Axiata Group Berhad: 4Q 2019 Results
Axiata Group Berhad: 4Q 2019 Results
Axiata Group Berhad: 4Q 2019 Results
4Q 2019 Results
21 February 2020
Tan Sri Jamaludin Ibrahim, President & Group CEO
Dato’ Izzaddin Idris, Deputy Group CEO
Vivek Sood, Group CFO
| 4Q19
Disclaimer
The following presentation contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements
by the management of Axiata Group Berhad (“Axiata”) (“Company”), relating to financial trends for future periods,
compared to the results for previous periods, characterised by the use of words and phrases such as “might”, “forecast”,
“anticipated”, “project”, “may”, “believe”, “predict”, “expect”, “continue”, “will”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar
expressions.
Forward looking information is based on management’s current views and assumptions including, but not limited to,
prevailing economic and market conditions. Our business operates in an ever-changing macro environment. As such, any
statement in this presentation that is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause Axiata actual results, performance and
achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by
such forward-looking statements.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or
purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No
reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in the presentation or on its
completeness, accuracy or fairness. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees nor
any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its
contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
“RM” shall mean Ringgit Malaysia being the lawful currency of Malaysia. Any discrepancies between individual amounts
and totals are due to rounding.
2 | 4Q19
Axiata Group Berhad
Key Messages
| 4Q19
Key messages for 20191
❖ ‘Shifting Gear’ yielded highest ever EBITDA of RM9.3bn: Double digit EBITDA growth of 10.9% in FY19, outpacing revenue
growth of 2.3%. Underlying PATAMI was flat due to absence of M1 contribution, higher taxes for Robi and M&A expenses.
❖ All OpCos are now profitable, as XL and Robi stepped up. Data monetisation and upselling translated into highest ever
revenue and EBITDA for XL in FY19; ROIC improved 4.1% pts to 6.7%. Despite surprise introduction of higher taxes in
Bangladesh, Robi delivered profit of BDT799m; ROIC improved 4.1% pts to 4.2%.
❖ Despite shift to focus on profit, most OpCos still gained market share. Most OpCos achieved revenue growth multiple of
≥1x, with Robi, Smart and edotco achieving double digit revenue growth.
❖ Challenging environment for Celcom and Ncell: Celcom’s revenue impacted by lower MTR2, wholesale revenue and
devices; core revenue flat. Ncell was hit by lower contribution from both core mobile and ILD. However, stringent cost
management delivered 7.8% EBITDA growth for Celcom, whilst Ncell kept EBITDA margin high at above 57%.
❖ “Operational Excellence” delivering sustainable cost structure: Cost excellence generated savings of RM1.3bn in FY19.
Opex savings of RM0.6bn kept cost flat YoY, whilst FY19 actual capex spend was RM0.6bn below budget of RM6.8bn.
EBITDA margin improvement of 3.0% pts to 37.9%.
❖ Axiata ROIC of 6.7% is highest since FY16: FY19 ROIC for Axiata and XL were both at 6.7%. Both are on track to achieve
their 2022 aspiration target to create shareholders value with ROIC>WACC.
❖ Exceeded FY19 Headline KPIs: Axiata has exceeded Headline KPIs for EBITDA growth (10.9%, vs KPI: 5-8%) and ROIC
(6.7%, vs KPI: 5.2-5.6%), but revenue growth came in below (2.3%, vs KPI: 3-4%); also exceeded internal KPI for revenue
ex-device growth (5.1%, vs target of 4.4%).
❖ FY19 DPS maintained at 9.5 sen: In addition to second interim dividend of 4.0 sen, announced special dividend of 0.5 sen
given one-off gain from disposal of M1; DPR ex-special dividend is 86% (vs 85% in FY18).
4 | 4Q19
1. Pre-MFRS 16 and at constant currency
2. Mobile termination rate
“Shifting Gear” tactics gaining momentum in 2019
Almost all OpCos achieved double-digit growth in PATAMI and FCF, while still gaining revenue market share.
Δ 2019 vs 2018
^Adj.
DD
EBITDA SD DD DD SD DD DD
YTD #Adj.
Growth SD
PATAMI DD DD DD DD DD DD
Rate
DD
FCF DD DD DD DD DD DD
4Q 2019 Results
| 4Q19
FY19 reported results
FY19 revenue grew 2.9% while EBITDA grew 27.4%. FY19 PATAMI of RM1,458m lifted by one-off gains from
disposal of M1, divestment of non-core digital businesses and disposal of Idea rights.
4Q18 3Q19 4Q19 FY18 FY19 4Q18 3Q19 4Q19 FY18 FY19 -4,762
4Q18 3Q19 4Q19 FY18 FY19
7 | 4Q19
FY19 underlying performance1
“Operational Excellence” delivered double digit EBITDA growth of 10.9% in FY19, outpacing revenue growth
of 2.3%; record EBITDA of RM9.3bn. PATAMI flat due to absence of M1 contribution, higher taxes for Robi and
M&A expenses.
+2.3% +1.2%
-0.9% 24,446 1,022
6,209 +10.9% +74.6% 289
+12.2% 2,339 9,240
+1.1% +13.5%
6,281 23,886 24,583 293 1,010 1,025
-2.2%
2,375
8,334 9,311
4Q18A 3Q19A 4Q19A FY18A FY19A 4Q18A 3Q19A 4Q19A FY18A FY19A 4Q18A 3Q19A 4Q19A FY18A FY19A
• FY19 revenue growth of 2.3%, with • Double digit EBITDA growth of 10.9%, • FY19 PATAMI grew at a slower rate of
positive contribution from all OpCos, outpacing revenue growth of 2.3%. 1.2% due to:
except: • Double digit growth from XL, Robi, a. absence of M1 contribution for FY19
a. Celcom: -3.9% for service revenue, Smart and edotco. b. impact from unexpected change in
largely in line with MY mobile • Achieved cost excellence of RM1.3bn, BD minimum tax rate
industry ahead of RM1.1bn target. c. M&A expenses for proposed merger
b. Ncell: -4.3% for core mobile, • Opex saving of RM600m kept cost with Telenor Asia.
impacted by consumption levies and flat YoY and lifted EBITDA margin by • FY19 normalised PATAMI is RM960m.
intense competition from ISPs. 3.0% pts to 37.9%.
• Revenue ex-device growth of 5.1%.
235
53
114
162
891
387
RM million 1,010 1,022
34
FY18 PATAMI EBITDA Digital D&A Finance cost Share of Tax Others FY19
business asco & JV (MI, other Underlying
income) PATAMI
1,458
RM million 577
1,022
65 3
1 78
FY19 PATAMI M&A related Forex and Others MFRS Forex FY19
gains derivative translation Underlying
PATAMI
9 | 4Q19
1. Underlying performance – pre-MFRS 16 at constant currency
Capital expenditure and cash flow
FY19 FCF jumped 2.2x to RM4.4bn; pre-MFRS 16, FCF increased 50.6% to RM3.0bn, lifted by double-digit
EBITDA growth and flat capex.
Capital expenditure (RMm) Free Cash Flow1 (RMm) Operating Free Cash Flow1 (RMm)
1,056 1,019
818
855 1,600 1,009
605
588
478
2,097 2,361 2,025 1,360 268 314
1,416 1,635 218
183 301
850
432 233
430 727 942 400
766 314
642 316
507 307
246 328
423 622
678 -550
994
632 1,149
269
316 515 -180 -1,250
297
252 407 -382
153 571
-58
-526 -1,226 -864
742
480 505
598
21 18
FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19
+2.1%
308
550 13,776
180
13,586 286
98 13,490
60
RM million
FY18 Cost Other Network/IT Sales & Marketing Staff cost Others FY19 BAU New sites cost FY19 Cost
(Ex-devices) network cost cost savings cost savings savings cost base (Ex-devices)
11 | 4Q19
1. Underlying performance – pre-MFRS 16 at constant currency
Balance sheet
Amidst macro uncertainties ahead, balance sheet is further strengthened as gross debt/EBITDA2 is reduced
to 1.8x (2.4x post MFRS16); 67% of debt are on fixed rate and 59% in local currency.
Group Borrowings – by currency Group Borrowings – hedged/unhedged loans Group Borrowings – fixed/floating rates
1,904 2,051
FY18 FY19
Core (ie postpaid and prepaid) revenue flat. Overall, mobile FY19 EBITDA grew 7.8% with 4.7% pts margin improvement
service revenue declined 3.9% due to impact of lower MTR to 30.6% on the back of lower direct expenses and staff cost.
and wholesale revenue.
712
FY19 FCF improved by 21.9%, lifted by EBITDA growth while FY19 PATAMI surged 170% largely due to absence of one-off
capex was down 3.6%. asset impairment and employee restructuring charges in
FY18.
25,150 +17.1%
23,001
Others
9,966
Non-data 8,512
+28.0%
Data
YTD
FY18 FY19
FY18 FY19
37.0% 39.6% xx% EBITDA margin
32 35 xx XL ARPU (IDR ‘000)
FY19 revenue growth of 9.3% driven by strong data growth Double digit EBITDA growth of 17.1% with 2.6% pts margin
of 28.0% as ARPU increased 9.4% to IDR35k. improvement to 39.6%; achieved highest EBITDA ever.
713
1,971 -3,297
1,720
FY18 FY19
FY18 FY19
2.6% 6.7% xx% XL ROIC
FY19 FCF grew 14.6% driven by EBITDA growth of 17.1%, Returned to profit with FY19 PATAMI of IDR713bn, versus
despite capex increase of 17.7% to IDR8.0trn. losses of IDR3.3tn in FY18. ROIC rose to 6.7%.
Others
Voice 23,967
16,650
Data
+28.0%
YTD FY18 FY19
FY18 FY19
24.5% 32.0% xx% EBITDA margin
119 123 xx Robi ARPU (BDT)
FY19 service revenue growth of 9.7%, driven by strong data Double digit EBITDA growth of 43.9% with 7.5% pts margin
growth of 28.0% as ARPU increased 3.4% to BDT123. improvement to 32.0%, driven by high operating leverage
and lower sales & marketing cost.
-4,231 -3,069
FY18 FY19
FY18 FY19
0.1% 4.2% xx% Robi ROIC
FY19 FCF turned positive to BDT9.8bn, as EBITDA jumped FY19 PATAMI declined 62.8% due to absence of gain on
43.9% while capex declined 31.9%. edotco sale in 3Q18 and new BD taxes since 2Q19. ROIC rose
to 4.2%.
116,827 +17.0%
109,157 YTD +1.5%
+7.1%
YTD
43,486 44,151
+0.6%
YTD
FY19 revenue growth of 7.0%, led by TV (+17.0%), fixed FY19 EBITDA grew at a slower rate of 1.5% due to change in
(+7.1%) and mobile (+0.6%). revenue mix.
15,548 10,755
12,905
7,501
FY19 FCF growth of 20.5%, driven by higher EBITDA and FY19 PATAMI rose 43.4%; excluding non-cash translational
6.5% lower capex. forex gain/loss, PATAMI declined 14.3% mainly due to higher
depreciation charges.
ILD
FY18 FY19
Core mobile
xx% EBITDA margin
FY18 FY19 61.7% 57.5%
FY19 revenue declined 5.7% driven by both core mobile EBITDA margin sustained at 57.5% despite lower ILD
(-4.3%) and ILD (-10.7%). Core revenue was impacted by contribution (-11.0%).
consumption levies and intense competition from ISPs.
14.8
12.0
9.7
15,280 13,916
FY19 PATAMI slipped 8.9%, margin sustained at 25.7%. Solid performance with double-digit growth across all
metrics.
• 1.4x YoY growth in users to 5.1m. • Asia’s largest independent data- • Axiata’s homegrown application
powered digital marketing agency programme interface (API) platform.
• 2.0x YoY growth in merchants to delivered on its commitment to be
125k. PAT positive in FY19. • Connected to >140 digital merchants.
• 10.5x YTD growth in gross transaction • Notable clients secured in 2019 • 85% YTD growth in GTV, driven by
value (GTV). included FrieslandCampina, Indonesia; 72% increase in Monthly Active Users
Burger King, Thailand; Watsons, for its Payment business and 180%
• 2.8x YTD growth in GTV/user to Philippines; ClassPass, Singapore; surge in Application-to-Person (A2P)
RM323/week. Samsung, Cambodia; Taaga, traffic.
Bangladesh; and DIMO, Sri Lanka.
18 | 4Q19
Pre-MFRS 16 basis
3 Infrastructure: edotco
Excellent performance with double digit growth across all metrics; 11.4% increase in towers whilst
sustaining a stable tenancy ratio of 1.6x.
- Sri Lanka
- Cambodia 864
684
- Myanmar M&A cost and share-based payment expenses
- Pakistan
- Laos FY18 FY19
FY19 revenue growth of 17.9%, with positive contribution FY19 adjusted EBITDA growth of 21.7%; margin +1.6% pts to
across major footprints. 50.2% driven by new tenancy growth and lower maintenance
costs in 2019.
273
224
181
-53
FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19
FY19 FCF turned positive to RM273m driven by the FY19 PATAMI growth of 23.9%, also driven by improvement
improvement in EBITDA and lower CAPEX spend. in EBITDA.
FY19 FY19
Headline KPIs Achievement
Note: Constant currency is based on the FY18 average forex rate (e.g. 1 USD = RM4.034)
ROIC is defined as EBIT - tax + Share of Associates / Average Invested Capital (excluding cash)
20 | 4Q19
1. Not a Headline KPI
Proposed dividends:
FY19 DPS maintained at 9.5sen, including special dividend of 0.5sen given one-off gain from disposal of M1.
DPS1 Normal: 10 sen 19 sen 23 sen 22 sen 22 sen 20 sen 8 sen 8.5 sen 9.5 sen 9.0 sen
30%
DPR2
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
| 4Q19
FY20 Headline KPIs
“Operational Excellence” is expected to deliver EBITDA growth ahead of revenue growth in 2020.
FY20
Headline KPIs
@ constant currency
Capex2 RM6.6bn
Note: Constant currency is based on FY19 average forex rate (e.g. 1 USD = RM4.142)
ROIC is defined as EBIT - tax + Share of Associates / Average Invested Capital (excluding cash)
RISKS OPPORTUNITIES
• Challenging market in Malaysia and Nepal. • Continued benefits from “Operational Excellence”.
• Macro uncertainties and slower economic growth. • Sustained growth in Indonesia and Bangladesh.
24 | 4Q19
Our Vision & The Axiata 3.0 “Triple Core” Strategy
One of the largest telco groups in ASEAN & South Asia operating in 3 Core Businesses
Our Major
Subsidiaries
25 | 4Q19
Introducing Axiata 5.0 (2020 – 2023): 8 Key Growth Drivers
Operational & Financial “Shifting Gear” – Focus on Profitable Growth & Cash Generation
1
Performance
2 OpCos Transformation
Institution Building 4 New Group Engagement Model for Optimum Group Synergy
to Deliver
Sustainable
5 Digitisation & Analytics as Our Biggest Differentiator
Growth
Moving Forward
Before Today
Virtual
Collaboration
100% “Light “Right 100%
Decentralised Touch” Touch” via the Centralised
“Collective
Brain”
28 | 4Q19
3
Appointment of Dato’ Mohd Izzaddin Idris as Axiata’s Deputy Group CEO
Culmination of a comprehensive succession planning process.
❖ The Board of Axiata is pleased to announce the appointment of Dato’ Mohd Izzaddin Idris as
Deputy Group CEO and Group CEO-designate with immediate effect as of 24 January 2020.
Izzaddin will succeed as Group CEO by December 2020.
❖ Tan Sri Jamaludin will continue as Group CEO to end December 2020 with focus on a smooth
and successful leadership transition.
❖ Izzaddin is no stranger to Axiata, having served on Axiata's Board since November 2016 and
assumed other responsibilities within the organisation. He is also involved in the OpCos as the
Chairman of Robi and a Board member of Dialog.
❖ Izzaddin was Group MD and CEO of UEM Group Berhad from 2009 till 2018. Prior to this, he
was CFO of Tenaga Nasional Berhad from 2004 till 2008.
❖ Izzaddin graduated with a Bachelor of Commerce degree (Finance Major, First Class Honours)
from the University of New South Wales, Australia. He is a Fellow of CPA Australia, and a
member of the Malaysian Institute of Accountants.
❖ Leadership transition concludes extensive succession planning process led by Chairman Tan
Sri Ghazzali and the Axiata Board to ensure commitment and consistency in delivering on
Axiata's digital transformation goals.
29 | 4Q19
Deputy GCEO & GCEO-Designate: 90-Day Plan
Getting to know the organisation, its people, business operations & key stakeholders
– with emphasis on selected focus areas in line with the 8 Key Growth Drivers
1 3
Management Key
& Staff 2 Focus
Engagements Areas
Key
Stakeholder
• OpCos Transformation – Selected OpCos
Engagements • Operational Excellence – Implementation
• Organisation 5.0 – Review
• Portfolio Optimisation – Review
• Others – Risk & Compliance Framework
30 | 4Q19
Introducing Axiata 5.0: Operational Excellence as New Corporate DNA
5 “Building Blocks” to become the Lowest Cost Producer Relative to Customer Promise.
1 2 3 4 5
| 4Q19
MFRS 16 impact
RM1.3bn EBITDA uplift and RM65m negative impact on PATAMI.
YTD19 YTD19
RM million MFRS 16
pre-MFRS 16 post-MFRS 16
Depreciation &
(6,015) (1,069) (7,084)
amortisation
RM million
(as at 1 Jan 2019)
As reported Reclassification1 MFRS 16 As adjusted
Right-of-use
- 3,980 4,949 8,929
assets
203
24,583
267 24,446 137
112 125
328
23,886 191
RM million
633 623
FY18 Celcom XL Dialog Robi Smart Ncell edotco Others FY19 Forex MFRS 16 FY19
(underlying translation
performance)
Revenue
Revenue FY18 YTD Growth Rates FY19
(underlying performance)
Celcom 7,339 (633) -8.6% Celcom 6,706
XL 6,515 623 9.6% XL 7,138
Dialog 2,715 191 7.0% Dialog 2,906
Robi 3,273 328 10.0% Robi 3,601
Smart 1,160 112 9.7% Smart 1,272
Ncell 2,113 (125) -5.9% Ncell 1,988
edotco 1,531 267 17.5% edotco 1,798
Others (760) (203) -26.8% Others (963) | 4Q19
35
GROUP 23,886 560 2.3% GROUP 24,446
Group EBITDA: FY18 → FY19
FY19 EBITDA growth of 27.4% largely due to positive MFRS 16 impact and higher contribution from all
OpCos except Ncell.
1,308
9,240
159 71
349 65 127 104
403
16
8,334
RM million 145
FY18 Celcom XL Dialog Robi Smart Ncell edotco Others FY19 Forex MFRS 16 FY19
(underlying translation
performance)
EBITDA
EBITDA FY18 YTD Growth Rates FY19
(underlying performance)
Celcom 1,906 145 7.6% Celcom 2,051
XL 2,527 403 15.9% XL 2,930
Dialog 1,082 16 1.5% Dialog 1,098
Robi 795 349 43.9% Robi 1,144
Smart 544 65 12.0% Smart 609
Ncell 1,301 (127) -9.8% Ncell 1,174
edotco 684 159 23.2% edotco 843
Others (505) (104) -20.7% Others (609)
36 | 4Q19
GROUP 8,334 906 10.9% GROUP 9,240
Group normalised PATAMI : FY18 → FY19
FY19 normalised PATAMI declined 5.0% due to the absence of M1’s contribution, lower contribution from
Ncell and Dialog, M&A expenses and MFRS 16 impact.
13 89
138
153 16 112
77
1,010 101 131 1,022 3 65
960
RM million
FY18 Celcom XL Dialog Robi Smart Ncell edotco M1 Others FY19 (pre- Forex MFRS 16 FY19
MFRS, translation
const.
currency)
Norm PATAMI
Norm PATAMI FY18 YTD Growth Rates FY19
(underlying performance)
Celcom 712 101 14.1% Celcom 813
XL (98) 153 156.3% XL 55
Dialog 290 (77) -26.4% Dialog 213
Robi (101) 138 136.2% Robi 37
Smart 213 13 6.1% Smart 226
Ncell 567 (89) -15.7% Ncell 478
edotco 116 16 13.2% edotco 132
Others (689) (243) -35.0% Others (932)
GROUP 1,010 12 1.2% GROUP 1,022 37 | 4Q19
Axiata 4P Sustainability Framework
Established framework, aligned to global reporting standards and rated by top ESG indices
Carbon Disclosure
Amongst 62 peers Project
Axiata is a founding Axiata ESG Rating: A Axiata scored 59%, rated Axiata Disclosure
constituent of the average, 47th Percentile Rating: D
FTSE4Good Bursa Malaysia
Index (since 2014)
38 | 4Q19
Thank You
www.axiata.com
| 4Q19