The India Employment Report
The India Employment Report
The India Employment Report
April 2017
Prepared by IMA India
Disclaimer
The India Employment Report contains IMA India’s analysis of data generated by several rounds of employment and
unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) in from 1999-00 to 2011-12, and
also includes analysis of relevant data from the Census of India, surveys conducted by the Labour Ministry and the Ministry
of Human Resource Development. The report is intended for solely for the internal use of subscribing companies including their
group and subsidiary companies.
The contents of this report are the intellectual property of IMA India. They are copyright protected and legally privileged.
Unauthorised copying, reproduction or distribution of the information contained in these slides would amount to an
infringement of law and would invite applicable penalties.
The contents of this document are accurate to the best of our knowledge and belief. However the presentation is intended only
to provide an overview of employment patterns and cannot become the only basis of determining strategy. IMA India cannot
assume responsibility for the outcome of decisions made on the research provided here. This is liable to change based on
developments in the political or economic environment within the Republic of India, or elsewhere.
• The greatest concern – and potential opportunity – lies in the fact of declining participation by women in
the workforce. Only 35% working age women were employed in 2015-16, compared to 61% of
working age men.
• Rural India has seen a decline both in growth and numbers – from 35% of total workforce to 29% and
from 101 mn to 95 mn. Urban India figures are a tad better – whilst participation has fallen from 22% to
18% of the total workforce, it has risen from 16 mn to 24 mn.
• The rural private sector saw declining women workforces, rising in the public sector, whilst urban India saw
the private sector double participation, but with no change in share of total workforce.
• This is despite the fact that they are better educated – the number of graduates and post graduates are
even by gender (3 mn each and 0.7 mn each respectively), and getting married later – 35% of urban
women marry after 25 years of age, and 17% of rural Indians do so. The bulk of this decline is attributed
to the fact that they are moving out of the labour force i.e. opting not to work, with most opting for
household duties. Many more are of course also studying
• In contrast almost the entire incremental male population between 2004-05 and 2011-12 across age groups
joined the workforce, excepting the age groups till 24 years, where they are opting for higher education.
• The answer is in the private sector because over half the employed women in urban areas are regular
salaried employees, a trend visible in no other segment.
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 8
Executive Summary: Better educated, but out of work
• The decade 2001-2011 added 31 mn graduates and post graduates to the potential workforce, and 110 mn
with secondary/higher secondary education (this is the fat middle comprising the bulk of India’s
workforces).
• Whilst falling year on year, there are still 447 mn illiterates in India – which, by linear projection, will fall,
but to a still high 306 mn by 2021. About 140 mn illiterates formed a third of the workforce in 2011-12.
Graduates and post-graduates, whilst they have increased by 50% (to 32 mn) and nearly doubled (to 12 mn)
respectively, in the period between 2004-05 and 2011-12, form less than a tenth of India’s workforces today.
• In the four years to 2015-16, 25 mn Indians completed their graduation and 6 mn their post
graduation.
• The most populous states have the greatest number of graduates and post-graduates. No state has more
than 8% of their workforce (Maharashtra) with this education profile. Massive UP has 5% of the total. This
study does not speak to the quality of education. Based purely on numbers, UP has almost 40 mn
graduates/post graduates (14.2 mn women), followed by Maharashtra at 34.6 mn (13.9 mn women),
• The technically skilled talent pool with formal education, either current or studying, is concentrated in
a few states – Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, West Bengal and UP.
• Technology as well as medical graduates are concentrated in the three southern capitals, Mumbai and Delhi.
Mumbai and Delhi have the highest concentration of other education profiles.
• A quarter of the 18 mn unemployed in India are graduates or post graduates. Nearly 15 mn grads and 4 mn
post grads are also opting not to work.
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 9
Executive Summary: The premium for skills
• Specialised courses have greater demand with much fewer from courses such as engineering, technology or
medical sciences unemployed, compared to those with humanities or science degrees. Illustratively, 50% of
those with humanities qualifications were employed in 2015-16, compared to 67.7% of medical students
and 61% engineering or technology graduates.
• Humanities is nonetheless the course subscribed to by the greatest number of students, with almost 10 mn
graduates added to the talent pool in three years till 2015-16, compared to 3 mn engineering or technology
grads. Many more of the latter are completing courses, with humanities reflecting a 6% de-growth
• Vocational training is catching up, with 10-15% of working age population in each age band today
vocationally trained. 78.3 mn Indians received vocational training in 2011-12, up massively from 45.3 mn
just two years prior. On the job training is the most active source of vocational training.
• Those vocationally trained are more employable than graduates, and also more keen to work. While 59% of
graduates were employed in 2011-12 and 26% had opted not to work, the corresponding figures for those
vocationally trained were 83% and 9%, respectively.
• Certain skill development streams are seeing higher levels of unemployment (computer trade for example –
which is the most preferred field) than others, whilst others, such as those trained in textile-related work,
printing technology or personal care are opting not to work.
• The mismatch between available jobs and job-seeker skill sets and experience is the key reason for
unemployment. A mismatch in remuneration expectations – most so in rural India – is the other
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 10
Executive Summary: The future – in linearity
• By 2021, there will be another 173 Indians added to the 19+ age group, massively expanding available
workforces and by corollary, the demand for jobs
• 117 more Indians will be urban (75 mn more will be rural), further accelerating the trend, and pressure, of
job creation in India’s urban centres
• 500 mn Indians will be employed, but 470 mn will opt not to work. The demand for employment will
intensify if these numbers change. Another 400 mn will be studying, creating the next big wave of talent.
The need to create the right academic curricula in line with tomorrow’s expectations is urgent.
• 75% of all graduates and post graduates will be accounted for by ten states, led by Maharashtra, UP, Andhra
and Karnataka.
• At 57%, the ‘out of labour force’ population is predominated by those illiterate; another 17% are those who
have studied just up to the primary level. These numbers are projected to go to 49% and 18% respectively -
again a need of the hour for policy makers and those in the education sector
Students & those not Uttar Pradesh India produced 6.3 mn graduates and 1.4
Employed,
seeking employment, 462.5, Maharashtra mn postgraduates in 2015. The US is expected
445.6, 48% 50% West Bengal to produce 1.9 mn graduates and 0.8 mn
Largest
Tamil Nadu employment postgraduates. Encouragingly, the share of women is
states half the total.
Bihar
Unemployed, Karnataka 3.2 Male Female
18, 2% Rajasthan
While the number of workers dipped from 466.8 mn in Andhra Pradesh
2011-12, the number of those who were either studying 3.1
(98.5 mn) or did not seek employment in 2011-12 Madhya Pradesh 0.74
Gujarat 0.67
(278.6) increased by 69 mn. The number of unemployed
too increased by about 8 mn. – a small number, but a Completed graduation Completed
postgraduation
76% increase in 4 years
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 13
Employment has stagnated over the past half decade
Trend in employment in India between 1999- The number of employed people increased by about 91 million (mn)
00 and 2015-16 (15 years & above age) between 1999-00 and 2015-16. However, both number of people
500 371.4 451.3 466.8 475.2 462.5 70% employed and their share in the total population have decreased steadily in
400
60% the last four years
50%
62.2% 54.7% 53.7%
300 60.3% 50.5% 40% Urban India added more people in the
30% The ratio of rural
200 workforce (in mn)
20% employment
100
10%
declined from 3.5
0 0%
times urban
350
1999-00 2004-05 2011-12 2013-14 2015-16 employment in 343 336 327
290
Number of employed people (mn) 2004-05 to 2.4
Employed as % of age group population (right axis)
times in 2015-16
81 100
123 139 135
Between 1999-00 and 2015-16, about 1.5 times more people were
employed in the urban areas than in rural areas. The urban workforce 1999-00 2004-05 2011-12 2013-14 2015-16
increased at a much faster 3.3% CAGR compared to 0.8% of the rural Rural Urban
workforce.
Notably, the increased rate of employment in the urban areas has been accompanied with greater number of people with higher education. For instance,
between 2001 and 2011, the urban areas produced 82 mn graduates and postgraduates, double the number in rural areas. Moreover, the pool of
graduates and postgraduates in urban areas is also double that of the pool in rural areas (184 mn and 89 mn, respectively, in 2011).
© IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, Labour Bureau, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 14
Economic establishments* are growing faster in urban areas
Number of establishments
(mn, % share)
The growth in number of establishments was faster in urban areas (47.13%)
compared to rural areas (38.37%) between 2005 and 2013, indicating the
increasing importance of urban areas as centres of job growth.
Urban Rural
establishments, establishments,
23.7, 41% 34.8, 59%
24% 25% 6 of the 9 mn+ cities between 2001-11 are in the Mumbai or
22%
(18) (18)
(18) Older megacities – Delhi ambit; the next mn+ are more diversified
indicating near saturation
Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Bhopal, Chennai, Delhi,
in employment
Hyderabad, Greater Mumbai, Indore, Jaipur, Kanpur,
1993-94 2004-05 2011 opportunities Kolkata, Lucknow, Ludhiana, Nagpur, Pune, Surat,
Thane, Vadodara
Note: According to 1991 Census there were 18 cities with more than a million
population. The number increased to 27 in 2001 Census and 46 in 2011 Census
(excluding urban agglomerations, which were 7 in number).
Source: Census, NSSO, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 16
…emerging as employment growth hubs
Distribution of million plus cities by size of workforce and growth in employment
between 2001 and 2011
25% Growth in employment
between 2001 and 2011 Maharashtra has had the most optimal mix of both quantum of
(CAGR)
20% Hyderabad
mn-plus cities and growth in employment. Secularly, Kerala has the
Kalyan-
Pimpri-
Thane Dombivali maximum number of million plus cities (8), followed by UP (7),
Chinchwad
15% Indore Maharashtra (6), Madhya Pradesh (5) and Gujarat (4)
Nashik
Ghaziabad
10% Navi Lucknow
Bangalore
Mumbai Jaipur
Surat
5% Agra Ahmadabad
Pune
Faridabad Delhi
Kolkata Chennai
0%
Patna
0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000
Nagpur
Kalyan- Kanpur
-5% Vadodara Number of main workers* in each city
Dombivali Mumbai
Howrah
Ludhiana Nashik
-10%
*Main workers: persons who worked for 6 months or more during the past one year
-15%
Not only have the number of people employed in the NREGA stagnated, but the number of households who obtained work for 100
days have been low. The numbers have risen slightly since 2014 under the new government
Source: NSSO, Labour Bureau, MGNREGA, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 18
Self-employment remains the predominant form of employment…
…although the greatest growth is being registered in the regular salaried class
Trend in type of employment, 14+ years Among the three different types of workers, regular
age group (mn)
100% salaried employees registered the greatest increase in
90% number in the past decade, increasing its share in
130.2
80% 19 149.2 employment from 14% in 2004-05 to 21% in 2015-
70% 16; the share of casual labourers also registered a
60% 64.9
34 98.9 mild increase from 29% to 33% during the same
50%
period
40%
30%
20% 256.1 214.4
-41.7 * Self-employed are those who operate their own farm or non-farm
10%
enterprises or are engaged independently in a profession or trade on own-account
0%
2004-05 2015-16 or with one or a few partners. Casual wage labourers are those who are
casually engaged in others’ farm or non-farm enterprises (both household and
Self-employed Regular Salaried Casual Labourer
non- household) and, in return, received wages according to the terms of the
daily or periodic work contract
Source: NSSO, Labour Bureau, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 19
Concealed unemployment is a problem of high magnitude, with
a high share of the workforce being employed for short periods
According to Census data of 2011, 40% of working women were employed for less than half a
year; the corresponding share for men was 13%
Short-term, or temporary employment is more
pronounced among women
Employment numbers shrink if those Employment by tenure 2011 Employment by tenure 2011
who did not work for most part of a (among men, in mn) (among women, in mn)
year, or those who took up temporary 9.2
46.6
employment as a secondary activity are 46.6
270.5
11.2
More than 6 months Less than 3 months More than 6 months Less than 3 months
Note: Short-term employment (employed for 6 months or less); Between 3-6 months Between 3-6 months
459
465
force – employed part-time was as high as 68 mn
467
433
430
451
409
383
since then.
The decline in the number of people who take up a job as a part-time activity accompanied by an increase in the number of people
employed for most part of a year shows more people are being absorbed in the work force.
*Source: NSSO, Labour Bureau, IMA analysis; 14+ years age . Numbers do not tally with Census data due to differences in methodology and sample.
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 21
About 63 mn people, who are considered employed do not get
paid in cash or kind, with the problem more acute in rural areas
Composition of self-employed Composition of self-employed
workers in rural areas, 2015-16 (mn, workers in urban areas, 2015-16 (mn,
%) %)
Helper in Helper in
household household
enterprise, 9.9 ,
enterprise, 52.9 ,
33% 18% A third of the self-employed
in rural areas work without
Employer, any regular wages; the urban
1.2 , 2% areas in comparison show a
greater concentration of ‘own
Employer, account workers’*
1.0 , 1% Own account
Own account
worker, 44.7 ,
worker, 106.6 ,
66%
80% Source: Labour Bureau, IMA analysis
Combining the 18 mn unemployed with 63 mn employed but with no wages, unemployment stands at about 18% of
the total workforce of 462.5 mn. In addition, another 26 million work only part-time, and over 110 mn have been in
the workforce for less than six months. New additions can only explain one segment of the challenge.
* Category of self-employed workers who operate their enterprises on their own account or with one or a few partners, but without hiring any labour. Unpaid family
workers are mostly family members who are engaged in their household enterprises, working full or part-time, but without receiving any regular salary or wages
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 22
The situation, although grim, is however showing gradual
improvement from a decade ago
* Category of self-employed workers who operate their enterprises on their own account or with one or a few
partners, but without hiring any labour. Helpers in household enterprises are mostly family members who are
engaged in their household enterprises, working full or part-time, but without receiving any regular salary or wages
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 23
Self-employed workers – the largest share of workers – face the
most uncertain and difficult job environment
…as they constitute the bulk of informal sector employment…
Concentration of
self-employed
workers in the
informal sector In contrast, the predominant form
of employment in the
Government sector as well as the
private sector is regular salaried
Incremental employment
between 2004-05 and 2011-12 (mn)
Between 2004-05 and 2011-12, the informal sector
Informal sector 25.7 absorbed about 4 times the number of incremental
workers employed by the government and public sector,
and 3 times the number of workers added by the private
Formal private sector 9.1 sector
Cooperatives, NGOs,
7.7
SHGs
Compared to rural
areas, more people in
cities and towns are
employed in relatively
larger organisations
Increase in employment
Change in number of people employed
50.00
47.2 Total employment in 2015-16
37.1
33.8 33.5 All figures in mn 40.00
27.6 27
24.3 24.3 30.00
23.2
0.31
0.45
4.59
0.95
0.15
1.97
0.92
0.11
0.36
1.64
0.08
5.52
1.09
0.02
0.01
9.89
7.53
3.09
1.53
(0.18)
9.81
1.02
2.26
(0.01)
5.77
(0.20)
HP (0.61)
0.02
0.08
(10.00)
Gujarat
WB
Kar
Odisha
Kerala
Sikkim
AP
J'khand
Delhi
Meghalaya
UP
Punjab
Rajasthan
Mah
Bihar
Manipur
Mizoram
ArP
P'cherry
Chh'garh
U'khand
Tripura
MP
Assam
J&K
Goa
Haryana
TN
N'land
Source: Labour Bureau, NSSO, IMA analysis © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 30
…led by varying sources of employment
Maharashtra
registered the highest
increase in the
formal private sector
employment, higher
than the increase in
the informal sector,
followed by
Karnataka, Tamil
Nadu and Gujarat.
Of particular concern,
however, is the slow or negative
growth in the most populous
states in the country, such as
Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh
and Madhya Pradesh
1991-2001 2001-2011
Figures within brackets indicate percentage share of total
population increase
Over 1 0.1 - 1 Over 1 mn 0.1 - 1 Over 1 0.1 - 1 mn Number of villages 593,732 597,608
mn mn mn mn
The most striking feature of urbanisation in India is its
2001 35 359 108.3 mn 88.1 mn 38% 31%
concentration in a few cities. Urban agglomerations and
2011 53 415 160.7 mn 104.2 mn 43% 28% cities with over 100,000 population accounted for 71%
of all urban population in 2011.
While the population in million plus cities increased by
Distribution of villages by their population class (%) 48% between 2001 and 2011, this increase accounted for
56.7% 58% of the increase in India’s total urban population.
% share of total number of villages
% share of rural population 58% of the rural population are located in 20% of the
34.6% villages, which are relatively bigger in size, enabling
23.7% targeted marketing. Of these, nearly 73 mn live in villages
23.3% with more than 10,000 population each.
18.1% 16.1% 14.9%
8.7%
3.1% 0.8% This contrast in dispersion and concentration represents the
need for continued duality in marketing/distribution
Less than 1,000 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000-9,999 10,000 and more strategies. Rural India continues to demand strong
Villages by population class distribution capability/sharing of infrastructure.
Source: Census, IMA analysis © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 36
Migration has more than doubled in the past decade
The share of employment as the reason for migration in
India increased from 8.2% in 1991 to 10.2% in 2011
453.6
Trend in migration for
1991 2001 2011 employment (in mn) Migration caused by
314.5
46.4 employment has increased at a
1991 2001 2011
faster rate of 4.7% CAGR
225.9 29.9 between 1991 and 2011, than the
3.5% rate of total migration
18.4
Short-term/temporary workers
agriculture sector
short-term workers in
151 mn agriculture and the
The agriculture Services 2 mn construction sector
sector also employed 33% demonstrate the importance
the maximum of seasonal and
number of short- 53 mn decentralised requirement
term and temporary Construction 4 mn of labour; and the risk
workers, followed by 11% they carry without a social
the construction security net
sector 48 mn
Manufa
cturing 1 mn
10%
Source: NSSO, Labour Bureau, IMA analysis © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 41
At 180.7 mn people, the informal sector is the biggest job
creator…
…followed with a lag by the government (30.5 mn) and private sectors (19.2 mn)
2004-05 – 155; 2011-12 – 180.7 2004-05 – 23.6; 2011-12 – 30.5 2004-05 – 10.1; 2011-12 – 19.2
Fishing and
Crop and aquaculture,
animal 1.64, 1%
production,
217.11, 99%
Forestry and
logging, 0.65,
0%
Source: Census 2011. A cultivator is a person who is engaged in cultivation of Government, institutional or private land in exchange of payment.
An agricultural labourer is a person who works on another person's land for wages and has no right of lease or contract on that land.
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 46
Relatively higher share of employment in the public and the
private sector is limited to a few states
Formal private
sector employment
shows the maximum
concentration in
fewer states, with the
top 10 states
accounting for 81%
of employment
Maharashtra
registered the highest
increase in the
formal private sector
employment, higher
than the increase in
the informal sector,
followed by
Karnataka, Tamil
Nadu and Gujarat.
Information & Information & Information & Transportation & storage Construction (0.12 mn)
communication (0.44 mn) communication (0.31 mn) communication (0.55 mn) (0.09 mn)
Financial services (0.34 mn) Financial services (0.15 mn) Wholesale & retail trade (0.13 Information & Information &
mn) communication (0.07 mn) communication (0.11 mn)
Construction (0.28 mn) Wholesale & retail trade (0.14 Administrative support (0.08 Financial services (0.05 mn) Wholesale & retail trade (0.11
mn) mn) mn)
Transportation & storage Administrative support (0.08 Education (0.06 mn) Wholesale & retail trade (0.04 Administrative support (0.09
(0.25 mn) mn) mn) mn)
Wholesale & retail trade (0.25 Transportation & storage Financial services (0.05 mn) Construction (0.03 mn) Transportation & storage
mn) (0.06 mn) (0.09 mn)
Administrative support (0.14 Construction (0.05 mn) Construction (0.05 mn) Administrative support (0.02 Financial services (0.07 mn)
mn) mn)
Education (0.10 mn) Education (0.05 mn) Professional & technical Electricity, gas & water supply Mining (0.07 mn)
services (0.04 mn) (0.02 mn)
Professional & technical Real Estate (0.03 mn) Health (0.04 mn) Health (0.02 mn) Education (0.06 mn)
services (0.10 mn)
Health (0.05 mn) Hospitality (0.03 mn) Mining (0.03 mn) Mining (0.01 mn) Health (0.05 mn)
Construction (0.10 mn) Financial services (0.12 mn) Information & Construction (0.18 mn) Construction (0.16 mn)
communication (0.11 mn)
Financial services (0.08 mn) Construction (0.11 mn) Construction (0.05 mn) Transportation & storage Wholesale & retail trade (0.08
(0.05 mn) mn)
Administrative support (0.07 Wholesale & retail trade (0.06 Financial services (0.03 mn) Education (0.03 mn) Education (0.06 mn)
mn) mn)
Information & Transportation & storage Wholesale & retail trade (0.03 Information & Financial services (0.05 mn)
communication ((0.07 mn) (0.06 mn) mn) communication (0.03 mn)
Wholesale & retail trade (0.07 Information & Transportation & storage Wholesale & retail trade (0.03 Mining (0.03 mn)
mn) communication ((0.05 mn) (0.03 mn) mn)
Mining (0.05 mn) Professional & technical Education (0.02 mn) Administrative support (0.02 Transportation & storage
services (0.04 mn) mn) (0.03 mn)
Professional & technical Administrative support (0.04 Health (0.01 mn) Hospitality (0.02 mn) Information &
services (0.03 mn) mn) communication (0.02 mn)
Transportation & storage Health (0.03 mn) Professional & technical Electricity, gas & water Administrative support (0.02
(0.02 mn) services (0.01 mn) supply (0.02 mn) mn)
Education (0.02 mn) Electricity, gas & water Administrative support (0.003 Financial services (0.02 mn) Electricity, gas & water
supply (0.03 mn) mn) supply (0.01 mn)
Source: NSSO, IMA analysis © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 54
Top states by formal private sector employment, industry
sector-wise, 2011-12 (in ‘000)
Manufacturing Professional & scientific Construction
services
Maharashtra 1,921.03 Maharashtra 104.07 Maharashtra 279.12
Top ten states. For full list, see appendix © IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 55
Top states by formal private sector employment, industry
sector-wise, 2011-12 (in ‘000)
Information & Financial services Wholesale & retail
communication
Karnataka 245.60 Maharashtra 335.94 Maharashtra 245.60
Top ten states. For full list, see appendix © IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 56
Top states by formal private sector employment, industry
sector-wise, 2011-12 (in ‘000)
Transportation & storage Hospitality Real Estate
Top ten states. For full list, see appendix © IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 57
Top states by formal private sector employment, industry
sector-wise, 2011-12 (in ‘000)
Administrative & support Education Electricity, gas, water,
services sewage, waste
Maharashtra 136.09 Maharashtra 104.42 Maharashtra 42.62
Top ten states. For full list, see appendix © IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 58
Employment: The supply side
Govt./PSU 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.86 (7%) 2.39 (2%) Govt./PSU 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.01 0.40
(12%) (0.4%)
Private sector 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.83 (4%) 1.34 (1%) Private sector 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.09
(11%) 0.57 (1%)
Cooperatives, non- 0.02 0.10 Cooperatives, non- 0.90 0.07
0.00 0.00 0.73 (1%) 0.00 0.00
profit (0.02%) (0.09%) profit 0.05 (32%) (1%) (0.1%)
0.20 0.25 0.79 0.09
Domestic help 0.00 0.00 0.00 Domestic help 0.00 0.00 0.00
(0.2%) (0.2%) (1%) (0.1%)
0.15 0.03 0.14 1.13
Others 1.21 (1%) 0.00 0.80 (1%) 6.01 (6%) Others
(0.1%) 0.76 (1%) (0.03%) (0.1%) (1%) 1.62 (2%)
Total 35.64 (34%) 0.95 (1%) 5.10 (5%) 24.40 (23%) 40.15 (38%) Total 6.15 45.25
31.40 (32%) 2.62 (3%) (6%) (46%) 14.01 (14%)
Own account workers are those who operate their enterprises on their own account or with one or a few partners, but without hiring any labour. Helpers in household enterprises are mostly
family members who are engaged in their household enterprises, working full or part-time, but without receiving any regular salary or wages
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 63
Source: NSSO, IMA analysis
Over half the employed women in urban areas are regular salaried
workers
Employment of women in rural areas, 2011-12 (mn) Employment of women in urban areas, 2011-12 (mn)
(% within brackets denote share of total urban employment) (% within brackets denote share of total urban employment)
Own account Regular Casual Own account Regular Casual
Employer Helper Employer Helper
worker salaried labour worker salaried labour
Informal sector 7.14 (31%) 0.10 (0.4%) 3.77 (16%) 1.49 (6%) 4.17 (18%) Informal sector 4.78 (23%) 0.08 (0.4%) 2.56 (12%) 3.17 (15%) 1.65 (8%)
Govt./PSU 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.78 (12%) 1.45 (6%) Govt./PSU - - - 3.14 (15%) 0.08 (0.4%)
Private sector 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 (2%) 0.15 (1%) Private sector - - - 1.76 (9%) 0.11 (1%)
Domestic help 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 (3%) 0.15 (1%) Domestic help - - - 1.71 (8%) 0.27 (1%)
Others 0.16 (1%) 0.00 0.11 (0.5%) 0.10 (0.4%) 0.62 (3%) Others 0.08 (32%) - 0.02 (0.1%) 0.41 (2%) 0.22 (1%)
Total 7.31 (31%) 0.10 (0.4%) 3.88 (17%) 5.49 (24%) 6.55 (28%) Total 4.87 (24%) 0.08 (0.4%) 2.58 (13%) 10.78 (52%) 2.35 (11%)
Own account workers are those who operate their enterprises on their own account or with one or a few partners, but without hiring any labour. Helpers in household enterprises are mostly
family members who are engaged in their household enterprises, working full or part-time, but without receiving any regular salary or wages
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 64
Source: NSSO, IMA analysis
The share of women in employment has declined primarily on
account of their moving out of labour force
In 2011-12, 36% more women (~66 mn) than in 2004-05, in the working age group chose not to work
The largest decline occurred in the age group between 35 and 54, where the number of women out of
labour force in each of the 5-yrs age groups increased by 50% or more
2004-05 (mn) 2011-12 (mn)
100% 100%
90% 90% 15.8
80% 16.7 80% 63.6
76.0 16.9 13.7 12.4 10.1
70% 26.0 24.7 19.6 15.2 70% 32.6 33.6 28.1 25.3 21.2 18.6 15.3
9.7 20.4
60% 60% 13.5
18.8 25.8
50% 19.6 50%
40% 3.5 40% 33.9
30% 95.3 30% 113.4 8.0
20% 19.0 19.4 20.2 15.3 12.8 8.9 20% 17.8 14.8 12.4 8.8
10.0 15.9 16.3
10% 13.0 16.2 3.5 10% 13.1 9.1
3.7
2.4 7.6 2.3
0% 3.9 0% 1.6
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-60
61-65
above 65
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-60
61-65
above 65
0-14
0-14
Age group Age group
Employed Unemployed Studying OLF Employed Unemployed Studying OLF
OLF : out of labour force (not including students) © IMA India, 2017 Source: NSSO, IMA analysis www.ima-india.com 65
The number of women who chose not to seek employment
increased by 38% in rural areas and 32% in urban areas
This trend assumes greater significance in view of the fact that number of women employed
declined by 20% in rural areas and increased marginally – by 8% - in urban areas
Contribution of each occupation status to changes in Contribution of each occupation status to changes in
different age groups of rural women between 2004-05 different age groups of urban women between 2004-
and 2011-12 05 and 2011-12
39%
67%
128% 133% 132% 120% 148%
98% 102% 92% 95% 84% 82% 87% 99% 94% 100%
1652% 199% 263% 274% 200% 124% 155%
-1806% -12%
-6% -29%
0-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-60 61-65 above 0-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-60 61-65 above
65 65
Employed Unemployed Studying Out of labour force Employed Unemployed Studying Out of labour force
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-60
61-65
above 65
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-60
61-65
above 65
0-14
0-14
Employed Age group Studying
Unemployed OLF Employed Age group
Unemployed Studying OLF
OLF : out of labour force (not including students) Source: NSSO, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 67
Almost the whole incremental male population between 2004-05
and 2011-12 across age groups joined the workforce
The only exception to this trend are the below 19 years age group in both rural and urban areas (also, the 20-24 years
age group in urban India), where there has been a massive move towards continuing higher education
Contribution of each occupation status to changes in Contribution of each occupation status to changes in
different age groups of rural women between 2004-05 different age groups of urban women between 2004-
and 2011-12 05 and 2011-12
3% 1%
2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 9% 2% 0% 1% 3% 7%
33% 26%
54% 63%
77%
101%
88%
101%
103%
99%
63%
97%
94%
89%
131% 170%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
94%
91%
37%
11%
74%
74%
22%
66%
-2% -1%
46%
-60%
-26%
30%
-3%
0-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-60 61-65 above 0-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-60 61-65 above
65 65
Employed Unemployed Studying Out of labour force Employed Unemployed Studying Out of labour force
56%
Educational levels of women getting married in the decade between 2001 (190 mn) 62%
and 2011 increased, but not commensurately with the increase in the age (239 mn) 55%
53%
(73 mn)
of marriage (96 mn)
30%
Among the 72 mn increase in the number of women who (100 mn) 21%
(81 mn)
15% 12%
(21 mn)
married between 20-25 years of age, only 8 mn completed (19 mn)
graduation or postgraduation. The corresponding number 2001 rural 2011 rural 2001 urban 2011 urban
among the 42 mn more women who married after attaining 26 Less than 20 years 20-25 years 26 years and above
years age was a little higher at 12 mn. Source: Census, IMA analysis
Number of illiterates
has declined fast, with
a concomitant increase
in the population
segment with middle to
higher secondary
education. The growth
in the number of
graduates and
postgraduates has been
sluggish.
5% of
5% of population
population Source: Census, IMA analysis
Numbers in million and & %
distribution between men and women © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 76
Technically skilled talent pool with formal education is
concentrated in a few states
Top 5 states by technical degree Top 5 states by technical Top 5 states by technical degree Top 5 states by technical
account for 62% of employable diplomas account for 59% of students account for 75% of diploma students account for
talent pool employable talent pool employable talent pool 59% of employable talent pool
Employable talent pool Employable talent pool Number of students Number of students
with technical degree* with diploma/certificate pursuing technical pursuing diploma/certificate
(in ‘000) in technical subjects* (in degree courses* (in ‘000) courses in technical
547 528 ‘000) subjects* (in ‘000)
134
113
371 1,008 93
78 67
563 60 58
179 171 479 405 46 39
305 39
Maharashtra
Maharashtra
Tamil Nadu
Tamil Nadu
Andhra Pradesh
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Karnataka
West Bengal
Uttar Pradesh
Maharashtra
Tamil Nadu
Maharashtra
Gujarat
Tamil Nadu
Andhra Pradesh
Andhra Pradesh
West Bengal
Uttar Pradesh
Uttar Pradesh
Source: NSSO, IMA analysis; *Technical subjects include engineering & technology, agriculture, medicine, etc.
Data pertains to 2011-12
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 77
Top 25 cities with engineering and technology graduates and
postgraduates, 2011
Bangalore, 454
Hyderabad, 264
Gurgaon, 40
Greater Mumbai, 185
Chennai, 204 Pune, 150 Coimbatore, 38
Lucknow, 51 Faridabad, 33
Bhopal, 41 Indore, 33
Kolkata, 58 Ghaziabad, 50
Visakhapatnam, 50 Thane, 34
Numbers in thousands; for list of top 100 cities see appendix Source: Census, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 78
Top 25 cities with medicine graduates and postgraduates, 2011
Greater Mumbai, 58
Bangalore, 49
Hyderabad, 46
Delhi , 44 Bhopal, 8
Numbers in thousands; for list of top 100 cities see appendix Source: Census, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 79
Top 25 cities with graduates in subjects other than engineering,
technology and medicine, 2011
Delhi, 1,411
Ghaziabad, 168
Bangalore, 793
Hyderabad, 602
Kolkata, 618 Thane, 155
Ahmadabad, 506
Lucknow, 342 Kalyan Dombivali , 145
Jaipur, 287 Bhopal, 139
Chennai, 434
Surat, 190 Ranchi, 138
Pune, 330 Visakhapatnam, 138
Kanpur, 271
Patna, 211
Vadodara, 170 Guwahati , 132
Nagpur, 204 Ludhiana , 136
Indore, 173 Allahabad , 137
Numbers in thousands; for list of top 100 cities see appendix Source: Census, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 80
Top 25 cities with postgraduates in subjects other than
engineering, technology and medicine, 2011
Delhi, 510
Numbers in thousands; for list of top 100 cities see appendix Source: Census, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 81
The transformation reflects in the educational profile of the
workforce…
Educational qualification of workforce: Rural & Between 2004-05 and 2011-
Urban India 12, 10 mn g raduates and 5
6.73 11.98 mn postg raduates were
100%
95% 21.20 31.56 Postgraduate added to the workforce
90% 6.83
85% 6.87
80% Graduate
75% 129.29
70%
65% 163.94 The share of illiterates still account
60% Diploma/
55% Certificate for nearly a third of those
50% 109.66
45% Up to higher employed. The share of graduates
40% 110.61
35% secondary and postgraduates has nearly
30%
25% Up to primary doubled in two decades, but they
20% 172.49
15% 139.46 account for less than a tenth of the
10%
5% Illiterate workforce.
0%
2004-05 2011-12
Source: NSSO, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 82
Workers in the informal sector are characterised by the low levels
of higher education
The education profile:
• Informal sector: Less than 10% are graduates; nearly 90%are educated only up to the primary and
higher secondary level
• The formal sector: 30% are graduates and above; but over 66% are still at the level of primary and
higher secondary education
Nearly half of the g raduates and over 40% of the postg raduates in both rural and urban
areas are out of the workforce
Graduates constitute a quarter of the unemployed
Share of each educational qualification labour force and the postgraduates another tenth
level in employment, 2015-16 (%) Nearly 15 mn graduates and 4 mn postgraduates
are not even seeking employment
59.7
58.9
57.9
54.7
54.6
52.2
51.7
51.2
51.1
48.3
46.4
46.4
45.5
43.2
42.6
41.4
38.2
35.6
33.6
37
Rural Urban
Between 2012-13 and 2015-16, nearly 25 mn people completed their g raduation and 6 mn
completed their studies at postg raduation or higher level
1999-2000 2011-12
83%
68% 74%
57% 65% 64%
52%
43% 42% 47%
34% 42% 40% 39% 38% 38% 37%
28% 25% 24% 33% 30% 30%
21% 21% 21% 19% 20%
13%
9%
Electrical and…
Electrical and…
Professional services
Communication
Automotive (M)
Community
Real Estate
Financial services
Petrochem (M)
IT
Publishing (M)
Professional services
Automotive (M)
Public utility
Communication
Real Estate
Financial services
Petrochem (M)
Trade
Education
IT
Publishing (M)
54%
Healthcare & social work
33%
Oil & gas
25%
R&D
Electrical and Electronics
21%20%
Public utility
Education
15%15%14%
Professional services
Publishing
12%10%
Public admin & defence
Petrochem
1999-2000
Communication
Financial services 8% 8% 6%
Paper
Other Manufacturing
Real Estate
Automotive (S)
Transport
Mining
5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3%
IT
41%
Communication
14%
Public utility
Professional services
Share of employees with technical education among various industry sectors
Petrochem
12%11%10%
…and some are recruiting more with technical skills
Publishing
Oil & gas
2011-12
Paper
Financial services
Pharma
These numbers reflect graduates/post graduates only from technical courses – technology, medicine etc
Community
9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8%
Other Manufacturing
www.ima-india.com 89
66.5%
8% 7% (5.8)
61.3%
59.0%
54.9%
(3.5)
48.0%
45.3%
44.6%
19%
41.9%
22%
37.8%
(14.5)
29.9%
27.4%
27.3%
(10.0)
25.3%
23.0%
22.8%
22.2%
22.1%
21.8%
21.6%
20.3%
20.0%
19.4%
19.1%
18.3%
16.3%
15.3%
14.7%
13.3%
11.8%
30%
5.7%
23%
5.4%
4.9%
3.6%
3.4%
3.2%
2.4%
(10.4) (23.5)
Receiving formal training Received formal training On-the-job training Other non-formal training
47% 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-60
44%
(21.3) 2011-12
61%
(34.4)
58%
53%
51%
45%
44%
38%
35%
34%
34%
31%
31%
30%
29%
29%
29%
26%
25%
24%
23%
2009-10 2011-12
21%
21%
17%
15%
15%
14%
13%
13%
12%
Receiving formal training
7%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
1%
Obtaining vocational
Graduate & above: 2009-10 Graduate & above: 2011-12 training can be
Studying
OLF OLF
26%
considered to be one
22%
8% Studying explanatory factor for the
10% predominance of the
Employed Employed secondary educated in
Unemployed 64% Unemployed 59% the employed population
6% 5%
Caveat: Education and employment are social and economic choices which depend on a number of complex variables, which future
projections uncertain. The projections used in this report are based on the assumption that the conditions which shaped the employment
scenario from 2004-05 to 2011-12 will continue up to 2020-21. This of course is an overtly simplistic assumption which is useful only
to the extent to understand how the near-term future might look like if the present policies and other conditions continue.
Ageing population to exert greater employment demand
2021
Rapid urbanisation
Graduate,
2.5, 23% Graduate,
4.0, 25%
Up to HS, Up to HS,
Diploma/ 4.7, 44% Diploma/ 5.8, 36%
Certificate, Certificate,
0.6, 6% 0.8, 5%
In the ranking of
states by number of
people employed,
Rajasthan,
Chhattisgarh,
Jharkhand and
Himachal Pradesh
will register
improvements, while
Madhya Pradesh,
Kerala, Punjab
and Uttarakhand
will see a decline
For 2011-12 data, see appendix © IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 104
Appendix: Data tables & methodology
Employment by states, 2015-16 (1)
Rural Urban Total
Male Female Total population
employment employment employment
Andhra Pradesh 18,321,699 5,467,389 14,687,171 9,013,011 23,789,088 39,452,512
Arunachal Pradesh 495,570 105,706 367,760 234,826 601,276 1,017,091
Assam 9,929,045 1,751,317 8,592,813 2,768,436 11,680,362 23,132,714
Bihar 29,752,267 3,649,627 26,991,213 5,743,225 33,401,894 69,294,589
Chhattisgarh 10,532,872 2,344,086 7,740,452 5,044,902 12,876,958 19,606,224
Delhi 104,939 5,523,211 4,739,902 765,974 5,628,149 13,850,415
Goa 179,650 366,992 428,187 130,750 546,642 1,222,913
Gujarat 13,353,421 9,280,658 18,359,033 4,211,760 22,634,079 47,392,304
Haryana 5,836,884 3,064,745 7,193,851 1,710,213 8,901,628 20,151,381
Himachal Pradesh 2,004,839 248,842 1,825,603 416,715 2,253,681 5,527,579
Jammu & Kashmir 2,279,617 1,121,741 3,060,004 356,542 3,401,358 9,228,341
Jharkhand 12,302,637 2,676,267 9,516,734 5,308,028 14,978,904 23,482,825
Karnataka 17,126,984 10,243,430 19,086,863 8,092,519 27,370,413 49,754,850
Kerala 5,469,776 7,244,138 9,076,110 3,550,937 12,713,914 28,280,269
Madhya Pradesh 17,792,147 6,199,343 19,347,491 4,353,935 23,991,491 54,175,639
Maharashtra 29,098,526 16,696,423 32,292,406 13,421,752 45,794,949 90,435,771
Manipur 1,014,970 365,846 829,037 553,358 1,380,815 2,275,456
Meghalaya 1,002,877 258,713 752,966 503,949 1,261,589 2,022,291
Mizoram 270,201 277,097 312,312 238,524 547,299 828,209
Nagaland 573,955 267,658 480,718 358,428 841,613 1,358,801
Source: Labour Bureau, IMA analysis
© IMA India, 2017 www.ima-india.com 106
Employment by states, 2015-16 (2)
All calculations in this report are based on unit level (raw) data compiled by the National Sample
Survey Organisation (NSSO), Census data tables and reports published by the Labour Bureau,
Central Statistics Office of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, and the
Ministry of Human Resource Development. All NSSO data used in this report have been
normalised with the Census data for standardisation. However, in view of the different sampling
methods and sizes used by the different organisations, there is unavoidable variation in the data
in a few slides, although not significant to influence the inferences drawn from the trend analysis.