Risk Management Plan & Business Continuity Management: PMN607 - Assessment Item 2
Risk Management Plan & Business Continuity Management: PMN607 - Assessment Item 2
Risk Management Plan & Business Continuity Management: PMN607 - Assessment Item 2
&
Report
Hammad
Registration No.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary.................................................................................................3
1. Introduction.......................................................................................................4
References..............................................................................................................26
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Executive Summary
This report evaluates the risk factor in a project undertaken by the company Quaid-e-Azam Solar
Power (Private) Limited which is public sector for-profit organization established in Pakistan. The
company has undertaken a project to build a solar power plant, Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park (“QSP”),
in the region near Bahawalpur and has conducted a feasibility study, site evaluation, probabilistic
performance analysis, and a study of possibility of public-private sector partnership on the project.
Based on these studies performed, in this report a risk management plan and business continuity
report has been consolidated to identify key risks involved in the project, the stakeholders affected
by these risks, and the existing and possible risk mitigation strategies to be employed that can
ensure success of the project.
Renewable energy is a growing trend in the world as the traditional energy sources such as oil and
its derivatives, coal etc. are depleting fast due to ever expanding demand. Pakistan, being a
developing economy, is already struggling to fulfill the energy and power supply demands of the
country and its population. Energy and fuel source being at the core of any economy’s development
and success, it is crucial for Pakistan to come up with projects for renewable energy in order to
provide sustainability to its economy. Since this is a project that involves public interest, requires a
significant amount of investment in the infrastructure alone, will have a positive impact on the
environment, and will play a pivotal role in the development of Pakistan and its standing and
performance in the region, it is also extremely important for the project to be successful and
profitable. This project is expected to add to the energy sector in three phases starting with 100
MW, then 300 MW and finally 600 MW. The project is expected to cost USD 150 million and will
be sourced 25% from equity by the project owners and 75% through debt financing.
This report will focus on key areas highlighting the risks involved in the planning, approvals,
financing, acquisitions, constructions, testing, commissioning, and operations of the project through
the stages.
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
1. Introduction
Pakistan is one of developing countries with estimated population of 22 Million [ CITATION Pak17 \l
1033 ]. The energy demand is increasing rapidly with the increase in the population. Pakistan is
mainly dependent upon on Hydel Power plants to meet its energy demands. The present energy
demand of Pakistan is around 18,908 Megawatts which is fulfilled by different power generation
methods. The share of different power generation modes is as follows:
In the present scenario, there is no substantial share of solar energy in fulfilling energy demand of
Pakistan, despite the fact that Pakistan has huge potential for renewable energy sources with an
average solar global insolation of 5–7 kWh/m2/day and average wind speed of around 6-8 m/s
[ CITATION MMe09 \l 1033 ] in coastal areas of Pakistan. In purview of this, a project is initiated after
keen deliberation and after carrying number of feasibilities to construct 1000 MW solar Park named
as Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park (QSP) in Cholistan desert, of district Bahawalpur of Punjab. It is to be
built on Public Private Partnership (PPP) mode in which 25 equity will be inserted by the
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Government itself, while rest 75 % will be taken as load from a consortium of banks. The project is
planned to be executed in three phases, which are as follows:
100 MW
300 MW
600 MW
In addition to this, other solar energy projects are also planned in the coming years with an aim to
shift towards renewable energy sources to fulfill around 30 % of the energy demand by 2030. The
Risk Management report aim to identify and propose a mitigation strategy for all the potential risks
which are likely to be encountered during different phases of the project. In order to identify risks,
all demographic related to projects are analyze to figure out different possible risk events. The risk
events are further categorized based on their sensitivity and chance of occurrence. Such risk events
are analyzed on the basis of predefined criteria. Further to this Mitigation strategy is formalized to
handle such risk events.
Project Scope – to provide risk management plan for solar park and its major milestones
including providing a detailed risk register consisting of business, program, and project level
risks.
Context of the project – being a public sector project, the stakeholders of the project are far
and wide including the direct investors, the management staff, and employees being internal
stakeholders. While the Government of Pakistan, financial institutions lending for the
project, general public of Pakistan, direct potential customers, population surrounding the
site being external but direct stakeholders.
Risk Analysis criteria - Risk events are required to be analyzed as per predefined criteria
which is dependent upon the nature of the project and interest of stakeholders. Risk analysis
criteria form the basis of parameters through which each risk events is to be analyzed in
terms of its severity and extent of occurrence.
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Risk Identification – Project milestones are studied and all the possible risk are identified.
There are three types of risks which may be associated to the project i.e. Business/ corporate
level risk, program level risk and project level risk.
Risk Analysis – After identification of risk, they are analyzed for as per defined criteria. All
such risks are categorized and their impact on different stages of the project is figured out.
Risk Mitigation – After risk analysis, the mitigation strategy is prepared to cater for the
effects of all types of risks.
Governance structure
The Investors
Acquisition of land and materials
HR policies
Financial and operational audits
Contractors
Information technology
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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1.3. Risk Analysis Criteria
Risk
Risk Context Area of concern / Description Analysis Criteria
Appetite
Governance Involving public sector investors or politically Independence of the governing body Low
Structure motivated individuals can skew the decisions and from political parties
governance of the project as per the current political Public sector stake in the project
agendas. This can cause severe confusion in the Existence of manual or procedures to
intended direction of the project and may result in be followed for decision and policy
hiring of unqualified individuals just to gain political making
advantage. Clear defined goals and objectives of
the project and assessment criteria
that each policy or decision must
fulfill
Investors The investors will bring significant investments from Continually reassessed profitability Medium
personal and other sources to fund the project up to The risks taken and sources used by
25% of its estimated cost. There will be increased investors to bring capital
pressure to safeguard their personal interest and return
on investment.
Land and Acquisition of land and materials will come at a Suitability of selected / allotted land Low
Materials significant cost because of the pre-approvals required, for the project
the area required for the project, the location of the Cost for the land
project, and the transportation costs to and from the Type of rights allowed for the land
site will add to the transportation costs. If required (full ownership / lease etc.)
Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
materials are locally not available, higher imports will Availability of resources nearby the
also affect the balance of trade of the country and if the site
amount is very significant, the Government may Existing infrastructure
impose restrictions or duties. Nature of materials required (how
The allotted land may also require relocation of specialized are they)
residing locals. Restrictions or duties by Government
on imports
Relocation costs and public reaction
Human It is expected that such a project will generate a Availability of local qualified Medium
Resources significant amount of employments however, whether professionals
management decides to hire locally (from Pakistan) or Relocations costs
decides to hire foreign professionals can greatly impact Life of the project and retention
the planned HR costs. It is also worthy to note that the policy after completion of project
planned site for the project is considered a remote area, Literacy rate of the local population
even of the organization decides to hire locally,
majority of the professionals will be required to
relocate and the company will have to bear their
relocation costs
Financial and It is a common practice for projects the size of QSP to Project cost management Low
operational undergo regular financial and operational audits to Qualified project managers
Audits ensure that progress is on track and that there are no Qualified auditors
financial or cost overruns. As such, it must be Frequency and extent of audits
mandatory for QSP to establish an internal audit
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
department that performs these duties to keep the Reporting structure of the audit teams
check and balance
Contractors The project is likely to be broken down into several Contract awarding criteria Low
areas and each area will be assigned or allocated to Company profiles and previous
different specialized contractors. Making sure that all success
contractors are performing tasks within allocated time Previous experience
and budget will be crucial to the overall success of the On-site supervision
project.
Information The software and other intelligent property developed In-house / outsourced Low
Technology or purchased for the project may need to highly Technical support in remote area
protected and patented to ensure integrity and Structure and governance of team
safeguarding in the long run. Investment in IT and IT protection
Another aspect to consider, it may not always be systems
feasible to hire uneducated or untrained staff to deal
and operate with heavy and specialized machinery.
Approval from Being a public interest project, it will require Politically motivated decisions Low
the Government approvals from the Government and other relevant Conditional approvals
of Pakistan and authorities to even undertake the project or to acquire
relevant the land required for it.
authorities
Availability of As the project intends to depend 75% on debt Readiness of financial institutions Low
external financing. A project like QSP will require extensive Projected profitability
financing financing for infrastructure alone, not mention a Projected cash flows of the project
substantial amount for the working capital for staff
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
salaries and daily operations. This indicates that a Government grants or subsidies
syndicate of banks may need to agree on the financing Collaterals required
and may require substantial collaterals from the
investors and / or guarantee from the Government.
Logistics Since the project is located in the middle of a desert Existing infrastructure Medium
with very limited infrastructure and resources readily Distance from nearest port / airport
available, transportation of materials, communications, Availability of local suppliers
medical facilities etc. can become a hassle. Local fuel costs etc.
Environmental Although the project aims to deliver clean renewable Government defined environmental Medium
Pollution and energy source, the methods employed for the pollution parameters
impact construction of the project can significantly pollute the Recyclability of materials used
environment. For e.g. fumes from operation of heavy Projected carbon emissions during
machinery, plastic waste from unpacking of materials, construction
natural waste from temporary lodgings for the workers
etc.
Natural Such as earthquakes, fires etc. that can impede the Geology of the allocated site Medium
Disasters progress of the project or setback the timeline of the Fire safety standards employed
project by causing damage to completed structures Training of staff in dealing with
natural disasters and emergency
situations
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
5 10 15 20 25
4 8 12 16 20
3 6 9 12 15
Likelihood
2 4 6 8 10
1 2 3 4 5
Consequence
Red indicates Action Priority P1, Orange indicated action prority level P2, Yellow indicates action priority P3, while green indicates
Priority level P4
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Frequency of Quantitaive
S. Risk Likelihoo Conseque Action
Risk Event occurence Score Impact
No. Category d nce Prority
(USD mln)
Design Once in 6
1 Design Error 4 5 20 P1 150
risks months
Complian
Use of substandard ce / Once in a
2 4 5 20 P1 150
material Quality month
Control
Inexperienced work Operation Once in a
3 3 4 12 P2 6
force al month
Once in a
4 Budget overruns Financial 4 5 20 P1 5.6
month
Operation Once in six
5 Supply chain disruption 3 5 15 P2 6
al months
The results obtained will be utilized to workout futuristic approach for carrying out project in such a manner that it may not face any
hindrance due to these highlighted risks.
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Risk Action
S. No. Risk Event Mitigation Strategy
Category Priority
Maintaining a core designing team.
Maintaining centralization of all designing duties.
All project managers to submit quality control and project
progress report on a timely basis. No tolerance policy for
1 Design Error Design risks P1
delays.
Maintaing quality control standards as per applicable ISO.
Maintaining regular material quality checks as per specific
criteria of the project.
Purchasing only from approved supplier/vendors
Compliance / Maintaining KYC of the suppliers
Use of substandard
2 Quality P1 Quality control checks at the dispatch facility
material
Control Adequate storage and warehousing facility for dormant
material
Regular trainings to staff
Inexperienced work
3 Operational P2 Adequate compensations to employees
force
Careful hiring process with regular performance follow ups
Regular budget variance analysis
4 Budget overruns Financial P1
Hierarchy of approvals to be established
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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5. Risk Analysis procedure/ Suggestion
Risk analysis is performed for the Quaid e Azam Solar Park to evaluate the possible risks which
project can encounter during different stages. Project is located in Pakistan and carried out by
QSP Pvt Ltd. It is funded by Government of Pakistan and the aim of the project is to encourage
the use of sustainable methods for energy generation. The projection is of 1000 MW, but initially
restricted to 100 MW in the first phase. The risk analysis is performed based on the data obtained
from the contract documents between QSP Pvt Ltd and the execution agency. In addition to this,
a number of research journals are consulted which highlighted different aspect of the project.
Other journals all across the globe related to solar energy are also consulted to have an idea of
risk and their mitigation techniques which are employed in such typer of projects.
In order to evaluate, risks are to be identified encompassing all aspects of the projects. These
risks are then segregated into Program level risk, Project Level risks and corporate risks. Each
Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
type of risks have their own complications and hence must be dealth accordingly. The risk
analysis criteria is defined for each type of risks and likelihood/ consequences of each risk event
is worked out. In such a way, it is identified that how severaly a particular risk event can effect
the health of the project. Based on analysis, a mitigation strategy is proposed for high impact
risks so that it may not hinder the project during planning, execution and operation stage.
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6. Business Continuity Management Plan
6.1. Introduction/ Asset management
Business Continuity Management (BCM) plan aims to guard a business and makes sure that it
runs smoothly without any interruption in the future. The main purpose of this plan includes
safety and regaining of a business operation, activity, or infrastructure in case of any severe
hazard or risk. The following plan for this project protects the infrastructure of Quaid-e-Azam
Solar Power (Private) Limited from several risks that can affect this project and can prove to be
hurdles on its way of accomplishing its goals. The below business continuity management plan
has the following parts:
Recovery
Risk Management
Plan Plan
Impact
Response PlanAnalysis
Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
This continuity plan will provide the strategies, SOPs, and standard rules to perform critical
business activities and operations to combat the risks by preventing, preparing, recovering, and
responding using AS/NZS 5050:2010 standards.
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Priority
S. No. Risk Event Likelihood Impact
Ranking
1 Cyber-attack III Loss of confidential data P3
2 Natural Hazards III Destructions and deaths P3
3 Terrorist Attack II Destructions, loss of data and P3
deaths
4 Climate change/ IIII The viability of the project rests P3
increasing majorly on the exposure to the sun
volatility of the the infrastructure will receive. If
weather climate change drives cloudy
weather towards the region, it may
affect the output of the
infrastructure and hence the
viability of the entire business.
5 Fire Explosion III Permanent loss of machines, P3
destruction, and deaths
6 Short Circuit IIII Permanent loss of machines, P1
destruction, and deaths
7 Mechanical III Temporary User service P3
Failure interruption until repaired
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
Min.
Non- Recovery
Critical Max. recovery
Scenario Loss Financial point
Functions outage time
Loss objective
objective
If not being 50 Factory 12 hrs 6 hrs One day
Solar light to be provided will Million outputs and
provided no-stop cause complete or household
shut down of the above works will be
plant delayed
If not being 50 Works will be 24 hrs 13 hrs Two days
Maintenance
provided will Million delayed
must be
cause a complete or less
provided
shutdown in case
nonstop
of damaged
parts.
Communication If not being 50 Major delays 2 hrs 25 10 hours
facility must be provided can Million in the minutes
provided lead to major or less maintenance
continuously accidents facility
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
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Palgrave Handbook of Unconventional Risk Transfer . Palgrave Macmillan,.
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Prewett, K. &. (2018). COSO's Updated Enterprise Risk Management Framework—A Quest For
Depth And Clarity. . Journal of Corporate Accounting & Finance,, 16-23.
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Risk Management Report on Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park
UNDP. (2020, 1 1). Step 5: Monitoring and Review. Retrieved from UNDP:
https://info.undp.org/sites/ERM/SitePages/Step%205%20-%20Monitoring%20and
%20Review.aspx
Zietlow, J. H. (2018). Financial management for nonprofit organizations: policies and practices.
. John Wiley & Sons.
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