Populism in Latin America
Populism in Latin America
Populism in Latin America
May not be
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Populism in Latin America
Edited by Michael L. Conniff
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Library of Congress CataloginginPublication Data
Populism in Latin America / edited by Michael L. Conniff.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0817309594 (cloth : alk. paper)
ISBN 0817309705 (pbk. : alk. paper)
1. Populism—Latin America. 2. Latin America—Politics and
government. I. Conniff, Michael L.
JL966 .P66 1999
320.98—ddc21
9840081
British Library CataloguinginPublication Data available
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Contents
Foreword vii
John D. Wirth
Acknowledgments ix
1. Introduction 1
Michael L. Conniff
2. Populism and Its Legacies in Argentina 22
Joel Horowitz
3. Brazil's Populist Republic and Beyond 43
Michael L. Conniff
4. Chile's Populism Reconsidered, 1920s–1990s 63
Paul W. Drake
5. Populism in Mexico: From Cárdenas to Cuauhtémoc 75
Jorge Basurto
6. The Paths to Populism in Peru 97
Steve Stein
7. The Heyday of Radical Populism in Venezuela and Its Aftermath 117
Steve Ellner
permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
8. The Strange Career of Populism in Ecuador 138
Ximena SosaBuchholz
9. Panama for the Panamanians: The Populism of Arnulfo Arias Madrid 157
William Francis Robinson
10. Populism in the Age of Neoliberalism 172
Kurt Weyland
Epilogue: New Research Directions 191
Michael L. Conniff
Notes 205
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Bibliographic Essay 223
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Contributors 235
Index 237
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Foreword
John D. Wirth
When the first volume on populism was published in 1982, Mike Conniff—the contributing editor—the other authors, and I felt we had given the scholarly capstone to
an era that had come and mostly, if not entirely, gone. From roughly the First World War until the early 1960s, populist politics defined what used to be called a cycle
of Latin American political change. But then the eclectic, multiclass coalitional style of populism seemed to run out of space, demobilized on the right by authoritarian
military regimes and captured on the left by the politics of revolutionary change. The rise of neoliberalism throughout Latin America in the late 1980s seemed further to
distance the old populism from regional realities. Indeed, the Cold War's demise, and globalizing trends, including free trade, the spread of democratic values, and the
increased competition for markets, all seemed to render populist politics the stuff of "historical background."
Fortunately, Conniff kept the group together, and in a weekend meeting held at Auburn University in 1991, we decided to do another book. For the fact is, populism
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still interested us and we sensed it might still be relevant to Latin America's rapidly changing societies. The result is a more comprehensive volume than the first one,
and a more mature appraisal of a complex phenomenon that would—in beautiful congruence to the Auburn group—soon garner two masterful new practitioners of the
populist's art: Argentina's Carlos Menem and Peru's Alberto Fujimori.
As the introduction makes clear, populism in the classic era from 1920 to 1960 thrived on the new technologies of mass communication, including radio and television,
and the rise of mass transit and bus travel. If in addition to sloppy economic thinking its chief weakness was organizational—the right and the left seemed consistent
and thorough, whereas populists seemed episodic and contingent—populism had two advantages that seem relevant today. I refer to the ability to adopt and use
information, and in particular the way it is being used to foster taskoriented coalitions.
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Consider the young Fernando Collor de Mello, Brazil's first democratically elected president in thirty years, who in 1990 combined neoliberal economics with a
brilliant populist touch before he was dragged down by scandal and impeached in 1992. Each morning in Brasília's Alvorada Palace he would appear wearing a
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different Tshirt showing his exhortatory saying for the day. The cameras loved it, while this president without a party made national Connections. Also in Brazil, Chico
Mendes, the embattled rubber tapper, and his followers used the new technologies of fax and email to brilliant effect as they elicited a transnational coalition of
supporters throughout the Western world. In fact, Mendes connected to the rising tide of environmentalism. This was what I would call "boutique populism," carefully
targeted to build unlikely coalitions for specific outcomes. The same can be said of Subcomandante Marcos, a leader of Mexico's Zapatista rebellion, whose brilliant
use of props (ski masks in the tropics), press interviews, and email to sympathizers at home and abroad has helped to transform a rebellion into a coalitional
movement for reform and redistribution while keeping the Mexican government off guard.
Judging from the above examples, there is life to populism yet. If the glory days are over, populism has its uses. In our neoliberal era, where alternative ideologies and
parties are fragmented, weak and drifting, populism may well have found a most interesting and necessary niche. Information promises connectedness, and populism
with its coalitional bent can still deliver economic benefits and political empowerment in specific circumstances. Readers will have their own views, but after reading
through this wellcrafted collection and reading further in the comprehensive bibliography herein provided, they will most certainly be better informed.
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Acknowledgments
The authors dedicate this book to John J. Johnson, who introduced so many of us to the twentiethcentury history of Latin America
Among the many people who helped along the way, we would like especially to thank the following: Jeremy Adelman, Mauricio Cárdenas, Sandra Deutsch McGee,
Steven J. Hirsch, Roberto Korzeniewicz, Lester Langley, Marysa Navarro, David Parker, Ken Roberts, O. Carlos Stoetzer, and the anonymous reviewers of the
manuscript. Special thanks to Suzette Griffith for shepherding the manuscript through to completion. Dean David Hiley provided the funds for our planning seminar in
1991.
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1—
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Introduction
Michael L. Conniff
Looking back upon Latin American politics in the past century, we can see certain patterns in leadership styles. In some countries, military dictators predominated. In
others, oldfashioned parliamentarians rose to commanding positions. Occasionally a reformer or socialist gained dominance in the political arena. In all, Latin America
displayed a wide variety of leaders of all stripes.
In the long view, populists were the most characteristic leaders of the last century. From the earliest years in the La Plata region until the end of the 1990s, populists
proved amazingly successful at gaining high office, holding onto power, maintaining their followings, and renewing their careers. Their imprint will continue for decades
to come.
In this book you will find a lively introduction to some of Latin America's outstanding leaders—the populists. These men, and sometimes women, stood out from the
ranks of the ordinary politicians. They displayed flair, daring, broad appeal, and uncanny timing. They campaigned for public office early, often, and almost always
successfully. They constitute one of the most important groups of leaders in twentiethcentury Latin America. Their impact on politics has been profound yet not fully
recognized.
By "outstanding," we do not necessarily mean moral, wise, constructive, or representative leaders. Some corrupted their countries, others manipulated their followers,
and still others disgraced themselves. Still, they were extraordinarily effective in reaching masses of voters, whom they convinced to cast ballots for them. And some
left positive legacies for generations to come. Later in the text we offer a working definition of just who these people were.
We designed and wrote this book with the general reader in mind, especially college students and the intellectually curious. We set aside many social scientific debates
in the field in order to keep our focus on the leaders and their followers. In particular, we have steered clear of the argument that populists were simply irresponsible
big spenders who used public
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moneys to win mass support. 1 Rather, we see populism basically as a political phenomenon: a question of who gains public office and how they govern. That is
subject enough for one book.2
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Since our purpose is to introduce the subject to readers, we have limited our footnotes in number and length, providing references only to the most important sources.
We give preference to those in English and Spanish that are likely to be available in university libraries.
The literature on Latin American populism has grown large in recent years, so the epilogue provides a separate treatment on the evolution of major writings, theories,
and methodologies in the field. The essay covers the whole continent but emphasizes the countries studied in this book. Readers wishing to pursue approaches other
than the political one used in this work may look for leads in the bibliographic essay.
The authors of these chapters have devoted many years to studying the populists and the countries they governed. Here, they survey the populist experiences in those
nations most profoundly influenced by this distinctively Latin American way of conducting the people's business. Their intent is to provide authoritative accounts of the
whole sweep of the twentieth century. They do so in ways that invite generalization and comparison, which we attempt to do in this introduction and in the epilogue.
In chapter 2, Joel Horowitz examines Argentina's strong legacy of populism, beginning with the remarkable Hipólito Yrigoyen, moving through the archetypal Juan and
Evita Perón, and ending with President Carlos Menem. He finds that these leaders built upon others' careers, using and improving methods of mass politics. They were
particularly adept at creating images, myths, and rituals that furthered their own careers. Horowitz's treatment of Evita Perón, in particular, brings to life Latin
America's bestknown woman. His main finding is that populists divided society and antagonized those who dissented, creating strong feelings of anger. He concludes
that although the era of populism may be ending in Argentina, its effects remain.3
The chapter on Brazil by Michael Conniff picks up the story in the late 1920s, when metropolitan Rio de Janeiro reached a million inhabitants. That country's first
populist, who served mayor of Rio in the mid1930s, showed that leaders could win elections by convincing the common people that he cared about their interests and
wellbeing. He abandoned the oldstyle boss politics and created a mass following that might have led to the presidency itself had he not run afoul of the military.
Others followed suit, in particular Adhemar de Barros in São Paulo and Getúlio Vargas, when he campaigned for president in 1950.4 During the next fifteen years,
which historians call the Populist Republic, this style dominated state and national politics. Even when the military took power in 1964 and attempted to eradicate
populism, they were unsuccessful, be
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cause the political culture had embraced the ballot box and accountability of leaders. In the 1980s and 1990s, the populist tradition revived in the person of President
Fernando Collor, whose brief and disastrous term foreshadowed the end of an era. 5
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Paul Drake examines several key episodes in Chile's modern history, finding elements of populism that nevertheless do not develop into a strong tradition. The first
presidency of Arturo Alessandri, the socialist interlude of Marmaduke Grove, and the front government of Pedro Aguirre Cerda might have evolved into a dominant
style of electioneering and governance.6 Yet Drake finds that Chile's strong party system prevented such a development. Moreover, ideological platforms ranging from
conservative to Marxist grabbed voters' attentions and loyalties, leaving little room for populist appeals. Thus Chile was exceptional among the larger countries of the
region in not sustaining populism.
In Mexico, according to Jorge Basurto, the formative experience of populism was the extremely powerful administration of Lázaro Cárdenas in the 1930s. While
drawing on revolutionary goals and rhetoric, Cárdenas forged a populist coalition that allowed him to sideline the military and dedicate his resources to helping the
masses.7 That legacy was revisited by President Luis Echeverría in the 1970s, yet the latter could not prevail over the conservative forces that had emerged in the
1950s. Instead, populism failed, and since 1980 Mexico politics have been controlled by antidemocratic leaders. Basurto sees populism as a redemptive force in his
nation whose only hope for revival lies with Cárdenas's son, Cuauhtémoc, who lost two presidential bids but now governs the metropolis of Mexico City.
Steve Stein's chapter on Peru finds a long, often rocky history of populism in that country, beginning with the rise of the APRA party in the 1920s and the clash of
young titans in the 1930 presidential election. APRA's longtime populist leader, Haya de la Torre, epitomized the drive, style, appeal, and staying power of populism,
yet he never won the presidency due to military opposition.8 Another Peruvian, Víctor Andrés Belaúnde, chose the mantle of populism when campaigning in 1960 and
1961 and for a time enjoyed some success, with U.S. support. Amazingly, however, a military government adopted many of the techniques and appeals of populism
after taking power in 1968. Without a charismatic leader, or even a strong vocation for leadership, this unique experiment in ''military populism" failed. Haya de la
Torre's protégé, Alan García, led APRA into the presidential palace only after Haya died, yet he made a mockery of administration. The most extraordinary twist to
the story was the triumph of Alberto Fujimori, a Peruvian of Japanese descent, as president in the 1990s. Stein finds that Fujimori is a textbook case of the
neopopulist of the 1990s.
law.
Venezuelan populism began with Rómulo Betancourt, who led his
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party to power in 1945, according to Steve Ellner. A forceful, charismatic figure, Betancourt almost singlehandedly forged alliances and fostered democratic
procedures that would drive Venezuelan politics for another generation. 9
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Ximena SosaBuchholz provides a fascinating view of populism in Ecuador, a country often overlooked by students of modern politics. Two leaders, Velasco Ibarra
and Abdalá Bucaram, deeply influenced national affairs from the 1930s to the 1990s. Others arose to challenge them. Besides engaging portraits of these leaders,
Professor SosaBuchholz supplies background and analysis for understanding politics in her country.
Panama's sole experience with populism came during the career of Arnulfo Arias, threetime president, according to Frank Robinson in chapter 9. Active from the
1930s to the 1980s, Arnulfo continues to influence Panama through his widow and heir to his Arnulfista Party, Mireya Moscoso.
Kurt Weyland challenges the notion that neoliberal, or monetarist, economic policies are incompatible with populism. Instead, as he argues in chapter 10, several
figures in recent history have adroitly used neoliberal economics to strengthen their appeal, thereby becoming neopopulists. He examines Carlos Menem in Argentina,
Fernando Collor in Brazil, and Alberto Fujimori in Peru as prototypes of this new leadership.
A General Definition
Populism was an expansive style of election campaigning by colorful and engaging politicians who could draw masses of new voters into their movements and hold
their loyalty indefinitely, even after their deaths. They inspired a sense of nationalism and cultural pride in their followers, and they promised to give them a better life as
well. Populists campaigned mostly in the big cities, where tens of millions of people gained the franchise and exercised it at the ballot box. The vast majority of these
new voters belonged to the working classes, which gave some of the populists a decidedly prolabor image. Yet populists also attracted middleclass voters, who
applauded the social and economic programs these leaders championed and who also obtained jobs and benefits from them. Even some wealthy and powerful citizens
joined with the populists, believing that their programs and leadership would be good for their interests and the national destiny. Put simply, the populists raised more
campaign money, got more voters to the polls, and held followers' allegiances far better than traditional politicians.
The populists exhibited charisma—that is, special personal qualities and talents that, in the eyes of their followers, empowered them to defend the interests of the
masses and uphold national dignity.10 The masses
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no longer trusted the church, oligarchical families, political parties, established newspapers, or business elites. Previously, these privileged sectors selected presidents
and legislators by giving them their blessing. When the privileged classes could no longer confer legitimacy, however, charismatic figures could claim the right to
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exercise power on behalf of the people.
The special attributes that made the populists charismatic varied widely: they exhibited such diverse traits as great intellect, empathy for the downtrodden, charity,
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clairvoyance, strength of character, moral rectitude, stamina and combativeness, the power to build, or saintliness. Qualities such as these set the populists apart from
and above the ranks of common politicians.
As the populists' successes and fame grew, their followers became even more devoted, convinced that their leaders could bring salvation in troubled times. Faith in
their leaders' special attributes helped followers imagine that personal bonds joined them, transcending the limits of space and time. It is no exaggeration to say that at
times a mass hypnotic state united leader and followers. 11 Upon the populist's death, his or her charisma often metamorphosed into myth, becoming a legend that
lived on for decades. Charisma, though hard to define, was a crucial element in populism.
The populists promised to reform their societies and to improve the lives of the masses. They stood for change and betterment, both material and spiritual. The slogan
for Juan Perón's Justicialismo was simply, "economic growth and social justice." Psychic rewards were important, especially during adverse times, when sacrifice was
required. Populists could not be easily categorized as to ideology, however, because their programs rarely fit existing doctrinal schemes (for example, conservatism,
liberalism, socialism). In fact, the most common label for their programs derived from simply adding ismo to their names: Peronismo, Getulismo, Adhemarismo,
Velasquismo, Gaitanismo, etc.
The populists drew from existing sociopolitical models, like socialism, communism, democratic capitalism, fascism, and corporatism, for example. No single doctrine
prevailed among them, however, and many recombined ideas inconsistently. Not a few changed their approaches sharply over time. Populists' ideas, then, were
eclectic and flexible, designed to appeal to the largest number of voters at any given time.
National pride also infused populist rhetoric. Panama's threetime president Arnulfo Arias even called his credo "Panameñismo," the ultimate patriotic appeal (see
chapter 9). The populists preached that the state should be strengthened in order to fulfill a great national destiny. The individual could take pride in being a citizen of
this nation. By the same token, populists held themselves up as defenders of the popular sovereignty against foreign pressures and exploitation. Major international
companies,
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in particular, came under attack by the populists, who claimed they squeezed the workers and bled the country of resources, with little commitment to economic
development. National pride could turn xenophobic in times of general hardship, because foreign enemies were easier to blame than domestic ones.
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The populists promised, and sometimes delivered, a better life for the masses. To do so, they used a variety of mechanisms to distribute favors (called patronage) and
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raise the general standard of living (which they termed economic development). They created government jobs, financed neighborhood improvements, authorized easy
loans, subsidized food staples, set low fares for public transportation, decreed new and higher employment benefits, spent lavishly on charity, supported free
education, and stoked economic growth with deficit spending. When they achieved positive results, the populists were revered by the masses for redistributing income
in favor of the working class. Cárdenas, Perón, and Vargas did so during parts of their administrations and were credited with economic miracles.
Expansive economic policies often led to inflation, indebtedness, and charges of malfeasance, however, and the populists as a group have been blamed for
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irresponsible borrowing and spending. In fact, among some economists the term populist has come to mean opportunism and fiscal mismanagement exclusively. 12 It
is certainly true that many populists took unorthodox directions and committed economic errors. They were not alone, however, because many traditional politicians
also embraced innovative theories and actions and likewise failed at times. In fact, throughout much of the industrializing world, new economic concepts took hold in
the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. Known generally as structuralism, these ideas led to government intervention, increased spending, public ownership, property reforms,
and price regulation. By these means, government leaders sought to catch up with the economic powerhouses of North America and Europe.
The seeming triumph of more orthodox economics in the 1990s, variously known as neoliberalism, monetarism, or business capitalism, should not lead us to accuse
populists alone for taking unorthodox paths a generation ago. Nor should we assume that they always did so for corrupt or irresponsible motives. Highly respected
economists in the Keynesian tradition—for example, Galbraith, Hirschman, Prebisch, Sunkel, and Furtado—gave respectability to structuralism. The important point
to remember is that expansive economic policies, legitimized by structuralist theories, served populist leaders especially well by offering both an expanding GDP pie—
more for everybody—and more equitable distribution. It was a winwin economics that, unfortunately, did not succeed in the long run.
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Not only were populists in step with the new political economy of the midcentury, they were also moderate in their application of it. When it came to redistributing
wealth, power, and prestige to achieve the maximum benefits for all, populists did not go overboard. None advocated genuine revolution or the violent overthrow of
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
the existing government followed by radical restructuring of society. Instead, they insisted on coming to power through elections and on changing society by the rule of
law, according to the will of the people. Popular sovereignty, in fact, became something of an incantation for the populists.
Latin American populists promoted democracy even though they did not always behave in democratic ways. The very definition of the populists as representatives of
the people required election and public approval of the leader. Still, many exhibited autocratic traits and abused their powers. While lawfully elected, some did not
abide fully by the laws. In their quest for high office, they sometimes infringed others' rights of political expression and office. This seemingly paradoxical relationship
between the leader as people's choice and as locus of authority is explored later in our discussion of elections.
The populists appealed to the common men and women, to the poor and working classes, and to the humble and downtrodden not only for votes but for legitimacy.
To gain acceptance, they appropriated elements of folklore to show their nearness to the masses, and they were in turn embraced by popular culture. Haya de la
Torre and Arnulfo Arias expressed pride in Indian heritage; Perón and Vargas evoked the ethos of the gaucho; Adhemar de Barros posed as a caipira, or country
bumpkin; and Jorge Gaitán and Leonel Brizola always stressed their own poverty as youths to explain their identification with the poor. The most vivid examples of the
folk acceptance of populists were their celebration in popular verses and songs throughout the region—sambas, cordel, tangos, corridos, and other forms. This cultural
approval of the leader, while impossible to quantify, was crucial for the lasting success of the populists.
The closest we will come to a synthetic description of Latin American populism may be expressed thus: Latin American populists were leaders who had charismatic
relationships with mass followings and who won elections regularly. Reducing it to a formula, it might look thus:
copyright law.
The Setting
Populism arose in Latin America during the early twentieth century in response to deepgoing socioeconomic changes. In most countries, the
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huge expansion of exports to European markets of that era provided capital for urban reforms and growth, infrastructure development, and industrial expansion.
Capitals and port cities, in particular, underwent major improvements complemented with massive redevelopment programs. Rio, Buenos Aires, Lima, Caracas,
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Santiago, Mexico City, and Bogotá all became major metropolises in the early years of this century, and dozens of other cities grew rapidly as well. Manufacturing and
population growth went hand in hand, concentrating people and resources in big cities.
Migrants and immigrants crowded into these cities—as workers and employees or simply a new generation of young people—and they became available to activists
of all sorts. Labor organizers, evangelists, military enlisters, retail hawkers, politicians, and myriad others recruited these newcomers for their movements and products.
For those recently arrived, urban life was liberating and invigorating yet also dangerous and sometimes oppressive. Slums burgeoned with urban poor, riots erupted,
services broke down, workers struck, and people began to feel out of touch with their families and regional origins. A generalized sense of rootlessness and malaise,
that sociologists call anomie, afflicted many city dwellers.
The generalized sense of alienation in big cities affected virtually all groups. Workers toiled in sweatshops for meager wages, with little hope of sharing the fruits of the
booming economies. Children of immigrants felt ostracized because of their foreign surnames and family traditions. Youths growing up in the cities could not expect to
live as well as their parents. People of color—mestizos, Indians, and AfroLatinos—experienced discrimination in schools, workplaces, government offices, and even
commercial establishments. Women suffered multiple disadvantages, except for those who belonged to upperclass families. Migrants from rural areas found limited
chances to advance in the cities. These sectors shared nothing but their common lack of opportunities, and they often fought among themselves for minor benefits. In
short, although it offered advantages over rural and smalltown existence, life in earlytwentiethcentury cities was harsh.
About the time large numbers of poor people began to experience anomie, political elites increased their control over the lives of middle and workingclass people.
They rigged elections to stay in power and then used the police to regulate daytoday life in the cities. They developed corrupt organizations to gather votes on
election day and to preserve their power. A veritable rogues' gallery of election riggers ran earlytwentiethcentury Latin American politics. Nowhere was the popular
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will expressed through honest elections.
Meanwhile, new methods of surveillance made it easier to police the masses. Automobiles, telephones, telegraph, recording devices, photogra
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phy, automatic weapons, and espionage allowed police departments to monitor and control the citizenry as never before. Police watched for and suppressed any
activities that threatened the monopoly of power wielded by the elites. The agents of law and order paid little attention to individual rights, because their actions were
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
sanctioned by higher authority. Police targeted organizations as well as individuals, especially labor unions, student groups, radical parties, and leaders of minority
groups in general. Persons suspected of disrupting the peace were routinely harassed and jailed, and foreigners were often deported.
After the turn of the twentieth century, then, most urban Latin Americans lived under what today would be regarded very undemocratic conditions. In earlier times,
things had not been any more democratic, to be sure, but business owners were likely to be the agents of control and repression, not governments. Moreover, Latin
America lagged behind Europe and North America in the gradual expansion of individual rights and selfgovernance.
Conditions were ripe in Latin America for leaders who could give the masses a sense of belonging, provide a semblance of representative government, and undertake
changes that would improve daily life. These leaders did emerge and took the initiative in urban politics. Their style of campaigning and administration was later dubbed
populism, after its earlier counterpart in the United States.
Urbanization and industrialization are often cited as causes of populism in Latin America, because they amassed millions in the cities and made them available to
politicians who could appeal to them. We cannot, however, point to any direct causality, because urban and industrial growth did not always lead to populism and
because populism sometimes arose in their absence. More accurately, we can state that these factors created sociopolitical conditions highly favorable to the rise of
populist leadership.
The Impact of New Technologies
The general expansion of Latin American economies in the early twentieth century aided the rise of populist politics. It made possible new systems of transportation
and communication, thereby allowing candidates to reach large audiences of potential voters more easily. The advent of streetcars, ferries, commuter trains, and buses
made urban campaigning much more effective. Telephone and telegraph services helped party managers to schedule candidate appearances and bargain with local
representatives. Gradually whole cities became singlevoter precincts available to ambitious and adroit politicians. Skillful use of these new media was an important
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attribute of the populists.
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In the 1920s and 1930s radio made its debut in politics. Radio not only reached tens of thousands but also broadcasted candidates' words and promises in appealing
ways, with sound effects, music, background audience, and clarity unattainable otherwise. Candidates who mastered the radio seemed modern, competent, and
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appealing. Latin American cities became laboratories of campaign innovation using radio waves.
By the 1950s television began to appear in a few large markets, and populist leaders immediately embraced it. TV made the candidates' faces familiar, their gestures
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and expressions recognizable, and their slogans and symbols more immediate. Indeed, the advent of television brought on the marketing of candidates using the most
modern techniques available. 13
In addition, longdistance transportation service and communications media brought politicians into contact with voters throughout their national territories. The
airplane began to revolutionize campaigning after World War I. Populists barnstormed in small planes, and in many towns and villages it was the first time people had
ever seen or heard a national politician, much less an airplane. Air travel also became a metaphor for modernization that enhanced candidates' images.
By the 1950s radio broadcasters developed national chains, and a decade later their television counterparts did the same. Truly national campaigns, while costly, could
present candidates in appealing ways to audiences all over the country. Cadres of professional media experts came to manage elections. The populists were more
talented in media communication than their competitors and hence were able to forge national followings drawn from the big cities as well as the small towns of the
interior.
Phases of Populism
The sweep of nearly a century of populist politics in the region may be conveniently broken down into periods. The first two decades of the century saw the advent of
early populism by precursors like José Batlle y Ordóñez (1903–7, 1911–15) in Uruguay and Guillermo Billinghurst (1912–14) in Peru. In addition, Hipólito Yrigoyen
in his 1916–22 administration pioneered the style later dubbed populist.
During the 1920s and 1930s populism became more widespread as the conditions for it matured and newly available media made it feasible to amass large electoral
followings. Yrigoyen's politics in and out of power confirmed his place as a leading populist. Arturo Alessandri's election and first administration (1920–25) revealed
populist elements. Air force colonel Marmaduke Grove, briefly leader of a Socialist government in Chile during 1932, aspired to a populist leadership. Víctor Raúl
Haya de la Torre launched his career in Peru during these years, although he did not
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win any elections. The mayor of Rio de Janeiro from 1931–36, Pedro Ernesto Batista introduced populism into Brazil, where it was adopted later by Adhemar de
Barros during his first term as governor of São Paulo (1938–41).
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Lázaro Cárdenas, the president of Mexico from 1934 to 1940, was a populist, albeit a subdued one due to constraints imposed by his predecessor. Cárdenas
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campaigned vigorously for his election, despite the official backing provided by the incumbent party. He carried out vast programs to achieve goals written into the
Constitution of 1917. He remodeled and strengthened the multiclass party his predecessor had founded. He eased the powerful Mexican army out of its preeminent
role in politics. His outstanding qualities were deep concern for the peasants and workers, plus steady pursuit of constructive reforms. Recognition of his charisma
spread mostly by word of mouth. The only modern technologies he used extensively were the radio, airplane, and telephone. Like several other populists, he was not a
bombastic, crowdpleasing orator. His influence grew quietly through thousands of facetoface meetings. No Mexican leader since has been able to forge the kind of
charisma Cárdenas achieved in the 1930s.
The second period, the heyday of Latin American populism, began in the 1940s and ended in the 1960s. This era saw populism emerge as the main form of politics in
many countries; in others, it challenged traditional leaders to become more representative.
In 1944, a number of Latin American leaders began to advocate free elections and widening the franchise, a classic populist appeal. Democratization was triggered by
the accumulating victories of the Allied forces in World War II. Whirlwind campaigning ensued in many countries, and populism reached it apogee in the 1950s. In
most countries, women gained the vote following the war and became a potent force for change. 14
In Brazil, Getúlio Vargas adopted the approaches pioneered by Pedro Ernesto and Adhemar and eventually conducted that country's first modern election in 1950.
He was soon challenged not only by Adhemar but by other populists, such as Jânio Quadros, Juscelino Kubitschek, and Carlos Lacerda. By the late 1950s they were
joined by others, such as Miguel Arraes, Leonel Brizola, and João Goulart. Little wonder that Brazilian historians refer to the 1945–64 era as the Populist Republic.
In Argentina, the foremost populist leaders of the region, Juan Perón and his wife, Evita, began their political campaigns in 1944 and captured power in 1946 with a
stunning election victory. Perón would only be removed by a military coup in 1955.
In 1940, Panama's President Arnulfo Arias launched what would become a long and tumultuous career in populist politics. In 1944 the former president of Ecuador,
José María Velasco Ibarra, returned to office, this
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time as a populist without equal in his country. The energetic leader of Venezuela's Acción Democrática, Rómulo Betancourt, led a coup in 1945 and established a
regime considered populist by most analysts. The frontrunner in Colombia's 1950 election, Jorge Gaitán, was gunned down before the election, ending the first
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populist campaign in that country's history.
A young populist in Cuba, Eddie Chibás, considered a strong contender for the presidency, instead took his own life in 1951 out of frustration with electoral
corruption. During the 1950s Gen. Carlos Ibáñez of Chile resurrected his career with a distinctly populist administration as president (1952–58). Populists dominated
Brazilian national politics until the military took over in 1964. Arnulfo Arias returned to power (1949–51), as did Velasco Ibarra (1952–56, 1960–62). Víctor Paz
Estenssoro's revolutionary government in Bolivia took on frankly populist overtones in the mid1950s. Only dictatorial regimes or firmly rooted democracies were
immune to the expansive politics of the era.
By the early 1960s, however, populism seemed to falter as a major form of politics. For one thing, the triumph of Fidel Castro's revolution in Cuba polarized the
hemisphere and reduced the room in which mainstream politicians could maneuver for votes. Increasingly, military groups removed presidents whom they accused of
stirring up the masses and encouraging leftists. The coups against Haya de la Torre in 1962, Frondizi in 1962, and Goulart in 1964 were of this nature. In addition,
most people had become registered voters in preceding years, so that populists could not find as many new recruits as before. In short, the conditions that had favored
the rise of populism in the 1920s, 1930s, and 1940s had eroded.
From the mid1960s on, a wave of military governments took power, the onset of a period of authoritarian regimes. These governments were diametrically opposed
to populism and justified their existence on the grounds that the populists had encouraged strikes, communism, inflation, and corruption. Military leaders promised to
restore order and good administration and to carry out socioeconomic reforms from above. This was an era of antipopulist government. 15
A few populist leaders and movements persisted but did not prosper. Juan Perón returned to the presidency in 1973 but promptly died, leaving his inexperienced
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widow, María Estela Perón (1974–76), to cope with deteriorating conditions in Argentina. The daughter of Colombian dictator Gustavo Rojas Pinilia, María Eugenia
Rojas, revived her father's ANAPO party in the 1960s and ran credible populist campaigns before her untimely death. Several governors and congressmen in Brazil
managed to defy the military and resurrect populism. Michael Manley's term as prime minister of Jamaica in the 1970s was decidedly populist, yet he was un
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able to convert early support into effective administration. In Ecuador, Jaime Roldós and Assad Bucaram took their populistic CFP organization into the presidency in
the late 1970s, but within two years both died. Mexican President Luis Echeverría (1970–76) consciously tried to recreate the politics that Cárdenas had employed so
successfully, but he failed utterly. Populism seemed to be dying out.
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In the last period, following apertura (redemocratization) in the late 1970s, populism experienced a revival in some countries. Most notably, when the military stepped
down in Peru, APRA's candidate, Alan García, won the presidential election with a frankly populist campaign. His term (1985–90) proved disastrous, however, due
to poor leadership and a climate unfavorable to the kind of policies he had inherited from Haya de la Torre. The subsequent government of Alberto Fujimori, while
neoliberal in its economics, took a frankly populist approach that was both successful and viable.
When the Brazilian military decreed amnesty for exiles in 1979, several former populists staged successful comebacks, mostly at the state level. By the mid1980s,
Leonel Brizola, Jânio Quadros, and Miguel Arraes had won governorships or mayoral races in the states of Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, and Pernambuco, respectively.
None was able to advance to the presidency, however, or build a national constituency. 16
Carlos Menem, president of Argentina from 1989–95 and reelected for a second term, became a neopopulist. Although he campaigned on the traditional prolabor,
economic interventionist platform of his Peronist party, once in office he enacted very different policies, consonant with the neoliberal ideas current in the world.
Despite this flipflop, Menem has been Argentina's most successful leader in several generations.
Brazil's Fernando Collor de Melo (1990–92) also employed a populist style during his campaign and first year in office. Youthful, handsome, athletic, and well
spoken, Collor ran virtually without a party, on a platform stressing honesty, renewal, and neoliberal economics. This image, conveyed effectively to the masses
through overweening media, proved captivating, and he won a close runoff against the Workers' Party candidate, Luis Inacio ''Lula" da Silva. Collor's pose as an
outsider ready to overhaul the corrupt system of previous generations transformed into an inchoate charisma early in his administration. During his second year in
office, however, Collor was implicated in a major fraud scheme involving kickbacks on government contracts. In 1992 he was impeached and resigned from office, a
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failed populist at best. His 1994 acquittal of corruption charges, however, left open the possibility of a future comeback.
Some writers have debated whether or not populism will die out by the end of this century. Those predicting its demise argue that electoral
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expansion has ended, since most people now have the vote. The dominance of electronic media and techniques of political marketing have rendered nearly all
candidates charismatic and "sellable," given enough money. Personal attributes and quasimystical connections with the masses no longer seem relevant to urbanized
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masses. And perhaps most important, the globalization of new economic, social, and environmental policies have rendered the old populist measures obsolete. These
analysts argue that populism is finished in Latin America.
On the other hand, some observers point to the continued attraction of oldtimers like Leonel Brizola and Miguel Arraes, and the evocative power of names like
Perón, Batlle, Bucaram, and Cárdenas, as proof of the renewed viability of populism. They note the cult worship, even among young people, of figures like Evita,
Lázaro Cárdenas, and João Goulart and the popularity of leaders who can manipulate the old symbols of cultural nationalism. Perhaps Menem and Fujimori have
shown how to adapt populism to the changing times. After all, populists were always adept at bridging the gap between traditional and progressive measures. These
analysts believe that conditions may soon be ripe for a major resurgence of populism.
Therefore, it may be premature to declare that populism is either moribund or on the rebound. The epilogue takes up these questions in greater depth.
Structural Characteristics
Organizational aspects of populist movements, in addition to leadership and means of reaching the masses, have struck observers as very important in distinguishing
them from other forms of political mobilization. The multiclass makeup of populism stood in contrast to most other parties in the region, which drew from restricted
social strata, for example, the workers, middle sectors, or rural landowners. Populists' broad appeals gave their parties heterogeneous followings that were unwieldy
yet also very effective in reaching newly enfranchised voters, a somethingforeveryone approach. Only very clever leaders could manage this without tripping over
discrepant planks in their platforms.
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In his classic article on populist coalitions, Torcuato Di Tella diagrammed various possibilities, reproduced in figure 1. The Peronist alliance, he believed, was the
closest to pure populism. Many other observers have taken these suggestions and applied them in other settings. His most powerful finding was that all the variations
drew on at least two classes and often from three. Since 1964 most theoretical writing has emphasized this feature.
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applicable copyright law.
Figure 1.
Torcuato Di Tella's Four Models of Populist Parties. (From Torcuato S. di Tella, "Populismo y reforma
en America Latina," Desasrrollo económico 4, no. 16 (1965): 391–425.)
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Others have noted that the populist parties of Latin America did not meet criteria by which parties in the United States and Western Europe are judged, especially
regarding aggregation of interests and adjudication of conflicts. Rather, personalismo and centralization, lasting features of Latin American leadership, infused populist
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
movements as well. All decisions, appointments, and initiatives required action by the leader. This tendency undermined the effectiveness of populist leaders once in
office, because no mechanisms had been created for shared decision making and delegation of power. Moreover, personalismo condemned these movements to
instability when the leader died or was removed from the scene, as happened frequently.
Despite their reluctance to bureaucratize their parties, populists were astute coalition builders. They formed alliances between existing interest groups and newly
enfranchised sectors. The growing cities contained diverse groups recently active in politics—such as factory workers, whitecollar employees, tradesmen, and the
selfemployed—as well as politicized sectors of professionals and public servants. The populists imaginatively constructed broad, heterogeneous followings by
appealing to diverse groups in different ways. They also formulated vague programs and doctrines with which many sectors and classes could identify—Perón's
Justicialismo and Vargas's Trabalhismo are good examples.
Populists also pioneered new enlistment methods that displaced traditional clientelism. The clientelist party relied on individuals' selfinterests, offering a little something
for everyone. Each person in a complex network of relationships claimed a degree of autonomy visàvis others in the system. Clientelist recruitment, then,
incorporated voters more slowly and broke down when presented with major policy demands. Clientelism had the further disadvantages of being expensive to sustain
and unreliable in times of crisis.
In the populist mode, initiative and responsibility gravitated to the leader, whose charisma bridged the space occupied by clientelist intermediaries. The leader
delegated the usual work of politics to aides: speech writing, managing the media, rallies, and fundraising. These anonymous staffers could not rival the leader; their
only hope for advancement was to enhance the leader's popularity and win elections. In this manner, welldirected campaigns reached out and won over new voters
rapidly. 17
Populists' campaign organizations did not have to dispense as much patronage as their clientelist rivals because the psychic rewards and security provided by the
leader largely replaced tangible payoffs. The populists could also respond more quickly to changes and opportunities than traditional leaders, since they did not have to
law.
consult elaborate councils and committees. Finally, populists actually flourished in times of crisis, because
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their charisma reassured and calmed their followers. (See the discussion of charisma in the epilogue.)
Election Results
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Populists, like most politicians in the Western world, measured their initial successes in terms of votes won. Elections were central to populism in Latin America,
simultaneously as cause, means, and result. Populists first had to fight for fair elections to be held. Then they developed innovative ways to reach and win over ever
growing numbers of voters. Finally, in order to win subsequent election campaigns, they pressed to broaden further the franchise and assure impartial procedures.
In the early days populists like Batlle, Yrigoyen, and Alessandri had to struggle to affirm the sovereignty of the popular will, because free elections had never been held
before. The early campaign slogans conveyed the urgency of their demands: Yrigoyen's "Intransigencia" until clean elections were held, Francisco Madero's "Effective
Suffrage and No Reelection," and Batlle's ''No More Deals." Without honest elections, these and many other candidates had no hope of gaining office.
Once clean elections were assured, later populists pushed to expand the suffrage and improve the administration of elections. Gradually they extended the vote to
younger and unpropertied persons and to women. Their campaigns prospered because many of the newly enfranchised were loyal to the leaders who gave them the
vote. By the 1950s and 1960s, populists urged better methods of polling voters, using simple, secret, uniform ballots. These reforms were often accompanied by the
creation of independent judicial boards to supervise elections and certify their results. Even after the authoritarian turn of government in the 1960s, these procedures
remained in effect, thanks largely to their institutionalization.
Finally, by the 1970s and 1980s the trend toward even greater inclusion in the electoral process had achieved nearuniversal suffrage. In most countries, eighteen
yearolds vote. Brazil even lowered the voting age to sixteen and enfranchised illiterates. Peru and Chile did so as well. Moreover, most countries now require that
voters exercise that right or face fines and bureaucratic hassles. The obligatory vote undoubtedly causes larger turnouts.
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These election improvements had a number of outcomes. Most notably, they increased the volume of voting many times over. Elections went from virtually nonexistent
to mass participation in the course of this century. Table 1 demonstrates the dramatic increase experienced in most countries. Surprisingly, elections even affected
military governments indirectly in the 1970s and 1980s. Contests for state and local offices became informal
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Table 1
Election Turnouts in Latin America, 1900–1995
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(Election year, voters in millions, to nearest 100,000)
Decade Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Mexico Peru Uruguay Venezuela
1900 01 .1
02 .6
05 .1
*
06 .3 07 .5
1910 10 .6 10 .5
11 .1 11 .5
12.1
*
14 .6 14 .1
15 .1
16 .7 16 .1 17 .8
18 .4
1920 20 .2 20 .1 20 1.2
22 .9 22 .8
24 .2 24 1.6
25 .3
26 .7 27 .2 26 .3
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28 1.5 29 2.1
1930 30 1.9 30 .8 30 .3
31 1.6 31 .3 31 .3
32 .3 32 .2
34 .9 34 .2 34 2.3
36 .2
37 2.0 38 .4 38 .5 39 .3
(table continued on next page)
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(table continued from previous page)
Table 1 (continued)
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Decade Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Mexico Peru Uruguay Venezuela
1940 40 .1 40 2.6
42 .5 42 1.1
45 6.2 45 .5
46 2.9 46 .5 46 1.4 46 2.3 46 1.4
48 .3 47 1.2
49 1.1
1950 50 8.3 50 .9
51 7.6 51 .1 52 1.0 52 .4 52 3.7
55 9.1
54 .9
56 1.0 56 4.4 56 .6 56 1.3
58 9.1 58 1.3 57 3.1 58 7.5 58 1.0 58 2.7
68 .9 68 3.7
*
1970 70 22 70 3.0 70 4.0 70 14.1 71 1.7
73 12.1 73 4.4
*
74 29 74 4.8
76 16.7
*
78 38 78 4.9 78 5.3
Table 1 cont.
(table continued on next page)
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(table continued from previous page)
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Table 1 (continued)
any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
Decade Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Mexico Peru Uruguay Venezuela
1980 80 1.5 80 4.0
* 82 6.8 82 22.5
82 48
* *
83 15.4 84 55 84 2.2 84 1.8 83 6.5
*
85 1.7 86 69 86 7.1 85 7.6
*
87 1.3 88 3.6 88 19.2 88 9.2
*
Congressional only
Note: Actual votes cast, including blank and null ballots.
Sources: Data from Michael L. Conniff, ed., Latin American Populism in Comparative Perspective (Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press,
1982), 18–19; James W. Wilkie, ed., Statistical Abstract of Latin America (Los Angeles: UCLA Latin American Center, annual), vols. 24–30;
Keesing's Archive of World Events, annual, 1985–95.
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plebiscites on government performance. In many places, large numbers of blank and invalid ballots served as indictments of the governments' conduct. In Argentina,
Brazil, Peru, and Chile, declining fortunes at the polls helped convince military rulers to remove themselves from power.
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Populists did not dominate, much less win, every election in Latin America, of course, but it seems fair to attribute much of the growing importance of the ballot box
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and improved procedures to populist campaigns earlier in the century.
The populists' contribution to establishing fair, broad elections does not mean that they were necessarily democratic themselves or that they would forego victories to
protect popular sovereignty. Many populists had earlier careers as traditional, even oligarchical, leaders. Several imposed dictatorships—Vargas from 1937 to 1945
and Perón from 1943 to 1945, for example. A number conspired against duly constituted governments from exile. And in office, a number of the populists regularly
violated the laws under which they were elected.
To some extent, the populists' devotion to electoral means of winning office ran against the grain of their personalities. Virtually all were driven, ambitious, even
obsessed with gaining power. They sacrificed their families and health in order to campaign for office. Such winatallcost motivation led them to unethical and
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undemocratic behavior. Many ran their parties as little more than personal fan clubs and campaign organizations. Paradoxically, though, they felt obliged to win popular
approval through elections and thus contributed to the consolidation of democratic procedures.
Conclusion
This introduction has offered a broad view of the populist experience in Latin America. It conveys a sense of the writing about leading populists, their campaigns, and
the eras in which they flourished. The nine original essays that follow comprise the core of this book. They give more detailed studies of individual countries and
leaders, taking into account their political cultures and chronologies. The campaigns, the excitement, the disappointment, and the individuals come alive in these
chapters.
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2—
any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
Populism and Its Legacies in Argentina
Joel Horowitz
Populism and its aftermath have dominated the political history of modern Argentina. Much of the style and rhetoric of politics derives from populism. More important,
some seemingly unbridgeable schisms in today's society can be traced directly to populism. While populist movements attracted the support of masses of people, they
simultaneously repelled major sectors of society. Populists defined themselves as the saviors of the nation and their opponents as enemies of the people. Thus politics
revolved around movements that won strong allegiances but excluded their enemies. This contributed to a cycle of military takeovers that ultimately produced massive
violence, involving both the military and civilians. Populism addressed certain problems, but it also produced new ones. The answers that it provided, or perhaps the
style of the answers, deeply divided Argentina.
A key populist legacy is leadership style. The leader, whether in power or exile, dominates his party for long stretches. The party might undergo internal struggles, but
once the leader has settled them, his rule is unchallengeable. Within the Peronist Party, this role of caudillo was borne by two men; the baton of Juan Perón was
eventually picked up by Carlos Menem. This pattern of leadership is more noticeable within the Radical Party, which even after ceasing to be populist retains its style.
Hipólito Yrigoyen was followed by Marcelo T. de Alvear, Ricardo Balbín and Raúl Alfonsín. They continued to dominate their party after their popularity had faded
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with the public at large. Even when the parties adopted attributes of "modern" politics, such as conventions, they continued to be dominated by strongwilled leaders.
At the outset, a working list of populist characteristics in Argentina will
I would like to thank Tulio Halperín Donghi, Mariano Plotkin, and Jeremy Adelman for their comments on an earlier version of this chapter. I would also like to thank Joseph
Kwiatkowski for leading this technodinosaur several steps down the electronic highway.
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be helpful. Populist movements claimed not to be class based. Ideologically they were incoherent but they tried to be inclusive. Their leaders were overwhelmingly
personalistic and also charismatic. Their style was nationalistic, so they drew on native traditions or at least pseudotraditions of the country. They evinced a deep
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concern for reform, social justice, betterment of the working class, and integration of the poor into society. They portrayed class conflict as alien. The core populist
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message promised change without altering the fundamental nature of society. Populist parties also claimed to have the answers to the problems of the nation and
argued that those who opposed them were unpatriotic. They tended to ally with unions and to build a strong centralized state with power focused on the president.
What is crucial is that the populists threatened the elites' control over their world more than their economic interests. 1 It is the populists' style, their confrontation of the
elite, and their rejection of the elite manner of behavior that sets them apart from other movements.
Early Argentine Populism
At the end of the nineteenth century Argentina underwent a prodigious economic change that transformed it from a relatively poor country to the richest in Latin
America, and a wealthy nation by any standard. It became rich enough to attract largescale immigration from southern and eastern Europe.
Argentina's economic miracle was made possible by the sudden opportunity to use the fertile lands of the Pampas, some of the best in the world. Rising world
demand, the ability to attract hundreds of thousands of immigrants, and the building of railroads and other types of infrastructure permitted Argentina to become a
major exporter of meat and grain. While this rapid economic transition went on, politics remained largely unchanged. Elite elements governed behind a facade of
democracy, but fraud reigned in the voting process. This continued, despite rapid urbanization, population growth, and the emergence of a middle class.
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The modern political system began in the wake of a failed attempt to overthrow the government in 1890. The country's first modern political party, the Radical Party
(Unión Cívica Radical, also called the Radicals or the UCR) emerged out of the coup. The Radical Party opposed the political system by refusing to participate in it
and by calling for fair elections. Behind its push for fair elections lay the threat of revolution, which it attempted several times. The party's primary base of support was
in the middle sectors of society. Much of the leadership, however, came from the elite, but appeals were directed toward the working class.2 The man who
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came to dominate the party was Hipólito Yrigoyen (1852–1933), a strange leader for a modern party. He was the illegitimate son of a Basque blacksmith and of a
woman from the elite. He never married but had at least six children with different women. He used the title "doctor" without having earned it. He infrequently
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appeared, and even more rarely spoke, in public. He wrote little for popular consumption, and what he wrote was difficult to understand. 3 There was little consistent
political philosophy behind his utterances. When he reached the presidency in 1916, he seemed much more interested in power and expanding it than in any program.
Yrigoyen, however, was a master politician. He created the machinery of a modern political party and outmaneuvered all his rivals. Despite his quirky nature and his
secretive behavior, he made himself into a symbol of the Radical Party. He represented the hopes of the party faithful. Crowds detached the horses from his carriage
at his inauguration in 1916 and pulled it through the streets. A cult of personality developed around him.
The Radical Party apparatus generated adoring works. For example in 1929 the Radical Party daily, La Epoca, carried the following poem, entitled "To the Great
Argentine President Dr. Hipólito Yrigoyen":
the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
The Country adorns itself with your name triumphant,
And the Fatherland praises you deservedly and with love,
Because always, your slogan was forward!
And your creed nobility, ideal and ardor.
I that knew to mock the people a moment,
Learned from your lips the best word,
The word that says: a brilliant Fatherland
I will leave as the inheritance of my effort and honor.
The workers of all the Argentine region
Today bless your name and the battle that culminates
In the supreme progress of this immense Nation.
The Nation that tomorrow will judge your memory
As the limpid page of your clear story
Of one who was an apostle and an eminent man.4
This poem was not unusual. Radical Party publications were filled with doggerel and statements that sung Yrigoyen's praises.
It is difficult to fully comprehend what evoked such popular support for Yrigoyen and whether his conduct can be called populist or simply popular. He did not
campaign with the flamboyant gestures or oratory of most
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populists. In many ways he simply built a traditional political machine by dispensing patronage and creating jobs. The bureaucracy and the scope of government
expanded quickly. His opponents considered this one of his chief defects. He used older political techniques and was not especially innovative, but he pushed those
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
methods to their limit.
Police chiefs had always played central political roles in Argentina, and Yrigoyen strengthened the tradition. His chiefs of police of Buenos Aires, for example,
functioned as key operatives, even settling labor conflicts. Their importance was shown by the career path of Elpidio González, a key Yrigoyen ally. He went from
minister of war, to candidate for governor of the important province of Córdoba, to police chief of Buenos Aires, to vice president, and to minister of interior. A good
police chief was a man for all seasons.
Yrigoyen did appeal to new groups and spoke about altering society without changing its underlying nature. His rhetoric stressed change. While scorning the idea of
class conflict, he continually attacked the oligarchy, the illdefined ruralbased elite of which he was a marginal member. One way he attracted support was by treating
the middle and working classes like true members of society. (This approach was later used by Juan Perón in the 1940s.) Under Yrigoyen, middleclass politicians
held considerable power for the first time.
Sometimes Yrigoyen's gestures were obvious. During a 1917 strike at a meatpacking plant, he turned down an interview with the leaders of the Sociedad Rural, the
cattlemen's association, the most important economic and social group in the country. One of the nation's leading newspapers lamented that these men were not
received with the same attention as strikers. 5
Yrigoyen reached the presidency because the governing segment of the conservative elite feared a Radical Party revolt, the constant labor agitation, and believed that
they could win a fair election. In 1912 they backed the Sáenz Peña law passed, which made voting obligatory for all male citizens and made voter fraud more difficult.
Despite the conservatives' hopes, Yrigoyen won the first fair presidential election in 1916. His margin in the electoral college, however, was extremely narrow and
therefore he needed to widen his base of support. Yrigoyen turned to the rapidly growing nativeborn working class as a potential source of voters. This was possible
because Syndicalism had become an influential ideology among Argentina's vigorous labor movement in the years after 1910. The Syndicalists proclaimed their disdain
for bourgeois politics and stated that the revolution would come through a general strike. They displayed a willingness, however, to deal with political authorities in an
law.
ad hoc fashion. This
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was perfect for Yrigoyen and the Radicals, since Syndicalists had no political ties and their growth would block the expansion of the Socialist Party, which had
become a serious rival in the city of Buenos Aires.
Yrigoyen used a twopronged approach with the Syndicalists. The initial thrust was to tolerate strikes led by Syndicalists and to be sure they were rewarded by
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favorable agreements. The most dramatic strikes occurred on the railroads and in the port of Buenos Aires in the first years of Yrigoyen's term. Government
intervention considerably improved conditions and forced employers on the waterfront to accept the union's role in hiring workers for ships. As late as the 1927–28
presidential campaign, Yrigoyen's publicity stressed his role in settling these early strikes. 6
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Yrigoyen would not, however, pursue these labor tactics beyond a certain point. He did not support strikes from ideological conviction but rather from a desire for
votes. When upheavals threatened to alienate key sectors of public opinion, he shifted directions. In January 1919 a strike in a Buenos Aires steel plant erupted into
violence between strikers and police, which led to a general strike. Betraying labor, the administration tolerated and perhaps encouraged middle and upperclass
attacks on workingclass neighborhoods, attacks that resembled pogroms against Jews and Catalans. The death toll rose to several hundred. This was the socalled
Tragic Week. Threatened with losing middle and upperclass support, Yrigoyen used force against the strikers.7
Despite the real danger to his regime's stability, however, Yrigoyen continued to back some labor groups, and unrest rolled across Argentina even after the Tragic
Week. His tolerance ended, though, when strikes threatened to reduce export earnings and to undermine his coalition. With presidential elections coming up, in mid
1921 Yrigoyen shifted tactics. He abandoned the port workers and broke a general strike started in their support. Extreme violence was also used against workers in
Patagonia.8
Yrigoyen's attempts to woo the urban working class went beyond supporting certain strikes. He pressed Congress to pass labor laws, especially in 1921 and 1922.
This, coupled with the fact that he was more accessible to members of the working class than his predecessors, helped earn him continued popularity with the average
Argentine.
The constitution did not permit direct reelection to the presidency, so Yrigoyen had to step aside in 1922. He chose Marcelo T. de Alvear to be his party's nominee,
and Alvear won easily. An aristocrat, Alvear was far from being a populist. While desirous of obtaining workingclass support, he preferred moving through
bureaucratic channels instead of along the personalistic and populist trails that Yrigoyen trod. Soon a rift developed between Yrigoyen and Alvear, and the Radical
Party split.
In 1928 Yrigoyen won reelection and attempted to restore the policies
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he had followed earlier, backing certain types of labor and expanding the state—for example, trying to make the national oil company a monopoly. He accomplished
little, however. Aged and lacking in energy by then, he even appeared senile to some observers. 9 The depression soon made any new initiatives unlikely, and
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
problems mounted. Opposition to Yrigoyen surged, as many sectors felt threatened by the professional politicians who surrounded him and by the Radicals' use of the
power of the state to increase their hold on the government. The antiYrigoyen political class felt threatened by the Radical expansion of power. With considerable
civilian encouragement, the military overthrew Yrigoyen in September 10930.10 In many ways Yrigoyen was going to set the pattern for future regimes, populist and
nonpopulist alike. Perón was going to further expand the connection with labor. While populist regimes were going to expand bureaucracies and the powers of the
state faster than other types of governments, all, until the 1980s, essentially accepted this populist legacy.
The Interregnum
The regime that emerged from the 1930 military coup helped create conditions that, a decade later, produced the most celebrated wave of populism in Argentina. The
neoconservative governments that ruled from 1932 to 1943 kept up a pretense of democracy but depended on voter fraud to remain in power. Members of the
traditional landed elite ruled directly.
Paradoxically, the exigencies brought on by the Great Depression forced this ruling landed elite to favor a policy of import substitution industrialization (ISI) that not
only undermined their own power but also produced rapid expansion of the urban working class. The number of bluecollar workers employed in manufacturing nearly
doubled between 1935 and 1943, from 418,000 to 756,000.11 This surge in urban employment was made possible by massive flows of migrants from the interior to
the bigger cities, especially Buenos Aires. Despite myths to the contrary, recent research has not uncovered any marked difference in political behavior between the
migrants and longtime urban residents.12 The rapidly growing urban working class remained largely invisible to the political elite, shielded from public view by voter
fraud and their own prejudices. Even leftist parties such as the Socialists and the Communists failed to recognize the changes that had occurred.
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Organized labor, moreover, could not capitalize fully on the economic transformation underway. Many employers refused to negotiate with unions, and the
government, although at times willing to mediate labor disputes, was inconsistent. Unions needed to use strikes or political
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mobilization to attract government attention, but they never could be sure of whether such actions would bring repression or help. By 1943 many labor leaders had
become deeply frustrated with the lack of aid from leftwing parties. Many began to search for alternative sources of inspiration and support.
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
The unions' political potential had grown significantly. Between 1936 and 1941 union membership had risen by nearly a fifth, to more than 440,000 members. While
this represented only 12 percent of the economically active urban population, unions had spread from their original redoubts in transportation firms to manufacturing
and services. 13 This increase occurred despite great difficulties for unions. Frequently, nonideological workers preferred not to join unions, since belonging could
mean dismissal and blacklisting. In addition, given meager salaries, dues represented a significant burden, especially because little immediate benefit could be seen.
Still, by 1943, many workers had been exposed to what unions could do and were willing to join under the right circumstances. By the same token, many more were
willing to go on strike when the situation demanded, even though they were not union members.
A sense of alienation gripped much of the urban working class, and the general population partly shared this sentiment. Scandals occurred in all major political parties.
Disillusionment with democracy set in—this was shared by much of the Western world during the 1930s—but was also due to the nature of Argentina's political
system. Some years later writers referred to the 1930s as the ''infamous decade." The general mood can be summed up by some lines of a tango, the popular urban
music of the era:
Today it makes no difference
Whether you are honest or a traitor
Ignorant, wise or a thief,
Generous or crooked;
Ali's the same, nothing is better.14
The working class felt even a deeper sense of alienation. In Buenos Aires the expected norms of behavior were extremely middle class. As early as the turn of the
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century, a Spanish visitor noted the lack of workers' distinctive dress, such as was seen in the streets of Paris or Barcelona. Men not wearing jackets were not
permitted on the sidewalks of the fashionable shopping street, Calle Florida, until the Peronist era. Workers carried their work clothes rather than wearing them on the
streetcars.15 Workers venturing into downtown Buenos Aires dressed like the middle class, in a tie and jacket.
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Perón's Rise to Power
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In June 1943, dramatic political changes were introduced by a group of army officers who seized power. Initially, the military cracked down on unions. While focusing
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on Communists, they also targeted other tendencies. One of the two major labor confederations was closed. The government took over the two railroad unions, the
strongest organizations in the country, and appointed a military officer to run them. It became almost impossible to call strikes.
A countervailing force emerged from within the military, however, one anxious to deal creatively with labor issues. Almost from the beginning of military rule, a group
of army officers began summoning union leaders to find out what workers wanted. They spoke with leaders of all ideological hues, even Communists. Their true
motivation remains unclear, but they did want to block the spread of communism and solve problems causing social unrest before they became more serious.
Argentina's next major populist leader, Col. Juan Domingo Perón (1891–1974), emerged from this group.
Perón, a tall, commanding figure and a powerful speaker, had the ability to charm people and win them to his side. He was one of those rare politicians imbued with
genuine charisma. Perón's motivations in helping the working class were complex, since ideologically he was eclectic. He had been influenced by rightwing European
ideologies and by a desire for order, but he also wanted power for himself. 16 He excelled at the bureaucratic maneuvering by which one rose through the ranks in the
army. Nevertheless, he always wanted to obtain power through popular support and legitimate means. While mostly unsuccessful, he did make major efforts to attract
support from the largely middleclass Radical Party and from the business community. His real success came in recruiting support from unions and the urban working
class.
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With his bureaucratic astuteness, Perón became a major force in the army by late 1943. He soon became vice president and minister of war—a predictable trajectory
for an ambitious, skillful, and lucky officer. He also concentrated his efforts in a surprising arena. In October 1943 he took over as head of the National Department of
Labor, a post hitherto of little importance, since its powers were limited and it only had authority in the capital and in the more backward, underpopulated regions.
Perón used the department of labor, however, as a platform from which to win over the hearts and minds of much of the working class. The position allowed him to
legitimize his approaches to labor, and it provided him with a staff that had wellestablished contacts with unions and unsurpassed
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knowledge of their needs and desires. By the end of November 1943, Perón had transformed the agency into the Secretariat of Labor and Social Security, with
expanded powers and national jurisdiction.
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Prospects for the labor movement improved only slowly, however. Perón did place his close friend Col. Domingo Mercante in charge of the two rail unions. Mercante
was in some sense a railroader: his father had been an engineer and a cousin belonged to one of the unions. He called internal union elections. The government created
a hospital for railroaders and addressed several longstanding grievances. Still, the aid to the rail unions remained an exception and most unions received little or
nothing.
Repression by government agents gradually became more selective, but it was only after May 1944 that Perón began seriously to favor unions. Labor leaders had
been playing a difficult game. They opposed the regime while constantly seeking help from the secretariat. With unprecedented unity, almost the entire labor movement
planned a May Day 1944 protest against administration policies. Not surprisingly the regime banned the rally. At this point Perón, stung by his inability to court the
Radical Party and his seeming failure with labor, began a major effort to woo unions. 17 He was remarkably successful.
Perón's policies always had two edges: assistance that permitted many unions to achieve longsought goals, and repression against uncooperative organizations. On the
prolabor side, the government began enforcing labor laws for the first time. With state backing, the number of contracts between labor and management soared. In
the last six months of 1944, 228 contracts were signed in the city of Buenos Aires alone. Many secretariatmediated contracts merely set wages, but others addressed
crucial issues. Contracts often stipulated seemingly minor changes in work rules but afforded workers more dignity, such as separate changing rooms for male and
female employees. For the first time, workers had a say in setting shopfloor rules. In addition, contracts frequently contained clauses committing the secretariat to
enforce them, and Perón saw that it did so.18 Labor contracts finally had meaning, and the balance of power between capital and labor began to shift. Real wages for
the unskilled rose 17 percent between 1943 and 1945, while those for skilled workers rose 10 percent.19
Before 1944 it had been extremely difficult to organize and sustain unions outside of the city of Buenos Aires. This changed when the secretariat began actively to
favor their establishment. For example, the telephone workers in Buenos Aires had long sought to help organize their counterparts in other regions, but with little
success. In 1944 and 1945, however, thirteen phoneworker unions across the country were organized, some with direct help from the government.20
The other side of Perón's labor strategy was repression. All organizations
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close to the Communist Party had to go underground to survive. The government supported rival antiCommunist unions. This destroyed several important unions,
including those in textiles, meatpacking, and the metal trades. Repression was used against any union that refused to cooperate. The Socialistcontrolled municipal
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
workers union was taken over and run by a government agent. Individual leaders always faced the threat of arrest or harassment.
Perón's ties to unions provided him with entrée to the working class and with a legitimacy he could not have obtained otherwise. This was especially important,
because traditionally workers harbored a deep suspicion of the military. Also, as we will see, unions could provide crucial assistance with mobilization.
Unions and their members did not blindly support Perón; in many cases they did so reluctantly. For decades they had struggled to secure a place in the society and for
material gains but had usually failed. They saw this moment as a chance to achieve their longstanding dreams, because Perón needed the union leaders as much as
they needed him.
Just as important as concrete rewards was the sense workers had that they now formed a legitimate part of the larger society. For the first time, union leaders were
assigned to important posts, both political and bureaucratic. A former secretary general of the largest labor confederation, Luis Cerutti, held a conspicuous job in the
secretariat. A Socialist and longtime lawyer for the largest railroad union, Juan Bramuglia, received an appointment as acting governor of the Province of Buenos
Aires. At some point in 1945 psychological links were forged between Perón and many workers that proved powerful and long lasting.
Perón made intense personal appeals to unions. His charisma gave his actions a decided impact. In speaking to unions, he stressed their importance to him. "I come to
the house of the railroaders as if it were my own. I profess a profound gratitude to them, because I am convinced that many of the successes of the Secretariat . . . are
due precisely to the railroad workers." He also suggested that he was almost one of them, since he was an honorary president of the largest rail union. Perón
attempted to show that he cared about the workers. 21 This appeal was especially effective because workers had been socially and politically isolated prior to 1943.
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The relationship between many workers and Perón was sealed by the dramatic events of October 1945, which became a founding myth of Peronism. While Perón
had built a following within the working class, he had become extremely unpopular with other sectors of the society. In the minds of many, the military regime was
identified with Fascist Italy or Nazi Germany. (The regime contained many who sympathized with the Axis.) The opposition saw themselves as resembling the citizens
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of occupied France. The end of World War II made the situation of the regime difficult and obliged military leaders to reduce censorship and repression. Students and
the middle class responded with frequent antiregime demonstrations. Many military officers disliked Perón's policies and removed him from all of his positions on
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October 9.
Perón's dismissal created a vacuum. His enemies hesitated, unsure of what to do next. Workers and their union leaders, however, responded rapidly, afraid that they
permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
would lose the gains of the previous two years. Employers canceled recently won concessions, and the newly created Columbus Day holiday was ignored. Some
union leaders went to the government seeking reassurances, which they received. Others met secretly outside of Buenos Aires to plan a general strike. 22 On October
16, the national labor confederation (CGT) voted to hold a general strike in two days.
On October 17, a hot spring morning, thousands of workers surged into downtown Buenos Aires, especially from workingclass suburbs to the south. Later, when the
bridge across the Riachuelo River was raised, they crossed on improvised rafts. The crowd congregated in the plaza in front of the presidential palace and called for
Perón's return. The crowd was remarkably well behaved and (legend notwithstanding) well dressed: photographs show most men in ties and jackets despite the heat.
Some did take off their jackets and shirts, and a few waded in the fountains. This led to the scornful use of the term descamisados (shirtless ones) for Perón's
supporters. Soon it became a proud symbol of Peronism, and rallies often saw the doffing of jackets as a sign of solidarity and pride in being working class (though
many were not). The elite and middle class became uneasy, not so much because of the actual behavior of the crowd, but because the city was no longer totally theirs.
Only in a society so middle class in mores could this symbolic rejection of bourgeois values appear threatening. This kind of social tension was extremely important in
understanding both the attraction and the repulsion that was felt for populist measures.
Faced with the prospect of having to clear a plaza filled with perhaps a quarter of a million Perón supporters, the military relented and released Perón. This opened the
way for his participation in presidential elections.23
What had happened? Legend has it that Perón's friend and soontobe wife, Eva Duarte (better known as Evita), rallied the workers on his behalf. Marysa Navarro
has demonstrated that Evita lacked the contacts and the public persona to do so.24 The demonstration was planned, because simultaneous protests occurred in
workingclass suburbs and in various places around the country. It could not have been the direct result of the CGT's strike call, which was issued too late and for the
following day.
The fact is that some union leaders had been pushing for a strike since October 9 and the workers were primed for action. During the 1930s the
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union movement had developed legitimacy and connections that stretched across all the worker barrios of greater Buenos Aires. Workers did not need much
encouragement and poured out into the streets. Although the participants and many others were extremely proud, some felt distress and even distaste for the events of
the day. For the first time the working class had reshaped the history of Argentina. The October 17 experience created a bond between workers and Perón that still
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exists. By returning Perón to power, workers had changed the course of politics and given themselves a greater sense of pride, a realization of their power, and a new
identification as Peronists.
Presidential elections were called for February 1946, and although Perón was a candidate, he was not expected to win. Virtually all the traditional parties supported
the candidate of the Radical Party, José Tamborini. The United States openly opposed Perón. People thought that workers would follow the wishes of the parties that
had traditionally claimed their support, the Socialists and the Communists. Perón's principal backing came from the Partido Laborista, founded in the wake of the
October 17 demonstrations. Modeled on the British Labor Party and based on some labor leaders' dreams of an independent organization that could push for social
reform, the party relied on unions. 25 Perón also received support from dissident Radicals, some conservatives, and the Catholic Church.
With the Partido Laborista doing much of the organizational legwork in urban areas and with heavy union support, Perón won a solid 52.4 percent of the vote.
Moreover, candidates allied with him swept into both houses of Congress in overwhelming numbers. Even in provinces in which modern working classes had not yet
developed, Perón won handily.26 There dissident politicians, with material help from the state, had used traditional methods to obtain votes. As in many populist
regimes, traditional politics combined with new forms of mobilization.
Perón in Power
Perón had the option of ruling democratically. His majority in Congress allowed him to do almost anything he desired. In the fashion of Argentine populists, Perón
pulled power to himself and refused to share it, even in symbolic terms, with those who did not support him. The regime gradually became more authoritarian,
copyright law.
especially after 1950, when the economy began to deteriorate. The process began very early. In May 1946, under considerable pressure from Perón, the Partido
Laborista was dissolved. The CGT was soon obligated to shed its independent secretary general, Luis Gay, and submit to a Perón appointee.27 Perón never had
room for people who were not totally devoted to him. With the 1951 seizure of La Prensa,
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Image not available.
Copyright © 1999. University of Alabama Press. All rights
President Juan Perón demonstrates a pair of miniature cigarette lighters in the shape
of pistols on July 5, 1951. With him is his wife Evita.
reserved. May not be reproduced in any form without
(Courtesy of UPI/CorbisBettmann, New York. Used by permission.)
a serious and traditional newspaper that catered to the elite, only one important daily, La Nación, remained independent of the government. Opposition to the regime
under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
became increasingly dangerous. Jailings and generalized repression became extensive.
Still, Perón was never content to be a dictator. He was a populist and as such always anxious to expand his bases of support, and he was highly successful. An
important reason for Perón's growing popularity was the rapid economic growth that occurred during the first years of his presidency. Real hourly wages went up 25
percent in 1947 and increased almost as much the following year. The percentage of national income going to workers increased 25 percent between 1946 and 1950.
While not all sectors benefited—agriculture was being squeezed for the advantage of the urban sectors—the economy grew at high rates in both 1946 and 1947 and
only slowed down somewhat the following year. 28
Prosperity allowed Perón to expand his political base. Many businessmen began to support him, partly because he was in power but also due
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to the new opportunities he offered. Perón also moved to consolidate his support with workers through enactment of better pension plans, health care, and vacation
resorts. These were provided through the unions.
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Symbolic gains were often as important as material ones. During the 1930s resentment had spread against foreign ownership of key public utilities. (In addition to
nationalist sentiments, many believed that the state could provide better and more efficient service.) With the money Argentina had earned during World War II, Perón
set about buying many of them, including the telephone and railroad companies. This was extraordinarily popular with wide sectors of the population.
Eva Duarte de Perón (Evita) played a crucial role in the development of the symbolic side of Peronism. An actress when she met Perón in 1944, she rapidly
developed an interest in politics. Her influence on Perón and their open relationship was so unconventional that it helped spur the military coup against Perón in
October 1945. In a society where women did not have the vote and where their public role remained traditional, Perón and Evita stood out as people willing to defy
social norms. She not only displayed an interest in politics and played an active part, but Perón accepted and perhaps encouraged it. Moreover, he defied convention
by marrying a woman with "a past," shortly after October 17, 1945. 29
Once Perón became president, Evita rapidly emerged as a political force. While she never held an official post within the newly created Ministry of Labor, she became
the power broker. She played much the same role as Juan had during the period when he built support in 1944 and 1945. It was Evita who obtained for a union
whatever improvement it sought. She was increasingly loved by large sectors of the poorer classes. Evita could not be perceived as a threat by Perón, however, as she
could not be separated from him. This she expressed in her autobiography: "In different ways we both wanted to do the same thing: he with intelligence; I with the
heart; he, prepared for the fray; I ready for everything without knowing anything; he cultured and I simple; he great and I small; he master and I pupil. He the figure
and I the shadow. He sure of himself, and I sure only of him!"30
Although not a particularly good actress, Evita, like Ronald Reagan, found her perfect role in the public arena. Her speeches were very effective, touching the hearts of
many (and raising the ire of others). While Perón gradually became more presidential and less strident, Evita, on the other hand, was frequently vituperative. Her
denunciations of the oligarchy seemed heartfelt. She too had charisma and Marysa Navarro has argued that the special interaction between the Peróns prevented his
charisma from being routinized by the exercise of power.31
In 1947 Evita opened the Eva Perón Foundation (it was formally estab
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lished the following year). The foundation was supported mostly by tax revenues, but it also received donations, some given freely and some not so freely. The
foundation took over social welfare institutions from an already discredited organization that had been poorly run by women from the elite.
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Evita's foundation did everything from managing orphanages and building hospitals to organizing boys' soccer tournaments. It became a bridge between people and
Evita. She became the personal intercessor to whom one went when in need. She would regularly hold court and give petitioners what they wanted. Access to her was
relatively simple. She was pictured as quasisaintly in this largely Catholic nation. She was described as kissing on the mouth, for example, a woman with syphilis or
leprosy and not worrying about catching it. She became the subject of widespread propaganda and popular beliefs. 32 The foundation was unique, since it combined
the resources of a large state institution with the personal leadership of Evita. The sewing machine given to a needy woman came not from the institution but from Evita
herself.
Argentine women received the vote for the first time in 1947. Evita was very influential in the last stages of the campaign for women's suffrage. She was given more
credit than she deserved by both supporters and enemies. After the vote was obtained, Evita insisted on creating and leading a separate Peronist woman's party.
Women's branches soon stretched across the country. When Perón ran for reelection in 1951, he received a much higher percentage of votes from women than from
men.33 Evita's role in this feat was enormous.
Perón also attempted to establish a cultural hegemony to revise Argentina's vision of itself. This was particularly difficult since Peronism, like other populist movements,
had no consistent ideology. The movement did, however, spawn a subculture that thrived long afterward. Rituals such as the celebration of May Day were reformed
and "Peronized" to stress the benefits that workers had received and the harmony that existed under Perón. School curricula stressed Catholic values and glorified the
Peróns.34 Cities and even provinces were named after the Peróns. Monuments were erected.
The Peronists' efforts to redefine the culture produced tremendous tensions in the society. The Catholic Church, an early ally, felt that the Peronist culture impinged on
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its arena and began to distance itself from the regime. The opposition of much of the middle and upper classes also intensified as they saw their vision of the country
challenged. This lay atop the repression, the symbolic and real challenge to upper and middleclass dominance of Argentine society, and the resentment at the
enlarged role of the working class.
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After 1948 the economy began to deteriorate, in part due to shifts in Argentina's international terms of trade. Many economic gains were reversed. Those earlier
drawn to the regime by prosperity withdrew their support. After Evita's death in 1952, there remained no one close to Perón strong enough to give sound advice, and
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he seemed intoxicated by power. Repression intensified. By 1954–55 tensions in the society were extremely high. There were no neutrals. Military officers with
considerable civilian assistance overthrew Perón in September 1955.
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Like the Radicals before them, the Peronists saw themselves as the only viable option for the nation. This exclusivity and lack of tolerance intensified resistance by
excluded sectors, helping to cause the regime's downfall.
After the Fall
The lines etched into the society by Perón's populist regime were not erased by the leader's fall from power. Society became even more divided between those who
believed that Peronism needed to be expunged from Argentina and those who supported it. Other legacies of Peronism were numerous. The unions had emerged as
crucial political actors; regimes defied them at their own risk. The state's role in the economy had become extremely large with many sectors dominated by government
corporations. The bureaucracy had grown even more bloated and inefficient.
After a brief interlude in which the military attempted a policy of "neither victors nor vanquished," harsh repression began against those who sided with Perón. The
mere public mention of his name was forbidden. Symbols and images of Peronism were banned. The government aided efforts to take unions away from the Peronists
and barred old leaders from office. 35
The results were not at all what those in power hoped, as commitment to Peronism increased. A resistance movement emerged, which for a number of years
organized sabotage and terrorist activities. New militant leaders fiercely loyal to Perón took power in the unions. Later, restrictions were eased but Argentina remained
divided. Approximately onethird of the population—mostly working class and poor—remained deeply Peronist and were loyal to a culture very different from that of
the majority. Meanwhile, middleclass supporters of Peronism had largely fallen away. A larger portion of the citizenry viewed Peronism as anathema.
The military did not wish to continue to rule and advocated a return to democracy. Yet democracy became, in Guillermo O'Donnell's words, "an impossible game."36
The military, backed by a considerable segment of the civilian population, refused to permit the Peronists to take part in elections or, when they did, to hold office.
Since the Peronists were the largest
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party in the country, their exclusion rendered electoral politics a sham. From 1958 to 1966 the ground trembled under the feet of the elected governments, with the
military constantly intervening to block the Peronists. Periodic waves of labor unrest and a disappointing economic performance added to the uncertainties and
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prevented the formation of wider coalitions. No political force was capable of challenging the legacies of populism and winning. In addition, Fidel Castro's Cuban
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Revolution spurred the growth of the left, which produced tremendous anxiety among the elites.
From exile Perón continued to wield his influence, first backing one faction within his movement and then another, but not allowing any person to garner enough
prestige to supplant him as leader. He blocked the emergence of a Peronism without Perón. In the same fashion, he maneuvered to regain power while simultaneously
trying to prevent other forces from achieving stability and legitimacy.
When the military seized power in 1966, it attempted to clean out what it saw as a putrid economic and political system. It began to restructure and ''rationalize" the
economy. The regime also banned politics and tried to curb union power. A combination of economic and political frustrations and the worldwide rebelliousness of the
late 1960s led to a series of violent urban riots. The most famous, the Cordobazo of 1969, lasted two days, left as many as sixty dead and seriously undermined the
regime. 37
Several guerrilla groups also challenged the military. Guerrillas avowed loyalty to various leftwing ideologies as well as to a curious fusion of leftwing ideology and
Peronism. Perón gave the latter guerrillas his blessing. Revolution became chic. Mannequins in boutiques were dressed as revolutionaries. Primarily based in the
universities, a leftistleaning Peronist youth movement sprouted overnight. Again, Perón became the man of the hour. Those hoping for a Socialist and Peronist
Argentina supported him, as did those who yearned for stability, including many of his traditional enemies. His traditional supporters, especially the unions—his
principal allies since 1955—still eagerly backed him despite increasingly bloody clashes with the Peronist left.
In hope of stanching the violence, the military turned to elections. Ultimately, Perón was reelected to the presidency in 1973, and he offered many of the same
solutions as before. He was stymied, however, by the swirling conflicts of ideology. His movement's right and left wings could not possibly be reconciled, and he
repudiated his left wing. Then after little more than eight months in office, he died.38 He was succeeded by his third wife and vice president, María Estela, nicknamed
Isabelita, who lacked his prestige and savvy. Her time in office was marked by runaway inflation, as well as violence by the right, the left, and the security forces.
In March 1976 the military took over and inaugurated a period of terror unmatched in the country's history. The military made the word disappear
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Copyright © 1999. University of Alabama Press. All rights reserved. May not be reproduced in any form without permission from the publisher, except fair
uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
This poster, commemorating the thirtieth anniversary of the general strike
that freed Perón to run for president, evokes the image of Evita and Juan
to enhance the popularity of Isabelita Perón.
(Courtesy of Carol Hirschfeld Horowitz)
into a transitive verb, and documented evidence exists of almost ten thousand disappeared people. The real death toll was much higher, probably in the neighborhood
of thirty thousand. 39
Democracy returned in 1983, brought on by the military's total loss of legitimacy. The ruling junta had decided to invade the Malvinas Islands
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(The Falklands), in a desperate attempt to salvage a rapidly deteriorating economic situation and their loss of authority. The islands had been a British colony since the
early nineteenth century, but Argentina had always claimed them. A British counterattack retook the islands, and military prestige disintegrated.
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any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
The Radical Party government of Raúl Alfonsín, which won the presidential elections of 1983, cannot be called populist. It did, however, retain elements of populist
appeal. All parties used folkloric motifs, such as large drums, in their demonstrations. In addition, the Radicals had the hegemonic vision of populism: during the heady
moments of their greatest popularity they talked of the third historic movement (the first two were those of Yrigoyen and Perón). Power was increasingly concentrated
in the hands of Alfonsín, and the Radicals spoke of changing the constitution so he could be reelected.
These dreams raided quickly. Alfonsín had come to office promising to open the political system and make it conform to the rules of law. To a surprising extent he
succeeded. The key military commanders during the preceding dictatorship were tried and convicted. A series of military revolts, however, sharply limited the
government's power in this area. Still, it was the poor performance of the economy that destroyed Alfonsín's popularity. During the first exciting months of the return to
democracy, the staggering economic problems created by an unpayable foreign debt, high inflation, and the expectation of further high inflation were largely ignored.
Argentina was going to grow its way out. By the time the danger of the situation was realized, much political capital had been expended, and the government lacked
the popularity to overcome vested interests and an increasingly hostile labor movement. Despite valiant efforts, it failed to overcome either inflation or the debt.
Peronist Carlos Menem won the 1989 presidential election with a populist campaign that garnered him slightly under half the votes. A provincial governor with a
colorful lifestyle, he promised the redistributive policies that characterized populism, especially Peronism. Once in office, Menem reversed direction and instituted
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policies firmly rooted in neoliberalism. His models were Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, who believed that government involvement in the economy should be
sharply limited.
Populism had left a legacy of a large state role in the economy, and a bloated bureaucracy. Even repressive military regimes failed in attempts to change this situation.
What permitted the total reversal of this tradition was an outbreak of hyperinflation (during 1989 the cost of living rose some 5,000 percent) while Alfonsín was a lame
duck. Food riots and waves of fear swept over urban areas, and Alfonsín felt obliged to turn over power to Menem before the end of his term. (Nonetheless, it still
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marked the first time since the 1920s that a democratically elected president turned over the sash of office to his legitimately elected successor.) Still, the country was
gripped by fear, and this permitted or perhaps pushed Menem to change course. 40 People wanted to believe that that type of inflation could not happen again.
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Menem drastically opened up the economy to global competition and sold off most of the numerous state enterprises. Inflation has been tamed since 1991 and the
introduction of the convertibility plan, in which the peso is tied to the value of the dollar and pesos can be issued only when they have backing. The end of high inflation
has been extremely popular, but the longterm impacts of these changes are unclear. The changes in economic policy, however, have necessitated a major shift in
governing style. The old populist measures are no longer possible. The sale of state companies and the shrinkage of the bureaucracy has made government
employment much less important, and the general shortage of government funds has meant that wages in the public sphere are much lower than in the private sector.
Other ways of helping the poor also are limited severely by fiscal constraints. The continual expansion of the state sector of the economy that began under Yrigoyen
and under Perón has definitely been reversed.
Clearly, traditional populism ceases to be possible under this type of economy.41 Even when it is tried, it may no longer be electorally viable. The Peronist governor of
the Province of Buenos Aires, Eduardo Duhalde, attempted to create a political machine in his province using traditional methods. He even placed his wife, Hilda
(better known as Chiche), as head of an extensive social welfare and patronage operation that was supposed to reap large political benefits, especially among women.
In the October 1997 congressional elections, however, even with Chiche as the leading candidate in that province, the Peronists were soundly beaten. (For a
discussion of how populism can be merged with neoliberal economics, see chapter 10.)
or applicable copyright law.
Other vestiges of populism in Argentina have been deeply altered. The union movement has been greatly weakened and cannot effectively resist compression of real
wages and higher unemployment. In part this is due to a shrinking industrial base and the challenges produced by an economy opened to world competition, but it is
also due to Menem's ability to divide and conquer a movement that is paralyzed by its own blind loyalty to Peronism. It does not know how to oppose a Peronist
leader who continues to enjoy considerable support from the rank and file. The army also appears to be seriously weakened and its role in decision making has shrunk
greatly. Unlike during the presidencies of Yrigoyen and Perón, the opposition has largely accepted the legitimacy of Menem's regime. Menem does
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not, therefore, have the same vociferous opposition that marked Argentina's populist regimes. However, despite being in power and using the state's resources, he
could not increase his support beyond about half the electorate.
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except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
Still, the legacies of populism remain. Like Yrigoyen and Perón before him, in what can be called populist style, Menem amassed power, stretching the constitution.
He frequently bypassed Congress and issued decrees, issuing more of the latter than all his predecessors combined. Also, Menem packed the supreme court and
limited the autonomy of the court system. Again like his populist forebear, he made himself the center of all attention, appearing frequently on television. He cavorted
with sports teams and with super models. While he used less rhetoric about hegemony over other political sectors than Alfonsín did, the hegemonic overtones to the
regime were stronger. Menem had the constitution rewritten so that he could win reelection to a second term, which he did with slightly less than half the votes cast. In
1998, despite Menem's dismal showing in the polls, some Peronists called for a further amendment to the constitution so that Menem can run for a third consecutive
term. Ultimately, Menem had to reject these attempts. The policies of Menem are clearly not traditionally populist, but the political style has left its mark.
The era of populism may be over in Argentina but the scars remain. A tradition of the strong party leader—which may be a populist trait—lingers. There is a
reluctance to accept other parties as legitimate political contenders. The populist faith that only their movement knows the truth remains. In addition, many sectors of
society remain highly suspicious of Peronism in part because of lack of faith in its commitment to democratic beliefs and in part because of its class and cultural basis.
This suspicion is less intense than it has been previously. While much has changed in Argentine society in recent years, some of the divisions left by populism remain.
Populism helped create a society where the opposition was viewed as lacking essential virtues. It helped create a large state and bureaucracy. Populism may have
brought new groups into the society, but it also divided the nation and made it more unstable.
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
3—
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Brazil's Populist Republic and Beyond
Michael L. Conniff
Populism began late in Brazil because entrenched antidemocratic political leaders resisted opening up the system to broad participation. But by midcentury populism
reached a fever pitch. During the 1950s nearly a dozen figures fought for national office in populist fashion, and they left a major imprint on the political culture. The
military takeover of 1964 brought the demise of the socalled Populist Republic, the most intense political arena in the Americas at the time.
After a decade of repressive government, the military began to allow more open participation again, and a few of the oldtimers returned and managed to win state
level offices. None of the elder populists could get a clear shot at the presidency, however, and the promising career of newcomer Fernando Collor de Melo crashed
two years into his term as president. By the mid1990s the populist style in politics seemed destined to fade from the scene, replaced by more moderate approaches.
1
ProtoPopulists
During the 1920s several elected officials in Rio de Janeiro began to conduct what would later be called populist politics. Maurício Lacerda, Adolfo Bergamini, and
João de Azevedo Lima broke with the usual clientelism and appealed to larger constituencies in the city. They promised to reform government and to fight for the
greater good of society as a whole. Just as important, they began to find independent voters and organizations that would support their elections. They pioneered a
style of leadership that would flourish during the populist heyday of the 1950s.2
Rio's protopopulists of the 1920s represented working and lowermiddle class precincts, where public services lagged behind more affluent districts. They spoke
often and loudly to citizens throughout the city, drawing crowds with their flamboyant manners. They were nonconformists, fed up with doing things the way they had
always been done. They
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championed the underdog and attacked the powerful. In the city council and federal congress they made headlines by denouncing the cozy deals and minor
corruptions that kept the wheels of government greased. They always had a social measure to push or some miscarriage of justice to decry.
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any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
These reformminded, outspoken leaders in Rio made an important innovation by recruiting groups as well as individuals. They represented labor unions, employee
associations, retired persons, and neighborhoods, thereby expanding their electoral followings. Their constituents were often less welltodo than those of traditional
politicians, but they were more numerous, which counted most on election day. To critics, this broadbased representation was demagoguery, because it "converted
individual corruption into that of groups, classes, and special interests." This simple but powerful breakthrough would make possible the great populist movements of
the 1940s and 1950s. The reformers opened the doors to politics for the masses.
The 1930 presidential election, which pitted Getúlio Vargas against official candidate Júlio Prestes, witnessed a major increase in voter recruitment. Vargas ran on a
reform platform that had great appeal in the cities and among middleclass voters. Rio's reformers, in particular, campaigned heavily for Vargas, as did opposition
leaders in other cities. As a result, the turnout was much higher than it had ever been. Still, Vargas lost, because most politicians did not go along with him and kept
their voters in the loyalist camp. The country did not, however, return to politics as usual. 3
When Vargas and his supporters carried out a revolution in late 1930, many of the reformminded politicians supported him and ended up in his new government.
Bergamini became mayor of Rio, and Lacerda was appointed city attorney, for example. The disarray of the new government, however, and the financial exigencies
caused by the New York stock market crash of 1929, prevented Vargas from accomplishing anything serious in his early months. He had too few jobs and too little
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patronage to spread around.
Soon, a revolution within the revolution occurred. Toughminded men who had risked their lives fighting to install Vargas now formed a pressure group, the Club 3 de
Outubro (named for the date the revolution began). They were called the tenentes, since many were former lieutenants who had been cashiered in the 1920s for their
revolutionary activities. They supported Vargas in hopes of restoring their commissions and promoting the nationalistic reforms they had championed earlier. The
pressure they exerted put Vargas in a bind, forcing him to choose between them and the civilian reformers. In order to survive, Vargas chose the tenentes, in what
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amounted to a coup. One of the tenente leaders, Pedro Ernesto Baptista, became mayor of Rio de Janeiro in mid1931. 4
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
The First Populist
Pedro Ernesto, as he would be known later, became Brazil's first genuine populist. His background would hardly have suggested such a career. A Pernambucan youth
who had migrated to Rio to study medicine, Pedro Ernesto stayed and developed into a gifted surgeon. With the backing of some Portuguese investors, he built the
largest and bestequipped surgical clinic in South America. For personal reasons, he became embroiled in the struggles of the tenentes during the 1920s and with them
joined Vargas's revolution in 1930. Because of his aid to them over the years, the tenentes chose Pedro Ernesto as president of the Club 3 de Outubro in 1931.
Vargas, who united with the tenentes temporarily during 1931 and 1932 in order to retain power, soon distanced himself from their brash and unpopular actions and
encouraged allies to do the same. Pedro Ernesto accepted Vargas's advice to form a party and run for mayor of Rio. The platform of his new group, called the
Autonomist Party of the Federal District, stressed local selfrule for Rio de Janeiro. Pedro Ernesto, meanwhile, underwent a major transformation in the eyes of the
public, from revolutionary to social democrat.
Inspired by the experiments of the 1920s reformers, Pedro Ernesto began inviting organizations into his party. The easiest to recruit were federal and municipal
employees, whose associations received benefits in exchange for their votes. Next he turned to unions and workers in major utilities companies. In each case, a
delegate of the group was taken into the party hierarchy. Soon the core of the movement was firmly secured by employee and workers organizations representing tens
of thousands of voters. Not coincidentally, the new federal election law authorized unions and employers to register their members and present them en masse to
election officials. In a matter of months, Pedro Ernesto's party easily dominated local elections.5
While party lieutenants were lining up organizations to vote for Pedro Ernesto, his associates helped him create a new public persona. He returned to his civilian
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clothing and was addressed as doutor, in deference to his medical career. His clinic treated hundreds of people free each week, so that he became known for his
compassion and charity. He began to speak on a radio station owned by the city. His party even founded a newspaper to publicize its program and candidates. In
fact, the Autonomist Party was the first to operate a modern campaign in Brazil, albeit on a municipal level.
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Early in his administration, Pedro Ernesto had appointed a brilliant educational reformer, Anísio Teixeira, to be director of schools in Rio. With enthusiasm and zeal,
Teixeira set out to provide a place for every child in the city. He built twentyeight new schools and put the entire system on two shifts a day, so that all children could
be accommodated. The city even built a school in a shantytown, the infamous favela of Mangueira. Teixeira introduced a new philosophy, called the New School,
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which placed the child at the center of the learning process. In all, Teixeira inspired devotion and respect from teachers and school officials.
Pedro Ernesto, meanwhile, expanded the city's health service by constructing six new hospitals in poor and outlying districts. He appointed hundreds of new physicians
and nurses. This was a natural initiative for a doctorpolitician to pursue, and it made him very popular. He became known throughout the city as the builder of schools
and hospitals. His image became that of a benevolent doctor. His administration had a centerleft appeal, as did many other regimes formed during the 1930s.
In order to penetrate lowerclass precincts and register voters, the Autonomist Party divided the city into zones and designated chiefs to find new recruits in each area.
Here patronage came into play, as local constituents signed up in exchange for favors of the most varied sorts. Party agents promised jobs, medical treatment,
pensions, street paving, water and sewer lines, electric service, schools, and police protection. Pedro Ernesto, as head of the party, reaped the popularity while his
chiefs and lieutenants concentrated on adding new voters to the rolls.
The results were spectacular. In 1930, during the most intense election ever held in Brazil, 64,000 people voted in Rio de Janeiro. Four years later, after new voter
lists had been developed, nearly twice as many, 110,000 people, voted. Pedro Ernesto, the reformist mayor who built schools and hospitals, became enormously
popular. His appeal reached from the favelas to government offices and from lowermiddle class neighborhoods to the highest chambers of business and finance. In
the 1934 election, his party took eight out of ten council seats and then chose him for the 1934–38 mayoral term.
By 1935 Pedro Ernesto became a national figure courted by politicians from other states. His very success, however, made him a target for both friends and enemies:
leftists tried to take advantage of his popularity, and rightists attacked him as a dangerous radical. The Communists who plotted the November revolt of that year, for
example, tried hard to recruit him to their cause. By the same token, rightwing groups targeted him because of his friendship with leftists and his tolerance of their
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causes.
When the 1935 communist revolt broke out, police and military investigators attempted to link Pedro Ernesto with the conspirators. They
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rounded up intellectuals and writers and succeeded in shutting down the Federal District University that Anísio Teixeira had founded. But the mayor had actually
forewarned President Vargas and so he remained in the clear.
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In early 1936 Pedro Ernesto seemed destined for higher office, and his name circulated as a possible 1938 successor to Vargas, who was ineligible for reelection. But
the capture of communist leader Luís Carlos Prestes in March 1936 and the discovery of letters (unanswered) to the mayor led to the latter's arrest on charges of
conspiracy. He had clearly become too popular and ambitious to be allowed to govern Brazil's capital city any longer. Vargas allowed the police to arrest him.
Pedro Ernesto spent several years defending himself against charges of treason, and he was eventually absolved. By that time, however, Vargas had already launched
his New State (1937–45), an autocratic regime that erased most vestiges of democracy. When Pedro Ernesto succumbed to cancer in 1942, he received the largest
funeral in the history of Rio de Janeiro.
The Rise of Populism
One of Vargas's appointees in 1938 was another surgeon, Adhemar de Barros, scion of a wealthy coffee family in São Paulo and dabbler in politics during the 1930s.
Brilliant, outgoing, and ambitious, Adhemar used his appointment to launch himself into a career in politics. He immediately began building hospitals, schools, and
highways to impress his constituents. He published glossy magazines touting his projects and sent his wife out to visit charity organizations. Imitating Franklin
Roosevelt, he even broadcast fireside chats over the radio. This was the beginning of one of Brazil's most extraordinary populist careers. 6
Adhemar de Barros was neither liked nor trusted by the traditional political leaders of his state, and in 1941 they succeeded in having him removed from office. That
did not deter him for long, however. With his family money and connections, plus faithful aides from his threeyear stint as governor, he would begin politicking again in
the newly democratic environment of postwar Brazil.
Vargas himself began a career makeover in 1943 and 1944, anticipating a transition to democracy after the war. He addressed his speeches increasingly to the
workers, and he rhetorically allied himself with their interests. His labor ministers remained in the background, allowing Vargas to get the credit for new social and
labor programs. The 1943 Consolidation of Labor Laws (CLT), in particular, established Vargas as a friend of the Brazilian worker. By 1944 a veritable media blitz
vaunted the benefits Vargas had
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bestowed on the masses. The culmination was his order in early 1945 that the labor minister create a party to capitalize on this popularity. Thus was born the Brazilian
Labor Party (PTB). Even though he did not embrace the populist style wholly, Vargas began to experiment with it. Perhaps he secretly admired the approaches that
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
Pedro Ernesto and Adhemar had pioneered. From all indications, Vargas succeeded in winning the lasting support of Brazil's workers and poor. 7
Before he could put his new party to the test in elections, Vargas was overthrown by the army in late 1945. He took refuge on the family ranch in Rio Grande do Sul,
in a selfimposed exile. Vargas did win a senate seat the following year, however, and he kept up a modest presence in Rio de Janeiro. He nursed his pride and
pondered his chances of returning to power someday to vindicate his record as president.
The Heyday of Populism
In the meantime, Adhemar formed the populiststyle Social Progressive Party in São Paulo and ran for governor in 1947. Finding his upperclass background a
hindrance, he adopted the image of a roughandtumble provincial (caipira). Spending his own money as well as others', he expanded his following by hiring publicity
experts, commissioning polls, purchasing radio stations and newspapers, and flying his own airplane to farflung towns. In office he stressed more building programs—
schools, hospitals, highways, and dams—that glorified his image as ''the Manager." Tempted by the presidency in 1950, he nonetheless withdrew in favor of Vargas,
on the understanding that the latter would support him in 1955.8
Vargas came out of his quasiretirement to run for president in 1950 in what became the first truly modern election in the country. It also established his credentials as
a fullfledged populist. He chose to be a reluctant candidate who could only be coaxed into the arena again by the will of the people. He remained at his ranch until just
months before the election, aloof from the usual byplay of campaigning. Instead, he held quiet consultations with visitors, making deals and waiting for the right
moment to go public with his candidacy. Meanwhile, he kept up an intense correspondence with his daughter Alzira, who lived in Rio and acted as his campaign
manager and strategist.
Alzira Vargas do Amaral Peixoto (married to an important figure in the government party, the conservative Social Democratic Party—PSD) conducted Vargas's
campaign from her apartment in Rio, staying in close touch with her father by courier mail. She assembled a campaign team to coordinate with other candidacies, raise
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funds, prepare speeches, organize trips, issue press releases, and prepare ballots (a responsibility of candi
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dates before official ballots were adopted). Her apartment became the unofficial headquarters for Vargas's election. 9
Perhaps the most important role Alzira played was helping her father create just the right image for the masses in 1950. Vargas would be a solitary figure, maligned by
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ungrateful politicians and parties, who nonetheless held a covenant with the common people. He had brought about economic development and industrialization, and
more importantly, he had protected the interests of the workers in that process. Under his leadership, Brazil had played an important part in world affairs, respected
and courted by the great powers. Especially important was his sponsorship of a wide array of rights and social programs for the working class.
Now in his sixties, Vargas considered returning to office to finish the job by protecting the country's new wealth from rapacious elites and greedy foreigners. The
nationalism of his stance complemented his earlier stress on economic development and labor. Yet he would only run for office if the people demanded this ultimate
sacrifice from their beloved leader.
The candidate's visual images proved very appealing. Photographs and caricatures showed Vargas on his ranch, wearing cowboy garb and drinking the traditional
yerba mate tea of the region. He often posed while he smoked cigars. He always smiled and exuded an air of confidence, thoughtfulness, and pleasure at being around
friends. The people needed him, not vice versa. The campaign staff distributed tens of thousands of publicity sheets depicting Vargas in this way.
Simultaneously his daughter Alzira directed the activities of the feminine branch of the PTB. Vargas had given women the vote in 1932, making Brazil the third country
in the hemisphere to recognize women's suffrage. By the late 1940s women worked in myriad jobs throughout the economy, from industry and finance to teaching and
health services. Those in manufacturing were becoming quite active in labor disputes. Although the PTB women's branch was staffed largely by welltodo activists, its
appeal penetrated deep into the social pyramid. Working women were especially appreciative of the protections provided for them under the CLT of 1943. Polls
showed that Vargas enjoyed a substantial lead in preferences among women.
Once Vargas decided to announce himself a candidate, he moved quickly to consolidate his popularity. Meanwhile the organization Alzira had assembled translated
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the people's preferences into votes on election day. The centerpiece of the campaign was a bruising twomonth tour of eightyfour cities in a rented DC3. At each
stop, Vargas had a tailormade speech drafted by staff and vetted by himself. Seen everywhere as a smiling, warm, grandfatherly figure, Vargas became the best
known and mostliked person in the country. When the votes were finally counted, Vargas
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publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
Getúlio Vargas campaigns in 1950, with his wife Darcy and
daughter Alzira at his side.
(Courtesy of Arquivo Adhemar de Barros, São Paulo)
had won 48 percent in a contested threeway race, the highest plurality ever received in Brazil.
Vargas tried hard to carry out his promises to the masses, especially regarding protection of natural resources, economic planning, and a fair distribution of wealth. He
created a national development bank tasked with channeling public loans to basic and critical industries. He proposed nationalizing all petroleum development and
refining, a sector notorious for high profits and excessive remittances abroad. This passed in 1953 and gave rise to Petrobras, today one of the world's largest public
held companies. Vargas also submitted to Congress a bill that would have nationalized electric power utilities so they could push service into poor and rural areas. This
effort failed due to heavy lobbying from the industry. Finally, Vargas continued to give special attention to labor laws, social security, unemployment, and welfare
services. 10
In all, Vargas's second administration produced some major social progress, yet it did so in a climate of heightened political and economic conflict. Vargas's PTB
PSD coalition in Congress began to unravel. The military became restive over advances made by labor unions. The economy plunged into a recession in 1952, and
Vargas, sixtynine years old, had lost some of the deft touch he had shown earlier. His administration began to founder in early 1954.
No one rocked Vargas's boat more than a young and brilliant newspaper
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writer named Carlos Lacerda. The only populist born in a major city (Rio), Lacerda was the son of Rio's 1920s reformer, Maurício Lacerda. Writing at first for the
sensational press and later in his own paper, Tribuna da Imprensa, Lacerda became an indefatigable crusader who despised politics as usual. A man of deep and
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conflicted emotions, Lacerda plunged into every controversy as if Brazil's destiny depended upon him. Graced with a high and versatile intellect, plus exquisite
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speaking abilities, Lacerda became the enfant terrible of 1950s Brazilian politics. President Vargas was on the receiving end of most of Lacerda's attacks. 11
Lacerda entered politics in the 1930s as an ally of Luís Carlos Prestes but was forced to bow out after the 1935 revolt failed. In the 1940s he began a long migration
toward the right of the ideological spectrum, by repudiating his father, renouncing communism, converting to Catholicism, and devoting himself to protecting the public
trust. In 1947 he won election to Rio's city council, where he perfected his skills as an orator and crusader. He eventually found a home, not very comfortable, in the
opposition National Democratic Union (UDN) party.
Lacerda campaigned for any cause, large or small, on the grounds that the public must be served by honest men. Uncompromising, flamboyant, outspoken, and
outrageous at times, Lacerda became famous for his attacks on the establishment. After 1950 Vargas symbolized the establishment, and hence he was the target of
Lacerda's most concentrated criticism.
In mid1954 Vargas's bodyguard, probably acting alone, attempted to assassinate Lacerda but instead killed an air force major who was providing security for him.
The attempt on Lacerda's life, coupled with the other misdeeds he had charged Vargas with, culminated in a national campaign to impeach or overthrow the president.
This in turn precipitated a military coup in August that triggered the president's suicide. It was literally a contest of titans, a battle between the old and the young
populists, and Lacerda led the winning side. Lacerda became known as the slayer of giants, adored by his followers but detested by Vargas's faithful.
Lacerda had been campaigning for a seat in Congress, which he won handily in October 1954, partly due to his fame. In fact, he received more votes than any other
congressional candidate. He had adopted the lantern as his symbol, to shine light into the dark corners of government. His new office allowed him to scrutinize the
entire federal government, which he did with his customary relish and fiery oratory.
Populism after Vargas
Adhemar had toyed with the idea of running for president in 1950, but he desisted when polls he commissioned showed Vargas far ahead. Instead,
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he made a deal to support Vargas in exchange for the latter's backing in 1955. Adhemar returned to São Paulo and prepared to run for the governorship in 1954.
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At this point, Adhemar's flamboyant career was blocked by the meteoric Jânio Quadros, a thoroughgoing populist. Jânio had appeared out of nowhere to win a São
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Paulo city council seat in 1947. As he campaigned and agitated, Jânio gained a reputation as a bohemian, unpredictable, and quixotic figure. In 1950 he won a seat in
the state legislature, where his notoriety grew due to his constant questioning of officials and demands for honesty and morality in public office. He adopted the broom
as his campaign symbol, by which he implied he would sweep corruption out of government. 12
In 1953, with the backing of Paulistano influentials, he ran for mayor on a platform that stressed cleaning up graft and curbing expenditures. His victory over veteran
politicians attracted national attention, and the following year he took on Adhemar de Barros in the gubernatorial election. He used unorthodox appeals that won
broad support from the working and middle classes. A surprise endorsement carried on television marked the first effective use of that new medium in Brazilian
politics. Jânio's victory confirmed his reputation as a dragon slayer and quintessential populist.
Jânio and Adhemar both looked covetously at the presidency in 1955. Jânio ended up not running, however, and an indictment for corruption stalled Adhemar's
campaign. Instead, the highest office went to another populist, Juscelino Kubitschek.
Juscelino had worked his way up the political ladder in Minas Gerais, Brazil's most populous state. Having reached the governorship, he believed he had a chance to
win the presidency in 1955. He conferred with government party leaders and with Vargas himself and realized that it would be a wideopen race. Vargas's 1954
suicide made it even harder to predict the outcome.
Juscelino threw himself into the fray with an energy and determination rarely seen. He had already won a reputation for vigor: he traveled so much in Minas Gerais he
was known as the "jetpropelled governor." His presidential campaign included several grueling trips in a specially equipped DC3, in which he visited hundreds of
towns and logged tens of thousands of miles. He used the radio extensively and even made some television spots to publicize his plan of action if elected. He left
nothing to chance, even giving the vice presidential nomination to the PTB in order to win that party's support.13
Juscelino's hard work paid off with a plurality of votes in 1955. Unable to relax even as president, he threw himself into his job and pledged to produce "fifty years of
progress in five." Among his accomplishments were
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a fledgling automobile industry, expansion of capital goods manufacturing, a new capital city in Brasília, improved highways, and a more vigorous foreign policy.
Toward the end Juscelino also used his term to begin running for reelection in 1965.
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Juscelino's running mate, João "Jango" Goulart, also made a career as a populist. A neighbor of Vargas during the latter's estrangement from politics in the 1940s,
Goulart joined the PTB and soon became party chief in Rio Grande do Sul. Handsome, wealthy, and ambitious, Jango helped Vargas ride herd over the many PTB
constituencies. In 1953, in fact, Vargas appointed him minister of labor, to handle an unexpected surge of strikes and labor disruptions. Jango's solution, doubling the
general wage levels, so enraged employers and conservatives that they forced his resignation. Vargas nevertheless granted the wage increase and enhanced his and
Jango's reputations as friends of labor. 14
When Juscelino invited Jango to be his running mate, he hoped to restore a coalition that Vargas himself had envisioned in 1945, between working politicians who
belonged to the PSD and newer labor and popular leaders in the PTB. Jango got out the votes and made sure that Juscelino won, but he himself received more votes
than the president. Afterward, Jango occupied himself with labor and social policy, leaving economics and other initiatives to Juscelino. Their parties never coalesced,
and each leader remained close to his original constituency. It was a workable arrangement but hardly ideal. Populists never found it easy to share power with others.
Adhemar, meanwhile, managed to win acquittal of the charges against him and staged a comeback by winning the São Paulo mayor's race in 1957. His personal
wealth grew, and he invested heavily in campaign slogans, literature, polls, and public works. His life became an eternal election campaign.
From the moment of his election as governor in 1954, Jânio had turned his attention to the presidential succession. He used his potential candidacy in 1955 as leverage
to gain influence and federal patronage. During his gubernatorial term, São Paulo prospered from business expansion and heavy investments in infrastructure. São
Paulo surpassed Rio in population in the 1950s and became an industrial megalopolis.
In 1959 Jânio began campaigning for president, accepting the nomination of the UDN but definitely remaining an independent. His fresh image, unorthodox methods,
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and promises of national prosperity attracted a plurality of the voters, who also returned João Goulart to the vice presidency. As the first president inaugurated in the
new capital of Brasília, Jânio made headlines in early 1961, pursuing an ambitious program of reforms while retaining his reputation for moralism and eccentricity. He
pursued fiscal
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austerity, an activist foreign policy, morality in government, and industrial expansion. 15
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Soon, however, relations between the president and Congress soured, and in August Jânio abruptly resigned. He hoped to be called back by Congress and graced
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with extraordinary powers and glory. Instead, Congress accepted his resignation and left him out of a job. The next year he announced his candidacy for another term
as governor of São Paulo, but in 1963 he was defeated by his old rival, Adhemar de Barros. Jânio's career seemed to have run its course.
Jânio's resignation as president in 1961, meanwhile, caused a crisis in Brasília. His vice president was none other than PTB chief Jango Goulart, who had quietly
supported Jânio's ticket in 1960. Jango's leftist tendencies, plus the fact that he was leading a trade mission in communist China in mid1961, led Jânio to believe that
the army and conservatives would not accept a vice presidential succession. He was right about that: the army, with support from Congress and the other service
chiefs, declared that Goulart could not become president. But neither did they call Jânio back.
At this point, another populist figure, Leonel Brizola, jumped into the limelight and virtually stole the show. Brizola had grown up poor in Rio Grande do Sul but
managed to earn an engineering degree. He joined the PTB in 1945 and proved a skillful organizer, with a penchant for militant socialist rhetoric. Through marriage to
Goulart's sister and hard work in the PTB, he became a leader in state politics. After holding several lesser posts, he won election as mayor of Porto Alegre in 1955
by promising to improve the lives of the workers. For three years he enhanced his reputation as an engineer with a social conscience, speaking on the radio, writing
newspaper colunms, meeting with civic groups, and supervising projects. He was definitely a comer.16
His success as mayor led to a victory in the 1958 gubernatorial election. His administration proved vigorous and constructive, marred only by the controversial
nationalizations of the Americanowned electric power and telephone companies.
When the army sought to prevent the succession of his brotherinlaw, João Goulart, to the presidency in 1961, Brizola organized a revolt among civilian and military
forces in Rio Grande. By threatening to divide the army, Brizola's challenge succeeded in forcing Goulart's accession to office. Brizola now had a national reputation
for aggressive, confrontational politics.
A year later Brizola won more national prominence by being elected federal deputy from Guanabara (formerly Federal District of Rio de Janeiro) by the most votes
ever cast. From his new political base he pres
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sured Goulart and Congress to carry out major reforms, such as land distribution, rent control, and nationalization of utilities. While popular among workers, Brizola's
platform alienated businessmen, the uppermiddle class, the U.S. embassy, and the military. By polarizing issues, he helped bring on the crisis of 1964.
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Another populist emerged on the scene in the late 1950s in the northeastern state of Pernambuco. Miguel Arraes was born into a rural middleclass family in the
interior of Ceará. He eventually settled in Recife and graduated from law school in 1937. A government job and family connections led to his appointment as finance
secretary of Pernambuco in 1947. By 1955 he joined the Frente do Recife, a reformist centerleftist coalition that reached out to rural workers. Arraes won election
as mayor of Recife in 1960 and gained a reputation for courting poor voters with slumimprovement programs. 17
In 1963 Arraes ran successfully for governor of the state of Pernambuco. His campaign was noteworthy for allying with peasant leagues and broadcasting radio
messages to rural voters, recently able to receive them by transistor radio. Once in office, Arraes implemented a minimum wage for rural workers, expanded farm
credit, and promoted unionization in the countryside. Land reform, too, became a potent rallying cry thanks to Arraes's leadership. Although he was not an ally of
President Goulart, critics accused Arraes of radicalizing politics in the northeast and blamed him for successive waves of strikes and lockouts. For virtually the first
time in history, a nationallevel leader promised to address grievances of the masses of rural poor. One U.S. observer referred to the ferment in the northeast as "the
revolution that never was."
Carlos Lacerda finally gained the limelight in 1960 when he won election as governor of the newly created state of Guanabara. He found his calling, serving as
executive for the first time in his career. Instead of the perennial critic, Lacerda proved a constructive, energetic, inspirational, and enormously successful administrator.
He built schools, roads, lowcost housing, water and sewer systems, and virtually anything else the city of Rio needed. A true friend of the United States, Lacerda won
special concessions from international donors. His 1961–65 term was unquestionably the high point of his career. His last day in office was transformed into a
marathon media event to rally support for Lacerda and his movement, in the vain hope of launching him into the presidency.
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The Fall of Populism
Between 1963 and 1966 populism was eradicated in Brazil. The single largest reason was the military's opposition to the open, expansive, in
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permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
Miguel Arraes in a 1963 dockworkers' demonstration in Recife.
(Courtesy of Instituto Joaquim Nabuco, Recife)
creasingly radical politics that the populists waged. Military and communist strategists alike believed that revolution was possible and maybe imminent in Brazil. Fidel
Castro had succeeded in Cuba, and guerrilla warfare was breaking out everywhere in the world. The military authorities, charged with protecting the state, decided
that the risk of revolution was
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too great to allow political experimentation to proceed. The leftists fought them but ultimately lost.
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Most military officers focused their hatred on President Goulart, whose erratic and ineffectual administration had prompted major demonstrations and crises. The
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economy was in shambles, civil society was increasingly split by irreconcilable differences, and the international situation was becoming more menacing. Behind
Goulart, however, they saw others equally or more dangerous. Brizola, thought to be manipulating the president, was a worse threat because he had divided the army
once before in 1961. Arraes had assisted in the formation of peasant leagues, which could unleash banditry and rural warfare. Lacerda was a loose cannon who would
bring down the government rather than cooperate with anyone else in power. And through it all, the PTB, which Vargas had founded two decades before, was within
reach of a congressional majority. The state itself could lurch toward the left at any minute, necessitating military action. 18
The military did not banish populism all by itself. It had ample support from some of the populists themselves as well as from most working politicians. The infighting
among the populists became intense, bitter, and alarming by 1964. Goulart weighed the possibility of ordering military coups against Arraes and Lacerda in 1964.
Adhemar de Barros put the full weight of São Paulo's government and state police behind the coup of 1964, and Lacerda did the same in Guanabara. Only Quadros
and Kubitschek, out of office, remained on the sidelines.
Moreover, the great majority of working politicians in 1964 also supported the coup against Goulart. They saw the trends as prejudicial to their own careers—the
growing strife and confrontation in politics, the huge costs of mobilizing voters and followers, the chance that the PTB would win control of Congress, and the
increasingly divided polity that offered fewer opportunities for compromise. They mostly endorsed the military action of March 1964 in order to protect their own
jobs.
Even after the coup, those populists still active tended to push the military into hardline positions. Brizola's guerrilla activity in Uruguay confirmed the worst fears of the
socalled linha dura officers. Carlos Lacerda, who might have compromised with the military to allow a return to civilian government, refused to do so and made the
hardline triumph almost inevitable. His Frente Ampla alliance with Kubitschek and Goulart between late 1966 and 1967, which they hoped would convince the
military to turn over power, in fact backfired and brought on more dictatorial policies. Not only did the populists help trigger the military coup, they bore some
responsibility for the severity and length of the subsequent dictatorship.19
During the worst years of repression, from the late 1960s until the late 1970s, some of the populists lost their political rights and never recovered
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them. Goulart retired to a ranch in Uruguay, where he died. Kubitschek perished in a highway accident in São Paulo. Lacerda died of a stroke in Rio de Janeiro.
Adhemar passed away in São Paulo in 1968.
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Democratization and the Return of Populism
The restoration of political rights and a general amnesty in the late 1970s allowed most of Brazil's exiles to return home, including the populists. The transition to
democracy lasted a decade and proved slow, painful, and frustrating to the masses of citizens and most politicians. It was called by many names: decompression,
distensão, abertura (the opening), and eventually just the transition. The army finally turned power over to civilians in 1985 on the condition that no officers could be
tried for crimes committed during the dictatorship. 20
Some former populists attempted to make comebacks in the 1980s, even before the restoration of civilian rule. Brizola founded the Democratic Labor Party (PDT),
with which he won election as governor of Rio in 1982. He was notable for founding integrated school centers for children; curbing police abuses; and pressuring
Congress to hold direct elections for president in 1984. After running unsuccessfully for president in 1989, he was elected governor of Rio de Janeiro the following
year. He stood for president again in 1994 but lost. In 1998 he lost the race for president.
Jânio Quadros lost his bid to become governor of São Paulo in 1982 but then surprised critics by winning the mayoralty of São Paulo in 1985, over social scientist
Fernando Henrique Cardoso. Jânio's decision not to run for president in 1989 marked the end of his active career; he died shortly afterward.
Miguel Arraes was jailed for a year following the 1964 coup, then spent most of the period 1965–79 in Algeria, representing petroleum exporters. He returned to
Brazil in 1979 and three years later won election to Congress. Using his image as an elder statesman, he ran for governor in 1986 and took office the following year.
He failed to make a large showing in the primaries for president in 1989 but was elected federal deputy that year. In 1994 he won election as governor of Pernambuco
for the third time and showed no signs of retirement, but he lost in 1998.
Throughout the dictatorship, the military continued to hold elections for most public offices, attempting to keep a working majority in Congress and control over critical
statehouses. In fact, voter turnouts rose even faster than they had before 1964, because suffrage was obligatory. General discontent with military government,
moreover, led to creative electoral dissent: millions of voters cast blank or invalidated ballots in protest. Most
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observers believe this contributed to the military's decision to begin the transition back to democracy. Finally, systematic analysis of polls suggests that voters actually
grew in sophistication during the dictatorship. By the 1990s political scientists described Brazil as a model of the ''new democracy" sweeping the world. 21
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
The long years of repression and controlled participation left parties and other structures disorganized and unable to mediate between governors and citizens. The new
scenario of the late 1980s contained parties, to be sure, yet they were weak and amorphous. New forms of representation and participation arose to create what one
analyst calls "direct democracy and stateled representation."22
The most innovative party to surface in these years was the Workers' Party (PT), a vigorous socialistoriented political movement. Led by autoworkers union official
Luís Inacio "Lula" da Silva and leftist intellectuals, the PT grew rapidly in major cities, attracting many workingclass, middleclass, and student voters. In 1989 Lula
came within a few percentage points of winning the runoff for president against Fernando Collor de Melo. Lula returned even stronger in the 1994 elections.23
Fernando Collor de Melo (1990–92) was widely regarded as a populist, due to his antipolitics stance and flamboyant use of the media. Offspring of a wealthy family
from Alagoas, Collor was raised in Rio and Brasília, where his father served in Congress. His family, which owned television and radio chains in the northeast, was
notorious for its roughandtumble approach to politics. Collor, with rich backers and unlimited media budgets, ran as an outsider without party connections. Young,
athletic, and new on the scene, he convinced a majority of voters that he would conduct a thorough house cleaning and restore good government. He campaigned
against the maharajas in backward regions who stole public money and denied democracy to the people. With brilliant use of slogans, sound bites, photo sessions,
television debates, and press briefings, Collor convinced Brazilians that he was an effective leader.
After little more than a year in office, however, evidence of his involvement in a huge bribery scheme began to surface, and within months he was impeached. He
resigned from the presidency in disgrace. His littleknown vice president, Itamar Franco, succeeded Collor for the remainder of the term.24
copyright law.
The 1994 election saw little evidence of populism. Brizola, the only oldtimer who ran, fell behind in the polls, lost in the first round, and was again out of public office.
Neither of the frontrunners, Fernando Henrique Cardoso nor Lula, could even remotely be called populists. Lula's credentials as union leader and his party's platform
located him squarely in the camp of democratic socialism. Neither of his campaigns contained
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elements of populism. Fernando Henrique, likewise, had been critical of populism for most of his academic career. His widely read book, Dependency in Latin
America (1979), coauthored with Enzo Faletto, devoted a chapter to showing how populists served the interests of the national bourgeoisie by keeping the masses in
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
line.
Fernando Henrique, as Cardoso was known popularly, won the 1994 election in the first round, an accomplishment in any country. An experienced leader of the
Senate, a seasoned negotiator, and architect of the 1988 Constitutional Convention, he had strong credentials for the presidency. Moreover, he had become finance
minister charged with carrying out an antiinflation program in Franco's last year in office. A task fraught with dangers, the Plano Real worked and helped sweep him
to victory. Even after the election and January 1995 inauguration, the president managed to keep inflation at bay. He continued to enjoy strong support in opinion polls
and carried out a tough but fair program for privatizing publicsector enterprises and opening the country to international competition. 25 By 1997 his congressional
supporters had amended the constitution in order to allow for reelection, something already done by Peru's Fujimori and Argentina's Menem.
By 1998, Miguel Arraes was the only mature populist still holding public office in Brazil. In fact, he did not like to be called a populist, preferring the image of a crusty,
shrewd, and seasoned rural leader, steadfastly faithful to his peasant origins in the interior of Brazil's northeast. Still, Lula launched his bid again in 1998, this time
buttressed by vicepresidential candidate Leonel Brizola, always a big draw in Rio and Rio Grande do Sul. As the campaign heated up, some polls showed Cardoso
and Lula neck and neck. In the end, though, Cardoso won in the first round.
An Assessment
Because the eight populists discussed here dominated the middle years of this century and set the tone for politics in general, they might be regarded as simply the most
successful leaders of the era. They were, of course, but that is not what made them populists. Instead, they shared characteristics that set them far apart from the
majority of Brazil's sitting politicians. By way of conclusion, this section highlights those attributes and differentiates populists from ordinary officials.
Almost all the populists were born in provincial towns and rural areas, far from the metropolises where they eventually made their careers. Many had fathers active in
politics, but the sons usually rejected paternal influences and struck out on their own. They were not religious or inclined to the regimentation of military life. They threw
law.
themselves into politics
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early in life and never gave up trying to scale the heights of elective office, especially those with executive powers. They had extraordinary energy, drive, intelligence,
and powers of communication. These qualities, when joined with the adulation of the followers, made them charismatic. They enjoyed and thrived on the campaign life,
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the skirmishing, and the rhetorical fights, at which they were very good. They seemed to have been born for public life. 26
The populists introduced new forms of opinion shaping and voting behavior, replacing oldfashioned clientelism and patronage with mass suffrage. Using radio and
television, new means of transportation, polling services, public relations, efficient organization, and mass print media, they revolutionized the way politicians gained
office. From the 1950s on, every aspiring office holder had to use these campaign techniques. Some adopted them reluctantly (Vargas preferred to rely on relatives
and his own intuition), while others embraced them enthusiastically (for example, Adhemar and Lacerda). The result was mass politics in which complex and
indeterminate processes came to shape voters' decisions. The populists were in charge, to be sure, but even they did not fully understand the forces they had
unleashed.27
The cost of the new politics rose astronomically after the advent of populism because of the need to reach masses of voters. Today national candidates spend tens of
millions of dollars to get elected, with all the complications that high finances imply. Aspirants to high office buy books and take courses on "marketing político."
Politics is no longer the domain of elder statesmen and gifted amateurs.
One of the most remarkable legacies of populism has been the enfranchisement of nearly the entire adult population and the creation of election procedures that ensure
honest results. Between the hotly contested election of 1930 and that of 1994, the turnout for president rose from 2 to 95 million (see table 1, chapter 1). The secret
ballot became the most common way to select political leaders, as even the military came to realize in the 1970s, when their elaborate rigging of election rules failed to
bring victories.
Populists helped to destroy thousands of localized political redoubts by incorporating them into the national arena. From Vargas's and Juscelino's DC3 visits to small
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towns, to Collor's and Brizola's television ads bounced off satellites, national politics have invaded even the most remote and isolated locales. A few television
networks, a dozen radio chains, several polling services, and a score of newspapers dominate the communications industry. The populists had a great deal to do with
this expansion and consolidation. Adhemar bought radio stations and newspapers and owned an airplane for his campaigns. Vargas financed the first mass circulation
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daily, Ultima Hora with a government loan. Today, politicians, pollsters, and media moguls work hand in hand. By the same token no local official can ignore national
issues because of their penetration into every nook and cranny of the country.
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from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
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The thousands of traditional politicians active in midcentury politics did not have the skills or charisma of the populists. They served in elective and appointive posts at
the municipal, state, and federal levels. They got into politics at a later age and came from families with urban roots. They favored preservation of a limited, controlled
electorate rather than a growing, volatile one. They grudgingly accepted the advent of mass politics yet resented the successes of the newcomers. 28 That is why most
supported the 1964 coup.
Put in a temporal perspective, Brazil's populist era lasted only a brief time. Populists occupied the presidency a scant thirteen years (1951–64). They controlled
statehouses longer: São Paulo about fifteen years; Rio Grande do Sul and Guanabara five each; and Pernambuco three. At the municipal level, populists governed
applicable copyright law.
about two dozen years total. In this light, the Populist Republic was an impermanent episode preceded and followed by authoritarian and socially conservative
regimes.
Populism in Brazil did not have as profound an impact as it did in Uruguay or Argentina, where Batllismo and Peronismo remain powerful influences. On the other
hand, as the other chapters in the book make clear, Brazil's populists made more of a difference than those of Mexico, Chile, Peru, and Venezuela. For better or
worse, the conduct of national politics in Brazil has been permanently changed by the populist experiments of the 1930s, 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.
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4—
without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
Chile's Populism Reconsidered, 1920s–1990s
Paul W. Drake
When Chile returned to democracy at the end of the 1980s, some politicians and social scientists feared that populism would be unleashed. They were apprehensive
that it might bring destabilizing and inflationary campaigns for mass mobilization and redistribution. Despite their worries, populism failed to capture center stage,
reflecting its historic weakness in Chile. This essay will examine why standard, classic, fullblown Latin American populism never took hold in Chile and why lesser
varieties of populism assumed different forms there.
In general, Latin American populism has exhibited three interconnected features. First, it has been dominated by paternalistic, personalistic, often charismatic
leadership and mobilization from the top down. Second, it has involved multiclass incorporation of the masses, especially urban workers but also middle sectors.
Third, populists have emphasized integrationist, reformist, nationalist development programs for the state to promote simultaneously redistributive measures for populist
supporters and, in most cases, importsubstitution industrialization. 1
Populism has been most common in Latin America where competitive party systems have been weak and military interventions frequent, as in Peru, Argentina,
Ecuador, and Brazil. In those countries, populists have filled the vacuum created by the weakness of civilian political institutions. By contrast, populism has been
uncommon in nations with strong party systems and relatively noninterventionist militaries, including Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela (after 1958), Uruguay, and, in
many respects, Chile, which has never been ruled by a mesmerizing leader of a multiclass urban movement committed to rapid elevation of the workers and hothouse
industrialization.
Charismatic figures have rarely been successful in Chile because of the highly Europeanized, institutionalized, and durable political parties. Those
law.
I wish to thank Eduardo Silva for his comments on this essay.
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organizations filled the ideological spectrum, left little room for personalistic mass mobilization or independent adventures, and withstood seventeen years of Gen.
Augusto Pinochet Ugarte's draconian efforts to eradicate their influence. Moreover, two Marxist parties—the Socialists and Communists—preempted any
nonideological populist bid to the working class. Rather than being ushered onto the political stage abruptly by some firebrand, Chilean workers were gradually
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integrated into the established order through multiparty, electoral politics. In comparative terms, industrialization also evolved fairly incrementally, from the late
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nineteenth century through the 1960s. And military takeovers were extremely rare before the 1973 coup d'état. 2
Nevertheless, some scholars have detected elements of populism in Chilean political development. They have nominated six candidates for a populist pantheon. In all
these instances, some form of populism only took off when the regular party system lost support and broke down (1920, 1932, 1952, and 1989) or when populism
was channeled within that system (1938). Even when populism did surface, it usually did so only in partial form, as a leadership style, as a multiclass coalition, or as a
redistributive program.
permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
First, Arturo Alessandri Palma has been depicted as a populist precursor in 1920 because he pioneered a demagogic campaign style promising redemption to the
urban masses. Second, the Chilean Socialists have been identified as a populist party that entered government in a multiparty coalition in 1938 along with nonpopulist
parties, mainly the Radicals and Communists. Third, that Popular Front coalition, although not headed by some spellbinding orator, resembled Latin American populist
movements in its social base (mainly the urban middle and working classes) and its program (simultaneous promotion of national industry and the welfare state).
Fourth, some scholars tagged Carlos Ibáñez del Campo as a populist when he ran against all the major political parties and won the presidency in 1952 on a
personalistic platform promising to sweep out the rascals. Fifth, although dedicated to the Chilean road to socialism, the Popular Unity government (1970–73) of
Salvador Allende Gossens has been painted as partially populist. Critics have pointed to its initial Keynesian pumping up of demand that resulted in runaway inflation,
calls for austerity, and a military coup d'état to restore order. Sixth, during the return to democracy at the end of the 1980s, Chilean leaders feared populism as a
turbulent force and strove to avoid its appearance. It only surfaced briefly with the unorthodox campaign of a renegade businessman. This chapter will assess those six
claimants to the populist label in the context of Chilean party politics.
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A Populist Precursor:
Arturo Alessandri
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Alessandri pioneered populist pyrotechnics in his 1915 campaign for senator from the Liberal Party. Although he never really pushed a fervent program of
industrialization and redistribution, his personal resonance with the masses made him a populist precursor. He broke with the aristocratic custom of relying on deals
among elites, parties, and local electoral caciques. Instead, Alessandri appealed directly to the middle and working classes with florid oratory, claiming to represent
his "beloved rabble" against the "gilded scoundrels." 3
Thereafter Alessandri ran for president in 1920 as the paladin of a centerleft multiparty coalition known as the Liberal Alliance. It relied on dissident elites (particularly
in the outlying provinces), urban middle groups, and organized labor represented by the Liberal, Radical, and Democrat parties. Student leaders helped knit together
the middle and working classes by providing politicized education in night courses for laborers.
The essential element, however, was Alessandri's personal appeal to the downtrodden. In extreme cases of adulation, workers knelt to kiss his hand and brought sick
children to be cured by his touch. He denounced standard party politics in the Parliamentary Republic (1891–1925) for squabbling over spoils while ignoring the
nation's needs for economic development and social justice. He campaigned as a reformer, promising to defuse class conflict through evolutionary changes, warning
that the choices were "Either Alessandri as President or the Revolution."
Alessandri mainly sought to open up the political system to the middle sectors, not to launch major projects for industrialization or social welfare. Like many populists
in Latin America, he assured landowners that benefits for organized labor would be confined to the cities. Although his narrow victory—the famous "revolt of the
electorate"—inspired high hopes among his followers for significant reforms for the middle and lower classes, the conservative Congress blocked most of his
initiatives.4
Ousting the ineffectual Alessandri in 1924, the military dominated national politics thereafter, either directly or from behind the scenes, until the Great Depression. For
most of those years, army strongman Carlos Ibáñez was the power behind or on the throne (1927–31). He repressed political parties and labor organizations. When
Ibáñez fell in 1931, populism reemerged, this time propelled by the agony of the economic catastrophe and the disarray of the party system. Now populism was led by
selfproclaimed Socialists.5
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A Populist Movement:
Chilean Socialism
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Out of the political chaos spawned by the depression in 1931–32 emerged a new national movement: indigenous Chilean socialism. The Socialist Party's (PS) official
birth in 1933 resulted from the socalled Socialist Republic, a junta that held power for twelve tumultuous days in 1932. The most flamboyant leader of that junta was
Air Force Commander Marmaduke Grove Vallejo, who was hailed by the Socialists as their man on horseback. "The race loves Grove . . . by instinct, intuitively,
subconsciously, the nation divines the heroic quality, religiously heroic, the mythical quality of . . . Grove, caudillo of the Chilean Left." 6
In their leadership, composition, platforms, and international connections, the Chilean Socialists fit a populist mold in the 1930s. They relied heavily on the charisma of
Grove, whom they described as the patron and savior of the working class. Beneath the maximum leader, other Socialists were also highly magnetic and personalistic,
which not only galvanized voters but also tore the party asunder. Caudillism, clientelism, and factionalism became permanent features of the PS.
Although attracting numerous followers from workingclass ranks, the Socialists also enrolled, especially as leaders, many recruits from the middle strata. Like the
American Popular Revolutionary Alliance (APRA) and other populist movements, they targeted both "manual and intellectual workers," both wage and salary earners.
The PS hoped to become an allencompassing party of the masses, like the APRA in Peru or the PRI in Mexico. It failed to reach such magnitude because it faced
stiff competition for bluecollar votes from the Communists and for whitecollar votes from the Radicals. Although unable to establish a monopoly over the masses, the
Socialists prospered by being more personalistic and middle class than the Communists, more Marxist and lower class than the Radicals. Thus they grew quickly to
become the largest single party of workers in the 1930s.
Mixing socialism with populism, the PS appealed to the common people with personalism, with class solidarity against the oligarchs, with nationalism against the
imperialists, and with Marxist symbols, jargon, and ideology. Officially, their ultimate aim was to create Marxian socialism, but they also promoted industrialization and
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welfarism for the urban underprivileged, most notably when they shared power with the Radical Party. They were always committed to nationalism and anti
imperialism. They hoped to achieve the "second national independence" by promoting importsubstitutionindustrialization and by nationalizing foreign enterprises.
Although more ideological and union based than some populist
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parties in Latin America, the PS exhibited the philosophical eclecticism typical of populists in the hemisphere.
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Outside Chile, the Socialists shunned any formal international affiliations. They wove the closest bonds with APRA, the quintessential populist movement in Latin
America. Other parties of similar ilk with which the PS identified included the Democratic Action (AD) of Venezuela, the ruling Revolutionary Party (PRI) of Mexico,
and the Socialists of Argentina. 7
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The Chilean Socialists engaged in highly populist campaign techniques, social alliances, and program proposals on their own in the 1930s. They also joined multiparty,
polyclass coalitions that pursued populist development programs through the 1940s. Those interparty efforts took wing with the Popular Front, forged in 1936.
Populism in Government:
The Popular Front
As in some other countries in Latin America, populist policies responded logically to the challenges of the 1930s and 1940s in Chile. That integrationist strategy
provided a nonrevolutionary response to the need for inwardlooking economic development, for incorporation of the working class, and for relegitimation of the state
in the wake of the Great Depression. Tandem support for industrialization and the welfare state satisfied, for a time, manufacturers with protection and credit,
agriculturalists with expanding urban markets and restraints on peasant organization, the middle classes and the military with state growth and nationalism, and the more
skilled urban workers with social security, consumer, and union benefits superior to those accorded to other lowerclass groups. In Chile, that winning formula was
known as the Popular Front.
The Popular Front united the Radical, Socialist, and Communist parties, comprising mainly the middle and working classes, behind a nationalistic program to expand
industrialization and the welfare state. Since Grove lost the presidential nomination to a mildmannered, rightwing Radical, Pedro Aguirre Cerda, the coalition lacked
a charismatic leader at the top. Aguirre Cerda himself observed that he was "neither a caudillo nor a messiah."8 Although Grove provided some fireworks as a tireless
campaigner for the nominee, it was mainly in terms of composition and program that the Popular Front served as a Chilean form of populism. It also reflected
European multiparty patterns of the era, especially in Spain and France.
Chileans as well as Peruvians realized that the Popular Front resembled APRA. Chilean Socialist leaders argued that the APRA in Peru and the National
Revolutionary Party in Mexico were already internal "popular
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fronts." The main difference was that the Chilean one was a multiparty vehicle allowed to reach power, while the Peruvian version was a single party banned from
participation.
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APRA, the PS, and the Popular Front all enjoyed multiclass support from the outlying regions and urban masses. They all emphasized democracy, nationalism, and
state intervention to promote industry and welfare. The antiFascism and antiCommunism of APRA and the PS drew them closer to the United States during World
War n and the early years of the Cold War. Through participation in the Popular Front, the Socialists toned down their Marxian tendencies and became more of a
social democratic labor party in the 1940s. 9
In office, the Popular Front (1938–41) and its successor Radical presidents (1942–52) stressed stateguided industrialization more than redistribution to the workers.
Even the mild social reforms that were implemented were restricted to the cities, thus placating the landowning elites. The front's influence over workers maintained
social peace during the acceleration of industrialization. Multiclass movements incorporating urban labor became the accepted, legitimate social base of government.
The socialist and populist elements that had erupted to challenge the status quo during the Great Depression were now assimilated into the multiparty system and
national government. The Chilean left channeled the populist mobilization of the lower classes into a Marxist framework but also into the established network of
political participation and bargaining. The economic, social, and political crisis of the early thirties now found resolution through integration of the left and labor, plus the
urban middle and lower classes, into national governing institutions.10
For most of the 1940s, populist mobilization and programs lost momentum, especially as Chile tightened its belt during and after World War II. The Radical Party,
through myriad coalitions which frequently included the Marxist parties, continued to govern the country, but not with the reformist zeal exhibited in 1938. The workers
gained little and became disillusioned with popular front politics. The Socialists disintegrated, lost electoral strength, and then tried to recuperate by turning in a more
Marxist direction.11
By the 1950s, the possibilities for populist governments dimmed. Importsubstitutionindustrialization passed the relatively easy stage of replacing consumer goods
from abroad and began encountering bottlenecks. Stagflation beset the Chilean economy. Political competition moved toward a zerosum game as the number of
demandmakers multiplied beyond the capacity of the economy and the central government to satisfy. In particular, peasants and ruralurban migrants added their
voices to the chorus of demands. Although a populist campaign style resurfaced at
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times, the broad coalitions and accommodating programs of the 1930s and 1940s became less sustainable.
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A Populist Campaigner:
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Carlos Ibáñez
A political chameleon, former 1920s dictator Carlos Ibáñez tried to return to power in 1938 in league with the Chilean Nazis (National Socialist Movement), in 1942
as the standardbearer of the traditional right (Conservative and Liberal parties), and in 1952 as an independent reformer. The only consistent threads were his
opposition to the coalitions headed by the centrist Radical Party and his posture as a nationalistic, personalistic, paternalistic strongman above everyday party politics.
He triumphed in 1952 when voters were disillusioned with fourteen years of coalition government under the Radicals.
In the 1952 presidential campaign, Ibáñez ran as a putative populist leader, but one without an organized movement or program. Although not charismatic, he
appealed with promises of personal authority to those fatigued with multiparty coalitions, compromises, quarreling, and corruption. His only significant organized base
came from the tiny Agrarian Labor Party. Ibáñez drew support from all political and social camps, including remarkable numbers among the middle sectors and rural
workers. His backers formed an ideological melange stretching from quasifascist rightwingers to semisocialist leftwingers.
Brandishing the symbol of a broom, the General of Victory criticized the Radicals for having sold out to the United States and for having created stagflation in the
economy. But his own platform and promises were exceedingly vague. The antiparty style of Ibáñez, more than any clearcut social coalition or reformist program,
made him appear like a populist, as did his admiration for Argentina's Juan Perón. He won with 47 percent of the votes in the multicandidate election. 12
Even some Socialists backed Ibáñez briefly in hopes of forging a labor movement similar to Peronism and avoiding the alienation from the workers suffered by their
namesakes in Argentina. Once again, they were flirting with a populist option. Other Socialists, along with many outlawed Communists, supported the token candidacy
of Salvador Allende to stake out an independent Marxist strategy for the future. They were soon joined in opposition to President Ibáñez by the rest of the Socialists
and Communists when it became evident that he had no intention of carrying out his promises of economic redistribution and nationalism.
Ibáñez's populist trappings were thin, and Ibañismo proved to be a very ephemeral political phenomenon. The first two years of Ibáñez's presidency (1952–58)
witnessed populistic expansionist policies that raised
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wages, demands, and inflation. Thereafter he mainly concentrated on the conservative tasks of reining in inflation through orthodox stabilization measures and of
striking a generous deal with U.S. copper companies to encourage new investments. Like the Radicals before him, Ibáñez entered office as a reformer governing with
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leftist parties and departed as a conservative surrounded by rightist groups. The lowerclass support he had enjoyed drained away to the Christian Democrats and
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Marxists. 13
After turning against Ibáñez, the Socialists rejected populism and multiclass coalitions behind centrist reformers. Instead, they stressed their devotion to Marxism, the
working class, and collectivist programs for massive nationalization and redistribution of power, profits, and property. They switched from popularfront politics to
workerfront politics, from class collaboration to class conflict, from compromise to confrontation. The PS shifted from identification with APRA to identification with
Fidel Castro's Cuban Revolution. The Socialists and Communists thus built an alliance that eventually carried Salvador Allende to the presidency in 1970.14
From Populism to Socialism:
The Popular Unity
The Popular Unity (UP) government was preceded by centrist reformers from the Christian Democrat Party (1964–70). Their leader, Eduardo Frei Montalva, had
great personal appeal. The Christian Democrats represented a multiclass amalgam concentrated among the middle classes, women, peasants, and urban squatters.
They promised and carried out redistribution of land and income while continuing to protect domestic industry. Despite such populist inclinations (especially in certain
factions of the party), the Christian Democrats and their ''revolution in liberty" have not been stamped as populist by most scholars or politicians. They relied very little
on charisma; their social coalition was far more middle class and far less working class than most populist movements. Moreover, their economic policies were more
moderate, more technocratic, and less inflationary than those of most populist governments.15
By the late sixties, both the right and left in Chile scorned populist options. Rightists assailed populists as demagogic agitators who spurred excessive mass
expectations, fueled inflation, frightened domestic and foreign capital, and engendered political instability. Even worse in their eyes were the Marxist parties. At the
same time, leftists lashed populists and centrists as charlatans who duped the masses into supporting palliative reforms that subtly preserved the hierarchy of power
and privilege.
Both the right and the left came to believe that Chile needed drastic
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remedies to break out of the economic, social, and political stalemate produced by decades of populistic coalitions and policies. Both denounced "the compromise
state" that accommodated capitalists as well as workers but produced little growth or change. While the left called for a socialist transformation, the right preferred
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more unrestrained capitalism. First Allende from the left and then Pinochet from the right disdained any populist leadership style, tore apart any populist coalition
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between industrialists and workers, and discarded and destroyed reformist populist policies. 16
President Salvador Allende (1970–73) led a socialist, not a populist, movement and government. Indeed, the leaders of Popular Unity vowed explicitly not to repeat
the reformist experience of the Popular Front or other populist types in Latin America. On the eve of their 1970 victory, the Socialists officially adhered to Marxism
Leninism and declared that "revolutionary violence is inevitable and legitimate." During Allende's presidency, the PS slogan became "Advance without Compromise."
They shared the leadership of the Popular Unity with the Communists, towing behind them the shrunken Radicals and other minor parties.17
Although a moderate Socialist, Allende had stayed further left over the decades than populist contemporaries and friends like Víctor Raúl Haya de la Torre of APRA
and Rómulo Betancourt of AD. As a leader, Allende spurned the populist motif: "The process in Chile is neither paternalistic nor charismatic. . . . I am not a Messiah,
nor am I a caudillo."18 He was the steward of an extremely intricate and structured multiparty coalition, not the personalistic champion of unorganized masses. His
followers came disproportionately from the working class, not a broad blend with significant middleclass participation. During his administration, class and ideological
conflict escalated as Chile polarized into two irreconcilable camps.
President Allende employed some populistic wage, price, and spending policies to redistribute income to workers and peasants in his first year. He used essentially
Keynesian mechanisms to increase the purchasing power of consumers in the working class. The goal, however, was to propel the country toward socialism, not just
to reform the capitalist system to include the workers. Moreover, Allende redistributed not only income but also property and wealth, both foreign and domestic. The
Popular Unity set out to expropriate, not foment, national industry. Unlike populists in Latin America, Allende tolerated direct action by workers and peasants to seize
factories, housing spaces, and farmlands. These mobilizations from below went far beyond any populist reforms and particularly frightened the middle and upper
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classes.
Like populist experiments elsewhere, the buoyant first year of the Allende government was followed by two disastrous years in which de
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mand outpaced supply, deficits ballooned, inflation skyrocketed, foreign exchange dried up, and workers' gains shrank. Opposition calls for stabilization and a military
takeover escalated in 1973. The fight was not just between conservatives and populists, however. It was between polarized social and ideological visions of Chile's
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future, between capitalism and socialism. On every dimension, the Allende experiment, though not an armed revolution, was far more radical than any populist episode
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in Latin American history. Indeed, it was the most leftist, revolutionary government ever seen in South America. 19
Allende was followed by one of the most rightist, reactionary governments ever seen in South America, the bureaucratic authoritarian regime of Gen. Augusto Pinochet
(1973–90). After destroying socialism and democracy, he not only opposed any whiff of populism but also undermined any basis for its rebirth in the future. Pinochet
lambasted all politicians as corrupt demagogues. He outlawed or suspended all party activities. By crushing the labor movement and removing most protection for
industry, he undid the accomplishments of past populistic coalitions and reduced the likelihood of their resurgence.
Pinochet also undercut and foiled populist policies by reducing the role of the state in the economy and social welfare, redistributing income to the upper class,
privatizing many government operations and functions, welcoming foreign investment, and installing a freemarket model oriented toward export promotion. By 1988,
the success of that model at producing economic growth obliterated any nostalgia within the opposition for statist policies. Except for a slightly greater emphasis on
equitable distribution, Pinochet's opponents vowed to maintain his economic system.20
Redemocratization without Socialism or Populism
Populism did not disrupt the transition back to democracy or occupy center stage.21 The reasons for populism's weakness were several. The need to follow a private
enterprise freemarket model, honor the foreign debt, husband foreign exchange, attract foreign capital, restrain the size and cost of government, and hold down
inflation rendered any massive income redistribution or any induced reindustrialization out of the question. As a result of the neoliberal economic transformations under
Pinochet, the chief nemeses of populism—capitalist and export elites—had gained strength, while the main supporters of populism—organized and unorganized urban
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workers—had been weakened and chastened.
Centrist and leftist politicians did not want populism to upset the new democracy any more than they wanted it to disturb macroeconomic equi
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librium. Moreover, the examples of political disorder and economic distress caused by populism in neighbors like Peru and Argentina chilled any thoughts of populist
appeals. Instead, the opposition's standardbearer, Christian Democrat Patricio Aylwin, and most other politicians tried to lower workingclass expectations, which
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had already been repressed by Pinochet and by the depression of the early eighties. Aylwin explicitly ran against populist policies.
any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
Aylwin was also backed by the Socialist Party. Under Pinochet, it had been divided between those leaning toward MarxismLeninism and those more attracted to
European social democracy. In an agonizing selfreappraisal in the 1980s, the Socialists resurrected their democratic and reformist traditions from the 1930s and
1940s, but they did not revive any populist tendencies. As the more moderate "renovated" Socialists came to dominate the party, it discarded hopes of rejuvenating
the Allende experiment. Instead, the PS concentrated its efforts on assembling and maintaining a broad, pragmatic, centerleft coalition with the Christian Democrats.
Their goal was to restore democracy without capsizing the economy. 22
The December 1989 election won by Aylwin included a minority candidate with some socalled "rightwing populist" features. A maverick, wealthy businessman,
Francisco Javier Errázuriz claimed to represent the "centercenter" of Chilean politics. He spurned all major parties, praised the freemarket system, and promised
social justice. Like Ibáñez in 1952, Errázuriz appealed to the same antiparty undercurrent with the same type of vaguely nationalistic, reformist, anticorruption,
antipolitician platform aimed at the same broad segments of the middle classes and unorganized workers. This personalistic effort fetched only 15 percent of the votes.
Nevertheless, it demonstrated at least a small constituency for very moderate populist appeals, especially when parties were weakened after so many years
underground. Errázuriz apparently siphoned off mainly rightwing votes from the middle class, but not many ballots from the centerleft coalition of Aylwin. The
Errázuriz movement lost strength in the 1990s.23
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The victorious Aylwin coalition was not personalistic or populistic in any way, even though it represented an alliance of the center and the left of the middle and
working classes. Aylwin captained a highly organized movement of very disciplined political parties. Although rusty from their hibernation under Pinochet, those
machines turned out 55 percent of the votes in the 1988 plebiscite to deny the dictator's continuation and delivered 55 percent again in the 1989 presidential election
for Aylwin. Once in office in 1990, they were determined to preserve political and economic stability. Therefore they steered far away from any populist adventures.
With its vaunted freemarket economic model, Chile became the paragon
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of antipopulism at the beginning of the 1990s. That cautious, centrist technocratic approach continued under Aylwin's successor, Christian Democrat Eduardo Frei
RuízTagle (1994–2000), an engineer elected president by the same multiparty coalition. 24
publisher, except fair uses permitted
Alabama Press. All rights reserved.
Conclusion
without permission from the
The pure, fullfledged, classic populism seen in Argentina, Brazil, and Peru never took hold in Chile. That country's sturdy multiparty system usually blocked, blunted,
or absorbed populist initiatives. Building on some precursors, populist impulses were strongest in the 1930s and 1940s, coursing through the Socialist Party and the
Popular Front. Populism did not prosper thereafter in Chile, and it did not flourish in the 1990s, when multiparty democracy reasserted its hegemony. In the future, as
in the past, keeping populism at bay would likely depend on the ability of the parties to recapture their traditional strength, to reincorporate the masses into political
law.
participation, and to redress the grievances of those workingclass Chileans neglected by the dictatorship.
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5—
Populism in Mexico:
From Cárdenas to Cuauhtémoc
permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright law.
Jorge Basurto
At its very core, Mexican populism addressed the needs of the people, mainly the poorest classes. Populist policies made the masses winners in the political game,
rather than losers. Populists provided more opportunities for the masses to improve their lives. Unlike the neoliberals who govern Mexico today, populists spoke for
government action to achieve a more equitable distribution of wealth. Populism in Mexico resembled European social democracy and the U.S. concept of the welfare
state.
Mexican populism also contained nationalism and corporatism. The former meant promoting economic development using mainly Mexican capital. The latter entailed
efforts by the government to build up labor, farmer, middleclass, and even business associations and to integrate them into the state itself, or rather to be intermediary
between the rank and file and the leaders.
Mexico's most celebrated populists were Gen. Lázaro Cárdenas and Luis Echeverría (presidents, respectively, 1934–40 and 1970–76). If we take into account the
positive aspects of populism, Cárdenas's son Cuauhtémoc, leader of the opposition and twice a presidential candidate, might be regarded a neopopulist in
contemporary Mexico.
Cardenismo
Lázaro Cárdenas, Mexico's leading populist, was born in 1895 in a small town in Michoacán into a middleclass family. Cárdenas was a man with an active, versatile
mind. He finished primary school and then worked at odd jobs. In 1910–11 he edited a newspaper that supported the presidential candidacy of Francisco I. Madero.
Because he sympathized with the revolutionaries, he joined Emiliano Zapata's army in 1913 at the age of eighteen. Later he transferred to other units, ending up under
the command of future President Plutarco Elias Calles (1924–28). Cárdenas remained loyal to Calles during the socalled Maximato (after Calles's title
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of Jefe Máximo) of the early 1930s, when the latter ruled through puppet presidents.
Cárdenas's loyalty earned him an appointment as candidate and afterward governor of his native state (1928), and then he served as head of the revolutionary party
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and minister of interior. In 1933 he became war minister, the top post to which a general could aspire. He was clearly a rising power and good politician with civilian
instincts and an inclination toward leftist programs.
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Cárdenas handled the 1934 succession expertly, winning the official nomination without serious challenge and forcing Calles to give his blessings as well. Cárdenas had
cultivated the support of peasant farmer associations and had allied with organized labor. He had also earned the backing of junior officers and army troops. Calles
accepted Cárdenas, secure in the belief that he would continue to rule Mexico from behind the scenes.
Cárdenas convened party delegates in early 1934 in order to work up a platform for the campaign. Taking his cue from the multiyear Soviet planners, Cárdenas
orchestrated passage of the sixyear plan (Plan Sexenal). His program stressed labor and land, and he was assured of Calles's support and that of the official party.
Using the election campaign to build a mass following, Cárdenas traveled sixteen thousand miles and visited all the states. Everywhere he went he spoke with the local
chieftain, met the army garrison commander, and held audiences with the townspeople. He regularly held hours in town plazas, where peasants and workers could sit
on park benches and speak with him.
Because he always protected and helped Indians, they gave him the nickname "Tata Lázaro," or Father Lázaro in Michoacán. His victory in 1934 was one of the most
peaceful in years. He was a very popular man when he assumed the presidential sash in December 1934. Even after his election he continued to tour the country to
meet with the people.
Cárdenas gradually signaled that he would not serve as a puppet under Calles. He ordered the federal police to crack down on gambling and prostitution, which hurt
some prominent generals. He reduced his own salary by half and refused to live in the Chapultepec presidential palace.
From the very beginning, Cárdenas announced his intention of carrying out the land and labor reforms of the party's Plan Sexenal. He also said he would lend official
backing to agrarian and workers unions in view of his need to support his whole reform program. Cárdenas openly associated with wellknown leftists Francisco
Mújica and Vicente Lombardo Toledano. This raised the level of political tension because rightwing groups, like the fascistic Gold Shirts, often clashed in the streets
with their leftist counterparts.
Calles, who was in Los Angeles for medical treatment, returned to Mex
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ico in May 1935 and denounced Cárdenas's initiatives, which he termed a "marathon of radicalism." The president had anticipated such a reaction, however, and had
cultivated support among army officers and soldiers. He forced Calles into exile and then systematically fired hundreds of conspirators from the ranks of government
and the army; they were defeated and banned from the political scene.
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
Cárdenas had become enormously popular for standing up to Calles and championing land and labor reforms. With the political threat of a coup removed, Cárdenas
proceeded to make good his promises. During his term he distributed fifty million acres of land to some eight hundred thousand peasant families, more than all of his
predecessors combined. He even furnished peasants with rifles in order to protect the newly acquired land from the ancient owners and caciques. The new owners
were not always as efficient as the old ones, however, and they tended to consume more at home, signaling the virtual demise of the traditional power of the
landowning class and the weakening of the hacienda system.
To replace the failing system, Cárdenas stimulated the spread of farms, called ejidos, some of which were worked by the community as a whole. To demonstrate how
this collective farming would work, he transformed a huge expropriated hacienda on the CoahuilaDurango border into a model communal farm system, called La
Laguna. Some thirtyfive thousand persons, gathered into 226 ejidos, raised cotton, cereals, and other crops. Cárdenas invested a great deal of money in agricultural
extension while also supporting social programs like education, rural electrification, and health. He expected the ejidatarios to begin selling their harvests in the
marketplace, thereby relieving the need to import farm staples. Having the peasants enter the market economy was the main goal of the land reform.
In the beginning, La Laguna was a commercial success, but president Miguel Alemán (1946–52) considered collective ejidos socialistic, so he took away all support
for this system, which resulted in a decline in farm production.
Organized labor became a solid ally of Cárdenas. Vicente Lombardo Toledano organized the Mexican Workers' and Farmers' General Confederation (CGOCM) in
1933 and enjoyed strong backing from Cárdenas. By 1935 they were close associates. In February 1936, he founded the Mexican Workers' Confederation (CTM),
which claimed a million members by then and was a de facto government ally. Lombardo was a strongwilled Socialist as well as a pragmatic politician. He was
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incorruptible and always kept the workers' interests in mind. He knew he could count on Cárdenas to help his unions win better contracts.
Cárdenas also promoted educational expansion and reform. He favored
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education for the masses, based on the principle of the common good prevailing over individual advancement. Even with meager federal revenues, Cárdenas managed
to increase the share that education received. He was able to build three thousand new schools and train some one hundred thousand new teachers, mostly recruited
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from the cities. Public school enrollment rose from 1.7 to 2.2 million during Cárdenas's term. Meanwhile, the president charged teachers with carrying out rural
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reforms and adult education, even in the face of much opposition in little communities across the nation. Despite these advances, the number of illiterates in Mexico
actually rose due to the extremely high birthrates in rural areas.
One of the most remarkable episodes of Mexican populism occurred in 1938 when Cárdenas nationalized most of the petroleum industry. Two years before, oil field
workers unions federated and joined Lombardo Toledano's CTM. Although these workers earned more than average, they suffered hardships connected with living in
camps away from families and had to buy provisions in company stores. The oil companies, dominated by British and U.S. firms, refused to bargain with the unions
over wages and conditions. The federation called a strike in 1937, which was sanctioned by the CTM.
After a mandatory sixmonth cooling off period, government mediation kicked in. The Department of Labor found in favor of the laborers, but the companies refused
to settle and appealed the case to the Supreme Court. Cárdenas and other officials were already irritated with the oil companies for having shifted their plants away
from Mexico in the 1920s and 1930s, largely to Venezuela. Exports had fallen from 193 to only 41 million barrels since 1921.
In early 1938 the Supreme Court reached a judgment in favor of the unions. At that point, seventeen companies (mostly foreign) wrote to Cárdenas refusing to comply
with the decision. Exasperated, Cárdenas interpreted their refusal as defiance of Mexican sovereignty and immediately expropriated the companies. He put them under
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a state company formed earlier to administer governmentowned oil lands and contracts, Petróleos Mexicanos (PEMEX).
Expecting the U.S. government to support them against the Mexican government, the companies submitted claims of $450 million dollars, representing both existing
and potential production. Cárdenas countered with an offer of $10 million, his estimate of actual capital investment. During the next two years, the companies waged a
vicious campaign against Mexico and even threatened invasion. The firms boycotted Mexican crude, putting severe pressure on balance of payments. The petroleum
lobby in Congress as well as the British government unsuccessfully pressured the White House to invade Mexico or boycott trade.
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U.S. ambassador Josephus Daniels believed the companies had committed a grievous error in defying the Mexican Supreme Court decision. He convinced U.S.
President Franklin Roosevelt to resist the pressure. Finally, when hemispheric defense planning in 1940 required Mexican cooperation, the Roosevelt administration
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set up arbitration commissions to settle the oil compensation conflict. The U.S. companies ended up receiving $24 million in 1941. Settlement with British companies
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took until August 1947. 1
Late in 1938 Cárdenas decided to restructure the official party in anticipation of a presidential succession. Renamed the Party of the Mexican Revolution, the new
organization formally comprised four sectors: labor unions (the CTM), the National Peasants' Confederation (CNC), the army, and a miscellaneous sector made up
mostly of public employees' associations, which in fact were basis for populist corporatism. The newly reformed party represented a considerable share of the
politically active population. The CNC counted 2.5 million members, CTM claimed 1.25 million, and the military and government unions had about 55,000 each. That
year soldiers were given the right to vote, which gave considerable power to junior officers who could get their recruits into voting booths.
These hierarchical units within the party ostensibly channeled information and popular demands up, but, in fact, they mostly passed orders down. No one doubted that
Cárdenas commanded the party from above. He chose to support his minister of defense, Manuel Avila Camacho, a desk officer and administrator rather than field
commander, for the next presidential term.
By then the president had taken sufficient measures to assure the army's loyalty, and he soundly defeated a brief rebellion. In fact, this proved that Cárdenas had
succeeded in depoliticizing the army. Academytrained young officers who had not fought in the revolution were reaching command positions now and were loyal to
Cárdenas and his program. The president trimmed the army's share of the federal budget from 25 to 19 percent between 1934–38. He also passed a military
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reorganization bill in 1939 that attempted to replace the spirit of caste among officers with a desire to serve the nation. Finally, the Military Service Law of 1939
helped diminish the gap between officers, troops, and the civilian population.
The presidential succession of 1940 proved tense but did not explode. The party delivered the votes necessary to elect Avila Camacho for the 1940–46 term.
Cárdenas continued to play a role in politics until his death; he became an unofficial voice of the past, a reminder of what the revolution had been fought for.2
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The Stabilizing Development
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Cárdenas's administration led to the strengthening of Mexico's business elite, even while producing important structural reforms. After Cárdenas stepped down in
form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
1940, the government placed a higher priority on economic growth, regardless of which sectors of the society owned capital and accumulated profits. Therefore, the
process of capital accumulation and profit concentration accelerated greatly, along with the penetration of foreign capital in industry and commerce. Meanwhile, public
ownership in the economy also grew rapidly, eventually accounting for about half the capital stock (especially in petroleum and electric power), yet these enterprises
produced only 3 percent of manufacturing output. In effect, shortages of private funds were made up for by the government, which provided infrastructure and even
lowcost inputs for private businesses, mainly petroleum. This was essentially the structure of the mixed economy that the Mexican government shaped after 1940, and
it was clearly different from a purely capitalist economy.
At the same time, inequality of income distribution between labor and capital reached unusual levels in comparison with other Latin American countries. 3 This was due
to the control government exercised over the workers through bureaucratic leaders more responsive to the government than to their constituents. During the period of
stabilizing development, a middle class emerged that politically received little attention, and its standards of living, although not completely satisfactory, were much
better than those of the agrarian sector, especially ejidatarios, which languished.
By the mid1960s the stabilizing development model had exhausted its potential. Members of the middle and lower strata were frustrated and protested during the
student movement in 1968, which was violently repressed by the government of president Gustavo Díaz Ordaz. This constituted a crisis and opened up latent divisions
within the ''revolutionary family," as the government elite was called.
In 1970, Luis Echeverría, presidential candidate for the official Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), ran on a reform platform dearly borrowed directly from Lázaro
Cárdenas—that is, populist and highly nationalist—that promised a more equitable distribution of income and a political system more responsive to the masses. With
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regard to capital formation, Echeverría favored domestic sources, which would reduce Mexico's reliance on foreign capital. He was not, however, hostile to outside
investment. With respect to public investment, it would be sufficiently strong to direct the overall course of economic growth. Thus Echeverría promised to restore to
the state its traditional role of guiding the development process.
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Putting this program into practice necessarily encroached on vested interests and required political classes' mobilization in Echeverría's favor. In particular he needed to
build up a popular base with which to sustain his administration because the preceding presidents had destroyed the old alliance between PRI and the popular sectors.
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
He attempted to mobilize the working class through the traditional unions and to recruit several union federations headed by discontented leaders. He also tried to
rekindle in the peasantry the hope of a total agrarian reform. Finally, he sought to incorporate into the Mexican political system the middle classes, which politically had
been largely forgotten since the 1940s. On another front, Echeverría envisioned general political reforms, including the democratization of the PRI, whose image had
become completely discredited.
The nationalistpopulist reforms of Luis Echeverría failed largely because they were founded on false premises. The chief executive believed that the presidential
system conferred omnipotence on him and that this authority could be further reinforced by mass mobilization. He was especially hopeful that he could win over the
financial elite and the more conservative elements of the bureaucracy. This had been the successful formula of Cárdenas in the 1930s. Thirty years of stabilizing
development, however, had shifted the balance of power away from the presidency. In fact, economic and bureaucratic power had grown so much by 1970 that the
state had lost its autonomy. The political system had become so corrupt that most politicians were simultaneously major businessmen and millionaires.
Economy and Crisis
In the beginning of the 1970s signs of weakness in the economy began to appear faintly. By 1972 the Mexican peso, previously a bastion of stability, began to fall in
international financial markets. Echeverría's economic advisers did not wish to allow its devaluation, however, and sustained it at artificially high levels that led to an
intense flight of capital and serious internal unrest. This policy encouraged imports and discouraged exports. Finally, in August 1976, it forced the first of a seemingly
endless series of devaluations.
The domestic economy contained other flaws, many government induced, that inhibited robust profits and high employment. Mexico's industrial plato and capital stock
were obsolete and inefficient. Low productivity increased costs and turned out products incapable of competing on the international market. The foreign debt
mushroomed, as did the domestic budget deficit.
law.
In August 1982, in the last months of López Portillo's administration
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(1976–82), the finance secretary announced that Mexico did not have sufficient hard currency to pay service on its foreign debt and declared a moratorium for three
months. The following month he announced the nationalization of all banks and adoption of exchange controls. 4 Various factors brought about the crisis of confidence.
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without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable copyright
One was the dramatic rise of international interest rates, which reached a high of 22 percent. Another was a decline in prices for raw materials Mexico exported.
Together they pushed Mexico into temporary bankruptcy.
Miguel de la Madrid, who took over the presidency in December 1982, had to devote himself to practicing the politics of economic reorganization, as well as
industrial conversion and moral renovation. He gave his highest priority to fulfilling international obligations, especially the foreign debt. He ordered punctual payment of
both interest and capital, giving rise to accusations that he had knuckled under to the International Monetary Fund, a multilateral watchdog. Prompt debt service,
however, made it impossible to maintain a high domestic savings rate, so the economy plunged into recession. De la Madrid had to promote exports of nonpetroleum
products, even at the cost of internal consumption, in order to generate foreign exchange with which to service the debt. He also ended currency stabilization and let
the peso float, which temporarily stimulated exports and discouraged imports.
As the 1980s wore on, the administration began to develop a neoliberal model that encompassed not only emergency financial recovery measures but also a broad
effort to stimulate private enterprise, both national and foreign. This required the state to give up ownership of major publicsector businesses, which numbered nearly
1,155 in 1982. Privatization over the next six years reduced this number to only 502.5
A powerful case was made for privatizing the publicowned businesses, which were in disastrous shape in the mid1980s. Part of them operated at huge losses, which
had to be covered out of government revenues or loans. This was due partly to setting their prices below cost so as to subsidize private industry and consumers, but
they were maintained as a way of keeping jobs running. In addition, they were managed by dishonest and inefficient party hacks who routinely diverted resources into
graft that could benefit the PRI. The beneficiaries of this favoritism fought tooth and nail to protect their privileges because they were the very basis of their political
power.
De la Madrid viewed inflation as an unwelcome byproduct of excessive demand. To combat it required slashing public spending, especially on such things as
government jobs, education, and consumer subsidy programs. He managed to reduce public expenditures by 44 percent in his first four years. In addition, he attacked
law.
inflation by holding down salaries and
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wages, leading to a dramatic decrease in the general standard of living for the masses. These policies had as side effects massive numbers of bankruptcies of small
and mediumsized businesses and widespread unemployment.
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De la Madrid's drastic economic policies violated the basic principles of the old populist alliance between government and the working class. The weight of the
economic recovery crisis fell almost totally on the shoulders of the working and middle classes. The Mexican Workers' Confederation and the National Peasants'
Confederation, central pillars of the PRI since the 1930s, were now relegated to subordinate positions in the government. They took orders from above and
maintained discipline among the rank and file, without sharing the rewards they had customarily enjoyed.
The nationalization of banking led to the founding of exchange houses as substitutes for banks. Foreign currency speculation, in turn, caused a market crash in 1987 in
which small and medium savers lost their profits and capital. Speculators used this capital to negotiate the purchase of the oncenationalized banks whose owners had
been generously indemnified. Eventually, the government used investors' confiscated assets to pay off shareholders of the nationalized banks, a move which would
have been unthinkable under the terms of classic populism.
De la Madrid clearly distanced himself from the populist measures and rhetoric of the past. The only echoes of populism heard were empty promises of responsible
stewardship of the economy and general improvements in the standard of living. The actual results were minimal. The business sector did not respond to the unlimited
confidence placed in them, and investments never reached earlier levels. Exports did grow rapidly, especially manufactured goods, which rose 30 percent annually
between 1982 and 1985. But most of the increase was a result of decreasing exports prices, which was due to the devaluation of Mexican currency, and to worker
overtime, which was caused by factory owners not investing more in plant and machinery. Indeed the profits earned by manufacturers depended mostly on reducing
real salary levels. By the late 1980s Mexican workers earned only half the wages of their counterparts in Singapore and twothirds those of Korean workers. Salaries
fell from 45 percent of national income in 1982 to 34 percent in 1986.
Another negative factor in the 1980s was the continuous drop in petroleum prices on the international market, causing a loss of eight billion dollars in 1986, as
compared with 1982 prices. This sum, equal to about 6 percent of GDP, meant less foreign reserves available for domestic savings. Internal borrowing on the order of
16 percent of GDP made up the difference.
In sum, the presidency of Miguel de la Madrid did not produce positive
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results in the economy, and therefore the general situation of the country deteriorated enormously. The middle class suffered declines in living standards, but the poor,
of course, bore the brunt of the recession. Conditions were ripe, therefore, for the surge in reform sentiment that would drive neoCardenismo.
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any form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or
NeoCardenismo
The economic crisis of the 1980s and de la Madrid's abandonment of the classical alliance with the workers' and farmers' confederations brought into the open a latent
split that had always existed in the PRI. Within the party, traditionalists led by Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas and the PML proclaimed that the popularnationalrevolutionary
model was still valid and should guide the party. They claimed the mantle of Mexico's most revered president, Gen. Lázaro Cárdenas. For this reason, their movement
can be termed neoCardenismo. Reformists, on the other hand, claimed that a neoliberal model was needed to keep up with current trends of globalization.
NeoCardenistas held up two principles. First, they argued for adherence to the principles of the 1910 revolution, the 1917 Constitution, and Lázaro Cárdenas. 6
Accordingly, they criticized the economic program adopted in the 1980s as a betrayal of the revolution. Second, they called for overhauling the PRI, which had been
altered but never seriously reformed since its formation in 1929. Frozen in place during the late 1940s, the PRI had become a rigid and increasingly inflexible system of
powerholding. By the 1990s it was regarded as the most serious obstacle to the development of Westernstyle democracy in Mexico.
As enunciated by Cuauhtémoc, neoCardenismo drew heavily on the ideas and actions of Mexican populism as envisioned by his father. Lázaro Cárdenas had his
own conceptions concerning the guiding role of the state in the economy. He firmly believed that the state should play a determinant role as entrepreneur and planner
of the economy in order to get the necessary strength to control and direct investment and therefore a more equal distribution of income. Such a strength should be
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used as well for the defense of selfdetermination, nationalism, and popular interests. He proclaimed that the problems of the country should never be left solely to the
anonymous operations of the marketplace. Instead, the state should regulate them because only it "has a general interest and, for this reason, only it has a global
vision."7 Accordingly, state intervention needed to be even greater and directed by the sociopolitical goals of the revolution.
Luis Echeverría and López Portillo upheld this interventionist position in the 1970s and early 1980s. It must be taken into account that the aim
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of this policy was to make up for insufficient investment by the private sector, and at the same time create or save jobs. But it led to bloated government payrolls,
gross mismanagement of stateowned industries, illadvised rescues of bankrupt businesses, and fiscal negligence and graft. In 1973 state enterprises absorbed 54
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percent of federal revenues; by 1979 their share reached 70 percent. 8
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NeoCardenistas agree with this policy; they think the state should provide services to the population by managing public utilities and basic industries in order to justify
its strength and thereby its autonomy. This would also allow the state to exercise a stabilizing influence in the economy and uphold employment levels.
Finally, Cuauhtémoc believed that the strength of the state, as an embodiment of nation, could only be preserved by a strong president around whom all political affairs
revolved. Therefore, he favored enhancing the president's authority in order to defend "a harassed country" against impositions by more powerful nations, in spite of
the fact that enormous power concentrated into the hands of one person is widely criticized.9
NeoCardenistas revived the revolutionary nationalism of the 1930s with its emphasis on selfdetermination and sovereignty. They denounced heavy reliance on
foreign credit as a surrender by the government of its independence. Cuauhtémoc himself argued that "behind the sources of credit stand vested political and economic
interests that, in addition to mere financial profits, sought to transform a commercial relationship into one of political dependency. Negotiations concerning our debt are
dominated by our imperialistic neighbor, whose government has been dangerously aggressive and uses strength as an instrument to resolve its problems."10
NeoCardenistas criticized the government of Miguel de la Madrid for giving its highest priority to repaying the nation's foreign debt—which amounted to 70 percent
of GDP—at a time when unemployment was high and domestic savings low, instead of trying to stimulate the economy and putting the Mexican people's interests
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ahead of those of foreign bankers. To better understand their point of view, it is useful to remember that the enormous external debt of the Latin American countries
was partly the result of the oil crisis of the 1970s. Vast profits accruing to the exporting countries, called petrodollars, were deposited in international financial
institutions. These, in turn, began a lending frenzy so that their assets would produce dividends. Soon, interest rates soared to as high as 22 percent, while prices for
raw materials dropped sharply. A high official of Mexico's leading development bank, Nacional Financiera, recounted later that agents for the banks used to stand in
line to offer loans according to the conditions stated above.
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NeoCardenistas therefore argued that the government should not rush to negotiate the terms of foreign debt, which in truth was the responsibility of both debtors and
creditors. When the latter knowingly made loans that exceeded the countries' capacity to pay, they actually meant to make the countries more vulnerable to external
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pressures. Therefore, they argued, creditors should be required to offer better terms, such as extension of repayment periods, lower interest, debt forgiveness, and
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limits on the size of remittances relative to exports and GDP. 11
The NeoCardenistas did not call for a simple debt moratorium, however, but rather strenuous negotiations to limit capital outflow. They would place a lower priority
on debt payment in favor of investing in economic development that would benefit the nation and all its people. This would also improve the general standard of living
and create new jobs.12
De la Madrid had counted on petroleum exports to supply all the foreign currency needed to service the debts. In fact, knowledge of Mexico's huge oil reserves had
induced international bankers to make loans in the first place. When oil prices retreated in the 1980s, however, de la Madrid found he had to authorize even higher
exports. NeoCardenistas criticized this move because according to the experts the world reserves would be exhausted in twenty to thirty years. Given this fact,
Mexico should have limited production to cover domestic needs only. Otherwise overexploitation would jeopardize the future of the country.
Beyond the estimates of future world prices, the whole issue of Mexico's petroleum was extremely sensitive. Lázaro Cárdenas had to confront the great powers when
he expropriated the oil properties of foreign companies in 1938. North American and, above all, British interests threatened intervention for a time.13 Cárdenas
enjoyed special reverence for this move, which permitted Mexico to make enormous economic progress during and after World War II. For this reason neo
Cardenistas distrusted the motives of policymakers who pushed for greater exports. Cuauhtémoc believed U.S. strategic planners "want to use our reserves today in
order to conserve their own; they consider our reserves as part of their strategic resources."14
NeoCardenismo also defended the independence of the country with respect to foreign capital, above all that of the United States. General Cárdenas, upon the
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termination of his presidential term in 1940, wrote to his successor, Gen. Manuel Avila Camacho, exhorting him to give preference to domestic over foreign investors
in order to avoid decapitalizing Mexico. This was the political ideal and thesis of neoCardenismo, and the basis for criticism of PRI. It was also the foundation for the
alliances of several progressive parties, especially those supporting Cuauhtémoc for president in 1988.
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The Democratic Current
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On the basis of these ideas and principles, in mid1985 Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas started talks with other politicians within his own party, the PRI, particularly one of the
form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
leading ideologues of the Mexican revolutionary nationalism, Porfirio Muñoz Ledo. The former was nearing completion of his term as governor of Michoacán, and the
latter was finishing his tour as Mexico's ambassador to the United Nations. Over the next year they built a progressive coalition within the PRI called the Democratic
Current. The public announcement of their alliance in August 1986 caused great consternation in political circles. Some PRI stalwarts leaned toward joining the
Democratic Current, but few actually did. The president of PRI moved quickly to negotiate a truce with them. He requested that the dissidents refrain from attacking
the government's economic policies and PRI's undemocratic internal procedures. The Democratic Current leaders could not, however, accept such restrictions since
these positions were central to their movement. Other efforts were made to tone down the dispute, but it was clear that major policy differences undermined traditional
PRI unity. 15
Less than a year later, Cuauhtémoc demanded that during the PRI convention they poll local leaders throughout the country in order to select the next presidential
candidate and determine planks for their platform. Such consultations, amounting to a primary system, would have replaced the hoary tradition of the "tapado," the
custom of the president designating his successor. The PRI leadership rejected the proposal, despite the fact that article 147 of the party bylaws actually called for
open primaries. Because of these attacks on party procedure, the PRI leaders abandoned their efforts at conciliation, and the split between them and the Democratic
Current widened. On March 10, 1987, the party expelled Cuauhtémoc, and Muñoz Ledo resigned shortly after.
The Democratic Current then became an independent movement, since its populistrevolutionary traditions had been rejected and it was barred from coming to power
through the PRI. Its leaders proclaimed that the PRI had lost its way due to the apathy and inertia of its leaders. PRI only survived, they said, by means of election
fraud that discouraged the participation of progressive members. The Democratic Current held that it must press for democratization within its ranks so that the party
could become an agent of free and popular elections among the general population. A second major theme was "to improve living conditions for the masses through an
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economic recovery along popular nationalist lines."16
Economic nationalism formed a cornerstone of the Democratic Current program. This included restrictions on foreign ownership of manufactur
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ing firms, protection of natural resources, and capture of business profits for the good of the nation itself. 17 It also highlighted the need for international cooperation to
proceed on the basis of parity among nations.
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On the domestic political scene, the Democratic Current stressed the desirability of restoring "the national alliances that protected the sovereignty, progress, and
stability of the nation"—that is, the Cardenist coalition of the 1930s of associations participating in decisions made at various levels of the state in a certain way, which
makes it possible to speak of modern corporatism.18
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Once the Democratic Current had broken definitively with PRI, the way was clear for Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas to run for president as an independent. His candidacy,
announced in July 1987, won the immediate support of the Authentic Party of the Mexican Revolution, which had languished in the shadow of the PRI for thirtyfive
years.
Cuauhtémoc's candidacy was soon supported by splinter parties from the left, including the Mexican Socialist (formerly Communist) Party. This electoral coalition was
called the Democratic Front. The residual popularity of Lázaro Cárdenas certainly added to Cuauhtémoc's appeal, but his own personality, along with his "sad dog"
visage, also attracted support. Finally, the serious depression and unemployment undoubtedly boosted his following.
The results of the August 1988 election were clouded by claims of fraud, but as usual the official party candidate, Carlos Salinas de Gortari, was declared the victor.
His margin, however, was unusually narrow: Salinas 53 percent; Cárdenas 31 percent; and Manuel Clouthier, the conservative candidate of the Party of National
Action (PAN), 17 percent. In the 1988 congressional election, PRI won only 51 percent of the seats, compared to 29 percent and 18 percent, respectively, for the
other two. The victory of Salinas de Gortari was actually a wakeup call for the entire political system.19
Rejection of Populism
During the next few years the global situation underwent more changes. Neoliberal economics, favored by Great Britain and the United States, won more converts. It
prescribed total surrender of the economy to market forces and elimination of state intervention. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was a conspicuous advocate
of neoliberalism, and some of the countries that adopted it, the socalled newly industrialized countries, made considerable progress.
President Salinas, who was the primary architect of de la Madrid's economic program, also adopted the neoliberal model and explicitly rejected populism. He blamed
populism for the country's crisis but failed to men
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tion the role played by incompetent and corrupt governors. Like de la Madrid, he repudiated state guidance of the economy and continued to privatize the public
sector enterprises. He dropped all pretenses of economic nationalism and stressed the acceptance of foreign investors, especially those from the United States. To the
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
extent possible, his administration favored returns to capital over those to labor. Employment and workers' wellbeing became mere dependent variables of the
economy. Productivity and profitability became the overriding goals of the government. Finally, all of this should be regulated only by the law of supply and demand;
that is, a return to nineteenthcentury laissezfaire.
In rural areas, meanwhile, property ownership patterns underwent profound transformations, almost the opposite of those brought about by classical populism. The
agrarian reform law was amended to permit the sale of ejidos. Moreover, domestic and foreign investors could purchase ejidos land. Finally, formerly sanctioned
social ownership of the land was eliminated in favor of private ownership.
Under the neoliberal regime, the popular organizations representing labor and farmers were relegated to carrying out decisions made in the planning ministries. Efforts
to raise salaries met with rigid opposition, so that labor leaders became mere spectators and executors of higher policy. They could not prevent the general
redistribution of income from labor to capital and were forced to issue humiliating statements of solidarity with the government agencies. Rank and file, denied both
electoral influence and genuine union representation, could only take their grievances to the streets in protest.
Even more remarkably, PRI's platform had become so conservative that it approximated that of its traditional rival, the Party of National Action (PAN). Still,
President Salinas held on to some of the traits of populism, such as formulating a general program of government that, if implemented, would benefit labor, farmers,
and the middle class. This holdover was no more than window dressing, however, for employers and business managers refused to accept it. He sustained as well the
traits of corporatism.
To stimulate economic growth, meanwhile, President Salinas implemented a vigorous program of infrastructure investment, called the Program of National Solidarity
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(PRONASOL), that absorbed a third of public expenditures. Much of this money came from the sale of public enterprises. The highly publicized successes of
PRONASOL were popular and boosted the PRI's turnout in the offyear elections of 1991. Prior to the voting, television spots praising the virtues of PRONASOL
were repeated every five to six minutes over virtually every station. To capitalize more, the emblem of PRONASOL was almost identical to that of the PRI.
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Perhaps even more important to Salinas's success than PRONASOL was the beginning of economic recovery prior to the elections. The growth cycle affected not
only legitimate businesses but the tens of thousands of socalled informal businesses that operated on the margins of the legal system, paying no taxes, social security,
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form without permission from the publisher, except fair uses permitted under U.S. or applicable
or other levies. This huge but littlestudied sector accounted for between 20 and 30 percent of the economic activity of the country. Likewise, the informal sector
employed a fifth of the work force, some 5.7 million people, including many thousands of children working in the streets around the country, mostly as vendors. Their
teenage and adult counterparts worked in artisan shops, peddled wares from pushcarts, washed windshields at traffic intersections, and found other casual work. Even
if the government had wished to halt this informal entrepreneurial activity it could not have. And some economists believed that a significant share of the recovery in the
1990s was due to the informal sector. Such spontaneous economic growth seemed to avoid the kinds of violence and social problems that assailed other Latin
American cities, like São Paulo and Caracas. 20
The results of the neoliberal economic recovery in the mid1990s were important. Economic growth resumed, inflation diminished, and new money flowed into direct
investment. Capital returned from abroad. The GDP began growing at rates of 4–5 percent a year. Still, according to the Economic Commission for Latin America,
income inequalities were growing worse. Half the population was poor and 22 percent lived in conditions of extreme poverty.21 As we will see, since the neoliberal
economic strategy could not overcome this situation, it could hardly have been regarded as a success.
The shift from populist politics to neoliberal ones seemed the result of the influence of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It meant abandoning the dream of
turning Mexico into a developed country using its own resources and capital while guaranteeing a fair distribution of wages among all the social classes. The neoliberal
state was incapable of doing such things.
Salinas's political record, meanwhile, was tarnished by the persistence of traditional autocratic behavior in the executive branch. He refused to dismantle the
corporative state. Working directly and through the PRI, the government controlled all state agencies. PRI could not survive without the patronage it reaped from
government jobs, and the government could not survive without PRI's ability to mobilize voters at election time and, when necessary, commit fraud. This created a
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great tension, for Salinas experienced considerable pressure from below and abroad to democratize the regime.
Few signs suggested that political reform was imminent under Salinas.
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The PRI victories in the August 1991 elections were full of irregularities; it used all the state financial resources to win. Moreover, the Mexican Institute of Public
Opinion estimated that PRI accounted for 97 percent of political advertising on television, 86 percent on the radio, and 72 percent in the print media. The remainder
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was divided among the other nine parties.
The Discrediting of Neoliberalism
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Carlos Salinas finished his term with an aura of triumph. Unfortunately, the glow masked failures and deep divisions. As reported by the Economic Commission for
Latin America, Salinas ignored nearly half the population—that is, the masses who lived in extreme poverty and who erupted in violent protest. On January 1, 1994,
the day that NAFTA took effect, the Indians of Chiapas rose up in revolt to demand that the government desist from the dispossessions and exploitation they had
been subjected to for five hundred years. Neoliberal policies had driven down standards of living, which among the Indians were already so low they were pushed
over the edge of violence. The leaders of this revolt claimed to be the heirs of Emiliano Zapata, and their armed movement adopted the name Zapatista Army for
National Liberation (EZLN). 22
The conflict had interesting ramifications. In its wake arose powerful social forces that once had a marginal action—in a word, the civil society. Immediately, myriad
nongovernmental organizations came to the defense of the Zapatistas and obliged the regime to declare a general amnesty and to hold talks with the rebels. The
negotiations gained worldwide attention because they were held in the cathedral of San Cristóbal las Casas, capital of the state of Chiapas, under the auspices of
Bishop Samuel Ruiz as mediator and under the watchful eyes of thousands of unarmed onlookers. This attention prevented an attack by rural bosses and landowners
who believed that their properties were threatened, properties they had often acquired through expropriation from the Indians or maintained illegally with the complicity
of the authorities.
The talks failed, and from that moment on, Salinas stopped efforts at reaching an understanding. The rebels remained on the scene, a problem left for the next
administration.
The neoCárdenas movement felt great sympathy with the Zapatista rebels, and their only hesitation had to do with the rebels' military approach. The neoCardenistas
and the newly founded Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), heir to the Frente, gained strength even though they did not establish direct links to the Zapatistas.
The year 1994 was critical in the political realm, even though it was
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tinged with blood. PRI presidential candidate Luis Donaldo Colosio was assassinated, as was Sen. Francisco Ruiz Massieu, general secretary for the PRI. Fingers
immediately pointed to the party itself and to the government.
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The struggle for democracy within the PRI led to deep divisions and signs of dissolution. The progressive wing led by Cuauhtémoc and Muñoz Ledo persisted under
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the form of a new group called Democracy 2000.
Statelevel elections also affected the struggle of the PRD and neoCardenistas, especially where fraud marked the results and the reformers protested. In some of
these same cases, the conservative National Action Party (PAN) also protested, and in those instances President Salinas ordered the results thrown out and PAN
candidates were sworn in. In this struggle for democracy, the PRD waged the battle and PAN reaped the rewards.
Zedillo at the Halfway Mark
In the 1994 presidential campaign, Dr. Ernesto Zedillo warned that if the opposition won, the country would be destabilized and thrown into a severe crisis. He
stressed that his election would bring an immediate improvement in family incomes. He also referred constantly to the assassination of Colosio to elicit voters'
sympathies. He succeeded with this simple stratagem, using the electronic media to provoke fear and uncertainty in the wake of the Chiapas uprising and to promise
stability if he won. The massive use of public funds for this media campaign was as blatantly illegal as it ever was.
The voter turnout in 1994 was very large, over 80 percent, and Zedillo won a clear victory using the tactics just described. The official party also won an absolute
majority in Congress, giving it overwhelming control of both houses.
On December 1, 1994, the ritual changing of the guard took place. President Salinas passed the mantle of power to Zedillo, saying that he had given the Mexican
people unprecedented prosperity. But the truth was very different. The political events of the preceding year had left their marks, some quite deep. The Indian uprising
in Chiapas had not produced serious economic consequences, but the political assassinations did.
Salinas's financial and commercial policies, as well as his record in other areas, was quite poor. His neoliberalism provoked the Chiapas rebellion, as already noted. In
addition, unemployment rose due to NAFTA's failure to produce immediate economic expansion. In fact, tens of thousands of Mexicans lost their jobs due to
bankruptcies and cutbacks. The National
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