Beneish M Score

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Beneish M-score

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The Beneish model is a statistical model that uses financial ratios calculated with


accounting data of a specific company in order to check if it is likely (high probability)
that the reported earnings of the company have been manipulated.

Contents

 1How to calculate
 2How to interpret
 3Important notices
 4Example of successful application
 5Further reading on financial statement manipulation
 6See also
 7References

How to calculate[edit]
The Beneish M-score is calculated using 8 variables (financial ratios): [1][2]

 Days Sales in Receivables Index


(DSRI) DSRI = (Net Receivablest / Salest) / (Net Receivablest-1 / Salest-1)

 Gross Margin Index (GMI)


GMI = [(Salest-1 - COGSt-1) / Salest-1] / [(Salest - COGSt) / Salest]

 Asset Quality Index (AQI)


AQI = [1 - (Current Assetst + PP&Et + Securitiest) / Total Assetst] / [1 - ((Current Assetst-
1 + PP&Et-1 + Securitiest-1) / Total Assetst-1)]

 Sales Growth Index (SGI)


SGI = Salest / Salest-1

 Depreciation Index (DEPI)


DEPI = (Depreciationt-1/ (PP&Et-1 + Depreciationt-1)) / (Depreciationt / (PP&Et +
Depreciationt))
 Sales General and Administrative Expenses Index (SGAI)
SGAI = (SG&A Expenset / Salest) / (SG&A Expenset-1 / Salest-1)

 Leverage Index (LVGI)


LVGI = [(Current Liabilitiest + Total Long Term Debtt) / Total Assetst] / [(Current
Liabilitiest-1 + Total Long Term Debtt-1) / Total Assetst-1]

 Total Accruals to Total Assets (TATA)


TATA = (Income from Continuing Operationst - Cash Flows from Operationst) / Total
Assetst
The formula to calculate the M-score is:[1]
M-score = −4.84 + 0.92 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI +
0.115 × DEPI −0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI

How to interpret[edit]
The threshold value is -1.78 for the model whose coefficients are reported above.
(see Beneish 1999, Beneish, Lee, and Nichols 2013, and Beneish and Vorst 2020).

 If M-score is less than -1.78, the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. For


example, an M-score value of -2.50 suggests a low likelihood of manipulation.
 If M-score is greater than −1.78, the company is likely to be a manipulator. For
example, an M-score value of -1.50 suggests a high likelihood of manipulation.

Important notices[edit]
 Beneish M-score is a probabilistic model, so it cannot detect companies that
manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy.
 Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when
calculating M-score. It means that the M-score for fraud detection cannot be
applied among financial firms (banks, insurance). [dubious  –  discuss][citation needed]

Example of successful application[edit]


Enron Corporation was correctly identified 1998 as an earnings manipulator by
students from Cornell University using M-score. [citation needed] Noticeably, Wall Street
financial analysts[who?] were still recommending to buy Enron shares at that[which?] point in
time.[citation needed]

Further reading on financial statement manipulation [edit]


 A sequence of articles on Alpha Architect blog. [3][4][5]
 An article on Investopedia about different types of financial statement
manipulation ("smoke and mirrors", "elder abuse", "fleeing town", and others). [6]

See also

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