Study Id50485 Artificial-Intelligence
Study Id50485 Artificial-Intelligence
Study Id50485 Artificial-Intelligence
2019
Statista Digital Market Outlook
February 2019
Management summary (1/2)
Artificial intelligence (AI) essentially refers to computing technologies that are inspired by the ways
people use their brains and nervous systems to reason and make decisions, but typically they
operate quite differently. The concept of AI has been the source of inspiration for many science
fiction writers and futurologists for over a century. Today, advancements in computing and big data
have made it a reality, with machines now being deployed at a large scale across industries. The
application of AI technologies is driving growth at individual, business, and economic levels. In fact, AI
has started to outperform human beings in a range of work activities, including ones requiring
cognitive abilities.
The current AI ecosystem consists of machine learning, robotics, and artificial neural networks
(ANNs). In machine learning, programs learn from existing data and apply this knowledge to new data
or use it to predict data. The field of robotics is concerned with developing and training robots.
Usually, the ability of a robot to interact with people and the world follows general rules and is
predictable. However, current efforts also revolve around using deep learning to train robots to
manipulate situations and act with a certain degree of self-awareness. ANNs are built to mimic the
workings of a human brain. Connected units (artificial neurons) are organized in layers to process
information.
Over the last few decades, the evolution of AI has mostly revolved around the advancement of
linguistic, mathematical, and logical reasoning abilities. However, the next wave of AI advancements is
pushing towards developing emotional intelligence. At the same time, sequential learning, another
feature of Google’s DeepMind, is enabling AIs to learn multiple skills. Over the last few years, deep
learning has made vast improvements in enabling machines to comprehend the physical world to a
certain degree and is used across industries for various tasks. Among the leading economies, China
has invested a lot of research and money into AI in recent years.
One of the major factors driving the current wave of AI growth is the rapid increase in corporate
venture capital (CVC) investment in AI start-ups. On the technology front, rapid advancements in
computing power are driving the industry to the next level. Similarly, open source platforms are
promoting and enabling collaborative learning, which is conducive for the growth of AI. The current
wave of growth in the AI industry is as much about the abundant availability of big data as it is about
the software and hardware. The amount of big data being generated by today’s increasingly digitized
economy is growing at a rate of 40% each year and is expected to reach 44 zettabytes by 2020. This
growth in big data is driving the improvement of AI algorithms.
AI solutions are increasingly being customized to serve the needs of the automotive, healthcare,
education, finance, entertainment, and other industries. In the automotive sector, AI is primarily used
to power autonomous cars, with these systems expected to become standard in new vehicles in the
medium to long term. In the healthcare industry, developments in the field of AI and machine
learning have not only accelerated the pace of innovation in the industry but are also changing entire
operating models. In the education industry, there are attempts to provide customized learning
programs for each student using AI, while in the finance industry, AI wealth management solutions
can offer higher personalization.
2
Management summary (2/2)
With the rise of AI, more and more start-ups venture into the market. Most of them work in the field
of machine learning algorithms, followed by natural language processing. The annual global funding
of AI start-ups experienced an average growth rate of almost 70%, increasing from US$0.6 billion in
2012 to US$4.9 billion in 2016. In the same time frame, the corresponding number of deals grew by
47% from 151 in 2012 to 703 in 2016. In terms of M&A, the number of deals jumped up by 38% in
2017. Looking at the most recent M&A deals, big tech companies like Google, Apple, Amazon,
Microsoft, IBM, or Facebook have often been the acquirer. But Chinese tech giants like Baidu or rising
stars in the start-up world like Twitter, Uber, or Spotify also acquire AI companies.
Companies from various industries are currently developing AI and related applications. Google, IBM
and Microsoft are leading AI innovations in the IT industry, while Amazon and eBay are investing in AI
to improve their eCommerce platform, and ridesharing company Uber is using AI on autonomous
driving, food deliveries, and mapping research. Collaborative development is on the rise, and leading
companies such as Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google/DeepMind, IBM, and Microsoft are currently
working in partnership towards developing AI applications. The acquisition of small-scale AI
companies by tech giants like Apple, IBM, and Microsoft in relevant fields is on the rise, leading to a
decreasing learning curve. Other leading companies include Baidu, Facebook, and Salesforce.
3
Table of contents (1/3)
Management summary 02
Table of contents 04
Introduction 07
▪ Overview 08
▪ Definitions 09
▪ Evolution of artificial intelligence 10
▪ Automation potential 13
▪ Global revenue projection 14
▪ Impact of AI 15
Technologies 20
▪ Machine learning 21
▪ Robotics 22
▪ Artificial neural networks 23
Trends 24
▪ Artificial emotional intelligence 25
▪ Sequential learning 28
▪ Deep learning 29
▪ Rise of China 31
▪ Growth in hardware and software 35
▪ Transfer learning 37
4
Table of contents (2/3)
Drivers 38
▪ Corporate VC investment 39
▪ Computing power 41
▪ Open platforms 43
▪ Big data 45
Applications 46
▪ Automotive industry 48
▪ Healthcare 56
▪ Education 64
▪ Finance 67
▪ Entertainment 74
5
Table of contents (3/3)
Appendix 123
▪ Glossary 124
▪ Statista Global Consumer Survey 125
▪ Statista Digital Market Outlook 126
▪ Statista Research & Analysis, Statista Content & Design 127
▪ Authors, imprint, and disclaimer 128
6
Introduction
Artificial intelligence (AI) essentially refers to computing technologies that are
inspired by the ways people use their brains and nervous systems to reason
and make decisions, but they typically operate quite differently.
The concept of AI has been the source of inspiration for many science fiction
writers and futurologists for over a century. Today, advancements in
computing and big data have made it a reality, with machines now being
deployed at a large scale across industries. The application of AI technologies
is driving growth at individual, business, and economic levels. In fact, AI has
started to outperform human beings in a range of work activities, including
ones requiring cognitive abilities.
7
Artificial intelligence mimics the
working of the human brain
Overview
Artificial intelligence (AI) essentially refers to computing technologies that are inspired by the ways
people use their brains and nervous systems to reason and make decisions, but they typically
operate quite differently. The concept of AI has been the source of inspiration for many science
fiction writers and futurologists for over a century. Today, advancements in computing and big data
have made it a reality, with machines now being deployed at a large scale across industries. In fact, AI
has started to outperform human beings in a range of work activities, including ones requiring
cognitive abilities.
Artificial intelligence
Artificial neural
Machine learning Robotics
networks
Supervised
Soft robotics Deep learning
learning
Swarm robotics
Unsupervised Convolutional
learning Touch robotics neural networks
Humanoid robots
8
Source: McKinsey
There are three main types of
artificial intelligence
Definitions
Machine learning
This involves designing new learning algorithms and improving existing ones to enable computers to
act without explicit programming. These algorithms allow computers to analyze large volumes of
complex data to recognize patterns and make predictions and adjustments.
▪ Supervised learning
▪ Unsupervised learning
▪ Reinforcement learning
Robotics
This branch of technology is concerned with developing and training robots to interact with people
and the world in general in predictable ways. However, current efforts also revolve around using
deep learning to train robots to manipulate situations and act with a certain degree of self-
awareness. The main fields within robotics are:
▪ Soft robotics
▪ Swarm robotics
▪ Touch robotics
▪ Humanoid robots
▪ Serpentine robots
▪ Deep learning
▪ Convolutional neural networks
9
Artificial intelligence has evolved
from being reactive to being aware
Evolution of artificial intelligence (1/3)
Reactive machines
▪ Most basic AI systems
▪ Behave exactly the same way each time for a particular situation
Memory-forming machines
▪ Can form memories and draw on past experiences
10
Source: Company information
AI is being deployed at scale across
industries
Evolution of artificial intelligence (2/3)
The application of AI technologies is driving growth at individual, business, and economic levels. As
the percentage of the working population declines in many countries around the world, AI provides
the much-needed automation to sustain and accelerate productivity growth at a micro and macro
level.
At the micro level, businesses are now adopting different AI technologies to capture benefits such as
lower labor costs, increased throughput, enhanced quality, and lower downtimes. At the macro level,
automation is expected to result in robust productivity growth; McKinsey estimates that it will be
between 0.8% and 1.4% annually.
Even though this growth has been estimated for all the countries around the world, four economies,
Japan, India, China, and the U.S., which account for the majority of activities that are potentially
automatable, are expected to witness the highest adoption of AI technologies.
Automation potential varies across industries as well. For example, according to a McKinsey report,
the manufacturing industry has an automation potential of 64%, whereas for an industry like
educational services, it is 34%. The factors affecting the pace and extent of automation include
openness to change, cost of developing new technologies, labor market dynamics, the regulatory
framework, and economic benefits. The highest levels of disruption can be found in industries such
as healthcare, financial services, the automotive industry, and education, where advances in AI are
forcing dramatic business model changes for concerned stakeholders.
Timeline: AI evolution
Artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Deep learning
11
Source: nvidia.com
Human-machine relationships are
integral to the progress of AI
Evolution of artificial intelligence (3/3)
However, in spite of these advancements, especially those involving the application of cognitive
thinking, machines are still limited when it comes to improvisation. They mostly follow programmed
algorithms that only allow them to act in a pre-determined manner for each conceived situation and
are therefore subject to a fundamental limitation of data-driven statistical inference. They come up
short when faced with a novel situation since they do not yet have the ‘common sense’ that is the
hallmark of human experience. That said, machines are slowly but steadily starting to beat humans in
a variety of fields, even in those that require superior cognitive abilities. A few examples are:
▪ Libratus: This is an AI developed by Carnegie Mellon University. It was the first computer to defeat
four poker professionals. Owing to the margin of victory, experts were 99.98% sure that the wins
were not due to chance.
▪ AlphaGo: This is an AI system developed by Google’s DeepMind. It beat Lee Sedol, widely regarded
as the world’s best player of Go, an ancient Chinese board game with innumerable permutations
and combinations.
▪ A project by Google’s DeepMind and the University of Oxford, which applied deep learning to a
huge data set of BBC programs to create a lip-reading system, comfortably outperformed a
professional human lip-reader.
All these developments have led to much conjecture as to the future development of AI and the
evolution of the man-machine relationship. Elon Musk, co-founder of Tesla, has called AI “our biggest
existential threat”. Stephen Hawking has strongly warned that a full AI could result in the end of
mankind. Also, philosopher Nick Bostrom, in his widely acclaimed book Superintelligence, speaks
about the possibility of computers overtaking humans in terms of cognitive capabilities. However,
keeping the recent advancements and resulting benefits of AI in mind, along with the need for
human intervention at various levels, the future is expected to see a collaborative approach between
AI and humans.
One of the fascinating things about the search for AI is that it’s been so hard
to predict which parts would be easy or hard. At first, we thought that the
quintessential preoccupations of the officially smart few, like playing chess
or proving theorems—the corridas of nerd machismo—would prove to be
hardest for computers. In fact, they turn out to be easy. Things every dummy
can do, like recognizing objects or picking them up, are much harder. And it
turns out to be much easier to simulate the reasoning of a highly trained
adult expert than to mimic the ordinary learning of every baby.
12
Source: Deloitte
Automation potential differs across
industries and countries
Automation potential
64%
44%
42%
38%
34%
Japan 56%
India 52%
China 51%
Europe
(France, Germany, 46%
Italy, Spain, UK)
U.S. 46%
Source: EMSI, Oxford Economic Forecasting, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, McKinsey analysis – data as of January 2017
13
AI revenues are expected to grow at
a CAGR1 of 45%
Global revenue projection
89.8
71.0
53.2
+45%1
38.0
26.0
17.3
11.3
7.3
4.8
3.2
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
14
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
Source: Tractica
AI is expected to have a big impact
on GVA1 growth rates
Impact of AI (1/5)
A study by Accenture and Frontier Economics expects AI to have a big impact on a country’s gross
value added (GVA). It estimates the annual GVA growth rates in 2035 for a baseline state, based on
current assumptions regarding economic growth, and for an AI steady state, assuming artificial
intelligence is integrated into economic processes.
The extent of the impact depends on the country, ranging from a 0.8 percentage points increase in
potential GVA growth rates in Italy or Spain to 2.0 percentage points in Finland or the U.S.
China 6.3
7.9
India 5.8
7.1
S. Korea 2.9
4.9
U.S. 2.6
4.6
Finland 2.1
4.1
UK 2.5
3.9
Sweden 1.7
3.6
Canada 2.1
3.5
Netherlands 1.6
3.2
Germany 1.4
3.0
Austria 1.4
3.0
France 1.7
2.9
Japan 0.8
2.7
Belgium 1.6
2.7
Spain 1.7
2.5
Italy 1.0
1.8
15
1 Gross value added: a close approximation of a country‘s GDP
Source: Accenture, Frontier Economics
AI has the potential to increase
labor productivity
Impact of AI (2/5)
The study by Accenture and Frontier Economics also estimates that AI has the potential to increase
labor productivity in countries. The impact ranges from an 11 percentage points increase in Spain to
37 percentage points in Sweden.
Sweden 37%
Finland 36%
U.S. 35%
Japan 34%
Austria 30%
Germany 29%
Netherlands 27%
UK 25%
France 20%
Belgium 17%
Italy 12%
Spain 11%
16
Source: Accenture, Frontier Economics
AI has the potential to increase the
growth rate of industries
Impact of AI (3/5)
The study by Accenture and Frontier Economics also estimates that AI has the potential to increase
economic growth rates by a weighted average of 1.7 percentage points by 2035 across 16 industries.
17
Source: Accenture, Frontier Economics
AI can boost manufacturing output
by US$4 trillion
Impact of AI (4/5)
The study by Accenture and Frontier Economics also estimates that AI can substantially raise the
economic output of industries. For manufacturing alone, AI can boost GVA1 by almost US$4 trillion in
2035.
Manufacturing 8.4
12.2
Professional services 7.5
9.3
Wholesale & retail 6.2
8.4
Public services 4.0
4.9
Information & 3.7
communication 4.7
Financial services 3.4
4.6
Construction 2.8
3.3
Transportation 2.1
& storage 2.9
Healthcare 2.3
2.7
Accommodation 1.5
& food services 2.0
Social services 1.1
1.3
Utilities 1.0
1.3
Education 1.1
1.2
Agriculture, forestry 0.6
& fishing 0.8
Other services 0.5
0.6
Arts, entertainment 0.5
& recreation 0.5
18
1 Gross value added – a close approximation of a country‘s GDP
Source: Accenture, Frontier Economics
AI has potential incremental value
Impact of AI (5/5)
A study by McKinsey on more than 400 use cases across 19 industries and nine business functions
highlights the use and economic potential of advanced AI techniques. In more than two thirds of use
cases, AI can improve performance as compared to other analytics techniques.
Travel 128%
Transport
89%
and logistics
Retail 87%
Automotive industry
85%
and assembly
High tech 85%
Chemicals 67%
Media and
57%
entertainment
Basic materials 56%
Agriculture 55%
Consumer packaged
55%
goods
Banking 50%
Healthcare systems
44%
and services
Public and
44%
social sectors
Telecommunications 44%
Pharmaceuticals
39%
and medical products
Insurance 38%
19
Source: McKinsey
Technologies
The current AI ecosystem consists of machine learning, robotics, and artificial
neural networks. In machine learning, programs learn from existing data and
apply this knowledge to new data or use it to predict data. The field of
robotics is concerned with developing and training robots. Usually, the ability
of a robot to interact with people and the world follows general rules and is
predictable.
However, current efforts also revolve around using deep learning to train
robots to manipulate situations and act with a certain degree of self-
awareness. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are built to mimic the working of
a human brain. Connected units (artificial neurons) are organized in layers to
process information.
20
Machine learning applies insights
from existing data to new data
Machine learning
In Machine learning, programs learn from existing data and apply this knowledge to new data or use
it to predict data. Machine learning involves designing new learning algorithms and improving
existing ones to enable computers to act without explicit programming. These algorithms allow
computers to analyze large volumes of complex data and are used to complete tasks like
classification, regression, clustering, etc. The different types of machine learning are:
▪ Supervised learning: These techniques train the system to respond appropriately to particular
stimuli. For this, the learning algorithm is fed with a series of inputs as well as with the
corresponding outputs. The algorithm then applies this same set of rules in the future.
▪ Unsupervised learning: Here, the system is not provided with the right answer but is expected to
learn by itself. It does this by exploring the data on its own to find some sort of structure or
patterns. In other words, the AI system uses its experience of solving one problem to solve
another related problem. This type of machine learning can be applied to identify consumers with
similar purchasing behaviors in order to deliver personalized marketing, for example.
▪ Reinforcement learning: Inspired by behaviorist psychology, the algorithm learns through a trial
and error process in which the actions are either virtually ‘rewarded’ or ‘punished’. It then forms a
memory of each experience and uses this learning for subsequent experiences. DeepMind’s (a
Google AI company) win over the world champion in the game of Go is an example of
reinforcement learning.
Machine learning
Application of
Output learning to new
data
21
AI is used to advance the behavior
potential of robots
Robotics
The field of robotics is concerned with developing and training robots. Usually, the capabilities of a
robot to interact with people and the world follows general rules and is predictable.
However, current efforts also revolve around using deep learning to train robots to manipulate
situations and act with a certain degree of self-awareness. Advances in machine learning, including
computer vision and tactile perception, will continue to be key enablers in advancing the capabilities
of robotics.
22
Source: Company information
Artificial neural networks mimic the
working of a brain
Artificial neural networks
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are built to mimic the working of a human brain. Connected units
(artificial neurons) are organized in layers to process information. Each unit can transmit a signal to
another unit and thereby simulate a human brain. While neurons in a brain, however, are connected
in a complex and unpredictable manner, artificial neurons are arranged in a linear sequence. The
overall process of converting input into output is based on the programming of each neuron.
There are three types of artificial neural networks:
▪ Deep learning: These algorithms have many layers of neural networks which process information
at many levels. Before the advent of deep learning, ANNs often only had three layers, unlike deep
learning networks, which usually have over 10 layers. This branch of machine learning is especially
important because it is the first family of algorithms that does not require manual intervention.
Instead, it learns from raw data, very much like a human brain does, making use of different types
of sensory inputs. Google, with vast data reserves and advanced computing resources, is the hub
for deep learning across the world. The founding of Google Brain by Andrew Ng marked the
beginning of deep learning at Google. The main difference between deep learning and other
machine learning techniques is that larger neural networks keep improving their performance as
they get access to more and more data, whereas other techniques plateau at an earlier point.
▪ Convolutional neural networks (CNN): These are very similar to ordinary neural networks in their
overall working. The only difference is that the connections between neural layers are similar to
those seen in the animal visual cortex, the part of the brain that processes images. These
architectures are programmed to perceive each input as an image. In the 2012 ImageNet visual
recognition contest, the only entry using a CNN achieved an 84% correct score, compared to 75%
the year before. Since then, they have won all subsequent ImageNet contests, exceeding human
performance in 2015 with a score of 90%.
▪ Recurrent neural network (RNN): These neural networks differ from others in terms of their
architecture. Their neurons are connected to each other, thereby allowing them to send feedback
signals to each other. Here, the information travels in loops from layer to layer so that each bit of
information can be stored as memory and the network can exhibit dynamic behavior. It is due to
this that RNNs have been found to be apt for natural language processing applications.
23
Source: Company information
Trends
Over the last few decades, the evolution of AI has mostly revolved around the
advancement of linguistic, mathematical, and logical reasoning abilities.
However, the next wave of AI advancements is pushing towards developing
emotional intelligence. At the same time, sequential learning, another feature
of Google’s DeepMind, is enabling AIs to learn multiple skills.
Over the last few years, deep learning has made vast improvements in
enabling machines to comprehend the physical world to a certain degree and
is used across industries for various tasks. Among the leading economies,
China has been investing a lot of research and money into AI in recent years.
24
AI moves towards artificial
emotional intelligence
Artificial emotional intelligence (1/3)
Over the last few decades, the evolution of AI has mostly revolved around the advancement of
linguistic, mathematical, and logical reasoning abilities. Computers have been able to make massive
calculations and analyze huge amounts of data to recognize patterns much beyond the abilities of
human beings. One area where they have lacked, however, is the ability to recognize and display
human emotions. It has often been thought that the challenge of creating emotionally intelligent
computing systems is just too big to be met anytime soon.
However, with the rising popularity of technologies such as chatbots, it is evident that humans are
drawn to human-like interaction. Therefore, the next wave of AI advancements is aiming to address
just that.
According to Bronwyn van der Merwe, group director at Fjord Australia and New Zealand, Accenture
Interactive’s design and innovation arm, the most successful AI systems in the future will be those
that are able to demonstrate emotional intelligence (EI) very similar to human interaction. EI can be
defined as the ability of individuals to distinguish different feelings and use those emotions to guide
their thinking and behavior.
The growth of EI in machines has been aided by the advancements in our understanding of how the
brain works, also called the neuroscience of EI. There is now overwhelming proof that different
regions of the brain stimulate different responses and emotions. Therefore, if thinking can indeed be
understood as a step-by-step process with a certain degree of sequence, AI machines can also be
programmed to exhibit different emotions and achieve different levels of consciousness. EI improves
an AI system’s ability to not only understand input but also adapt and improvise to provide human-
like responses in real time.
Interestingly, it is the very lack of inherent emotions in machines that make them such good
candidates for EI. According to research, there is a direct correlation between a higher emotional
quotient (EQ) in humans and lower emotional intelligence. According to Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic,
Professor of Business Psychology at University College London and Columbia University, a “higher EQ
is about controlling one’s impulses and inhibiting strong emotions in order to act rationally and minimize
emotional interference”.
Bronwyn van der Merwe, group director at Fjord Australia & New Zealand,
2017
25
Source: Harvard Business Review, MIT
Emotionally intelligent AI systems
have various applications
Artificial emotional intelligence (2/3)
Nowadays, sensors and other devices are developing advanced abilities to observe and recognize
facial features, body posture, gestures, speech, and physical states. The development of neural
networks and Graphic Processing Units (GPUs) has also played a major role in integrating emotional
recognition features in machines.
26
Source: Business Insider, Harvard Business Review, MIT
Huawei aims to build an emotionally
intelligent voice assistance software
Artificial emotional intelligence (3/3)
More examples of companies integrating varying levels of EI into their AI systems include:
27
Source: Business Insider, Harvard Business Review, MIT
Sequential learning enables AIs to
learn multiple skills
Sequential learning
For many years, AI scientists have been trying to create ‘general AI’, which is essentially the ability of
the AI to draw on past experiences and analyze them to come up with the best solution to a novel
problem. However, this holy grail has proven to be elusive as scientists haven’t been able to create an
AI system with the ability to build multiple skills on top of each other. In other words, neural
networks, which form the core of deep learning, can achieve excellence in learning a particular task,
such as playing chess or poker, through countless rounds of trial and error. However, once the
network is trained to, say, play chess, it cannot learn another game or task without overwriting its
chess-playing skills. This shortcoming is called ‘catastrophic forgetting’.
However, in March 2017, Google’s DeepMind devised an AI technique called sequential learning that
helped the computers preserve the neural connections that have been most important to learn a
particular task before moving on to something else. This technique draws heavily from neuroscience
studies on animals which demonstrate how they learn continually by preserving brain connections
used for different skills learned in the past.
If we’re going to have computer programs that are more intelligent and
more useful, then they will have to have this ability to learn sequentially.
The new AI system was put to the test by making it play 10 Atari games in random order. After many
days on each game, the results showed that the AI was as good as a human player on each of those
games. One of the key observations during this experiment was that while playing Enduro, a car
racing game that takes place in different weather conditions and times of the day, the AI treated each
environment setting as a different task.
However, the research team agreed that even though the AI learned to play different games, it did
not master each one as well as a dedicated AI would have done. This was mainly because it
sometimes failed to understand the importance of certain connections for a particular game.
Therefore, even though this was considered to be a major breakthrough in the quest to develop
human-like general AI, there is still some way to go for it to become a reality. Other companies
engaged in similar research include NNaisense, SwiftKey/Microsoft Research, and Facebook AI
Research.
28
Source: Harvard Business Review, MIT
Deep learning is used across
industries for various tasks
Deep learning (1/2)
Over the last few years, deep learning has made vast improvements in enabling machines to
comprehend the physical world to a certain degree. Historically, AI-powered computers have been
able to perform only those tasks for which they were explicitly programmed. Even though this has
worked well to make large calculations and achieve such feats as beating professionals at games like
poker, chess, and Go, it has come up short when performing human-like tasks such as recognizing
faces or answering novel questions.
Taking AI a step further, deep learning systems allow machines to make sense of data themselves
and learn as they experience more and more. One of the major breakthroughs in the industry was
made by a team at Stanford led by Andrew Ng, who figured out that graphics processing unit chips
(GPUs), which were originally made to meet the visual processing demands of video games, could be
repurposed for deep learning. The use of these chips to operate neural networks has increased the
capabilities of deep learning manifold. Deep learning is now being used across industries for tasks
such as detecting gene abnormalities, predicting weather patterns, and identifying false insurance
claims.
29
Source: Harvard Business Review, MIT
One application of deep learning is
to detect fraud
Deep learning (2/2)
Listed below are a few industries where deep learning is making major advances:
Agriculture: Deep learning applications are using data from drones and
satellites to not only predict crop outputs but also to monitor global
water levels to help detect crop diseases before they spread. They are
also being used for less complex tasks, such as sorting good and bad
produce in farms, as demonstrated by Makoto Koike in Japan, who made
use of Google’s open-sourced network TensorFlow to sort cucumbers.
Autonomous cars: Even though there are plenty of cars with driver assist
features, they still require drivers to take over when an unforeseen
event occurs that the car is not programmed to handle. Companies like
Drive.ai and Nvidia are using deep learning to give cars full autonomy.
Nvidia uses CNNs to learn the entire process of steering a car.
Insurance: Here, deep learning techniques are used not only to assess
claims at high speed but also to identify anomalies, indicating potential
claims fraud, and determine payouts for legitimate claims. Tractable is
an example of a company that uses images of damaged cars to teach
machines how to estimate future repair costs.
30
Source: Company information
China is investing a lot of research
and money in AI
Rise of China: overview
In October 2016, the Obama administration released a strategic plan for AI research, which
mentioned that the U.S. was no longer the world leader in journal articles on deep learning. China
had overtaken them. A similar study by Japan's National Institute of Science and Technology Policy
found China to be a close second to the U.S. in terms of the number of AI studies presented at top
academic conferences in 2015. It is not only academic research where China is making serious
inroads in terms of global AI dominance. Chinese technology companies such as Baidu, Tencent,
Alibaba, and Didi Chuxing have all invested significantly in setting up AI research labs with access to
the huge amount of big data generated by the large Chinese digital economy.
In terms of global AI start-up funding, China ranks well above other countries, including the U.S. In
fact, of the US$15.2 billion invested in AI start-ups globally in 2017, 48% went to Chinese companies,
while only 38% went to companies in the U.S. China is also developing its first ‘national laboratory for
deep learning’. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has commissioned Baidu
to create the lab in partnership with Tsinghua and Beihang universities and other research institutes.
The lab’s area of focus is expected to include machine-learning-based visual recognition, voice
recognition, new types of human machine interaction, and deep learning intellectual property.
Another visible indication of Chinese dominance is the billions it is investing in U.S. start-ups, many of
them focusing on AI. According to CB Insights, Chinese investment in U.S. technology companies
totaled US$18.2 billion from 2011 to the third quarter of 2016, with US$9.9 billion being spent in
2015 alone. A KPMG study estimated that overall Chinese VC investment across all industries had hit
a record US$40 billion in 2017, with a major focus on AI. Moreover, according to a 2016 study by
Japanese company Astamuse, the number of AI-related patents being submitted by China have
grown at a rate of 186% during the period from 2010 to 2014 as compared to just 26% for the U.S.
China’s highly competitive ecosystem and a quick turnaround time from the conception of an idea to
launching the product are two of the main reasons for this growth, according to Qiang Yang,
computer scientist at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. According to Andrew Ng, the
founder of Google Brain, everything in China is a lot faster than in most of Silicon Valley, which
means, for example, that the time you have from spotting a business opportunity to responding to it
is a lot shorter.
Over the next year, the world will recognize how much artificial intelligence
is going to transform everything we do. For example, the amount being
invested in artificial intelligence in Asia is growing by the day. 2017 will be
the year investors will look at AI and say, ‘if you’re not investing in it,
you’re missing the boat’.
31
Source: CB Insights, scmp.com, technologyreview.com
Baidu adapts its structure to
accommodate AI advancements
Rise of China: Baidu
Baidu is one of the big investors in AI in China. Here are some examples on how Baidu is investing
and what its strategies are:
R&D spending
Apart from leading the AI lab commissioned by NDRC, Baidu is also spending as much as 15% of its
entire revenue on AI-related research, according to Robin Li, the company’s co-founder and CEO.
From 2015 to 2017, this totaled US$2.9 billion – the highest amount in China and one of the highest
amounts in the world.
High-profile appointments
In January 2017, the company appointed former Microsoft executive Qi Lu as its chief operating
officer, with a mandate to focus on technologies such as deep learning, augmented reality, and image
recognition. Even though Lu resigned recently, in May 2018, he was instrumental in making the
company push AI by focusing on autonomous driving and conversational AI. In fact, it was during his
tenure that the company was appointed by the Chinese government to spearhead the country’s
development in autonomous driving. Previously, Baidu had also appointed Andrew Ng as chief
scientist – Andrew had earlier founded Google's first deep learning team1.
1: Andrew has since left Baidu and has started various AI-related projects, including a US$175
million AI-focused fund in partnership with Greylock Partners, NEA, Sequoia, and SoftBank 32
Source: scmp.com, technologyreview.com, theatlantic.com, Techcrunch, Zhongguancun
Science Park
Most of Tencent‘s AI investments
are health-related
Rise of China: Tencent (1/2)
With the slogan of ‘Make AI Everywhere’, Tencent’s AI efforts mainly focus on three areas: healthcare
AI, robotics, and autonomous cars.
Healthcare
Having launched the AI Medical Innovation System, or AIMIS, an AI-powered diagnostic medical
imaging service, in 2017, the company has subsequently made big investments in AI imaging
technology and medical start-ups around the world. So far, AIMIS labs have been established in over
10 hospitals around the country, and agreements have been signed to increase the count to 100
hospitals in the near future. In 2014, it also launched WeChat Intelligent Healthcare, a platform that
allows people to book appointments, make payments, and more at hospitals and other medical
facilities through WeChat public accounts. Babylon Health, the UK-based digital healthcare start-up,
has recently tied up with Tencent to deploy its AI app on WeChat. This partnership will enable
WeChat’s one billion users to communicate their medical symptoms directly to Babylon’s mobile app,
which will then send back healthcare advice on what to do next.
Others2
10%
Pharmaceuticals
6%
Medical AI 8%
14%
Genomics
17%
Health monitoring
Source: Technode
Robotics
In March 2018, the company announced the establishment of the Robotics X laboratory in Shenzhen,
China, which, along with the previously set up AI lab, will work in affiliation with the Tencent
Technology Engineering Group (TEG). The lab is expected to focus on various areas ranging from
glasses to humanoid robots, according to the company’s vice president, Yao Xing. In May 2018,
Tencent also led a US$820 million funding round in robotics start-up UBTech and is expected to
collaborate with the company to launch robots that can communicate and interact more naturally
and intuitively.
Autonomous cars
In a bid to develop AI-powered level 3 and level 4 autonomous cars, Tencent has made a string of
partnerships with automotive companies such as BYD, Changan, Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor, GAC
Group, Geely, and FAW China. In October 2017, the company launched an AI system that facilitates
the manufacture of cars capable of calculating the best route, ordering food, and searching for
parking lots with minimum human intervention. These features are expected to be seen in the next
line of autonomous cars launched by companies such as GAC Group, BYD Co, and Zhejiang Geely
Holding Group Co, all backed by Tencent’s proprietary technologies. Tencent has also invested in
Tesla and two other EV start-ups: Nio and Weltmeister.
34
Source: China Daily, Computer Business Review, Technode, The Drum
AI hardware is growing at a similar
pace to AI software
Growth in hardware and software (1/2)
While software seems to be getting all the attention in the AI industry, the market for related
hardware is also witnessing robust growth. According to estimates by IDC, even though software will
account for the highest share of AI revenues, hardware revenues are estimated to grow nearly as fast
as software at an average annual growth rate of over 60% during the period of 2016 to 2020.
Many industry experts consider hardware to be a huge differentiator for AI companies. According to
Sam Altman, co-chairman of OpenAi, the organization has been focusing on building better AI
algorithms until now, but its next phase of growth will come from building better hardware.
Companies like Nvidia, Intel, Qualcomm, AMD and a number of start-ups are also developing chips to
make machine and deep learning faster, cheaper, and more powerful. Even though Nvidia is primarily
associated with the development of video cards for the gaming industry, it has also been focusing on
improving its GPUs to meet advanced AI requirements.
GPUs, which have begun to play a significant role in training large deep neural networks, are
expected to be a major catalyst for AI progress. This is because GPUs offer a huge parallel
architecture that has the ability to handle multiple tasks simultaneously. Since neural networks are
required to process enormous amounts of data, with much of it being high-dimensional, training on
CPUs is simply not adequate.
However, since GPUs were originally not built for neural network training, they experience challenges
related to memory bandwidth and data throughput or end up wasting their high computational
precision, which is not always required. This has resulted in new hardware innovation by companies
such as Google, Graphcore, Intel, and Scortex, which are developing chips with larger memory
bandwidth, higher compute density, efficiency, and performance per watt. These chips can be used
in various areas such as cloud infrastructure as a service, self-driving vehicles, UAVs, and robotics.
35
Source: medium.com, fortune.com
AI software and hardware market to
register robust growth
Growth in hardware and software (2/2)
31,237
23,887
+64.3%1
17,284
11,841
7,714
4,806
2,868
841 1,622
358
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Tractica
115.4
+47.5%1
3.5
2016 2025
Source: Tractica
36
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
Transfer learning enables AI models
to train on less data
Transfer learning
Deep learning is the branch of AI currently receiving maximum attention globally and has applications
in almost all industries. However, for deep learning models to achieve the desired results, the neural
networks need to be trained with huge amounts of data. For example, in the annual ImageNet Large
Scale Visual Recognition Challenge, which requires teams to challenge their image recognition
models, 1.2 million images across 1,000 object categories were used to train the AI programs. Until
recently, such volumes of data have been imperative in order for deep learning models to perform
well on complex tasks such as speech recognition or machine translation. This has often proven to
be costly and time-consuming and therefore unsuitable for many use cases.
Transfer learning is a new technology developed by AI researchers that enables deep learning
models to train on small data sets by transferring the learnings from a previous task to be reused for
different problems in the same domain. Importantly, this smaller neural network only needs specific
data about the current problem as it has already learned about the overall patterns from the pre-
existing data.
▪ Geometric Intelligence: a start-up acquired by Uber, has developed a machine learning software
called XProp, which requires much less data to learn a new visual task. In a demonstration, CEO
Gary Marcus compared XProp to another deep learning program in a test to recognize
handwritten digits. In this test, XPropr needed only 150 examples to achieve an accuracy of 98% as
compared to the 700 examples required by the other software for a similar level of accuracy.
▪ Owkin: a start-up that uses AI technology to make accurate medical predictions, is building a
platform to enable healthcare professionals to create and share a new transfer-learning-powered
classification algorithm. Interestingly, it requires a data set of medical images that have a minimum
of only two different labels, whether it is for diagnosis, prognosis, or drug response prediction.
Transfer learning can help data scientists mitigate the risks of machine-
learning-driven predictions in any problem domain susceptible to highly
improbable events. For example, cross-fertilization of statistical knowledge
from meteorological models may be useful in predicting “perfect storms” of
congestion in traffic management. Likewise, historical data on “black
swans” in economics, such as stock-market crashes and severe depressions,
may be useful in predicting catastrophic developments in politics and
epidemiology.
James Kobielus, lead analyst for data science, deep learning, and app
development at SiliconANGLE Media, 2017
37
Source: CB Insights, scmp.com, technologyreview.com
Drivers
One of the major factors driving the current wave of AI growth is the rapid
increase in corporate venture capital (CVC) investment in AI start-ups. On the
technology front, rapid advancements in computing power are driving the
industry to the next level. Similarly, open source platforms are promoting and
enabling collaborative learning, which is conducive for the growth in AI.
The current wave of growth in the AI industry is as much about the abundant
availability of big data as it is about software and hardware. The amount of
big data being generated by today’s increasingly digitized economy is growing
at a rate of 40% each year and is expected to reach 44 zettabytes by 2020. This
growth in big data is driving the improvement of AI algorithms.
38
Corporate venture capital funding
for AI increased by 81% in 2017
Corporate VC investment (1/2)
One of the major factors driving the current wave of AI growth is the rapid increase in corporate
venture capital (CVC) investment in AI start-ups. Even as global CVC funding recovered across
industries to increase to US$31.2 billion in 2017 from US$26.5 billion in 2016, the AI sector also
continued its upward trajectory. According to CB Insights, CVC funding for AI companies nearly
doubled in 2017, increasing from US$2.1 billion to US$3.8 billion. The total funding over the period
2013–2017 increased at a huge CAGR of 88.7%, while the number of deals increased from 36 to 198.
In May 2017, Salesforce Ventures announced its fourth investment fund, the Salesforce platform
fund, which will focus on AI start-ups. Notably, the largest CVC funding deal for 2017 was for Nio, a
Chinese electric vehicle start-up which received US$1 billion from Tencent and Lone Pine Capital,
CITIC Capital, and Scottish fund manager Baillie Gifford.
Below is a selected list of corporate investments:
Apple: The company has been on the bleeding edge of AI since the
launch of Siri in 2012. Since then, it has made a number of significant
acquisitions, such as Novauris (speech recognition), Perceptio (image
recognition), VocalIQ (natural language processing), Emotient (face
expression recognition), Turi (wide range of machine learning
applications), and RealFace (facial recognition).
Facebook: AI has become vital for Facebook in its efforts to scale up and
match the growing prowess of Google and Microsoft. Its acquisitions
include Face.com (facial recognition), Jibbigo (speech translation), Wit.ai
(speech recognition), and Zurich Eye (computer vision).
39
Source: CB Insights, GCV Analytics, singularityhub.com, company sources
SoftBank to heavily invest in AI with
its US$100bn vision fund
Corporate VC investment (2/2)
40
Source: CB Insights, GCV Analytics, singularityhub.com, company sources
Rapid advancements in computing
power are driving the industry
Computing power (1/2)
The exponential increase in big data and sophistication of analytical capabilities has mandated
significant advancements in computing power. Just to give an idea of the progress chip makers have
made over the years: The current generation of microprocessors delivers over 4 million times the
performance of the first single-chip microprocessor introduced in 1971. It is because of
developments like this that AI scientists are now able to create advanced system designs such as
those supporting multi-core and parallel processing.
According to Dileep George, co-founder of the machine learning start-up Vicarious, at least 80% of
the recent advances in AI are due to advancements in computing power. Moreover, distributed
computing network systems can seamlessly interface with infrastructure platforms and cloud
applications as well as analyze streamed data from sources such as the IoT, sensors, and embedded
intelligent devices.
Below are examples of what some of the key companies are doing in this area:
Google: In May 2016, Google launched its own computer chip for driving
deep neural networks. Called the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU), the chip
requires fewer transistors per operation, which helps it get results more
rapidly. In February 2018, the company made the chip available to other
companies through its cloud computing service.
Intel: recently launched a new range of CPUs called Knights Mill, specially
designed for AI applications. These include the next generation of Intel
Xeon Phi co-processors, whose performance is expected to be up to
four times better than the performance of the previous generation of
deep learning. The company is also considering melding its CPUs with
reprogrammable field programmable gate arrays (FPGA) processors
that, as the name suggests, can be reprogrammed after they are made
to carry out specific tasks. In October 2017, Intel launched a new family
of chips called Nervana Neural Network Processors (NNPs), specially
designed for deep learning. The first version of the chip set, code-named
Lake Crest, is currently made available only to a select set of customers
like Facebook to train complex neural networks to share insights on the
performance of the chips.
IBM: IBM’s new hardware suite, called PowerAI, contains the Power8
server run by the Nvidia Tesla GPUs. In December 2017, the company
launched the Power9 chip, specially designed to improve the
performance of common AI frameworks like Chainer, TensorFlow, and
Caffe. IBM intends to sell the chips to third-party manufacturers and to
cloud vendors, including Google.
41
Source: queue.acm.org, company sources
Microsoft is building the world’s first
AI supercomputer
Computing power (2/2)
42
Source: queue.acm.org, company sources
Open-source platforms promote
and enable collaborative learning
Open platforms (1/2)
Even though AI scientists have made considerable progress in their efforts to make algorithms learn
from patterns, progress has been a bit slow. This is why major technology companies with
considerable proficiency in this domain, including Google, Facebook, and OpenAI, have decided to
move from intellectual property protection to open and free software.
The AI community usually operates in this way and shares its learnings with all its members. In fact,
deep learning came into existence when academics, including University of Toronto professor Geoff
Hinton, openly shared ideas.
Google started this trend in November 2015, when it made its AI engine TensorFlow open source,
freely sharing the underlying code with the world at large. In December 2016, Google again made its
entire DeepMind Lab training environment codebase open source, sharing it on GitHub for anyone
looking to train their own AI systems. The company uses 3D gaming environments to train AI agents
to behave more like human beings. According to team members of DeepMind, this move was
necessary because despite using its AI lab for some time now, DeepMind has “only barely scratched
the surface of what is possible”.
Google is five to seven years ahead of the rest of the world. If they open
source their tools, this can make everybody else better at machine learning.
At the same time, Elon Musk’s OpenAI also released its Universe platform for other researchers to
test their agents.
Facebook, which had open sourced its AI hardware design in 2015, did the same with some of its AI
software, such as DeepMask, SharpMask, and MultiPathNet. These tools are essentially used for
segmenting objects within images.
More recently, in April 2017, Chinese internet giant Baidu announced that it would be sharing its
autonomous driving platform, Project Apollo, in an effort to speed up developments in the sector.
According to a company press release by Project Apollo, Baidu will make its software code and
capabilities in various areas, such as obstacle perception, trajectory planning, vehicle control, and
vehicle operating systems, open source as well.
The rise of open-source AI is driving research in the community by providing software developers
and start-ups with tools and resources that were not available to them previously. One benefit of
this can be observed in the personal robots market, where manufacturers now have access to
quality AI software, which had heretofore been a weak point.
43
Source: singularityhub.com, company sources
TensorFlow and Torch are two
popular open AI frameworks
Open platforms (2/2)
▪ TensorFlow: Developed by Google, this open-source software library is made for deep learning or
artificial neural networks and allows users to create neural networks and computation models
using flowgraphs. It is available in C++ and Python.
▪ Theano: Only available in Python, Theano is designed especially for deep learning and supports
platforms like Linux, Mac OS X, and Windows. It allows users to define and evaluate mathematical
calculations, including multi-dimensional arrays.
▪ Torch: an open-source computing framework for machine learning algorithms which offers GPU
support, N-dimensional arrays, numeric optimization routines and linear algebra routines. It is
based on a scripting language called Lua and supports major platforms such as Linux, Android,
Mac OS X, iOS, and Windows.
▪ Caffe: Developed by then UC Berkeley PhD candidate Yangqing Jia, Caffe is a deep learning
framework which can process over 60 million images in a single day using just one NVIDIA K40
GPU. One of its main features is that it allows the user to apply neural networks to the problem
using text without writing code. It supports operating systems such as Ubuntu, Mac OS X, and
Windows.
▪ Microsoft CNTK: a deep learning framework that is billed to be faster than TensorFlow and
supports distributed learning with built-in data readers. The tool supports Windows and Linux.
▪ Deeplearning4j: an open-source deep learning library for the Java Virtual Machine (JVM). It runs in
distributed environments and integrates with both Hadoop and Apache Spark.
▪ Azure ML Studio: used to develop larger machine learning models in the cloud, owing to its wide
range of modelling options and algorithms. It can be used with R and Python programs.
▪ Amazon Machine Learning (AML): a machine learning tool that can be connected to data stored in
Amazon S3, Redshift, or RDS.
▪ MLlib: Another machine learning tool offered by Spark, MLlib integrates with Hadoop and
interoperates with both NumPy and R. It includes various machine learning algorithms for
classification, regression, decision trees, recommendation, clustering, topic modeling, feature
transformations, model evaluation, ML pipeline construction, ML persistence, survival analysis,
frequent itemset, and sequential pattern mining.
44
Source: Datamation, DZone
The growth of big data is driving the
improvement of AI algorithms
Big data
The current wave of growth in the AI industry is as much about the abundant availability of big data
as it is about software and hardware. This is because AI applications, especially deep learning, need
large volumes of data to deliver accurate results.
According to a study conducted by International Data Corporation (IDC), the amount of big data
being generated by today’s increasingly digitized economy is growing at a rate of 40% each year and
is expected to reach 44 zettabytes or 44 trillion gigabytes by 2020.
This huge growth, which is driven mainly by the proliferation of smart devices, the Internet of Things
(IoT) and social media, is absolutely critical to the growth of AI applications across industries. After all,
AI systems get ‘smarter’ in direct proportion to the amount of data they consume.
Actuals Forecast
103
96
90
84
77
70
64
56
49
42
35
28
23
20 18
12
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Source: Wikibon; SiliconANGLE
45
Source: IDC
Applications
AI solutions are increasingly being customized to serve the needs of the
automotive, healthcare, education, finance, entertainment, and other
industries.
In the automotive sector, AI is primarily used to power autonomous cars, with
these systems expected to become standard in new vehicles in the medium to
long term. In the healthcare industry, developments in the field of AI and
machine learning have not only accelerated the pace of innovation in the
industry but are also changing entire operating models. In the education
industry, there are attempts to provide customized learning programs for
each student using AI, while in the finance industry, AI wealth management
solutions can offer higher personalization.
46
AI applications are used in multiple
industries
Overview
AI solutions are increasingly being customized to serve the needs across the automotive, healthcare,
education, finance, entertainment, and other industries.
In the automotive sector, AI is primarily used to power autonomous cars, with these systems
expected to become standard in new vehicles in the medium to long term. Even though most
automotive manufacturers are developing AI-powered cars, Google and Tesla are currently the front-
runners in the field.
Healthcare is another major area of AI disruption, with applications in the fields of diagnostics, drug
discovery, personalized treatment plans, and robotic patient care. One of the major breakthroughs
brought about by AI is the shift in approach from treating diseases to preventing them.
Artificial
intelligence
Healthcare Finance
Education
47
Source: Company information
AI disrupts many elements of the
automobile industry’s ecosystem
Automotive industry: overview (1/2)
The application of AI in the automotive industry can be traced back to 1962, when
the first industrial robot started working at a General Motors (GM) plant in New
Jersey. At the time, Japan was the only other country to recognize the true
potential of this new technology and the benefits it would provide.
One of the major breakthroughs was made in 1981, when Takeo Kanade developed the world’s first
direct drive arm, with motors installed directly into the joints of the robot arm. This marked the
beginning of an era where robots began to replace humans in the car manufacturing process on a
large scale. Since then, advances in computing power and the proliferation of big data have resulted
in deeper penetration of AI in the automotive industry, from driving to design to manufacturing.
Areas such as automotive assemblies, displays on dashboards, and even overall vehicle
conceptualization are all experiencing robust innovation aided by faster computing systems like
GPUs.
Today, many cars are equipped with sensors in the front, back, and sides, along with rear- and front-
facing cameras, to capture real-time data. This data is then used to identify anomalous patterns,
which the AI system uses to relay precautionary measures to the driver in real time. The AI-powered
adaptive cruise control systems are another feature gaining significant traction, according to Anand
Rao, partner and innovation lead of PwC Data & Analytics.
If you set your speed to 70 miles an hour and the car in front of you is going
50, as you approach it within a safe distance, you’ll start slowing down
automatically.
Anand Rao, partner and innovation lead, PwC Data & Analytics, 2016
AI is not only changing the entire driving experience but also every other element of the automobile
ecosystem, including on-demand mobility, connected cars, insurance, electric vehicles, advertising,
etc. For example, the pay-per-use consumption model pioneered by companies such as Zipcar, Uber,
and Lyft is evolving towards an autonomous model. Ford has earmarked a US$1 billion investment
over the next five years in AI company Argo AI to develop autonomous vehicles and use them in
areas such as ride sharing and ride hailing. In addition, insurance companies are gradually using real-
time data on driving behavior to deliver highly personalized policies.
48
Source: Company information
Shipments of AI-based systems for
automotive industry are growing
Automotive industry: overview (2/2)
The worldwide number of unit shipments of AI-based systems for the automotive market is expected
to register robust growth up to 2025. The global automotive market is expected to ship 121.5 million
AI-based systems in 2025, growing at a CAGR1 of 24% from 22 million units in 2017.
121.5
109.5
99.0
85.5
+24%1
72.0
57.0
42.5
31.0
22.0
49
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
Source: Statista estimates, IHS
Deep learning makes fully
autonomous cars a reality
Automotive industry: autonomous driving (1/5)
According to a study by Garret/Galland Research, the number of self-driving cars on the road is
expected to reach 10 million by 2020. Another report by IHS estimates the annual sales of self-
driving cars to reach approximately 33 million units by 2040, with nearly 76 million vehicles with
some level of autonomy sold by 2035. Even though the required hardware, such as sensors,
cameras, radars, and ultrasound systems, has contributed a lot to making autonomous cars a reality,
it is really the developments in AI that play the most pivotal role.
The vehicle can The driver is The vehicle is in These vehicles The vehicle can
assist the driver allowed to full control of are designed to perform all
in selected disengage from driving respon- perform all aspects of
functions, e.g., some tasks, with sibilities under safety-critical driving under all
steering or the vehicle certain specified functions and circumstances
acceleration/ taking over, but conditions, but respond to that are usually
deceleration must always be a driver is many dynamic managed by a
ready to take expected to take driving human driver,
control and is control when situations, without a driver
responsible for required requires minimal being present
most safety human
functions intervention
Deep learning architectures enable cars to learn from their experiences and adapt to real-time
situations without human intervention. This is particularly important because it is impossible for
software engineers to write programs to cover every variable or driving situation a car may face. In
fact, deep learning is solely responsible for the evolution of cars from driver assist technologies to
fully autonomous vehicles.
50
Source: Garret/Galland Research, IHS
Overview of autonomous cars and
their autonomy level
Automotive industry: autonomous driving (2/5)
51
Source: autocar.co.uk, autocarpro.in, Bloomberg, carwow.co.uk, businessinsider.in, CNN,
digitaltrends.com, greencarcongress.com, greentechmedia.com, theverge.com, topgear.com
Google and Tesla are leaders in
driverless car development
Automotive industry: autonomous driving (3/5)
For deep learning to be successful, it is imperative that the algorithms are fed with large amounts of
data. One of the most important trends driving automation in the industry is the growth in the
number of connected cars. As autonomous cars share driving experiences and readings with each
other, algorithms use that data to adapt to various situations without having to experience them
firsthand.
Google, the global leader in self-driving technology, recently launched the testing phase of its self-
driving car called Waymo, which is powered by over 2 million miles of real-world driving data. Elon
Musk, co-founder and CEO of Tesla, has also announced the rollout of a completely autonomous car
by the end of 2017, equipped with Nvidia’s Drive PX 2, a supercomputer that uses deep learning to
teach the car to handle itself.
Even though Google and Tesla are the most visible brands chasing driverless technology, a host of
auto manufacturers and other technology companies are also partnering with each other to develop
cars with varying levels of autonomy. A few key examples can be found in the following table.
Deep learning is the best enabling technology for self-driving cars. You
hear a lot about all these things on a car: the sensors, the cameras, the
radar, and LIDAR1. What you need are the brains to make an autonomous
car work safely and understand its environment.
52
1: Light Detection and Ranging is a remote sensing method that uses light in the form of a
pulsed laser to measure ranges
Car companies’ activities in
autonomous driving (1/2)
Automotive industry: autonomous driving (4/5)
Other
Company Description AI platform partnerships
▪ Launched a level 3 ▪ Nvidia – DRIVE PX 2 n/a
autonomous vehicle
in 2017 and is
expected to a level 4
vehicle by 2020
53
1 Mobileye was acquired by Intel in March 2017
Source: Company sources, press releases
Car companies’ activities in
autonomous driving (2/2)
Automotive industry: autonomous driving (5/5)
Other
Company Description AI platform partnerships
▪ Spending US$1 ▪ Yui – an AI assistant ▪ NTT – to develop
billion on developing made by Toyota technology for
self-driving cars connected cars
utilizing fifth-
▪ Launched the next-
generation signals,
generation
big-data analysis,
autonomous
and AI applications
customized Lexus in
March 2017 with two ▪ Stanford and MIT –
platforms: Chauffeur to develop AI
– Level 4 and 5 applications for use
autonomy; Guardian in its autonomous
– driver-assist cars
54
1 Mobileye was acquired by Intel in March 2017
Source: Company sources, press releases
Cloud computing augments AI in
the automotive industry
Automotive industry: cloud computing
Rapid advancements in technology have resulted in a closer relationship between AI and cloud
computing. Since AI works primarily by analyzing huge volumes of data, companies (including AI
developers and end users) are quickly realizing the benefits of moving away from the confines of
internal IT structures and into the vast computing power and data that the cloud has to offer.
According to Eric Schmidt, chairman of Google’s parent company Alphabet, companies tapping into
cloud computing will also get access to crowdsourced data, which, when combined with advanced AI
technologies, will lay the platform for truly disruptive businesses across many industries.
Therefore, companies in the automotive industry are using data from the cloud to deliver various
services, including marketing, navigation, and payments.
Examples of such collaborations are below:
▪ GM and IBM have partnered to enable IBM’s AI supercomputer Watson to power GM’s upgraded
onboard car system called OnStar Go. This platform now uses data from the cloud to offer
recommendations to drivers on places to eat, shop, or fill gas. Moreover, when drivers are nearing
a preferred location, say a fast food joint, they have the option to pre-purchase their order before
their arrival.
▪ Researchers at the NYU Tandon School of Engineering are developing an AI system which enables
self-driving cars to combine the information retrieved from cloud-based maps with their onboard
sensors to achieve enhanced navigation, maneuverability, and ability to adapt to changing road
conditions.
▪ Nvidia and Baidu have partnered to develop an AI-powered cloud computing platform for
autonomous vehicles. They plan on integrating Baidu's cloud platform and mapping technology
with Nvidia's self-driving computing platform to create solutions for high-definition maps, Level 3
autonomous vehicle control, and automated parking.
55
Source: cloudwedge.com, company sources
AI impels transition from reactive to
proactive healthcare
Healthcare: overview
Artificial
intelligence
In the past, innovations in the healthcare industry have been restricted to the
digitization of manual tasks in order to save on time and effort. However,
developments in the field of AI and machine learning have not only accelerated
the pace of innovation in the industry but are also changing entire operating
models.
One of the major changes brought about by AI is the shift from mere treatment of diseases
(reactionary mindset) to a treatment that focuses on diagnosing illnesses at an early stage or before
they occur (preventive mindset). According to Praveen Soti, general manager for healthcare and life
sciences at Wipro, the future of healthcare lies in moving away from the present conditions, in which
hospitals are incentivized to fill beds, prescribe tests, and perform surgeries, to actually keeping
patients away, with AI playing a pivotal role in this transition.
As computing power becomes more advanced and algorithms become smart enough to spot
patterns in digital data and images, the process for diagnosing and treating illnesses is becoming
more of a data-driven practice.
▪ KenSci: a Washington-based start-up which is using AI to track the onset and progress of a disease,
along with predicting chronic and critical illnesses within a group of patients.
▪ Pathway Genomics: a genetic testing lab which is developing an AI-powered application to provide
customized preventive health advice based on a user’s genetic makeup.
▪ IBM and Under Armour: They have partnered to develop an AI-powered ‘cognitive coaching
system’ which processes data from over 200 million people to develop personalized advice on
sleep, fitness, and nutrition.
56
Source: ai100.stanford.edu, Wipro
AI enables personalized medical
advice without seeing a doctor
Healthcare: new market creation
AI is also creating new markets in the healthcare industry. For example, Norwegian company
Your.MD has developed an AI-powered mobile app that matches a patient’s symptoms to publicly
available data collected from various sources and offers them personalized advice regarding their
ailments. This mainly works by filtering out people who do not need primary care and letting the
doctors focus on those who need the most attention.
This has resulted in the creation of a new healthcare market called ‘pre-primary care’, in which the
patient ends up doing more for themselves and acts as a driver for large-scale behavioral change.
57
Source: Company sources
AI applications facilitate early and
accurate diagnosis
Healthcare: early diagnosis (1/2)
Advancements in AI have resulted in early detection of diseases through the use of deep learning to
analyze huge amounts of data and recognize patterns, a process especially useful in diagnostics.
Some examples of AI systems designed for early diagnosis are listed here:
IBM Watson
The supercomputer analyzes large volumes of internal and external
data to detect early signs of cancer or vascular diseases.
Google DeepMind
Google has teamed up with the NHS in the UK to build a machine
learning system with the ability to recognize vision-threatening
conditions simply by conducting a digital scan of the eye.
Pathway Genomics
Is developing a simple blood test to detect or predict certain cancers
by tracking minute levels of cancerous cells that have been cast off
from tumors into the bloodstream.
Lumiata
Uses machine learning to identify patients who need early
hospitalization or medication plans.
If you miss something and a patient develops cancer five years later, there's
no systematic routine that tells you how to correct yourself. But you could
build in a system to teach the computer to achieve exactly that.
58
Source: Company sources
AI applications are driving early and
accurate diagnosis
Healthcare: early diagnosis (2/2)
Microsoft
It has gone a step further by developing an AI system that interprets
online search engine behavior, e.g., people researching symptoms of
diseases long before they actually occur, and takes necessary pre-
emptive measures.
59
Source: Company sources
Robots aid in surgical assistance,
rehabilitation, and research
Healthcare: robotics (1/2)
Just fifteen years ago, the field of healthcare robotics was mostly science fiction. A company called
Robodoc, an IBM spinoff, was the first to develop a robotic system for orthopedic surgeries. Even
though the technology worked, the company could not achieve commercial success and eventually
shut down. However, recent advancements in robotics and AI have resulted in a strong increase in
the research and practical use of healthcare robotics.
These systems are increasingly being used in various medical fields and across the entire spectrum
of user populations:
▪ Surgical assistance: This area of healthcare robotics has received the maximum attention over the
years. One of the first companies to gain substantial market traction was Intuitive Surgical, which
launched the ‘da Vinci’ system, a technology initially meant to support minimally invasive heart
bypass surgery, which also went on to aid in the treatment of prostate cancer. Now in its fourth
generation, the ‘da Vinci’ provides assistance in multiple laparoscopic procedures through not only
a physical platform but also a data platform which is used to study the entire surgical process.
Other companies making surgical robots include Verb Surgical (a start-up spun out of Google and
Johnson & Johnson) and Dublin-based Medtronic.
▪ Recovery and rehabilitation: A patient suffering from neuromuscular diseases or injuries, such as
those that occur after a stroke, can benefit from robot-assisted sensory motor therapy. Such
systems are also capable of assisting people with behavioral disorders like Autism Spectrum
Disorder and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). Another important role is to help
neuroscientists improve their general understanding of brain function. Robots analyze data on
stimulus-response recordings to get insights into the relationship between external mechanical
forces and neural plasticity. An example of such robots is the MIT-Manus rehabilitation robot,
which has helped to bring about improved recovery of both acute and chronic stroke patients.
▪ Research: One of the growing areas of robotics technology is its application to conducting
research for overall human health. To achieve this, scientists are trying to create a robotic system
that is similar to human biology in order to simulate its workings in an artificial setting.
Furthermore, robots, such as those that work with people with neurodevelopmental disorders, can
collect data on patient behavior that can be analyzed to develop personalized treatment.
A report by the Robotics Business Review segments the healthcare robotics market into:
60
Source: Company sources
The three market segments of
healthcare robots
Healthcare: robotics (2/2)
61
Source: Indiegogo, Panasonic, Phys.org
AI systems reduce time and costs to
develop novel drugs
Healthcare: drug discovery
According to a study conducted by the Tufts Center for the Study of Drug
Development (CSDD), the average cost of developing a drug that gains market
approval is US$2.6 billion, and the process takes more than 10 years. Even then,
less than 10% of potential medicines make it to market, according to Jackie
Hunter, CEO of BenevolentBio, the life sciences arm of London’s BenevolentAI.
Apart from being time-consuming and expensive, this process also limits the
number of diseases scientists can focus on.
Machine learning algorithms can play a very important role in reducing the time and cost by using
previously generated data to establish patterns and decipher which experiments need to be done.
Other algorithms can also be used to predict the side effects of certain chemical compounds on
humans, thereby speeding up the approval process.
Key developments in this area include:
▪ Atomwise: This start-up uses machine learning and 3D neural networks to accelerate drug
discovery for diseases like Ebola, multiple sclerosis, and leukemia. In 2015, the company’s solution
discovered two new drugs to combat the Ebola virus, with the analysis finishing in just one day.
▪ twoXAR: It leverages big biomedical data such as gene expression measurements, protein
interaction networks, and clinical records to discover drugs that treat diseases like glaucoma and
liver cancer.
▪ Berg Health: This Boston-based start-up has an inverse approach to drug discovery. It analyzes
data to determine why some people survive diseases and then applies the results to improve
current therapies or create new ones.
▪ Stanford University: For situations where a small amount of data hampers the effectiveness of
conventional deep learning algorithms, scientists at Stanford University have developed ‘one-shot
learning’, a new kind of deep learning that requires only a small number of data points (usually
hundreds). Even though the researchers were skeptical about the efficacy of this method, test
results published in ACS Central Science in April 2017 were very positive.
▪ Insilico Medicine: This company uses a new deep learning technique known as a generative
adversarial network (GAN) that uses historical biological and chemical data to ‘imagine’ new
cancer-like molecules with specific properties.
62
Source: news.stanford.edu, techcrunch.com
AI is used to map the human DNA
to deliver precision medicine
Healthcare: precision medicine and personal genetics
Precision medicine has been available for some time now in the form of low-tech
therapies like allergy treatments and blood transfusions. Even genetic targeting of
tumors has become more commonplace now, spawning medications such as the
famous Herceptin1, which targets the HER2 protein associated with an aggressive
form of breast cancer.
However, AI technologies such as deep learning and natural language processing are now being
combined with big data from consumer wearables, sensors, and connected devices to detect
patterns for mutations and linkages in diseases. This is then used to deliver precision medicine down
to the familial and individual level.
One of the most significant uses of AI in the healthcare industry is to understand the human DNA.
Greater insights into an individual’s genetic makeup are providing the opportunity to deliver
personalized healthcare for each person based on their biological disposition.
Even though much of the research in this field is still in its early stages, a few promising projects are:
▪ Flow Health: is building a knowledge graph of medicine and genomics using over 30 petabytes (30
million gigabytes) of longitudinal clinical data of 22 million veterans collected over 20 years. The
goal is to determine how each gene variant in the genome affects phenotype2.
▪ Human Longevity: co-founded by Craig Venter, the man credited with mapping the human
genome. The company is aiming to sequence at least one million genomes and use the data
generated from them, along with DNA-related information, to offer better precision medicine for
ailments such as cancer and heart diseases.
▪ Deep Genomics: a Toronto-based start-up which applies GPU-based deep learning to determine
how strongly genetic variants affect RNA splicing3, a contributing factor for many diseases. The
company’s database is aiming to be able to explain how hundreds of millions of genetic variations
can impact a human’s genetic code.
▪ Editas Medicine: specializes in a process called gene editing using a technology called
CRISPR/Cas9. The company aims to use this tool to treat genetic diseases such as eye disease,
cancer, sickle-cell anemia, and Duchenne muscular dystrophy. One of its initial plans is to inject a
virus containing Cas9 into the eyes of people suffering from a rare form of progressive blindness
caused by a specific gene mutation. The enzyme would then cut the faulty sequence, triggering a
natural DNA response in which the cell repairs the deficit itself.
1: Has been used to treat more than two million patients worldwide and has generated
global sales of >US$64 billion for Swiss pharma company Roche 2: The total set of
observable characteristics displayed by an individual under a particular set of environmental 63
factors 3: The removal of certain DNA sequences
Source: techcrunch.com, company sources
AI is driving the personalized
learning industry
Education: overview
Artificial
intelligence
Science Resources/courses
simulation
Personalized
learning
The universal approach to education has mostly remained the same, with a single
teacher delivering the same message to a large group of students, with little
attention being paid to their individual progress. It is the desire to create
customized learning programs for each student that is currently the biggest driver
of AI in education and learning.
Machine learning capabilities embedded in online learning programs track the entire learning
process of an individual, diagnose misconceptions, and provide timely guidance, feedback, and
explanations.
For example, if a student misunderstands a particular mathematical concept, the AI system could
send an alert to the teacher before it becomes a bigger issue later in their education.
Recent years have witnessed an influx of heavy investment in the personalized learning space, the
most notable being the US$240 million made by the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation. This initiative
consists mainly of investments in private companies that analyze big data to develop software that
creates individual learning plans for students based on their performance with a special focus on
their weak areas.
Other interactive educational technologies that have gained traction over the last few years include
homework support systems, science simulations, and virtual labs, educational games, online
resources, and open online courses.
64
Source: ai100.stanford.edu
ITS are one of the most popular AI
applications used in education
Education: intelligent tutoring (1/2)
Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITS) are the most widely used AI applications in the education industry.
They are educational applications of AI and machine learning technologies that emerged as a
scholarly discipline over 40 years ago. Central to every ITS is its ability to gather in-depth data on an
individual level and use it to assess the level of progress and offer feedback to promote productive
learning behaviors such as self-regulation, self-monitoring, and self-explanation.
ITS are now widely used in K-121 schools and colleges, especially in the U.S. The One Hundred Year
Study on Artificial Intelligence by Stanford University in 2016 states that the use of intelligent tutors
and other AI technologies to assist teachers in the classroom and at home in a typical North
American city is likely to expand significantly over the next 15 years.
Examples of intelligent tutoring systems that are already being used are:
▪ Cognitive Tutor: Developed by Carnegie Learning, this software is primarily used in U.S. high
schools to learn mathematics from grade 9 to 12. It has two major analytics components:
‘Skillometer’ and the teacher reports. The ‘Skillometer’ uses data generated from student
interaction with the software to visually indicate the current and future levels of mastery on a
particular subject. Teachers are also provided with detailed information on each student’s
progress.
▪ SHERLOCK: It is used to teach Air Force technicians to diagnose electrical system problems in
aircraft.
▪ University of Southern California: The Information Sciences Institute at the University of Southern
California has created avatar-based training modules to train military personnel being sent to
international posts in appropriate behavior when dealing with people from different cultural
backgrounds.
Other ITS have been used in other disciplines, such as geography, circuits, medical diagnosis,
computer literacy and programming, genetics, and chemistry.
AI will not replace tutors, it will support them and it will guide them to be
better teachers.
1: Kindergarten (K) and the 1st through to the 12th grade (1-12) in school 65
Source: ai100.stanford.edu, bdtechtalks.com, ewise.com, forbes.com, Narrative Science,
National Business Research Institute, wired.com
Virtual humans can be used to
coach people in different ways
Education: intelligent tutoring (2/2)
Even though Apple’s Siri, Microsoft’s Cortana, Amazon’s Alexa and Google’s Assistant have already
given us a peek into what virtual humans can do, scientists are still a long way from developing
characters that possess the required degree of social intelligence to perform mainstream tasks.
Two examples of how virtual humans are used in education are SimSensei and Kaspar:
66
Source: ai100.stanford.edu, bdtechtalks.com, forbes.com, ewise.com, Narrative Science,
National Business Research Institute, wired.com
Its wealth of date makes the finance
industry perfect for the use of AI
Finance: overview
Artificial
intelligence
Insurance Banking
Fraud detection
Owing to its heavy reliance on large volumes of numbers and data, the financial
services industry is ripe for the disruption offered by AI. Large volumes of
historical data on banking, insurance, mortgages, and financial trading have been
integrated with deep learning algorithms to automate routine tasks, mitigate risk,
prevent frauds, and generate new insights.
According to a survey conducted by Narrative Science and the National Business Research Institute,
32% of financial services executives surveyed confirmed using AI technologies such as predictive
analytics, recommendation engines, voice recognition and response.
Besides general AI applications in the insurance and banking industry, two areas that are gaining a lot
of traction are especially suited for AI:
▪ Wealth management: Private wealth management used to be only an option for an elite group
with lots of funds because an actively managed portfolio usually involves high management fees.
By using AI, there is now the possibility of offering wealth management with very low fees as the
algorithm, often called a robo-advisor, decides or suggests changes in the portfolio.
▪ Fraud detection: Detecting fraudulent cases was always a high priority in the financial industry. By
using algorithms that analyze a huge amount of data, potential fraud cases can be found a lot
easier and faster than before.
67
Source: Narrative Science Report, medium.com
AI wealth management solutions
offer higher personalization
Finance: wealth management
68
Source: americanbanker.com
Cybercrime costs the economy
several hundred billions
Finance: fraud detection (1/2)
PwC’s 19th Annual Global CEO Survey found that 69% of financial services CEOs reported that they
were either somewhat or extremely concerned about cyberthreats, compared to 61% of CEOs across
all sectors.
In order to combat this and detect patterns of anomalies, many financial institutions are turning to
machine learning techniques such as logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, neural
networks, and clustering. These AI techniques help financial institutions to study the buying behavior
of each customer and then compare it to other indicators to build a complete picture of a
transaction.
Detecting fraud is especially important in areas such as online shopping, online payment, and credit
card usage, and there are many examples of companies in those areas.
We estimate that in the U.S. alone, the value of false declines is more than
13 times the total amount lost to actual card fraud. Applying machine
learning to decision-scoring is a new way of creating a positive consumer
experience, while also minimizing fraud.
One good example is PayPal, which has used machine learning to bring its fraud rate down to just
0.32% as compared to the industry average of 1.32%. It applies machine learning to study users’
purchase history and detect patterns, which can then be used to implement new rules that prevent
scams being repeated.
69
Source: aibusiness.org
Several finance institutions use AI to
combat and prevent fraud
Finance: fraud detection (2/2)
70
Source: Company information
AI tools ‘learn’ patterns to deliver
personalized financial advice
Finance: banking, personal financial management (1/3)
71
Source: Ewise.com, Narrative Science, National Business Research Institute, wired.com
AI tools use predictive analytics to
offer real-time financial advice
Finance: banking, personal financial management (2/3)
72
Source: Ewise.com, Narrative Science, National Business Research Institute, wired.com
Cards and payments are the leading
banking sector regarding AI usage
Finance: banking, personal financial management (3/3)
The banking industry is using AI for various purposes, depending on the feasibility and complexity of
the processes. According to a study by Consultancy.uk, 84.2% of cards and payments divisions used
artificial intelligence in 2017.
Cards and
84.2%
payments
IT 63.5%
Finance and
40.4%
accounting
Marketing 31.4%
Sales 25.0%
R&D 19.2%
HR 16.7%
Planning and
16.0%
development
Distribution and
13.5%
logistics
Procurement 7.1%
Manufacturing
7.1%
or operations
Legal 2.6%
73
Source: Statista estimates, IHS
A major use of AI in entertainment
is the creation of original content
Entertainment: overview (1/2)
Artificial
intelligence
Movies Games
Advertising Music
Personalized content
▪ IBM Research and 20th Century Fox – recently collaborated to create what they called the ‘first
ever cognitive movie trailer’, for the movie Morgan. IBM’s Watson platform analyzed hundreds of
horror movie trailers to determine what type of content elicited the fear response in people. It
then used the insights gained to select the 10 clips used in the trailer, after which a human editor
created the final version. Moreover, the entire process took only 24 hours, as opposed to the
usual 10–30 days of manual editing.
▪ Benjamin – Jack Zhang is taking the use of AI in movies even further. His company Greenlight
Essential has developed an AI software called Benjamin that has co-written the script for a horror
movie titled ‘Impossible Things’. According to Zhang, this is the first instance of AI creating original
content in collaboration with humans. The software essentially used NLP to analyze thousands of
movie plot summaries in correlation to box office performance. Sunspring is an example of a movie
entirely written by AI without any human intervention. The software is a recurrent neural network
that is usually used for text recognition. The movie was placed in the top 10 out of hundreds of
entries at the Sci-Fi London contest in 2016.
74
Source: theguardian.com
AI enables gaming characters to
develop their own personalities
Entertainment: overview (2/2)
▪ Google AlphaGo used machine learning to beat Lee Sedol, one of the world’s best players of Go,
an ancient Chinese board game, a feat that was never previously achieved by a computer
program. The main reason why this win was important was that, in addition to advanced
calculation, the algorithm also exhibited original and creative thinking.
▪ Libratus Poker AI, developed at Carnegie Mellon University, defeated four of the world’s best
heads-up poker players by a huge margin. What made this win particularly interesting for the AI
world was that Libratus did not utilize neural networks but reinforcement learning, where it
learned from trial and error at a massive scale.
75
Source: theguardian.com
Start-ups: funding and M&A
With the rise of AI, more and more start-ups venture into the market. Most
work in the field of machine learning algorithms, followed by natural language
processing. The annual global funding of AI start-ups experienced an average
growth rate of almost 70%, increasing from US$0.6 billion in 2012 to US$4.9
billion in 2016. The corresponding number of deals grew by 47% in the same
time frame, from 151 in 2012 to 703 in 2016.
In terms of M&A, the number of deals jumped up by 38% in 2017. Looking at
the most recent M&A deals, big tech companies like Google, Apple, Amazon,
Microsoft, IBM, or Facebook have often been the acquirer. But Chinese tech
giants like Baidu or rising stars in the start-up world, like Twitter, Uber, or
Spotify, also acquire AI companies.
76
Highest number of AI start-ups in
machine learning applications
Overview (1/2)
With the rise of AI, more and more start-ups venture into the market. Most work in the field of
machine learning applications, followed by natural language processing. As of March 2018, start-ups
focusing on applications for machine learning also received the most funding with almost US$19
billion.
The annual global funding of AI start-ups experienced a high growth of almost 72% CAGR1, from
US$1.7 billion in 2013 to US$15.2 billion in 2017. The corresponding number of deals grew by 44% in
the same time frame, from 310 in 2013 to 1349 in 2017.
Machine learning
866
applications
Natural language
350
processing
Machine learning
321
platforms
Computer vision
263
applications
Virtual personal
232
assistants
Computer vision
221
platforms
Speech
183
recognition
Recommendation
113
engines
Gesture control 64
Context aware
33
computing
Video content
28
recognition
Speech-to-speech
21
translation
77
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
Source: Venture Scanner, as of Oct 2018
Funding of AI start-ups grew at a
CAGR1 of about 72% up to 2017
Overview (2/2)
15.2
+72.1%1
6.3
4.6
3.5
1.7
23% 25%
32%
38%
50%
77% 75%
68%
62%
50%
78
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(1/13)
79
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(2/13)
80
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(3/13)
81
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(4/13)
82
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(5/13)
83
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(6/13)
84
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(7/13)
85
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(8/13)
86
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(9/13)
87
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(10/13)
88
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(11/13)
89
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(12/13)
90
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
AI start-ups ranked by funding
(13/13)
91
Note: Data as of December 2018
Source: CB Insights, Crunchbase
Number of M&A deals grew by 38%
from 2016 to 2017
Mergers & acquisitions
After a robust growth from 2015 to 2016, the number of M&A deals jumped up by 38% in 2017.
Looking at the most recent M&A deals, big tech companies like Google, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft,
IBM, or Facebook have often been the acquirer. But Chinese tech giants like Baidu or rising stars in
the start-up world, like Twitter, Uber, or Spotify, also buy AI companies.
The biggest deal (with announced deal size) has been Microsoft’s acquisition of GitBub – a company
that provides a large code repository that is used by developers and companies for hosting projects,
documentation, and code for US$7,500 million in October 2018.
38%
119
87%
86
12%
78%
46
41
23
92
Source: CB Insights
Recent M&A deals (1/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides a large code
repository that is used by
GitHub developers and companies for 7500 Microsoft Oct 2018
hosting projects,
documentation, and code
Provides an AI-based engine
which automatically locates
DataFox and pulls the most current n/a Oracle Oct 2018
information available on public
and private businesses
Provides conversational AI
technology to be used in
Semantic Machines n/a Microsoft May 2018
customer service and home
automation
Cloud workload mobility
software that helps
Velostrata n/a Google May 2018
organizations move workloads
to and from public cloud
93
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (2/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides a data analytics
Sqrrl tool to combat 40 Amazon Jan 2018
cybersecurity threats
A conversational commerce
platform to connect
Banter n/a Google Nov 2017
businesses with customers
via messaging apps
A neural network-based AI
platform and SDK to quickly
AIMatter n/a Google Aug 2017
detect and process images
on mobile devices
A company that provides
solutions based on artificial
Halli Labs n/a Google July 2017
intelligence and machine
learning
94
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (3/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
A machine learning start-up
that works on natural
KITT.AI n/a Baidu July 2017
language understanding
technologies
Provides eye-tracking
SensoMotoric
technology useful for VR n/a Apple June 2017
Instruments
and AR applications
Uses AI to turn dark or
Lattice Data unstructured data into 200 Apple May 2017
structured data
95
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (4/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides cybersecurity
Harvest.ai 20 Amazon Jan 2017
solutions
Duck
Develops enterprise data Creek
Yodil n/a Dec 2016
management software Techno-
logies
Geometric Develops machine learning
n/a Uber Dec 2016
Intelligence techniques
An AI platform that solves
the data integration needs
General
Bit Stew Systems of utilities, aviation, oil and 153 Nov 2016
Electric
gas, and manufacturing
industries
Develops machine learning
applications for the General
Wise.io n/a Nov 2016
customer experience Electric
market
A computer vision company
that develops accurate
Zurich Eye position information for n/a Facebook Nov 2016
robots to navigate in indoor
and outdoor environments
96
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (5/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
A machine learning
Tuplejump company that simplifies the 20 Apple Sep 2016
handling of big data
Provides natural language
Genee processing to schedule n/a Microsoft Aug 2016
meetings
Provides self-driving
Otto 680 Uber Aug 2016
technology
Provides computer vision
SAIPS n/a Ford Aug 2016
solutions
97
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (6/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Develops cloud-based data
technology solutions that
Expert maker help automate and optimize n/a eBay May 2016
data-driven decisions and
processes
Provides machine-learning-
Crosswise based cross-device mapping 50 Oracle Apr 2016
data
Provides natural language
MetaMind processing and image n/a Salesforce Apr 2016
recognition solutions
Provides an open-source-
Prediction IO based machine learning n/a Salesforce Feb 2016
server
Provides AI-powered
SwiftKey 250 Microsoft Feb 2016
smartphone keyboards
Provides recommendation
Hunch and predictive analytics n/a n/a Jan 2016
technology
Provides a cognitive
Saffron
computing platform for n/a Intel Oct 2015
Technology
industries
98
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (7/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides AI software that
helps computers and people
VocalIQ n/a Apple Oct 2015
speak to each other in a
more natural dialogue
Offers a cloud-based image
analysis solution that
Orbeus n/a Amazon Sep 2015
identifies faces, scenes, and
objects
Provides geospatial software
deCarta n/a Uber Aug 2015
platforms
Develops machine learning
Whetlab technologies based on n/a Twitter June 2015
artificial intelligence software
99
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (8/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides actionable social
Sociocast intelligence for web and n/a AOL Mar 2015
mobile platforms
Provides natural language
Wit.AI n/a Facebook Jan 2015
solutions for apps or devices
Provides prescriptive
Granata
analytics technology to
Decision n/a Google Jan 2015
organizations and
Systems
individuals
Develops text analysis
Equivio software for the legal 200 Microsoft Jan 2015
market
Enables developers to build
Wit.AI a Siri-like speech interface n/a Facebook Jan 2015
for apps and devices
Provides object recognition
and text recognition
Vision Factory n/a Google Oct 2014
systems based on deep
learning
Engaged in deep learning
Dark Blue Labs technologies to understand n/a Google Oct 2014
natural language
Creates visual city guides by
analyzing photos from social
Jetpac media to infer key n/a Google Aug 2014
information about the
places they were taken
An AI-powered assistant
that can schedule
Emu n/a Google Aug 2014
appointments and sets
reminders
Develops revenue analytics
Freshplum solutions for eCommerce n/a TellApart July 2014
companies
100
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Recent M&A deals (9/9)
Deal value
Company Description in mUS$ Acquirer Date
Provides a cognitive
Cogenea computing and n/a IBM May 2014
conversational AI platform
Provider of voice
Novauris
recognition software for n/a Apple Apr 2014
Technologies
mobile devices
An AI platform that
performs a variety of AI
DeepMind tasks; it is not pre- 600 Google Jan 2014
programmed and can learn
from experience
101
Source: CB Insights, company websites
Competitive landscape
Companies from various industries are currently developing AI and related
applications. Google, IBM and Microsoft are leading AI innovations in the IT
industry, whereas Amazon and eBay are investing in AI to improve their
eCommerce platform, and ridesharing company Uber is using AI for
autonomous driving, food deliveries, and mapping research.
Collaborative development is on the rise, and leading companies such as
Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google/DeepMind, IBM, and Microsoft are currently
working in partnership towards developing AI applications. The acquisition of
small-scale AI companies in relevant fields by tech giants like Apple, IBM, and
Microsoft is decreasing the learning curve. Other leading companies include
Baidu, Facebook, and Salesforce.
102
Most of the leading AI companies
are from the U.S.
Company comparison
Revenue
1
Company Headquarter in bnUS$ Key AI areas
Text-to-speech, computer vision, deep
Amazon Washington, U.S. 177.9 learning, NLP
103
1: As of Dec 2017 2: As of Sep 2018 3: As of June 2018 4: As of Jan 2018
Source: Annual reports, corporate news letters
Amazon works in various areas to
advance Alexa's capabilities
Amazon (1/2)
Amazon.com, Inc., incorporated in 1996, is a Seattle-based company that primarily sells a range of
products and services through its online retail platform. In addition, the company also manufactures
and sells electronic devices, including the portable reading devices Kindle eReaders and Fire tablets,
Fire TVs, and Echo. It provides online direct publishing platforms for independent authors and
publishers to publish books in the Kindle Store, an online repository of eBooks.
In November 2016, Amazon launched its AI platform, which consists of new services such as
Rekognition, Amazon Polly, and Lex for enterprises. The company has invested US$100 million in the
Alexa Fund, which has so far invested in 22 start-ups working at various stages of product
development. In addition, Amazon has created the Alexa Prize in the field of conversational AI,
challenging university students to develop bots that can hold human conversation.
R&D areas
Natural language
Machine learning Deep learning
understanding
104
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Amazon’s AI research is used in
several services and features
Amazon (2/2)
Amazon‘s current AI service initiatives are focused around natural language understanding (NLU),
automatic speech recognition (ASR), visual search and image recognition, text-to-speech (TTS), and
machine learning (ML).
The company aims at using the outcomes of AI research in the following services:
105
Source: Company information, press releases, CB Insights
One focus area of Apple’s AI
initiatives is enhancing battery life
Apple
Over the years, Apple has kept its AI projects and research publications shrouded in secrecy.
However, in December 2016, the company published its first AI paper, describing how image
recognition training can be enhanced by using computer-generated images over real-world images.
Since then, Apple has joined the Partnership on AI, which has Amazon, Facebook, Google/DeepMind,
IBM, and Microsoft as its members. Apart from advances in Siri, Apple currently uses AI and machine
learning to improve the battery life across its product line, based on consumer usage patterns and
data on how to manage power consumption at a component level.
R&D areas
106
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Baidu’s Big Data Lab works in
several AI areas
Baidu (1/2)
Baidu was incorporated in 2000 and is a Beijing-based technology company that primarily provides a
Chinese-language internet search platform. In addition, the company also offers, among other things,
social networking, photo sharing, entertainment, security, music products, software, mapping
services, and mobile applications. The company sells its products through its direct sales team and
third-party distributors.
Baidu formed its Big Data Lab in July 2014, which focuses on developing large-scale AI algorithms and
applications in areas such as predictive analytics, large data structure algorithms, and intelligent
systems research. The lab’s AI projects include core search technologies, robots, and knowledge-
based AI.
R&D areas
107
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
One area of Baidu’s AI research is
robots
Baidu (2/2)
▪ Robots: Baidu is developing intelligent robots that can not only have a one-on-one conversation
with humans but can also ask questions to get a better understanding of their latent intentions.
DuNurse is an example of a robot developed for healthcare applications. It can diagnose potential
medical conditions and make recommendations on the line of treatment.
▪ Knowledge-based AI: using voice and language recognition to analyze large volumes of
unstructured data for use in domains such as professional query-answering, high quality web
search, and automated legal advice.
▪ Other initiatives:
− Baidu is developing a speech recognition engine with an expected accuracy of 99%. Its latest
product, called Deep Speech 2, uses deep learning to recognize words spoken in English and
Mandarin and is currently used in several Baidu apps such as Duer (Siri equivalent) and Melody
(a chatbot that assists doctors with recommendations and treatment options).
− In February 2017, Baidu acquired Raven Tech, an AI start-up developing a voice recognition
assistant.
− In September 2016, Baidu launched a US$200 million venture capital fund to invest in AI
projects.
108
Source: Company information, press releases, CB Insights
eBay’s AI efforts aim to improve
communication in eCommerce
eBay (1/2)
eBay Inc., headquartered in San Jose, California, provides an online platform that connects buyers
with sellers worldwide. The platform enables registered sellers to create a virtual online store from
where buyers can search and select products to buy. The company offers a retail platform via the
web and also through mobile applications. In addition, the company also sells tickets to sports
events, concerts, and live shows through its online ticketing platform stubhub.com.
eBay aims at improving buyer/seller communications through the use of AI. The company made
many AI-related acquisitions in 2016 in the areas of predictive analytics, cloud-based AI, and big data.
R&D areas
109
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
eBay‘s AI initiatives focus on buyers
and sellers
eBay (2/2)
eBay’s current area of focus in AI is to achieve real-time customer behavior analysis to deliver
personalized experiences to its customers.
Its key AI initiatives are:
110
Source: Company information, press releases
Facebook created its AI research
group in 2013
Facebook (1/2)
Facebook, founded in 2004, is a technology company that provides social media, mobile application,
and communications platforms. It owns several other popular social media platforms, such as the
photo-sharing platform Instagram and the instant communication application WhatsApp, which
allows people to connect and interact with each other. The company also offers a virtual reality
platform, Oculus VR, that allows users to play games, consume content, and connect with others in
an immersive and interactive environment.
In 2013, the company created the Facebook Artificial Intelligence Research group (FAIR), which is run
by neural networks expert Yann LeCun and has over 60 researchers and scientists. In 2015,
Facebook launched the Applied Machine Learning (AML) group, which is helmed by Joaquin Candela
and integrates its overall AI efforts into the company’s products. The division looks after language
technology, core machine learning, computational photography, computer vision, and image
recognition.
R&D areas
Deep Text
111
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Facebook’s AI initiatives focus on
enhanced text understanding
Facebook (2/2)
Facebook is currently working on the following areas in terms of AI research and development:
FBLearner Flow: is its machine learning platform, which can reuse
algorithms across various products to deliver a unique personalized
experience for every user. According to a company post, the AI system,
which is used by more than 25% of its engineering team, is used, among
other things, to rank and personalize News Feed stories, filter offensive
content, highlight trending topics, and rank search results.
112
Source: Company information, press releases
Google’s AI efforts touch various
industries and services
Google (1/3)
Google, a global technology company founded in 1998, offers search, advertising, operating systems
and platforms, enterprise, and hardware products. The company operates as a subsidiary of
Alphabet Inc. and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. Even though Google started its AI
research many years ago, it was the acquisition of British AI company DeepMind in 2014 for over
US$600 million that marked the beginning of the next era of AI development in the company. Since
then, Alphabet has been one of the biggest spenders on AI development in the world. DeepMind is
currently focused on developing AI applications to help manage energy infrastructure, hone health-
care systems, and improve access to clean water.
Google Brain handles all aspects of AI development and application, with the technology now
touching almost all areas of its business, including vehicles, healthcare, translation, photography, and
advertising.
R&D areas
113
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Google is using AI to upgrade its
traditional offerings
Google (2/3)
Google is currently working on the following areas in terms of AI research and developments:
Search advertising: Google Search, which generated over 90% of the
company’s revenues, is reinventing itself through AI and machine learning.
In 2015, Google launched a deep learning system called RankBrain, which
delivers more accurate search results by teaching itself to interpret
queries based on a person’s intent as opposed to a predefined program.
The algorithm is essentially capable of guessing words or phrases with a
similar meaning and of filtering the results accordingly, thereby enabling it
to deliver accurate results, even for novel queries.
114
Source: Company information, press releases
Besides healthcare, Google’s AI
efforts also include automobiles
Google (3/3)
115
1: Waymo is a subsidiary of Alphabet, Google‘s parent company
Source: Company information, press releases
IBM’s AI efforts started in the 1950s
with an AI checkers player
IBM (1/2)
IBM’s AI efforts date back to the 1950s, when it created a checkers player that learned from
experience. The company’s AI initiatives gained prominence with the development of the AI-powered
Deep Blue computer platform, which defeated chess grand master Garry Kasparov in 1997.
Currently, IBM’s AI initiatives are focused on search and planning optimization, machine learning,
deep question answering, knowledge representation, and cognitive architectures.
R&D areas
Natural language
processing
IBM Image recognition
116
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Watson is one of IBM’s main AI
projects
IBM (2/2)
IBM is currently working on the following areas in terms of AI research and developments:
Watson: a supercomputer that applies NLP, information retrieval,
knowledge representation, automated reasoning, and machine learning
technologies to answer questions. The intelligence platform was originally
developed to answer questions on the quiz show Jeopardy. The Watson
platform can now be used in retail, healthcare, hospitality, entertainment,
aerospace, and other sectors.
Bluemix (PaaS1) cloud services: Along with Watson, IBM is also working on
machine learning initiatives to expand the Bluemix (PaaS) cloud services.
The company is working towards integrating natural language pattern
recognition, predictive analytics, and image recognition under Bluemix
service offerings.
1: Platform as a Service, in which the service provider rents out platforms such as 117
application servers, databases, and mobile back-end services as a service
Source: Company information, press releases
Microsoft’s AI efforts include edu-
cation, healthcare, and training
Microsoft (1/2)
In September 2016, Microsoft announced that it had formed the Microsoft AI and Research Group,
which consists of over 5,000 computer scientists and engineers and includes product engineering,
basic and applied research labs, and New Experiences and Technologies (NExT). Led by Harry Shum,
the division focuses on building AI capabilities across various areas, including agents (Cortana), apps
(Skype, Office 365, and Microsoft Photo), services (vision, speech, and machine analytics), and
infrastructure (AI supercomputer Azur). In December 2016, the company launched an investment
fund, a part of Microsoft Ventures, to make AI-related investments in areas such as education,
healthcare, and training.
R&D areas
Training
118
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Various Microsoft AI projects focus
on healthcare applications
Microsoft (2/2)
▪ Developing simulations which detail the progress of cancer in different patients' bodies
▪ InnerEye: an AI tool that uses machine vision to give radiation oncologists a 3D view of CT scans of
tumors
▪ Developing a new chatbot with the ability to help people assess their symptoms before going to a
clinic
▪ Healthcare NExT: integrate work from Microsoft's Research and AI units and other industry
participants to reduce data entry tasks, diagnostic procedures, and ease outpatient care
119
Source: bloomberg.com, fortune.com, company information, press releases
In 2016, Salesforce acquired several
companies specialized on AI
Salesforce
R&D areas
Natural language
processing
Salesforce Image recognition
120
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
Uber seriously committed to
develop its AI capabilities in 2016
Uber (1/2)
Uber is a technology start-up that connects drivers with people who need a drive through a mobile
application. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.
Uber is headquartered in San Francisco, California, whereas its engineering center is based in
Bengaluru, India.
R&D areas
121
1: CNBC 2: PitchBook
Source: Annual report, company information, press releases
One of Uber’s focus areas regarding
AI research is autonomous driving
Uber (2/2)
Uber’s AI lab is focused on developing advanced algorithms that will enable machine learning with
fewer data requirements and training AI systems using both data and explicit rules.
Below are Uber’s areas of AI focus:
Food deliveries: Uber started its food delivery service UberEats as a pilot
program in 2014, which was offered in more than 26 countries in March
2017. The company uses AI to calculate delivery time considering the
traffic, vehicle position, and type of food ordered. In addition, machine
learning is being used to generate restaurant recommendations and to
integrate popular payment options to make transactions quickly and
easily.
Mapping research: The company uses AI for analyzing traffic signs and the
number of traffic signals on a particular road to improve mapping
research, which can be used for predicting the arrival and total travel time
of vehicles.
122
Source: Company information, press releases
Appendix
123
Glossary
124
About the Statista Global Consumer Survey
90 150 7 30,000+
+ +
years (2017- interactive
2023) statistics
The Digital market
Market Outlook presents up-to-date figures on markets of the
regions
digital economy.s The comparable key figures are based on extensive analyses
of relevant indicators from the areas of society, economy, and technology.
What is the size of the eCommerce fashion market in Spain?
How many connected cars are already on the road in China?
The answers to these and many more questions can be found in Statista's
Digital Market Outlook. It provides forecasts, detailed market insights, and key
indicators for the digital economy.
Direct access & downloads, fully integrated into the Statista database
Dev Mehta
Ann-Kristin Hamke
W W W . S T A T I S T A . C O M