CQF January 2017 M3S4 Exercises Updated

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CQF Lecture 3.

3 Understanding Volatility
Exercises

1. Explain what actual and implied volatilities are, and what is their relationship? Name
three assumptions made in estimation of actual volatility from the market option prices.

2. The market price for a European put with strike 100, expiration one year, interest rate
is 5% p.a. is quoted at $5.57 for stock value at $100. How do you find its implied
volatility?

3. Assume a time-dependent volatility function σ(t). Consistent with Black-Scholes


framework, the implied volatility σi (t, T ) measured at time t of an European option
expiring at time T must satisfy
s
Z T
1
σi (t, T ) = σ 2 (s) ds
T −t t

Solve the inverse problem (an integral equation) to show that, at calibration time t∗ ,
the volatility function σ(t) must be consistent the implied volatility σi as follows:
∂σi (t∗ , t)
σ 2 (t) = 2(t − t∗ ) σi (t∗ , t) + σi2 (t∗ , t)
∂t

4. Suppose implied volatilities are observable at Ti , i = 0, 1, 2, · · · , n, with T0 = t∗ is the


date of calibration (fitting). Assuming that the actual volatility function is piecewise
constant, show that for Ti−1 < t < Ti the total variance is (this is discretised Q3)
(Ti − t∗ ) σi2 (t∗ , Ti ) − (Ti−1 − t∗ ) σi2 (t∗ , Ti−1 )
σ 2 (t) =
Ti − Ti−1

5. Denote the actual volatility by σa and implied volatility by σi , where subscript ‘a’
means actual and ‘i’ means implied. Similarly, ∆a means ∆ is calculated using actual
volatility in N (d1 ), and ∆i means ∆ is calculated by using implied volatility. Assume
that an asset follows the GBM with continuous dividend rate D, and an option written
on this asset is denoted by V (S, t; σ).
Within the Black-Scholes framework, what is the Mark-to-Market profit if one hedges
the option by using actual volatility to calculate Delta. How is this profit going to be
realised (guaranteed or not)?
What about the Mark-to-Market profit if hedging with the implied volatility?

The exercises have been edited by CQF Faculty, Richard Diamond, [email protected]

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