3  6
    v Painting (interior and exterior) t, u 4 6 10
    w Finish wood floors, lay carpet v, s 2 5  8
    x Final electrical, light fixtures v 1 3  4
    1.   Develop a CPM/PERT network for Moore House Contractors and
    determine the probability that the contractors can complete a house
    within 45 days. Does it appear that the Moores might need to increase
    their bid to compensate for potential penalties?

    R
    B
    B

    P
    B
    B

    D
    B
    B

    A B C F I L N O
    B B B

    B
    B B B
    B B B B
    B B

    J
    E B
    B

    B
    B

    G U
    B
    B
    K B
    B

    B
    B

    H Q S W
    B
    M S
    V
    B B
    S
    S

    PROBABILITY ANALYSIS
    Formula: z = (X - μ) / σ
    45-45.83/2.41 = -.3443 The z-score is -3.443 and when you look the z-
    score up on a z-score chart you receive a cumulative probability of .36531.
    This means that the probability of Moore Housing Contractors being able
    to build a home within 45 days is 36.53%.

    2.  Indicate which project activities Moore Contractors should be particularly


    diligent to keep on schedule by making sure workers and materials are always
    available. Also indicate which activities the company might shift workers from
    as the need arises.

    (Answer)

    First of all, they must keep the key path elements of the home building on

    schedule. Excavation, foundation, basement floor, and other items stated

    above must not be delayed; otherwise, this project will not be completed on

    time.

    Second, there appears to be an area of opportunity where Moore may shift

    labor from a slack activity to a critical path activity. This deviation may allow a

    vital path task to be done on time or even ahead of schedule. Action D is one of

    the items with a lot of slack.

    Laying drain tiles is Action D, which has a slack of 26  days. Because

    this is a projected 8-day completion with a six-day optimistic


    completion window, directing those labor resources to action M,

    which involves installing plasterboard, mud, and plaster, makes the

    most sense. Tile-laying work abilities will be more suitable with plaster

    than any of the previous actions leading up to action M. A worker assigned

    with laying tile is unlikely to be competent for tasks such as electrical,

    plumbing, or air handler installation. Since the EF time of action M is 26 days

    and the ES time for action P, which has a predecessor of action D from

    which we are pulling labor, is thirty days there should be no conflict or

    delay in the start of action P as the pessimistic forecast for action D is

    four days. If this shift in labor could lead to completion time of 44.833

    days we increase our chances of making target to 47.24% which gives

    Moore a good shot of reducing their penalty by one house. Looking at the

    rest of the activities with slack it would seem there are no further

    reasonable opportunities to shift labor.

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