Zone Latitude Longitude Area FID Id
Zone Latitude Longitude Area FID Id
Zone Latitude Longitude Area FID Id
xlsm
Zone Latitude Longitude Area FID Id
Z23 28.600931168 88.166046593 24945.625 0 1
Z9 27.269690672 88.488750361 13692.241 1 2
Z10 27.310951028 87.700844146 9364.591 2 3
Z22 28.743794854 86.057123734 28966.098 3 4
Z13 28.295282099 84.368141048 5207.058 4 17
Z6 27.025155319 85.10367459 8486.483 5 19
Z12 27.828086675 85.242174699 14061.81 6 20
Z11 27.663105865 86.684104559 15066.646 7 21
Z7 26.873609778 86.455261124 13075.158 8 22
A1 29.96373799 86.203289798 32169.726 9 24
A2 29.920981543 88.091100801 24669.961 10 25
A3 29.223499889 89.812344028 46868.775 11 26
A4 27.050122119 90.119798591 41891.818 12 28
A5 25.242973886 88.997846759 90693.595 13 27
A6 26.495750232 88.064486888 4995.042 14 23
log(λ𝑚)=𝑎−𝑏𝑀
λm= 〖 10 〗 ^(𝑎−𝑏𝑀)
λm=𝑒^(α−β𝑀) β=2.303𝑏
0.5000
5.23 5.03 0.2862 0.1178
0.4000
5.65 5.44 0.1380 0.0568
0.3000
6.06 5.85 0.0665 0.0274
0.2000
6.47 6.26 0.0321 0.0132
0.1000
0.0000
21 03 85 68 50
4. 5. 5. 6. 7.
Magnitude (Mw)
Probability of Exceeda
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
6.88 6.68 0.0155 0.0064
0.0000
7.29 7.09 0.0074 0.0031
21 03 85 68 50
7.70 7.50 0.0036 0.0015 4. 5. 5. 6. 7.
Probability of Exceedance
0.4000
5.29 5.07 0.2984 0.1279 0.3500
0.3000
5.71 5.50 0.1554 0.0666 0.2500
6.14 5.93 0.0809 0.0347 0.2000
0.1500
6.57 6.36 0.0421 0.0181 0.1000
7.00 6.79 0.0219 0.0094 0.0500
0.0000
7.43 7.21 0.0114 0.0049 21 07 93 79 64
4. 5. 5. 6. 7.
7.86 7.64 0.0060 0.0026
8.28 8.07 0.0031 0.0013 Magnitude (Mw)
0.5000
5.29 5.08 0.2746 0.1182
0.4000
5.72 5.51 0.1327 0.0571
0.3000
6.15 5.94 0.0642 0.0276
0.2000
6.58 6.37 0.0310 0.0133
0.1000
7.01 6.80 0.0150 0.0064
0.0000
7.44 7.23 0.0072 0.0031
22 65 08 51 94 37 80 23 66 09
7.87 7.66 0.0035 0.0015 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
Magnitude (Mw)
Probability
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
21 62 04 45 87 28 70 12 53 95
4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7.
Probability of Exceedance
0.6000
5.30 5.09 0.1415 0.0614 0.5000
5.74 5.52 0.0433 0.0188 0.4000
6.17 5.95 0.0133 0.0058 0.3000
6.60 6.39 0.0041 0.0018 0.2000
7.04 6.82 0.0012 0.0005 0.1000
0.0000
7.47 7.26 0.0004 0.0002
22 65 09 52 95 39 82 26 69 12
7.91 7.69 0.0001 0.0001 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
0.5000
5.18 4.98 0.3118 0.1224
0.4000
5.57 5.37 0.1556 0.0611
0.3000
5.96 5.77 0.0777 0.0305
0.2000
6.35 6.16 0.0388 0.0152
0.1000
6.75 6.55 0.0193 0.0076
0.0000
7.14 6.94 0.0096 0.0038
20 59 98 37 77 16 55 94 3 4 73
7.53 7.34 0.0048 0.0019 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6 . 7. 7.
7.92 7.73 0.0024 0.0009 Magnitude (Mw)
Z22 28966.1 8.345700996112 0.25 8.595701 4 4.5957009961
Magnitude ClaMean of Mpdf Prob. Of occ. Of m
4.00
4.46 4.23 0.9841 0.4523 Source Z22
0.5000
4.92 4.69 0.5330 0.2450
5.38 5.15 0.2887 0.1327 0.4000
5.84 5.61 0.1563 0.0719 0.3000
6.30 6.07 0.0847 0.0389 0.2000
6.76 6.53 0.0459 0.0211 0.1000
7.22 6.99 0.0248 0.0114
0.0000
7.68 7.45 0.0135 0.0062
23 6 9 15 61 07 53 9 9 45 91 37
8.14 7.91 0.0073 0.0033 4. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
8.60 8.37 0.0039 0.0018 Magnitude (Mw)
0.4115854971 1.77308
85 68 50
6. 7.
de (Mw)
85 68 50
6. 7.
de (Mw)
0.4284802251 1.522744
93 79 64
6. 7.
de (Mw)
0.4302827081 1.689711
94 37 80 23 66 09
5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
de (Mw)
0.4154339933 1.292444
10
87 28 70 12 53 95
5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7.
ude (Mw)
87 28 70 12 53 95
5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7.
ude (Mw)
0.4340214926 2.726752
Z11
95 39 82 26 69 12
5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
ude (Mw)
0.4313237103 2.138105
Z12
1 94 37 80 23 67 10
5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8.
tude (Mw)
0.3924933174 1.771007
e Z13
nitude (Mw)
0.4595700996 1.334358
e Z22
de (Mw)
0.453729495 1.777916
e Z23
nitude (Mw)
0.277332
G-R Parameters for different source zones
Source Zone a b Mi λm α β
A1 2.2078 0.699 4 0.258107 5.084563 1.609797
A2 3.8876 0.912 4 1.736201 8.953143 2.100336
A3 2.7485 0.7614 4 0.504545 6.329796 1.7535042
A4 3.8876 0.912 4 1.736201 8.953143 2.100336
A5 3.4085 0.8636 4 0.899705 7.849776 1.9888708
A6 3.411 0.864 4 0.901571 7.855533 1.989792
Z6 2.5226 0.7699 4 0.277332 5.809548 1.7730797
Z7 2.0373 0.6612 4 0.246888 4.691902 1.5227436
Z9 2.9568 0.7337 4 1.051962 6.80951 1.6897111
Z10 1.9159 0.5612 4 0.468921 4.412318 1.2924436
Z11 5.2813 1.184 4 3.509942 12.16283 2.726752
Z12 3.7384 0.9284 4 1.058766 8.609535 2.1381052
Z13 2.4046 0.769 4 0.213108 5.537794 1.771007
Z22 2.3579 0.5794 4 1.097236 5.430244 1.3343582
Z23 3.3273 0.772 4 1.735002 7.662772 1.777916
log(λ𝑚)=𝑎−𝑏𝑀
λm= 〖 10 〗 ^(𝑎−𝑏𝑀)
λm=𝑒^(α−β𝑀) β=2.303𝑏
Probability of Exceeda
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
7.25 7.01 0.0126 0.0058
0.1000
7.71 7.48 0.0060 0.0028
0.0000
8.17 7.94 0.0028 0.0013 4.23 4.70 5.16 5.62 6.09
8.64 8.40 0.0013 0.0006 Magnitude (M
Probability of Exceedance
5.36 5.13 0.1944 0.0881 0.6000
5.81 5.59 0.0750 0.0340 0.5000
0.4000
6.27 6.04 0.0290 0.0131
0.3000
6.72 6.49 0.0112 0.0051
0.2000
7.17 6.95 0.0043 0.0020
0.1000
7.63 7.40 0.0017 0.0008 0.0000
8.08 7.85 0.0006 0.0003 4.23 4.68 5.13 5.59 6.04
Probability
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
4.24 4.71 5.18 5.66 6.13 6
8.74 8.50 0.0002 0.0001 Magnitude (Mw
Probability of Exceedance
5.51 5.26 0.1621 0.0818 0.6000
6.02 5.76 0.0595 0.0300 0.5000
6.52 6.27 0.0218 0.0110 0.4000
7.03 6.77 0.0080 0.0040 0.3000
7.53 7.28 0.0029 0.0015 0.2000
0.1000
8.03 7.78 0.0011 0.0005
0.0000
8.54 8.29 0.0004 0.0002 4.25 4.76 5.26 5.76 6.27 6
9.04 8.79 0.0001 0.0001 Magnitude (Mw
0.4636702626 1.609797
Source A1
0.4532951617 2.100336
Source A2
Source A2
0.7000
Probability of Exceedance
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
4.68 5.13 5.59 6.04 6.49 6.95 7.40 7.85 8.31
0.2000
Magnitude (Mw) 0.1000
0.0000
23 68 13 59 04 49 95 40 85
4. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. 7. 7.
0.4783795242 1.7535042 Magnitude (Mw)
Source A3
Column1 Column2
1 A1 32169.73
4.72 5.20 5.67 6.15 6.63 7.11 7.59 8.07 8.54 2 A2 24669.96
Magnitude (Mw) 3 A3 46868.78
4 A4 41891.82
5 A5 90693.60
0.4739916287 2.100336 6 A6 4995.04
7 Z6 8486.48
8 Z7 13075.16
Source A4 9 Z9 13692.24
10 Z10 9364.59
11 Z11 15066.65
12 Z12 14061.81
13 Z13 5207.06
14 Z22 28966.10
15 Z23 24945.63
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
4.71 5.18 5.66 6.13 6.61 7.08 7.55 8.03 8.50
Magnitude (Mw) Source A4
0.7000
Probability of Exceedance
0.6000
0.5000
0.5041818955 1.9888708 0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
Source A5 0.1000
0.0000
24
18
13
08
03
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Magnitude (Mw)
0.390868523 1.990
Source A6
Source A6
Probability of Exceedance 0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
4.59 4.98 5.37 5.76 6.15 6.54 6.93 7.32 7.71
20
98
76
54
32
4.
4.
5.
6.
Magnitude (Mw) 7.
Magnitude (Mw)
Source A2
Source A3
0.6000
Probability of Exceedance
3 9 4 9 5 0 5 1 0.5000
.1 5.5 6.0 6.4 6.9 7.4 7.8 8.3
0.4000
Magnitude (Mw) 0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
24 72 20 67 15 63 11 59 07 54
4. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8. 8.
Magnitude (Mw)
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
25 76 26 76 27 77 28 78 29 79
4. 4. 5. 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 8. 8.
Magnitude (Mw)
54
32
6.
7.
Mw)
Magnitude Uncertainty MA1 = Magnitudes for Source A1 PMA1 = Magnitude Probability for Source
ID MA1 PMA1 MA2 PMA2 MA3 PMA3 MA4 PMA4 MA5 PMA5
1 4.23 0.514218 4.23 0.59151 4.24 0.551603 4.24 0.605203 4.25 0.607391
2 4.70 0.243772 4.68 0.228288 4.72 0.238409 4.71 0.223636 4.76 0.222832
3 5.16 0.115563 5.13 0.088105 5.20 0.103043 5.18 0.082639 5.26 0.08175
4 5.62 0.054784 5.59 0.034003 5.67 0.044536 5.66 0.030537 5.76 0.029992
5 6.09 0.025971 6.04 0.013123 6.15 0.019249 6.13 0.011284 6.27 0.011003
6 6.55 0.012312 6.49 0.005065 6.63 0.00832 6.61 0.00417 6.77 0.004037
7 7.01 0.005837 6.95 0.001955 7.11 0.003596 7.08 0.001541 7.28 0.001481
8 7.48 0.002767 7.40 0.000754 7.59 0.001554 7.55 0.000569 7.78 0.000543
9 7.94 0.001312 7.85 0.000291 8.07 0.000672 8.03 0.00021 8.29 0.000199
10 8.40 0.000622 8.31 0.000112 8.54 0.00029 8.50 7.775E-05 8.79 7.312E-05
MA PMA
1 4.23 0.514218
2 4.70 0.243772
3 5.16 0.115563
4 5.62 0.054784
5 6.09 0.025971
6 6.55 0.012312
7 7.01 0.005837
8 7.48 0.002767
9 7.94 0.001312
10 8.40 0.000622
11 4.23 0.59151
12 4.68 0.228288
13 5.13 0.088105
14 5.59 0.034003
15 6.04 0.013123
16 6.49 0.005065
17 6.95 0.001955
18 7.40 0.000754
19 7.85 0.000291
20 8.31 0.000112
21 4.24 0.551603
22 4.72 0.238409
23 5.20 0.103043
24 5.67 0.044536
25 6.15 0.019249
26 6.63 0.00832
27 7.11 0.003596
28 7.59 0.001554
29 8.07 0.000672
30 8.54 0.00029
31 4.24 0.605203
32 4.71 0.223636
33 5.18 0.082639
34 5.66 0.030537
35 6.13 0.011284
36 6.61 0.00417
37 7.08 0.001541
38 7.55 0.000569
39 8.03 0.00021
40 8.50 7.775E-05
41 4.25 0.607391
42 4.76 0.222832
43 5.26 0.08175
44 5.76 0.029992
45 6.27 0.011003
46 6.77 0.004037
47 7.28 0.001481
48 7.78 0.000543
49 8.29 0.000199
50 8.79 7.312E-05
51 4.20 0.527394
52 4.59 0.242306
53 4.98 0.111325
54 5.37 0.051147
55 5.76 0.023499
56 6.15 0.010796
57 6.54 0.00496
58 6.93 0.002279
59 7.32 0.001047
60 7.71 0.000481
61 4.21 0.507007
62 4.62 0.244387
63 5.03 0.117799
64 5.44 0.056781
65 5.85 0.02737
66 6.26 0.013193
67 6.68 0.006359
68 7.09 0.003065
69 7.50 0.001477
70 7.91 0.000712
71 4.21 0.527394
72 4.64 0.242306
73 5.07 0.111325
74 5.50 0.051147
75 5.93 0.023499
76 6.36 0.010796
77 6.79 0.00496
78 7.21 0.002279
79 7.64 0.001047
80 8.07 0.000481
81 4.22 0.505814
82 4.65 0.244476
83 5.08 0.118163
84 5.51 0.057112
85 5.94 0.027604
86 6.37 0.013342
87 6.80 0.006449
88 7.23 0.003117
89 7.66 0.001506
90 8.09 0.000728
91 4.21 0.412429
92 4.62 0.241083
93 5.04 0.140923
94 5.45 0.082376
95 5.87 0.048152
96 6.28 0.028147
97 6.70 0.016453
98 7.12 0.009618
99 7.53 0.005622
100 7.95 0.003286
101 4.22 0.654897
102 4.65 0.200539
103 5.09 0.061408
104 5.52 0.018804
105 5.95 0.005758
106 6.39 0.001763
107 6.82 0.00054
108 7.26 0.000165
109 7.69 5.063E-05
110 8.12 1.55E-05
111 4.22 0.581592
112 4.65 0.231263
113 5.08 0.091959
114 5.51 0.036566
115 5.94 0.01454
116 6.37 0.005782
117 6.80 0.002299
118 7.23 0.000914
119 7.67 0.000364
120 8.10 0.000145
121 4.20 0.491505
122 4.59 0.245271
123 4.98 0.122395
124 5.37 0.061078
125 5.77 0.030479
126 6.16 0.01521
127 6.55 0.00759
128 6.94 0.003788
129 7.34 0.00189
130 7.73 0.000943
131 4.23 0.452279
132 4.69 0.244954
133 5.15 0.132666
134 5.61 0.071852
135 6.07 0.038915
136 6.53 0.021076
137 6.99 0.011415
138 7.45 0.006182
139 7.91 0.003348
140 8.37 0.001813
141 4.23 0.539105
142 4.68 0.24062
143 5.13 0.107396
144 5.59 0.047934
145 6.04 0.021395
146 6.50 0.009549
147 6.95 0.004262
148 7.40 0.001902
149 7.86 0.000849
150 8.31 0.000379
e Probability for Source A1
MA6 PMA6 MZ6 PMZ6 MZ7 PMZ7 MZ9 PMZ9 MZ10 PMZ10
4.20 0.527394 4.21 0.507007 4.21 0.527394 4.22 0.505814 4.21 0.412429
4.59 0.242306 4.62 0.244387 4.64 0.242306 4.65 0.244476 4.62 0.241083
4.98 0.111325 5.03 0.117799 5.07 0.111325 5.08 0.118163 5.04 0.140923
5.37 0.051147 5.44 0.056781 5.50 0.051147 5.51 0.057112 5.45 0.082376
5.76 0.023499 5.85 0.02737 5.93 0.023499 5.94 0.027604 5.87 0.048152
6.15 0.010796 6.26 0.013193 6.36 0.010796 6.37 0.013342 6.28 0.028147
6.54 0.00496 6.68 0.006359 6.79 0.00496 6.80 0.006449 6.70 0.016453
6.93 0.002279 7.09 0.003065 7.21 0.002279 7.23 0.003117 7.12 0.009618
7.32 0.001047 7.50 0.001477 7.64 0.001047 7.66 0.001506 7.53 0.005622
7.71 0.000481 7.91 0.000712 8.07 0.000481 8.09 0.000728 7.95 0.003286
MZ11 PMZ11 MZ12 PMZ12 MZ13 PMZ13 MZ22 PMZ22 MZ23 PMZ23
4.22 0.654897 4.22 0.581592 4.20 0.491505 4.23 0.452279 4.23 0.539105
4.65 0.200539 4.65 0.231263 4.59 0.245271 4.69 0.244954 4.68 0.24062
5.09 0.061408 5.08 0.091959 4.98 0.122395 5.15 0.132666 5.13 0.107396
5.52 0.018804 5.51 0.036566 5.37 0.061078 5.61 0.071852 5.59 0.047934
5.95 0.005758 5.94 0.01454 5.77 0.030479 6.07 0.038915 6.04 0.021395
6.39 0.001763 6.37 0.005782 6.16 0.01521 6.53 0.021076 6.50 0.009549
6.82 0.00054 6.80 0.002299 6.55 0.00759 6.99 0.011415 6.95 0.004262
7.26 0.000165 7.23 0.000914 6.94 0.003788 7.45 0.006182 7.40 0.001902
7.69 5.063E-05 7.67 0.000364 7.34 0.00189 7.91 0.003348 7.86 0.000849
8.12 1.55E-05 8.10 0.000145 7.73 0.000943 8.37 0.001813 8.31 0.000379
Source A1
Mag. Class Mag. Mean (M) PDF P(M)
4.00 0.00 0.0000 0.0000
4.46 4.23 1.1090 0.5142
4.93 4.70 0.5257 0.2438
5.39 5.16 0.2492 0.1156
5.85 5.62 0.1182 0.0548
6.32 6.09 0.0560 0.0260
6.78 6.55 0.0266 0.0123
7.25 7.01 0.0126 0.0058
7.71 7.48 0.0060 0.0028
8.17 7.94 0.0028 0.0013
8.64 8.40 0.0013 0.0006