The Pricing of Discretionary Accruals - Evidence From Pakistan
The Pricing of Discretionary Accruals - Evidence From Pakistan
The Pricing of Discretionary Accruals - Evidence From Pakistan
Zunera Khalid*
Farah Yasser**
Abstract
Even now with the cutting edge businesses and specialized management, a large
number of the firms are owned by families in Pakistan. Agency disagreements and
issues exist between the management and the owners as well as the minority
shareholders and the block holders. To handle these feuds, accountants use
discretionary accruals. These accruals help to manage earnings and smooth
sharp trends to protect the interest of management and the owners. This study
determines whether the investors manage the earnings through discretionary
accruals or do they price these accruals when considering the stock price. This
study finds significant evidence that the market prices discretionary accruals. We
find that the firms with higher number of institutional ownership, high quality
audit production and higher number of independent board have significantly
higher impact of discretionary accruals on their stock returns as compared to
other firms.
**** Assistant Professor, School of Commerce and Accountancy, University of Management and
Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
Email: [email protected]
In today’s modern business, most of the firms are owned by the families.
Major agency conflict and issues exist not only between the management and the
owners but between the minority shareholders and the management (controlling
family) as well. Trust holds a key position in today’s financial analysis procedures
due to increased agency conflicts. Management is answerable to the shareholders
for their each and every decision. There are many other stakeholders in the firm
and everyone tries to make such decisions into his/her best interest.
The first section of this paper contains introduction, whereas, second section
contains literature review, data and methodology is presented in third section, and
the fourth section contains results and conclusion.
2. Literature Review
There are many studies that have evaluated the ability of discretionary accruals
measurement models to divide the earnings into two parts, discretionary and non-
discretionary components by using their time series properties. We will use the
model prescribed by Dechowet. al. (1995) to measure the discretionary accruals.
Studies done to examine the pricing of accruals have found the association
between market prices and discretionary accruals to be positive (Subramanyam,
1996; Beaver & Engel, 1996; Chung, Ho, & Kim, 2001). These studies found
significant evidence about the market measuring discretionary accruals.
Hazarika, Karpoff, and Nahata (2012) found that the probability and speed
of CEO turnover are significantly identified with an organization's earnings
management. They found that the connection between earnings management and
forceful CEO turnover existed in both firms with great and terrible strategy as
before the accruals were used to flatten the reported earnings and in the latter to
fatten the reported earnings. These results showed that boards tend to act
proactively to train managers who oversee earnings, before the controls lead to
immoderate outer consequences.
Hsu and Wen (2015) investigated the impact of ownership structure and
board characteristics on discretionary accruals and real earnings management. The
results demonstrated that establishments with high shareholding proportion or
extraordinary shareholding focus give managers incentives to control
discretionary accruals for short-term profitability. The more significant insider
possessions can adequately regulate managers and restrict them to control real
earnings and to bring about the impediment of firm value. With respect to board
structure, setting up independent directors is incapable in monitoring the earnings
management conduct of the managers. With the duality of the board chairman and
CEO, the organization would control discretionary accruals to meet its objective
Chekili (2012) figured that vicinity of outer directors inside of the board,
board size and vicinity of a CEO appear to affect earnings management while the
other board characteristics are observed to be unbiased.
Firms with the higher institutional ownership need more management monitoring
actions as they have larger economic interest in those firms (Financial Statement
Roundtable, 1999). It is further found by many researches on the monitoring role
of institutional investors. Bushee, (1998) concluded that such organizations give
less incentive for management to reduce R&D expenses and target the short-term
goals. This shows that institutional investors play an important role in monitoring
the management actions.
There are only few researchers in literature that have studied the
relationship between institutional structure and discretionary accruals. Research
conducted by Shah et al (2009) found a negative relationship between
discretionary accruals and institutional ownership along with the corporate
governance variables. Further, Fayoumi et al., (2010) examined that there is no
universal and authentic evidence related to the impact of institutional structure on
the discretionary accruals.
In order to attain the main purpose of this study, these hypotheses have been
developed to be tested:
H2: There is an impact of discretionary accruals on stock return for the firms with
higher family ownership.
4. Research Methodology
This study uses yearly data due to the limitations of corporate governance related
data and the possibility of biasness from the different datasets that are different in
observed frequencies. Therefore, to match the frequencies and investigate the
impact of corporate governance quality, ownership and firm size, we use yearly
data for this study of all the variables in performing analysis. This method of data
matching is also used in literature (e.g., Klock et al., 2005; Jiraporn et al., 2006;
Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith, 2007; Jiraporn and Gleason, 2007; Chava et al., 2009).
This study used the following research model to test hypothesis H1:
Model 1
Where:
DFAM = 1 if firm have proportion of family ownership > 50%, not belonging to
business groups and 0 otherwise.
BM = Book-to-market ratio
MODEL 2
RET it =α + β 1 NDAC it + β2 DAC it + β3 DAC it∗DFAM it + β 4 DAC it∗INST it + β5 DAC it∗BODit + β 6 DAC it∗DS
β2
For example, if DFAM = 0, then the stock return will be affected by
β 2∧β 3 . β 3
accruals on stock return will be is the difference of DFAM=0 and
PPE = Gross property, plant, and equipment in year t. All variables are scaled by
beginning total assets.
∆ REV
[¿ ¿it −∆ REC it ]+ β 2 PPE it +ϵ it
ACCRit =α + β 1 ¿
Where: ΔREC = change in net accounts receivables from year t-1 to year t
( REC t −REC t−1 ) . All variables are scaled by beginning total assets.
∆ REV
[¿ ¿it −∆ REC it ]+ β 2 PPE it + β 3 ∆ CFOit +ϵ it
ACCR it =α + β 1 ¿
Where: ΔCFO = Change in cash flows from operation from operation from year t-
CFOt −CFOt −1 ) .
1 to year t ( All variables are scaled by beginning total assets.
Values get from the above suitable model will be the values of non-discretionary
accruals and discretionary accruals are defined as the residuals like:
DA = ACC – NDA
This study uses natural logarithm of total assets as a proxy for the firm
size. Firm’s decisions about accruals management are influenced by the firm size
as well. We supposed that large firms are more visible (Watts and Zimmerman,
1986) and can easily manage the earnings to minimize the effect of political
visibility (Moses, 1987; Hsu and Koh 2005).
Nevertheless, literature also have some studies which argue that larger
firms have more information that can be scrutinized by the analysts and income of
larger firms smoothed by the investors add little value (Ashari et al., 1994).
Accordingly they have fewer incentives to smooth the earnings of larger firms
(Atik, 2008). Therefore, in literature, we do not have any specific information that
can be predicted about the relationship between firm size and discretionary
accruals.
In our study, we used auditor size variable in order to measure the quality
of audit as a dummy variable. We use 1, if firm is audited by category “a” auditors
by sbp and 0 otherwise.
In our study, we used a dummy for this variable where 1 if firm is having
an audit committee and 0 otherwise.
5.4 Book-to-market ratio
of each model 3-A, 3-B and 3-C. As model 3-C shows the highest value of
2
Adjusted R . Therefore, we recommend this model for our main analysis.
Measurement Model 2
Adjusted R
3-A 0.219
3-B 0.221
3-C 0.223
6.2 The Pricing of Discretionary Accruals
The above mentioned table shows the summary statistics of each variable
in the study. All these summary statistics values are before transformation. After
this, transformed all the variables then perform regression and check the
correlation between the variables as well. But, before going further, we check all
the assumptions of regression analysis like test the linearity, normality for the
dependent and independent variables.
Table 2 shows correlation matrix of each variable that has been used in
this study. Correlation matrix shows positive correlation between AUDIT and
DSIZE. It shows that firms larger in size tend to be audited by category “A”
auditors. Positive correlation between AUDCOM and BOD clearly shows that
firms with high proportion of independent directors in their board tend to have
audit committee. Most of the firms among our selected sample are non DFAM
firms and are audited by Category A auditors.
Table 3 represents the regression result for model-1. From these results, F-
Value for this regression model is 1.994, which is significant (0.058<0.1) and
almost 25% variance has been explained by the model, it shows that the model
can be significantly used to test the impact of discretionary accruals on stock
returns. As this model for adjusted market return is significant, it shows that there
is a linear relationship between the variables in the model.
As DW test value is 2.052, which are between two critical values 1.5 to
2.00, it is a proof that there is not any type of first order linear auto-correlation
between the data. There is no multi-co-linearity problem as it clearly shows from
the values of VIF, condition index values, Tolerance and Eigen values. As all the
Eigen values are greater than one, variance inflation factor (VIF) is less than 2
and condition index values are less than 15 and values in case of tolerance are
greater than zero as well. All these evidences show that there is no issue of multi-
co-linearity between the variables in the used regression model for the adjusted
stock returns.
RET it =α + β 1 NDAC it + β2 DAC it + β3 DAC it∗DFAM it + β 4 DAC it∗INST it + β5 DAC it∗BODit + β 6 DAC it∗D
Independent variables: BOD =Proportion of independent board, NDAC = non-discretionary accruals, DAC =
discretionary accruals, DFAM = 1 if firms have high family ownership and 0 otherwise, INST = institutional
ownership, DSIZE = 1 if firms in the 50% highest market capitalization and 0 otherwise, AUDIT = 1 if firms
audited by big 4 auditors and 0 otherwise, AUDCOM = 1 if firms have audit committee and 0 otherwise, BM
= book-to-market ratio.
7. Conclusion
Like other studies, this study also has some limitations. First is related to
the ability of measurement model 3-A to accurately divide the accruals into two
components, discretionary and non-discretionary accruals. Question mark still
exists on the efficiency of this model and misclassification of discretionary and
non-discretionary accruals. Second one is about the lack of data of corporate
governance index. For this study, we have used only audit quality, audit
Anderson, R.C., S.A. Mansi, and D.M. Reeb, (2003), Founding Family
Ownership and the Agency Cost of Deb, Journal of Financial
Economics, 68(2), 263.
Chung, R., S.W.M. Ho, and J-B Kim, (2001), Valuation of Discretionary
Accruals: Japanese Evidence, Working Paper.
Dechow, P.M., R.G Sloan, and A.P Sweeney (1995). Causes and
Consequences Of Earning Management: An Analysis Of Firms’
Subject Enforcement Actions By The SEC, Contemporary
Accounting Research, 13, 1-36.
Dechow, P.M., R.G. Sloan, and A.P. Sweeney, (1995). Detecting Earnings
Management, The Accounting Review, 193-225.
Hamid, F. A., Eddine, H., Oussama, C., Ayedh, A. M., & Echchabi, A.
(2014). Firms' financial And Corporate Governance Characteristics
Association With Earning Management Practices: A Meta-Analysis
Approach. Economic Review: Journal of Economics &
Business/Ekonomska Revija: Casopis za Ekonomiju i Biznis, 12(2),
33-50.
Hsu, M.-F., & Wen, S.-Y. (2015). The Influence of Corporate Governance
in Chinese Companies on Discretionary Accruals and Real
Earnings Management. Asian Economic and Financial Review,
5(3), 391-406.
Tang, H.W., Chen, A., & Chang, C.-C. (2013). Insider trading, accrual
abuse, and corporate governance in emerging markets—Evidence
from Taiwan. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 24, 132-155.