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Project Fenrir

Proposal for the Replacement of the Minuteman-III ICBMs

Submitted by:

Team: Stripe Aerospace


Colby Truong John Clements Edgar Diaz Eric Gonzalez
Rushi Patel Courtney Sorenson Nolan Wells

Faculty Advisor
Dr. Donald Edberg

California State Polytechnic University, Pomona


Department of Aerospace Engineering

3801 W Temple Ave


Pomona, CA 91768

May 10th, 2019

AIAA Graduate Team Missile Systems Design Competition – Long Range Strategic Missile
Colby Truong Dr. Donald Edberg
Team Lead, Aerothermodynamics, Trajectory Faculty Advisor

AIAA Member No: #761762 AIAA Member No: #022972-00

John Clements Edgar Diaz Eric Gonzalez


Logistics & Operations Vehicle Design, CAD Deputy Lead, Propulsion

AIAA Member No: #983374 AIAA Member No: #983827 AIAA Member No: #834530

Rushi Patel Courtney Sorenson Nolan Wells


Trajectory, Design Guidance, Navigation, & Structures
Optimization Controls
AIAA Member No: #983283 AIAA Member No: #983829 AIAA Member No: #983027

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Executive Summary

The need has risen to replace the United States’ inventory of the aging Minuteman-III

intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) in order for the nation to maintain a credible nuclear

deterrent. Stripe Aerospace presents Project Fenrir as a response to the Long Range Strategic

Missile request for proposal (RFP) sponsored by the American Institute of Aeronautics and

Astronautics (AIAA) Missile Systems Technical Committee (MSTC).

Following the requirements set by the RFP, the proposed missile will be capable of

delivering two 1000 lbm independently guided warheads to targets of interest from a maximum

distance with an objective range of 10,000 nmi (threshold of 7,000 nmi). Additionally, the missile

must be capable of storage for up to 20 years without maintenance.

Two system architectures were considered: a conventional ballistic missile using a post

boost vehicle to deploy independent reentry vehicle (RV) and missile launched hypersonic glide

vehicles (HGV). Using risk and technology development as the main factors for architecture

downselection, the conventional ballistic missile design was chosen due to having mature

technology that are based on the Minuteman-III. The ability to use the HGV is still under

consideration; however, it is not the primary focus of the design.

The missile is sized to fit inside current Minuteman-III silos, thus not requiring any major

changes to the launch platform. It uses three stages: an APCP solid first stage, an MMH/N2O4

second stage, and a JP-10/98% H2O2 third stage. The missile is designed with H2O2

monopropellant post boost vehicle that can carry up to two RVs. The proposed system is expected

to cost $111.9 billion and achieve the 2029 initial operational capability with manufacturing of the

final product starting in late 2026. The proposed system meets all requirements laid out by the

RFP.

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Table of Contents

1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 1

1.1 Purpose and Requirements for Vehicle Design................................................................ 1

2 Preliminary Considerations ..................................................................................................... 2

2.1 Relevant Treaties Affecting ICBM Design ...................................................................... 2

2.2 Launch Platform Integration ............................................................................................ 3

2.3 Target Engagement .......................................................................................................... 5

2.4 Range Requirement Assessment ...................................................................................... 6

3 System Architectures .............................................................................................................. 8

3.1 Assessment of Two Candidate Architectures................................................................... 8

3.2 Concept of Operations ...................................................................................................... 9

3.3 Selected Architecture ..................................................................................................... 11

4 Vehicle Design and Sizing .................................................................................................... 13

4.1 ΔV Estimation ................................................................................................................ 14

4.2 Propellant Selection........................................................................................................ 15

4.3 Launch Vehicle Family Sizing Analysis ........................................................................ 17

4.4 Inboard Profile Design Process ...................................................................................... 18

4.4.1 Tank Design ............................................................................................................ 18

4.4.2 Solid Motor/Liquid Engine Sizing .......................................................................... 19

4.4.3 Pump Sizing ............................................................................................................ 22

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4.4.4 Post-Boost Vehicle.................................................................................................. 23

4.4.5 Fairing ..................................................................................................................... 24

4.4.6 Re-entry Vehicle ..................................................................................................... 25

4.4.7 Separation Devices.................................................................................................. 26

4.4.8 Scale Drawing and Mass Properties ....................................................................... 26

4.4.9 CAD Model Views ................................................................................................. 29

5 Trajectory .............................................................................................................................. 31

5.1 Ballistic Trajectory Approach and Modelling ................................................................ 32

5.2 Optimized Trajectory to Meet Requirements ................................................................. 35

5.2.1 Ascent (Boost) Trajectory ....................................................................................... 36

5.2.2 Reentry Trajectory .................................................................................................. 39

5.2.3 Overall Trajectory Results ...................................................................................... 41

5.3 Reentry Heating.............................................................................................................. 43

5.4 Circular Error Probable .................................................................................................. 47

6 Structural Analysis ................................................................................................................ 49

6.1 Ground Loads ................................................................................................................. 49

6.2 Max q Data ..................................................................................................................... 51

6.3 Calculation of Load Distributions .................................................................................. 52

6.4 Stress Analysis ............................................................................................................... 57

7 Guidance, Navigation, and Controls ..................................................................................... 58

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7.1 Initial Stability Estimation ............................................................................................. 58

7.2 Implementation of PID Controller ................................................................................. 59

7.3 Frequency Analysis ........................................................................................................ 62

8 Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Design and Analysis ................................................................... 63

8.1 Waverider Design ........................................................................................................... 63

8.1.1 Geometric Relations................................................................................................ 65

8.2 HGV Trajectory.............................................................................................................. 67

9 System Level Considerations ................................................................................................ 71

9.1 Operations ...................................................................................................................... 71

9.2 System Maintenance ...................................................................................................... 71

9.3 End of Mission Concepts ............................................................................................... 72

9.4 Manufacturing ................................................................................................................ 72

9.5 Reliability/Redundancy Analysis ................................................................................... 73

9.6 Cost Analysis.................................................................................................................. 76

9.7 Program Timeline ........................................................................................................... 78

10 Compliance Matrix ............................................................................................................... 79

11 Summary and Conclusions ................................................................................................... 81

References ..................................................................................................................................... 83

v
List of Figures

Figure 2.1: Summary of treaties...................................................................................................... 3

Figure 2.2: Minuteman-III silo dimensions .................................................................................... 5

Figure 3.1: Architecture #1 Model.................................................................................................. 8

Figure 3.2: Architecture #2 Model with Glider .............................................................................. 9

Figure 3.3: Architecture #1 ConOps ............................................................................................. 10

Figure 3.4: Architecture #2 ConOps ............................................................................................. 11

Figure 4.1: Ballistic trajectory geometry ...................................................................................... 14

Figure 4.2: Decomposition of Hydrogen Peroxide ....................................................................... 16

Figure 4.3: Final Tank Dimensions for Architecture 1 ................................................................. 19

Figure 4.4: Stage 1 Nozzle Geometry ........................................................................................... 21

Figure 4.5: Stage 2 Engine Geometry ........................................................................................... 21

Figure 4.6: Stage 3 Engine Geometry ........................................................................................... 22

Figure 4.7: Architecture 1 Pump Requirements ........................................................................... 23

Figure 4.8: Post-Boost Vehicle Design ......................................................................................... 24

Figure 4.9: Clam shell release fairing design................................................................................ 25

Figure 4.10: RV design and dimensions ....................................................................................... 25

Figure 4.11: Scale Drawing of Vehicle......................................................................................... 27

Figure 4.12: Mass Breakdown of Vehicle .................................................................................... 27

Figure 4.13: Diagram with CM and CP ........................................................................................ 28

Figure 4.14: Side and bottom view of ICBM ............................................................................... 29

Figure 4.15: ICBM configuration ................................................................................................. 30

Figure 5.1: Graphical representation of Coordinate System for Equations of Motion [13] ......... 33

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Figure 5.2: Titan II Drag Model (Provided by Faculty Advisor) ................................................. 34

Figure 5.3: Overview of trajectory optimization .......................................................................... 35

Figure 5.4: Ascent Trajectory Parameters vs. Time ..................................................................... 37

Figure 5.5: Time history of vehicle weight and propellant mass flow rate during boost ............. 38

Figure 5.6: Time history of thrust and drag during boost ascent trajectory .................................. 38

Figure 5.7: Time history of parameters for reentry trajectory ...................................................... 40

Figure 5.8: Time history of RV lift and drag forces ..................................................................... 40

Figure 5.9: Time history of parameters for entire trajectory ........................................................ 42

Figure 5.10: Time history of altitude and range for the entire trajectory ..................................... 42

Figure 5.11: 3D Overview of Trajectory ...................................................................................... 43

Figure 5.12: Ground Track of Trajectory ..................................................................................... 43

Figure 5.13: Stagnation point heat flux plotted against altitude ................................................... 45

Figure 5.14: Stagnation temperature and heat flux versus time.................................................... 46

Figure 5.15: Temperature distribution of RV surface at select times into reentry flight .............. 46

Figure 5.16: CEP results for 500 simulations ............................................................................... 48

Figure 6.1: Ground Axial Load Distribution ................................................................................ 51

Figure 6.2: Max-q Shear Load Distribution .................................................................................. 55

Figure 6.3: Max-q Moment Distribution ...................................................................................... 56

Figure 6.4: Max-q Axial Load Distribution .................................................................................. 56

Figure 7.1: Root locus with no controller implemented ............................................................... 59

Figure 7.2: Root locus with PID controller implemented ............................................................. 60

Figure 7.3: System response to step input .................................................................................... 61

Figure 7.4: Block diagram for system with a PID controller ........................................................ 61

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Figure 7.5: Detailed block diagram of sensor-actuator system..................................................... 62

Figure 8.1: Streamline tracing to form the compression surface of a waverider [17] .................. 64

Figure 8.2: Optimization process to design a viscous optimized waverider. Original illustration

from [23] ....................................................................................................................................... 65

Figure 8.3: MATLAB output of waverider shape in inches ......................................................... 66

Figure 8.4: 3-view diagram of HGV CAD model ........................................................................ 67

Figure 8.5: Time history of HGV trajectory parameters............................................................... 69

Figure 8.6: Ground track of the HGV trajectory........................................................................... 70

Figure 9.1: Manufacturing Plan .................................................................................................... 73

Figure 9.2: Program Timeline ....................................................................................................... 78

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List of Tables

Table 1.1: Summary of key requirements ....................................................................................... 1

Table 4.1: Specific impulses of possible propellants .................................................................... 15

Table 4.2 Mass Breakdown of Selected Architecture ................................................................... 18

Table 4.3: Summary of Motor/Engine Parameters ....................................................................... 21

Table 4.4: Intertanks, Interstages, and extra accommodation dimensioning ................................ 26

Table 4.5: Mass Properties of Vehicle. ......................................................................................... 28

Table 5.1: Ascent Trajectory Analysis Results ............................................................................. 36

Table 5.2: Initial conditions for reentry trajectory ........................................................................ 39

Table 5.3: Impact parameters for RVs .......................................................................................... 41

Table 5.4: Key results for entire trajectory ................................................................................... 41

Table 5.5: Values for estimating hypersonic aerodynamic heating .............................................. 44

Table 5.6: Summary of CEP tolerances for RV initial conditions ................................................ 48

Table 6.1: Ground Axial Loads .................................................................................................... 50

Table 6.2: Max-q Parameters ........................................................................................................ 51

Table 6.3: Vehicle Max-q Flight Loads ........................................................................................ 53

Table 6.4: Total Shear, Axial, and Moment Distributions ............................................................ 54

Table 6.5: Stress Analysis Summary ............................................................................................ 57

Table 8.1: Initial conditions for HGV trajectory .......................................................................... 68

Table 8.2: HGV maneuvers .......................................................................................................... 68

Table 8.3: Impact parameters from HGV trajectory ..................................................................... 69

Table 9.1: Key part reliability analysis ......................................................................................... 74

Table 9.2: Derived subsystem reliability ...................................................................................... 75

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Table 9.3: General subsystem reliability analysis......................................................................... 76

Table 9.4: Cost Estimation Breakdown ........................................................................................ 77

Table 10.1: Compliance Matrix .................................................................................................... 79

x
List of Abbreviations

AIAA American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics


AP Ammonium Perchlorate
CAD Computed aided design
CEA Chemical Equilibrium with Applications
CEP Circular Error Probable
ConOps Concept of Operations
GPS Global Positioning System
HGV Hypersonic Glide Vehicle
ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
IMU Inertial Measurement Unit
IOC Initial Operational Capability
MMH Monomethyl Hydrazine
PBAN Polybutadiene Acrylonitrile
PBV Post boost vehicle
PID Proportional-Integral-Derivative
RFP Request for proposal
RV Reentry Vehicle
STK Systems Tool Kit
USAF United States Air Force

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1 Introduction

1.1 Purpose and Requirements for Vehicle Design

This proposal responds to the 2018-2019 Graduate Team Missile Systems Design Competition –

Long Range Strategic Missile request for a replacement to the current ICBM fleet in the United

States. The Minuteman III missiles were introduced in 1970 and now the country needs the next

generation of ICBMs to remain a credible nuclear deterrent. The top-level system requirements

are as follows:

Table 1.1: Summary of key requirements

1
2 Preliminary Considerations

Nomenclature

Symbols
A = Cross sectional area
d = Penetration depth
N = Nose coefficient
S = Penetrability of target
V = Impact velocity
W = Weight of reentry vehicle

2.1 Relevant Treaties Affecting ICBM Design

As to not design something that would impose on international treaties all current treaties were

studied. Not only does being knowledgeable of relevant treaties prevent a missile design from

being unusable, many treaties have affected the manufacturing and testing process of these

strategic missiles.

Starting with one of the most impactful and relevant was the Treaty of the Non-Proliferation

of Nuclear Weapons crafted by the International Community. This treaty shaped many future

treaties stating that the countries participating “pursue good-faith negotiations on measures relating

to cessation of the nuclear arms race…”. A practice Stripe Aerospace would like to follow.

For manufacturing and deployment options the New Start treaty between United States and Russia

limits the total number of ICBMs and warheads each country can have in their arsenal. A planned

production or backlog of units will be limited by this treaty. New Start also states that Russia must

be made aware of where our active nuclear weapons are stored. This was the driving decision in

not choosing a mobile launcher. As a loaded mobile launcher location must always send its location

out, it loses its stealth advantage.

For testing plans the Treaty Banning Nuclear Tests in the Atmosphere, in Outer Space, and

Under Water written by the United Nations constrains how and where ICBM tests can happen.

2
This treaty is focused around public safety and the preservation of wildlife. Any planned

demonstration of Strip Aerospace’s product will confine to a testing plan which abides by the rules

listed above. A summary of these treaties can be seen in Figure 2.1.

Figure 2.1: Summary of treaties

2.2 Launch Platform Integration

The launch vehicle needs to be capable of launch from one of two means: from existing Minuteman

III silos for a fixed launch or from a truck/ train car for mobile launches. Based off current

worldwide configurations a feasibility analysis was done on the mobile launch platform for its

advantages and disadvantages. It was discovered that the cost of a mobile launcher would range

anywhere from $30 B to $80 B. [1] Based off previous designs of mobile launch platforms, its

estimated that the individual vehicle weight would be upwards of 100 T. The weight of the

launcher and vehicle combined would limit greatly where the mobile platform could access.

3
Transportation is not only limited by safe access due to the weight, but also by the security risks

posed when transportation is mixed with civilian traffic and population centers. This restricts the

range of where these mobile launchers can realistically travel. Lastly, the New START Treaty

between the United States and Russia restricts deployed mobile launchers strictly to ICBM bases.

This alone makes it so that a mobile platform of any kind is highly limited in its range so much so

that it was determined there is minimal to no benefit in considering a mobile launch platform for

the design. [2]

To comply with the requirements, the vehicle must then be compatible with current

Minuteman III silos as a launch platform. Through research the dimensions of current silos were

determined so that vehicle sizing could be done to ensure an appropriate fit. Based off the Delta –

09 launch facility in South Dakota, the usable diameter of the silo is 12.1 ft and the height from

the bottom of the launch tube to the top of the launcher door is 80.4 ft as shown in Figure 2.2.

Assuming no modifications to the silo, the maximum launch vehicle length could be 74.5 ft and

the maximum diameter could be 11.5 ft. These dimensions and limitation assumptions were used

to size the iterations of the launch vehicle to integrate it with the current silos. [3]

4
Figure 2.2: Minuteman-III silo dimensions

2.3 Target Engagement

Based on the research done by Sandia National Laboratories, the optimal penetration depth for a

warhead was found to be 9.8 ft. (3 m.) for weapon survivability and maximum ground shock

coupling. [4] Assuming a hard target such as concrete and given that the nuclear warhead has a

300 kt yield, the following equation was manipulated to determine the impact velocity necessary

to achieve the desired penetration depth:

𝑊 (2.1)
𝑑 = 0.00178𝑆𝑁( )0.7 (𝑉 − 100)
𝐴

After calculating the nose performance coefficient based on the warheads’ geometry and

the cross-sectional area of the warhead, then inputting all given values, the necessary impact

velocity was found to be 1180 fps (360 m/s). [5] This optimized impact velocity allows for

reentry trajectory calculations to ensure our vehicle can eliminate deeply buried and hardened

5
targets or hold them at risk of destruction. The RV will also houses a height-of-burst (HOB)

sensor for soft targets for optimal altitude detonation. The system will be capable of multiple

HOB settings to achieve mission success while minimizing collateral damage and fallout where

possible. The impact velocity requirement for target engagement was modeled into the launch-

to-impact code to discover the most efficient trajectory considering aerodynamic loads &

stresses, payload deployment time, and ground range.

2.4 Range Requirement Assessment

The objective ground range requirement was assessed using Systems Tool Kit (STK). All major

locations of Minuteman III silos were incorporated, and the ground range measurement tool was

used to visualize the 10,000 nautical mile ground range. Upon analysis, it was found that a range

of 10,000 nautical miles was excessive and reducing the ground range requirement was

appropriate. The original ground range and new ground range for a launch from Warren Air Force

Base is shown in the Figure 2.4. Note that the region within the yellow circle cannot be targeted.

Fig. 2.4: Ground Range Analysis from Warren Air Force Base

As is evident from the Figure 2.4, the original ground range of 10,000 nautical miles

resulted in a target in the middle of the Indian ocean. The ground range marker in Figure 2.4,

which is indicated by the yellow circle, was expanded until it touched a major landmass which in

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this case was Antarctica. This analysis was conducted for every major location known to have a

Minuteman III silo location to determine the maximum reduction possible in ground range. The

result of the analysis is tabulated in Table 2.4 below.

Table 2.4 Ground Range Analysis Results

LAUNCH CURRENT RANGE NEW RANGE ΔRANGE Percentage


LOCATION km, (nmi) km, (nmi) km, (nmi) Diff (%)
Warren AFB,
18,520 (10,000) 17,159 (9,265) 1,361 (735) 7.35
Wyoming
Minot AFB, North
18,520 (10,000) 17,990 (9,714) 530 (286) 2.86
Dakota
Malmstrom AFB,
18,520 (10,000) 17,779 (9,600) 741 (400) 4.00
Montana
Ellsworth AFB,
18,520 (10,000) 17,501 (9,450) 1,019 (550) 5.50
South Dakota
Vandenberg AFB,
18,520 (10,000) 18,411 (9,941) 109 (59) 0.59
California
Cape Canaveral
18,520 (10,000) 18,520 (10,000) 0 0.00
AFS, Florida

Launching from Warren Air Force Base did indeed permit the maximum ground range

reduction of 735 nmi. This was beneficial as it allowed for a relatively smaller ICBM which

could be accommodated within the existing Minuteman III silos and satisfy the compatibility

requirement.

7
3 System Architectures

3.1 Assessment of Two Candidate Architectures

To address the RFP, two independent system candidate architectures were designed. The first

system architecture is the conventional ballistic missile. It was modeled after the Minuteman III to

a certain degree. It utilized a solid first stage rocket motor with liquid second and third stages. This

configuration houses a post boost vehicle (PBV) and reentry vehicles (RV) to deploy the warheads.

This system follows the conventional ballistic trajectory and is compatible with the current

Minuteman III silos. Figure 3-1 shows a model of architecture #1’s concept.

Figure 3.1: Architecture #1 Model


The second architecture is the hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV). This ICBM uses a solid

first stage rocket motor and a hypergolic second stage to accelerate the hypersonic glide vehicle to

hypersonic speeds. The hypersonic glide vehicle contains the warheads and is released in the upper

atmosphere. The HGV is capable of midflight maneuvers for better targeting and avoiding

interception. The possibility of a mobile launch configuration was also considered. Figure 3.2

shows a model of architecture #2 with glider.

8
Figure 3.2: Architecture #2 Model with Glider
When assessing the viability of both architectures, several factors were taken into

consideration. First, the maturity of the technology was assessed. Given the innovative use of a

hypersonic glide, architecture 2 calls for more research and development. Additionally, the ease

of redesign was considered, as iterative optimizations will be frequently required for the early

stages of design.

3.2 Concept of Operations

The ICBM will follow conventional rocket staging similar to that of a heavy lift launch vehicle.

The ICBM is specifically designed to meet the requirements while being able to launch out of the

current Minuteman III silos. The concept of operations for architecture 1 is summarized in Figure

3.3.

9
Figure 3.3: Architecture #1 ConOps
Architecture 2 includes the hypersonic glide vehicle, which introduces some extra

complexities into the ConOps. The vehicle initially conforms to the standard ICBM launching

procedure, with sequential staging. Instead of a post boost vehicle, however, the glider is deployed.

The glider acts like a rock “skipping” in and out of the atmosphere as it closes the distance to the

target. Note that this behavior adds to its survivability, making it harder to intercept. This is

summarized below in Figure 3.4.

10
Figure 3.4: Architecture #2 ConOps

3.3 Selected Architecture

System architecture #1, the conventional ballistic missile, was the selected architecture. As the

customer’s mission is directly tied to national security, risk was an important factor in the down-

selection process. The first system architecture has low risk and proven technology that can operate

out of the Minuteman III silos with more range than the original Minuteman III. Furthermore, this

11
system architecture does not require excessive redesigning as it will use the conventional reentry

vehicle for the warheads and not the hypersonic glide vehicle. The second architecture requires

immense design work for the hypersonic glide vehicle and the controlled hypersonic flight needs

some maturity before it can be relied upon for national security missions. The drawbacks of this

design are that it is not necessarily the most innovative design. This system had many technical

constraints imposed by the dimensions of the silo and the customer requirements.

The following sections of this proposal will focus on the design decisions and results of the

first architecture. It is important to note that while system architecture #1 was the chosen

architecture, the analysis of the hypersonic glide vehicle continued. The goal is to eventually make

the hypersonic glide vehicle compatible with the payload fairing for the chosen architecture as it

was originally designed to be utilized on a different two-stage ICBM.

12
4 Vehicle Design and Sizing

Nomenclature

Symbols
A = Area
cdel = Characteristic velocity
CD = Drag coefficient
D = Drag
Dexit = Exit diameter
Dthroat = Throat diameter
g = acceleration due to gravity
*
L = Characteristic length
m0 = Initial mass
mf = Final mass
ms = Structural mass
mp = Propellant mass
mPL = Payload mass
𝑚̇ = Mass flowrate
Pc = Chamber pressure
P∞ = Atmospheric pressure
T = Thrust
v = Velocity
ΔV = Change in velocity
Greek Letters
γ = Flight path angle
ε = Expansion ratio
η = Efficiency
μ = Standard gravitational parameter
ρ = Density of air
σ = Structural mass fraction
φ = Flight path angle
ψ = Ground range angle

Vehicle design modeling began first with fuel estimations based on necessary ΔV for the mission.

Next, trade studies for propellant selection and family sizing were completed for both

architectures; with the optimal sizing selected, the tank sizing laid the base for the rest of the

inboard profile. The inboard profile was then iterated until a positive design margin, and

reasonable center of gravity was achieved.

13
4.1 ΔV Estimation

ΔV was determined using the USAF academy [6] estimate for burnout velocity, shown below in

equation 4.1 and Figure 4.1 below. Accompanying the burnout velocity, additional estimates for

drag and gravity loss were assessed as well to estimate a total ΔV. These losses were based on

values taken from the Elements of Space Launch Vehicle Design textbook [7].

𝛹
2𝜇 sin 2
2
𝑣𝑏𝑜 = ( ) (4.1)
𝑟𝑏𝑜 1 + sin 𝛹
2
𝐷
∆𝑣𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑠 = − − 𝑔 ∙ sin(𝛾) (4.2)
𝑚

Figure 4.1: Ballistic trajectory geometry


Two different estimates were found based on both architectures; architecture 1 was estimated

to need 30,512 ft/s, architecture 2 was estimated to need 26,247 ft/s. Values for drag and gravity

loss were refined and iterated as the trajectory was defined. Architecture 2 was estimated much

lower based on glide capability; this number is less certain due to the trajectory being much less

refined as more research is needed into the hypersonic flight portion as will be discussed later.

14
4.2 Propellant Selection

Storable liquid and solid propellants were considered for both architectures based on the 20-year

lifecycle requirement. The key parameter driving propellant trade studies was the Isp values. The

solid propellants considered were based on commercial motors found in the Northrop Grumman

catalog. Values for liquid propellants were obtained from astronautix.com or calculated based on

the stoichiometric mixture ratio in NASA’s Chemical Equilibrium with Applications (CEA). Table

4.1 below shows a full list of the considered propellants.

Table 4.1: Specific impulses of possible propellants

Propellant Isp (s) Seal Level Isp (s) Vacuum


JP-10/H2O2 290 330
Kerosene/N2O 260 281
Ethanol/H2O2 268 292
Kerosene/N2O4 276 301
N2O4/MMH 288 313
Ethanol/N2O 255 276
LCS1 (Solid) 279 -
Castor 120 (Solid) 280 -
Orion 50S XLG (Solid) 272 -
AP/PBAN/Al (Solid) 285 -

A main concern in selection was the corrosiveness and toxicity of hydrogen peroxide and

nitrogen tetroxide. Additional extensive research was done to assess whether hydrogen peroxide

would be suitable for the 20-year lifecycle requirement. Due to lack of time and resources the same

assessment was not done for nitrogen tetroxide, making this one of the weakest points in the design

of architecture 1.

Hydrogen peroxide is dense, storable, non-cryogenic, and has monopropellant capabilities;

however, it is considered by many to be a poor choice of an oxidizer. A key concern about

hydrogen peroxide is its handling complexities and to some, its storability as an alcohol-based

propellant. To address these concerns, a leading expert on hydrogen peroxide, Mark Ventura of

15
Ventura Energy Systems LLC, was consulted. Mr. Ventura spoke about the storability of hydrogen

peroxide in his past published work and experiments on the topic. Hydrogen peroxide decomposes

at differing rates depending on its temperature, and throughout the years several experiments have

been conducted studying this loss ratio. In Figure 4.2, a compilation of studies looking at peroxide

decomposition at varying temperatures shows a trend that newer studies estimate peroxide

decomposition being incredibly minor this figure comes from Mark Ventura’s paper Rocket Grade

Hydrogen Peroxide (RGHP) for use in Propulsion and Power Devices - Historical Discussion of

Hazards [8].

Figure 4.2: Decomposition of Hydrogen Peroxide


Estimated losses in 2003 show that if kept at 100 degrees Fahrenheit, a temperature an

underground silo in the mid-west will surely be kept below, an expected alcohol loss per day is

nearing 0.000001%. Using this loss rate after 20 years 98% hydrogen peroxide will be diluted to

97.27%, with a minimal resulting drop in Isp. In the professional setting Stripe Aerospace will

consult with Mark Ventura for lessons on handling the propellant grade, [9] which is comparable

in complexity to other high-performance oxidizers such as liquid oxygen or nitrogen tetroxide.

16
The storability of JP-10 as a propellant is also questionable, but an AFRL Propulsion

Directorate fuels service life study indicates that the propellant shelf-life will be extended from 19

to 28 years [9]. This makes JP-10 a viable propellant for silo storability in the context of this

design.

4.3 Launch Vehicle Family Sizing Analysis

The family sizing trade study was used to determine what percentage of the total ΔV would be

carried in each stage. This was done using simple computation in excel, using the rocket equation

and relationships from the structural factor (σ), with an estimated structural mass fraction and

mixture ratio. Using the rocket equation, and relationships from the mass and structural ratio, the

family sizing spreadsheet created mass breakdowns of structural, propellant, and total stage mass.

In the case of liquid propellants, an initial value of 0.07 was used and this number was iterated and

changed as the inboard profile evolved. Structural mass fractions were provided in the NGC

catalog for each commercial solid propellant. Estimations for mixture ratios were based on

previous vehicles engine designs with the same propellants, as provided by Astronautix.com. The

final selection was based on what combination provided the lowest gross lift-off mass. The

equations used are listed below:

𝑚0
𝛥𝑉 = 𝑔0 𝐼𝑠𝑝 𝑙𝑛 ( ) (4.3)
𝑚𝑓
𝑚𝑠 𝑚𝑠
𝜎= = (4.4)
𝑚𝑠 + 𝑚𝑝 𝑚0 − 𝑚𝑃𝐿

From the 𝛥𝑉 analysis, the following propellants were selected: AP/PBAN/Al solid (stage

1), MMH/N2O4 (stage 2), JP10/98% H2O2 (stage 3). These propellants were ultimately selected

based on their efficiency, as they resulted in the lowest gross liftoff masses throughout the trade

17
study. Additionally, it was decided to design a custom solid motor for stage 1 to avoid resizing of

a commercial engine.

Architecture 1 ΔV was split into the following: 20% ΔV first stage, 35% ΔV second stage,

45% ΔV third stage. Architecture 2 ΔV was split in the following: 58% ΔV first stage, 42% ΔV

second stage. A full mass breakdown of all stages for architectures 1 is shown below in Table 4.2:

Table 4.2 Mass Breakdown of Selected Architecture

Architecture 1
Δvtotal 30511.8 ft/s
stage 1 stage 2 Stage 3
ΔV ratio 20% 35% 45%
Isp 285 300.5 296.7
MR 1 1.65 7
Diameter 86.6 70.9 59.1 in
Ms 2833.8 1392.0 727.5 lbm
Mp 37648.6 21807.9 8894.5 lbm
M0 40482.4 23199.9 9462.5 lbm
GLOM 74142.6 lbm

4.4 Inboard Profile Design Process

The following processes were done for both architecture 1 and 2; architecture 1 being the

conventional three-stage ballistic missile (modeled after Minuteman III), and architecture 2 being

a much more innovative but high-risk design with two ballistic stages followed by a hypersonic

glide vehicle. During downsizing, architecture 1 was selected to be the final architecture, so the

inboard profile results will primarily be discussing architecture 1.

4.4.1 Tank Design

The process of designing the inboard profile began first with tank sizing, based on the propellant

density and ΔV requirements per stage. Liquid propellant tanks were estimated to be cylindrical

with elliptical domes and the solid motor casing was assumed to be a cylinder. In both cases, the

18
tank/motor casing walls doubled as the body of the rocket. If either the fuel or oxidizer did not

need the full capacity of the rocket diameter, the tank was modeled as a sphere held in place by

struts. In addition to the required propellant, residual, ullage, and start-up propellant was also

accounted for using mass estimation relationships. Residual propellant was estimated to be 2% of

required propellant. Start-up transients were estimated to take 1 second and the required propellant

for it was modeled as 𝑚𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡−𝑢𝑝 = 𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡−𝑢𝑝 × 𝑚̇. Additional volume was also added the tank

sizing of liquid propellants to account for ullage (additional 3%) and tank shrinkage (additional

2%). In the design of the solid motor casing, a volume was added for the propellant grain thrust

tailoring consumption (additional 10%), and to account for insulation to protect the casing and

ignition system (additional 2%). Tank sizing dimensioning can be seen in Figure 4.3.

Figure 4.3: Final Tank Dimensions for Architecture 1

4.4.2 Solid Motor/Liquid Engine Sizing

The engine dimensioning was done so as a function of thrust, chamber pressure, throat area, and

specific impulse. The required thrust was found by selecting a desired T/W ratio and the gross lift

off mass found using the family sizing calculations. A T/W ratio of 2.5 was selected for all stages

of both architectures. Specific impulse was pre-determined based on selected propellant

combination. Using chamber pressure and throat area as inputs, based on existing engines, the

following outputs can be calculated as follows:

19
𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑇𝑣𝑎𝑐
𝐴𝑡ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑡 = (4.5)
𝑃𝑐 𝑔0 𝐼𝑠𝑝−𝑣𝑎𝑐
𝑇𝑆𝐿
𝑇𝑣𝑎𝑐 =
𝑃∞ 𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝜀𝑛𝑜𝑧𝑧𝑙𝑒 (4.6)
1−𝑃𝑔
𝑐 0 𝐼𝑠𝑝−𝑣𝑎𝑐−𝑑𝑒𝑙

Using Tvac as a reference, the inputs of chamber pressure and throat area were iterated until Tvac

was desirable. The criteria for the first stage is that Tvac must be large enough that TSL > Trequired,

this can be verified using the following relationship:

𝑇𝑆𝐿 = 𝑇𝑣𝑎𝑐 − 𝑃∞ 𝐴𝑒 (4.7)


It can be assumed that the upper stages will be performing in a vacuum environment so the

criteria for upper stages is simply Tvac ~ Trequired. The sizing for the nozzle length, chamber

diameter and chamber length, and convergent section length were calculated u% of ideal sing the

following estimations: Assuming the nozzle is 80% length of ideal 15ᵒ half angle cone, the

nozzle length is,

(𝐷𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑡 − 𝐷𝑡ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑡 )(%𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ)


𝐿𝑛𝑜𝑧𝑧𝑙𝑒 = (4.8)
2 tan 15
Values for L* are obtained from [10] based on propellant choices and 0.9 is used for

LthRatiochamber. The combustion chamber length is found as,


1
4(𝐿∗ )(𝐴𝑡ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑡 )(𝐿𝑡ℎ𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 ) 3 (4.9)
𝐿𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑏 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 =( )
𝜋

Finally, the convergent section length is calculated by

𝐷𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 − 𝐷𝑡ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑡
𝐿𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑣 = (4.10)
2 tan(𝛼𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑣 𝑠𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 )
Where α convergent section angle (30ᵒ used in calculation).

A table listing key parameters for motor/engine dimensioning and performance will be shown

below in Table 4.3. Following the table will be nozzle geometry for each of the three stages in

Figure 4.4, Figure 4.5, and Figure 4.6.

20
Table 4.3: Summary of Motor/Engine Parameters

Parameter Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3


T/W 2.5 2.5 2.5
Thrust (lbf) 174,452 94,355 28,075
Isp (s) 285 303.89 327.11
Length (ft) 6.69 7.77 5.41
Expansion Ratio 12.6 57 102
Exit Velocity (ft/s) 9,186 5,479 9,543

Figure 4.4: Stage 1 Nozzle Geometry

Figure 4.5: Stage 2 Engine Geometry

21
Figure 4.6: Stage 3 Engine Geometry

4.4.3 Pump Sizing

Each liquid propellant requires a pump to push it into the engine combustion chamber at the correct

pressure and mass flow. To estimate what pumps are needed, a calculation provided by Humble

[11] will provide the power required. The equation is as follows:

𝑔0 𝑚̇𝐻𝑝
𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑞 = (4.11)
𝜂𝑝
The pump head rise is defined as:

𝛥𝑝𝑝
𝐻𝑝 = (4.12)
𝑔0 𝜌
For 𝛥𝑝𝑝 , the assumption of an unpressurized tank was used as a method for compensating against

pressure drop. Therefore, the value used for each pump was the pressure inside the combustion

chamber with an additional 20% added to account for the injector pressure drop [10]. The results

of this process are summarized in the Figure 4.7 below.

22
Figure 4.7: Architecture 1 Pump Requirements
These horsepower requirements would be used in future pump selection.

4.4.4 Post-Boost Vehicle

A post-boost vehicle (PBV) was required to help reach the desired re-entry release window as well

as to orient itself as it reaches the appropriate release window. It was designed to fit 2 re-entry

vehicles as requested by the RFP and will hold an avionics bay which will house all electronics

and the missile guidance system. To help reach our desired release window the PBV will have a

primary gimbaled booster engine capable of 315 lbf of thrust to allow the payload to be on course

by making any velocity corrections. The PBV will also contain 8 attitude control thrusters to

properly orient the PBV and have an optimal re-entry vehicle release. A clear image of the PBV

design can be seen in Figure 4.8 below.

23
Figure 4.8: Post-Boost Vehicle Design

4.4.5 Fairing

To ensure the payload successfully reaches its target, a fairing will be used to enclose and protect

the re-entry vehicles during the ascent phase of the mission. It will be elliptically shaped with a

typical clam shell release design and a blunt nose for distributed heating. With a length of 11.17ft

and a base of 4.9ft the fairing is big enough to encapsulate the avionics bay and both re-entry

vehicles with extra room to spare. The fairing will be manufactured out of sandwich material

composed of composite material and an aluminum honeycomb core filled with cork for

preventative heating during ascent. Figure 4.9 gives an image of the fairing design used for the

ICBM.

24
Figure 4.9: Clam shell release fairing design

4.4.6 Re-entry Vehicle

In order to protect the warheads from heating during re-entry, a re-entry vehicle (RV) was designed

to take all the thermal heating during atmospheric descent. Both the nuclear warhead and arming

mechanism will be a combined 80 in. in length and conically tapered with a 22 in. base as requested

by the RFP and with the RV design encapsulating the warhead, the total length becomes 96.4 in.

with a 23.6 in. base. A main feature of the re-entry vehicle is a spin stabilizing mechanism to allow

for more precision during the descent phase. The nose tip and body of the RV will be composed

of carbon-carbon material which allows to take all thermal heating during its re-entry phase

protecting the warhead and tracking electronics. Figure 4.10 provides a dimensioned CAD drawing

of the RV.

Figure 4.10: RV design and dimensions

25
4.4.7 Separation Devices

The separation devices chose are all devices that have been previously used and are known to be

reliable, as provided in a trade study from NASA [12]. The first stage solid motor jettison uses

thrust reversal to separate; when using thrust reversal, the main concern is chugging, to avoid this,

nominal coast time has been allocated to avoid any damage to remaining stages. The second and

third stage jettison, both of which are liquid engines, use a v-clamp; with explosive bolts.

Redundancy will be accounted for (two rings of 8 bolts) to ensure a clean and debris-free

separation. The fairing separation, occurring at 315,000 ft will be using 3 helical compression

springs; additionally, the fairing will be a typical clamshell release for simplicity. Finally, the

reentry vehicle/payload release will also use helical compression springs. In the event that the

conventional reentry vehicle is used 5 springs will be implemented, in the event the hypersonic

glide vehicle used, 10 springs will be implemented. In both cases, tip off rates of 0.5 deg/sec or

less are ensured. The compression springs used will be commercial helical compression springs.

4.4.8 Scale Drawing and Mass Properties

The rest of the inboard profile such as intertanks, interstages, space accommodation for engine

equipment and upper stage attachment, as well as thrust and ground attach structures were

estimated using basic relationships shown in Table 4.4 below.

Table 4.4: Intertanks, Interstages, and extra accommodation dimensioning

Intertanks Leave D/4 separation between fuel and


oxidizer tank
Interstages Leave engine length to accommodate
the engine between stages
Space accommodation Leave D/8 space for engine equipment
and upper stage attachment

Following the sizing of the vehicle components, a scale drawing was produced in SolidWorks. The

26
scale drawing is shown below in Figure 4.11, with a mass breakdown in Figure 4.12.

With the rocket modelled, the mass properties were assessed next. The center of mass was

calculated using SolidWorks, and the center of pressure was calculated using the Rogers Modified

Barrowman method based on external geometry. Additionally, the moments of inertia for pitch

and roll were calculated in SolidWorks. These values are shown below in Table 4.5.

Figure 4.11: Scale Drawing of Vehicle

Figure 4.12: Mass Breakdown of Vehicle

27
Table 4.5: Mass Properties of Vehicle.

CM 28 ft
CP 9.9 ft
JPitch 38,851 lbm-ft2
Jroll 3,924 lbm-ft2

Figure 4.13 provides a view of the center of mass and center of pressure on the scale drawing.

Figure 4.13: Diagram with CM and CP

28
4.4.9 CAD Model Views

Below in Figure 4.14 is CAD model of the selected architecture displayed in a 2-view image and

Figure 4.15 is an image displaying the final configuration of the ICBM.

Figure 4.14: Side and bottom view of ICBM

29
Figure 4.15: ICBM configuration

30
5 Trajectory

Nomenclature

Symbols
CD = Drag coefficient
d = Great-circle distance
D = Drag
g = acceleration due to gravity
h = Altitude
L = Lift
L/D = Lift to drag ratio
m = Mass
𝑚̇ = Mass flowrate
q = Dynamic pressure
qw = Heat flux
r = Radial distance from center of earth
t = Time
T = Thrust
Tw = Wall temperature
x = Total distance
v = Velocity
Greek Letters
β = Azimuth angle
γ = Flight path angle
λ = Latitude
Λ = Longitude
ρ = density of air
σ = Bank angle or Standard deviation
ωE = Rotational speed of Earth
φ = Gimbal angle
ψ = Gimbal angle

In order to validate that the design meets the range and payload deployment requirements specified

by the RFP, a trajectory analysis must be compiled. A profile of the boost, coast, and reentry of

the vehicle may be modelled in an optimization process. By optimizing the trajectory, the vehicle

may be designed to meet the RFP requirements in the most efficient way possible.

31
5.1 Ballistic Trajectory Approach and Modelling

Upon completion of the ICBM sizing and inboard profiles, the mass (propellant and structure) data

and engine performance parameters were tabulated to be integrated into the trajectory analysis.

Several equations of motion from Holt Ashley’s text were used to model the motion of the rocket

during boost and coast [13]. These 3-DOF equations of motion are shown below in equations 5.1

through 5.8.

𝑚(𝑡) = 𝑚0 − 𝑚𝑡̇ (5.1)


𝑑𝑣 𝑇 cos 𝜑 cos 𝜓 𝐷
= 𝜔𝐸2 𝑟 cos 𝜆 [sin 𝛾 cos 𝜆 − cos 𝛾 sin 𝛽 sin 𝜆] − 𝑔 sin 𝛾 + − (5.2)
𝑑𝑡 𝑚 𝑚
𝑑𝛾 𝑣 cos 𝛾 𝜔𝐸2 𝑟 cos 𝜆
= + 2𝜔𝐸 cos 𝛽 cos 𝜆 + (cos 𝛾 cos 𝜆 + sin 𝛾 sin 𝛽 sin 𝜆)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟 𝑣 (5.3)
𝑔 sin 𝛾 𝑇 sin 𝜑
− +
𝑣 𝑚
𝑑𝛽 𝑣 cos 𝛾
=− cos 𝛽 tan 𝜆 − 2𝜔𝐸 (sin 𝜆 − tan 𝛾 sin 𝛽 cos 𝜆)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟
𝜔𝐸2 𝑟 cos 𝛽 sin 𝜆 cos 𝜆 𝑇 cos 𝜑 sin 𝜓 (5.4)
− +
𝑣 cos 𝛾 𝑚𝑣 cos 𝛾
𝑑h
= 𝑣𝑠𝑖𝑛(𝛾) (5.5)
𝑑𝑡
𝑑𝛬 𝑣 cos 𝛾 cos 𝛽
= (5.6)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟 cos 𝛾
𝑑𝜆 𝑣 cos 𝛾 sin 𝛽
= (5.7)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟
1
𝐷 = 𝐶𝐷 𝑆𝑟𝑒𝑓 𝜌𝑣 2 (5.8)
2
These equations of motion consider the curvature and rotation of a spherical Earth and

utilize a tangent-trajectory coordinate system shown below in Figure 5.1. Something to note is in

this coordinate system is that an azimuth angle of zero degrees is defined as due east, 90 degrees

as due north, and so on. Note that for reentry analysis, the equations must be modified slightly.

This analysis is performed in section 5.2.2. Additionally, the range is calculated using the

haversine formula shown as follows:

𝜆2 − 𝜆1 𝛬2 − 𝛬1
𝑑 = 2𝑟 sin−1 (√sin2 ( ) + cos 𝜆1 cos 𝜆2 sin2 ( )) (5.9)
2 2

32
Figure 5.1: Graphical representation of Coordinate System for Equations of Motion [13]
A key assumption made for the trajectory analysis is that the vehicle’s thrust changes with

altitude due to pressure differences and maintains a constant Isp. Additionally, staging events were

also assumed to be instantaneous with a one second delay before igniting the next stage’s engine.

The US 1976 standard atmosphere model was integrated into the code to simulate changes in air

properties with altitude [14], and the Titan II drag model (see Figure 5.2) was used to represent a

dynamic drag coefficient. The effects of lift were ignored for the boost and coast portion of the

trajectory. Thrust vectoring was also not modeled and eliminated any steering losses. Finally, the

33
post boost vehicle is not modelled to perform course corrections or provide extra velocity and is

thus treated as inert mass during coast.

Figure 5.2: Titan II Drag Model (Provided by Faculty Advisor)


The equations of motion are implemented into MATLAB and the ode45 function was used

to numerically integrate them with a time step of 0.01 seconds. The execution of this code

generated the necessary parameters required to define the flight profile of the ICBM every second

from launch to reentry.

The code generated a table of all the flight parameters from which the maximum dynamic

pressure (max q) flight conditions were extracted. This data was later used to assess the loads

acting on the theoretical vehicle during max-q and design the appropriate structure (see Section 6).

Systems Tool Kit (STK) developed by Analytical Graphics Inc. was utilized to optimize the

trajectory generated by the equations of motion. By plugging the requirements into the program, a

nominal trajectory would be generated with a dataset of required parameters such as velocity, pitch

34
angle, and altitude. In order to meet the requirements of this STK nominal trajectory with the

MATLAB code, the pitch kick angle/time were varied randomly in a Monte-Carlo fashion until

convergence was observed. Figure 5.3 below demonstrates a basic overview of what the results

of this procedure might look like. The red lines represent ascent trajectories that properly inject

into the black STK trajectory.

Figure 5.3: Overview of trajectory optimization


Following the Monte-Carlo analysis, the potential injection trajectories were trade-studied

based on atmospheric losses, max-q loads, and time to injection.

The dynamic equations of atmospheric reentry are modeled in a separate MATLAB code

once optimization is complete. The initial conditions of the reentry trajectory analysis code come

from the optimized ballistic trajectory and is integrated into the ballistic trajectory code to create

a launch-to-impact trajectory analysis tool. The reentry trajectory analysis code specifically takes

the flight path angle and speed of the RV from the ballistic trajectory section at a specified release

point altitude for the RVs.

5.2 Optimized Trajectory to Meet Requirements

To demonstrate that the vehicle can meet the key RFP requirements, an example scenario is laid

out. In this mission scenario, the missile is launched from Warren AFB (41.15°N, 104.9°W) and

35
targets an arbitrary location in the Indian Ocean. Constraints for the range and flight time are

inputted into STK to develop the nominal trajectory that the MATLAB code will converge

towards. The final optimized trajectory is summarized in the following sections.

5.2.1 Ascent (Boost) Trajectory

The ascent trajectory is the portion of the trajectory that is optimized to match STK. The optimized

values are shown in Table 5.1. Figure 5.4 shows the time history of the flight path angle, velocity,

Mach number, dynamic pressure, altitude, and total distance as a function of time. An important

note is that the total ΔV produced from this trajectory is somewhat less than the design ΔV used

to size the vehicle. This means that resizing could be done for further optimization.

Table 5.1: Ascent Trajectory Analysis Results

Parameter Value Unit


Initial β 10 deg
tburnout 241 s
tkick, gravity turn 10 s
γkick, gravity turn 16 deg
γkick, stage 2 5 deg
γkick,stage 3 3 deg
hburnout 107.5 kft
Vburnout 25.1 kft/s
Vgravity loss -4.15 kft/s
Vdrag loss -0.55 kft/s
ΔVtotal 29.8 kft/s

36
Figure 5.4: Ascent Trajectory Parameters vs. Time
Figure 5.5 shows weight and mass flow rate vs time while and Figure 5.6 shows thrust and

drag vs time. These plots show the effects of staging on the vehicle.

After the boost phase of the trajectory, thrust is terminated and excess structure is detached

from the vehicle. The missile begins the coast phase which is the majority of the flight and results

for the coast are shown in section 5.2.3.The coast phase ends at the specified release altitude and

the parameters at that point define the initial conditions for the reentry.

37
Figure 5.5: Time history of vehicle weight and propellant mass flow rate during boost

Figure 5.6: Time history of thrust and drag during boost ascent trajectory

38
5.2.2 Reentry Trajectory

Modeling the trajectory of the reentry vehicle (RV) is similar to what was done previously. Slight

adjustments need to be made to pitch and azimuth rate equations to account for lift [15].

Additionally, any thrust component was removed entirely since the RVs do not produce thrust.

𝑑𝛾 𝑣 cos 𝛾 𝜔𝐸2 𝑟 cos 𝜆


= + 2𝜔𝐸 cos 𝛽 cos 𝜆 + (cos 𝛾 cos 𝜆 + sin 𝛾 sin 𝛽 sin 𝜆)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟 𝑣 (5.10)
𝑔 sin 𝛾 𝐿 𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜎
− +
𝑣 𝑚𝑣
𝑑𝛽 𝑣 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝛾
=− 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝛽 𝑡𝑎𝑛 𝜆 − 2𝜔𝐸 (𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜆 − 𝑡𝑎𝑛 𝛾 𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝛽 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜆)
𝑑𝑡 𝑟
𝜔𝐸2 𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝛽 𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜆 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜆 𝐿 𝑠𝑖𝑛 𝜎 (5.11)
− +
𝑣 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝛾 𝑚𝑣 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝛾

The reentry analysis made the assumptions of constant mass, constant drag coefficient and

constant lift to drag ratio. The following values were assumed: CD = 0.35, L/D = 0.1, m = 1,500

lbm. The CD and L/D values are based on data provided by [16] for a sphere cone at zero angle of

attack. Table 5.2 shows the initial conditions for reentry (end of coast) which includes the specified

altitude to release the RVs. When deploying both RVs, it is assumed that they are released at the

same time and that one is directed in another direction by changing the azimuth angle by 45

degrees.

Table 5.2: Initial conditions for reentry trajectory

Parameter Value
h 328.1 kft
γ -19.44 deg
β -11.08 deg
v 25.96 kft/s
Latitude 40.79°S
Longitude 54.12°E

The results for the trajectory analysis for reentry is shown in Figure 5.7 and Figure 5.8. A

summary of the impact parameters for the two RVs is shown in Table 5.3.

39
Figure 5.7: Time history of parameters for reentry trajectory

Figure 5.8: Time history of RV lift and drag forces

40
Table 5.3: Impact parameters for RVs

Parameter RV #1 RV #2
Reentry Time 69.3 s 69.1 s
Impact velocity 1.470 kft/s 1.476 kft/s
Impact Mach No. 1.32 1.32
Flight path angle -21.79 deg -21.70
Latitude 40.79°S 39.25°S
Longitude 54.12°E 57.00°E

Something of note in Figure 5.7 is the sudden changes in Mach number. This is due to the

change in atmospheric temperature from the standard atmosphere model. It can also be noted that

the footprint between the two RVs is about 124 nmi which satisfies the requirement of having a

footprint of at least 100 nmi.

5.2.3 Overall Trajectory Results

Having simulated the entire trajectory, the results can be combined to show how parameters vary

throughout the duration of the mission. The key results of payload deployment time and range

shown in Table 5.4 demonstrate that the design meets RFP requirements. The payload deployment

time is within the 90 minute threshold while the range exceeds the objective range of 10,000 nmi.

Table 5.4: Key results for entire trajectory

Payload Deployment Time 74.28 min

Flight Time 75.43 min

Total Range 10,035 nmi

Additional results are plotted in Figure 5.9 and Figure 5.10. A 3-D view of the trajectory

is shown in Figure 5.11. Figure 5.12 shows the ground track of the trajectory and also highlights

the deployment of two RVs.

41
Figure 5.9: Time history of parameters for entire trajectory

Figure 5.10: Time history of altitude and range for the entire trajectory

42
Figure 5.11: 3D Overview of Trajectory

Deployment
of 2 RVs

Figure 5.12: Ground Track of Trajectory

5.3 Reentry Heating

Thermal effects of atmospheric reentry were also analyzed using hypersonic flow past a flat plate.

Approximate convective heat transfer for the stagnation point and the surface of the RV were

43
obtained using the following relations from [17]. Note that variables in these equations must be in

SI units (W/m2 for q, m/s for V, and kg/m3 for ρ).


𝑁 𝑀
𝑞𝑤 = 𝜌∞ 𝑉∞ 𝐶 (5.12)
The values for N, M, and C are defined in the following table.

Table 5.5: Values for estimating hypersonic aerodynamic heating

N M C
Stagnation ℎ𝑤
Point 0.5 3 1.83 × 10−8 𝑅 −0.5 (1 − )
ℎ0
Laminar ℎ𝑤
Flat Plate 0.5 3.2 2.53 × 10−9 (cos 𝜙)0.5 (sin 𝜙)𝑥 −0.5 (1 − )
ℎ0
Turbulent
Flate Plate −8 (cos 1.78 (sin −1/5 𝑇𝑤 −1/4 ℎ𝑤
(V < 3962
0.8 3.37 3.89 × 10 𝜙) 𝜙)1.6 𝑥𝑇 ( ) (1 − 1.11 )
556 ℎ0
m/s)
Turbulent
Flate Plate −1/5 ℎ𝑤
0.8 3.7 2.2 × 10−9 (cos 𝜙)2.08 (sin 𝜙)1.6 𝑥𝑇 (1 − 1.11 )
(V > 3962 ℎ0
m/s)

Finally, to estimate the temperature, the Stefan-Boltzmann law for a grey body was utilized.

𝑞𝑤 = 𝜀𝜎𝑇𝑤4 (5.13)

These equations are implemented within the trajectory code to determine the heat transfer

of the RV during the entire reentry trajectory. Stagnation heat transfer is shown in Figure 5.13 and

Figure 5.14 and the surface temperature distribution is shown in Figure 5.15. The maximum heat

flux was found to be about 6,954 BTU/s-ft2 and occurs at an altitude of 60.38 kft. Assuming an

44
emissivity of 0.75 for the RV material, the maximum nose or stagnation point temperature was

calculated to be 11,357 deg F.

Figure 5.13: Stagnation point heat flux plotted against altitude

45
Figure 5.14: Stagnation temperature and heat flux versus time

Figure 5.15: Temperature distribution of RV surface at select times into reentry flight

46
The required insulation thickness for the RV was calculated with equation from [18].

𝑇(𝑥,𝑡)−𝑇𝑎 𝑥
= erf(2 ) (5.14)
𝑇𝑖 −𝑇𝑎 √𝛼𝑡

It is assumed that the ablative insulation material for the RV is silica phenolic & fiberfrax

preform with material properties taken from [18]. The estimated time of heating above the

ablation temperature of 4040 F was determined to be about 40 seconds from the analysis

performed earlier. Using an initial temperature of 80 F for the RV and a maximum allowable

temperature of 260 F resulted in a minimum insulation thickness of 0.386 inches.

5.4 Circular Error Probable

Circular error probable (CEP) is defined as the radius of a circle centered on the impact point of

the nominal trajectory where 50 percent of the trajectories impact within the radius. In order to

determine the CEP, the downrange and cross-range errors must be accounted for through statistical

analysis or Monte Carlo simulations. The latter method was chosen, as it could be easily

implemented into the existing MATLAB code for the reentry trajectory. The standard deviations

are obtained for each of the errors and used in the following equations provided by [19].

𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 2


𝐶𝐸𝑃 = 𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 {0.674 ( ) [0.0786 + 0.2573 ( ) + 1.1108 ( ) ]} for
𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 (5.15)
0.0 < 𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 ⁄𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 ≤ 0.35

𝐶𝐸𝑃 = 0.562𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 + 0.615𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 for 0.35 < 𝜎𝑚𝑖𝑛 ⁄𝜎𝑚𝑎𝑥 ≤ 1.0 (5.16)
The atmospheric density and initial reentry conditions were randomly varied to determine

difference between actual impact point and nominal impact point. Parameters varied include

velocity, altitude, azimuth angle, flight path angle, and atmospheric density. In doing so, the

tolerances required to meet the CEP requirements were determined for the various flight

parameters.

47
Using the reentry parameters from before and performing 100,000 simulations, a CEP of

130 ft was achieved with the tolerances summarized below in Table 5.6.

Table 5.6: Summary of CEP tolerances for RV initial conditions

Velocity / Altitude + 0.01 %


Flight Path Angle + 0.001 %
Azimuth Angle + 0.1 %
Atmospheric Density Variation + 0.2 %

Figure 5.16 below shows the results of 500 runs. Note that, when 100,000 simulation were

conducted, the CEP expanded to roughly 135 ft. This falls within the threshold requirement of 150

ft.

CEP = 130 ft

Figure 5.16: CEP results for 500 simulations

48
6 Structural Analysis

Nomenclature

Symbols
A = Side area
Ax = Axial force
CD = Drag coefficient
D = Drag
L = Lift
m = Mass
M = Moment
q = Dynamic pressure
r = Fuselage radius
t = Fuselage thickness
v = Velocity
vw = Velocity of wind
V = Shear force
Greek Letters
α = Instantaneous angle of attack
σ = Stress

Structural analysis was conducted by analyzing flight conditions at maximum dynamic pressure

(max q). The aerodynamic forces were calculated at these conditions and used to ascertain the load

profile throughout the length of the vehicle. From this, the relevant stresses were calculated, and

margins of safety were assessed. All equations were taken from the course text [7] [20].

6.1 Ground Loads

Ground loads were assessed with the assumption that the vehicle is sitting in the silo. This means

that there are no wind forces to be considered, and only the axial load due to the weight of the

vehicle is what must be analyzed.

To conduct this analysis, the total weight of each component of the vehicle were calculated

(based on results from inboard profile sizing). The weights were then added along the length of

the vehicle such that they naturally compound towards the bottom. The results of this analysis are

49
summarized below in Table 6.1 and Figure 6.1. The maximum axial force experienced is 2655

kips, located at the bottom of the vehicle.

Table 6.1: Ground Axial Loads


Item Mass (lb) Axial Load (kips) Total Axial Load (kips)
Solid Rocket Motor 5269 169.6 2655
Gimbals Stage 1 25 0.8 2485
Thrust Structure Stage 1 436 14.1 2484
Aft Skirt 160 5.2 2470
SRB Tank 110 3.5 2465
Propellant Stage 1 37648 1212.3 2461
Stg 1 Dome Cover 96 3.1 1249
Stage 1/2 Interstage 271 8.7 1246
Engine Stage 2 950 30.6 1237
Gimbals Stage 2 30 1.0 1207
Thrust Structure Stage 2 202 6.5 1206
Fuel Tank Stage 2 132 4.2 1199
Fuel Stage 2 13755 442.9 1195
Wiring 941 30.3 752
Stage 2 Intertank 169 5.4 722
Oxidizer Tank Stage 2 99 3.2 716
Oxidizer Stage 2 8488 273.3 713
Stage 2/3 Interstage 154 5.0 440
Engine Stage 3 517 16.7 435
Gimbals Stage 3 6 0.2 418
Thrust Structure Stage 3 68 2.2 418
Fuselage Dome Cover 45 1.4 416
Oxidizer Tank Stage 3 93 3.0 414
Oxidizer Stage 3 7750 249.5 411
Stage 3 Fuselage 156 5.0 162
Fuel Tank Stage 3 33 1.1 157
Fuel Stage 3 1389 44.7 156
Upper Attachment 29 0.9 111
Avionics 955 30.8 110
Payload 2200 70.8 79
Fairing 265 8.5 9

50
Ground Axial Load Distribution vs. LV Length
3000

2500

Axial Load (kips)


2000

1500

1000

500

0
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
LV Length (ft)

Figure 6.1: Ground Axial Load Distribution

6.2 Max q Data

Max q represents the point at which the vehicle experiences the most intense aerodynamic loads

and is therefore a good benchmark to verify the integrity of the vehicles structure. The important

max q parameters were extracted from the trajectory simulation (see section 5.0) and are

summarized below in Table 6-2.

Table 6.2: Max-q Parameters

qmax 14.07 psi


Mass at qmax 51,127 lbm
C.G. at qmax 40.3 ft
Mach Number 2.474 -
v 2,395 ft/s
h 36,149 ft

Next, the instantaneous angle of attack (𝛼) must be calculated based on the horizontal wind

gusts acting on the vehicle. This is found by vectorially adding the sideways wind gust to the

vehicle velocity and using the trigonometric relation shown below in equation 6.1.

51
𝑣
𝛼 = tan−1( 𝑣𝑤 ) for (6.1)

The wind gust velocity, 𝑣𝑤 , was found in a winds-aloft chart provided in the course text.

With this chart, the wind gust speed may be assessed based on altitude. With a 𝑣𝑤 of about 95 ft/s,

the instantaneous angle of attack was calculated to be 𝛼 = 2.54𝑜 .

6.3 Calculation of Load Distributions

To calculate the loads at max q, several key assumptions were made. First, it was assumed that all

external portions of the fuselage possessed a constant drag coefficient of 𝐶𝐷 = 0.7. Next, it was

established that only the fairing and the tapered fuselage portions of the vehicle produced a

considerable amount of lift, while the cylindrical (constant diameter) portions produced a

negligible amount. The required coefficients of lift were calculated based on geometry and relevant

experimental data found in the course text. Finally, the lift and drag forces were calculated for each

portion of the fuselage with equations 6.2 and 6.3.

𝐿𝑖 = 𝐶𝐿 𝑖 𝑞𝐴𝑖 (6.2)

𝐷𝑖 = 𝐶𝐷 𝑞𝐴𝑖 (6.3)

Where 𝐴𝑖 is the side area and 𝑞 is the maximum dynamic pressure shown in the previous

subsection.

The lift and drag components were then converted into body coordinates perpendicular and

parallel to the length of the vehicle. These body coordinates are represented by shear and axial

forces and were calculated equations 6.4 and 6.5.

𝑉𝑖 = 𝐿𝑖 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝛼 + 𝐷𝑖 𝑠𝑖𝑛𝛼 (6.4)


𝐴𝑥𝑖 = 𝐷𝑖 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝛼 − 𝐿𝑖 𝑠𝑖𝑛𝛼 (6.5)

52
Where 𝛼 is the instantaneous angle of attack calculated with the winds aloft chart in the previous

sub-section. A chart breaking down the shear and axial loads throughout the vehicle is shown

below in Table 6-3. Note that this only accounts for the external portions of the vehicle.

Table 6.3: Vehicle Max-q Flight Loads

Item Lift L (lbf) Drag D (lbf) Shear, V (lbf) Axial, A (lbf)


Solid Rocket Motor 0 37514 1662 37477
Aft Skirt 0 42041 1863 42000
SRB Tank 0 74995 3324 74921
Stg 1 Dome Cover 0 26298 1165 26272
Stage 1/2 Interstage 4922 64591 7779 64745
Fuel Tank Stage 2 0 76733 3401 76657
Stage 2 Intertank 0 44187 1958 44144
Oxidizer Tank Stage 2 0 6572 291 6565
Stage 2/3 Interstage 3097 37109 4739 37210
Fuselage Dome Cover 0 11694 518 11682
Oxidizer Tank Stage 3 0 15988 709 15972
Stage 3 Fuselage 0 41012 1818 40972
Upper Attachment 0 7717 342 7710
Fairing 5401 33074 6861 33281

After converting everything into body coordinates, the total moment about the center of

gravity may be assessed. The net moment is then balanced by an assumed engine gimballing force

at the nozzle of the first stage.

Additionally, the net lateral load is calculated, and the resultant lateral acceleration is found

with Newton’s second law. With this, the inertial relief forces throughout the entire vehicle due to

d’Alembert’s principle may be calculated and added to the previously found forces. With all the

possible loads calculated, the total shear, axial, and moment distributions were tabulated. This is

shown below in Table 6.4.

53
Table 6.4: Total Shear, Axial, and Moment Distributions

Item Total Shear Load (lbf) Total Axial Load Total Bending Moment (lbf-
(lbf) ft)
Solid Rocket Motor -12086 576595 35640
Gimbals Stage 1 -9363 533849 36719
Thrust Structure Stage 1 -9342 533824 36719
Aft Skirt -8979 533388 36755
SRB Tank -10709 491227 34420
Propellant Stage 1 -13941 416196 26819
Stg 1 Dome Cover -10262 404005 38585
Stage 1/2 Interstage -3793 377637 37710
Engine Stage 2 -11347 312621 20866
Gimbals Stage 2 -10556 311670 21685
Thrust Structure Stage 2 -10531 311640 21685
Fuel Tank Stage 2 -10363 311438 21702
Fuel Stage 2 -13654 234649 11999
Wiring -2205 220894 28715
Stage 2 Intertank -1422 219953 28715
Oxidizer Tank Stage 2 -3240 175640 25561
Oxidizer Stage 2 -3449 168977 25499
Stage 2/3 Interstage 3615 160489 26377
Engine Stage 3 -995 123124 19225
Gimbals Stage 3 -564 122607 19549
Thrust Structure Stage 3 -559 122601 19549
Fuselage Dome Cover -503 122534 19554
Oxidizer Tank Stage 3 -984 110807 19289
Oxidizer Stage 3 -1615 94741 18804
Stage 3 Fuselage 4835 86992 21142
Fuel Tank Stage 3 3148 45863 17883
Fuel Stage 3 3175 45830 17898
Upper Attachment 4332 44441 18536
Avionics 4014 36702 18421
Payload 4809 35747 18421
Fairing 6640 33547 20252
Tip of LV 0 0 0

54
These distributions are also shown below in Figure 6.2, 6-3, and 6-4. Note how they are balanced

at each end of the vehicle due to the engine gimbal. Additionally, the effects of the tapered

diameters on the loads are easily observable.

Shear Load vs. LV Length


10.00

5.00

Shear Load (kips)


0.00
80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00

-5.00

-10.00

-15.00
LV Length (ft)

Figure 6.2: Max-q Shear Load Distribution

55
Moment vs. LV Length
45.00
40.00
35.00

Moment (kips-ft)
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00
LV Length (m)

Figure 6.3: Max-q Moment Distribution

Axial Load vs. LV Length


700.00

600.00

500.00

Axial Load (kips)


400.00

300.00

200.00

100.00

0.00
80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00
LV Length (m)

Figure 6.4: Max-q Axial Load Distribution

56
6.4 Stress Analysis

With the load distributions, the maximum stresses throughout the vehicle may calculated. First, it

was assumed that the structural components may be simplified into hollow cylinders made of Al

2219 with a minimum thickness of 0.06 inches.

The maximum stress was calculated based on a combination of axial and bending stress, shown

below in equation 6.6


𝐴𝑥 𝑀 (6.6)
σ𝑚𝑎𝑥 = |𝜎𝑎𝑥𝑖𝑎𝑙 | + |𝜎𝑏𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 | = 𝜋𝑟 2 + 𝜋𝑟 2 𝑡

After calculating the maximum stress for each component of the vehicle, it was then

compared to the yield strength of the material (𝐹𝑡𝑦−𝐴𝑙 2219 = 57 𝑘𝑠𝑖) [20] to find the margin of

safety. Throughout the analysis, the vehicle was designed for a minimum margin of safety of 1.5.

Table 6.5 summarizes the results of the stress analysis.

Table 6.5: Stress Analysis Summary

Item Max Stress (ksi) M.S.


Solid Rocket Motor 39.91 4.46
Aft Skirt 37.35 1.53
SRB Tank 34.46 5.16
Stg 1 Dome Cover 29.51 1.93
Stage 1/2 Interstage 27.77 2.05
Fuel Tank Stage 2 27.36 2.08
Stage 2 Intertank 21.58 2.64
Oxidizer Tank Stage 2 17.68 3.22
Stage 2/3 Interstage 16.66 3.42
Fuselage Dome Cover 15.94 3.58
Oxidizer Tank Stage 3 14.81 3.85
Stage 3 Fuselage 13.09 4.36
Upper Attachment 8.57 6.65
Fairing 7.99 7.13

57
7 Guidance, Navigation, and Controls

Assessing the initial stability of the rocket was done so by developing a root locus with no

controller implemented. This was done so by looking at the moment differential equation based

on the thrust and lateral force found when assessing flight loads. Applying a Laplace transform of

that differential and solving in terms of the relation of output to input, a plant transfer function was

formulated. Finally, the root locus of this transfer function was assessed for stability, and a PID

controller was applied for increase stability and more desirable system response characteristics.

7.1 Initial Stability Estimation

The transfer function of the plant with no controller implemented is shown below:

8.214e5 (7.1)
𝑠𝑦𝑠 =
1.897e5 𝑠 2 − 8.071e5

Plotting the root locus of the transfer function yields that the rocket is marginally as there are two

poles evenly spaced from the imaginary axis at +2.06. The pole on the right-hand side of the root

locus, as seen in Figure 6.1-1 will cause an exponential increase in error, creating the need for the

implementation of a controller.

58
Figure 7.1: Root locus with no controller implemented

Additionally, the transfer function also yields the natural frequency to be 2.06 Hz, and time

to double was found to be 0.61 seconds; this is considered to be stable as time to double should

be greater than 0.5 seconds.

7.2 Implementation of PID Controller

A PID controller was implemented on the system to improve the system response. The controller

was auto tuned in MATLAB, the criteria for the new system was response was >10% overshoot,

>1 second settling time, and >5% steady state error.

All criteria were met as the overshoot was reduced to 3.1%, and settling time reduced to

0.117 seconds. The implementation of the controller also successfully moved the system

59
response to the stable side (left-hand plane), meaning error will decay with time. The new root

locus and step response can be seen below in Figure 7.2 and Figure 7.3 respectively.

Figure 7.2: Root locus with PID controller implemented

60
Figure 7.3: System response to step input
A basic block diagram of the system can be shown below; Figure 6.2-3 displays a general

overview of the PID controller, thrust vectors, and sensors with respect to the plant.

Figure 7.4: Block diagram for system with a PID controller


To meet the requirement of the use of celestial navigation, the vehicle will use and IMU

and GPS as the sensors. The GPS works as standard, to record and display positioning, velocity

and time computation. The IMU will account for all axis when looking at both positioning and

61
angular velocity. Together these six readings give an attitude calculation which is then compared

to both the desired and the previous attitude readings. If desired positioning is not met, signal is

sent to the actuators if desired positioning is not met. A detailed block diagram of the sensor-

actuator system is shown in Figure 7.5.

Figure 7.5: Detailed block diagram of sensor-actuator system

7.3 Frequency Analysis

The final stability analysis conducted was the frequency analysis to ensure that operating

frequencies would not match the natural frequency to avoid resonance. The natural frequency was

previously found using the transfer functions, the operating frequency was assessed for first and

second bending modes. This analysis was conducted through FEMAP by modeling the entire

rocket as a hollow cylinder and estimating the entire body to be made of Al 2219. The analysis

yielded that the first and second bending modes are 4.60 Hz and 27.6 Hz respectively. From this

it can be concluded resonance will not occur.

62
8 Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Design and Analysis

The hypersonic glide vehicle is an artifact from the second architecture briefly mentioned in

section 2. However, it is still being considered for use with the current missile design if needs ever

change or to provide more options to the customer for warhead delivery.

The HGV performs its mission by being launched to Earth’s upper atmosphere at hypersonic

speeds and gliding to the target [21]. Given that the HGV is a glider, the vehicle will typically not

contain its own propulsion system; however, it is possible to include one for attitude control.

Additionally, control surfaces would also be used for the HGV to maneuver during its flight

towards the target. The HGV will be designed as a waverider to take advantage of the aerodynamic

characteristics this vehicle class has in the hypersonic flight regime.

8.1 Waverider Design

A waverider is a point-designed vehicle based on a known flow field. They are designed for a

specific Mach number and the resulting design is dependent on the shock angle and chosen shape

for the flow field. For this analysis, a conical-derived waverider was chosen. Axisymmetric

supersonic flow around a cone can be defined by the Taylor-Maccoll equation shown as follows.

𝛾−1 2 𝑑𝑉𝑟 2 𝑑𝑉𝑟 𝑑 2 𝑉𝑟 𝑑𝑉𝑟 𝑑𝑉𝑟 𝑑𝑉𝑟 𝑑 2 𝑉𝑟


[1 − 𝑉𝑟 − ( ) ] [2𝑉𝑟 + cot 𝜃 + ]− [𝑉 + ]=0 (8.1)
2 𝑑𝜃 𝑑𝜃 𝑑𝜃 2 𝑑𝜃 𝑟 𝑑𝜃 𝑑𝜃 𝑑𝜃 2

This ordinary differential equation must be solved numerically and is done so by using

ode45 in MATLAB. The specific heat ratio, Mach number, and shock angle are used as the initial

conditions. The output from solving the equation is obtaining the cone angle and flow properties

after the shock. Streamlines are then traced behind the shockwave to form the lower compression

surface of the waverider as shown in Figure 8.1. From there, the upper surface of the waverider is

63
defined by the freestream flow. After defining both surfaces, this completes the design of a

waverider for inviscid flow.

Figure 8.1: Streamline tracing to form the compression surface of a waverider [17]
A design method proposed by Bowcutt [22] and Corda [23] lay out a process to optimize

a waverider to either maximize L/D or minimize drag while accounting for viscous flow effects.

Figure 8.2 provides of overview of the iterative optimization process.

64
Figure 8.2: Optimization process to design a viscous optimized waverider. Original illustration
from [23]
Due to time constraints, the optimization process for a viscous optimized waverider

design could not be implemented for the HGV design.

8.1.1 Geometric Relations

In order to have a capability for rapid generation of different designs for the HGV, geometric

relations were utilized. A method of generating the upper surface is provided by [24]. The

coordinate system for this method is centered at the vertex of the cone with the positive z-axis in

65
the direction of the base of the cone. The lower surface is generated by using the method described

in [25] and is adapted to use the same coordinate system as [24]. These methods are implemented

into a MATLAB code to produce the x, y, z points that can be imported into SolidWorks to

generate a CAD model of the waverider.

An example of waverider designed for Mach 20, a shock angle of 30 degrees, and a 150 in

long cone is shown in Figure 8.3 and Figure 8.4.

Figure 8.3: MATLAB output of waverider shape in inches

66
Figure 8.4: 3-view diagram of HGV CAD model
This design tool allows for easy generation of a shape that can be rapidly iterated to fit the

needs of the size and trajectory requirements.

8.2 HGV Trajectory

The trajectory modeling of the HGV follows the same approach as the reentry vehicle described

in section 5. The major difference is that the L/D of HGV plays a prominent role in how far

downrange the vehicle can deliver the payload. Additionally, the HGV can perform midflight

maneuvers by changing the bank (roll) angle. The initial conditions for the HGV trajectory are

assumed values and are shown in Table 8.1. The maneuvers that the HGV performs throughout its

trajectory are outlined in Table 8.2.

67
Table 8.1: Initial conditions for HGV trajectory

Parameter Value
h 656.2 kft
γ -1 deg
β 0 deg
v 22.97 kft/s
Latitude 40°N
Longitude 85°W

Table 8.2: HGV maneuvers

Bank Angle (deg) Time Span (s)


0 0 – 500
-10 500 – 1500
20 1500 – end

Additionally, the following values were assumed: CD = 0.3, L/D = 2.5, m = 10,000 lbm.

The lift to drag ratio was chosen based on analysis done for the Hypersonic Technology Vehicle-

2 (HTV-2) in [26]. These parameters were then inputted into the MATLAB trajectory code to

produce trajectory of the HGV to impact. Figure 8.5 shows the time history of the trajectory and

BSS shows the impact parameters.

68
Figure 8.5: Time history of HGV trajectory parameters
Like the RV trajectory, the Mach number has severe changes compared to the velocity due

to the change of atmospheric temperature.

Table 8.3: Impact parameters from HGV trajectory

Parameter Value
Flight Time 61.4 min
Impact Velocity 0.91 kft/s
Impact Mach No. 0.81
Latitude 20.5°S
Longitude 61.4°E
Range 8,736 nmi

The ground track of the HGV trajectory is shown in Figure 8.6. The color of the line

corresponds to the maneuvers that vehicle performs. The bank angle of the HGV for the blue,

black, and red lines are 0, -10, and 20 degrees respectively. The dotted magenta line shows the

69
trajectory of the glider if no maneuvers were performed. This trajectory had a total range of 9688

nmi which shows that the HGV can meet the objective RFP requirement.

Figure 8.6: Ground track of the HGV trajectory

70
9 System Level Considerations

9.1 Operations

The overall system is designed to constantly be at a stance of readiness for activation at any notice.

In the event that the system be activated, launch orders are delivered from the president and

received by the missile crew located at specific launch facilities. The on-site crew then begins a

procedure to initiate launch, starting by obtaining access to a locked safe where inside they can get

ahold of a sealed-authentication system (SAS). The crew then compares the SAS codes from the

launch orders to that in the safe. This then allows them to move forward and begin the launch

sequence. The launch sequence is finalized when two crew members synchronously turn a key

launching the missile from the silo. The total time elapsed in this process is roughly five minutes.

[27]

9.2 System Maintenance

A key requirement for the system is to be without maintenance for at least 20 years. To achieve

this, the system is designed with specialized inspection teams that work both independently and

collaboratively to maintain system readiness and capabilities. There are four teams comprised of

specific tasks. The electro-mechanical team is tasked with maintaining all security systems at the

launch facilities and launch sites. They also focus on ensuring command and control

communication is always online, as well as inspecting all power systems and back-up power

system supplies. The missile maintenance team works hands on in the launch tube checking and

maintaining the missiles umbilical system, guidance system and warheads. They service all

ignition cabling, explosive ordinances, and the missile suspension system. They inspect the

launcher door to maintain healthy operation. The missile handling team is tasked with overseeing

all the shipping and receiving of missiles, as well the transportation of missiles to the launch sites.

71
They install or remove missile stages when necessary with critical attention to the protection of

the missile. The last team is the facilities maintenance team which is tasked with monitoring

specific temperatures and humidity within the launch control centers, facilities and sites. They

ensure primary and secondary power supply from the local commercial grid and the back-up

generators. They are a major support for corrosion control teams with a focus on vehicle and the

surround systems overall health. [3] These teams upkeep the day to day needs and inspection of

the entire system, which ensures it stays at a ready stance, always capable and healthy to be

activated in a moment’s notice.

9.3 End of Mission Concepts

When the system comes to its end of mission, several considerations are made. The system will

undergo a comprehensive maintenance overhaul. The main task to be handled is the disposal of

the nuclear warheads. They are transported to Pantex Plant in Carson County, Texas. Pantex Plant

is one of six production facilities in the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) where

they dismantle nuclear weapons and reuse various components for other purposes. [28] The

nuclear material is then put in safe and secure storage. Another major task is the engine disposal.

Motors will be transported to Hill Air Force Base in Utah where they can be inspected for

reusability. Any healthy motors can be used for testing or applied to new mission designs for new

purposes. Any unhealthy or unwanted motors are sent to their Oasis compound where the ICBM

motors are disposed of in accordance with the START treaty. [29] These practices assure

adherence to standard engineering practices for health, safety, and environmental impact.

9.4 Manufacturing

Stripe Aerospace analyzed all defined components to discover the best method for manufacturing.

The manufacturing plan can be seen in Figure 9.1Figure 9.1: Manufacturing Plan below:

72
Figure 9.1: Manufacturing Plan
Items such as the stage skirts, stage thrust structures, stage bulkhead, and tank will be made in

house (M.I.H.) using patterned aluminum material. The other items will be custom purchased from

the companies Stripe Aerospace chose as those chosen to have the most experience and highest

quality product.

9.5 Reliability/Redundancy Analysis

The desired reliability for the overall system was decided to be at least 90%. The three types of

failure assessed were infant mortality (poor design/manufacturing/coding), environmental

overload (storage transportation/launch platform integration), and the reliability of individual

parts. The first analysis method for these were key part reliability analysis, in which individual

parts were analyzed and derived subsystems were assessed as functions of those key parts. The

second analysis method was analyzing general subsystems, which was done so by following an

outline provided by [30].

When looking at key part reliability, the components were analyzed as either parallel or

series components and assessed as ‘k-out-of-n’ systems, meaning that the system works if k out of

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the n components work. The equations below were used to determine individual and system

reliability can be seen below:

𝑅𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠 = 𝑅1 × 𝑅2 × 𝑅3 × … . .× 𝑅𝑁 (9.1)
𝑅𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑙 = 1 − (1 − 𝑅1 )(1 − 𝑅2 ) (9.2)

(9.3)

(9.4)

(9.5)

Table 9.1 below shows the key parts assessed for the vehicle, and their corresponding system

reliability:

Table 9.1: Key part reliability analysis

Individual System
Component Associated Risk Redundancy
Reliability Reliability
Stage 1 (solid)
Failure to ignite,
Ignitor 80% 3 99.20%
damage to motor
Failure to seal,
releasing hot gas &
Engine Seals 97.75% 2 99.95%
dropping engine
performance
Absorbing moisture,
Propellant 100% 1 100%
decomposition
Stages 2 & 3 (liquid stages)
Failure to ignite,
Ignitor 80% 3 99.20%
damage to injector
Propellant Decomposition 100% 1 100%
Pumps Seal failure 98% 1 98%
Clogged orifices,
Injector (12 holes) acoustic modes on 100% 1 99.99%
injector face
Failure to seal,
releasing hot gas &
Engine Seals 97.75% 2 99.95%
dropping engine
performance

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Clogged valves, broken
Valve System 98% 2 99.96%
valves
Structural Considerations
Stage Separation Not all explosives bolts
99% 2 99.99%
Apparatus go off
Payload Attachment Potentially damaging
85% 2 97.75%
(shock absorbers) shocks
Payload Release System Payload fails to deploy 93% 2 99.51%
Pump failure causes
Pump Seals loss in pressure and 95% 2 99.75%
performance
loss of control, high
Gimbal System 98% 1 98%
vibrations, lock up
Guidance Navigation and Control
Celestial navigation 90% 2 99.00%
IMU Loss of signal 90% 2 99.00%
GPS (payload) 90% 2 99.00%

From the individual parts assessed above, some of the derived systems that were analyzed

are the following, as seen in Table 9.2, it should be noted there are many more subsystems to be

assessed for an accurate representation of the system reliability, however due to lack of time only

the following were closely analyzed:

Table 9.2: Derived subsystem reliability

System Reliability Analysis


Type of system Component involved Rtotal
Parallel: ignitor/pump 99.97%
IMU/GPS 99.95%
Series: pump/valve/injectors 97.94%
thrust structure/stage separation
apparatus 92.86%
IMU/Gimbal System 92.86%

Payload shock absorbers/payload


release apparatus 90.91%

Analysis from the second analysis method, as provided by [30], can be seen in Table 9.3 below:

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Table 9.3: General subsystem reliability analysis

Subsystem System Reliability


Infant Mortality
Structure 1
Inertial guidance 0.995
Power supply 1
Propulsion 0.985
Fuze 0.9999
Environmental Overload
Storage 1
Transportation 0.9995
Launch Platform Integ. 0.9995
Flight 0.9995
System Overall Reliability
Total 97.9%

After performing the analysis, as seen above, the estimated vehicle reliability is 97.9%.

9.6 Cost Analysis

Cost analysis was performed using two different methods. The first method was the Space

Planners Guide by the United States Air Force [31]. This method for analysis was best for

estimating programmatic costs such as operational production, vehicle operations, and ground

equipment production. The method used empirical data to estimate these costs to compare the

design too. Some of the considerations taken into account with this method is hardware

design/development/support, ground and flight test hardware, development test operations, launch

vehicle facilities, ground equipment production, operational production, and vehicle operations.

Its final cost estimate would be in 1965 US dollars that would need to be adjusted for inflation

using the equation below:

𝑈𝑆 𝐷𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑟 2019 = 𝑈𝑆 𝐷𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑟 1965 ∗ (8.07) [32]

76
This method is not very accurate as the estimates are taken by reading graphs; the graphs are small

with a wide range in values so estimates can easily be skewed by a few thousand or million without

proper software. This inaccuracy is what creates the need for a second estimation.

The second method for analyzing cost came from using the TRANSCOST 8.1 analysis

method [33]. This method had far more up to date numbers for estimating the cost of engineering

and production of the hardware of the missile. It is performed using the same mass estimation

graphs as the Space Planner Guide but with more data points that come from a more relevant era

its yielding values are more believable.

Table 9.4: Cost Estimation Breakdown

Space Planners Guide Cost Estimate


Total DT&E Cost 1283.3 M
Total Facilities 3116.4 M
Total AGE Production 720.0 M
Total Hardware Production 1521.5 M
Total Operations 6374.2 M
Total LV System Program 13015.3 M
Total (1965) 13.0 B
Total (2019) 104.7 B

When combining these two cost estimation methods, the result was a total program cost of $13.0

billion in 1965 dollars or using the equation above, $104.7 billion in 2019 US dollars.

The optional hypersonic glide vehicle is estimated to cost an additional total of $7.2 billion

2019 US dollars. This estimate comes from this price included the engineering and production cost

and is not included in the previous total program cost, as this is an optional upgrade. If included,

the new program total cost would be $111.9 billion 2019 US dollars. This falls between the USAF

estimate of $62 billion and the Pentagon estimate of $85 to $140 billion [34].

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9.7 Program Timeline

The team of systems engineers at Stripe Aerospace has done their best in planning and estimating

a timeline for the strategic missile program. Below, Figure 9.2, is based on a start date of October

2020 with a goal of Initial Operational Capabilities on December 2029.

Figure 9.2: Program Timeline


The timeline is broken up into three sections detailing the development, testing and iteration, and

manufacturing phases of the program. The first subscale test will happen in early 2024 with the

final test flight happening mid-2026. Final product manufacturing will start in late 2026.

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10 Compliance Matrix

The design of the missile system proposed by Project Fenrir can be shown to be compliant with

RFP requirements in Table 10.1.

Table 10.1: Compliance Matrix

Req. No. Requirement Compliance Comment


The weapon system must be Payload is incorporated into
capable of carrying a minimum of inboard profile, mass
T0.0-1 Yes
two 1000 lbm payload with a 22 in estimates, and shown to fit
diameter and 80 in length. inside CAD models.
The missile system must be able
Trajectory analysis shows
to engage targets of interest from a
that the missile is capable of
T0.0-2 maximum threshold distance of Yes
reaching the 10,000 nmi
7000 nmi, with an objective range
objective range.
of 10000 nmi.
Maintenance needs are
The missile system must be
satisfied by selecting storable
T0.0-3 capable of storage for up to 20 Yes
propellants (solids and
years without maintenance.
storable liquids).
The CEP of each independent Monte Carlo analysis has
payload shall be a maximum of been performed with a 3DOF
100 ft (objective), 150 ft reentry trajectory model.
T0.0-4 Yes
(threshold) with a footprint of 100 Tolerances for reentry initial
nmi between impact points of the conditions are defined to
payloads. meet CEP requirement.
The weapon system shall use an
IMU and celestial navigation to
guide to the separation point, and A block diagram of the
T0.0-5 each independently guided Yes control system incorporates
payload shall be GPS guided, with these components.
a backup guidance system in case
of GPS denial.
Trajectory analysis shows
The missile shall deploy payloads
that the payloads will detach
T0.0-6 at an objective flight time of 60 Yes
from the vehicle before 90
minutes, threshold of 90 minutes.
minutes.
Project development shall begin
Gantt chart has been laid out
no later than October 2020, with
M0.0-1 Yes for the program to meet
IOC occurring no later than
deadlines.
December 2029.

79
Silo dimensions have been
The vehicle shall be launched determined and existing
from either a fixed location using architectures have been
T0.0-7 existing Minuteman-III silos or a Yes designed to fit inside silos.
mobile platform using a truck or Mobile launch platform has
train car. been determined to be
unfeasible.
The cost estimate shall include the Cost analysis of the system
cost of the weapon system, and has been performed using the
silo or launcher costs. Costs for 1965 Air Force Space
C0.0-1 any proposed modifications to Yes Planner’s Guide and
existing launch equipment or TRANSCOST 8.1.
development of new such Adjustments have been made
equipment must be included. for inflation to 2019.
System shall possess 450
Cost has been estimated for
operational missiles and 5 missiles
450 production missiles and
C0.0-2 for testing purposes with 10 Yes
an additional 5 units for
missiles for each of the 45
testing.
launcher sites.
Safety and handling practices
Design shall adhere to standard
for propellants have been
engineering practices for health,
considered. End of mission
safety and environmental impact.
M0.0-2 Yes disposal concepts have been
Consideration to current treaties
defined. Current treaties have
and public perception shall be
been researched and
addressed.
addressed.

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11 Summary and Conclusions

A proposed missile system has been designed to replace the Minuteman-III ICBMs and

improve upon the capabilities. From the analysis shown in this report, the system is proven to meet

all RFP requirements. The missile is capable of deploying two independent RVs to targets 10,000

nmi away under the 90 minute threshold. Storable propellants were chosen so that missile could

be safely stored in a silo for 20 years without no maintenance. A CEP of 130 ft was obtained for

certain tolerances on the initial conditions of the reentry vehicle which led to defining a control

system for thrust vectoring and the post boost vehicle in order to meet those tolerances. Other

components of the system were defined such as human interaction, considerations of treaties and

environmental impact, manufacturing, etc. After creating a preliminary design of the missile and

considering the entirety of the system, the total cost estimate for the system became around $111.9

billion dollars.

The largest risk with this system is the use of liquid propellants due to past worries of handling,

storage, and reliability. An additional concern comes from the longer development time of new

liquid rocket engines which may cause cost overruns with the schedule. Analysis has shown that

JP-10 and 98% hydrogen peroxide has no issues being stored for at least 20 years. Working with

an industry expert on hydrogen peroxide has shown that hydrogen peroxide can be a reliable

oxidizer. The hazards of MMH and N2O4 may not be as severe now as they were decades ago

when the technology to handle them was still new. However, if those propellants prove to become

troublesome with further research and design, the stage could be eliminated in favor of having a

larger JP-10 and hydrogen peroxide stage. The schedule laid out to meet IOC gives a few years of

slack before the 2029 deadline so that any mishaps during development and testing can be fixed.

81
An additional recommendation for further research is the use of gel propellant as it combines the

best features of solid and liquid propellants.

With the proposed design at its current state, more iteration can be performed to further

optimize the system. Given that the trajectory analysis shows that over 10,000 nmi is achieved, the

vehicle should be resized to meet the range of proposed range of 9,265 nmi. This will somewhat

reduce the size and cost of the vehicle and still allow for any major landmass to be targeted.

The hypersonic glide vehicle is a more innovative method of delivering a warhead to a target.

A significant amount of effort by the team was put into understanding the design and analysis for

the HGV. From the trajectory analysis done, it shows promise by meeting the range requirement.

However, the viability of the HGV is still unclear since the technology level still requires much

more development that may not fit the schedule laid out to meet IOC. Since the HGV is not

required at all to meet RFP requirements, further design work on it should not be considered.

Instead, if desired, the missile can be analyzed to accommodate an HGV designed by another

source so that the vehicle design can be reused for other purposes.

82
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