Positive Economics and Normative Economics: Economics Is The Study of Choice

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Positive Economics and Normative Economics

We now have an idea of what economics is about: people’s choices. But what is the reason 1.1
for studying choices? Part of the answer is that economists are just curious, but that’s only
a small part of the picture. Understanding people’s choices is practically useful for two key
reasons. Economic analysis: 1.2
1.
Describes what people actually do (positive economics).
2.
Recommends what people ought to do (normative economics).
1.3
The first application is descriptive and the second is advisory.

Positive Economics Describes What People Actually Do  Descriptions


of what people actually do are objective statements about the world. Such factual 1.4
statements can be confirmed or tested with data. For instance, it is a fact that in 2010,
50 percent of U.S. households earned less than $52,000 per year. Describing what
has happened or predicting what will happen is referred to as positive economics or 1.5
positive economic analysis.
For instance, consider the prediction that in 2020 U.S. households will save about
Economics is the study 5 percent of their income. This forecast can be compared to future data and either con-
of choice. firmed or disproven. Because a prediction is ultimately testable, it is part of positive 1.6

Positive economics is analysis that


economics.
generates objective descriptions or
predictions about the world that can Normative Economics Recommends What People Ought to Do  Normative
be verified with data. economics, the second of the two types of economic analysis, advises individuals and
society on their choices. Normative economics is about what people ought to do.
Normative economics is analysis Normative economics is almost always dependent on subjective judgments, which means
that prescribes what an individual or
society ought to do.
that normative analysis depends at least in part on personal feelings, tastes, or opinions.
So whose subjective judgments do we try to use? Economists believe that the person being
advised should determine the preferences to be used.
For example, if an economist were helping a worker to decide how much to save for re-
tirement, the economist would first ask the worker about her own preferences. Suppose the
worker expressed a high degree of patience—“I want to save enough so I can maintain my
level of expenditure when I retire.” In this case, the economist would recommend a saving
rate that achieves the worker’s desire for steady consumption throughout her life—about
10 to 15 percent of income for most middle-income families. Here the economist plays
the role of engineer, finding the saving rate that will deliver the future level of retirement
spending that the worker wants.
The economist does not tell the worker what degree of patience to have. Instead, the
economist asks the worker about her preferences and then recommends a saving rate that is
best for the worker given her preferences. In the mind of most economists, it is legitimate
for the worker to choose any saving rate, as long as she understands the implications of that
saving rate for expenditure after retirement.

Normative Analysis and Public Policy  Normative analysis also generates advice to
society in general. For example, economists are often asked to evaluate public policies, like
taxes or regulations. When public policies have winners and losers, citizens tend to have
opposing views about the desirability of the government program. One person’s migratory
bird sanctuary is another person’s mosquito-infested swamp. Protecting a wetland with
environmental regulations benefits bird-watchers but harms landowners who plan to
develop that land.
When a government policy has winners and losers, economists will need to make some
ethical judgments to conduct normative analysis. Economists must make ethical judgments
whenever we evaluate policies that make one group worse off so another group can be
made better off.
Ethical judgments are usually unavoidable when economists think about government
policies, because there are very few policies that make everyone better off. Deciding
whether the costs experienced by the losers are justified by the benefits experienced by the
winners is partly an ethical judgment. Is it ethical to create environmental regulations that
prevent a real estate developer from draining a swamp so he can build new homes? What if

Section 1.1 | The Scope of Economics 37

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