Manual For SOA Exam MLC.: Chapter 5. Life Annuities Actuarial Problems
Manual For SOA Exam MLC.: Chapter 5. Life Annuities Actuarial Problems
Manual For SOA Exam MLC.: Chapter 5. Life Annuities Actuarial Problems
2009.
c Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved.
Extract from:
”Arcones’ Manual for SOA Exam MLC. Fall 2009 Edition”,
available at http://www.actexmadriver.com/
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(E) The possible payments to the living are 10, 20, 30, at times 0,
30, 60, respectively. Let T40 be the age–at-death of (40). T40 has
a uniform distribution (0.70). We have that:
if 30 ≥ T40 , Y = 10,
if 60 ≥ T40 > 30, Y = 10 + (20)(1.04)−30 = 16.16637336,
if T40 > 60,
Y = 10 + (20)(1.04)−30 + (30)(1.04)−60 = 19.01818539.
We also have that
30 30 10
P{30 ≥ T40 } = , P{60 ≥ T40 > 30} = and P{T40 > 60} = .
70 70 70
Hence,
30 30 10
E [Y ] = (10) + (16.16637336) + (19.01818539) = 13.93104364,
70 70 70
30 30 10
E [Y 2 ] = (10)2 + (16.16637336)2 + (19.01818539)2 = 206.53517
70 70 70
Var(Y ) = 206.5351798 − (13.93104364)2 = 12.4612029.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
µ 0.03 3
Ax = = = ,
δ+µ 0.05 + 0.03 8
2 0.03 3
Ax = = ,
(2)0.05 + 0.03 13
3
1 − Ax 1− 8 100
ax = = = = 12.5,
δ 0.05 8
2 !
1 3 3
Var(aT (x)| ) = 2
− = 36.05769231
(0.05) 13 8
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
Hence,
P aT (x)| ≥ ax − g
!
1 − e −(0.05)T (x) √
=P ≥ 12.5 − 36.05769231
0.05
√
=P 1 − (0.05)(12.5 − 36.05769231) ≥ e −(0.05)T (x)
=P 0.6752402884 ≥ e −(0.05)T (x)
=P (−(20) ln(0.6752402884) ≤ T (x)) = e (0.03)(20) ln(0.6752402884)
=0.7900871674.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
Calculate the expected loss at issue for ABC (using the revised
mortality assumption) as a percentage of the contract premium.
(A) 2% (B) 8% (C) 15% (D) 20% (E) 23%
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
arev
x − ax = 23.0326533 − 20 = 3.0326533.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(A) Let Ÿ1 , . . . , Ÿ250 be the present value random variables made
by this insurance to each of the 250 individuals. We have that
1 − Ax 1 − 0.369131
äx = = 0.06
= 11.14535233,
d 1.06
X250
E Ÿj = (250)(500)(11.14535233) = 1393169.041,
j=1
250 2 A − (A )2
x x
X
Var Ÿj = (250)(500)2 2
d
j=1
0.1774113 − (0.369131)2
=(250)(500)2 = 802781083.3.
0.06 2
1.06
Let Q be the size of the funds satisfying the requirement. Hence,
Q is a 90% percentile of a normal distribution with mean
1393169.041 and variance 802781083.3. So,
√
Q = 1393169.041 + (1.28) 802781083.3 = 1429435.782.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(#20, Exam M, Fall 2005) For a group of lives age x, you are
given:
(i) Each member of the group has a constant force of mortality
that is drawn from the uniform distribution on [0.01, 0.02].
(ii) δ = 0.01
For a member selected at random from this group, calculate the
actuarial present value of a continuous lifetime annuity of 1 per
year.
(A) 40.0 (B) 40.5 (C) 41.1 (D) 41.7 (E) 42.3
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(B) The APV of a continuous annuity with rate one per year under
1
constant mortality rate µ is E [Y |µ] = µ+0.01 . The APV for a
random member of the group is
Z ∞
1
E [Y ] = E [E [Y |µ]] = fµ (µ) dµ
0 µ + 0.01
Z 0.02
1 1
= dµ
0.01 0.01 + µ 0.02 − 0.01
0.02
=(100) ln(0.01 + µ) = (100) ln(3/2) = 40.54651081.
0.01
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(#4, Exam M, Fall 2006) For a pension plan portfolio, you are
given:
(i) 80 individuals with mutually independent future lifetimes are
each to receive a whole life annuity-due.
(ii) i = 0.06
(iii)
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c Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.
Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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c Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.
Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(#5, Exam M, Fall 2006) Your company sells a product that pays
the cost of nursing home care for the remaining lifetime of the
insured.
(i) Insureds who enter a nursing home remain there until death.
(ii) The force of mortality, µ, for each insured who enters a nursing
home is constant.
(iii) µ is uniformly distributed on the interval [0.5, 1].
(iv) The cost of nursing home care is 50,000 per year payable
continuously.
(v) δ = 0.045
Calculate the actuarial present value of this benefit for a randomly
selected insured who has just entered a nursing home.
(A) 60,800 (B) 62,900 (C) 65,100 (D) 67,400 (E)
69,800
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
50000 50000
(50000)ax = = .
µ+δ µ + 0.045
The APV of the benefit for a random selected insured is
Z 1 1
50000 1
d µ = (100000) ln(µ + 0.045)
0.5 µ + 0.045 1 − 0.5 0.5
=(100000) ln(1.045/0.545) = 65098.63697.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
−0.05Tx
(D) We have that Y = Y x = 1−e0.05 . Let q be the 75–th
quantile of the distribution of Y x . Let ξ be the 75–th quantile of
−0.05t
the distribution of Tx . Since y = h(t) = 1−e0.05 is increasing,
q = h(ξ). We have that
ξ
0.75 = P{Tx ≤ ξ} = .
80
and ξ = 60. Hence,
1 − e −(0.05)(60) 1 − e −3
q= = = 19.00426.
0.05 0.05
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
µ
(D) We have that 0.3443 = Ax = µ+0.08 and
(0.3443)(0.08)
µ= 1−0.3443 = 0.04200702. Therefore,
2 µ 0.04200702
Ax = = = 0.2079483,
µ + 2δ 0.04200702 + 2(0.08)
2A − (Ax )2 0.2079483 − (0.3443)2
x
Var(aT (x)| ) = Var(Y x ) = =
δ2 (0.08)2
=13.96966.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(A) Let π be the single benefit premium for this annuity. We have
that
π = πA130:30| + (200)30 E30 ä60 = π(A30 − 30 E30 A60 ) + (200)30 E30 ä60
8188074
=π(0.10248 − (1.06)−30 (0.36913))
9501381
8188074
+ (200)(1.06)−30 (11.1454)
9501381
=0.04709420291π + 334.4604139
and
334.4604139
π= = 350.9900086.
1 − 0.04709420291
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
δ ln(1.06)
A70 = A70 = (0.53) = 0.5147086884,
i 0.06
A69 = q69 v + p69 vA70
=(0.03)(1.06)−1 + (0.03)(1.06)−1 (0.5147086884) = 0.4993088941,
(2) i 0.06
A69 = (2) A69 = (0.4993088941) = 0.5066894321,
i 0.0591260282
(2)
(2) 1 − A69 1 − 0.5066894321
ä69 = = = 8.59002931.
d (2) 0.05742827529
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
1 − 0.444 1 − 0.286
E [Y x |S = 1] = = 5.56, E [Y x |S = 0] = = 7.14.
0.1 0.1
Hence,
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
2 Asmoker −(Asmoker )2
(E) Solution 2: From 8.818 = Var(asmoker
T|
)= x
δ2
x
,
we get that
2 smoker
Ax = (0.444)2 + (8.818)(0.1)2 = 0.285316.
Similarly,
2 non−smoker
Ax = (0.286)2 + (8.503)(0.1)2 = 0.166826.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
1 − e −5(0.01+0.06) 1
ax = ax:5| + 5 Ex ax+5 = + e −5(0.01+0.06)
0.01 + 0.06 0.02 + 0.06
1 − e −0.35 1
= + e −0.35 = 13.0273427.
0.07 0.08
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
∗
(D) Solution 1: Let t px∗ and Ax be the values for the revised
table. We have that
Rt
∗
= e − 0 (µx (s)+0.03) ds = e −0.03t t px ,
t px
Z ∞
∗
Ax = e −0.03t t px∗ (µx (t) + 0.03) dt
0
Z ∞
= e −0.03t e −0.03t t px (µx (t) + 0.03) dt
0
Z ∞ Z ∞
= e −0.03t e −0.03t t px µx (t) dt + e −0.03t e −0.03t t px 0.03 dt
0 0
=Ax + (0.03)ax
1 − 0.60
=(0.60) + (0.03) = 0.8.
0.06
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
∗
Solution 2: Let t px∗ , Ax and a∗x be the values for the revised table.
We have that
Rt
∗
= e − 0 (µx (s)+0.03) ds = e −0.03t t px ,
t px
Z ∞ Z ∞
a∗x = e −0.03t t px∗ dt = e −0.03t e −0.03t t px dt
Z ∞ 0 0
1 − 0.60 20
= e −0.06t t px dt = ax = = ,
0 0.06 3
∗ 20
Ax = 1 − (0.03) = 0.8.
3
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(E) If µ = δ, then
µ 1 µ 1 1 1 1
Ax = = , 2 Ax = = , Var(Z x ) = − = ,
µ+δ 2 µ + 2δ 3 3 4 12
1 1
12.50 = ax = = .
µ+δ 2δ
1
So, δ = 25 = 0.04 and
q
q Var(Z x ) 25
Var(Y x ) = = √ = 7.216878365.
δ 12
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
0.06 0.03
Ax = (0.3) + (0.7) = 0.3194805195,
0.06 + 0.08 0.03 + 0.08
2 0.06 0.03
Ax = (0.3) + (0.7) = 0.1923444976,
0.06 + (2)0.08 0.03 + (2)0.08
Var(Z x ) 0.1923444976 − (0.3194805195)2
Var(aT (x)| ) = = = 14.105733
δ2 (0.08)2
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
(ii) i = 0.06
Calculate the variance of the present value random variable for this
annuity.
(A) 91 (B) 102 (C) 114 (D) 127 (E) 139
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Chapter 5. Life annuities. Actuarial problems.
P100 4
(D) The present value of all annuities is Y = j=1 (10) Y x,j .
Hence,
1 − 0.40
E [Y ] = (100)(10)4 ax = (10)6 = (10)7 ,
0.06
0.25 − (0.40)2 0.09
Var(Y ) = (100)(10)8 Var(Y x ) = (10)10 2
= (10)10 .
(0.06) (0.06)2
0.3
(10) + (0.128) = 10.64.
0.06
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