Sustainability 10 00507
Sustainability 10 00507
Sustainability 10 00507
Article
A Methodology for the Selection of Multi-Criteria
Decision Analysis Methods in Real Estate and Land
Management Processes
Maria Rosaria Guarini * ID
, Fabrizio Battisti and Anthea Chiovitti
Department of Architecture and Design, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Flaminia 359, 00196 Rome, Italy;
[email protected] (F.B.); [email protected] (A.C.)
* Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +39-06-49919293
Abstract: Real estate and land management are characterised by a complex, elaborate combination of
technical, regulatory and governmental factors. In Europe, Public Administrators must address the
complex decision-making problems that need to be resolved, while also acting in consideration of the
expectations of the different stakeholders involved in settlement transformation. In complex situations
(e.g., with different aspects to be considered and multilevel actors involved), decision-making
processes are often used to solve multidisciplinary and multidimensional analyses, which support
the choices of those who are making the decision. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods
are included among the examination and evaluation techniques considered useful by the European
Community. Such analyses and techniques are performed using methods, which aim to reach a
synthesis of the various forms of input data needed to define decision-making problems of a similar
complexity. Thus, one or more of the conclusions reached allow for informed, well thought-out,
strategic decisions. According to the technical literature on MCDA, numerous methods are applicable
in different decision-making situations, however, advice for selecting the most appropriate for the
specific field of application and problem have not been thoroughly investigated. In land and real
estate management, numerous queries regarding evaluations often arise. In brief, the objective of this
paper is to outline a procedure with which to select the method best suited to the specific queries of
evaluation, which commonly arise while addressing decision-making problems. In particular issues
of land and real estate management, representing the so-called “settlement sector”. The procedure
will follow a theoretical-methodological approach by formulating a taxonomy of the endogenous and
exogenous variables of the multi-criteria analysis methods.
Keywords: Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA); Decision Making (DM); life cycle management;
decision-making
process, the strategic planning of decisions is geared towards making informed choices based upon
methods of evaluation. These methods need to be well suited to the purpose and to the agenda of
needs and demands posed by the programs and projects being carried out in the geographical area.
Within DSS, the use of methods of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) can provide support
for the multidisciplinary management of the factors, which need to be optimized in fulfillment of the
objective being evaluated [3]. The literature regarding MCDA considers different schools of thought [4–7]
and proposes an extensive number of methods with which to resolve decision-making problems in
fields of application such as mathematics, management, information technology, psychology, the
social sciences and economics. More specifically in the last decade, we find examples in real estate
and land management, which demonstrate an increase of interest in the use of formalised analytical
decision methods employing structured and comprehensive databases [8]. Several authors act as a
reference source for describing the main MCDA methods, which have proven useful in different types
of decision-making problems and the approaches taken to resolve them [5,9–17]. A helpful synthesis is
provided by the contributions of, among others [18–21], Guitoni, Martel et Vincke (1999) [15], as well
as of Roy et Bouyssou (1993) [16], all of which already demonstrate attempts at taking a systematic
approach to the methods of MCDA. At the present moment (2018), about 100 different methods are
in circulation [22]. Consulting Guitoni, Martel et Vincke [15] and Ishizaka and Nemery [9], it can be
noted that the most frequently used and implemented are:
A summary of the various contributions cited above [9,15,16] should include these points:
Even if the use of MCDA techniques is by now an established practice, there are no specific
texts, either from Italy or from the rest of Europe, dealing with the exact procedures to be followed
when selecting the MCDA method best suited to the contexts of real estate and land management.
In particular when generally dealing with the settlement transformation processes and more specifically
the design and planning of public and private projects.
As a rule, the choice of the MCDA method best suited to the objectives of the decision-making
problem can significantly affect the efficiency of the procedure. Furthermore, it effects the proper
formulation of the decisions that need to be made. For example, the expression of the elements that
make up a multi-criteria decision-making problem reflects on the effectiveness of the different methods
and on the strength of the results. It follows that the choices in question play a key role in arriving
at a solution that provides an informed, suitable response to the needs and demands identified in
the project.
In light of these considerations, the present work, that represents an in-depth study of a
previous work [30], sets out to define a procedure which, taking into account the relevant factors
when addressing decision-making problems, makes it possible to select the MCDA methods best
suited to problems of real estate and land management, but which can also be employed in other
decision-making contexts. In terms of settlement transformations, these methods can expand the
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 3 of 28
horizons of fact-finding and decision-making situations from a simple consideration of the financial
requirements to the full range of relevant criteria (e.g., socio-economic, environmental etc.).
The proposed procedure serves as a useful tool, when added to the regulatory measures of the
European Union governing public tenders. The most recent is Directive 2014/24/EU, which has been
transposed into Italian laws regarding the Public Contracts Code (Codice dei Contratti Pubblici) via
Legislative Decree 50/2016 (plus its subsequent modifications and additions—s.m.a.) as well as its
regulations of implementation. These measures contemplate the use of MCDA in public tenders,
particularly for the selection of the most economically advantageous bid. MCDA has been considered
useful also in the context of planning and design choices for urban regeneration and or transformation
as early as 2006. To this end, the European Commission has drawn up a manual with recommendations
on systematic approaches to the use of MCDA in different fields of application, including real estate
and land management [31].
After having introduced, in the current Section 1, the subject of this study, hereinafter: firstly, after
the identification of the framework in which evaluation problems grow up in settlement transformation,
it will be proposed a theoretical-methodological approach with a taxonomic catalogue of variables
(‘endogenous’ and ‘exogenous’) that characterize MCDA and that must be considered during the
selection of the most appropriate method among those most commonly carried out in literature
(Section 2); afterwards, a procedure for selecting MCDA methods is built on the basis of proposed
taxonomic catalogue (Section 3); finally, the proposed procedure, is applied to a case study in its widest
form, taking into account a different points of view of stakeholders, and the results of this application
are discussed (Section 4). The conclusions of this study are argued at the end of this work (Section 5).
2.1. Framework
Any MCDA is generally structured in two macro-phases. The first one involves the construction
and compilation, referring to the evaluation problem in question, of the evaluation matrix, which
consists of the different alternatives and their performance, based on the various criteria and
sub-criteria (and their weightings), plus their indicators of assessment. The second regards the
processing of the data in the evaluation matrix used to evaluate the alternatives, on the basis of the
objectives to be reached [30,32]. This operation is similar for all MCDA methods. The second phase
involves processing (or aggregating) data via a variety of different procedures, depending on which
method is being used, considering that each method comes with its own procedures of application
(referred to as endogenous variables later on in this paper).
When selecting the method best suited to meet the objectives posed by the evaluation, it is
necessary to take into account the context of the evaluation and that can give rise to many different
decision-making problems attached to the phases of the settlement process. As presented by the
literature on Life Cycle Management [33], the issues to be resolved during the different phases of the
Life Cycle of a settlement process correspond to a variety of objectives [34].
In Italy, the Unique Construction Text (“Testo Unico dell’Edilizia”) Presidential Decree 380/2001
(s.m.a.) and Public Contracts Code (“Codice dei Contratti Pubblici”) Legislative Decree 50/2016 (s.m.a.)
are the main laws that control the settlement transformation sector and its respective phases in both
private and public works. Using these laws, we can establish categories related to the decision-making
problems typical to different types of initiatives. The potential assessment questions and queries can
be classified according to the phases of the settlement process and for which of these phases solutions
are expected, based on the objectives of evaluation (Table 1).
Once the decision-making problem has been identified from among the possible assessment
queries that present themselves during the settlement transformation process, it is necessary to address
the evaluation question promptly, thus resolving the problem.
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 4 of 28
Table 1. Decision making problems in Life Cycle Management and action to solve them.
2.2. The Correlation between the Action to Be Taken and the Variables (Exogenous and Endogenous) of
2.2. TheMethods
MCDA Correlation between the Action to Be Taken and the Variables (Exogenous and Endogenous) of
MCDA Methods
Each action can be related to exogenous variables (strictly related to decision problems and the
context Each
from action
which can be related
they arise) and to exogenous
endogenous variables (strictlyproperties
ones (possible related to of
decision
MCDAproblems
methods). and the
This
is described in more detail respectively in Sections 2.3 and 2.4, where they are defined according tois
context from which they arise) and endogenous ones (possible properties of MCDA methods). This
described
their taxonomic in more detail respectively
classification (Figure 1).in Sections 2.3 and 2.4, where they are defined according to their
taxonomic classification
The Exogenous (Figure
variables have1). been defined taking into consideration the ‘external’ context of
The Exogenous variables
the MCDA. They vary depending on have beenthedefined takingand
regulations intoother
consideration
measuresthe in‘external’
place in context of the
the relevant
MCDA.inThey
country which vary depending
evaluation on theoccurs.
process regulations and other measures in place in the relevant country
in which evaluation process occurs.
The endogenous variables have been defined following an analysis of the specific literature
The MCDA.
regarding endogenous variables have
Understandably, therebeen defined
is not following
one single an analysis
definition, which canof the specific
explain literature
MCDA and
regarding MCDA. Understandably, there is not one single definition,
many ‘endogenous variables’ can thus be created. Concisely, Roy [10] has suggested that decision- which can explain MCDA
and many
making ‘endogenous
situations variables’ can
can be categorized thusbasis
on the be created.
of decision Concisely, Roy [10]
problematics [11]. has suggested
Different kindsthat
of
compensation logic are examined by Vincke [12] and shared by Colson and De Bruyn [13] andDifferent
decision-making situations can be categorized on the basis of decision problematics [11]. further
kinds of
studies compensation
[14,35], for example logicGuitony
are examined by Vincke
et al. [15] and Huang [12] and
et al.shared by investigated
[8] who Colson and De theBruyn [13]
required
and further studies [14,35], for example Guitony et al. [15] and Huang et al.
input information. In this paper, a set of endogenous variables is defined as that which best represents [8] who investigated the
required
the input occurring
most useful information. In this
in the paper,
related a set ofand
literature endogenous
accordingvariables is defined
to the survey as that
performed bywhich best
Ishizaka
represents
et Nemery P. [9].the most useful occurring in the related literature and according to the survey performed by
Ishizaka et Nemery P. [9].
Each variable (exogenous or endogenous) represents the qualifications and properties that
Eachthe
exemplify variable
various (exogenous
forms that or theendogenous)
variable can represents
take. Each the method qualifications and properties
retains specific properties,that
in
exemplify the various forms that the variable can take. Each
terms of how successfully it can be implemented. These properties are tied to the qualities method retains specific properties,
of the
in terms of how successfully it can be implemented. These properties are tied to the qualities of
variables.
the In
variables.
this study, the ensemble of exogenous and endogenous variables has been taken as a starting
point Inon this
which study, the ensemble
to structure of exogenous
the selection and endogenous
procedure for the proposedvariables
MCDA has method
been taken(seeasSection
a starting
3)
point onfor
intended whichuse into the
structure the selection
settlement procedure
transformation for the
process proposed MCDA method (see Section 3)
sector.
intended for use in the settlement transformation process sector.
Number of evaluation Identify between a set of items, the most important ones Type of decision-making
elements based on a limited amount of information problem
Expected solution Identify the best solution among different proposals Input Level
based on an average number of information
Technical support of a Identify the best solution among different proposals Implementation
Decision Aid Specialist based on a large amount of information Procedure
Actiontotobebetaken
Figure1.1.Action
Figure takenwith
withexogenous
exogenousand
andendogenous
endogenousvariables.
variables.
2.3.Exogenous
2.3. ExogenousVariables
Variables
InInthis
thissection,
section,exogenous
exogenousvariables
variableswill
willbe beexamined:
examined:(i)(i)By
Bythe
thenumber
numberofofevaluation
evaluationelements;
elements;
(ii)ByBythethe
(ii) typology
typology of indicators;
of the the indicators; (iii)stakeholders
(iii) The The stakeholders
involved involved in the process;
in the decision decision(iv)
process;
The
typology of the expected solution; (v) The presence of technical support from a Decision Aid
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 6 of 28
(iv) The typology of the expected solution; (v) The presence of technical support from a Decision
Aid Specialist during the implementation of the procedure. In the settlement transformation process,
the number of evaluation elements (criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives) depends on the nature of the
different decision-making problems [8,30,36–40].
The numeric configuration of evaluation elements (Table 2) is generally decided by the person
responsible for the evaluation process before the selecting the most suitable MCDA method with
reference to the specific problem in hand. In the case of settlement transformation processes, which
are generally rather complex, the number of criteria and sub-criteria are defined by the process
manager (Responsabile del Procedimento), role regulated by the Legislative Decree 50/2016 Article 31.
This is the individual who “provides the authority offering the contract with the data and information
regarding the main stages of the intervention, necessary for the coordination, guidance and checks of
the correct implementation, and oversees the economic management of the intervention” (Legislative
Decree 50/2016 Article 31, par. 4, point f). This kind of activity has been present since the definition of
administrative acts relating to settlement process initiation. The person responsible for the evaluation
process must attempt to construct the set of evaluation elements without allowing the potential
repercussions to overly influence the selection of an MCDA method. Although the creation of the set of
variables must of course represent the maximum number of requirements with the minimum number
of possible elements [35,41,42]. The number of alternatives can be deduced by taking into account
what has happened in the past in similar settlement proceedings in the same or in other administrative
contexts [43,44]. The typology of the indicators (Table 3) varies in accordance with the decision-making
problem to be resolved and the context in which it arises.
The number of stakeholders involved in the decision-making process may vary depending on
the different assessment questions that the MCDA needs to answer and from the decision maker’s
management related to the activation (or not) of Participatory Processes (P.P.) also deciding the number
of stakeholders to be considered (Table 4).
The involvement of stakeholders in the decision-making process aims to keep the decision-maker
informed as to the opinions of those who may be interested or influenced by the effects of the
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 7 of 28
decision. The types of stakeholders to be included in the participatory process [45,46] can be
classified into the following: (i) standard stakeholders “who have the legitimate responsibility to
participate in the process” [47], including all those who could be impacted by the results of the
program (e.g., beneficiaries or those who have suffered damage), design engineers and public
administration officials, etc. [31]; (ii) interest groups, stakeholders selected from local or professional
representatives, leaders of non-governmental organizations (such as stakeholder or environmental
protection, consumers and women’s rights), public sector bodies the representatives of financial
donors, etc. [31]. In short, interest groups are often political parties, civic organizations, or residents of
the impact area [47]. Each interest group, as well as the standard stakeholder, has their own motives
when evaluating the potential alternatives and often has different relational systems of preference.
The process manager, influenced by his own knowledge of the context from which the decision-making
arises, identifies the stakeholders to be included in the process. After attributing indices of importance
to each stakeholder, the process manager can select the solution (MCDA method) that is generally best
for them, for example the wishes of a simple majority (a solution that is preferred by stakeholders
whose added indices of importance is greater than 50%) [30].
The type of solution proposed for the decision-making problem in question depends on the
selection criterion sought during the evaluation process (Table 5).
The technical support of a Decision Aid Specialist during the execution of the process is one
of the variables that must be considered. As has been noted by the European Commission [31],
the management of the multi-criteria evaluation processes can prove anything but simple. Therefore,
another factor influencing the selection of the most suitable method is the availability or non-availability
of a Decision Aid Specialist who can put into action the MCDA procedure (Table 6).
The Decision Aid Specialist deals with the technical implementation of the MCDA by making
use of the various software available. In other studies, a wide variety of MCDA software has
been described, some of which is commercially available, discussing different kinds of packages
that have been developed to facilitate MCDA methods [9,48,49]. They involve several processes
to give structure to decision-making problems including the exploration of the situation and a
formulation and breaking down of the solution [48] by using mathematical algorithms. In reference
to the MCDA methods mentioned above (Section 1), a review of the literature draws attention to
some of the software available, which is easy to use and free to access or trial. Examples include
MakeItRational [49,50] or ExpertChoice [51] for AHP, SuperDecision [52] for ANP, RightChoice [53]
for MAUT, M-MACBETH [54] for MACBETH, SmartPickerPro [55] for PROMETHEE, Electre III–IV
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 8 of 28
software [56] for ELECTRE and Topsis [57] for TOPSIS. The Decision Aid Specialist in his position as
“technical” manager needs to have specific knowledge of programming and query languages in order
to perform MCDA using this kind of software. Acting as a “facilitator”, the Decision Aid Specialist as
a has the task of making the stages of the MCDA clear to non-specialist stakeholders; their presence
also increases the level of transparency in the evaluation process allowing for informed decisions to
be taken.
Table 7 summarizes the features of the exogenous variables.
Technical support
Number of Evaluation Typology of Stakeholders to Be Included
Expected Solution of a Decision Aid Tool
Elements Indicators in the Decision Process
Specialist
Limited number of criteria Definition of n
and sub-criteria and a small alternatives valid in ELECTRE
- Participatory process not
number of alternatives relation to objectives
activated;
Limited number of criteria - Participatory process
and sub-criteria and a large activated with a limited and MAUT
number of alternatives - Quantitative; specialized number of
A better overall - Yes; stakeholder;
Large number of criteria and - Qualitative;
alternative definition for - No - Participatory process
sub-criteria and a small - Mixed AHP; ANP
the purpose; The ideal activated with a significant
number of alternatives alternative definition number of stakeholder
Large number of criteria and closest to the lens preferably organized in MACBETH;
sub-criteria and a large categories PROMETHEE;
number of alternatives TOPSIS
Three clusters distinguish the approach to solving decision-making problems. They are identified
from the different qualifications that represent the resolution of the evaluation problem (Table 9).
In the case of a full aggregation approach, the scores allow each alternative to be comparable
with another. They are expressed while taking into consideration the performance of the alternatives
according to the criteria and sub-criteria selected for the analysis.
With regard to the outranking approach the incomparability is defined by observing alternative
performance sets that are equally valid but qualified differently because they are based on different
sets of criteria. The allocation of a full or partial score to the alternative involves a consideration of the
performance set, based on the criteria and sub-criteria selected for the execution of the analysis.
In case of the “goal, aspiration or reference level approach”, the options (alternatives) are evaluated
using the aggregate collection (vector sum) of the performance in relation to the different criteria that
allow one to define how far (vector) the alternatives fall from the final objective.
The input level describes the “modelling effort” [9] needed to achieve the desired results and
is connected to the measurement (Indicators) of the data and the parameters to be drawn and
considered in order to solve the decision-making problem (Table 10). It is necessary to emphasize that
Strategic Planning Techniques [58] and Participation Techniques are employed in the evaluation and
collection of data used in the MCDA. Indeed, several stakeholders are often considered directly or
indirectly involved in the decision-making problem, including: (i) institutions (national, regional, local);
(ii) contracting stations; (iii) entrepreneurs, economic operators; (iv) property owners; (v) workers and
(vi) the population.
A score is assigned to each parameter by using the indicators. The input level is a synthetic indicator
of these scores, which expresses the level: High (H), Medium (M) or Low (L). The methodology of the
calculation is described in [30] Appendix A (Table A1).
The different implementation procedures are defined using logical mathematical operations in
order to process the data implemented in the evaluation matrix and to get a summary of results for the
classification of the alternatives. Different methods of data processing and aggregation are necessary
for the different implementation procedures. The procedures include: (i) preference thresholds,
indifference thresholds and veto thresholds [59]; (ii) utility function [9,17]; (iii) pairwise comparisons
on a ratio scale [27,60]; (iv) pairwise comparisons on a ratio scale with interdependencies [25];
(v) pairwise comparisons on an interval scale [26,61]; (vi) ideal option and anti-ideal option [9,28,62–64]
(Table 11) [30].
It is possible to obtain output modalities by putting in order alternatives with different qualities.
The “granularity order” [9,15] varies according to the type of endogenous variables considered.
The output typologies are obtained as a result of the evaluation implementation referring to the
number (n) of alternatives evaluated (Table 12) [30]. This depends on different calculation methods,
which represent the comparability or incomparability between the alternatives and of the distance
(or the type of measurement or procedure by which the alternatives are ordered) of the alternatives
from achieving the defined objective.
The types of solution used to resolve the decision-making problem derive from the order (output)
of the alternatives and depend on whether the incomparability between two alternatives is admitted
or not. The solution is therefore based on different foundations (Table 13) [30].
Table 14 summaries the features of the endogenous variables mentioned in this section.
Type of
Solution Implementation Input Decision Problem
Decision-Making Output Typology Tool
Approach Procedure Level Solution
Problems
n categories of
Preference thresholds, Partial ordering obtained
Sorting/ Outranking alternatives of equal
indifference thresholds, Medium by expressing pairwise ELECTRE
Description approach score but different
veto thresholds preferences degrees
behaviour
Full ordering obtained by Alternative with the
Utility function High MAUT
considering the scores higher global score
Pairwise comparison on
Full ordering obtained by Alternative with the
rational scale and High ANP
considering the scores higher global score
Full aggregation interdependencies
approach Pairwise comparison on Full ordering obtained by Alternative with the
High MACBETH
interval scale considering the scores higher global score
Pairwise comparison on Full ordering obtained by Alternative with the
Low AHP
rational scale considering the scores higher global score
Goal, aspiration Full ordering with score Alternative with the
Ideal option and
or reference level Low closest to the aim closest score to the ideal TOPSIS
anti-ideal option
approach assumed solution
Ranking/Choice n categories of
Partial ordering obtained
alternatives of equal
by expressing pairwise
score but different
Preference thresholds, preferences degrees
behaviour
indifference thresholds, Medium ELECTRE
veto thresholds Total ordering obtained
Alternative with the
by expressing pairwise
higher global score
Outranking preferences degrees
approach n categories of
Partial ordering obtained
alternatives of equal
by expressing pairwise
score but different
preferences degrees
Preference thresholds, behaviour
Medium PROMETHEE
indifference thresholds Partial ordering obtained
Alternative with the
by expressing pairwise
higher global score
preferences degrees
Table 15. Properties of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods transposed in a binary mathematical system.
1. The weighting of variables (optional action): A set of variables (that represents the criteria) and their
potential qualifications (Table 15) has been defined (see also Section 3). The variables can be
considered of equal importance or weight (equal weight method) or of different importance
and weight [65–67]. Should it be necessary to consider the varying importance of the variables,
a weight can therefore be assigned to each of them [68]. Different weights will directly influence
the results of MCDA procedure. Consequently, it is essential to define the rationality and veracity
of the criteria weights. Several methods of achieving this are discussed in the reference literature.
For example: (i) subjective weighting methods such as direct assignment, Simple Multi-Attribute
Rating Technique (SMART), SWING, SIMOS, pairwise comparison, AHP; (ii) Objective weighting
methods such as entropy method, TOPSIS and combination weighting methods [66,67,69–71].
The most appropriate weighting method can be chosen by taking into consideration: (i) the
variance in the degrees of criteria; (ii) the independency of criteria; (iii) the subjective preferences
of the decision-makers and stakeholders when communicating their weights [68]. The exact
number of criteria (and sub-criteria) may also have some relevance [35,59]. Direct assignment,
SMART and SWING are the most used methods for addressing decision-making problems related
to the settlement transformation process. The advantages of these being: the fast implementation
times and the possibility to collect the views of stakeholders through questionnaires. However,
the various weakness must also be considered including the difficulties connected to quantifying
the uncertainty of the human input [66] and the subsequent conflict between the thoughts and
priorities of the stakeholders and the expression of ranking and values. Appendix B describes
how stakeholders may express the index of importance for each variable and their aggregation
modalities [30].
2. Determining the framework of expected properties: This involves the identification (presence
or absence) of the qualifications needed by the different variables in order to address the
decision-making problem in question. Those responsible for the process of settlement
transformation must determine the needs and demands involved in the decision-making problem
being examined. The choice must be based on the set of exogenous and endogenous variables
and composed of both the required and expected properties, EP(Vn;Qn), of the method selected
for the decision-making problem. The framework of the expected properties for each exogenous
and endogenous variables (for the chosen method) is determined according to the formulas and
Table A2 [30] attached in Appendix C.
3. Calculation of the overall index of suitability: This is based on a comparison of the properties of
the various MCDA methods (Table 15) with their expected properties. A general index can be
obtained for the suitability of each potential method for resolving the evaluation problem. Before
an overall index of suitability can be calculated, the suitability, SR(Vn;Qn), must be determined
for each qualification of the variables listed on the new table. The suitability is determined
by comparing the data of the properties of the MCDA methods, for each qualification of the
variable (Table 15) with the data included on the table to be filled identifying the expected
properties for each exogenous and endogenous variables (see Appendix C Table A2) [30]. Refer to
Appendix D.1, for the possible configurations deriving from the calculation of the overall index
of suitability [30]. The suitability results, SR(Vn;Qn), for each variable are then combined for each
MCDA method in order to produce an aggregate index of suitability IS(Tn). In order to weigh
the variables, the suitability results must be multiplied by the index of importance for the factors
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 15 of 28
expressed by the stakeholders (see Appendix D.2 for the mathematical formula [30]). Should the
suitability of 2 or more qualifications have been determined for a single variable, then it holds
that if the binary system produces a number of results that are equal to 1, the overall result will
be 1 when calculating the overall suitability. In the case of it not being necessary to weigh the
variables, the aggregate index of overall suitability or IS(Tn) for each MCDA method is obtained
as displayed [30] in Appendix D.3.
4. The Identification of the method best suited to resolving the decision-making problem: Obtaining a ranking
of the MCDA methods with respect to the overall suitability indicators acquired. The ranking,
POS(Sn), of the overall indexes of suitability for each MCDA method is reached by listing the
indexes of aggregate suitability, IS(Tn) or ISW(Tn), in descending order. The most suitable method
is the one with the highest index of overall suitability.
As already mentioned in previous sections, the procedure being proposed has been designed by
considering the 6 endogenous variables that describe the different methods of MCDA [9]. In addition,
we have the 4 exogenous variables derived from the Italian regulatory framework integral to settlement
transformation processes. The selection procedure of the most appropriate MCDA method as
proposed below may be employed in other territorial contexts, however, the endogenous variables
remain unchanged in these possible applications as they are related to the implementation of MCDA
“techniques”. Instead, the exogenous variables can be reconsidered by using reduction, integration or
substitution depending on the evaluation problem to be answered.
4.1. A Procedural Application: The Evaluation of Design Proposals Responding to the Call for Tenders for a
New Office Building at the Chamber of Deputies in Rome
The procedure proposed by this paper was applied to the selection of an MCDA method to
be used in a hypothetical international call for tenders. The structure in question is a new office
building at the Chamber of Deputies in Rome, for which the design ideas must be evaluated. The new
building is to be constructed in an urban void adjacent to Palazzo Montecitorio in the historic center
of Rome (Italy). The hypothetical request aims at identifying the best design idea for the solution
of a situation unresolved since the first call for tenders for this potential building at the Chamber of
Deputies in 1967 [1,72].
The purpose of the request is to choose from amongst multiple design proposals, the best
one considering a set of criteria, sub-criteria, indicators and weights for the variables specifically
designed by a team of experts (Table 16) [30,72] formed of technical officials from Rome’s Public
Administration (4) and professors (6) and researchers (8) involved in studying a new project for the
Chamber of Deputies.
(Table 17 column weight) according to the modalities shown in Appendix B considering a simple index
of importance between stakeholders.
Table 16. Evaluation elements to be considered in the call for tenders for the office building at the
Chamber of Deputies.
General Typology of
Goal Criteria Sub-Criteria Indicators
Objectives Indicators
Alignment of the new building to the - Total;
urban fabrics before demolition (Rilievo Qualitative - Partial;
Urban fabric filling in
IGM 1873) - Absent
relationship with the
historical development Presence of inner courts (covered or
- Present;
process uncovered) following the tradition of Qualitative
- Absent
the historical urban fabric
- Very high;
Connection between design spaces, - High;
Architectural urban spaces and parliamentary Qualitative - Medium;
and Urban functions close to the design area - Low;
quality - Very low
Organic relationship
between buildings and Mixed use providing by concentration
- Total;
urban spaces of commercial functions on Matrix
Qualitative - Partial;
route in order to restore its functional
- Absent
and morphological continuity
Easy access to non parliamentary - Total;
functions on matrix route (Via di Qualitative - Partial;
The urban void Campo Marzio) - Absent
solution by the
inclusion of - Very high;
new functions Minimizing of unmovable structures to - High;
Flexibility and reduce the impact on the dynamic and Qualitative - Medium;
Technical and integrability of inner and alternative use of spaces - Low;
functional outer spaces from - Very low
quality functional and distributive
Minimizing of technical and structural - Total;
point of view
elements to reduce the impact on the Qualitative - Partial;
dynamic and alternative use of spaces - Absent
% on base
amount
Cost reduction Quantitative
established for
call for tenders
Spending Control
Economic and Cost sustainability connected with
Quantitative €/year
financial energy saving
aspects Maintenance costs por year Quantitative €/year
Environmental costs Quantitative €
Economic Convenience Net Present
Costs Benefits ratio Quantitative
Value (€)
Table 17. Expected properties for the MCDA method in the call for tenders for the office building at
the Chamber of Deputies in Rome.
Expected Properties to
Type of Weight
Variables Qualification of Variables Decision-Making Problem
Variables
Value Motivation
Limited number of criteria and
sub-criteria and a small number of 0 -
alternatives
Limited number of criteria and
sub-criteria and a large number of 0 -
Number of alternatives
evaluation 0.5 Large number of criteria and
elements sub-criteria and a small number of 0 -
alternatives
Related to Criteria, Sub-Criteria
Large number of criteria and
and Indicators of Evaluation;
sub-criteria and a large number of 1
Considering a significant
alternatives
participation in the call
Quantitative 0 -
Typology of Qualitative 0 -
0.75
indicators Related to Criteria, Sub-Criteria
Mixed 1
and Indicators of Evaluation
Exogenous Participatory.Process not activated 0
Participatory.Process activated with a
Stakeholders to limited and specialized number of 0
be included in stakeholder
the decision 1
Participatory.Process activated with a Need to activate a participatory
process significant number of stakeholder 1 process with a significant number
preferably organized in categories of categories of stakeholders
Definition of n alternatives valid in
0 -
relation to objectives
Expected A better overall alternative definition Need to select the best design
1 1
solution for the purpose proposal
The ideal alternative definition closest
0 -
to the lens
Expected Properties to
Type of Weight Decision-Making Problem
Variables Qualification of Variables
Variables
Value Motivation
- Amount of data and parameters:
high (calculation for weighing the
modelling effort level in relation
to the input level parameters as
indicated in Table A1)
High 1 - Times for the definition: medium;
-Skills and degree of knowledge of
Input level 0.75
the decision-making
problem: high;
- Use of integrated techniques:
not necessary
Medium 0 -
Low 0 -
Partial ordering obtained by
expressing pairwise 0 -
Exogenous preferences degrees
Total ordering obtained by expressing
0 -
Output typology 1 pairwise preferences degrees
Full ordering obtained by considering
1
the scores
Need to measure the performance
Full ordering with score closest to the of project proposals
1
aim assumed
n categories of alternatives of equal
0 -
score but different behaviour
Decision problem Alternative with the higher Need to identify the project
1 1
solution global score proposal with the best
Alternative with the closest score to performance in relation to the
1
the ideal solution goals
Table 18. Results of potential MCDA methods suggested for the selection of the best design proposal in the call for tenders for the office building at the Chamber
of Deputies.
Type of Consistency in Relation to the MCDA Tools in Relation to the Expected Qualification
Variables Weight Qualification of Variables
Variables ELECTRE MAUT ANP MACBETH AHP TOPSIS PROMETHEE
Limited number of criteria and sub-criteria and a small
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
number of alternatives
Limited number of criteria and sub-criteria and a large
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Number of evaluation number of alternatives
0.5
elements Large number of criteria and sub-criteria and a small
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
number of alternatives
Large number of criteria and sub-criteria and a large
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50
number of alternatives
Quantitative 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Typology of indicators 0.75 Qualitative 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Exogenous Mixed 0.75 0.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75
ParticipatoryProcess not activated 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stakeholders to be Participatory.Process activated with a limited and
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
included in the decision 1 specialized number of stakeholder
process Participatory.Process activated with a significant number
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
of stakeholder preferably organized in categories
A better overall alternative definition for the purpose;
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
The ideal alternative definition closest to the lens
Expected solution 1 A better overall alternative definition for the purpose 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00
The ideal alternative definition closest to the lens 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Technical support of a Yes (advisable) 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.25
Decision Aid Specialist No (not necessary) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 20 of 28
Type of Consistency in Relation to the MCDA Tools in Relation to the Expected Qualification
Variables Weight Qualification of Variables
Variables ELECTRE MAUT ANP MACBETH AHP TOPSIS PROMETHEE
Sorting 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Type of
decision-making 0.5 Description 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
problem.s Ranking/Choice 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
Outranking approach 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Solution approach 1 Full aggregation approach 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Goal, aspiration or reference level approach 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
Preference thresholds, indifference thresholds,
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
veto thresholds
Preference thresholds, indifference thresholds 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
Utility function 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Implementation Pairwise comparison on rational scale and
1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
procedure interdependencies
Pairwise comparison on interval scale 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pairwise comparison on rational scale 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Endogenous Ideal option and anti-ideal option 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
High 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
Input level 0.75 Medium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Low 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Partial ordering obtained by expressing pairwise
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
preferences degrees
Total ordering obtained by expressing pairwise
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Output typology 1 preferences degrees
Full ordering obtained by considering the scores 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Full ordering with score closest to the aim assumed 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
n categories of alternatives of equal score but
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
different behaviour
Decision problem
1 Alternative with the higher global score 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
solution
Alternative with the closest score to the ideal solution 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
Overall suitability index (IS) 0.23 0.53 0.60 0.64 0.57 0.61 0.43
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 21 of 28
4.5. Results: Identification of the Method Best Suited to Resolving the Decision-Making Problem
The decreasing order of the global coherence indicators obtained for each MCDA method
considered identifies MACBETH as the best performing method according to the objectives of the
request. Using this method could facilitate the evaluation problem of choosing the best design proposal,
by giving a suitable answer to the established objectives (Table 19).
Table 19. The order of potential MCDA methods to select the best design proposal for the new services
building at the Chamber of Deputies in Rome.
MACBETH sits at the top of the order with a consistency index of 0.64; TOPSIS (0.61) and ANP
(0.60) also obtain a high consistency; AHP (0.57) and MAUT (0.53) reach a medium consistency and
could potentially be used for solving the decision-making problem specific to the case study.
According to the objectives of the international call for tenders mentioned above, the consistency
of PROMETHEE (0.43) is low and ELECTRE (0.23) is not recommended at all.
Author Contributions: The paper must be attributed in equal parts to the authors.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Table A1. Weighing the modelling effort level in relation to the input level parameters.
When selecting the most suitable MCDA method, the process manager can select the solution
that is preferred by the stakeholders whose added indices of importance are greater than a specified
threshold (related to a simple/relative/qualified majority and unanimity). The process manager can
set this threshold in relation to the composition of the stakeholders being considered (an increasing
threshold as the stakeholders’ points of view rise) [30].
Expected Properties
Type of in Relation to
Weight Variables Qualification of Variables
Variables Decision-Making
Problem
Limited number of criteria and sub-criteria and a Request = 1;
small number of alternatives Not request = 0
Limited number of criteria and sub-criteria and a Request = 1;
Number of large number of alternatives Not request = 0
0≤W≤1 evaluation
elements Large number of criteria and sub-criteria and a small Request = 1;
number of alternatives Not request = 0
Large number of criteria and sub-criteria and a large Request = 1;
number of alternatives Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Quantitative
Not request = 0
Typology of Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 Qualitative
indicators Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Mixed
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Exogenous Participatory process not activated
Not request = 0
Stakeholders to be Participatory process activated with a limited and Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 included in the specialized number of stakeholder Not request = 0
decision process Participatory process activated with a significant
Request = 1;
number of stakeholder preferably organized
Not request = 0
in categories
Definition of n alternatives valid in relation Request = 1;
to objectives Not request = 0
Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 Expected solution A better overall alternative definition for the purpose
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
The ideal alternative definition closest to the lens
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Yes (advisable)
Technical support Not request = 0
0≤W≤1 of a Decision Aid
Request = 1;
Specialist No (not necessary)
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Sorting
Not request = 0
Type of
Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 decision-making Description
Not request = 0
problems
Request = 1;
Ranking/Choice
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Outranking approach
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 Solution approach Full aggregation approach
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Goal, aspiration or reference level approach
Not request = 0
Preference thresholds, indifference thresholds, veto Request = 1;
thresholds Not request = 0
Endogenous
Request = 1;
Preference thresholds, indifference thresholds
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Utility function
Not request = 0
Implementation
0≤W≤1 Pairwise comparison on rational scale and Request = 1;
procedure
interdependencies Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Pairwise comparison on interval scale
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Pairwise comparison on rational scale
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Ideal option and anti-ideal option
Not request = 0
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 24 of 28
Expected Properties
Type of in Relation to
Weight Variables Qualification of Variables
Variables Decision-Making
Problem
Request = 1;
High
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 Input level Medium
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Low
Not request = 0
Partial ordering obtained by expressing pairwise Request = 1;
preferences degrees Not request = 0
Total ordering obtained by expressing pairwise Request = 1;
preferences degrees Not request = 0
Endogenous 0≤W≤1 Output typology
Request = 1;
Full ordering obtained by considering the scores
Not request = 0
Request = 1;
Full ordering with score closest to the aim assumed
Not request = 0
n categories of alternatives of equal score but Request = 1;
different behaviour Not request = 0
Decision problem Request = 1;
0≤W≤1 Alternative with the higher global score
solution Not request = 0
Alternative with the closest score to the Request = 1;
ideal solution Not request = 0
Appendix D.2. Equation to Obtain Weighted Suitability Results (Partial Coherence Results)
To obtain weighted suitability result must be considered the suitability results and the weight of
the variables [30]:
SRW = SR(Vn; Qn) ∗ W(Vn)
where
Appendix D.3. Equation to Obtain Index of Overall Suitability (Overall Coherence Index)
To obtain weighted index of overall suitability must be aggregated the partial coherence results.
Sustainability 2018, 10, 507 25 of 28
If the variables are not to be weighted, the aggregate index of overall weighted suitability ISW(Tn)
for each MCDA index is obtained via the equation [30]:
If the variables are to be weighted, the aggregate index of overall weighted suitability ISW(Tn)
for each MCDA index is obtained via the equation [30]:
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