Discussion Paper 1 Econ
Discussion Paper 1 Econ
Discussion Paper 1 Econ
Douglas Bowles
10/25/2017
Studying and understanding the bigger picture of the economy has been the primary
focus of economists. Failure to understand the aggregate economic issues has hampered the
world markets in many ways. The great recession caused a huge impact in world markets during
the late 2000s and early 2010s which immensely originated in the United states. During those
times ,15 million men and women were fully unemployed, and another 10 million were working
with reduced hours (Sherman, 6). A recession has a domino effect in the economy where
businesses are affected by increased unemployment which leads to less growth and drop in
consumer spending (Steven Nicolas). This is true in most of the cases like when spending
decreases the demand is not high enough, causing the business to report losses and forcing to
reduce wages. Following this, business either hires new workers with low pay or loss of job for
the skilled workers which is increasing the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate tells that
how many people from the available pool of labor force are unable to find work (Thakur).
Unemployment doesn’t account for people who are not actively seeking for work. Due to
massive layoffs and no new jobs being created tends the consumer to consume or spend less, the
tendency to save more increases tightening the money supply. The drop-in demand lowers the
company’s growth rate and economy. Government or private organizations can take proper
measurements within a short period to cure the unemployment problem but there is no simple
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equation as there are economic factors and economists point of view, which must be taken into
In classical view, the economists believe that government should play a very limited role
in the economy. This position on government is called austerity. It is even believed that the
markets would run well, and capitalism is best understood when the competition is allowed
without any limitations and restrictions. Classical economist sees that the capitalist economic
system tends to move forward to full employment, when unemployment rate is at four percent.
Full employment is achieved by an economy when there are no outside disruptions in the system.
“Disruptions or shocks like floods, droughts, wars or complex government policy mistakes”
(Sherman,16). This system autocorrects itself to full employment after the brief period of
unemployment due these disruptions. Recent natural disaster in Texas, Florida and neighboring
states has caused “thirty-three thousand loss of jobs in September in twenty seventeen and this
was the first monthly dip of employment in seven years” (Patricia Cohen). As economist Carl
Tannenbaum quoted after these events “As winds calm,” he said, my guess is employment
figures would stabilize” (Patricia Cohen). It is believed such unemployment crisis to be over as
soon as the situation normalizes. Slowly, more jobs will be created as the demand for
employment would increase after such outside shock. Unemployment automatically restoring to
equilibrium at full employment by its own competitive processes. At this point it means
government policy should pay more attention on cutting programs and practicing austerity and
let the private sector focus on recovery from the unemployment issue on their own.
However, the progressive economist argues and rejects to the point made by the classical
economists. Keynes who is considered to start a revolution that changed many views in
microeconomics and points out that a market economy can stay for a long period of time, in a
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situation of high unemployment and surplus supply in all markets (Quiggin John). The classical
view is that unemployment arises from problems in labor markets and can only be addressed by
fixing those problems. Progressives believe that the government should create new policy and
intervene in crucial time periodically when the economy is at a crisis, such as recessions. For
example, New Deal passed by Franklin D Roosevelt during the great depression. Progressives
also do not believe that a private economy will not “adjust the total demand up to the level
produced at full employment”. This means that there is proof of 37 recessions or depressions that
the economy could not restore its poor demand and heavy unemployment for long period of time
(Sherman,17). Yet for some Americans the wounds of recession have not fully healed explains a
lot that once a nation is at deep recession it is usually very hard to come out on its own to
equilibrium as the classical economists argued (Ben Casselman). Keynesians even argued in
contrast to the point when there is a drop-in demand for goods and services. As demand drops
there will be less production which will eventually lead to unemployment. Therefore, progressive
understands that no government should sit and do nothing when its economy is collapsing due to
Moreover, technology and jobs being outsourced are also causes for people being
unemployed. Most of the works that were done manually are now industrialized dependent as
they are safer, faster and cheaper than the manual work. Companies replace human workers with
robots as they are more efficient. Job outsourcing is a problem nowadays, when U.S. companies
hire foreign workers instead of Americans because the companies can lower their labor cost
(Kimberly Amadeo). If high national unemployment continues it deepens the recession. History
has proved that either recession or depression is never good for an economy because when
consumers cut their spending, businesses cut payrolls to cope with falling earnings (Chris
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Seabury). Unemployment is an important statistic used by the government to measure the health
of the economy. If the unemployment gets too high it tries to stimulate the economy or create
jobs. The Federal Reserve can also step in with many different policies to save its economy.
The goals of monetary policy are to promote maximum employment, stable prices and
moderate long-term interest rates. By implementing effective monetary policy, the Fed can
maintain stable prices, thereby supporting conditions for long-term economic growth and
maximum employment (Monetary Policy Basics). An expansionary monetary policy increases the
money supply, lowers interest rate and increases the aggregate demand. When business loans are
more affordable, companies can expand to keep up with the consumer demand (Kimberly
Amadeo). This eventually lead them to hire more workers, whose incomes will rise.
Subsequently this will allow the consumers to spend on goods more often. Whereas the
restrictive monetary policy does the opposite and does not benefit the unemployment situation.
Taxation on the other hand is one of the primary fiscal policy tools government uses to reduce
unemployment (Unemployment & Fiscal Policy). High tax means consumers will reduce
consumption due to less income. When businesses have low revenue, consumers buy less, they
would hire less workers. So, decreasing tax and increasing spending can encourage economic
growth and reduce unemployment. When an economy grows the wages and salaries increase
with it. Sustainable economic growth means a rate of growth which can be maintained without
creating other significant economic problems, especially for future generations (Sustainable
growth).
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Overall, governments role in fixing the economy is a must, as progressives suggest and
believes. Without the role of the government it is very hard to monitor every aspect of
macroeconomy. As it is a very risky job for economists or government policy makers to do this
all alone. We have been through many recessions and depressions while this economy and
reached a stable economy that we have today. It is hard to predict what the economy is going to
be like in the future, but we have monetary and fiscal policies along with government
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WORKS CITED
1. Casselman, Ben. “Why Some Scars from the Recession May Never Vanish.” The
www.nytimes.com/2017/10/05/business/economy/recession-recovery.html.
2. Cohen, Patricia. “U.S. Lost 33,000 Jobs in September; Unemployment Rate Dips to
4.2%.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 6 Oct. 2017,
www.nytimes.com/2017/10/06/business/economy/jobs-report-
unemployment.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fbusiness-
economy&action=click&contentCollection=economy®ion=stream&module=stream_
unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=7&pgtype=sectionfront.
s-economy-3306279
and-functions/monetary-policy.
www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/032515/why-does-unemployment-tend-rise-
during-recession.asp.
macroeconomics-unemployment/
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7. Seabury, Chris. “Recessions and Depressions Aren't So Bad.” Investopedia, 20 Oct.
2017, www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/lessons-recessions-
depressions.asp.
9. Sustainable growth,
www.economicsonline.co.uk/Managing_the_economy/Sustainable_growth.html.
problems/.
smallbusiness.chron.com/unemployment-fiscal-policy-12614.html.