Pak Russia Relations
Pak Russia Relations
Pak Russia Relations
Abstract
Pakistan-Russia relations have a complex history of
divergences, contradictions and ambiguities that
heightened during the Cold War and subsequent era of
Afghan Jihad. However, the gradual rapprochement that
paved the way for institutionalised engagement started
after Pakistan joined the war against terrorism. Based on
secondary review of academic and online sources, this
article explores how relations between the two countries
evolved from estrangement to institutional engagement,
with a special focus on why this relationship is significant
for both. Economic, energy, defence, counterterrorism,
and socio-cultural domains are the important variables
that are discussed. Given existing geopolitical
compulsions like Moscow‟s quest for playing a decisive
role in Afghanistan‟s security calculus; Pakistan‟s pursuit
for coming out of the United States‟ straitjacket and
finding alternative regional partners offer the reasons,
challenges and outlook in shaping prospective ties. It is
argued that Pakistan-Russia ties are likely to improve in
the future, especially in terms of economic, defence and
counterterrorism cooperation.
*
The author is Research Officer at the Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI),
Islamabad, Pakistan. He can be reached at: [email protected].
________________________________
@2019 by the Islamabad Policy Research Institute.
IPRI Journal XIX (1): 56-85.
https://doi.org/10.31945/iprij.190103.
Introduction
1
Rehan Aqil Khan, “Pakistan– Russia Relations and Future Prospects,” Opinion 2, no. 2
(2014): 14-25 (14-16), http://www.ndu.edu.pk/afwc/pub/OPINION-Vol.2-No.2.pdf.
2
Regional affiliate of the Islamic State (IS).
3
“Pakistan, Russia to Go for FTA, Currency Swap Agreement,” Express Tribune,
November 8, 2011, https://tribune.com.pk/story/289029/pakistan-russia-to-go-for-fta-
currency-swap-agreement/.
4
Frud Bezhan, “Trump‟s Tool Kit: U.S. Options for Pressuring Pakistan,” Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, August 24, 2017, https://www.rferl.org/a/trump-pakistan-
strategy-pressure/28695060.html. Also see, “Pakistan Considers Canceling U.S. F-16
Deal, Buying from Jordan,” Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, June 15, 2016,
https://www.rferl.org/a/pakistan-considers-cancelling-us-f16-fighter-jet-deal-buying-
used-planes-jordan/27798427.html.
9
Muhammad Nawaz Khan and Beenish Altaf, Pakistan-Russia Rapprochement and
Current Geo-Politics, IPRI Journal XIII, no.1 (2013): 125-134,
http://www.ipripak.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/std4naww13.pdf.
10
Nazir Hussain, “Pak-Russia Relations: Lost Opportunities and Future Options,” Journal
of Political Studies 19, no. 1 (2012): 79-89 (80),
http://pu.edu.pk/images/journal/pols/pdf-files/Pak-
russia%20relations,%20opportunities%20Nazir_Vol_19_Issue_1_2012.pdf.
11
Muhammad Hanif, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Progress, Prospects and Constraints,”
IPRI Journal XIII, no. 2 (2013): 63-86, http://www.ipripak.org/wp-
content/uploads/2014/02/art4han.pdf.
12
Ardeshir Cowasjee, “A Recap of Soviet-Pakistan Relations,” Dawn, March 12, 2011,
https://www.dawn.com/news/612610.
13
Syed Waqar Ali Shah and Shaista Parveen, “Disintegration of Pakistan – The Role of
Former Union of Soviet Socialist Republic (USSR): An Appraisal,” Journal of the
Research Society of Pakistan 53, no. 1 (2016): 171-190 (171),
http://pu.edu.pk/images/journal/history/PDF-FILES/13%20Paper_v53_1_16.pdf.
Tashkent Agreement (1966), which ended the Indo-Pak war.14 This was
followed by the first ever visit of Prime Minister Kosygin to Pakistan on
April 17, 1968.15 During the 60s, Pakistan was offered to join „Kosygin‟s
plan for a regional economic grouping, comprising Afghanistan, India,
Iran, Pakistan and the Soviet Union, and Breznev‟s idea of an Asian
Collective Security arrangement.‟16 Pakistan did not accept this security
proposal because it „saw that Russian motives behind the proposal were to
contain Chinese influence in the region and also to jeopardize its
friendship with China.‟17 Consequently, the Kremlin made it clear to
Islamabad that „without its [Pakistan] support, it would be very difficult
for the former [Russia] to maintain its position in Asia.‟18 This put an end
to the short-lived period of friendly relations between the two countries.
This was also the time when policymakers in Pakistan started asserting
that it was Indo-Soviet joint ventures under the Treaty of Friendship,
Peace, and Cooperation of August 1971, which encouraged India to
dismember Pakistan‟s Eastern Wing into today‟s Bangladesh.19 Pakistan‟s
bilateral relations with Soviet Russia began to worsen even further.
The government of Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto attempted to compensate the
traumatic fall of Dhaka coupled with the „duplicity of the US‟20 by
14
Tashkent Agreement, India-Pakistan, January 10, 1966,
https://www.britannica.com/event/Tashkent-Agreement.
15
Shah and Parveen, “Disintegration of Pakistan – The Role of Former Union of Soviet
Socialist Republic (USSR): An Appraisal,”179.
16
Ibid., 180.
17
Ibid., 181.
18
Ibid., 182.
19
Khan, “Pakistan– Russia Relations and Future Prospects,”16.
20
See, Lloyd I. Rudolph and Susanne Hoeber Rudolph, The Regional Imperative: The
Administration of U.S. Foreign Policy towards South Asian States under Presidents
Johnson and Nixon (New Delhi: Concept Publishers, 1980), 147-48; and Raghavendra
Mishra, “Revisiting the 1971 „USS Enterprise Incident‟: Rhetoric, Reality and Pointers
for the Contemporary Era,” Journal of Defence Studies 9, no. 2 (2015): 49-80. The US‟
delays in provision of military supply to Pakistan during the 1965 and 1971 wars with
India developed a perception in the country that Washington was not a trustworthy
friend, especially the US taskforce of the Seventh Fleet along with a nuclear-powered
aircraft carrier did not reach the Bay of Bengal during the 1971 war. Besides, on August
3, 1971, the US House of Representatives passed the Gallagher and Church/Saxbe
Amendments to the Foreign Aid Bill and suspended economic assistance till resolution
of the East Pakistan crises.
assuming the Look East policy under bilateralism.21 This led to temporary
improvement in relations, as evident by the state visit by Bhutto in 1974,
recorded as the first Pakistani Prime Minister to visit Moscow.22 However,
the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 197923 terminated this short-term
improvement of relations,24 dragging Pakistan into the proxy war of the
US against the former USSR.
Following Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan and America‟s
unanticipated abandonment coupled with sanctions under the Pressler and
Glenn Amendments, forced Islamabad to reconsider its view of
Moscow.25 Eventually, the following decade witnessed a gradual
convergence, as manifested in the bilateral exchange of high-level official
visits between the two countries.26 An important visit in this regard came
in April 1999 of former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to Moscow after
nearly 25 years.27
Nevertheless, when Pakistan backed the Taliban in Kabul,28 fighting
against the pro-Russia Northern Alliance, relations became cloudy.
However, the obvious turn in revitalising relations came when the country
became part of the US-led War on Terror (WoT) in 2001, thereby de-
aligning itself from the then-Taliban regime. The formal drive to
21
Hussain, “Pak-Russia Relations: Lost Opportunities and Future Options,” 5.
22
“Pak-Russia Relations,” Jahangir’s World Times, October 4, 2014,
http://jworldtimes.com/jwt2015/magazine-archives/jwt-2014/october2014/pak-russia-
relations/.
23
Lester W. Grau and Michael A. Cress, eds., The Soviet-Afghan War: How a Superpower
Fought and Lost (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2002), 1.
24
Hanif, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Progress, Prospects and Constraints,” 68.
25
“US Created Taliban and Abandoned Pakistan, says Hillary,” Dawn, April 25, 2009,
https://www.dawn.com/news/847153. Also see, Ferrukh Mir, Half Truth (Bloomington:
iUniverse, 2011), 402-403, and John Gennace, “US-Pakistan Relations after the Soviet
Withdrawal from Afghanistan: The Bush and Clinton Years,” Daily Journalist, January
21, 2017, http://thedailyjournalist.com/the-historian/us-pakistan-relations-after-the-
soviet-withdrawal-from-afghanistan-the-bush-and-clinton-years/.
26
Khan, “Pakistan– Russia Relations and Future Prospects,”16-18.
27
Ibid.
28
“The Taliban,” Mapping Militant Organizations (Stanford: Stanford University, 2016),
http://web.stanford.edu/group/mappingmilitants/cgi-bin/groups/view/367.The Afghan
Taliban got rise in 1994 and its fall was witnessed in 2001. “Three countries recognized
the Taliban regime in Afghanistan between 1997 and 2001 such as Pakistan, Saudi
Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.”
29
“President Vladimir Putin met with Pakistan‟s President Pervez Musharraf,” President
of Russia, June 4, 2002, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/27120.
30
Hussain, “Pak-Russia Relations: Lost Opportunities and Future Options,” 86.
31
Kamran Yousaf, “In a First, Pakistan, Russia to Hold Joint War Games,” Express
Tribune, September 12, 2016, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1180917/first-pakistan-
russia-hold-joint-war-games/.
32
Tahir Mahmood Azad, “Pakistan-Russia Strategic Partnership: New Horizons for
Cooperation” (brief, Institute of Strategic Studies, Islamabad, 2016),
http://issi.org.pk/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/Final-Issue-brief-Tahir-Azad-dated-26-
12-2016.pdf; and Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Pakistan, Russia to Enhance Cooperation,” Dawn,
October 22, 2014, https://www.dawn.com/news/1139575.
33
“Pakistan, Russia to Go for FTA, Currency Swap Agreement,” Express Tribune.
Islamabad’s Lucidity
Changing geopolitical dynamics in South Asia as evident in the growing
instability in Afghanistan,36 greater role of India in the region under the
US umbrella,37 and Pakistan‟s quest for maintaining the delicate strategic
equilibrium in the region and economic imperatives of the country are
factors which are shaping the Pakistan-Russia relations, specifically in
view of the US‟ unilateral actions and tightening conditions, more
34
Himani Pant, “The Changing Contours of Russia‟s South Asia Policy” (brief no. 193,
Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi, 2017), http://cf.orfonline.org/wp-
content/uploads/2017/07/ORF_IssueBrief_193_India-Russia.pdf.
35
Tim Bowler, “Falling Oil Prices: Who are the Winners and Losers?” BBC News, January
19, 2015, http://www.bbc.com/news/business-29643612.
36
Saima Perveen, Jehanzeb Khalil, Manzoor Ahmad and Jehangir Khalil, “Post 2014
Spillover Effects of Afghanistan‟s Crisis on Pakistan‟s Foreign Policy,” special issue,
FWU Journal of Social Sciences, 1, no.1 (2015): 1-8 (2),
http://www.sbbwu.edu.pk/journal/special%20issue/2.Post_2014_Spillover_Effects_of_
Afghanistan_s_Crisis_on_Pakistan_s.pdf.
37
“Full Texts of Donald Trump‟s Speech on South Asia Policy,” Hindu, August 22, 2017,
http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/full-texts-of-donald-trumps-speech-on-
south-asia-policy/article19538424.ece.
38
Ibid.; Muhammad Nawaz Khan, “Pak-US Ties: War of Words to Actions,” Regional
Rapport, January 9, 2018, http://regionalrapport.com/2018/01/09/pak-us-ties-war-
words-actions/; and “US Pushes Motion to Put Pakistan on Global Terrorist-Financing
Watchlist,” News International, February 14, 2018,
https://www.thenews.com.pk/latest/280637-us-pushes-motion-to-put-pakistan-on-
global-terrorist-financing-watchlist. Since the strained Pakistan-US relations are seen in
continuing mistrust and mutual suspicion, therefore it seems that the US would pursue
harder approach towards Islamabad in its war against terrorism that is evident in
Trump‟s new SA policy followed by his alleged accusation on Islamabad of “„lying and
deceit‟ and providing safe havens to terrorists,” especially the Haqqani network.
Resultantly, the new US administration has suspended the Coalition Support Fund and
security assistance to Pakistan, and “it pushed motion to put Pakistan on global terrorist-
financing watch list.”
39
Adam Linehan, “What Mattis‟ New Rules of Engagement Mean for The War in
Afghanistan,” Task & Purpose, October 4, 2017, https://taskandpurpose.com/what-
mattis-new-rules-of-engagement-mean-for-the-war-in-afghanistan/.
40
Nora Kelly, “Full Transcript: Donald Trump Announces His Afghanistan Policy,”
Atlantic, August 21, 2017, https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/full-
transcript-donald-trump-announces-his-afghanistan-policy/537552/; and “Why is Russia
Warming up to Pakistan,” Times of Islamabad, February 27, 2018,
https://timesofislamabad.com/27-Feb-2018/why-is-russia-warming-up-to-pakistan.
41
“Ambassador to US Says Withheld Coalition Support Funds were „Reimbursement‟, not
„Assistance‟,” Dawn, July 22, 2017, https://www.dawn.com/news/1346930.
42
“Trump Accuses Pakistan of „Lies and Deceit,‟ Threatens to Cut Aid,” Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty, January 2, 2018, https://www.rferl.org/a/pakistan-us-trump-
acuses-lies-deceit-threatens-pull-billions-aid/28949804.html.
43
Hussain and Sangay, “The Russian Resurgence and South Asian Region,”31.
44
Sabena Siddiqi, “The Russia Pakistan Equation,” Katehon, June 1, 2017,
http://katehon.com/article/russia-pakistan-equation.
45
“International Afghanistan Peace Conference Starts in Moscow,” Express Tribune, April
14, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1383473/international-afghanistan-peace-
conference-starts-moscow/. Pakistan‟s efforts, with the cooperation of Russia and China,
were evident in the International Afghanistan Peace Conference held in Moscow on
April 14, 2017.
46
George Ginsburgs, The Soviet Union and International Cooperation in Legal Matters,
Law in Eastern Europe no. 38 (Dordrecht: Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, 1988), 73, and
Nazir Hussain and Quratulain Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and
New Beginnings,” Central Asia, no.72 (2013): 1-15 (6).
47
“A Look Back at History of PSM,” Express Tribune, November 10, 2013,
https://tribune.com.pk/story/630036/a-look-back-at-history-of-psm/; and Hanif,
“Pakistan-Russia Relations: Progress, Prospects and Constraints,” 14-15.
48
Adnan Ali Shah, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Post-Cold War Era,” Strategic Studies
XXI, no. 2 (2001).
49
“Pakistan, Russia Agree to Promote Trade, Investment,” Dawn, May 12, 2011,
https://www.dawn.com/news/628117; and “Russian – Pakistani Relations,” Consulate
General of the Russian Federation in Karachi,
https://web.archive.org/web/20130315070730/http://www.rusconsulkarachi.mid.ru/RUS
SIA-PAKISTAN.htm.
57
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New Beginnings,” 8.
58
Muhammad Naseer, Export of Kinnow, report (Karachi: Trade Development Authority
of Pakistan, Government of Pakistan, 2010), 21,
https://www.tdap.gov.pk/doc_reports/TDAP_REPORT_ON_EXPORT_%20OF_KINN
OW.pdf.
59
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New Beginnings,” 8.
60
“Russia Eyes $ 600 million Trade with Pakistan,” Pakistan Today, December 27, 2012,
https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2012/12/27/russia-eyes-600-million-trade-with-
pakistan/.
61
“Pakistan-Russia Trade Likely to Reach $800m,” Express Tribune, December 29, 2018,
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1876880/2-pakistan-russia-trade-likely-reach-800m/; and
Almas Haider Naqvi and Yasir Masood, “Rejuvenating Pakistan-Russia Relations:
Discernable Trends and Future,” Strategic Studies 37, no. 4 (2017): 18-38 (30),
http://issi.org.pk/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/2-SS_Almas_and_Yasir-_No-4_2017.pdf;
and “Pakistani-Russian Bilateral Trade in 2015,” Russian Exports, August 11, 2016,
accessed September 30, 2016,
http://www.rusexporter.com/research/country/detail/4868/.
62
“Russia-Pakistan Bilateral Trade to Reach US$800 million by Year End: Yuri Kozlov,”
Mettis Global, December 28, 2018, https://mettisglobal.news/russia-pakistan-bilateral-
trade-to-reach-us800-million-by-year-end-yuri-kozlov/.
63
Ghulam Abbas, “Pak-Russia Seek Trade Liberalisation,” Pakistan Today, December 8,
2011, https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2011/12/08/pak-russia-seek-trade-
liberalisation/.
64
Asif Bhatti, “Pakistan, Russia to Sign Free Trade Agreement,” Geo News, June 22,
2017, https://www.geo.tv/latest/146752-pakistan-russia-to-sign-fta; and “PM Nawaz
Arrives in Kazakhastan to Attend SCO Summit,” Express Tribune, June 8, 2017,
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1430418/pm-nawaz-arrives-kazakhastan-attend-sco-
summit/.
65
Alexander Mercouris, “Putin‟s Grand Strategy: The Greater Eurasia Project,” Duran,
June 30, 2016, http://theduran.com/putins-grand-strategy-greater-eurasia-project/; and
Marlene Laruelle, “Russia‟s Eurasianist Soft Power in Central Asia” (Moscow: Eurasian
Studies, 2017), http://greater-europe.org/archives/3190. This is an encouraging sign for
a potential collaboration with the BRI and CPEC that would increase Pakistan‟s
importance for Russia. Creating anarchy and establishing peace are two competing
forces in the global political arena which states use for maintaining their unilateralism,
while at the same time achieving regional economic integration through multilateralism.
It seems that the US and India are struggling to maintain their status quo power and
hegemonic status evident in the US intervention in Iraq, Syria, Libya and Afghanistan,
and India‟s stubbornness in not resolving the Kashmir dispute. On the other hand,
Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran believe in regional integration in which regional peace
is prerequisite for achieving economic integration through initiatives like BRI, CPEC
and EurAsEC.
66
ADB, Proposed Multitranche Financing Facility Islamic Republic of Pakistan: Central
Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Corridor Development Investment Program,
report (Mandaluyong: Asian Development Bank, 2017),
https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/project-documents/48404/48404-002-rrp-en.pdf .
67
Naqvi and Masood, “Rejuvenating Pakistan-Russia Relations: Discernable Trends and
Future,” 25.
68
Yasir Masood, “Rekindled Pak-Russia Relations,” Express Tribune, August 9, 2016,
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1159081/rekindled-pak-russia-relations/.
69
Sachin Parashar, “Russia Supports China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Project: Russian
Envoy Alexey Y. Dedov,” Economic Times, December 19, 2016,
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/russia-supports-
china-pakistan-economic-corridor-project-russian-envoy-alexey-y-
dedov/articleshow/56037725.cms.
Energy
A prominent area of cooperation during the Cold War was energy.
Moscow established an oil consortium „Pakistani Oilfields‟ in 1958;72 and
the Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) by lending
Rubles 27 million in 1961.73 The same trend was witnessed in the post-
Cold war era when both signed MoUs in 2012 that involved extending
technical assistance to the Guddu and Muzaffargarh power plants, the 500
mega watts (MW) New Jamshoro power plant (GENCO) and Tarbela-4
project.74 Other MoUs pertained to electricity transmission projects from
Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to Afghanistan and Pakistan (CASA-1000).75
Efforts are still underway for establishing the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline
and involving Russia in coal gasification technology for the Thar coal
project.76 Likewise, in 2015, in order to construct the North-South gas
70
Embassy of India, Moscow, Russia, “15th Russia-India-China Trilateral Foreign
Ministers‟ Meeting New Delhi,” press release, December 11, 2017,
https://indianembassy-moscow.gov.in/15th_Russia_India.php.
71
Ume Farwa, “Pakistan-Russia Relations on Upward Trajectory,” Asia Times, December
19, 2017, accessed January 9, 2018, http://www.atimes.com/pakistan-russia-relations-
upward-trajectory/.
72
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New Beginnings,” 7.
73
Ibid., 6.
74
“Pakistan, Russia Sign MoUs in Power, Railways and Steel Sectors,” News
International.
75
Muhammad Farooq Afzal, “Pakistan-Russia Relations Warm up,” Business Recorder,
June 12, 2013, https://fp.brecorder.com/2013/06/201306121198009/; “Interconnection
Grid to be Built between Pakistan and China,” Business Recorder, April 1, 2016,
https://fp.brecorder.com/2016/04/2016040131376/; and “Russia Reportedly Ready to
Participate in CASA 1000 Project,” Asia Plus, June 13, 2017,
https://news.tj/en/news/tajikistan/economic/20170613/russia-reportedly-ready-to-
participate-in-casa-1000-project. Reportedly, Moscow has recently showed its interest
to finance in the CASA project during the international exhibition XPO 2017 in Astana.
76
Board of Investment, GoP, “Pakistan, Russia Agree to Form Five Working Groups.”
Defence
Historically, Pakistan has not had formal defence relations with Russia,
except for the maverick helicopter deal of 1969.84 The Twenty-first
Century witnessed an improvement in defence collaboration in the wake
of the former Russian Military Chief Col. Gen. Aleksandr Postnikov‟s
visit in 201185 and the reciprocal visits to Moscow by former Air Chief
Marshal Tahir Rafiq Butt in August 2012,86 subsequently by the former
Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani in October 2012.87
These visits laid the ground for future defence cooperation between the
two sides, especially when Postnikov, floated the „possibility of
expanding defence ties by holding joint military drills, exchanging
trainees and trainers and selling and buying weapons,‟88 which thereafter
led to defence ventures in these three directions. In line with this
approach, for the very first time in April 2013, Commander of the Russian
Air Force Viktor Bondarev visited Islamabad to have deliberations for
military deals. Major progress in defence relations was observed when the
Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu visited Islamabad to conclude
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/373942-10-bn-offshore-gas-pipeline-pakistan-russia-
sign-mou-for-feasibility-study.
84
Hanif, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Progress, Prospects and Constraints,” 69.
85
“Pakistan, Russia to Boost Military Cooperation,” Pakistan Today, August 5, 2013,
https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2013/08/05/pakistan-russia-to-boost-military-
cooperation/.
86
Pakistan Air Force, GoP, “Commander-In-Chief, Russian Federation Air Force Visits
Air Headquarters,” press release, April 15, 2013,
http://www.paf.gov.pk/press_release/uploaded/1366207051.pdf.
87
Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Kayani to Visit Russia from Oct 3,” Dawn, September 29, 2012,
https://www.dawn.com/news/752938.
88
“Islamabad, Moscow Set Sights on New Era in Relations,” Dawn, September 17, 2011,
https://www.dawn.com/news/659642/islamabad-moscow-set-sights-on-new-era-in-
relations; and Syed, “Kayani to Visit Russia from Oct 3.”
89
Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Pakistan, Russia Sign Landmark Defence Cooperation Agreement,”
Dawn, November 21, 2014, https://www.dawn.com/news/1145875.
90
Franz-Stefan Gady, “Pakistan Receives 4 Advanced Attack Helicopters from Russia,”
Diplomat, August 29, 2017, https://thediplomat.com/2017/08/pakistan-receives-4-
advanced-attack-helicopters-from-russia/. Also see, Gabriel Dominguez, “Pakistan to
Receive Four Mi-35M Helos from Russia in 2017, Says Report,” The Military and
Asian Region, December 21, 2016,
https://thaimilitaryandasianregion.wordpress.com/2016/12/24/pakistan-to-receive-four-
mi-35m-helos-in-2017/
91
“Are Pakistan and Russia Forming an Alliance? Not without China, Says Expert,”
Dawn, April 1, 2017, https://www.dawn.com/news/1324187.
92
“Naval Exercise AMAN 2017 Continues in Karachi,” Pakistan Today, February 12,
2017, https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2017/02/12/multinational-naval-exercise-
aman-2017-continues-in-karachi/.
93
Kamal Alam, “Growing Pakistan-Russia Military Ties Reflect Central Asia‟s Changing
Geopolitics,” commentary (London: Royal United Services Institute, 2017),
https://rusi.org/commentary/growing-pakistan%E2%80%93russia-military-ties-reflect-
central-asia%E2%80%99s-changing-geopolitics. Also see, “Over 70 Pakistani
Mountaineers Reach Russia for „Friendship-2017‟ Military Exercise,” Pakistan Today,
September 24, 2017, https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2017/09/24/over-70-pakistani-
mountaineers-in-russia-for-friendship-2017-military-exercise/.
94
Shafqat Ali, “Pak-Russia Commission on Military Co-Op Set Up,” Nation, February 21,
2018, https://nation.com.pk/21-Feb-2018/pak-russia-commission-on-military-co-op-set-
up.
95
Ayaz Gul, “Pakistan, Russia Sign Rare Military Cooperation Pact,” Voice of America,
August 8, 2018, https://www.voanews.com/a/pakistan-russia-sign-military-cooperation-
pact/4519031.html; and “Pakistani Troops to Receive Training at Russian Military
Institutes,” Times of India, August 8, 2018,
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/pakistani-troops-to-receive-training-
at-russian-military-institutes/articleshow/65322023.cms.
96
“Russia Supports Pakistan‟s Bid to Join Elite Nuclear Trading Club,” Express Tribune,
December 15, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1584950/1-russia-supports-pakistans-
bid-join-elite-nuclear-trading-club/.
97
Headquarters Integrated Defence Staff, Ministry of Defence, GoI, Joint Doctrine Indian
Armed Forces (JDIAF) (Government of India, 2017), https://bharatshakti.in/wp-
content/uploads/2015/09/Joint_Doctrine_Indian_Armed_Forces.pdf.
98
“Agni-V Missile Successfully Test-Fired,” Indian Express, January 18, 2018,
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-test-fires-agni-5-missile-with-a-surface-
Counterterrorism
The field of counterterrorism offers a lot of scope to Islamabad and
Moscow in enhancing their cooperation for countering the emerging threat
of violent radicalisation. In this regard, both countries have established a
Bilateral Joint Working Group on Counter-Terrorism for regional
security. Simultaneously, President Putin backs Pakistan‟s position on the
war against terrorism, besides agreeing on mutual regional efforts for
eradicating extremism.103 Following the Quetta blast on the Police
Training College in 2016, President Putin offered support to Pakistan in
combatting terrorism, in addition to showing readiness for the sale of
Russia‟s advanced military hardware.104 In fact, achievements of the
Pakistan Army to bring regional peace are recognised by Moscow
contrary to the prevalent attitude of Washington, which is skeptic of
Pakistan accusing it of providing safe havens to the Afghan Taliban.
Despite New Delhi‟s opposition, a joint counterterrorism exercise
102
Especially the testing of K-4, Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) with a
range capability of 3,500 km (intermediate range) by India has impacted the delicate
strategic balance of South Asia. It has resulted in the nuclearisation of the Indian
Ocean. The test has also taken India closer to the second-strike capability. It will
ultimately lead India to enhance the range of its SLBM up to 5500 KM and more,
which may allow the country in future to have the capacity of launching a strike
through submarine not only on Pakistan but also the Eurasia-Pacific region (China)
from the far flung area of the Indian Ocean and beyond.
103
“Russia Endorses Full SCO Membership for Pakistan,” Dawn, November 7, 2011,
https://www.dawn.com/news/671932.
104
“Putin Offers Pakistan Help in Fighting Terrorism after Quetta Blast,” Nation, October
26, 2016, http://nation.com.pk/international/26-Oct-2016/putin-offers-pakistan-help-in-
fighting-terrorism-after-quetta-blast.
105
“Joint Exercise with Russia Progressing Well: ISPR,” Dawn, September 28, 2016,
https://www.dawn.com/news/1286616.
106
Ali, “Pak-Russia Commission on Military Co-op Set Up.”
107
“Joint Military Drill with Russia has Reinforced Our Ties: Pakistan Army Chief,”
Economic Times, November 5, 2018,
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/joint-military-drill-with-russia-
has-reinforced-our-ties-pakistan-army-chief/articleshow/66513026.cms.
108
M. Iqbal, Falak Sher, Rehmat Ullah Awan and Khalid Javed, “Economic and Cultural
Relations between Pakistan and the Soviet Union during Ayub Khan‟s Period,” A
Journal of Pakistan Studies 3, no. 3 (2011): 1-13 (4, 6, 7),
http://pakistaniaat.org/index.php/pak/article/view/137.
109
Shah and Parveen, “Disintegration of Pakistan – The Role of Former Union of Soviet
Socialist Republic (USSR): An Appraisal,” 179.
110
Hafeez Malik, ed., Soviet-American Relations with Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan
(New York: St. Martin‟s Press, 1987), 194.
The growing renaissance in social and cultural ties between the two
countries is another sign of strengthening relations.
111
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New
Beginnings,” 10-11.
112
“Urdu-Russian Dictionary Launched,” News International, August 3, 2012,
https://www.thenews.com.pk/archive/print/377691-urdu-russian-dictionary-launched.
113
“Pakistan Study Centre Opens in Moscow,” Pakistan Times, July 16, 2012,
http://archive.is/pQhV#selection-415.0-415.38.
114
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New
Beginnings,” 9-11.
115
“Pakistani Listeners of „The Voice of Russia‟ Run Conference in Lahore,” Voice of
Russia, December 15, 2013, accessed January 12, 2018,
https://sputniknews.com/voiceofrussia/news/2013_12_15/Pakistani-listeners-of-The-
Voice-of-Russia-run-conference-in-Lahore-9360/.
116
Hussain and Fatima, “Pak-Russian Relations: Historical Legacies and New
Beginnings,” 9-11.
122
“Regional Peace: Pakistan Welcomes Russia‟s Mediation Offer on Kashmir,” Express
Tribune, June 15, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1436324/pakistan-welcomes-
putins-offer-mediate-islamabad-new-delhi/.
123
“Russia Warns Trump against Piling up Pressure on Pakistan,” Express Tribune,
August 24, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1490141/new-us-afghan-plan-futile-
course-russian-foreign-minister/; and Ali, “Pak-Russia Commission on Military Co-Op
Set Up.”
124
“Russia Rejects Indian, Afghan Criticism on Pakistan,” News International, December
5, 2016, https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/169900-Russia-rejects-Indian-Afghan-
criticism-on-Pakistan.
125
“Russian Honorary Consulate to Renew Pak-Russia Diplomatic Ties: Jhagra,” Pakistan
Today, February 21, 2018, https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2018/02/21/russian-
honorary-consulate-to-renew-pak-russia-diplomatic-ties-jhagra/.
126
Aleksandar Vasovic and Adrian Croft, “U.S., EU Set Sanctions as Putin Recognizes
Crimea „Sovereignty‟,” Reuters, March 17, 2014, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-
ukraine-crisis/u-s-eu-set-sanctions-as-putin-recognizes-crimea-sovereignty-
idUSBREA1Q1E820140317; and Ali, “Pak-Russia Commission on Military Co-Op
Set Up.”
127
Zafar Bhutta, “North-South Pipeline: Pakistan, Russia Reach LNG Price Accord,”
Express Tribune, December 1, 2016, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1249730/north-
south-pipeline-pakistan-russia-reach-lng-price-accord/.
128
Ibid.
129
“US Narrows Gap with Top Supplier Russia, Arms Sales to India Soar 5-Fold,”
Business Standard, March 17, 2018, http://www.business-
standard.com/article/economy-policy/us-narrows-gap-with-top-supplier-russia-arms-
sales-to-india-soar-5-fold-118031700139_1.html. According to the SIPRI 2018,
Moscow had a 62 per cent share of Delhi‟s arms imports during 2013-17, less than the
79 per cent in 2008-12. On the other hand, arms sale from Washington to Delhi is
increasing every year. During 2013-17, arms sales increased five times.
130
Indrani Bagchi, “Respect State to State Relations: Afghanistan to Russia,” Times of
India, December 14, 2016, https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/south-
asia/respect-state-to-state-relations-afghanistan-to-russia/articleshow/55985159.cms .
131
Mujib Mashal, “U.S. and Taliban Agree in Principle to Peace Framework, Envoy
Says,” New York Times, January 28, 2019,
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/world/asia/taliban-peace-deal-afghanistan.html.
132
“Pakistan‟s Recalibration of Foreign Policy towards Russia, China,” Times of
Islamabad, January 30, 2018, https://timesofislamabad.com/30-Jan-2018/pakistan-s-
recalibration-of-foreign-policy-towards-russia-china.
133
Kamran Yousaf, “Pakistan, Russia and China Inch Closer to Formal Alliance,” Express
Tribune, April 3, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1372490/pakistan-russia-china-
inch-closer-formal-alliance/.
134
Ibid.
135
Hanif, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Progress, Prospects and Constraints,” 81-82.
136
“US Narrows Gap with Top Supplier Russia, Arms Sales to India Soar 5-Fold,”
Business Standard, March 17, 2018, http://www.business-
standard.com/article/economy-policy/us-narrows-gap-with-top-supplier-russia-arms-
sales-to-india-soar-5-fold-118031700139_1.html.
Future Outlook
Building on the above, the prevalent geopolitical landscape seems to be
quite feasible for laying the foundation of progressive relations between
Pakistan and Russia. Contrary to the past, when Islamabad used to ally
with the US at international forums, it now has the option of reaching out
to Russia as a prospective diplomatic associate. This could be parallel to
accessing the other major power China, in garnering support for
Pakistan‟s position on issues such as human trafficking and terrorism at
multilateral fora.140 Institutional engagement with Moscow may enable the
country to procure the relatively cheaper Russian defence equipment for
137
Sergei Strokan, “Pakistan and Russia Move Closer toward Military Cooperation,”
Russia Beyond, October 10, 2012,
https://www.rbth.com/articles/2012/10/10/pakistan_and_russia_move_closer_toward_
military_cooperation_18965.html.
138
Sachin Parashar, “Russia Throws its Weight Behind China-Pakistan Corridor, Keeps
India on Tenterhooks,” Times of India, December 19, 2016,
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/russia-throws-its-weight-behind-china-
pakistan-corridor-keeps-india-on-tenterhooks/articleshow/56053869.cms.
139
Joshua Kucera, “Fearing Afghanistan, Russia Gets Closer to Pakistan,” Eurasianet,
October 11, 2012, http://www.eurasianet.org/node/66040.
140
Atia Ali Kazmi, “Pakistan-Russia Relations: Evolving Geopolitics and Strategic
Options,” Hilal, December 1, 2017, https://www.hilal.gov.pk/eng-article/pakistan-
russia-relations:-evolving-geopolitics-and-strategic-options/Mzk3.html. On the other
hand, “Moscow Appreciates Islamabad‟s Balanced View on Syria, Ukraine, and
Common View on Afghanistan.”
which the US tended to charge higher prices than the international market
and that too tied with US-dictated conditions.
In 2011, Moscow – central member of the SCO – explicitly „backed
Pakistan‟s bid to join.‟141 Pakistan and India became full members during
17th meeting of the Heads of the State Council Summit 2017 in Astana.142
Moscow is backing SCO to address issues like terrorism, separatism and
extremism through a combined regional approach. Therefore, despite
tense relations between Pakistan and India, „the latter‟s legal expert‟s
delegation took part in a three-day meeting of Legal Experts Group of
Shanghai Cooperation Organization-Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure
hosted by the former in May 2018.‟143 Besides, Pakistan and India, for the
first time, participated in a multi-nation military exercise codenamed
Peace Mission 2018 held from August 24 to August 29, 2018 in Russia.144
For Pakistan, the SCO is an appropriate forum that may advance its
financial interests, specifically in curbing its energy crisis. Using the
platform, Pakistan could attract Russia‟s security support to fortify its
domestic security and defence proficiencies, especially in countering
terrorism. Moscow may act to ensure rules-based order in an attempt to
resolving outstanding territorial conflicts. This approach could encourage
the country to maintain a delicate balance between India and Pakistan for
regional stability.145
141
Rashid Siddiqi, “Prospects for Russia-Pakistan Rapprochement,” Strategic Studies 37,
no. 2 (2017): 58-73, http://issi.org.pk/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/
4-SS_Rashid_Siddiqi_No-2_2017.pdf.
142
Aamir Ilyas Rana, “Historic Day: Pakistan Joins SCO at Astana Summit,” Express
Tribune, June 9, 2017, https://tribune.com.pk/story/1431365/pakistan-becomes-full-
member-shanghai-cooperation-organisation/.
143
“3-Day RATS-SCO Legal Experts Meeting Concludes in Islamabad,” Radio Pakistan,
May 25, 2018, http://www.radio.gov.pk/25-05-2018/3-day-rats-sco-legal-experts-
meeting-concludes-in-islamabad.
144
SM Hali, “Peace Mission 2018-Bringing Antagonists Together,” Daily Times,
September 1, 2018, https://dailytimes.com.pk/291048/peace-mission-2018-bringing-
antagonists-together/; and Dawood Rehman, “SCO Peace Mission 2018: Pakistan,
India Conduct First Joint Anti-Terror Exercise in Russia,” Daily Pakistan, August 24,
2018, https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/headline/sco-exercise-peace-mission-2018-
pakistan-india-conduct-first-joint-anti-terror-exercise-in-russia/.
145
Ivan Kessler, “Russian South Asia Complexity,” Regional Rapport, March 6, 2017,
http://regionalrapport.com/2017/03/06/russian-south-asia-complexity/.
Conclusion
The architects of Russia-Pakistan bilateral relations need to be conscious
that their ensuing mutual collaboration should not to be overshadowed by
India. The most pragmatic course of action is to ensure a gradual move in
building a step-by-step relationship for developing long-term strategic
commitments at subsequent phase instead of hastening into a fragile and
inconstant partnership.
To develop economic ties, Islamabad has to attract Moscow‟s
commercial interests into CPEC‟s special industrial zones (SEZs), besides
promotion of regular exchange programmes in the domains of private,
commercial and trade sectors. In this regard, the Pakistan Mission to
Moscow may consider appointing a Commercial Counselor148 dedicated to
146
Saddam Hussein, “Russia and Pakistan‟s Reluctant Romance,” Diplomat, February 25,
2017, https://thediplomat.com/2017/02/russia-and-pakistans-reluctant-romance/.
Pakistan can offer a „US$ 16 billion market in the agriculture sector alone.‟
147
Hussaan Tariq, “Are Those Winds of Change We Detect in Pak-Russia Relations?”
Pakistan Today, April 10, 2017, https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2017/04/10/are-
those-winds-of-change-we-detect-in-pak-russia-relations/.
148
At present, this seat is vacant in the trade wing of Pakistan‟s embassy in Moscow.