The document discusses a study that examined the relationship between heavy coffee drinking and suicide risk in Finland from 1972-1995. It analyzes whether the hypothesis that heavy coffee drinking increases suicide risk could be explained by chance, confounding factors, bias, reverse time order, or a causal relationship. The document determines that confounding is the most likely explanation, since factors like unemployment, marital status, smoking, and low education had higher relative risks for suicide than heavy coffee drinking alone. It recommends obtaining more valid data and controlling stress to help prevent suicide risk.
The document discusses a study that examined the relationship between heavy coffee drinking and suicide risk in Finland from 1972-1995. It analyzes whether the hypothesis that heavy coffee drinking increases suicide risk could be explained by chance, confounding factors, bias, reverse time order, or a causal relationship. The document determines that confounding is the most likely explanation, since factors like unemployment, marital status, smoking, and low education had higher relative risks for suicide than heavy coffee drinking alone. It recommends obtaining more valid data and controlling stress to help prevent suicide risk.
The document discusses a study that examined the relationship between heavy coffee drinking and suicide risk in Finland from 1972-1995. It analyzes whether the hypothesis that heavy coffee drinking increases suicide risk could be explained by chance, confounding factors, bias, reverse time order, or a causal relationship. The document determines that confounding is the most likely explanation, since factors like unemployment, marital status, smoking, and low education had higher relative risks for suicide than heavy coffee drinking alone. It recommends obtaining more valid data and controlling stress to help prevent suicide risk.
The document discusses a study that examined the relationship between heavy coffee drinking and suicide risk in Finland from 1972-1995. It analyzes whether the hypothesis that heavy coffee drinking increases suicide risk could be explained by chance, confounding factors, bias, reverse time order, or a causal relationship. The document determines that confounding is the most likely explanation, since factors like unemployment, marital status, smoking, and low education had higher relative risks for suicide than heavy coffee drinking alone. It recommends obtaining more valid data and controlling stress to help prevent suicide risk.
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Heavy coffee drinking and the risk of suicide
Name : Vincent NIM : 01071170136 Tutor : dr. Vella
1.Description of Place Person Time
Place Person Time -Finland -Male Year 1972-1995 -Unemployed people -Single, divorcee ,widow -Current smoker -Heavy coffee drinker -Heavy alcohol consumer -People with low education -Tea drinker 2. HYPOTHESIS : DRINKING LOTS OF COFFEE CAN INCREASE THE RISK OF SUICIDE. 3. Find the Best possible ASSOCIATION: A. Chance (Yes/No) Explanation: Yes, because it was just a coincidence. If the experiment is repeated, the result won’t be the same.
B. Confounding (Yes/No) Explanation:
Yes, because according to the given data, the relative risk of heavy coffee drinker is smaller than the relative risk of male. So, the real cause of suicide was not drinking lots of coffee, but, there’s another reason why those people committed suicide. Drinking coffee was just an observed exposure, not the real cause of the suicide.
C. Bias (Yes/No) Explanation:
Yes, because the sample was just taken in a place where there’s a lot of suicide as it was a selection bias. Then, the information obtained was not accurate enough because those people might answer the questionnaire wrong as it was an information bias.
D. Reverse Time Order (Yes/No) Explanation:
Yes, because those people might have some mental disorder and think to commit suicide before drinking coffee, not because of drinking lots of coffee caused them mental disorder to trigger them to commit suicide.
E. Causal (Yes/No) Explanation:
No, because it was not drinking lots of coffee who caused people committing suicide, but because they were under stress or might have some mental disorder that triggered them to commit suicide. 4. The most possible Association: Choose One only for the best association: Chance/Confounding/Bias/Reserve Time Order/Causal Confounding, because the relative risk of heavy coffee drinker was smaller than the relative risk of male. So, the real cause of suicide was not drinking lots of coffee, but, there’s another reason why those people committed suicide. Drinking lots of coffee was just an observed exposure, not the real cause of the suicide.
5. Prevention / policy ( practical ) to prevent the risk of suicide.
-Get a more valid data -Give a more easily understood questionnaire so that the samples can answer more correctly and we can have a more valid data. -Make sure there isn’t any disturbing factor that makes the data invalid -Control the stress so that we won’t go into the wrong way -If there’s a massive problem and you think of committing suicide, don’t. Consult to your friend or a psychiatrist to help you and give you some advice about it -Have more fun, like doing sports, watching comedies, etc that makes us happy