Shankens Impact Newsletter-01 November 2020 PDF
Shankens Impact Newsletter-01 November 2020 PDF
Shankens Impact Newsletter-01 November 2020 PDF
GLOBAL NEWS
IMPACT NEWSLETTER
AND RESEARCH
FOR THE DRINKS
EXECUTIVE
NOVEMBER 1, 2020
Category Report
INTERVIEW
Marc Taub, CEO, Liqueurs Look To Capitalize On
Taub Family Cos. 12
Growing Home Cocktail Trend
MAJOR CHANGE
New top editors at Wine LIQUEURS AND CORDIALS HAVE BEEN cordials than within. The top 10 brands
Spectator, Whisky Advocate 6 eking out modest U.S. growth recently, amid combined accounted for a total 8.8 million
uneven conditions across the category. Over- cases in 2019 and scant 0.2% growth, below
DEARIE TO LEAD SMWE all, liqueurs advanced 0.6% in the U.S. last the category’s five-year average annual
Jim Mortensen retires as year to rise above the 18-million-case mark, compound growth of 0.5%. Meanwhile, the
Ste. Michelle CEO 7 according to Impact Databank, reversing rest of the field rose to 9.2 million cases
negative growth from the prior few years. combined on 1% growth, a significant
BANKING ON TEQUILA That tally excludes flavored whiskies but improvement over its five-year trend of -1%.
Cuervo firing on all includes flavored brandy, bitters, anise and Since 2014 the top 10 have drawn closer to
cylinders in U.S. 7 pastis, and spirits-based aperitifs. a 50/50 split with other brands, but remain
Unlike numerous other beverage alcohol just shy of that marker.
GAME FOR THE CHASE categories in which the top brands have Beam Suntory’s DeKuyper brand contin-
Diageo acquires U.K. taken increasing market share, growth was ues to lead the category despite struggling
craft distiller 7 stronger outside the top 10 liqueurs and page 8 >>>
U.S. RESILIENCE
Pernod sees renewed gains Rapid Rebound
in U.S., China 7
IMPROVING FORTUNES
China Sees Swift Return To Growth
Campari sales lift, but IN A YEAR OF GLOBAL TURBULENCE AND ECONOMIC SHOCKS, CHINA HAS EMERGED
uncertainty continues 7 from the pandemic in a unique position. The country was the site of the first outbreak of
Covid-19, but its aggressive lockdown and the government’s investment in state-sponsored
MANAGEMENT MOVES industries like steel have allowed its economy to reset and return to growth after a first
Hunt steps down at Grant, quarter contraction of 6.8%. As Western European nations and the U.S. struggle to con-
Vergara to lead Patrón 18 tain the virus and stabilize their economies, China’s GDP increased 4.9% in the third
quarter. During that time, the restaurant industry narrowed its decline to about 3%, while
IN MEMORIAM consumer-goods spending rose 4%, according to the country’s National Bureau of Statis-
Oregon wine pioneer tics. Both the service and retail industries still face challenges, but China’s well-established
Ken Evenstad 18 e-commerce channel has helped stabilize its economy, including the beverage industry.
Platforms like Alibaba have been critical in the recovery of wine and spirits sales, especially
in a market normally reliant on on-trade and special occasion consumption.
With the changing tastes of middle class consumers, who are drawn to more premium
labels as well as Western brands and categories, wine and spirits marketers are confident in
Sign up for Shanken News Daily,
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the country’s economic return. This year’s turbulence follows a mixed performance last year
wine, spirits and beer industry. across China’s drinks market. Total wine volumes fell below 200 million 9-liter cases in
Go to: ShankenNewsDaily.com page 14 >>>
CO M M E NTARY
IMPACT
VOL 50 NO 21
MARVIN R. SHANKEN, CHAIRMAN OF M. SHANKEN COMMU- Marvin has created and that Tom has cultivated during his
nications, Inc., has announced major new appointments at impressive tenure.”
the top of the masthead of both Wine Spectator and Whisky Stepping into Lindenmuth’s role as executive editor of
Advocate magazines. Whisky Advocate is David Fleming, who’s been with the
After a 33-year career at M. Shanken, Thomas Matthews company for 33 years. Fleming began at M. Shanken writing
is stepping down as executive editor of Wine Spectator. for Wine Spectator from Rome, Italy. He later oversaw the
Jeffery Lindenmuth, currently executive editor of sibling company’s London bureau for seven years, covering Scotch
publication Whisky Advocate, will succeed Matthews as whisky and other spirits. He’s been at the New York head-
executive editor of the world’s most widely read wine publi- quarters for more than two decades, leading M. Shanken’s
cation at the end of the year. trade editorial division—including Market Watch, Impact,
“As executive editor of Whisky Advocate, Jeffery Linden- and Shanken News Daily. A seasoned whisky connoisseur
muth has done an outstanding job propelling that title into and member of the Whisky Advocate tasting team, he’ll now
the most highly respected whisky magazine in the world. provide expert coverage of the whisky world for that publi-
Under his leadership the magazine has enjoyed significant cation’s growing consumer audience. “I discovered my
growth,” said Shanken. “Having worked closely with him, I passion for whisky while covering the world of Scotch from
believe he can take Wine Spectator to even greater heights. our London office,” Fleming said. “I’m thrilled to take on
He has a creative and enlightened understanding of consumer this new role at Whisky Advocate, where I look forward to
publications.” continuing the momentum built by Marvin and Jeffery.”
Lindenmuth joined M. Shanken Communications in 2000 Commenting on Matthews’ three decades of contributions
as a contributing editor on wine and spirits at Food Arts to Wine Spectator, Shanken said, “Tom has been an integral
magazine, a lifestyle trade publication for chefs and other part of the company for over 30 years and a true partner in
food professionals. In 2016, he was named executive editor so many ways. His contributions to the success of Wine Spec-
of Whisky Advocate. During his tenure, he has overseen tator cannot be overstated. Fortunately, he has agreed to con-
PETER GARRITANO; MICHAEL MARQUAND; RICK WENNER
major changes in content and design as the publication grew tinue in an advisory role, heading up our annual New York
dramatically. One cornerstone was instituting blind-tasting Wine Experience program as well as other special projects.”
methodology for whisky reviews, to conform with the Matthews joined Wine Spectator in 1988, working in the
philosophy of sibling publications Wine Spectator and Cigar London and then the New York offices. In 1999 he was pro-
Aficionado. moted to executive editor, overseeing print and digital opera-
“I’ve been reading Wine Spectator for at least two decades, tions as well as events and special projects. Matthews has also
and it has shaped my personal passion for wine, as it has for served as lead taster for the wines of Spain and a principal travel
millions of readers,” said Lindenmuth. “It’s an incredible and restaurant writer. During his tenure, Wine Spectator
honor to join this talented team and continue the legacy that became the most widely read wine publication in the world.
6 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
NEWS Highlights
David Dearie Named CEO At SMWE Growth In U.S., China
STE. MICHELLE WINE ES- director of Brown-Forman Boosts Pernod Ricard
tates president and CEO Beverages for Western
Jim Mortensen retired on Europe and Africa, and as PERNOD RICARD LAUDED A RESIL-
November 1. He has been president and COO of ient performance in the U.S. and
replaced at the head of the Brown-Forman’s wine unit. China with bolstering its results in its
Washington state wine- Ste. Michelle saw first fiscal first quarter ended in September,
maker by industry veteran half revenues decline 12% with those two markets recording sales
David Dearie. to $277 million as the growth of 6% and 4% respectively.
Dearie was most recently company battled Covid-19 With ongoing disruptions across global
founder and managing and looked to reorient its travel retail (-64%), India (-13%), and
director of East Wind business on stronger foot- Europe (-5%), however, the drinks
David Dearie
Consulting Pty Ltd., pro- ing. Adjusted operating giant’s overall net sales fell 6% to €2.2
viding strategic, brand and income fell 18% to $28 billion ($2.6b). The company said it
financial advice to clients predomi- million in the first half of the year. Ste. expects the October-December period
nately in the wine and spirits sector. His Michelle’s shipment volume decreased to “be strongly impacted by Covid-19,
career also includes leadership positions by 15% to 3.3 million cases in the six- but sales to return to growth in H2.”
at Treasury Wine Estates where he month period, with higher pricing Pernod noted that the strong off-prem-
served as CEO, and as managing direc- partially offsetting lower volumes. ise environment has boosted U.S. sales
tor ANZ for Fosters Wine Group. Prior Mortensen held the CEO role for in recent months, as well as the partial
to that, he spent more than a about two years, taking the helm fol- reopening of the on-premise, and that
decade in senior executive roles at lowing the departure of longtime CEO sell-in ahead of the holiday season
Brown-Forman, including managing Ted Baseler. —Daniel Marsteller has been solid, although marked by
“adverse channel and category mix.”
Pernod said Jameson saw good Q1
Tequila Surge Drives Cuervo’s Gains gains for its Original Irish whiskey as
well as Cold Brew and Black Barrel.
ROBUST TRENDS IN THE TEQUILA AND RTD COCKTAIL CATEGORIES HELPED
catapult Cuervo’s third quarter net sales to a half-billion dollars on a 48% increase.
Volume leapt 26% to 6.6 million 9-liter cases, and operating income surged 169%
to $147 million. North America, accounting for about 72% of net sales, was the Diageo Set To Acquire
key growth driver for the company, with the region posting 79% sales growth to U.K.’s Chase Distillery
$360 million on volume gains of 51% to 4.4 million cases. Cuervo credited the
U.S. surge to “the strength of our largest brands within the region leading an DIAGEO HAS AGREED TO ACQUIRE
acceleration in depletions and shipments, and the Mexican peso depreciation against the U.K.’s Chase Distillery for an un-
the U.S. dollar on a year-over-year comparison.” Flagship brand Jose Cuervo disclosed sum. Chase is known for its
Tequila saw global net sales climb 62% to $198 million in the third quarter on Potato Vodka and Chase GB gin, as
volume up 28% to 2.3 million cases. The company also saw rapid growth for its well as flavored gin offerings like Pink
other Tequila labels—up a collective 47% to $133 million—and its RTD offer- Grapefruit & Pomelo, Seville Marma-
ings, which jumped 144% to $66 million. lade, and Rhubarb & Bramley Apple
Gin. The portfolio also includes
Campari’s U.S. Sales Rise 9% In Q3 Williams Elegant 48 Gin, made using
48 rare varieties of apple from 200-year-
CAMPARI GROUP POSTED NET SALES DOWN 2.8% TO €1.3 BILLION ($1.5B) FOR old orchards. Diageo says the Chase
the nine months through September, marking the first three quarters of its fiscal deal bolsters its range in the U.K.’s
JONATHAN LOCKWOOD SMITH
year, although the company reported a strong rebound in the most recent quarter, premium-plus gin segment, which has
in which sales increased by 13%. Adjusted EBIT for the nine-month period was been growing by strong double-digits
down 15% to €249 million ($294m), helped by an 11% jump in the third quar- in recent years. The transaction is
ter. Campari’s U.S. business was flat over the past nine months, but up 9% in the expected to close early next year.
third quarter, with depletions growing by double-digits and outpacing shipments.
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 7
Liqueurs
to advance in recent years. The brand markets an extensive Southern Glazer’s, a total of $1 million to the United States
range of schnapps, brandy, and cocktail ingredients includ- Bartenders’ Guild Foundation Emergency Assistance Pro-
ing triple sec, curaçao, creme de menthe and amaretto. This gram and the Restaurant Workers Community Foundation,
spring it launched DeKuyper Classic Ol’ Fashion, a 30-proof along with working toward donations to various local orga-
liqueur intended to streamline the process of mixing an Old nizations. “Specifically through DeKuyper, we are working
Fashioned. The brand has been on a downward trajectory hand in hand with the trade,” Hidalgo said. “For example,
of late and lost 1.2% last year, hovering just above 2 million we’ve continued to sponsor trade events such as ‘Camp
cases in the U.S., having lost approximately 700,000 cases Runamok’ and ‘Tiki By The Sea’, which have moved online
from its high-water mark in the mid-aughts. this year given the circumstances.”
Ivan Hidalgo, senior director of rum, cordials and vodka Paul Masson Flavored Brandy also slipped last year. The
at Beam Suntory, says DeKuyper has seen solid performance Constellation brand, which is in the process of being sold
for its two largest variants, Triple Sec and Peachtree Schnapps. to Sazerac as part of a $255 million deal, had been in growth
Although cocktail ingredients have been hit hard by the dis- mode for several years, rising by more than 100,000 cases
ruptions of the Covid-19 pandemic, Hidalgo noted that from 2015-2018, before shedding 7,000 cases in 2019.
consumers have been experimenting more with cocktails at Sazerac will look to restore its former momentum.
home, lending boosts to DeKuyper offerings like Creme de Baileys has enjoyed renewed interest lately, adding nearly
Cacao and butterscotch-flavored Buttershots Schnapps. 100,000 cases and finishing last year at 1.5 million cases. It
Beam Suntory has been part of several initiatives to help grew 6.5%, the best of any leading brand. Its growth was
mitigate the economic toll of the pandemic on the on-prem- enough to overtake Jägermeister, making it No.-2 overall.
ise. The company recently pledged, in collaboration with The Diageo brand’s signature cream liqueur still accounts
8 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
U.S.—LEADING LIQUEURS PRICED ABOVE $30 A 750-ML.
THOUSANDS OF 9-LITER CASES
Growth Percent
Rate1 Change2
Brand Company Origin 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2014-2019 2018-2019
Grand Marnier Campari America France 472 485 488 516 522 525 2.2% 0.6%
Cointreau Rémy Cointreau USA France 240 252 263 270 282 306 5.0 8.3
St-Germain Bacardi USA France 99 113 116 96 108 108 1.7 -0.5
Fernet Branca Branca USA Italy 65 66 67 71 76 80 4.1 4.5
Chambord Brown-Forman France 74 74 71 68 70 71 -0.8 1.4
Beverages Worldwide
Godiva Diageo North America Domestic 68 62 60 55 59 61 -2.3 2.5
Drambuie William Grant & Sons Scotland 54 46 56 56 54 52 -0.6 -2.7
B&B Bacardi USA France 53 55 53 48 49 47 -2.6 -5.7
Total Leading Above $303 1,125 1,153 1,174 1,179 1,221 1,248 2.1% 2.3%
1
Average annual compound growth rate
2
Based on unrounded data
3
Addition of columns may not agree due to rounding Source: Impact Databank
for the bulk of its depletions but has been augmented in cases. Its fortunes may be even better this year if recent con-
recent years by seasonal and limited-edition offerings and trol state data is any indication, where Kahlúa is up 14%.
flavor innovations like Pumpkin Spice and Strawberries and Last month the brand added another line extension with
Cream. Baileys is the top liqueur brand in the U.S. priced Blond Roast Style, a coffee liqueur made with medium roast
between $15-$25. coffee containing hints of caramel, toffee, and citrus, and
“As dessert and treating trends have gained popularity, suggested to be served with tonic or coconut water.
Baileys thrived as the ultimate go-to indulgence because at “One of our successes last year was the launch of the brand’s
its core, Baileys is a real premium adult treat,” said Stacey first ready-to-drink convenience offering, the Kahlúa Style
Cunningham, brand director for Baileys and liqueurs at Espresso Martini,” said Rima Sawaya, senior brand manager
Diageo North America. “Since pivoting to a presence in the at Pernod Ricard. “The innovation uses a nitro widget that
everyday adult treating space several years ago, Baileys has creates nitro-foam when you pour into a martini glass, just
been able to focus on our key performance drivers, which like a Guinness.” Speaking about the pandemic, Sawaya
has resulted in continued momentum year over year.” noted, “The biggest challenge is trying to create a true sense
Baileys has also seen a boost from consumers filling time of connectivity through a virtual medium. Through all this,
at home this year by baking. Its use as a baking ingredient what we’ve learned is that brands have the uncanny ability
has lent a versatility that has served it well in quarantine. “As to act like the ‘glue that keeps people together.’ People in
a brand, we’ll continue to tap into relevant and timely bak- this time frame have looked to their favorite brands as a
ing, desserts and treating trends to build upon our extremely source of entertainment and escapism to rally behind and
strong brand awareness,” Cunningham said. In that vein, connect over.”
this May the brand partnered with Georgetown Cupcake to Prestige Beverage Group’s Kinky brand was up 0.7% last
create a limited edition Baileys-infused cupcake whose pro- year, reaching 430,000 cases. The brand launched its fifth
ceeds were donated to the Restaurant Workers’ Community line extension in 2019 with Kinky Ruby, a blend of grape-
Foundation, on top of $75,000 from the company. Addi- fruit, kiwi, and elderflower flavors. It followed Kinky Aloha
tionally, Baileys will release a series of baking videos online from 2018, which itself was spun off into Kinky Aloha Cock-
leading up to the winter holidays and donate to charities tails, a line of pineapple, coconut, and lime flavored malt
through the Baileys Holiday Baking Club. Diageo has beverages, in March of last year. Elsewhere, E&J Flavored
pledged more than $4.5 million to the bar and restaurant Brandy, from E&J Distillers, grew 1% to 520,000 cases.
community overall. Agave Loco Brands’ RumChata lineup advanced 2.2% to
Pernod Ricard is the only producer with two brands in the 475,000 cases. Earlier this year, RumChata added a Limon
top 10, Hiram Walker and Kahlúa. Fifth-ranked Hiram expression, a blend of Caribbean rum with dairy cream,
Walker lost 3.3% of its volume last year, dropping to 626,000 vanilla, and lemon, packaged in a bright yellow version of
cases in the U.S. Kahlúa, on the other hand, managed to the RumChata bottle and designed to be served on the rocks,
reverse its fortunes. After years of modest declines, the cof- in hot or cold coffee, or in cocktails.
fee liqueur grew 0.9% last year, inching back up to 800,000 French import Grand Marnier, from Campari America,
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 9
BITTERS/SPIRIT APERITIFS—TOP SEVEN BRANDS WORLDWIDE1
MILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASES
Percent
Change2
Rank Brand Company Origin 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 ’18-’19
1 Jägermeister Mast-Jägermeister Germany 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.5 8.5 12.5%
2 Aperol Campari Group Italy 2.0 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 7.8
3 Fernet-Branca Fratelli Branca- Italy 3.8 5.3 5.1 5.3 4.8 4.6 -4.2
Distillerie
4 Campari Campari Group Italy 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.0
5 Camparisoda Campari Group Italy 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 -
6 Ramazzotti Pernod Ricard Italy 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 9.3
7 Becherovka Pernod Ricard Czech Republic 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 4.2
Total Top Seven 19.1 21.8 22.3 23.2 23.6 25.0 5.7
Other Brands 8.4 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.7 2.8
Total Bitters/Aperitifs3 27.5 29.4 29.9 30.6 31.1 32.7 5.0%
1
Excludes cordials/liqueurs
2
Based on unrounded data
3
Addition of columns may not agree due to rounding. Source: Impact Databank
10 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
LIQUEURS—TOP 10 BRANDS WORLDWIDE1
MILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASES
Percent
Change2
Rank Brand Company Origin 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 ’18-’19
1 Baileys Diageo Ireland 6.7 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.3 4.0%
2 De Kuyper De Kuyper Royal Distillers Netherlands 4.3 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 -0.5
3 DiSaronno Illva Saronno Italy 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5
4 Kahlúa Pernod Ricard Mexico 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 -0.2
5 Bols Lucas Bols Netherlands 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 -0.5
6 Lubelska Stock Spirits Group Poland 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 3.5
7 Cointreau Rémy Cointreau France 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 5.0
8 Zoladkowa Gorzka Stock Spirits Group Poland 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 5.5
9 Amarula Distell Group Ltd South Africa 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 -4.0
10 Choya Choya Umushu Co Ltd Japan 1.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 -3.2
Total Top 10 22.2 21.1 21.2 21.6 21.9 22.3 1.7
Other Brands 30.4 28.8 28.6 28.7 28.9 29.3 1.3
Total Liqueurs3 52.6 50.0 49.8 50.3 50.8 51.5 1.5%
1
Excludes flavored whiskies, bitters/aperitifs and anis/pastis.
2
Based on unrounded data.
3
Addition of columns may not agree due to rounding. Source: Impact Databank
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 11
INTERVIEW
a Moscato to the Roscato line earlier this year. We also more than 50% of their on-premise losses at retail. Los Vas-
12 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
INTERVIEW
Taub: California is very exciting for us. The biggest difficulty Taub: Drumshanbo Gunpowder gin is the leader in our
right now is not being able to be out there as much as I would spirits stable and showing growth in excess of 50% this year.
like. On the Napa side, we’ve fully transitioned Heritance We’ve had a nice balance of on-premise and retail from the
to become Taub Family Vineyards. We’ve got partnerships beginning. We’re going to launch a single pot still Irish whis-
with Andy Beckstoffer and the Morisoli family in terms of key from Drumshanbo as well, staying in the very high end
sources for incredible wine, and added to that, a great source at a $65 retail price. We’re also in the process of bringing to
from Mount Veeder and Howell Mountain. My son, Jake, market Jacob’s Pardon, an American whiskey brand, first
introduced me to Jesse Katz from Aperture Cellars, spurring with two limited production, barrel-strength single cask ex-
another partnership. Last vintage, we began making wine pressions. These will be followed by a small batch offering,
with Jesse at his new state-of-the-art Aperture facility. Look- before we go into a broader line. Dos Maderas rum is seeing
ing ahead, we’re going to do a separate line of wines from excellent growth of 32% this year, and we’ve added to our
the Beckstoffer estate in cooperation with Jesse. Mexican portfolio with Gracias a Dios Mezcal.
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 13
China
2019, while beer declined 4.3% to 376.5 billion hectoliters. starting from Southeast Asia, with potential expansion to
Meanwhile, baijiu, China’s largest spirits category, dipped other markets to follow at a later stage.
well below 1 billion cases in 2019. Leading Western spirits, Western spirits like Scotch and Cognac are gaining
though, had a positive performance last year, as Cognac traction from a value and volume perspective. Last year,
(+4.8%) and Scotch (+8.9%) imports both grew, excluding Cognac grew 4.8% to 1.98 million cases, excluding re-ex-
re-exports from Singapore, Hong Kong and Macau. How- ports from Singapore, Hong Kong and Macau. Meanwhile,
ever, wine imports fell 11% to 68 million cases. Scotch grew by 8.9% to 1.34 million cases, also excluding
re-exports, marking the category’s third straight year of
Baijiu Struggles as Cognac, Scotch Soar growth. According to the Scotch Whisky Association, the
Baijiu remains the largest category in China, holding more value of direct exports of Scotch to China has grown from
than 90% of total spirits consumption. Like China’s beer under £10 million in the early 2000s to around £89 million
market, though, baijiu continues to contract, falling 11.5% ($116.1m) last year. The Bureau National Interprofessional
to 810 million cases in 2019. A handful of Western market- du Cognac (BNIC) counted the Far East market as a key
ers have dabbled in baijiu, either through partnerships or driver for Cognac last year, with 27.5% of total shipments,
brand investment. Diageo was at the forefront, investing in or 59.5 million bottles, sent to this market, driven by China.
the Shuijingfang label, and most recently increasing its Martell remains the largest Cognac label in China, as
stake from 40% to just over 63% through a £768 million Pernod Ricard sells nearly half its global volume there and
($951m) investment. Meanwhile, in November 2019, has a market share above 50% of the category. While Covid
Pernod Ricard entered into a strategic partnership with hurt the key selling season of the Chinese New Year in Janu-
Wuliangye International (HK) Ltd., one of China’s largest ary 2020, Pernod has witnessed a resilient performance in
baijiu producers. The collaboration will include jointly China in its fiscal first quarter that ended in September, with
strengthening infrastructure, and developing regional sales a sales growth of 4%, due to on-trade recovery and sell-in
ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival.
CHINA—COGNAC AND “Since the outbreak of the pandemic, e-commerce, social
commerce and online-offline integration have developed
SCOTCH WHISKY IMPORTS—2009-2019*
very strongly,” says Jean-Etienne Gourgues, managing direc-
MILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASES
tor at Pernod Ricard China, of the spirits market. “As China
Scotch Whisky Cognac has been the first major economy to recover, we’ve seen step-
2.00 by-step normalization of traffic in restaurants, night clubs
and KTVs.” He notes that Pernod continues to recruit new
Martell consumers through marketing programs like Gour-
1.75 met Theatre, launched in September 2020; its new retail
concept, L’Atelier Martell Shenzhen, which also opened in
September; and innovations like Martell Noblige Shenzhen
1.50
Limited Edition and Martell XXO, the first XXO Cognac
to be introduced into China, in December 2019.
1.25 Rémy Cointreau also saw a rebound of its Cognac busi-
ness in China during its fiscal first half ending September
30. Globally, Rémy Cointreau’s core Cognac business, led
1.00 by Rémy Martin, fell 18% to €305 million ($360m), but
only declined 2.5% in the second quarter, thanks to mo-
mentum in the U.S., and the recovery seen in mainland
0.75 China. Rémy points to the “remarkable growth” of its brands
’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19
Calendar Years during the Mid-Autumn Festival celebrations, which take
*Excludes re-exports from Singapore,
Hong Kong and Macau Source: Impact Databank place on October 1, as confirmation of China’s recovery.
Moët Hennessy also saw a decline in Cognac consump-
14 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
tion during its first fiscal half-year ending June 30 due to CHINA—BAIJIU MARKET
the pandemic, with Cognac sales down 21% and volumes BILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASES
down 15%. However, after the slowdown in demand at the
beginning of the year and the timing of the 2020 Chinese 1.4
New Year, Hennessy saw a strong rebound in China. Hen-
nessy’s growth in China during the second quarter was driven
1.2
mainly by e-commerce and off-trade retail sales, according
to the company.
Like Pernod, Hennessy is dedicated to courting Chinese 1.0
consumers through limited edition bottlings, brand experi-
ences, and Chinese-centric collaborations. In August, the
Cognac house opened an outpost of its Hennessy retail bou- 0.8
tique in China in the resort town of Hainan Island. Hen-
nessy has also collaborated with two prominent Chinese
artists this year, including Zhang Huan, who designed a new 0.6
bottling commemorating the Chinese Lunar New Year; and
Cai Guo-Qiang, who created daytime fireworks with his
0.4
signature gunpowder medium, with the event held at the 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Maison Hennessy in France, on the Charente River. Calendar Years
Scotch has also been rising again in China. “Broadly in Source: Impact Databank
sync with the country’s economic recovery trends, the inter-
national spirits market in China has emerged relatively
strongly from the depths of the pandemic and overall the DIAGEO AND PERNOD RICARD
market is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels,” says Mark
Edwards, managing director, Diageo China, noting that HAVE BENEFITED FROM
Scotch continues to be a growth driver. In its Greater China
region, Diageo’s net sales declined 7% for the fiscal year end- THE STRONG REBOUND
ing June 30. Strong performance in Scotch, liqueurs and
beer was offset by a decline in Chinese white spirits. Scotch IN CHINA’S SCOTCH WHISKY
growth of 3% was driven by single malts and Johnnie Walker
super-deluxe growth in mainland China along with contin- MARKET, WITH BLENDS AND
ued growth in Taiwan. Diageo has been leveraging Johnnie
Walker in the region, most recently through a special bot- SINGLE MALTS BOTH SHOWING
tling of Blue Label commemorating the Scotch brand’s 200th
anniversary in conjunction with the 600th anniversary of RENEWED GROWTH.
the Forbidden City. In addition, the company has extended
its ranges of Scotch on offer in China, including expressions
of The Singleton, Mortlach, Talisker, and Johnnie Walker. to just below 200 million cases in 2019. Wine consumption
Pernod has also seen an opportunity to expand its Scotches’ reached its zenith in 2017, at 215 million cases. The major-
presence in the region. According to Gourgues, they have ity of this volume is derived from China’s robust domestic
seen “a strong performance of the whisky portfolio, both wine industry, whose winemakers continue to take cues from
blended whiskies and single malt.” Pernod Ricard opened a French producers. French wines have long dominated the
whisky retail store in Xiamen to showcase its portfolio and import segment, particularly selections from Bordeaux, given
introduce of new collection of its luxury single malts, includ- its perceived cachet and Chinese drinkers’ preference for red
ing Caperdonich, Longmorn, and Glenkeith. Further bol- wines. However, French imports have been in sharp decline,
stering its long-term commitment to whisky in China, with New World wines from Chile and Australia supplant-
Pernod Ricard broke ground on its $150 million Emeishan ing them, due to free trade agreements between both of these
malt whisky distillery in August 2019. Set to open in 2021 countries and China. French wines plummeted 21.5% to
and located in China’s Sichuan province, the 15-hectare site 14.9 million cases in 2019, and fell 36.2% to $644 million
will be the first malt whisky distillery in the country. by value. Bordeaux shipments to China fell 18.1% to 4.67
million cases last year, excluding re-exports from Singapore,
Wine: Chile, Australia Climb Hong Kong and Macau. Champagne shipments to the
Over the last 20 years, China’s wine market has expanded region also fell, decreasing 15.5% to 153 million cases,
by 75 million cases, from 125 nine-liter million cases in 2000 excluding re-exports.
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 15
CHINA—BOTTLED STILL WINE IMPORTS BY ORIGIN
Volume Value per Case Value
Value (millions of 9-liter cases) Percent (US dollars) Percent (millions of US dollars) Percent
Rank Origin 2018 2019 Change3 2018 2019 Change3 2018 2019 Change3
1 Australia 13.10 13.38 2.1% $54.77 $60.81 11.0% $717.5 $813.7 13.4%
2 France 19.01 14.93 -21.5 53.07 43.13 -18.7 1,008.8 644.0 -36.2
3 Chile 8.28 7.94 -4.1 32.49 33.83 4.1 268.9 268.6 -0.1
4 Italy 3.28 3.29 * 44.52 40.58 -8.8 146.2 133.3 -8.8
5 Spain 6.55 5.68 -13.2 23.85 23.35 -2.1 156.1 132.6 -15.1
6 United States 1.10 0.67 -38.7 63.20 49.02 -22.4 69.5 33.0 -52.4
7 Argentina 0.58 0.49 -14.7 45.09 48.69 8.0 26.1 24.0 -7.9
8 Portugal 0.82 0.78 -4.8 29.42 30.60 4.0 24.0 23.8 -1.0
9 South Africa 1.07 0.72 -32.6 30.34 30.54 0.7 32.5 22.1 -32.1
10 New Zealand 0.28 0.26 -7.2 102.70 80.26 -21.8 28.7 20.8 -27.5
Total Top Ten1 54.06 48.14 -11.0 45.84 43.95 -4.1 2,478.3 2,115.8 -14.6
Other Origins 2.51 2.38 -4.9 38.12 36.52 -4.2 95.5 87.1 -8.9
Total Imports2 56.57 50.52 -10.7% $45.50 $43.60 -4.2% $2,573.8 $2,202.9 -14.4%
* Less than 0.05%.
1
Addition of columns may not agree due to rounding.
2
Excludes sparkling and bulk.
3
Based on unrounded data. Source: Impact Databank
Australia took over as the top imported wine region by CHINA—WINE MARKET 2000-2019
value in China in 2019, and is on track to surpass France by MILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASES
volume this year. Wines from Down Under grew 2.1% to
13.4 million cases, and increased 13.4% to $813.7 million 225
last year. Top Australian producers like Accolade and Trea-
sury Wine Estates have long considered China a key market,
200
given that it is Australia’s largest trading partner, and the top
market for Australian wine exports. However, recent tensions
between the countries have threatened this comity, includ- 175
ing an anti-dumping probe into imports of Australian wine,
which is examining Australian wine imports in containers
of two liters or less to assess damage to the domestic wine 150
industry from 2015-2019. The Chinese Alcoholic Drinks
Association requested the inquiry, which launched in
August, asking regulators to look into 10 Australian wine 125
producers, including Treasury and Accolade.
The investigation “could result in a punitive tariff that
100
would become a challenge to the competitiveness of Austra- ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19
lian wines. The investigations are scheduled to end before Calendar Years
August 2021 and could be extended to February 2022 if Source: Impact Databank
necessary,” says Yoshi Shibuya, CEO of importer ASC Wines,
a subsidiary of Suntory Holdings Ltd. “Because of this the
wine trade in China is stocking up Australian wine to avoid Like Australia, Chile has become a wine powerhouse in
the cost increase in case of an unfavorable ruling.” He notes Asia due to its free-trade agreement. Chilean imports slowed
that there has been a significant decrease in imported wine last year, down 4.1% to 7.94 million cases, but China re-
across the board due to Covid-19, but points to data from mains the South American country’s top wine export
China Customs for January-August 2020 to affirm Austra- market. “Without a doubt, the Covid-19 pandemic has had
lia’s position as the No.1 exporter of wines to China in both a major impact on the wine market in China, with a decrease
value and volume at 72.75 million liters and $457.47 mil- of close to 35% in imported wine,” says Cristián López,
lion. France is at 63.27 million liters and $305.71 million, corporate export director, Viña Concha y Toro, noting how
while Chile is at 56.21 million liters and $139.76 million. critical the on-trade is to Chinese wine consumption. “How-
16 NOVEMBER 1, 2020
ever, we’re seeing a gradual opening and recovery of on-trade CHINA—TOTAL WINE IMPORTS—
business, as well as increasing e-commerce growth, so we’re
2009-2019*
optimistic.” He notes that the hyper-fragmentation of the
MILLIONS OF 9-LITER CASE SHIPMENTS
market makes it a complex region to compete in, but that
the company is dedicated to sales expansion in China, 90
focused on highlighting its Casillero del Diablo label.
While nearly all imported wines fell last year, the pandemic 80
has compounded the challenges faced by U.S. producers.
The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, especially when 70
juxtaposed with the FTAs enjoyed by other New World win-
eries in Australia and Chile, have led U.S. wines to fall by 60
more than 50% to below 1 million cases. This steep decline
reflects the trio of tariffs that went into effect over a 14-month 50
period from 2018-2019: a 15% levy in April 2018, a further
10% hike in September 2018, and a 15% increase in June 40
2019. However, in 2020, a tariff relief program for select
U.S. agricultural goods, including wine, went into effect, 30
wherein U.S. wine importers can reduce their tariff rate by
20
up to 25% by applying through China’s Ministry of Finance ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19
for a dispensation. Calendar Years
Despite these challenges, Bill McMorran, vice president *Includes bulk Source: Impact Databank
and general manager, Asia for E.&J. Gallo Winery, remains
confident about the long-term potential for the market, as
the company continues to invest. “During the pandemic, CHINA—SPARKLING WINE
we saw that Chinese consumers only had a slight increase in
IMPORTS BY TYPE—2012-2019*
wine consumption frequency, unlike matured wine markets
THOUSANDS OF 9-LITER CASE SHIPMENTS
in the Western countries,” he notes, pointing to the indus-
try’s reliance on social or business occasions. “Drinking at Prosecco Champagne Cava
home became the key drinking occasion. Unsurprisingly, the 250
online wine channel has seen strong growth. This trend is
going to continue to be prevalent.” Gallo continues to build
on the e-commerce initiatives it established in 2019 through 200
a three-year strategic partnership with Alibaba, which in-
cluded the opening of an E.&J. Gallo Winery flagship store
150
on Alibaba’s Tmall, and feature positions on Tmall’s Super-
market, Hema Supermarket, and RT-Mart. The California
producer also launched its WeChat account “Jia Lu Jiu 100
Zhuang” (Gallo Winery). According to McMorran, the win-
ery has doubled its business in e-commerce this year. Gallo
is also exploring other potential opportunities for virtual 50
brand experiences in China, like the virtual tasting they held
in September together with regional business partners.
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
China’s Resilience Set to Continue Calendar Years
As other major economies continue to struggle due to the *Excludes re-exports from Hong Kong Source: Impact Databank
pandemic, China appears well on the road to fiscal recovery,
with the wine and spirits industry following suit. Marketers
are bullish about the region’s rebound, and the continued wine, international producers also see great potential for
trends of premiumization and demand for Western labels. imports, even after the challenges posed by the pandemic.
“China’s spirits market has become more sophisticated and “The Chinese market is fast-moving and undergoing signifi-
more open,” says Edwards at Diageo China. “It is exciting cant change, but we’re seeing a scenario of greater openness
to see more diversified Chinese spirit enthusiasts, with a to international brands, and cosmopolitan consumers who
growing following among younger generations as well as like to travel and enjoy wine as part of their quality of life,”
more women. The market potential for spirits is high.” In says Lopez at Viña Concha y Toro. —Mary E. Keefe
T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M NOVEMBER 1, 2020 17
NEWS Roundup
Management Moves
BACARDI LTD HAS NAMED been with William Grant •KEN EVENSTAD, WHO MADE HIS
Drinks Briefs
company veteran Mauricio since October 2007, ini- fortune in the pharmaceutical busi-
Vergara as president and tially as managing director, ness before building one of Oregon’s
COO of Patrón, as it looks North America. In April most prominent wineries, Domaine
to capitalize on surging 2013 he was named chief Serene, died at his home Oct. 21 af-
growth for the Tequila cat- commercial officer, before ter a long history of chronic pulmo-
egory both in the U.S. and replacing Stella David as nary issues. He was 77. Oregon’s wine
globally. Vergara will re- CEO in 2016. industry was young when Ken and
port directly to Bacardi •Heaven Hill Brands has his wife, Grace, arrived 31 years ago,
CEO Mahesh Madhavan. named Eric Hund senior looking for land to plant a vineyard.
Vergara will drive the com- vice president of U.S. sales. They settled on a 42-acre property
pany’s efforts to “accelerate Mauricio Vergara Hund joined the company on the southernmost peak of the
growth in the well-estab- in 2016 as vice president Dundee Hills. The Evenstads grew
lished U.S. market, while of sales for the Deep Eddy the business over the years and today
leading expansion interna- Vodka division. Prior to own 1,000 acres, with 300 planted
tionally where consumers joining the company, to Pinot Noir and Chardonnay.
are starting to discover and Hund was a vice president
love premium Tequila.” of sales at Republic Na- •BROWN-FORMAN HAS AGREED TO
Vergara was most recently tional Distributing Com- acquire Part Time Rangers Holdings
managing director for pany in Texas. In his new Limited, based in New Zealand, for
Bacardi-Martini Australia role, the 25-year industry an undisclosed sum. Part Time
and New Zealand, a post veteran will lead sales Rangers produces spirit-based RTDs
he held while also manag- activities across the Heaven with all-natural fruit flavoring. The
ing the integration of Hill portfolio. portfolio includes Lime Vodka, Pas-
Patrón into the Bacardi Simon Hunt •New York-based Vintus sionfruit Apple Vodka, Apple Lime
fold following its 2018 has named John Barton as Rum, Strawberry Raspberry Gin,
acquisition in a deal valuing the Tequila director of strategic retail. Barton was Ginger Lime Whiskey, and Apple
giant at $5.1 billion. previously senior national wine buyer Lemon Gin. Brown-Forman called
•Simon Hunt, who has led William at Cost Plus World Market, overseeing the move a targeted investment that
Grant & Sons for nearly five years as 31 states and over $200 million in will complement its Jack Daniel’s
chief executive, has stepped down and business. He then transitioned to the RTD business in New Zealand and
is leaving the company. A successor will distributor side, joining Young’s Market Australia. The transaction is subject
be named in due course. In the mean- in California. As vice president, Fine to customary closing conditions.
time, William Grant & Sons chairman Wine – Strategic Retail, Barton oversaw
Glenn Gordon and CFO Giles Wilson revenue growth of more than 50% •CHOPIN IMPORTS HAS LAUNCHED
will assume Hunt’s duties on an interim until his departure earlier this year. a selection of spirits from Ireland’s
basis. In a statement, the company’s • Domaines Barons de Rothschild Hinch Distillery in the U.S. Chopin
board noted that during Hunt’s tenure (Lafite) has appointed Philippe Rolet has released Hinch Small Batch whis-
“the profitability of the business has as general manager of Chile’s Viña Los key (matured in Bourbon casks and
grown considerably, and Simon has Vascos, in addition to his current post retailing for $30), Hinch 5 Year Old
driven a large part of this. Latterly as as general manager of Argentina’s Double Wood (ex-Bourbon and new
CEO, he has delivered a new strategy Bodegas Caro. In this new role, Rolet American oak, $40), Hinch 10 Year
BACARDI LTD (TOP), AND MICHAEL GROSS
for the business and embarked on a sig- will develop DBR Lafite’s South Ameri- Old Sherry Cask ($55), and Ninth
nificant capital development program can estates, both in the vineyards and Wave gin ($30). These spirits are now
from which the company will continue international markets. Prior to joining available in 11 states with national
to benefit going forward.” Among DBR Lafite in 2018, Rolet spent two distribution (and an expanded lineup
Grant’s investments have been its dis- years at Alejandro Bulgheroni’s wine including Single Malt and Pot Still
tillery projects in Ireland for Tullamore group managing three Argentinean whiskies) to follow in February.
Dew and Milagro in Mexico. Hunt had wineries and vineyards.
18 NOVEMBER 1, 2020 T O S U B S C R I B E , G O T O W W W. I M P A C T N E W S L E T T E R . C O M