Grassroot Democracy in Vietnam
Grassroot Democracy in Vietnam
Grassroot Democracy in Vietnam
Research Issues
The correlation between democracy and economic
performance was studied for a long time, especially during
the 1980s and 1990s when many Asian countries experience
rapid economic development. The conclusion was, however,
not clear-cut.
For Vietnam, many researches took its for granted that a
more democratic environment at the commune level will
positively affect the local development. However, by 2003,
after 5 years of implementation of GDR, , there was a general
realization at national level that the implementation of Decree
29 was slow and ineffective. (CPV, 2003). During the survey,
there were opinions such as the GDR were not implemented
properly, and in many cases, just formally as it does not
closely relate to the everyday needs of people.
Thus, in this research, we focus on 2 questions:
1. Over the past seven years, has the implementation of
GDR left any significant impact ( empirically measurable) on
the performance of commune government , especially in the
sense of addressing and solving problems of development?
2. Does the level of this impact vary significantly among
different commune governments? And if it does, why?
4
Up to now, many researches took its for granted without
rigorous investigation, especially in term of quantification
these effects of GDR. Hence, the answers to these questions
can help to shed lights on future directions for
democratization process in Vietnam, especially at the lower
level of local government. The focus is placed on quantitative
analysis, complemented by a number of in-depth interviews.
In other words, while we do not question much the political
and social impact of GDR, its magnitude and specific
expression in every day life as well as its impact on people
perception and behaviour are of little concern in Vietnam.
Apparently, there is no simple way to separate the impact of
GDR from the impact of other factors (with out GDR) such as
economic growth or the growth of social information network
associated with, e.g., internet use in Vietnam. It would require
much more data to rigorously test the causal relationship
between GDR implementation and those indices as measured
in this paper. Nevertheless, the pattern of impact and the
attempt to measure it will give some idea about the way to
further democratization process in Vietnam, and may suggest
some useful direction for government policy.2
The research conduct survey of a representative sample
of communes to obtain data for quantitative analysis to test
whether institutional changes has significant impact on
performance of local government, as measured by a number
of most crucial indicators for development of people political
involvement and perception at the commune level.
2
In 2007, the Standing Committee of the National Assembly finally approved the
Grassroots Democracy Decree, which improved the legality status of GDR., while
essentially keeping the same content of GDR.
5
II - Survey description and issues
In order to collect the necessary data, we have conducted
15 waves of field study in 30 communes throughout the
country. These communes are chosen from three regions
( North, Central, South), which are different in many aspects :
economic development levels, cultural, and historical
traditions. The geographical distribution is summarized in
Table 1 below.
Table 1 – The list of surveyed communes
Commune District-Province Region
1 Giai pham Yen My- Hung Yen North
2 Tran cao Phu Cu- Hung Yen North
3 An vy Khoai chau- Hung yen North
4 Dang le An thi- Hung yen North
5 Lam ha Phu ly- Hanam North
6 Trung luong Binh luc- Hanam North
.
7 Tien ngoai Duy tien- Hanam North
.
8 Thach Khoi Gia loc- Hai duong North
.
9 Hung thang Binh giang- Hai North
duong
1 Cao son Cam giang- Hai North
0 duong
1 An tuong Yen son-Tuyen quang North
1
1 Tho binh Chiem hoa- Tuyen North
2 quang
1 Don nhan Lap thach-Vinh phuc North
3
1 Cam chau Hoi an- Quang nam Central
4
1 Dien duong Dien ban- Quang Central
6
5 nam
1 Hoa phong Hoa vang-Quang nam Central
6
1 Hoa tien Hoa vang- Danang Central
7
1 Hoa xuan Hoa vang-Danang Central
8
1 Phuoc duc Phuoc son- Quang Central
9 nam
2 Dong tam Dong phu- Binh South
0 phuoc
2 Loc thai Loc ninh-Binh Phuoc South
1
2 Dong tam Dong phu- Binh South
2 phuoc
2 An phu Thuan an- Binh duong South
3
2 An vinh Tan an- Long an South
4 ngai
2 An ngai Long dien- Vung tau South
5
2 An linh Tuy an- Phu yen South
6
2 Khanh binh Thu dau mot-Binh South
7 duong
2 Tien thanh Dong xoai- Binh South
8 phuoc
2 Tan chanh Can duoc- Long An South
9
3 Duc binh Song hinh-Phu yen South
0 tay
10
A. Objective indicators
11
Table 2 – The number of non-party member in local CPC
and VBH (Unit: Number of people)
1
Befor 998
Commun 2001- 20
District- Province e -
e 2004 05
1998 200
0
Giai
Yen My_ Hung Yen 6 9 11 15
Pham
Tran Cao Phu Cu_ Hung Yen 6 10 10 15
Khoai Chau- Hung
An Vy 3 5 7 10
Yen
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 4 9 11 11
Trung
Binh Luc- Ha Nam 3 6 8 12
Luong
Tien
Duy Tien- Ha Nam 4 5 8 11
Ngoai
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 4 8 10 14
Thach
Gia Loc_ Hai Duong 4 10 12 13
Khoi
Hung Binh Giang- Hai
5 4 7 11
Thang Duong
Cam Giang- Hai
Cao Son 3 4 8 8
Duong
Chiem Hoa- Tuyen
Tho Binh 3 8 10 12
Quang
Yen Son- Tuyen
An Tuong 3 5 9 11
Quang
Lap Thach- Vinh
Don Nhan 2 2 4 4
Phuc
Hoa Vang- Quang
Hoa Qui 2 6 8 13
Nam
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 4 3 6 8
Hoa Vang - Da
Hoa Tien 5 9 10 14
Nang
Dien Dien Ban_ Quang
6 8 12 12
Duong Nam
Cam
Hoi an -Quang Nam 4 10 12 12
Chau
Hoa Hoa Vang - Quang
6 8 10 14
Phong nam
Phuoc Phuoc Son- Quang
2 3 2 4
Duc Nam
12
Dong Phu- Binh
Dong tam 4 7 10 15
Phuoc
Tien Dong Xoai- Binh
2 2 3 5
Thanh Phuoc
Loc Ninh - Binh
Loc Thai 3 8 10 13
Phuoc
Tan
Can Duoc - Long An 3 2 5 5
Chanh
An Vinh
Tan An- Long An 4 7 9 15
Ngai
Long Bien- Vung
An Ngai 3 7 9 11
Tau
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 4 6 6 10
Thuan An - Binh
An Phu 5 9 11 14
Duong
Khanh Thu Dau mot- Binh
3 4 4 3
Binh Duong
Duc Binh
Song Hinh- Phu Yen 2 6 7 9
Tay
1
Average 3.7 6.3 8.3
0.8
13
We can see the increase after the GDR was introduced
was quite significant. By 2005, the non-party members were
increased markedly by almost 300% compared with the
period before 1998. The changes happened in the periods
1998-2005 were also significant. By 2005 , this was more or
less steady as expected.
This, however, should be interpreted carefully as the
increased number does not have 1-1 correlation with the
decision power increase, as the key positions still belongs to
the party members. However, this undoubtedly increase the
accountability of the officials as well as the transparency of
decision making process.
14
(See World Bank, 1999). Moreover, the abuse and wrong
spending of public funds (contributed by village population for
local infrastructure building) was the main cause of many
rural unrests during late 1990s such as in Thai Binh province.
See Nguyen Van Sau and Ho Van Thong 2003, and 2005)
Budget inspection ( generally regulated by GDR and done
by a small independent group of 5 to 7 people chosen from
villages and mass organizations ) has provided commune
people an institutional access to all financial document
proceeded by commune government. In practice, however,
budget inspection has been interpreted and applied
differently across time and space.
We assumed that the frequency of budget inspection has
been increased since 1998. Our metric here is the average
number of budget inspections done by all 30 communes
during three periods : before 1998, 1998-2002 and 2003-
2005. See The Table 2
Table 2: Budget inspection (Unit: Number of cases)
Commun <199 2002
District- Province 98-02
e 8 - 2005
Giai Pham Yen My_ Hung Yen 3 4 5
Tran Cao Phu Cu_ Hung Yen 3 4 5
Thach Khoi Gia Loc_ Hai Duong 3 5 5
Dien Dien Ban_ Quang
2 5 4
Duong Nam
Hoa Tien Hoa Vang - Da Nang 3 6 5
Thuan An - Binh
An Phu 2 4 6
Duong
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 2 4 5
Cam Chau Hoi an -Quang Nam 3 5 6
Hoa Vang - Quang
Hoa Phong 2 5 5
nam
Dong Phu- Binh
Dong tam 3 4 5
Phuoc
An Vinh Tan An- Long An 3 4 5
15
Ngai
Loc Ninh - Binh
Loc Thai 3 5 5
Phuoc
Hoa Vang- Quang
Hoa Qui 3 4 5
Nam
Trung
Binh Luc- Ha Nam 3 3 6
Luong
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung Tau 1 4 5
Chiem Hoa- Tuyen
Tho Binh 2 4 5
Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 3 4 5
Khoai Chau- Hung
An Vy 2 3 3
Yen
Hung Binh Giang- Hai
1 2 3
Thang Duong
Cam Giang- Hai
Cao Son 2 2 3
Duong
Yen Son- Tuyen
An Tuong 2 2 3
Quang
Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 2 1 3
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 1 3 5
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 3 3 4
Dong Xoai- Binh
Tien Thanh 3 2 4
Phuoc
Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 3 1 3
Khanh Thu Dau mot- Binh
3 2 3
Binh Duong
Duc Binh
Song Hinh- Phu Yen 2 3 3
Tay
Phuoc Son- Quang
Phuoc Duc 1 3 4
Nam
Lap Thach- Vinh
Don Nhan 2 3 5
Phuc
Sum 71 104 133
Average 2.4 3.5 4.4
16
Figure 2 Average number of budget inspections per year
10
9
8
7
6
5 4.4
4 3.5
3 2.4
2
1
0
before1998 98-2002 2002-05
17
Thuan An - Binh
An Phu 2 5 7
Duong
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 4 5 8
Cam Chau Hoi an - Quang Nam 4 6 8
Hoa Vang - Quang
Hoa Phong 4 6 6
nam
Dong Phu- Binh
Dong tam 2 5 6
Phuoc
An Vinh
Tan An- Long An 3 4 6
Ngai
Loc Thai Loc Ninh - Binh Phuoc 1 4 5
Hoa Vang- Quang
Hoa Qui 4 4 6
Nam
Trung
Binh Luc- Ha Nam 2 3 5
Luong
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung Tau 2 5 7
Chiem Hoa- Tuyen
Tho Binh 2 5 7
Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 4 5 6
Khoai Chau- Hung
An Vy 4 4 6
Yen
Hung Binh Giang- Hai
3 4 6
Thang Duong
Cam Giang- Hai
Cao Son 2 3 4
Duong
Yen Son- Tuyen
An Tuong 4 5 7
Quang
Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 3 4 5
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 3 3 3
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 3 5 6
Tien Dong Xoai- Binh
2 5 7
Thanh Phuoc
Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 2 4 6
Khanh Thu Dau mot- Binh
3 4 5
Binh Duong
Duc Binh
Song Hinh- Phu Yen 1 2 2
Tay
Phuoc Son- Quang
Phuoc Duc 1 2 4
Nam
Don Nhan Lap Thach- Vinh Phuc 2 3 2
Sum 85 132 176
Average 2.8 4.4 5.9
18
Figure 3 Disputes solving
10
5.9
4.4
2.8
0
before1998 1998-2002 2003-2005
19
Tran Cao Phu Cu_ Hung Yen 3 1 4 2 3 3
Thach Khoi Gia Loc_ Hai Duong 3 0 4 2 5 2
Dien Duong Dien Ban_ Quang 2 2 3 3 4 3
Nam
Hoa Tien Hoa Vang - Da Nang 3 2 4 3 4 3
An Phu Thuan An - Binh 1 1 4 2 5 3
Duong
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 3 1 2 2 3 3
Cam Chau Hoi an -Quang Nam 3 1 3 2 3 2
Hoa Phong Hoa Vang - Quang 2 0 3 2 4 2
nam
Dong tam Dong Phu- Binh Phuoc 1 0 3 1 2 2
An Vinh Tan An- Long An 2 0 2 3 2 2
Ngai
Loc Thai Loc Ninh - Binh Phuoc 2 2 2 2 4 2
Hoa Qui Hoa Vang- Quang 3 2 2 2 4 3
Nam
Trung Luong Binh Luc- Ha Nam 1 2 4 1 4 3
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung Tau 1 1 4 1 3 3
Tho Binh Chiem Hoa- Tuyen 2 1 3 1 3 3
Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 2 2 3 1 2 2
An Vy Khoai Chau- Hung Yen 2 2 1 2 3 3
Hung Thang Binh Giang- Hai 0 1 1 2 4 3
Duong
Cao Son Cam Giang- Hai 0 2 2 2 2 2
Duong
An Tuong Yen Son- Tuyen Quang 2 0 1 3 2 2
Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 2 2 2 2 2 2
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 3 1 2 1 3 2
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 3 1 0 1 3 2
Tien Thanh Dong Xoai- Binh 0 0 2 1 4 2
Phuoc
Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 0 0 2 2 2 3
Khanh Binh Thu Dau mot- Binh 0 1 1 2 2 2
Duong
Duc Binh Song Hinh- Phu Yen 2 1 3 1 2 3
Tay
Phuoc Duc Phuoc Son- Quang 1 0 1 1 3 3
Nam
Don Nhan Lap Thach- Vinh Phuc 1 0 1 1 2 2
Sum 53 30 73 54 94 75
Average 1.8 1 2.4 1.8 3.1 2.5
20
project makes the decision making process more transparent.
And transparency is important factor for democracy
promotion. In general, both growth of (a) and (b) would show
the positive impact of GDR. More over, the real power of
people, as reflected by column (b), increase higher, compared
with (a). (See Figure 4)
3.1
3 just informed
2.4 2.5 discuss, decide, supervise
2 1.8 1.8
1 1
0
before1998 1998-2002 2002-05
B. Subjective Indicators
Has the implementation of GDR left any impact on the
way commune leaders think about politics and of doing
politics? To measure this impact, we devised 4 indicators
which are following:
23
“more or less disagreed” (MLD), “disagree completely” (DC)
with each item during two periods: 1999, 2005.
Table 5: Bottom-up thinking vs. centralism (the number of
agreement with 5 questions)
Commu District- 1999 2005
ne Province
AC ML ML DC AC ML ML DC
A D A D
Giai Yen My_ Hung 3 0 0 2 1 3 1 0
Pham Yen
Tran Cao Phu Cu_ Hung 2 1 0 2 1 3 1 0
Yen
Thach Gia Loc_ Hai 3 0 1 1 1 2 2 0
Khoi Duong
Dien Dien Ban_ 1 0 1 3 1 2 2 0
Duong Quang Nam
Hoa Tien Hoa Vang - Da 2 0 1 2 0 2 3 0
Nang
An Phu Thuan An - Binh 2 1 0 2 1 3 1 0
Duong
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 2 1 1 1 0 2 3 0
Cam Hoi an -Quang 3 0 0 2 0 2 3 0
Chau Nam
Hoa Hoa Vang - 3 1 0 1 1 2 1 1
Phong Quang nam
Dong Dong Phu- Binh 2 0 0 3 1 1 3 0
tam Phuoc
An Vinh Tan An- Long An 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 0
Ngai
Loc Thai Loc Ninh - Binh 3 0 1 1 1 3 0 1
Phuoc
Hoa Qui Hoa Vang- 1 0 1 3 1 3 1 0
Quang Nam
Trung Binh Luc- Ha 2 1 0 2 1 2 2 0
Luong Nam
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 1
Tau
Tho Binh Chiem Hoa- 2 0 1 2 0 3 1 1
Tuyen Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung 3 1 0 1 1 3 1 0
Yen
An Vy Khoai Chau- 2 1 1 1 0 2 3 0
Hung Yen
Hung Binh Giang- Hai 3 0 2 0 1 3 1 0
Thang Duong
Cao Son Cam Giang- Hai 3 0 0 2 1 1 2 1
Duong
An Yen Son- Tuyen 2 0 1 2 0 3 2 0
24
Tuong Quang
Tien Duy Tien- Ha 2 0 1 2 0 3 2 0
Ngoai Nam
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 3 1 0 1 1 3 0 1
Hoa Hoa Vang- Da 3 0 1 1 0 3 1 1
Xuan Nang
Tien Dong Xoai- Binh 2 0 1 2 0 2 3 0
Thanh Phuoc
Tan Can Duoc - Long 1 1 0 3 1 1 3 0
Chanh An
Khanh Thu Dau mot- 3 0 0 2 1 0 3 1
Binh Binh Duong
Duc Binh Song Hinh- Phu 2 0 1 2 0 3 1 1
Tay Yen
Phuoc Phuoc Son- 3 1 0 1 1 2 1 1
Duc Quang Nam
Don Lap Thach- Vinh 2 0 1 2 1 3 1 0
Nhan Phuc
Sum 70 14 17 49 18 69 53 10
Averag 2.3 0.5 0.6 1.6 0.6 2.3 1.8 0.3
e
2.5
Agreed completely
1.5
Moreor less agreed
1 Moreor less diagreed
Disagreed completely
0.5
0
1999 2005
Indicator 6 - Tolerance
26
nam
Dong Phu- Binh
Dong tam 3 3 4
Phuoc
An Vinh Ngai Tan An- Long An 1 2 4
Loc Thai Loc Ninh - Binh Phuoc 2 2 4
Hoa Vang- Quang
Hoa Qui 2 2 3
Nam
Trung Luong Binh Luc- Ha Nam 2 2 3
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung Tau 2 2 3
Chiem Hoa- Tuyen
Tho Binh 3 2 4
Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 2 3 3
An Vy Khoai Chau- Hung Yen 3 3 4
Binh Giang- Hai
Hung Thang 1 2 3
Duong
Cam Giang- Hai
Cao Son 3 3 3
Duong
Yen Son- Tuyen
An Tuong 1 2 4
Quang
Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 1 2 4
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 2 3 4
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 2 3 3
Dong Xoai- Binh
Tien Thanh 2 2 3
Phuoc
Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 1 2 3
Thu Dau mot- Binh
Khanh Binh 3 3 2
Duong
Duc Binh Tay Song Hinh- Phu Yen 1 2 4
Phuoc Son- Quang
Phuoc Duc 2 2 3
Nam
Don Nhan Lap Thach- Vinh Phuc 1 2 4
Sum 63 71 104
Average 2.1 2.4 3.5
Figure 6 Tolerance
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1999 2003 2005
27
Indicator 7 - Public satisfaction with commune
governments .
28
Long Bien- Vung
An Ngai 2 11 20 17 0 13 20 11 1 16 18 9 0 21 16 6
Tau
Chiem Hoa-
Tho Binh 3 13 19 15 1 13 21 13 4 16 19 8 2 18 16 7
Tuyen Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 3 12 18 16 2 12 21 15 4 16 20 8 3 21 15 7
Khoai Chau-
An Vy 3 12 19 15 2 13 19 13 5 15 20 9 3 21 18 4
Hung Yen
Hung Binh Giang- Hai
4 10 16 17 0 13 20 13 3 17 18 9 3 22 18 4
Thang Duong
Cam Giang- Hai
Cao Son 0 13 17 17 1 15 19 16 3 17 18 9 2 21 16 6
Duong
Yen Son- Tuyen
An Tuong 2 12 17 18 1 15 19 15 4 18 19 9 0 19 16 4
Quang
Tien Duy Tien- Ha
1 12 18 13 2 14 18 13 3 15 19 8 3 19 17 5
Ngoai Nam
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 4 11 20 14 0 13 19 14 3 15 20 8 1 22 17 7
Hoa Vang- Da
Hoa Xuan 2 11 21 14 1 14 21 13 2 16 20 9 3 18 19 5
Nang
Tien Dong Xoai- Binh
4 13 18 14 0 14 19 13 2 16 18 8 1 18 17 5
Thanh Phuoc
Tan Can Duoc - Long
2 11 19 13 0 12 20 12 1 17 16 7 0 22 16 7
Chanh An
Khanh Thu Dau mot-
3 12 19 15 2 12 21 12 0 18 19 7 3 19 16 4
Binh Binh Duong
Duc Binh Song Hinh- Phu
5 13 18 14 2 14 19 12 0 18 19 9 1 21 17 6
Tay Yen
Phuoc Phuoc Son-
5 14 17 14 1 15 18 11 3 17 18 8 3 21 17 6
Duc Quang Nam
Lap Thach- Vinh
Don Nhan 1 13 21 15 0 15 21 14 3 16 19 7 3 21 18 6
Phuc
1
8 37 55 45 3 42 58 39 7 49 56 24 5 61 52
Sum 7
0 2 6 7 0 4 7 8 0 9 7 7 8 2 3
3
2. 12 18 15 14 19 13 2. 16 18 8. 1. 20 17 5.
Average 1
7 .4 .5 .2 .1 .6 .3 3 .6 .9 2 9 .4 .4 8
Note: V – Very Satisfied, R – Relatively Satisfied, L – Little Satisfied, N – Not
Satisfied
29
Figure 7 Public satisfaction
45
40
35
30
Verysatified
25
Rather satisfied
20 Littlesatisfied
15 Not satisfied at all
10
5
0
1999 2001 2003 2005
30
C. Index of GDR Impact
From all seven indicators, we build up an index of GDR
impact as follows:
1. For each indicator we calculate the absolute difference
between their average values in 2005 and 1998. For indicator
5, we will take the difference between average values of (MLA
+ MLD) as this measure the depolarization of political
thinking. For the indicator 7, we will take the difference
between average values of (L+N).
2. The biggest and smallest values will be assigned
coefficients (factor loading) 1 and 0 accordingly.
3. Each indicator will have factor loading (FL) calculated
by standardizing their value to the scale from 0 to 1
according to step 2 (i.ei.e. by the formula: FL = (Value –
Smallest)/(Biggest – Smallest)
The result is shown in Table 8 below:
Table 8 - Index of GDR Impact Coefficient
Indicator Impact of GDR (= Factor
Average Value in 2005 – loading
Average Value in 1998)
1 – Non party 7.1 0.62637
member
2 - budget 2 0.06593
inspection
3 - Dispute solving 3.1 0.18681
4 - People 1.5 0.01098
participation
5 - Political thinking 3 0.17582
6 - Tolerance 1.4 0
7 - Public 10.5 1
satisfaction
31
communes from data of 7 indicators as shown in Table 9. The
main idea of such a total index is to preserve ranking order
and intensity degree of difference between communes. (See
also Appendix 1 for concrete calculations).
Table 9 – GDR Impact for each Commune
Commune District- Province GDR impact
Giai Pham Yen My_ Hung Yen 16.241
Tran Cao Phu Cu_ Hung Yen 17.066
Thach Khoi Gia Loc_ Hai Duong 14.879
Dien Duong Dien Ban_ Quang Nam 8.9887
Hoa Tien Hoa Vang - Da Nang 15.23
An Phu Thuan An - Binh Duong 16.384
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam 18.878
Cam Chau Hoi an -Quang Nam 16.767
Hoa Phong Hoa Vang - Quang nam 15.956
Dong tam Dong Phu- Binh Phuoc 17.494
An Vinh Ngai Tan An- Long An 19.956
Loc Thai Loc Ninh - Binh Phuoc 22.494
Hoa Qui Hoa Vang- Quang Nam 17.934
Trung Luong Binh Luc- Ha Nam 16.934
An Ngai Long Bien- Vung Tau 21.582
Tho Binh Chiem Hoa- Tuyen 18.318
Quang
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen 19.296
An Vy Khoai Chau- Hung Yen 19.242
Hung Thang Binh Giang- Hai Duong 15.824
Cao Son Cam Giang- Hai Duong 16.098
An Tuong Yen Son- Tuyen Quang 21.362
Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 14.527
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 14.384
Hoa Xuan Hoa Vang- Da Nang 14.67
Tien Thanh Dong Xoai- Binh Phuoc 13.604
Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 11.56
Khanh Binh Thu Dau mot- Binh 14.912
Duong
Duc Binh Tay Song Hinh- Phu Yen 14.186
32
Phuoc Duc Phuoc Son- Quang 10.395
Nam
Don Nhan Lap Thach- Vinh Phuc 13.999
33
23 Tien Ngoai Duy Tien- Ha Nam 14.527 0.410083
24 An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen 14.384 0.399495
25 Duc Binh Tay Song Hinh- Phu Yen 14.186 0.384834
26 Don Nhan Lap Thach- Vinh Phuc 13.999 0.370988
27 Tien Thanh Dong Xoai- Binh 13.604 0.34174
Phuoc
28 Tan Chanh Can Duoc - Long An 11.56 0.190392
29 Phuoc Duc Phuoc Son- Quang 10.395 0.104129
Nam
30 Dien Duong Dien Ban_ Quang Nam 8.9887 0
34
impact on the people perception and values regarding the
political participation and social responsibility. Specifically,
the South people are commonly viewed as more responsible
to the relaxing political restriction as in the case with GDR.
The result of our measurement did not confirm this common
belief.
There is no easy way to explain this counter-intuitive
result. We suggest two factors which may shed light on this
result:
i) The fact that the first and biggest social protest did
happen in the North was actually consistent with the result.
This case of social and political unrest in Thai-binh province in
1997 (which was the most direct cause for the introduction of
GDR as many observers believed) may suggest that another
side of the democratization – the “supply side”. That is,
while, the demand for a more democratic regulation might be
higher and embedded in the social and political tradition of
the South, people in the South either are not ready to take
opportunity, either do not believe the real intent of the GDR.
Plainly speaking, they do not have such a political status (as
the North does) to minimize the risk of being victims of local
government officials.
ii) As the GDR was just a regulation and at the grassroots
level, its impact are severely restricted by the general
national political structure (especially at the central level),
which was uniform throughout the country. Therefore, the
impact can not be different, if the main restriction are the
same for all regions and provinces. In other words, the
expected difference will be obvious only in the case there is a
democratic regulation at all levels.
35
These 2 suggestions are just hypotheses, a deeper
investigation are needed before we can have better reasons to
confirm or reject them.
36
l sector
income
(as % of
GDPtotal
capita(VN production
D) value)
Giai Pham 980,000 0.75 25 0.01 0.76
Tran Cao 1,000,000 0.77 27 0.04 0.81
Thach
Khoi 990,000 0.76 24 0 0.76
Dien
Duong 1,200,000 1 28 0.06 1.06
Hoa Tien 900,000 0.66 26 0.03 0.69
An Phu 920,000 0.68 27 0.05 0.73
Lam Ha 890,000 0.65 40 0.25 0.90
Cam Chau 786,000 0.53 28 0.06 0.59
Hoa
Phong 788,000 0.53 40 0.25 0.78
Dong tam 790,000 0.53 27 0.05 0.58
An Vinh
Ngai 742,000 0.48 44 0.31 0.79
Loc Thai 756,000 0.49 26 0.03 0.52
Hoa Qui 675,000 0.40 46 0.34 0.74
Trung
Luong 658,000 0.38 50 0.4 0.78
An Ngai 761,000 0.50 57 0.51 1.01
Tho Binh 654,000 0.38 50 0.40 0.78
Dang le 734,000 0.47 54 0.460 0.93
An Vy 578,000 0.29 40 0.25 0.54
Hung
Thang 586,000 0.30 61 0.57 0.87
Cao Son 475,000 0.17 35 0.17 0.34
An Tuong 389,000 0.70 75 0.78 1.48
Tien
Ngoai 465,000 0.16 40 0.25 0.41
An Linh 433,000 0.12 77 0.82 0.94
Hoa Xuan 424,000 0.11 35 0.17 0.28
Tien
Thanh 326,000 0 82 0.89 0.89
Tan
Chanh 337,000 0.10 40 0.25 0.35
Khanh
Binh 554,000 0.26 77 0.82 1.08
Duc Binh
Tay 534,000 0.24 83 0.91 1.15
Phuoc
Duc 467,000 0.16 80 0.87 1.03
Don Nhan 356,000 0.3 89 1 1.30
37
Political culture is measured by fours indicators : voting
turnout, annual commune meetings, newspaper readership,
leisure time spending in sport and socio-cultural associations.
These measurements are not perfect, as we can see they are
somehow related to the income level. However, these 4
indicator also reflect the level of social involvement. For
example, the indicator newspaper readership, although reflect
the income level of the village, but not necessarily the
personal income level. In Vietnam, especially in villages,
there are so called the cultural houses (which can compared
to public library), where people can share their books,
newspapers, use internet etc. .. to save the costs. See table
12.
Table 12 Cultural Variables
Vo
tin
g
Attenda L
tur Nu
nce at eis F
no mbe
Facto commu Fact ure act
ut Factor r of
Commun r ne or tim or FL
(% loadin Aas
e loadi meeting load e loa SUM
of g soci
ng (as % of ing (ho din
tot atio
househ urs g
al ns
olds) )
vot
ers
)
Giai Pham 99 1 94 1 6 1 5 0.9 3.90
Tran Cao 99 1 90 0.94 6 1 4.5 0.8 3.74
Thach
78 0.38 92 0.97 5 0.8 4 0.7 2.85
Khoi
Dien
83 0.53 88 0.90 5 0.8 5.5 1 3.23
Duong
Hoa Tien 87 0.65 85 0.85 6 1 5 0.9 3.40
An Phu 84 0.56 87 0.89 5 0.8 4 0.7 2.95
Lam Ha 79 0.41 82 0.81 4 0.6 4.5 0.8 2.62
Cam
82 0.5 90 0.94 6 1 3 0.5 2.94
Chau
Hoa
86 0.62 84 0.84 4 0.6 4 0.7 2.76
Phong
Dong tam 81 0.47 79 0.76 6 1 5 0.9 3.13
38
An Vinh
79 0.41 80 0.77 5 0.8 3.5 0.6 2.56
Ngai
Loc Thai 88 0.68 69 0.59 4 0.6 5 0.9 2.77
Hoa Qui 89 0.71 74 0.68 5 0.8 4 0.7 2.88
Trung
79 0.41 68 0.58 4 0.6 3 0.5 2.09
Luong
An Ngai 85 0.59 70 0.61 5 0.8 4.5 0.8 2.80
Tho Binh 78 0.38 66 0.55 4 0.6 3 0.5 2.03
Dang le 79 0.41 58 0.42 5 0.8 3 0.5 2.13
An Vy 86 0.62 60 0.45 3 0.4 2.5 0.4 1.87
Hung
79 0.41 52 0.32 3 0.4 3 0.5 1.63
Thang
Cao Son 78 0.38 49 0.27 3 0.4 2 0.3 1.36
An Tuong 8 0.53 44 0.19 4 0.6 2.5 0.4 1.72
Tien
79 0.41 48 0.26 5 0.8 1 0.1 1.57
Ngoai
An Linh 77 0.35 56 0.39 2 0.2 2 0.3 1.24
Hoa Xuan 81 0.47 49 0.27 4 0.6 2 0.3 1.64
Tien
76 0.32 58 0.42 3 0.4 1.5 0.2 1.34
Thanh
Tan
76 0.32 54 0.35 2 0.2 1 0.1 0.98
Chanh
Khanh
75 0.29 39 0.11 3 0.4 0.5 0 0.81
Binh
Duc Binh
68 0.09 42 0.16 1 0 0.5 0 0.25
Tay
Phuoc
65 0 32 0 2 0.2 1 0.1 0.30
Duc
Don Nhan 75 0.29 36 0.06 1 0 0.5 0 0.36
39
Figure 8 Economic development and GDR impact
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
.8
.6
ECONOMIC
.4
.2
-.2 0.0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1.0 1.2
IMPACT
40
Figure 9 Political culture and GDR impact
1
CULTURE
0
-.2 0.0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1.0 1.2
IMPACT
41
V - CConclusion and Policy implications
This study tried to quantify the impact of GDR and its
relations with economic and cultural factors in rural areas of
Vietnam. The study conducted a survey of a range of
communes from the North, the Central, and the South regions
of Vietnam. The result showed some interesting facts:
1 – The GDR had a marked positive impact in all
communes over the period from 1998 to 2005. This showed
that the demand of the people for a more involvements in
public decision – making process is high, and GDR partly
satisfied this demand.
2 - Despite the similarity in local government structure,
there were significant difference in the level of GDR impact,
even among communes from the same province.
3 – The different regions, especially the North and the
South, having different historical political development, did
not show difference in GDR impact.
4 – Economic development level, contrary to our
expectation, did not reveal any clear pattern of correlation
with GDR impact. The difference in GDR impact is better
explained by differences in political and social traditions of
interaction
The results of the study also suggest direction for further
policy improvements regarding the democratization process
in Vietnam.
1) To increase the positive impact of GDR and limit its
undesirable effects in general, the focus should be placed
more on the access to information and the open exchange of
knowledge and opinion. It is true that with economic growth
42
and better income, the demand for and the access to
information will improve in general. However, in the current
conditions of rapid development of IT and internet, the access
to information and knowledge can be granted to even the
poorest village in the mountainous areas with low costs.
Since this may not be profitable financially, this should be
done by the government especially in rural, remote and
mountainous areas, where the people income is still at low
level, the private sector companies can not exploit the
economy of scale and economy of scope.
43
In theory, both economic and political factors should
count for significant variance of GDR impact, but that is not
true in our case. While the political culture seem to be much
more influent, the economic development level seems to be
neutral to the magnitude of GDR impact. In other words, it is
contemporary civic engagement , not economic development,
that directly affect the capability of commune government to
make GDR work practically. More important, civic engagement
may have powerful consequences for economic development
, not vice-versa.
Finally, if evidence suggest that civic engagement counts
for the most important part of our story, answering the
question of how to develop civic culture among commune
community can be seen as the key for a sustainable GDR in
the future. The civic culture, in its turn, requires a long-term
perspective in social planning and development. Its would
need sustainable and system-wide reform programs at all
levels and all sectors. Despite that, in the short term, there
are many aspects the governments can do to improve the
situation, among which the most important are the
promotion of discussion and information sharing, the
promotion of transparency in decision making
VI - References
1. Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV), 2001. Van kien Dai
hoi dai bieu toan quoc lan thu IX. (Documents of the
Ninth National Party Congress). Nxb CTQG, Hanoi.
44
2. Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV), 2003. Tong ket 5
nam thuc hien Quy che dan chu o co so. (Report on 5
years of GDR implementation)
3. Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV), 2006. Van kien Dai
hoi dai bieu toan quoc lan thu X. (Documents of the
Tenth National Party Congress). Nxb CTQG, Hanoi.
4. Nguyen Van Sau & Ho Van Thong (ed.), 2003. Thuc Hien
quy che dan chu va xay dung chinh quyen cap xa o nuoc
ta hien nay (Implementing grassroots democracy and
building commune authority in Vietnam today), Nha Xuat
Ban Chinh Tri Quoc Gia (The National Political Publishing
House), Hanoi.
5. -----, 2005. The che dan chu va phat trien nong thon
Vietnam hien nay (Grassroots democracy Institution and
development of Rural Vietnam today), Nha Xuat Ban
Chinh Tri Quoc Gia (The National Political Publishing
House), Hanoi
6. Government of Vietnam (GOV), 1998. Decree No.
29/1998/ND-CP dated 15 May 1998, Regulations on the
ExeciseExercise of Democracy in Communes
7. ----, 2003. Decree No. 79/2003/ND-CP dated July 7, 2003,
Promulgating the Regulation on the Exercise of
Democracy in Communes
8. World Bank, 1999. Attacking Poverty, Vietnam
Development Report 2000. Hanoi.
9. ------, 2000. Vietnam 2010 : Entering the 21st Century, Hanoi.
45
APPENDIX 1 - DETAILED CALCULATION OF GDR IMPACT
IN EACH COMMUNE
GDR effect
District- GDR effect
Commune coefficient
Province value GDR impact
(standardized
to 0-1 scale)
46
11-4 0.62637 4.3845
5-2 0.06593 0.1977
8-4 0.18681 0.7472
3-1 0.01098 0.0219
Lam Ha Phu ly- Ha Nam
(2+3)-(1+1) 0.17582 0.5274
4-2 0 0
(15+19)-(17+4) 1 13
Sum 18.878
12-4 0.62637 5.0109
6-3 0.06593 0.1977
8-4 0.18681 0.7472
Hoi an -Quang 2-1 0.01098 0.0109
Cam Chau
Nam (2+3)-(0+0) 0.17582 0.8791
3-2 0 0
(19+16)-(18+7) 1 10
Sum 16.767
14-6 0.62637 5.0109
5-2 0.06593 0.1977
6-4 0.18681 0.3736
Hoa Vang - 2-0 0.01098 0.0219
Hoa Phong
Quang nam (2+1)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.3516
2-3 0 0
(21+15)-(20+6) 1 10
Sum 15.956
15-4 0.62637 6.8901
5-3 0.06593 0.1318
6-2 0.18681 0.7472
Dong Phu- Binh 2-0 0.01098 0.0219
Dong tam
Phuoc (1+3)-(0+0) 0.17582 0.7032
4-3 0 0
(20+16)-(20+7) 1 9
Sum 17.494
15-4 0.62637 6.8901
5-3 0.06593 0.1318
6-3 0.18681 0.5604
2-0 0.01098 0.0219
An Vinh Ngai Tan An- Long An
(2+3)-(2+1) 0.17582 0.3516
4-1 0 0
(18+17)-(17+6) 1 12
Sum 19.956
13-3 0.62637 6.2637
5-3 0.06593 0.1318
5-1 0.18681 0.7472
Loc Ninh - Binh 2-2 0.01098 0
Loc Thai
Phuoc (3+0)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.3516
4-2 0 0
(19+17)-(17+4) 1 15
Sum 22.494
13-2 0.62637 6.8901
5-3 0.06593 0.1318
6-4 0.18681 0.3736
Hoa Vang- Quang 3-2 0.01098 0.0109
Hoa Qui
Nam (3+1)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.5274
3-2 0 0
(18+14)-(16+6) 1 10
Sum 17.934
47
12-3 0.62637 5.6373
6-3 0.06593 0.1977
5-2 0.18681 0.5604
Binh Luc- Ha
Trung Luong 3-2 0.01098 0.0109
Nam
(2+2)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.5274
3-2 0 0
(20+15)-(19+6) 1 10
Sum 16.934
11-3 0.62637 5.0109
5-1 0.06593 0.2637
7-2 0.18681 0.9340
Long Bien- Vung
An Ngai 3-1 0.01098 0.0219
Tau
(2+2)-(2+0) 0.17582 0.3516
3-2 0 0
(20+17)-(16+6) 1 15
Sum 21.582
12-3 0.62637 5.6373
5-2 0.06593 0.1977
7-2 0.18681 0.9340
Chiem Hoa- 3-1 0.01098 0.0219
Tho Binh
Tuyen Quang (3+1)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.5274
4-3 0 0
(19+15)-(16+7) 1 11
Sum 18.318
14-4 0.62637 6.2637
5-3 0.06593 0.1318
6-4 0.18681 0.3736
2-2 0.01098 0
Dang le An Thi- Hung Yen
(3+1)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.5274
3-2 0 0
(18+16)-(15+7) 1 12
Sum 19.296
10-3 0.62637 6.2637
3-2 0.06593 0.0659
6-4 0.18681 0.3736
Khoai Chau- 3-2 0.01098 0.0109
An Vy
Hung Yen (2+3)-(1+1) 0.17582 0.5274
4-3 0 0
(19+15)-(18+4) 1 12
Sum 19.242
11-5 0.62637 3.7582
3-1 0.06593 0.1318
6-3 0.18681 0.5604
Binh Giang- Hai 3-1 0.01098 0.0219
Hung Thang
Duong (3+1)-(0+2) 0.17582 0.3516
3-1 0 0
(16+17)-(18+4) 1 11
Sum 15.824
8-3 0.62637 3.1318
3-2 0.06593 0.0659
4-2 0.18681 0.3736
Cam Giang- Hai 2-2 0.01098 0
Cao Son
Duong (1+2)-(0+0) 0.17582 0.5274
3-3 0 0
(17+17)-(16+6) 1 12
Sum 16.098
48
11-3 0.62637 5.0109
3-2 0.06593 0.0659
7-4 0.18681 0.5604
Yen Son- Tuyen 2-0 0.01098 0.0219
An Tuong
Quang (3+2)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.7032
4-1 0 0
(17+18)-(16+4) 1 15
Sum 21.362
11-4 0.62637 4.3845
3-2 0.06593 0.0659
5-3 0.18681 0.3736
Duy Tien- Ha 2-2 0.01098 0
Tien Ngoai
Nam (3+2)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.7032
4-1 0 0
(18+13)-(17+5) 1 9
Sum 14.527
10-4 0.62637 3.7582
5-1 0.06593 0.2637
3-3 0.18681 0
2-1 0.01098 0.0109
An Linh Tuy An- Phu Yen
(3+0)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.3516
4-2 0 0
(20+14)-(17+7) 1 10
Sum 14.384
8-4 0.62637 2.5054
4-3 0.06593 0.0659
6-3 0.18681 0.5604
Hoa Vang- Da 2-1 0.01098 0.0109
Hoa Xuan
Nang (3+1)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.5274
3-2 0 0
(21+14)-(19+5) 1 11
Sum 14.67
5-2 0.62637 1.8791
4-3 0.06593 0.0659
7-2 0.18681 0.9340
Dong Xoai- Binh 2-0 0.01098 0.0219
Tien Thanh
Phuoc (2+3)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.7032
3-2 0 0
(18+14)-(17+5) 1 10
Sum 13.604
5-3 0.62637 1.2527
3-3 0.06593 0
6-2 0.18681 0.7472
Can Duoc - Long 3-0 0.01098 0.0329
Tan Chanh
An (1+3)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.5274
3-1 0 0
(19+13)-(16+7) 1 9
Sum 11.560
3-3 0.62637 0
3-3 0.06593 0
5-3 0.18681 0.3736
Thu Dau mot- 2-1 0.01098 0.0109
Khanh Binh
Binh Duong (0+3)-(0+0) 0.17582 0.5274
2-3 0 0
(19+15)-(16+4) 1 14
Sum 14.912
49
9-2 0.62637 4.3845
3-2 0.06593 0.0659
2-1 0.18681 0.1868
Song Hinh- Phu 3-1 0.01098 0.0219
Duc Binh Tay
Yen (3+1)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.5274
4-1 0 0
(18+14)-(17+6) 1 9
Sum 14.186
4-2 0.62637 1.2527
4-1 0.06593 0.1977
4-1 0.18681 0.5604
Phuoc Son-
Phuoc Duc 3-0 0.01098 0.0329
Quang Nam
(2+1)-(1+0) 0.17582 0.3516
3-2 0 0
(17+14)-(17+6) 1 8
Sum 10.395
4-2 0.62637 1.2527
5-2 0.06593 0.1977
2-2 0.18681 0
Lap Thach- Vinh
Don Nhan 2-0 0.01098 0.0219
Phuc
(3+1)-(0+1) 0.17582 0.5274
4-1 0 0
(21+15)-(18+6) 1 12
Sum 13.999
50