Religiosity and Financial Distress in U.S. Firms: Ines Gharbi - Mounira Hamed-Sidhom - Khaled Hussainey - Janet Ganouati
Religiosity and Financial Distress in U.S. Firms: Ines Gharbi - Mounira Hamed-Sidhom - Khaled Hussainey - Janet Ganouati
Religiosity and Financial Distress in U.S. Firms: Ines Gharbi - Mounira Hamed-Sidhom - Khaled Hussainey - Janet Ganouati
DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1994
RESEARCH ARTICLE
1
Faculty of Economic Sciences and
Management of Tunis, UR17ES07 FCF
Abstract
Research Unit, University of Tunis El In our paper, we test the global impact of religiosity on firm's durability. Given
Manar, Tunis, Tunisia that religious firms are more ethics and take less risk, they avoid the costs of
2
Faculty of Business and Law, University
misconduct, and they benefit from the good reputation and the excellent rela-
of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
3
BADEM Lab, Tunis Business School,
tionship with their stakeholders. So, we predict that higher degrees of religios-
Université de Tunis, Tunis, Tunisia ity can reduce the financial distress. According to this prediction, we detect
4
LEM CNRS UMR 9221, Université de that corporates headquarters situated in more religious U.S. counties are prob-
Lille, Faculté des Sciences Économiques ably less to suffer from financial problems. We also note that this negative rela-
et Sociales, Université des Sciences et
Technologies de Lille, Lille, France tion becomes stronger during the crisis period. We conclude that the lack of
religiosity is a significant cause of the financial difficulty.
Correspondence
Janet Ganouati, BADEM Lab, Tunis KEYWORDS
Business School, Université de Tunis,
Ethics, financial distress, religiosity, risk aversion
n 65 Bir El Kassaa 2059, Tunis Tunisia.
Email: [email protected]
Int J Fin Econ. 2020;1–14. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/ijfe © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 1
2 GHARBI ET AL.
Qian, 2018). Ahmed, Loh, and Zairi (1999) defined cor- crisis. Moreover, until now, media coverage accuses the
porate culture as “the pattern of arrangement, material human nature. (Sonad, 2018).
or behaviour which has been adopted by a society Giving that religiosity decreases the risk preferences
(corporation, group, or team) as the accepted way of of managers (He & Hu, 2016) and in the other hand, this
solving problems.” However, how religious attitudes risk preference promotes the corporate's risk-taking
affect corporate behaviour is not well assumed. behaviour (Adhikari & Agrawal, 2016) it is fascinating to
Lagace (2001) consider the combination of personal see if religious firms have been able to overcome finan-
religious values with organizational behaviour is one cial problems in the period of crisis.
of the areas of research that are not sufficiently inves- Finally, according to the analyses conducted by
tigated. Many studies argue that firms located in more Moody's Analytics about the states in recession1 and the
religious areas are less likely to be implicated in survey of Gallup2 concerning the most and the least reli-
accounting fraud, tax avoidance, and stock price gious states in the United States in 2008, three remarks
crashes (Boone, Khurana, & Raman, 2013; Callen & can be detected. First, the impact of the financial crisis
Fang, 2015; Grullon, Kanatas, & Weston, 2010; depends on the geographic locations. So, some states had a
McGuire, Omer, & Sharp, 2012). tolerable expansion. Nevertheless, others were in a reces-
This paper expands on this area of research by explor- sion. Then, the religiosity in the U.S. context varies from
ing how local religious norms are a kind of social influ- state to state. For this reason, many papers treated the
ence affecting the firm's durability. Specifically, we impact of religiosity on corporate behaviour in the
examine whether religious social norms have an impact U.S. context. These papers overcome the problem linked
on financial distress in the United States. to the international context. In fact, studying the effect of
Three factors motivate this study. religion on a firm's decisions like earning manipulations
First is the lack of research on the effect of religiosity in the international context (Kanagaretnam et al. 2014)
on the financial distress. The earlier research treated the will create a significant problem. In this case, it is compli-
relation between individual religiosity and risk aversion cated to separate the effect of the country's legal and insti-
at the individual level such as Ahmad (1973) and tutional characteristics from the impact of religiosity. So,
Rokeach (1968). At a later stage, many papers discussed studying the effect of religiosity in the U.S. context allows
how individual religiosity affects corporate behaviour. us to control the relationship. Moreover, it is a very rich
Hilary and Hui (2009) studied the relation between religi- context for testing our hypotheses, and it contains
osity and making decision in U.S. firms. Adhikari and 11 nations with different cultures (Speiser, 2015).
Agrawal (2016) examined whether the risk preferences of Third, in 2008, the most religious states had a tolera-
managers influence a bank's risk-taking behaviour. ble expansion such as Texas with 74% of religious resi-
Grullon et al. (2010) treat the relation between religiosity dents, Alabama with 82% of religious residents and
and excessive compensation. Other papers report a con- Oklahoma with 75% of religious residents. However, the
nection between religiosity and the firm's decisions such least religious states were in a recession like Nevada with
as leverage, tax avoidance, accounting manipulation, but 54% religious residents and Massachusetts with 48% reli-
studying the consequences of these behaviours on the gious residents. So, it is very interesting to study the
financial health of the company is not very explored impact of religiosity on a firm's financial distress.
except the paper of Callen and Fang (2015) which investi- Our paper extends the literature by providing new
gates the relation between religiosity and future stock evidence regarding the role of religiosity in the economy.
price crash risk. If religiosity has an impact on the finan- First, our study on religiosity complements the papers
cial health of the firms, it would be beneficial to dealing with the importance of psychological skills in
standard-setters, investors, and regulators to take into corporate decisions such as CEO overconfidence (Leng,
consideration this factor (Barro & McCleary, 2003; Guiso, Trzeciakiewicz, & Ozkan, 2018) and CEO narcissism
Sapienza, & Zingales, 2006). (Rijsenbilt & Commandeur, 2013). Second, studying the
Second, according to a survey conducted by effect of religiosity on corporate financial health consti-
PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Economist Intelligence tutes a global view of the importance of social norms and
Unit in 2008, 73% of participants find that culture and complements the previous papers which take a single
excessive risk taking are the most important causes of impact of religiosity like Hilary and Hui (2009), Adhikari
financial crisis. Furthermore, in a testimony to the and Agrawal (2016), Li, Wang, and Wang (2017).
U.S. House of Representatives, Lo (2008) says “…the ulti- We note that firms located in more religious regions
mate origin of the crisis may be human behavior….” are less likely to have financial distress; according to the
Indeed, it seems that human behaviours could explain view that local religiosity induces a risk-averse corporate
the firms' risk-taking behaviour during the financial culture and a high degree of ethics. In particular, local
GHARBI ET AL. 3
religiosity negatively influences financial distress mea- Social norms are reinforced by the social proof heuris-
sured by the inverse of Altman Z-score. This negative tic (Cialdini, 1993). This psychological phenomenon stip-
relation becomes stronger in the financial crisis of 2008. ulates that individuals follow the surrounding people
This finding is coherent with the view that firms with because they believe that the dominant group has more
religious culture are less susceptible to crisis. Our results knowledge about the correct behaviour (Cialdini, 1993).
still robust when we use the revised Atman Z" score as a Therefore, geographic locations with strong religious
proxy for financial distress. beliefs increase the likelihood that managers are affected
This paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews by religious social norms (Kennedy & Lawton, 1998).
the social norm theory and the literature on the associa- In the beginning, researches in finance and account-
tion between religiosity and financial distress. Section 3 ing ignored the effect of human behaviour on the firm
presents the data and variables. Empirical results are pro- policies. After that, growing literature suggests that the
vided in Section 4. Section 5 reports robustness checks. human aspect was a missing link in the corporate mak-
Finally, Section 6 concludes. ing decisions (Bertrand & Schoar, 2003; Malmendier,
Tate, & Yan, 2011). Indeed, the first paper investigates
the effect of local religiosity on firm profitability and risk
2 | L I T E R A T U R E R EVI E W A N D aversion was the work of Hilary and Hui (2009). Then,
HYPOTHESES DEVELOPMENT researches were interested in the impact of religiosity on
the financial reporting quality (Dyreng et al., 2012; Li
There is two stream of research explain the relationship et al., 2017; McGuire et al., 2012), on the excessive com-
between religion and economic. The first one is macroeco- pensation (Grullon et al., 2010), on the risk aversion
nomic. It relates religion to economic growth and higher (Gao, Wang, & Zhao, 2017; He & Hu, 2016), on the crash
per capita income (Barro & McCleary, 2003; Guiso, risk (Callen & Fang, 2015), on the credit rating and debt
Sapienza, & Zingales, 2003), explains how a country's prin- cost (Jiang et al., 2018).
cipal religion predicts the cross-country variations in All these researches highlight the importance of reli-
investor protection (Stulz & Williamson, 2003) and docu- giosity on the corporate policies and decisions. This effect
ments that sharing the same religion can promote the for- can influence the durability of the firm. Indeed, the liter-
eign direct investments between two countries (Guiso, ature demonstrates that some traits of CEO affect the
Sapienza, & Zingales, 2009). This stream of literature financial distress: overconfidence increases the financial
explains the role played by religion in the economic failure (Leng et al., 2018), CEO narcissism has a positive
growth. The second stream describes how individual relationship with accounting manipulation (Rijsenbilt &
behaviours conducted by beliefs and ideologies affect Commandeur, 2013).
financial behaviours (Hirshleifer, 2014). In this case, we The literature has focused on two characteristics
talk about religiosity and not religion. In fact, the level of about firms located in regions with high religiosity (Jiang
religiosity in the United States counties explains the corpo- et al., 2018): ethics (Duarte, Siegel, & Young, 2012; Li
rate behaviours in U.S. firms: risk exposures (Hilary & et al., 2017) and risk aversion (He & Hu, 2016).
Hui, 2009), quality of financial reporting (Dyreng, May-
ew, & Williams, 2012; McGuire et al., 2012; Li et al., 2017),
and unethical misconducts (Grullon et al., 2010). 3 | ETHICS
Departing from the idea that corporate decisions are
made by individuals, not firms (Hilary & Hui, 2009), the Many papers find that religious firms have a lower
social norm theory predicts that the dominant norms and accounting manipulation, a lower tax avoidance, a higher
beliefs in the geographic location of the firms influence accounting conservatism (Li et al., 2017). Moreover,
the decision made by managers. In other words, religious Omer, Sharp, and Wang (2016) provide evidence that
standards will affect the behaviour of managers even they religiosity influences auditor opinions.
may or may not be religious because these latter live and This ethical behaviour is essential for many reasons.
operate in an environment which social rules of the local First, it can prevent the damage related to misconduct
population constitute an essential element (Cialdini & behaviour. Indeed, there is a negative relation between
Goldstein, 2004; Sunstein, 1996). earning management and firm performance (Fairfield,
Indeed, individuals desire to comply with the con- Whisenant, & Yohn, 2003) and a negative relation
ducts of the others because they want to avoid the between tax avoidance and stock price (Hanlon &
expenses or penalties associated with rejecting the stan- Slemrod, 2009). Regarding that firms located in more reli-
dards or beliefs that are considered admissible or suitable gious counties are less likely to experience accounting
for the local people (Sunstein, 1996). fraud due to the importance of social norms in the
4 GHARBI ET AL.
F I G U R E 1 Theoretical
framework of our research
uncertainty. For this reason, they take less risk and they and 2010. Following Hilary and Hui (2009), we obtain
prefer a lower return with a known risk. In the same estimates for the intermediate years by linearly interpo-
way, Adhikari and Agrawal (2016) note the negative rela- lating the decennial data.
tionship between religiosity and bank risk taking The locations of firms' headquarters are obtained
becomes more intense during the crisis of 1998 and from COMPUSTAT to match firm and county-level data.
2007–08. Banks in more religious areas are more attached However, the number of observations is very low. We
to their culture and behaviours during the crisis, and they determine the location of missing firms manually by
learn from the financial troubles. matching postal code and state.i We exclude all financial
services (two-digit SIC codes between 60 and 69) from
H2 The negative relation between financial distress and the sample because high leverage in financial firms does
religiosity becomes stronger during the crisis. not have the same meaning in the others firms (Fama &
French, 1992). Our sample period is from 1974 through
2010. Our analysis includes 8,333 firms and 78,317 firm-
5 | S AM PL E A ND M E AS UR E O F years of observations.
R E L I G I O S I T Y AN D F I N A N C I A L
DISTRESS
5.1 | Measuring religiosity
To test these hypotheses, we use COMPUSTAT North
America. We focus only on U.S. firms for the same reason Following Hilary and Hui (2009), we estimate the religios-
presented by Hilary and Hui (2009) and Adhikari and ity of a firm by the ratio of religious members to the popu-
Agrawal (2016). Basically, religiosity differs from county to lation of the county where the firm is headquartered. Two
another in the United States. So, we can isolate the impact reasons can explain the efficacy of this ratio. First, in
of a country's legal and institutional characteristics from United States, employees are likely to work in their local
the effect of religiosity. We consider a firm's location as the communities. So, firms located in religious areas have a
location of its headquarters. Pirinsky and Wang (2006) great proportion of religious employees. Second, according
suggest that headquarters are usually close to a firm's main to social norm theory, people tend to follow the dominant
activities. Also, following prior studies, we admit a conta- beliefs and the behaviour of people around them.
gion effect of local norms. Individuals are affected by the
dominant local culture even if they do not share it.
Data on religiosity took from the Churches and 5.2 | Measuring financial distress
Church Membership files of the American Religion Data
Archive (ARDA) website, which has county-level religion The measure of financial trouble is based on the Altman
statistics on Judeo-Christian bodies every 10 years. Religi- Z-score (Altman, 1968). In fact, financial ratios have a
osity data is available for five years 1971, 1980, 1990, 2000 high probability to predict corporate failure.
6 GHARBI ET AL.
TABLE 3 Frequency of audit opinion (significant at the 1% level). However, when we introduce
Opinion Freq. Percentage Cum.
religiosity, the coefficient of “religiosity*crisis_2008” is
negative and statistically significant. Consistent with our
0 216 0.28 0.28
hypothesis, this result suggests that firms in more reli-
1 55,110 70.37 70.64 gious areas exhibit lower financial distress in the finan-
2 2,373 3.03 73.67 cial crisis of 2008.
3 129 0.16 73.84 In others terms, religiosity constituted a solution to
4 20,486 26.16 100.00 curb the financial problems during the crisis.
5 3 0.00 100.00 This result confirms the idea that financial system
in the United States has a lack of ethics. Nelson (2017)
Total 78,317 100.00
notes that the financial crisis had a religious origin. In
the same way, Lewis, Kay, Kelso, and Larson (2010)
consider that the lack of morals caused the financial
lawsuits costs. In the same order of idea, Leventis, crisis. So, religious firms are less likely to suffer from
Dedoulis, and Abdelsalam (2018) find that religious firms financial problems in 2008 than the others firms
are less likely to have agency costs. For this reason, the because they have more ethics and less risk taking.
audit pricing is negatively related to religiosity. Adhikari and Agrawal (2016) note that banks in more
The second line of research is related to the good rep- religious counties are less likely to take risk in the
utation of religious firms. In fact, trust constitutes a guar- period of crisis than the others banks and conse-
antee for many stakeholders. For example, Kim quently, they are less likely to have troubles.
et al. (2018) consider that religiosity favourize a corporate
social responsibility, He and Hu (2016) suggest that reli-
gious firms have a favourite loan conditions, and El 7.2 | Robustness
Ghoul, Guedhami, Ni, Pittman, and Saadi (2012) find
that religious firms benefit from a lower cost of equity We next conduct a set of robustness test to verify if our
than the no religious firms. All these arguments argue finding persists. For this reason, we utilize another mea-
that the good image of religious firms offer them a great sure of financial distress: the revised Altman Z" score. In
work conditions and then a good performance. fact, the original Altman Z-score was used for manufactur-
The objective of Panel B is to see the effect of religios- ing firms. For this reason, in 1995, Altman was introduced
ity in the period of crisis. For this reason, we present this a revised score to fit different sectors.
variable “religiosity*crisis_2008.” We note that the vari- The difference between Z-score and Z" is the elimination
able “year2008” is positively related to financial distress of the ratio sales/total assets. In fact, this ratio varies in the
GHARBI ET AL. 9
Pairwise correlations
Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
(1) z_score_1968 1.000
(2) religiosity −0.005 1.000
0.185
(3) leverage 0.504 0.032 1.000
0.000 0.000
(4) size 0.010 0.043 0.081 1.000
0.006 0.000 0.000
(5) population 0.046 0.034 −0.033 0.042 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(6) Percapita income 0.120 0.092 −0.049 0.083 0.188 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(7) Male_female 0.046 −0.437 −0.044 −0.062 0.039 0.175 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(8) married −0.101 −0.103 −0.031 −0.140 −0.442 −0.334 0.281 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(9) education 0.066 0.068 −0.075 0.053 0.191 0.799 0.082 −0.184 1.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(10) Auditor_opinion 0.216 0.012 0.134 0.085 0.046 0.292 0.069 −0.156 0.171 1.000
0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
financial stability of U.S. firms and especially in the argue that the religion has an impact on the growth rate in
period of crisis. United States and Guiso et al. (2008) explain why the reli-
gion similarity between two countries facilities the trade vol-
ume. Another line of research was developed to explain
8 | C ON C L U S I ON the impact of religiosity on the financial and investment
decisions due to ethics and risk aversion. Moreover, some
Religiosity seems to be very important in the economic researches find that religiosity has an impact on stock
development of the countries. Rupasingha and Chilton (2009) price crash risk (Callen & Fang, 2015). In other word, it
GHARBI ET AL. 11
influences the firm's continuity. So, it is interesting to see after controlling a set of county-level characteristics and
if the financial troubles are also related to the religiosity of firm-level variables. Moreover, these results persist after
the firm. Many papers discussed the causes of financial using the modified Z" instead of the original Altman Z-
trouble like leverage, tax avoidance, accounting manipula- score as a measure of financial distress.
tion. However, these causes are driven by the human Our study implies the importance of religiosity. In
behaviour. This paper contributes to the literature by dis- fact, it determines the financial stability of the firm. So,
covering the effect of religiosity on the financial distress of without ethics and with a lot of risk, firms can disappear.
U.S. firms. Using 78,317 observations, we find that the reli- Our finding extends the previous papers. First, it com-
giosity influences negatively the financial difficulty. This pletes the line of research about the role played by a
result becomes stronger in the crisis period, especially in behavioural factor such as religiosity which composed by
the crisis of 2008. This negative relation remains robust values and beliefs. Second, it explains another cause of
12 GHARBI ET AL.
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emy of Management Review, 27(1), 77–97.
Measures Sources
Dependent variable ZSCORE_1968: COMPUSTAT North America
Z score_1968 = 0 if Z > 3, Z
score_1968 = 1 if 1.81 <Z< 2.99 and
Z score_1968 = 2 if Z < 1.81,
Independent variable
Religiosity Ratio of religious members to the American religion data archive (ARDA)
population of the county where the website
firm is headquartered
Control variables
County-level demographic Population: Natural logarithm of Total U.S. Census Bureau
characteristics population of the county.
Education: Proportion of county
population above age 25 that has
completed a bachelor's degree or
higher.
Income: Natural logarithm of the per
capita personal income.
Male–female ratio: Measured as the
male population to the female
population.
Married: The percentage of married
people in the county
Leverage Ratio of total debt/total assets COMPUSTAT North America
Size Natural logarithm of total assets COMPUSTAT North America
Audit opinion 0 financial statements are unaudited COMPUSTAT North America
1 unqualified opinion.
2 qualified opinion.
3 no opinion.
4 unqualified opinion with explanatory
language.
5 adverse opinion. Auditor has
expressed an adverse opinion
regarding the financial statements of
the company
Yr Year dummy variables COMPUSTAT North America
Ind Industry dummy variables