Prevalence, Mortality, and The Disease Burden of Pediatric Congenital Heart Disease in Taiwan
Prevalence, Mortality, and The Disease Burden of Pediatric Congenital Heart Disease in Taiwan
Prevalence, Mortality, and The Disease Burden of Pediatric Congenital Heart Disease in Taiwan
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
a
Department of Pediatrics, Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
b
Graduate Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University,
Taipei, Taiwan
c
Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, National Taiwan University Hospital and Medical College, National Taiwan
University, Taipei, Taiwan
d
Department of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Hospital and Medical College, National Taiwan University,
Taipei, Taiwan
e
Taiwan Bureau of National Health Insurance, Taipei, Taiwan
Received Feb 15, 2012; received in revised form Jun 15, 2012; accepted Jun 26, 2012
Key Words Background: In Taiwan, the incidence of congenital heart diseases (CHDs) and severe CHDs was
congenital heart 13.08 and 1.51 per 1000 live births, respectively. This study further elucidates the prevalence
disease; and mortality of pediatric CHD patients in Taiwan.
disease burden; Methods: From the National Health Insurance database 2000e2010, we retrieved the data of
pediatric; CHD patients (aged 0e18 years). Mortality data were obtained from the national death statis-
prevalence tics.
Results: In total, 45,119 pediatric CHD patients were identified, given the prevalence at 918.0
per 100,000 (107.1 for severe CHD and 853.8 for simple CHD). Ventricular septal defect, ostium
secundum-type atrial septal defect, patent ductus arteriosus, pulmonary stenosis, and
tetralogy of Fallot were the five most frequently diagnosed CHDs. In those aged 0e6 years,
the prevalence was 1233.7 per 100,000 (123.5 for severe CHD and 1149.6 for simple CHD).
The age-specific prevalence of both simple and severe CHDs declined rapidly after the age
of 10 years. From the death registry, we noted that more than 90% of CHD-related deaths
occurred before the age of 5 years. The probability of cardiac death in CHD patients during
* Corresponding author. Department of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Hospital, Number 7, Chung-Shen South Road, Taipei 100,
Taiwan.
E-mail address: [email protected] (M.-H. Wu).
1875-9572/$36 Copyright ª 2012, Taiwan Pediatric Association. Published by Elsevier Taiwan LLC. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pedneo.2012.11.010
114 S.-J. Yeh et al
infancy was 4.5%, with the cumulative probability reaching 5.44%, 5.68%, and 6.04% by the
ages of 5, 10, and 20 years, respectively.
Conclusion: Because most CHD deaths occurred within the first 5 years of life (mainly during
infancy), the relatively low prevalence of CHDs in the population aged 0e18 years (918/
100,000; 74% for those between 0 years and 6 years of age) and the rapid decline in the
age-specific prevalence of CHD after the age of 10 years was attributed to noncompliance
of the children to medical follow-up after they began schooling.
Copyright ª 2012, Taiwan Pediatric Association. Published by Elsevier Taiwan LLC. All rights
reserved.
745 Bulbus cordis anomalies and anomalies E 24.0 22.5 25.6 0.0265 21.3 (19.1e23.9)
of cardiac septal closure (excluding
745.0, 745.1, 745.2, 745.3, 745.4, 745.5,
745.6)
745.0 Common truncus S 7.3 7.0 7.7 0.6500 6.0 (4.8e7.4)
745.1 Transposition of great arteries (including S 15.5 19.8 10.9 <0.0001 18.7 (16.5e21.1)
745.10, but excluding 745.11, 745.12)
745.11 Double outlet right ventricle S 9.5 10.1 8.9 0.1517 13.7 (11.9e15.8)
745.12 Corrected transposition of great arteries S 1.9 2.2 1.5 0.0741 2.5 (1.8e3.5)
745.2 Tetralogy of Fallot S 51.4 55.9 46.5 <0.0001 54.9 (51.1e58.9)
745.3 Common ventricle S 6.5 7.0 6.0 0.1573 6.5 (5.3e8.0)
745.4 Ventricular septal defect E 329.9 316.2 344.8 <0.0001 426.1 (415.4e437.1)
745.5 Ostium secundum-type atrial septal E 318.0 277.9 361.5 <0.0001 477.8 (466.5e489.4)
defect
745.6 Endocardial cushion defect S 15.6 13.1 18.3 <0.0001 16.0 (14.1e18.3)
746.0 Pulmonary stenosis E 79.3 76.0 82.8 0.0075 94.4 (89.5e99.7)
746.1 Tricuspid atresia or stenosis S 3.5 4.1 2.9 0.0363 4.2 (3.2e5.4)
746.2 Congenital Ebstein’s anomaly E 3.7 3.1 4.4 0.0234 3.2 (2.4e4.3)
746.3 Aortic stenosis E 10.1 12.4 7.6 <0.0001 8.2 (6.8e9.8)
746.4 Congenital insufficiency of aortic valve E 3.0 3.5 2.5 0.0442 1.2 (0.8e2.0)
746.5 Congenital mitral stenosis S 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.6355 1.6 (1.0e2.4)
746.6 Congenital mitral insufficiency E 10.9 8.4 13.7 <0.0001 6.1 (4.9e7.6)
746.7 Hypoplastic left heart syndrome S 3.1 3.0 3.2 0.6586 5.1 (4.0e6.4)
746.81 Subaortic stenosis E 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9509 1.4 (0.9e2.1)
746.82 Cor triatriatum E 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.3980 1.2 (0.8e2.0)
746.83 Infundibular pulmonic stenosis E 4.4 4.4 4.3 0.9513 5.3 (4.2e6.7)
747.0 Patent ductus arteriosus E 129.5 97.1 164.7 <0.0001 153.4 (147.0e160.0)
747.1 Coarctation of aorta E 21.4 22.4 20.3 0.1140 32.3 (29.5e35.5)
747.3 Anomalies of pulmonary artery E 45.5 44.4 46.7 0.2429 51.2 (47.6e55.1)
747.41 Total anomalous pulmonary venous S 7.4 7.8 7.1 0.3603 11.5 (9.8e13.4)
connection
747.42 Partial anomalous pulmonary venous E 2.4 2.0 2.7 0.1168 2.9 (2.2e4.0)
connection
Subtotal of severe CHD 107.1 114.0 99.7 <0.0001 123.5 (117.8e129.5)
Subtotal of simple CHD 853.8 770.3 944.8 <0.0001 1149.6 (1132.0e1167.4)
Total 918.0 839.7 1003.2 <0.0001 1233.7 (1215.5e1252.1)
A p value <0.002 was defined as significant with Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons.
CHD Z congenital heart disease.
115
116 S.-J. Yeh et al
2.4. Statistical analyses who reached the age of 14 years, during the following
4 years, i.e., approximately 35.2% of its peak value. The
We used the SAS software (SAS, Cary, NC, USA) for statis- prevalence after the age of 14 years decreased further until
tical analyses. The overall and age-specific prevalence of adulthood, but at a slower rate. The age-specific preva-
each CHD subtype were calculated. The age-specific and lence of CHD in 18-year-old individuals was 330.8 per
gender-specific prevalence rates were estimated based on 100,000, approximately 22.5% of the peak value (Figure 1).
the age of prevalent patients in 2010. We estimated prev- The prevalence of simple CHD and severe CHD showed the
alence and its 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each diag- same pattern as total CHD, i.e., a decrease after the age of
nostic code using PROC GENMOD with binomial distribution. 10 years. The prevalence of severe CHD decreased to 72.0
All tests were two-sided. A statistically significant p value at 14 years of age, i.e., approximately 41.8% of its peak
of <0.002 was defined, after including Bonferroni correc- value, and further decreased at a slower rate to 53.2 per
tion for multiple comparisons. 100,000 at the age of 18 years, approximately 30.8% of the
Age-specific mortality and overall mortality due to CHD peak prevalence (Figure 1).
were calculated. The CHD mortality fraction was obtained Because the age-specific prevalence of CHD decreased
by dividing the number of patients who died from CHD by significantly after the age of 10 years, the prevalence of
the total number of deaths. CHD in preschool children aged 0e6 years was also exam-
ined (Table 1). In the age group of 6e10 years, the preva-
lence of CHD was 1233.7 per 100,000, i.e., 1149.6 for
3. Results simple CHD and 123.5 for severe CHD. Severe CHD repre-
sented 10% of all CHD cases. We found that ASDII (477.8 per
A total of 45,119 prevalent patients who fulfilled the 100,000 children) was the most common CHD in this age
inclusion criteria were identified. group, followed by VSD (426.1 per 100,000), PDA (153.4 per
100,000), PS (94.4 per 100,000), and TOF (54.9 per 100,000)
3.1. Prevalence of CHD in pediatric populations (Table 1).
The overall prevalence of pediatric CHD per 100,000 chil- 3.4. Mortality from CHD in pediatric populations
dren was 918.0 (95% CI, 909.6e926.4), and the prevalence
of simple CHD and severe CHD was 853.8 (95% CI, To elucidate the impact of mortality on disease prevalence,
845.7e862.0) and 107.1 (95% CI, 104.3e110.1), respectively the CHD-specific mortality rate was calculated from the
(Table 1). Severe CHD represented 11.6% of all CHD cases. values obtained from the database of Death Statistics in
The overall prevalence was lower than the summation of Taiwan. The CHD-specific mortality was 12.9 per 100,000 in
the simple CHD and severe CHD because of the coexistence children aged 0e5 years; this decreased to 2.7 per 100,000
of the two CHD types in the same patient. The most in the population aged 0e20 years (Table 2). The preva-
common diseases, in descending order, were VSD (329.9/ lence of age-specific CHD-related mortality was the highest
100,000), ostium secundum-type atrial septal defect (ASDII; during infancy (58.8 per 100,000) and declined to 6.2, 2.4,
318.0/100,000), patent ductus arteriosus (PDA; 129.5/ and <1 in children aged 1e2, 2e3, and 3e4 years,
100,000), pulmonary stenosis (PS; 79.3/100,000), tetralogy respectively. More than 90% (137/157 in 2008 and 124/132
of Fallot (TOF; 51.4/100,000), coarctation of aorta (21.4/ in 2009) of pediatric CHD-related deaths occurred within
100,000), endocardial cushion defect (15.6/100,000), and the first 5 years of life. Among the all-cause mortality, the
transposition of great arteries (15.5/100,000) (Table 1). CHD mortality fraction accounted for 11.7% and 6.6% in
These disorders accounted for 35.9%, 34.6%, 14.1%, 8.6%, children aged 0e5 years and 0e20 years, respectively. For
5.6%, 2.3%, 1.7%, and 1.7% of the total CHD cases, each age group, the highest fraction was found in children
respectively. aged 0e1 years and 1e2 years (13% deaths in both age
Table 2 The number of deaths from all causes and congenital cardiac anomalies (ICD-10 death codes Q20eQ28) in 2008e2009.
Age (y) Number of deaths CHD Mortality In an assumed birth cohort
All cause CHD cause mortality fraction Death Cumulative death
(105) from CHD*(%) probability probability from
Total Male Female
from CHDy (%) CHD cause (%)
0e1 1675 218 108 110 58.8 13.0 4.50 4.50
2 193 25 9 16 6.2 13.0 0.54 5.05
3 149 10 3 7 2.4 6.7 0.22 5.26
4 115 2 1 1 0.5 1.7 0.04 5.31
5 100 6 2 4 1.4 6.0 0.13 5.44
6e10 432 11 2 9 0.4 2.5 0.24 5.68
11e15 467 6 4 2 0.2 1.3 0.13 5.81
16e20 1242 11 6 5 0.6 0.9 0.24 6.04
0e5 2232 261 123 138 12.9 11.7
0e20 4373 289 135 154 2.7 6.6
CHD Z congenital heart disease.
* Mortality fraction from CHD cause is a percentage that denotes the number of CHD-related deaths divided by the number of deaths
from all causes.
y
Death probability from CHD cause was derived by assuming a cohort with a CHD incidence of 1308 per 100,000 and competing risk of
death from other causes.
groups). The probability of cardiac death from CHD was the However, the proportions of PDA (14.1% vs. 15.4%) and PS
highest during infancy, with a probability of 4.5% that (8.6% vs. 9.3%) were high in the neonatal cohort. High
rapidly decreased to 0.54% in children aged 1e2 years and spontaneous remission rates and successful interventions at
0.22% in children aged 2e3 years. The probability was quite a young age might be the reason for the decreased
low after the age of 5 years. The cumulative probability of proportion of both types of CHD in subsequent follow-ups.
cardiac death by the ages of 5, 10, 15, and 20 years was As shown in Table 1, although the prevalence of CHD in
5.44%, 5.68%, 5.81%, and 6.04%, respectively. children aged 0e6 years was found to be 1233 per 100,000
[similar to total CHD incidence (1308 per 100,000)10], the
overall prevalence of CHDs in children aged 0e18 years was
4. Discussion only 918 per 100,000 (i.e., 70.1% of CHD incidence and
74.5% of CHD prevalence in the population aged 0e6 years).
For studying congenital anomalies, both incidence and Age-specific prevalence decreased dramatically after the
prevalence are investigated but represent different attri- age of 10 years. Less than 30% of patients complied with
butes. Incidence reflects the genetic variation or racial regular cardiac follow-ups up to the age of 18 years,
differences involved in diseases, and prevalence reflects regardless of whether they had simple or severe CHD. Such
the incidence, mortality, and duration of the disease, as a change in age-specific prevalence of CHD cannot be
well as the disease burden for the society in which it explained by the natural or unnatural course of the disease,
occurs. Although CHD prevalence should be close to its because the cumulative probability of death in CHD
incidence, prevalence may be lower after accounting for patients from birth to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years of age was
mortality and patients lost to follow-up. Based on the only 5.44%, 5.68%, 5.81%, and 6.04%, respectively. In
information obtained from our national databases, the addition, there are 19 medical centers in Taiwan providing
following two main findings were observed in the present pediatric cardiac programs under almost full NHI coverage;
study: (1) the prevalence of pediatric CHD patients who medical access for CHD care is easy. Therefore, the lack of
required/received medical care was 918 per 100,000, with willingness to attend continual cardiac follow-up after
a rapid decline after the age of 10 years; and (2) the entering school seems to be the major reason for the
cumulative probability of death by the time the children decline in age-specific prevalence. Similar trends have
were of the age of 10 years and 15 years was 5.68% and been observed in previous longitudinal follow-up stud-
5.81%, respectively. This decline in age-specific prevalence ies.17e19 Mackie et al19 reported that the compliance rate
after the age of 10 years is attributed to poor compliance of for continual cardiac follow-up was only 72% at 6e12 years
older children to medical follow-ups rather than to and 53% at 13e17 years in CHD patients who were diag-
mortality. nosed before the age of 6 years.19 Male patients and those
The most common types of CHDs were VSD, ASDII, PDA, with less severe CHD are less likely to pursue follow-up
PS, and TOF, but the incidence and prevalence differed for care.19 Despite this factor, the noncompliance rate is very
each CHD group.9 The prevalent patients had a higher high in Taiwan, the reasons for which should be investi-
proportion of VSD (35.9% vs. 30.7%), ASDII (34.6% vs. 24.7%), gated in the future. Such low adherence might cause
and TOF (5.6% vs. 4.8%) than the neonatal cohort.10 This unnecessary complications such as bacterial endocarditis,
difference might be explained by the longer natural history hyperviscosity syndrome, and iron deficiency anemia; these
and good survival rate after intervention for these CHDs.9 complications result in increased morbidity, subsequent
118 S.-J. Yeh et al
mortality, and disease burden in children with CHD as they children and adults in the United States, 1999 to 2006. Circu-
grow up. lation 2010;122:2254e63.
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