1994 Discrete Charms
1994 Discrete Charms
1994 Discrete Charms
We have the following expansion for the change in St over the interval [t, t + δt]
√
1 1
δS = σφS δt + µ − σ 2 + σ 2 φ2 Sδt
2 2
(1)
1 1 3
+ µ − σ 2 φ + σ 2 φ3 σSδt 2 + O δt2
2 6
and hence
1 2 1 2 2 3
2 2 2 2
δS = σ φ S δt + 2σφ µ − σ + σ φ S 2 δt 2 + O δt2
(2)
2 2
3 3 3 3 32 2
δS = σ φ S δt + O δt (3)
where
1
Now, using the fact that
E [φ] = 0, E φ2 = 1, E φ3 = 0 and E φ4 = 3
(7)
where
1 1
D(∆) = Vt + µSVx − σ 2 SVx − µ∆S + σ 2 ∆S
2 2
E(∆) = σ 2 SVx + σ 2 S 2 Vxx − σ 2 ∆S
Also,
2 2 5
E [δΠ] = rV − rSVx + µ(Vx − ∆)S δt2 + O δt 2 (10)
2 2
Now taking the partial derivative of Var [δΠ] = E δΠ − E [δΠ] w.r.t. ∆,
it is clear that we must have
∆ = Vx + ηδt (11)