GD Topics
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GD Topics
Bharatmala Pariyojana: Boost to Infrastructure
Development
This is a centrally sponsored road and highways
project of Government of India. A total investment
of ₹5.35 lakh crore to lay 83677 km or roads and
highways all over the country. The plan includes
National Corridors, Economic Corridors and is
expected to be completed by 2022. This points to
better infrastructure in future which will provide
better connectivity and hence better growth.
Transport and Shipping Minister Nitin Gadkari said,
“Our infrastructure plan will contribute 2-3% to the
GDP and will create 2 lakh crore jobs.”
North East Industrial Development Scheme
(NEIDS) 2017: Generating Employment in NE
States
NEIDS was launched in March 2017 by the Cabinet
with a financial outlay of ₹3000 crores up to March
2020. Government is primarily focusing on MSME
sector through this scheme to increase employment
in the north eastern states. The policy provides for
Central Comprehensive Insurance Incentive (CCII)
which entails 100% reimbursement of insurance
premium on insurance of building, plant and
machinery for 5 years.
Indian Economy 2018-19: Signs of Backward
Moving Economy
Demonetization: GDP Growth Hampered
The demonetization of ₹500 and ₹1000 notes done
in November 2016 by the Prime Minister Shri
Narendra Modi had a variety of motives including
wiping out the black money from the country,
making people to pay taxes for the unaccounted cash
locked away, prevent terrorism and to promote
digital finance and a cashless economy. This step
caused lot of disruption in the Indian economic
growth. According to RBI reports 99% of the money
has been deposited back, which tells that most of the
black money was not stored in form of cash. RBI
reports suggest that demonetization may not have
affected black money hoarding but has increased tax
compliance. The Personal Income Tax Collection in
2016-17 rising to 21% and further 25% in 2017-18
according to CBDT. However, the impacts are being
faced by small bread earners, MSMEs that used to
deal mainly in cash and were not prepared for such a
situation.
Unemployment: Still a Problem
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE),
estimated that nearly 1.5 million people lost jobs
between January and April 2017. The State of
Working India (SWI) 2018 report said,
“Unemployment levels have been steadily rising,
and after several years of staying around 2-3%, the
headline rate of unemployment reached 5% in 2015,
with youth unemployment being a very high 16%.
This rate of unemployment is the highest seen in
India in at least the last 20 years.” According to a
survey conducted by CMIE, there are about 31
million unemployed youth in the country as of
February 2018.
Declining Profits: Slowing Indian Economic
Growth
The quarterly profits of companies are below
expectations and have seen a decline as compared to
the past years. Apart from Fast Moving Consumer
Goods or FMCG products, the other sectors such as
steel, pharmaceuticals etc have seen a grave decline
in their profits which does not bode well for the
economic condition of our country. TCS recorded a
3.6% decline in quarterly profit, Wipro saw a 6.6%
decline and HPCL 10.4%. These are just few of
many in the same boat.
Stock Market Falls: Result of Declining Rupee
Value
On 4th October 2018 the Stock Market’s BSE
benchmark Sensex saw a historical fall of 806.47
points accounting to 2.24% to settle at 35169.16
whereas its NSE counterpart Nifty shed 259 points
(2.39%) settling at 10599.25. 41 stocks on the Nifty
were in red including Reliance Industries, Tech
Mahindra, Eicher Motors, TCS and GAIL. The
reasons for this are being attributed to fall of rupee
to 73.77 against USD, increase in oil prices to up to
$86 per barrel and rising bond yields.
Cash Liquidity Crunch: Holding Growth of
Indian Economy
After demonetization, the cash flow has decreased
multi fold in the Indian economy and this has led to
lower cash liquidity in the market which in turn has
caused organisations and individuals alike to face
financial problems. The cash deficit hit a peak of 1.4
lakh crore in October 2018. Suyash Chaudhary, the
head of fixed income at IDFC Mutual Fund said,
“Core System Liquidity is rapidly dwindling and
may touch about 2.5 lakh crore by March.” Liquidity
deficits lead to spike in short term borrowing rates
and forecasts higher future inflation.
GDP Growth: Yet to Go Up
The annual GDP growth rate of India has been
falling for the past 2 years from 8.2% in 2015 to
7.1% in 2016 and further reducing to 6.6% in 2017.
While the annual GDP seems to be on a rise, to 2.6
lakh crore USD in 2017 from 2.27 lakh crore USD
in 2016, the growth rate seems to be declining.
However, the first quarter of 2018-19 saw a growth
rate of 8.2%, the rate fell to 7.1% in the third
quarter, much lower than the expected growth rate.
NPA Shoots Up in Banking System
NPA or bad assets are the loans given by banks to
companies that remain unpaid. According to RBI,
the gross NPA in Indian Public Sector banks are
valued at ₹400,000 crore comprising 90% of the
total NPA in India. NPA under NDA have risen by
6.2 lakh crore between March 2015 and March 2018
according to a Parliamentary Committee. ₹8040
crore given to Vijay Mallya and ₹13000 crore bank
fraud by Nirav Modi are both severe NPAs that the
country in still facing the effects of.
IT Sector Job Scare
India’s IT sector saw a job offer decline of 17%. The
IT sector saw major employee lay-offs and a decline
of 2.7% in the number of new jobs created. This
further added to the already burgeoning
unemployment statistics in the country. Although the
IT sector is rising up again, jobs are not. Top
recruiters like TCS, Tech Mahindra, Wipro saw a
fall in shares at the NSE Sensex in October 2018.
Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTS) let go of 200
senior employees by August 2018. Even Telecom
companies faced major cuts. In a report in The
Economic Times, popular mobile phone brand Lava
confirmed it had let go 4000 employees of a total
11000 workforce.
Future of Indian Economy: The Road Ahead
Higher farm sector productions, higher contribution
to GDP by Manufacturing sector, making India stand
up with the concepts of Start up India and Stand up
India, In troduction of water transport, creating
better road and rail network, higher FDIs are
expected to make Indian Economy grow faster in
future. The employment generation in India is also
expected to go up as there are lakhs of jobs are going
to be offered in next two years to skilled and
unskilled work force in different sectors in India.
Globalization: An Opportunity or a Threat?
What is Globalization?
According to International Monetary Fund,
Globalization refers to the increasing integration of
economies around the world, particularly through
trade and financial flows. The term sometimes also
refers to the movement of people (labor) and
knowledge (technology) across international
borders. In addition, there are also broader cultural,
political and environmental dimensions of
globalization.
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