Polar
Polar
Polar
Financial Services
Intermediary Regulation
Report to the
Financial Services Authority
by London Economics
July 2000
Polarisation and Financial Services
Intermediary Regulation
A review for the Financial Services Authority
London Economics
June 2000
© Copyright London Economics. No part of this document may be used
or reproduced without London EconomicsÕ express permission in
writing.
Contents Page
1 Summary 1
8 Cost-benefit analysis 83
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June 2000 i
Contents Page
London Economics
June 2000 ii
Tables & Figures Page
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June 2000 iii
Tables & Figures Page
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June 2000 iv
Section 1 Summary
1 Summary
Our main findings are as follows. The polarisation rules appear to have some
anti-competitive effects, largely by blunting competition in the tied channel.
Redefining the rules would therefore bring some economic benefits,
particularly for consumers using this channel.
At the same time, the rules also appear to have had some effect in reducing
consumer detriment, by clarifying the status of advisers in the eyes of the
public. If the rules are to be changed, this should be done in such a way as to
maintain clarity about who is independent and who is not. Otherwise, there
is scope for consumer detriment to increase.
1
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Section 1 Summary
2
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Section 1 Summary
The two variants also have limited market impact. The proposal to separate
panel selection from commission negotiation, for IFA panels, would largely
formalise practices that are already in place, and would have few benefits or
costs. The separation of fee-based IFAs from commission-based brokers,
however, would result in the great majority of IFAs becoming brokers, with
substantial regulatory costs and some possible adverse effects on consumer
detriment (as a small number of customers would be displaced from
currently independent to tied channels).
Clearly however the FSA will have to consider other factors alongside cost-
benefit results in deciding which course of action to undertake. It may for
example wish to select elements from several of these scenarios, and Òmix
and matchÓ to create a preferred regulatory outcome.
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Section 2 Introduction and outline
In consultation with the FSA, the policy scenarios were refined somewhat
during the course of the project, as it became clear that some of those
originally envisaged would either not constitute good regulation, or would
not constitute significant changes in the regime. The scenarios finally agreed
with the FSA and presented in this report are as follows:
1 Following the TreasuryÕs decision on the regulation of advice on mortgages, analysis of the market for
advice on mortgages was outside the scope of this project.
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Section 2 Introduction and outline
p The next section sets out the original motivation for introducing the
polarisation rules, the detail of these rules, a summary of the Director
General of Fair TradingÕs recent report and some other countriesÕ
experiences with intermediary regulation.
p Section 4 describes trends in the market for both packaged investment
products and the complementary demand for advice.
p Section 5 shows how the polarisation rules affect competition in the
packaged investment market and their effect on consumer behaviour and
the resulting level of consumer detriment.
p Section 6 covers changes in technology and regulation that must be taken
into consideration in the evaluation of market outcomes.
p Section 7 describes the scenarios in detail and the likely market outcomes.
This focuses not just on the changes to the polarisation regime but also on
the changes to other rules necessary to support these new rules.
p Section 8 presents the results from the cost benefit analysis of these
scenarios.
The details of the cost-benefit analysis are included in the appendix.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
Before the Financial Services Act 1986 (the Act), there were three broad types
of agents providing investment advice:
Although not a part of the Act itself, polarisation was introduced as part of
the regulatory framework in 1987. The Act reflected the review published in
1985 by Professor Jim Gower to improve investor protection.
3 Specific advice is authorised investment advice which is tailored to meet the needs of an individual
investor. General advice covers information about classes of product such as pensions.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
Some of the main arguments made at the time for the introduction of
polarisation were that it would lead to:
The Director General of Fair Trading (DGFT) was required to examine the
potential impact of these rules before the Securities and Investment Board
(SIB) was able to implement them fully. In his 1987 report 4 he concluded that
several adverse effects on competition were likely to result from the
introduction of polarisation:
Despite these concerns, polarisation rules were introduced by the SIB in 1987
as part of the new regulatory regime for investment business. The other
regulatory bodies set polarisation rules at least as strong as those
implemented by the SIB.
b) do so as an independent intermediary.
4 Securities and Investments Board: A report by the Director General of Fair Trading to the Secretary of
State for Trade and Industry, March 1987.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
• life policies;
IFAs need not provide advice on all product types and can specialise in
certain areas (e.g. annuities, pensions). But where the advice is provided, it
must be for a product which is as good as any other on the market. An IFA or
IFA network must take responsibility for the advice it offers.
Some banks and building societies have IFA arms, particularly to advise high
net worth clients. Since these banks and building societies also offer their
own products, there is a possibility that without further regulation, these IFA
arms would be biased towards offering in-house products. In order to
prevent this in-house bias, a stricter standard of Òbetter than bestÓ applies.
Independent financial advisers who are part of a company group cannot
recommend a product of the marketing group with which they are associated
5 ÒPrinciples and core rules for the conduct of investment businessÓ SIB 1991.
6 The independent channel is comprised of a number of different types of intermediary ranging from
Independent Financial Advisers currently regulated by the PIA to independent intermediaries that are
regulated by their professional bodies, i.e. accountants and solicitors. As IFAs are responsible for the
majority of business through the independent channel we use IFA and independent intermediary
interchangeably and note whether different types of independent adviser are differentially affected.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
unless the product is demonstrably better than any other available product of
its type. In practice, this means that the IFA arms of providers do not sell any
in-house products.
The first is that they only apply to certain products. They do not apply, for
example, to pure protection products, or to mortgages. These products are
however often sold by agents who are also selling packaged investment
products for which their advice role is polarised. The polarisation regime
therefore allows IFAs to be tied to one or more companies for the purposes of
advice on products other than packaged investments, and allows tied agents
to advise on the non-packaged investment products of companies outside
their marketing group. Polarisation thus does not achieve a completely clear-
cut division between independent and tied distribution, but incorporates a
product borderline.
7 A marketing group corresponds to a group of companies that are (formally or informally) allied
together for the purposes of marketing the packaged products of the group.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
All of these degrees of freedom are used by some tied providers, and relax
the rigour of the polarisation regime for them.
8 Execution-only refers to products sold without product specific advice. This needs to be distinguished
from direct offer promotions which are considered to contain product-specific advice and hence are
subject to the polarisation rules.
9 There are modified rules for introducers who gather data on individualsÕ circumstances for the
purposes of referring them to tied agents or independent advisers but do not provide investment
advise.
10 Independent Intermediaries can also provide Òbroker fundsÓ, life policies or contracts in an authorised
unit trust scheme whose value is determined by investment decisions made on a discretionary basis by
the adviser.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
There is some confusion over the use of the term Òwhite-labellingÓ. This is
often used to describe providers using outsourcing or re-insurance
arrangements. In this case these arrangement do not change the providerÕs
responsibility to the consumer for the product and these are permitted under
the polarisation rules. However, it is also sometimes used to describe where
a provider re-badges another providers product and does not take
responsibility for the product. This is not currently allowed under the
polarisation rules. Because of this confusion we do not use this term
throughout the rest of the report.
Similarly, there is a degree of freedom within the polarisation rules for IFAs,
whereby they are able to establish panels of preferred providers to whom
they route a large proportion (if not all) of their business. This has allowed
the operation within the polarisation rules of IFAs who preferentially route
business to as few as 4 providers. The key difference between these
arrangements and tying with providers is that the IFA selects providers for its
panel periodically on the basis of the quality of their products and their
suitability for the IFAsÕ clients. The IFA may negotiate preferential terms
with the providers on its panel (e.g. for product enhancements) but remains
free to change its selection of providers at will. If more than 20% of an IFAÕs
sales are the products of a single provider it must inform the FSA in its
regulatory reporting.
The complex and interlocking nature of the rules makes it quite difficult to
disentangle analytically the effect of polarisation alone.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
Òestablish whether the rules have obtained the objectives for which they were
designed, whether they have enhanced consumer welfare, and whether they have had
any significant effect on competition in the market.Ó11
11 The Rules on the Polarisation of Investment Advice, A report by the Director General of Fair Trading,
OFT, August 1999.
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
The case studies were chosen for the differences in the regulatory regimes in
terms of the importance of:
• product regulation;
The Netherlands does not place restrictions on ties, but instead focuses on
disclosure of the nature of the ties (shareholding, dealing, IT). The industry
says that independence does not lie in considering all possible products, but
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Section 3 The current regulatory environment
in the freedom to select the main provider and change this choice over time.
In the Netherlands, historically it is fee-based advice that has been viewed as
detrimental, rather than commission. A possible justification would be that
commission gives advisers incentives both to sell products or to offer
appropriate products.
14
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
The market for packaged investment products has grown substantially since
the polarisation regime was introduced in 1987, though year on year growth
has varied considerably. A combination of factors12 led to a fall in sales in the
mid-1990s, but the market has again grown strongly in recent years.
Meanwhile, the mix of the products sold has changed substantially:
• the growth in retail unit trust products has far exceeded that of life
and pensions.13
Figure 1 shows that within the last few years, independent intermediaries
have overtaken tied agents to become the largest single channel in terms of
new business premiums for life and pensions business. Direct14 sales of life
and pensions products have remained very small, comprising less than 5% of
the market throughout the period.
12 These factors include: the introduction of commission disclosure, publicity regarding pension mis-
selling and the lack of confidence in the economy.
13 Retail investment in unit trust and OEICs have grown from £4.2 billion to £28.5 billion over the period
1992 to 1999, representing an annual growth rate of 31.2%. This is considerably faster than the annual
growth rate for life and pensions business. Over the period 1992 to 1999, the life and pensions business
grew from £4.5Êbillion to £5.9 billion, representing an annual growth rate of 4%.
14 It is important to differentiate between direct sales and direct sales forces. Direct sales refer to sales
made through mail shots, newspaper advertising, telesales and use of the internet.
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
100% Direct
80%
% of life and pensions business
Tied agents
60%
40%
20% Independent
intermediaries
0%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Figure 2 shows that IFAs have not increased their share of the unit trust
market. The sales they make are predominantly unit trusts in PEP or ISA
ÒwrappersÓ, and they have a very low share of the investment trust saving
scheme market.16
15 The value of new business is calculated using the standard Annualised Premium Equivalent formula,
which is equal to the value of annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums.
16 As investment trust savings schemes represent only a very small share (approximately 1%) of the flows
into the retail investment funds we do not focus on this part of the market.
16
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
Figure 2: Distribution of unit trusts and ISAs gross sales (APE), £ millions,
1994-1999
100%
Private client
80% Direct
% of unit trust and ISAs
40%
Independent
20% Intermediary
0%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Source : AUTIF
The introduction of ISAs to replace PEPs in April 1999 has not substantially
altered this picture. Although independent intermediaries initially
concentrated on selling PEPs before the end of the 1998-1999 tax year in order
to take advantage of the tax benefits that would cease to exist post 6 th April
1999, they have retained their market share in the ISA market.
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Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
100%
Others
Tied agent
80%
Insurance
60% Company
40%
Bank or building
society
20%
Independent
intermediaries
0%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
100%
Others
Tied agents
80%
Distribution of sales
Insurance company
60%
40%
Banks or building
society
20%
Independent
intermediaries
0%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
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Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
According to this evidence, the IFA channel has a considerably smaller share
of the market when measured in terms of the number of consumer purchases
rather than in terms of new business premiums. This means that the average
premium size is considerably larger in the IFA channel than in the tied
channel and that the disparity has increased considerably over time.
This confirms the impression that IFAs have been successful in raising the
average level of premium by appealing to those with more to invest. That
success of the IFA channel has not, however, drawn a large number of less
well-off people into this channel as a substitute for tied channels.
As reported in the 1999 PIA Disclosure Report, there has been a steady trend
to lower charges in life and pensions products. This evidence is reproduced
in
18 Continental Research.
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
It is widely agreed that one of the largest sources of these effects is the
forthcoming (April 2001) introduction of the stakeholder pension, a personal
pension product which will have:
Whether an individual stays in the scheme or leaves early, the RIY will thus
remain at 1%. The contrast with the average level of early-leaver charges in
the personal pension market is very marked. In July 1999, individuals
withdrawing after 2 years from an average £200 per month regular premium
unit-linked personal pension faced an RIY of 13.6%. The average on the
market in 1994 was an RIY of 70%19, and as Figure 5 shows, the most of the
reduction since the early 1990s has come in the last year.
20
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
120%
100%
1992
Reduction in yield
80% 1993
1994
1995
60%
1996
1997
40% 1998
1999
20%
0%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Years since policy taken out
21
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
Looking at the total numbers employed in tied sales force is, however,
somewhat misleading. The large fall partly reflects the reduction in the
number of backroom staff registered. These staff are not directly involved in
advising customers day to day, and as registration requirements have
increased, it has made sense for companies to register those individuals only
where absolutely necessary.
The aggregate numbers also conceal the degree to which providers have
changed the method by which they distribute packaged investment products.
Initially, banks and building societies chose largely to remain independent.
Within the first four years after polarisation, however, most of the larger
players had tied to another provider or set up their own life office. In many
cases, an IFA arm was kept to service sales from pre-existing relationships or
to service high net worth consumers. A fair number of smaller building
societies who tied to a provider have since become introducers.
In addition to the overall level of charges discussed above, the cost of advice
to consumers and how it is remunerated are also relevant to the effects of
polarisation.
Although there has been a small increase in the volume of business through
fee-based channels there is no evidence to suggest that this market is likely to
grow dramatically in the short run.
21 ÒUK Independent Financial Advisers 2000Ó, Datamonitor analysis of Matrix Data statistics.
22 The PIA Disclosure Reports only included collective investment schemes in 1997.
22
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
are five years of data, commission rates are consistently lower for IFAs than
the equivalent sales cost to tied agents. There is considerable variation
between company representatives and appointed representatives in terms of
level and the trend.
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
600 600
Five year total cost of advice (£s)
400 400
300 300
200 200
100 100
- -
IFA AR CR IFA AR CR
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
1,000 1,000
Five year total cost of advice (£s)
800 800
600 600
400 400
200 200
- -
IFA AR CR IFA AR CR
23 It is important to note that these refer to average commission rates. Large IFAs and IFA networks may
negotiate higher levels of commissions.
23
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July 2000
Section 4 The market for polarised packaged products
Commission terms
To sum up, the quantitative evidence accords with the view of a number of
industry participants to suggest that competition has been working relatively
well in the advice market in recent years, with consequent benefits to
consumers.
There is evidence however that tied and IFA channels serve different types of
customers. As we have seen, they serve somewhat different socio-economic
groups, with IFAs having greater penetration at the top end of the market.
The growing market share of IFAs appears not to have been associated with
increased penetration in the middle and lower ends of the market.
24
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
The market for packaged investment products (particularly those for the
more complex and long-term products) is often associated with high levels of
consumer detriment (defined below). Polarisation is only one of a set of
possible rules to try to minimise detriment. It clarifies the status of advisers
by preventing tied agents representing themselves as independent. In
principle, this might or might not be effective.
• purchase a suitable product, but pay more than the cheapest price
available;
• purchase a product, but not the one which is most suitable for their
needs; or
These things happen to a certain extent in all markets, but become a matter of
policy concern when they are very common, or very large in scale. This is
only likely to occur in markets for products about which consumers are
relatively poorly informed. It is particularly likely with so called ÒcredenceÓ
goods, complex long-term products whose quality is not known at the
moment of purchase but can only be assessed a long time after the purchase
(if at all).
25
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
However, the provision of financial advice itself suffers from some of the
same informational problems. In particular:
• the quality of the advice given often becomes apparent after a long
period (if at all).
24 It is important to note that the FSA Better Informed Consumers report only surveys people who say
they are financial decision makers. These are not general population surveys and only cover
approximately half the population.
26
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Figure 7: Reasons given for not buying a product (percentage of those who
seriously considered buying but did not buy)
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Lack of money Information related Product was a waste of Still considering Not the right time to buy
reasons money/not a good deal
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July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
The most commonly cited reason for not purchasing was lack of money.
However, 17% of those who considered making a purchase cite information
problems as the reason for not doing so. At least 50% of inactive consumers
also give information problems as the main reason for not purchasing (citing
reasons such as not knowing enough, not knowing where to start, or finding
the products to be too complicated).
We now consider the other types of consumer detriment and their likely
scale.
28
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
100%
90%
80%
70%
30%
20%
10%
0%
IFA Bank Insurance Direct
company
Fewer consumers seek advice on simpler products, and our survey results
show that only around half of consumers are seeking advice when they buy
unit trusts, PEPs and ISAs. Even for products that are thought of as more
complex, such as personal pensions, over 1/3 of people only wanted the
transaction arranged. Nevertheless, the majority of consumers are looking for
advice27.
26 Direct refers to dealing with the product provider directly through either post, phone or internet.
27 This represents an upper bound on the proportion who are seeking ÒspecificÓ investment advice. On
further questioning many of these consumers were seeking general advice on the details of a particular
product (this is especially true in the direct channel).
29
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July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
80%
70%
60%
Percentage
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
IFA clients Life office clients Bancassurer
However, it is also clear from Figure 10, that roughly 20% of consumers do
not understand what type of adviser they are seeing.28 Those who purchase
products through life offices or bancassurers, but nevertheless believe that
they are obtaining independent advice, are particularly likely to suffer from
consumer detriment. This is consistent with evidence from more recent
research by the FSA (illustrated in Figure 11 below). This shows that between
20% and 30% of consumers thought their adviser was tied to more than one
company. As polarisation prevents advisers tying this way, it appears that
these consumers did not understand the status of their adviser.
28 Qualitative survey evidence suggests that the proportion may be even higher than this.
30
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Source: FSA Better informed consumers report, April 2000, Base: All products bought or seriously considered
through an advisor
Finally, there is some evidence that confusion over status is highest in the
bancassurance part of the market. The next figure shows that 31% of
consumers believe that banks are the best place to get independent advice,
even though banks largely have tied distribution.
31
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Figure 12: Asked if Òa bank is the best place to get independent financial
adviceÓ
70%
63%
60%
50%
40%
31%
30%
20%
10% 6%
0%
Agree Disagree Don't know
Source: Consumer Panel Report, PIA, 1999. Base: All financial decision makers
This is confirmed by the survey undertaken for this project, which found 39%
of those going to a bank were unaware when they first went to them that
banks could offer only their own products.
Consumer inertia
29 Little shopping around could also reflect that there is known to be very little price variation.
32
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
The balance between these types is likely to have large implications for how
changes in the polarisation rules would change consumer behaviour.
There are some important indications that most customers are passive. The
PIA Consumer Panel Report defines active consumers of packaged
investment products as those who regard themselves as Òhands onÓ, and
finds that only 16% of people display this approach to financial planning.30
These people agreed with statements such as ÒI enjoy finding out about new
savings and investment schemesÓ and ÒI like to shop around for the best
deals on interest rates, mortgagesÓ. While these people would probably not
become trapped in a channel, a large proportion of the population could be,
and thus become vulnerable to consumer detriment.
Consumer research for this project suggests that a rather higher proportion of
customers are taking the initiative. It shows that around 2/3 of recent
purchasers made the initial contact that led to their most recent purchase,
while only 1/3 were approached by providers. As shown in Figure 13, the
percentage of people who make the initial contact for themselves is highest in
the IFA channel.
33
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
100%
90%
80%
Company/person
70% made the initial
approach
60%
50%
40%
You made initial
30% approach
20%
10%
0%
Direct
Bank
IFA
Insurance
company
In all channels, the percentage of people who made the initial approach for
themselves is over 50%. Figure 14 examines how this breaks down by type of
product. The percentage of people making the initial approach for themselves
is higher for the simpler products.
34
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
100%
90%
80%
Company/person
70% made the initial
approach
60%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Unit Trust
Investment
ISA
PEP
Personal
pension
Endowment
bond
policy
35
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Figure 15: Proportion of consumers making the initial contact the first time
they used a distribution channel versus the most recent time
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
First time
40% Used channel before
30%
20%
10%
0%
IFA Bank Insurance Direct
company
Shopping around
There is concern that consumers do not shop around and this also exposes
them to detriment, since they do not have a clear idea of the prices and
characteristics of alternative products. PIA surveys reveal that just over 35%
of people look for at least a second opinion on their investment product
choices, less than for general insurance.
36
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Figure 16: Extent of shopping around for advice on savings and investment
products, 1996 - 1998
70
60
Percentage of investors
50
1996
40
1997
30
1998
20
10
0
Did not shop around Two advisers Three advisers Four or more Not sure
Our own survey data reveals the extent to which consumers who bought
through one channel had also considered other channels. Figure 17 shows the
results.
37
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Figure 17: Did consumers using one channel consider other channels?
100%
90%
Insurance company
80%
% considering other channels
60%
50% IFA
40%
Bank/building society
30%
20%
Did not
10%
0%
IFA Bank Insurance Direct
company
It is clear that a large majority (over 75%) only look within a particular
channel. As a result, our sample of those who considered alternative channels
is relatively small.31. Looking within channels it is clear there is also relatively
little search between advisers. Of those using an IFA, 75% only see one IFA.
31 Within this small sample it is interesting to note that bank customers mostly see IFAs as the closest
substitute and IFA customers see banks as the closest substitute.
38
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Percentage of respondents saying the source most influenced Figure 18: The influence of advisers
All those using an adviser Those using a tied adviser Those using an independent financial adviser
80
70
60
their decision to buy
50
40
30
20
10
Other
The internet
Friends/relatives
newspapers/magazines
Product information
recommendation
Adviser's
Information in
This may not imply that the consumer does not undertake any search at all, as
information can be gathered from other sources even if an alternative channel
was not considered for the purchase decision itself.
Research published in the 1999 PIA Consumer Report (shown in Figure 18)
shows that 40% of consumers cite the adviserÕs recommendation as the most
important one in their decision to purchase, suggesting that Ð once they have
chosen an adviser Ð consumers are quite reliant on the advice he or she
provides. This is dramatically higher for those using an IFA.
To sum up, the high level of initial approach suggests a considerable number
of active consumers, but the subsequent low level of shopping around
suggests they may still face high levels of consumer detriment. The simpler
the product, the greater are both the level of initial contact and the level of
shopping around and thus the less likely are consumers to suffer from
consumer detriment.
39
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
The fact that confusion Ð and thus the potential for detriment Ð exists in the
present regime does not necessarily mean that changing polarisation would
create greater detriment. Unfortunately, it is not possible to find statistical
evidence on the degree to which consumers understood the status of their
adviser before the polarisation regime was introduced. Anecdotal evidence
from providers working in the market at this time, however, suggests
consumer confusion was considerably higher than it is now.
40
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
Of course, it is also possible for a product provider to use its own tied
salesforce. However, there are strong economic reasons why it is unlikely to
be profitable to do so without a full product range. In particular:
There is evidence from tied providers that they would be able to provide a
better portfolio of products if they could distribute products from a number
of providers in different product categories. For example, evidence from
providers suggests this results in:
• no product at all.33
32 Friendly societies have been successful in developing relationships with introducers. However, it is
their experience that if the relationship is successful the introducer will eventually look to tie to a
provider who offers a wider range of products.
33 If there is not a suitable product available tied agents should refer a customer to an independent
intermediary. However, providers believe this sometimes results in the customer not purchasing and
a financial need not being met.
41
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
In addition, if a distributor ties to a provider the tied adviser must give advice
over the entire range of products provided by the marketing group. If the
distributor focuses only on some parts of the market, e.g. small building
societies focusing on a limited set of mortgage related products, the cost of
providing advice might outweigh the resulting sales making it uneconomic to
provide any products at all. We were presented with evidence that this had
resulted in a significant reduction in the volume of sales.
Even where the manufacturer produces its own product it may wish to sell
that of other providers as well. This might reflect differences in efficiency
between different manufacturers resulting from specialisation or different
manufacturers targeting different customer types. Given that there are search
costs for consumers it is efficient for retailers to sell the products of multiple
manufacturers. This model is commonly adopted in other countries.
On the face of it, the competition problems associated with these propositions
are substantially weakened if:
p There is intense competition within the tied sector (i.e. the tied market is
competitive such that innovation and improvement in product terms
occur).
42
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
While we cannot say with certainty whether the IFA and tied markets are in
the same ÒeconomicÓ market, the weight of evidence suggests that
competition between them is not perfect.
A) Life Premiums
Top 5 25% 24% 23% 24% 23% 27%
Top 10 38% 38% 38% 37% 39% 43%
Herfindahl 241 238 236 267 258 290
B) Pensions Premiums
Top 5 31% 36% 37% 39% 36% 40%
Top 10 43% 51% 52% 56% 53% 58%
Herfindahl 302 388 434 456 421 440
Source: FSA Returns
34 Evidence from the PIA Persistency surveys. There is concern that the differences in persistency only
represents the differences in the types of consumer. However, there is insufficient evidence to prove
this proposition.
35 The Herfindahl index provides a relative measure of market concentration, and is calculated as the
sum of each individual companyÕs market share squared It therefore has the potential to take on a
value between 0 and 10,000. The Herfindahl index will take on a value of approximately 0 in the case
of a industry with an infinite number of companies, and 10,000 in the case of an industry with just one
43
London Economics
July 2000
Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
segment. These statistics are reported for APE, i.e. 10% of single premium
business and 100% of regular premium business.
Top 5 33%
Top 10 47%
Herfindahl 334
Evidence on the provision of unit trusts (Table 4) suggests a similar low level
of concentration.
This evidence suggests that the product market is not very concentrated,
whether it is competitive depends on whether a new provider could
distribute through the large number of IFAs (currently providing over 50% of
the market in terms of premiums). If they will consider a new product
provider, it is reasonable to conclude that there are low barriers to entry for
providers.
Concern has been expressed that new providers cannot get IFAs to distribute
their products. In particular, this has focused on the expanding IFA networks
and the increased importance of product panels. Networks showed steady
growth in the mid 1990s, although this has slowed slightly in the past couple
of years. The use of panels has also increased and it has been estimated that
panels are used in 80% of cases.
company.
44
London Economics
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Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
IFA networks are now estimated to have 40% of the IFA market and 22% of
the total financial advice market.36 The largest network, Misys, now has over
4,000 IFAs giving it approximately 17% of the IFA market and 9.5% of the
total financial advice market.37 This position gives the larger networks a
position unrivalled by any tied company.
There are signs that concentration is allowing IFA distributors to exert market
power, but little evidence that the gains are going to be passed onto
consumers. Recently some networks have been asking for commission levels
10% above the standard national and regional IFA rates.38 Although other
networks appear to be less demanding, their own testimony is that they
would not accept lower commission levels than those of other networks.
Meanwhile, the OFT recently gave competition clearance for Misys to acquire
ie group, increasing its share of the IFA market.39
The size of the panel and the speed with which it is updated are clearly the
key to whether a panel enhances or limits competition. Although, the
appropriate size of the panel will vary depending on the type of IFA, there is
some concern that very restrictive panels appear to be used.
36 Assuming IFAs working inside and outside of networks have the same average premium.
37 Assuming IFAs working for Misys and the rest of the IFAs have the same average premium.
45
London Economics
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Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
The last of these can lead to substantial problems in entering the IFA market,
making the provision of contacts offered by a tied network more attractive or
changing the focus of business into areas where a more traditional
commission structure has been maintained (e.g. protection products).
Small IFAs believe that this would not prevent entry, though it could lead
IFAs to change their focus or look for temporary assistance (such as initially
being a multi-tie if this was possible).
The evidence would therefore tend to suggest that, although there are some
causes of concern, the IFA market is broadly competitive. This should
alleviate the problems facing a new provider entering the market.
It is only possible to estimate quite roughly the market share in the tied
channel with the results shown in Table 5.40 It appears that concentration is
40 These figures were estimated from results of a Money Management survey. This does not correspond
to the whole market and therefore gives an upper bound estimate.
46
London Economics
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Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
There is some evidence that some providers use the freedom available within
the polarisation rules to offer better products. A number of leading providers
do for example take the opportunity to outsource administration and fund
management. A number of providers use re-insurance or outsourcing
arrangements to provide products they could not otherwise provide
themselves. However, there is also evidence that the costs of doing this
sometimes prevents better products from being introduced.42
The weight of evidence suggests polarisation does slow down the speed at
which innovation takes place and blunts competition within the tied channel.
Therefore, the gains from removing polarisation in terms of competition are
likely to be positive, but modest in the short run.
41 The appropriate market may, however, be much more narrowly defined, for example it may be more
appropriate to look at market share in annuities than life and pensions in general. In this case
concentration could be considerably higher still.
42 The additional cost imposed on re-insuring a product was estimated by providers to be between 30%
to 50% of the cost of introducing the product.
47
London Economics
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Section 5 The economic effects of polarisation
they were before polarisation was introduced). The least costly policy
scenarios in detriment terms will thus be those which do most to maintain a
clear independent status; i.e.:
To the extent that there are competition benefits, they are likely to arise in the
tied channel. The most beneficial scenarios are likely to be those that do most
to enhance competition in that channel; i.e.:
48
London Economics
July 2000
Section 6 Technology and regulation
New technologies have the potential to alter the way consumers gather
information about products as well as manage their existing products, and
could thus have important effects. E-commerce and the Internet already
provide consumers with the ability to manage and move funds online. These
changes affect polarisation in two ways:
• they cut the cost of setting up distribution, which may lower barriers
to entry.
The limitations of the Internet as an advised channel are illustrated by the fact
that technology is only used to deliver about 4% of advice, while the most
widely-used mechanisms for obtaining advice remain face-to-face and by
telephone (with 44% of people obtaining information in this way and a much
higher percentage favouring this method). This is shown in Figure 19 below.
43 Collette Bowe, Head of Western Pooled Funds, Fleming Asset Management, talk at the Polarisation
What Next? conference, 29th March 2000.
49
London Economics
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Section 6 Technology and regulation
7%
Financial services regulation
1%
Method of obtaining information
18%
Teletext/Internet/CD-ROM
4%
14%
Advertisement
10%
31% Preferred
Family and friends
17% Actual
40%
Article/programme
24%
46%
Leaflet/booklet
27%
73%
Face to face/telephone
44%
Percent
Source: FSA Better informed consumers report, April 2000, Base: Actual source: product bought/considered,
Preferred source: All respondents
The obstacles to online advice may be lower for digital TV and other
broadband technologies that are in the pipeline. These media provide enough
bandwidth to enable 2-way video communication between advisers and
potential customers, making online advice a much closer substitute for face-
to-face communication.
44 Resulting from the lower distribution costs for the product provider.
50
London Economics
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Section 6 Technology and regulation
As noted above, the degree to which fund supermarkets lower the demand
for advice has been questioned by research in the United States. This research
suggests that the Internet is used primarily as a source of information after
which consumers may then have a more informed position from which to
seek advice, or may be confused by the proliferation of information and seek
advice.
These developments could lead to significant by lower search costs for IFAs.45
Whether these gains are taken in the form of IFA profits, lower prices for
consumer or IFAs undertaking more frequent searches and passing on benefit
to consumers, is as yet unclear.
45 For a more detailed discussion of these issues see Business to Business e-procurement, Small and
medium sized enterprises, The Group Trade Report, May 2000.
51
London Economics
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Section 6 Technology and regulation
CAT-marked products46
The Treasury has thus far introduced CAT standards for Individual Savings
Accounts (ISAs) and mortgages. It is not the stated objective that the
products should be sold without advice, but it may not be possible to provide
within the price cap.
ISAs, introduced in April 1999, were the first CAT marked product. There
has been relatively little evidence to date to show that CAT marked ISAs have
fundamentally changed the market,47 since:
46 In addition to CAT marks imposed by the government, the life insurance industry is also working to
develop standards of its own through an initiative called SALTR. This initiative will result in voluntary
standards focused on reducing the scope for consumer detriment by adopting high standards on
literature/product information, charging structures and consumer service. The initiative will be
administered by an independent accreditation board.
47 However, there is a review currently being undertaken by McKinsey that should throw further light on
this issue.
48 Recent evidence suggests that only 33% of people find even cash ISAs straightforward, with 37%
52
London Economics
July 2000
Section 6 Technology and regulation
Stakeholder pensions
This last point suggests one of the possible drawbacks of the comparative
information schemes Ð that the characteristics included in the tables may
become a focal point of competition, possibly to the exclusion of other
important product characteristics.
thinking them complicated and 28% being unfamiliar with them. In terms of complexity, cash ISAs
ranked worse than all other products except equity ISAs, unit trusts and gilts, placing them as more
complex than personal pensions, endowments and stocks and shares amongst other products. Better
informed consumers, Consumer Research 1, Financial Services Authority, 2000.
53
London Economics
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Section 6 Technology and regulation
pensions. Although this is still at the consultation stage, the main purpose of
decision trees would be to increase the level of understanding regarding
stakeholder pensions and to provide consumers with information about what
options are available to them.
Òthey are intended to help consumers make a choice, where they reasonably can,
without having to pay for advice, and to help identify instances in which advice or
further information is necessaryÓ.50
6.2.4 EU regulation
Polarisation could be affected by two directives being developed at the
European Commission, the Insurance Intermediaries Directive and the E-
commerce Directive.
The European Commission has drafted an outline proposal, which will form
the basis of the new directive on the insurance intermediaries. It is hoped
that the Council of Ministers will adopt it by the end of the year 2002.
The current draft proposal has the objective of facilitating the freedom to
provide services across member states. Member states will be allowed to
impose additional requirements but only for the intermediaries established in
their own territories. In the case of intermediaries from other member states,
who wish to establish themselves, the mutual recognition of professional
capacity as set out in the 1976 directive would still apply but in a much
simpler manner. The largest effect of this could be to reduce barriers to entry
into the UK intermediary market.
50 The FSAÕs approach to the regulation of the conduct of stakeholder pension business, May 2000.
51 The current draft of the E-commerce directive does not apply to UCITs. There is a derogation for UCIT
providers that they must comply with host country conduct of business rules. This derogation may
disappear in future drafts.
54
London Economics
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Section 6 Technology and regulation
6.3 Conclusions
55
London Economics
July 2000
Section 7 Options for change
The experience of polarisation is that the details of the rules can be very
important for how competition evolves. In thinking about the future, it is
therefore important to set out the proposed scenarios in some detail before
trying to determine the likely market outcomes.
We have developed four core scenarios, which reflect the analysis of the
economic consequences of polarisation, to examine against the baseline of the
present rules. For each scenario we first analyse the impact it would have on
the market (its market outcome), and then go on in Section 8 to look at how it
performs in terms of regulatory cost-benefit analysis.
The scenarios do not correspond exactly to those set out in our terms of
reference, but rather are designed to be:
c) likelier to yield a positive balance of benefits over costs than other closely-
related alternatives.
56
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
In considering how these scenarios will effect the market we have focused on
whether it will bring about a substantial change in the channels through
which investment products are distributed. We do this by examining its
impact on consumers, distributors and providers. This is based on two sets of
considerations and evidence:
57
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
p Providers are not likely to buy IFAs in large numbers to create larger tied
distribution networks (though this is a risk that needs to be considered).
On the face of it, they would find it attractive to try to purchase cheap IFA
distribution. However, if in practice they did buy up IFAs this is likely to
reduce the cost advantage substantially. IFAs themselves would choose
not to tie, both because they would anticipate that they would end up
earning less than they receive today and because IFAs appear to have a
preference for providing independent advice, i.e. cultural reasons.
52 It should be noted that the responsibility for the product lies with the product provider. Therefore a
provider, say company A, can offer a product using re-insurance or outsourcing arrangement as today.
This will be branded under company AÕs brand and the responsibility of the product remains with
company A. Alternatively, they can offer another providerÕs product, say company B, in which case the
responsibility lies with company B.
53 A product group will be defined in terms of a distinct set of products which the firm markets.
58
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
p Providers using tied distribution will introduce new products to fill gaps
in their ranges, replace their existing products in some instances. In
addition, this will introduce competitive pressure on tied providers to
improve their Òown labelÓ products.
p Consumers will gain in terms of more product variety and hence better
advice in the tied channel.
p There will be some market entry by new distributors and new product
providers.
• that customers feel the adviser will cover the whole market (19%);
59
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Figure 20: How would it affect your likelihood of using an IFA, if they
chose from a narrow range of companies?
100%
90% More likely to have used
80% an IFA
70%
60%
Would make no difference
50%
40%
30%
20% A little more likely to have
10% used another way of
buying
0%
t
st
d
on
A
P
en
PE
IS
m
si
tT
tb
n
ni
do
en
buying
tm
En
es
v
In
Source: Continental Research. Base: All saying the IFA looked at the whole market
As shown in Figure 20 (above) around 40% of those who believe IFAs survey
the whole market Ð or around 20% of all IFA customers Ð would consider
using another channel. The great majority would continue to use an IFA
60
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
rather than buy direct or through a tied agent. However, in this case the IFA
is still free to choose from different product providers.
Figure 21: How would it affect your likelihood of using a tied agent, if they
offered the products of several providers?
13%
18% A lot more likely to have bought from a
bank, building society or insurance
company salesman
Less likely
55%
Whether IFAs would choose to tie depends on the cost savings from ceasing
to provide independent advice, and how they compare to the likely loss of
revenue from doing so.
Evidence from our interviews with small IFAs suggests that few would
choose to change status in the short term. This is because the importance to
small IFAs of commissions on on-going business makes it unlikely that many
would find it beneficial to tie to an existing provider. If they did, they would
not be able to advise on the on-going services of their clients (unless,
improperly they advised on unnecessary churning of client plans for
commercial reasons55), and would lose an important source of income. Some
55 The possibility of this was suggested in submissions from the IFA sector.
61
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
advisers might get round the loss of revenue on ongoing business by setting
up a parallel IFA firm to service it. Others might find it worth becoming
ÒFinancial AdvisersÓ because of the cost savings from not having to search
the whole market and the improved terms offered by the providers to which
they are tied. But these exceptions are likely to be small, and Ð as when
polarisation was first introduced Ð few advisers are likely to change their way
of doing business in the short run.
56 This represents the cost of a restricted information service. The cost can be as high as £20,000 for more
comprehensive services.
57 Stated preference is where consumers are asked hypothetically what they would do. Revealed
preference is where observation about how consumers behave reveals their preferences.
62
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
100%
90%
80%
Costs as a % of APE
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Direct Salesforce Appointed IFA Bancassurer
Representative
Even allowing for premium size there is evidence that IFAs are a cheaper
method of distribution.59 It is possible that providers, knowing this cost
advantage, will try to take advantage of the redefinition of polarisation to buy
up IFAs.
58 This is supported by evidence from national IFAs and small IFAs in our provider interviews.
59 ÒPerformance benchmarking in financial services: international evidence from the life insurance
industryÓ, Paul J. M. Klumpes, 30 September, 1999.
63
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
IFA Tied
Evidence from a recent survey of IFAs also suggests that small IFAs are not
greatly concerned by the introduction of multi-ties. While 60% of small
directly regulated IFAs considered training and compliance to be a major
threat, less than 20% thought the introduction of multi-ties posed a greater
threat.60
Finally, evidence from IFA associations suggests there are strong cultural
reasons why IFAs will choose to remain independent. Many IFAs were
previously tied agents and will not wish to return to this status.
It remains possible that providers will buy up distribution in the short term,
and this is a risk worth considering. It would however only affect the long
run equilibrium if it were irreversible, and there is little evidence to support
this idea. First, experience over the last ten years suggests that providers
have adopted different strategies on distribution but where these have
proved misguided they have been reversed. Second, there is considerable
scope for reversal because of the relatively free movement of individuals
between the tied and independent sectors.
60 Evidence from a survey undertaken by Equus Alliance reported in Money Marketing April 13th, 2000.
64
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Another reason why companies might not engage in a distribution war, even
in a transitional period, is that they cannot afford one. Life insurance
companies in recent years have faced an £11 billion mis-selling bill, an
estimated £15 billion guaranteed annuities bill and now face the prospect of
the high capital strain of writing stakeholder pension business as well as
development of new e-commerce and IT systems. Indeed, life analyst Ned
Cazalet published a report last year61 which found free cash in the life
insurance sector was at the lowest level in more than 10 years. Firms are
under great pressure to cut costs, including business acquisition costs.
• The market for life and pensions and unit trust is much less
concentrated in the UK, making the value of independent advice,
higher here than in Australia.
65
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Gap-filling. This will increase both the volume of business undertaken and
the quality of advice in the tied channel (e.g. because it allows a more suitable
product to be sold). It is likely to happen where:
Offering competing products of the same type. Few providers currently use
multiple brands. It is only allowed within marketing groups, and providers
argue that it is expensive, as advisers must advise on the entire range of all
providers in the marketing group. It is also difficult because the advice
generally comes down to recommending products with the lowest charges (as
within the marketing group there are few other differentiating factors).
66
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Changing the rules so that the adviser needs to give best advice but only
within the chosen product range would increase the attractiveness of
introducing multiple brands. This was supported by a number of banks and
building societies in the provider interviews.
This will lead to some increase in training and competence costs Ð staff need
to be trained on multiple products and need to justify advising on particular
products. (If companies choose to do this it must mean that the additional
revenues outweigh the additional costs.)
The most likely multiple offerings are unit trust/ISA products, which have
larger consumer brands and relatively small training costs. The growth of
fund supermarkets, and the trend towards multi-manager products, suggests
that multiple offerings do have business advantages. This is supported by
evidence in the USA, where providers can and do distribute their own
products and those of other providers. The split between proprietary and
non-proprietary varies significantly between providers but the latter can be
substantial (see Table 7).
A perverse detrimental effect could occur if providers were to use the ÒhaloÓ
effect of having a strong branded product in their range to sell more of their
own product. But it is unlikely that the brand owner would accept this, or
that weakly-branded tied providers would wish to introduce a strong brand
alongside their own.
67
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Redefinition also allows new providers to enter using both the tied channel
and the IFA channel, but we feel it will not do much to lower barriers to this
type of entry. IFAs will still demand that providers be financially secure and
able to show good past performance, and it will still be as difficult for new
providers to distribute through them. Banks are already allowed to distribute
the products of efficient manufacturers through outsourcing and re-insurance
deals. Unless the new provider already has a strong customer brand, it is not
clear why banks (or other tied distribution networks) would start promoting
it.
68
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Following the DGFTÕs recommendation set out in the OFT report, this
scenario is defined by the following rule changes:
In this scenario, advice on the remaining polarised products (i.e. life and
pensions products) can as at present only be provided by Independent
Financial Advisers and tied agents.
p It is possible that this will increase the potential for consumer detriment
through increased confusion over the status of the adviser.
Intermediaries will be able to advise customers about substitutable
products in different capacities and tied advisers may be able to
masquerade as independent.
69
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
100%
90%
80%
70%
60% No - just arrange the
transaction
50%
Yes - did seek advice
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
st
P
n
A
d
y
io
PE
ru
on
IS
ic
ns
ol
tT
tb
tp
pe
ni
en
en
U
al
m
on
st
w
ve
rs
do
Pe
In
En
62 Of those who were familiar with products, 51% believed pensions were straightforward as opposed to
only 39% for unit trusts, 46% for cash ISAs and 35% for equity ISAs. Better informed consumers, FSA
63 One note of caution on this is that some products, such as pensions, may be considered to be
straightforward because consumers do what advisers suggest, rather than because of their inherent
features.
70
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Our consumer research suggests that only around a quarter of those currently
purchasing unit trusts and ISAs through the IFA channel would be more
likely to use banks, building societies or insurance companies if they offered
the products of more than one provider (Figure 24).
11% 10%
A lot more likely to have bought from
a bank, building society or insurance
company
16%
A little more likely
Less likely
63%
Source: Continental Research. Base: All using an IFA to buy a unit trust/PEP/ISA.
There could also be a knock-on effect on the attractiveness of using IFAs for
products that are still polarised. But again only about 27% of people buying a
life and pension policy through an IFA would consider other channels if their
advisers were to limit themselves to a small number of unit trusts.
71
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
characteristics Ð for those in lower income strata, pensions and unit trusts
may be very similar savings vehicles65, and accordingly more substitutable
than they are for other groups.
Just how close the substitution could be is shown by the example of the ISA
market. While unit trust ISAs would be outside the polarisation regime, ISAs
with a life component and a unit trust component would be inside. IFAs
would have an incentive to sell ISAs without a life component and the rules
for investment advice would differ for products within the same category.
Tied advisers may therefore benefit from greater customer demand for their
services, both in collective investments, and to a smaller extent, with cross
selling, in life and pensions. This should slow or reverse the trend in the
number of tied advisers.
A tied adviser could for example say that he was independent for collective
investment products, but tied for life and pensions products. Equally, an IFA
65 See M Cook and P Johnson ÒSaving for retirement: How taxes and charges affect choiceÓ May 2000.
FSA Occasional Paper 8.
72
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
will be able to claim to be independent for polarised products but will not
need to be for collective investments.
We can therefore see that there are a number of potential problems with this
scenario in terms of consumer detriment and the potential effectiveness of a
regulatory change of this nature.
66 Financial Services Consumer Panel response to: HM Treasury Discussion on Mortgage Regulation,
October 11, 1999.
73
London Economics
July 2000
Section 7 Options for change
Our industry interviews revealed that IFAs may start offering simplified
products on a fee basis, as part of a general trend for consumers to consult
their adviser about simple products before buying them direct. If IFAs were
to introduce a fee, it would probably increase the proportion of ISAs bought
direct.
There is some concern that IFAs who tie for simplified products will still be
able to use the title ÒindependentÓ (because they fulfil the criteria for
independence on polarised products). It may therefore be the case that some
IFAs use the ÒindependentÓ title, but sell mainly non-polarised products for
which they are in fact tied. This seems unlikely to be a very profitable
strategy, because of the tight price cap on these products. If it is of concern, a
regulatory limit could be placed on the amount of tied business agents can
conduct while describing themselves as ÒindependentÓ.
The main counter argument to this is that, if there are considerable economies
of scale in standardised products, distributors may be able to earn a higher
commission by selling someone elseÕs popular product rather than the small-
scale product of the provider they are tied to. This may increase tied
distribution of these products, which could be very important for stakeholder
pensions.
74
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
67 The responsibility for the product remains that of the product provider. The brand under which the
product is marketed therefore represents where a consumer should go if they have queries regarding
the product. Separating the brand of the product and the provider who has responsibility of product
can only lead to customer confusion.
75
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
Existing small or large IFAs would be unlikely to tie to providers, as the tied
advisers will be very similar to what they are today. There would be
therefore be little change in the current IFA numbers. New consumers
entering the financial services market, however, could be influenced by the
greater selection of brands the tied provider could offer.
The products introduced are likely to be relatively less important products as,
if their value had been substantial, they would already have been introduced
through out-sourcing or re-insurance deals.
Gap-filling will save tied providers the current costs of re-insurance and
additional system costs, enabling them to cut the charges on these products,
benefiting consumers. However in cases where they offer a new product they
will assume additional training and compliance costs.
• provide a product with their own brand whereas to date they have
been providing out-sourcing or re-insurance services.
76
London Economics
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Section 7 Options for change
The DGFT recommended that the selection of products for IFAsÕ product
panels or recommended lists should be formally separated from the
negotiation of commission on these products.
77
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Section 7 Options for change
• those who value the term ÒindependenceÓ but do not understand its
implications, i.e. that independent advisers are currently largely
remunerated on commission;
• those who do not understand how much they currently pay for
advice; and
• those not currently using an IFA because they do not believe they are
truly independent.
78
London Economics
July 2000
Section 7 Options for change
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
DK/can't remember
50% No
Yes
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Personal pension Endowment Investment bond Unit Trust PEP ISA
policy
If few consumers understand that they are being given a choice between fees
and commission, the low current take-up of fees does not necessarily mean
that consumers would not consider going to a fee for service adviser if this
was the only way to get ÒindependentÓ advice. To find this out, one has to
ask consumers how they would feel about this hypothetical position. Our
survey research shows only half of recent purchasers would consider paying
fees at any level. Of those who would consider fees, the amount they are
willing to pay is set out in Figure 26 below.
79
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Section 7 Options for change
Figure 26: How much would you be willing to pay for advice?
11%
2%
1%
2%
Up to £100
13% £101-£200
£201-300
£301-£400
£401-£500
Over £500
71%
Source: Continental Research. Base: All who would pay a fee rather than commission if offered a choice.
New technology may change this, as has been shown by the recent entry of
the online advisers. They provide advice over the Internet for a fee of less
than £100 (though the administration associated with the purchase is paid for
separately). There is, however, substantial doubt over whether consumers
will accept advice over the Internet or will always prefer face to face contact.
69 This result also throws considerable doubt on whether changing the tax status of fee-based advice
would have any significant effect on the level of demand.
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Section 7 Options for change
The alternative hypothesis is supported by the fact that only 16% of IFA
consumers believe that the product selection was based on the level of
commission. This compares with 30-40% of those using other channels who
believe IFAs choose product on this basis. This suggests that fear of
commission bias might be a reason why so many people do not use IFAs
today.
The opportunity for abuse certainly exists, as IFA consumers largely trust
their advisers and take their recommendations (see Section 5.1.1). Three
arguments are often used to suggest that commission bias is serious:
70 This analysis was undertaken using commission rates and new business statistics based on the
disclosure reports. This excluded differential commission levels negotiated with the IFA networks.
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Section 7 Options for change
Despite anecdotal evidence that some IFAs and IFA networks do take
advantage of their position to recommend product that yield them the
greatest commission, there is little sign that this is happening on a large scale.
This view was supported by our interviews with a wide selection of
providers using the IFA channel.
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Section 8 Cost-benefit analysis
8 Cost-benefit analysis
The FSA subjects policy options to Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) in order to
accomplish its stated objective of cost-effective regulation.71 In addition,
clause 150 of the Financial Services and Markets Act imposes a statutory
commitment to conduct CBA on the FSA.
The purpose of CBA is to try to assess, in quantitative terms where possible,
and in qualitative terms where it is not, the economic costs and benefits of a
proposed new policy. Any CBA of a new regulatory proposal seeks to
compare a proposed new regulatory environment with the old. CBA offers a
broad, yet disciplined, framework within which to weigh up the policy
options.
The FSA uses a CBA framework that classifies costs and benefits under the
following headings:
• direct costs to the regulator;
• compliance costs for the providers/advisers;
• effect on quantity of product sold;
• effect on the quality of products;
• effect on variety of products available; and
• effect on the efficiency of competition.
This framework takes into account the welfare of all the market participants Ð
providers, advisers, consumers and the regulator Ð before drawing policy
conclusions. This is the CBA framework used to derive the summary tables in
Section 8.1 and detailed in the appendix.
The conclusions that are drawn from assessing a scenario using the CBA
framework can in principle differ from the conclusions drawn from assessing
the scenarios on the basis of how far they promote the FSAÕs objectives. In
most circumstances however the two assessment frameworks are likely to
give similar results. This is because:
71 ÒPractical Cost-Benefit Analysis for Financial Regulators: Economics of Financial RegulationÓ, Central
Policy unit, FSA.
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Section 8 Cost-benefit analysis
The incremental costs of the scenarios are shown in Table 8. The DGFT
proposals have far the highest costs, though those of redefinition are not
insignificant.
Quantity
Variety
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Section 8 Cost-benefit analysis
Compliance costs ** * **
Competition *** *** * **
Quantity **** *** ** ***
Quality *** * * **
Variety **** ** * **
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Cost: IFAs who choose to become financial advisers would need to register
with the FSA. This is a one-off cost. As they were previously operating as
IFAs the incremental cost is unlikely to be very significant. However, we
estimate the upper bound on this cost using the cost of re-authorisation. The
FSA estimates the cost of authorising each IFA to be £900.72 At present there
are approximately 25,000 IFAs in the UK73, but only a few are expected to
choose to become FAs. If around 5% were to convert, the FSA would need to
authorise 1,200 FAs at a cost of approximately £1 million.
Cost: The FSA would have to rewrite polarisation rules. This is a one-off cost.
The FSA estimates that this cost will amount to approximately £40,000. This
cost appears to be invariant to the scenarios considered.76
Cost: The FSA would have to ensure that tied advisers adhere to the status
disclosure and Òas good as any other product within the product rangeÓ
obligation. This is an ongoing item, and it does represent an additional cost as
few tied providers currently offer multiple products in the same product
72 Authorising an IFA involves about a day of an FSA AssociateÕs time and 3 days of an FSA
AdministratorÕs time. A day of an AssociateÕs time costs £300 and a day of an AdministratorÕs time
costs £200 (based on daily salary plus overheads). The cost to the FSA of authorising an IFA is £300+(3
x £200) = £900.
74 Costs of supervising a one-person IFA firm: 2.2 days of an AssociateÕs time (1 day on site, 0.7 day
preparing report, 0.5 day responding to report; source: David Stuart, FSA). If this takes place every two
years, this represents an annual cost of 1.1 days of an FSA AssociateÕs time, and an annual cost of £330.
76 The FSA expects to expend around 100 person days on rewriting the polarisation rules. Based on the
figures in the FSAÕs 1999/2000 budget, the cost of an average FSA person day has been estimated to be
£400. By implication the cost of 100 person days is estimated to be £40,000.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Cost: Providers would have to ensure that tied advisers comply with the Òas
good as any other product within the product rangeÓ obligation across a
wider range of products. This is an ongoing cost. An upper bound can be put
on this cost in the following way:
Cost: If advisers changing their status are required to notify their customers
this will have an additional costs. It is estimated that this will represent a
one-off cost of approximately £2 million80.
Cost: Tied advisers would have to disclose contractual ties to the FSA. This is
an ongoing cost. However, this is not expected to be a significant incremental
cost, because tied advisers already have to adhere to a similar obligation (they
have to disclose their marketing group ties to the FSA).
Cost: Financial advisers would have to be classified as such by the FSA. This
is a one-off cost. Based on how much it costs an IFA to gain authorisation, an
upper bound is about £8,000.81 On the basis that there will be 1,200 FAs, this
implies a one-off cost of at most £10 million However in practice the cost
would be much lower than this, because most FAs will have been IFAs, who
would already have paid these costs.
78 Source: FSA internal note from Peter Andrews to Kevin James, 7 August 1998.
80 This corresponds to 4,000 IFA firms x 5% x £10,000. The cost of notifying customers was provided by
the Association of Independent Financial Advisers.
81 We estimate that it costs an IFA roughly £8,000 to get FSA authorisation. This is made up of £3,000
paid to the FSA as fees, £150 of exam entry costs, and 6 weeks of exam study time which costs the IFA
£4,500. (A new IFA usually has an annual turnover of £35,000. 6 weeks of an IFAÕs time is roughly an
eighth of a year and hence costs £35,000/ 8 = £4,500. Source: www.cii.co.uk) Hence total costs are
£3,000 + £ 150 + £4500 = £7,650.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Cost: FAs will have to adhere to FSA regulations. This is an ongoing cost.
However, since most FAs are likely to have been IFAs previously this is not
expected to be a significant incremental cost.
Efficiency of competition
Costs: Because our analysis of the market outcome suggests that the number
of IFAs would not be significantly reduced, there are no costs in terms of
reduced competition in the IFA channel, or in terms of reduced competitive
pressure from IFAs on the tied channel.
Benefit: Redefining polarisation allows providers who provide many, but not
all, products to plug gaps in their product range without having to incur the
costs of outsourcing activities or re-insurance. This could improve the
efficiency of competition.
Effect on quantity
Benefit: the quantity sold through tied channels should rise, since the
providers have more products to sell and can provide a suitable product for
more needs.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Effect on quality
• have to adhere to the Òas good as any other product within the
product rangeÓ obligation; and
Benefit: The quality of the products produced by providers who might sell
their own products, alongside a competitorÕs, may improve.
Benefit: The quality of the products sold by providers, who are plugging
gaps in their own portfolio, might improve.
Benefit: The quality of products sold by providers who have one or a few
products might improve. This is because now they will be competing to seek
the distribution channel providerÕs favour.
Effect on variety
• tied advisers can offer products that they were hitherto unable to
offer.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Cost: The FSA would have to rewrite polarisation rules. This is a one-off cost.
The FSA estimates that this cost will amount to approximately £40,000 as
above.83
Efficiency of competition
Cost: Unit trust providers may try to incentivise IFAs (who are independent
for life products) to tie to their unit trust products, and recoup the cost of
these incentives by charging customers higher prices. As a result charges
might rise for unit trust products. If the increased charges are equivalent to
even 1% of premia, the increase in ongoing costs would be £56 million.84
Benefit: The exemption lowers barriers to entry for providers who plan to
enter the CIS market but do not plan to provide other products. As a result
efficiency of competition might improve.
83 The FSA expects to expend around 100 person days on rewriting the polarisation rules. Based on the
figures in the FSAÕs 1999/2000 budget, the cost of an average FSA person day has been estimated to be
£400. By implication the cost of 100 person days is estimated to be £40,000.
84 At present sales of unit trust products are £14 billion [Source: UK Fund Industry Review Directory
1997 total gross retail sales]. 1% of £14 billion x 40% = £56 million. The increase in premia is smaller
than the difference between an upper quartile fund and an average fund.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Benefit: The exemption allows providers who are already in the CIS market,
but do not provide the whole spectrum of products, to access more
distribution channels for their CIS products.
Benefit: The scenario allows existing CIS providers to tie with competitors
and sell their products. This might heighten the efficiency of competition
both:
Effect on quantity
Benefit: If competition is heightened, and this lowers product prices, then the
quantity of CIS products sold should rise.
Benefit: The quantity sold through tied channels should rise as well, since:
Effect on quality
1. It might become possible for IFAs to sell products with high commission
(from providers with whom they have contractual links) to consumers
who believe that they are getting independent advice. In particular,
consumers may go to an IFA for general advice and not appreciate the
fact that swapping between products means that they are no longer
receiving independent advice based on surveying the whole market.
2. Products which are fairly substitutable might fall on either side of the
polarisation divide. E.g. unit trusts will be non-polarised and unit linked
bonds will be polarised. Advisers who are IFAs for unit linked bonds and
tied for unit trusts may be incentivised by providers to recommend that
the customer buys the unit trust. As a result, consumers might end up
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
buying the wrong product. We estimate the ongoing cost at £48 million
per annum.85
Cost: Consumers using a tied adviser who offers competing CIS products
might buy the wrong CIS product, but this appears unlikely, because:
Benefit: The quality of the CIS products produced by the distribution channel
providers who might sell their own CIS products alongside a competitorÕs
might improve with the exemption.
Benefit: The quality of the CIS products sold by the distribution channel
providers who are plugging gaps in their own portfolio, might improve.
Effect of variety
Benefit: New entrants can bring new CIS products to the market.
Benefit: Tied advisers can offer a wider CIS product range in a given product
category.
Benefit: Tied advisers can offer CIS products that they were hitherto unable
to offer.
• can tie with multiple providers for the same simplified product;
• can tie with different providers for different simplified products; and
85 Annually £40 billion of life and pensions business is written [FSA Returns] IFAs account for roughly
60% of these sales [Association of British Insurers]. Of this £24 billion (for the purposes of an upper
bound) we assume that one tenth are mis-sold CIS products. We assume those who are mis-sold bear
additional costs of 2% of premia through higher charges, resulting in a total cost of £48 million per
year. 2% of premia reflects the differences in RIY between pension and unit trusts.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
The CBA for this scenario is in some ways quite similar to that for Scenario 2.
The key differences are that:
• the potential for providers to confuse consumers and sell higher price
or lower quality products is lower in this scenario as compared to the
previous scenario.
Cost: The FSA would have to rewrite the polarisation rules. This is a one-off
cost. The FSA estimates that this cost will amount to approximately £40,000 as
above.87
Efficiency of competition
Benefit: The exemption lowers barriers to entry for providers who plan to
enter the simplified products market but do not plan to provide all products.
As a result, the efficiency of competition might improve.
87 The FSA expects to expend around 100 person days on rewriting the polarisation rules. Based on the
figures in the FSAÕs 1999/2000 budget, the cost of an average FSA person day has been estimated to be
£400. By implication the cost of 100 person days is estimated to be £40,000.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Benefit: The exemption allows providers who are already in the simplified
product market but do not provide the whole spectrum of products to access
more distribution channels for simple products. Two types of providers fall
into this category:
Benefit: The exemption allows simplified product providers who are already
in the market and selling a particular simplified product to tie-up with a
competitor and sell the competitorÕs product. As a result this might heighten
the efficiency of competition:
Effect on quantity
Benefit: The quantity sold through tied channels should rise as well, since:
Effect on quality
Cost: Research shows that at the moment consumers using IFAs largely
understand the difference between IFAs and tied advisers. However, this
scenario will allow advisers who are independent for complex products but
tied for simplified products to call themselves IFAs. This blurring of
distinction between independent and tied advice might create confusion. In
particular, it might become possible for advisers to sell products with high
commission (from providers with whom they have contractual links) to
consumers who believe that they are getting independent advice. In
particular, consumers may go to an IFA for general advice and not appreciate
the fact that swapping between products means that they are no longing
receiving independent advice based on surveying the whole market. While
this market outcome is possible, it is not obvious that there are incremental
costs arising from it. This is because (as explained in the market outcomes
section) it is not possible to charge very higher charges on simple products.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Effect on variety
Benefit: New entrants will bring new simplified products to the market.
Benefit: Tied advisers will be able to offer a wider simplified product range
in a given product category.
Benefit: Tied advisers will be able to offer simplified products that they were
hitherto unable to offer.
The benefits arising from this scenario are similar in nature to those from
Scenario 1. However, because tied advisers are allowed to tie to only one
producer per product, the benefits are smaller in magnitude than in Scenario
1.
Cost: The FSA would have to rewrite polarisation rules. This is a one-off cost.
The FSA estimates that this cost will be about £40,000.88
Cost: The FSA would have to monitor gap-filling to check there is only one
product in each product category. There is a one-off costs in defining the
product categories and one-going cost in monitoring providers.
Cost: Tied advisers would have to disclose contractual ties to the FSA. This is
an ongoing cost. However, it is not expected to be a significant incremental
cost because tied advisers already have to adhere to a similar obligation (they
have to disclose marketing group ties to the FSA).
88 The FSA expects to expend around 100 person days on rewriting the polarisation rules. Based on the
figures in the FSAÕs 1999/2000 budget, the cost of an average FSA person day has been estimated to be
£400. By implication the cost of 100 person days is estimated to be £40,000.
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Efficiency of competition
Benefit: Gap-filling also allows providers who are already in the market but
do not provide the whole spectrum of products to access more distribution
channels. As a result efficiency of competition might improve.
Benefit: Gap-filling allows providers who provide many, but not all,
products to plug gaps in their product portfolio without having to incur the
additional costs. As a result efficiency of competition might improve.
Benefit: Gap-filling allows providers who are already in the market, are
already selling a particular product, but are unhappy with its performance, to
tie-up with a competitor and sell the competitorÕs product instead (without
incurring the additional costs of re-insurance or outsourcing activities). As a
result less profitable products are likely to be taken off the market and
replaced by more profitable products. To the extent that this leads to the
removal of inefficient products from the market, efficiency of competition is
improved.
Effect on quantity
Benefit: The quantity sold through tied channels should rise as well, since:
Effect on quality
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Section 9 Appendix: Detailed CBA
Benefit: The quality of products sold by providers who have one or a few
products might improve. This is because these providers will now be
competing to seek the distribution channel providerÕs favour.
Effect on variety
Benefit: Tied advisers will be able to offer products that they were hitherto
unable to offer.
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