Strategy For The Environmental Valuation of Sungai Sepang Dam Project
Strategy For The Environmental Valuation of Sungai Sepang Dam Project
Strategy For The Environmental Valuation of Sungai Sepang Dam Project
for the
Environmental
Valuation of Sungai
Sepang Dam Project
An Environmental Valuation Strategy by Doublemint Dams Pvt Ltd
This document is prepared for the hypothetical scenario of creation of a dam in Sungai Sepang.
This is prepared as part of the submissions for Assignment 1, Economics of Renewable Energy.
This report was prepared by Arvindran Subramanian.
“Eventually, all things merge into one, and a river runs through it. The river
was cut by the world's great flood and runs over rocks from the basement of
time. On some of the rocks are timeless raindrops. Under the rocks are the
words, and some of the words are theirs. I am haunted by waters.”
“Water has become a highly precious resource. There are some places where a
barrel of water costs more than a barrel of oil. “
“If you could tomorrow morning make water clean in the world, you would
have done, in one fell swoop, the best thing you could have done for improving
human health by improving environmental quality.”
Introduction. ............................................................................................................................... 5
1.5.1: The removal of palm oil plantation and the clearing of land for the
construction site ........................................................................................................... 14
1.7.1: For Keeping the dam, the goals that we have to fulfill is .......................... 20
1.7.2: On the flipside, for removing the dam, the goals we have to fulfill are: . 21
6. Conclusion............................................................................................................................. 45
Minutes of Meeting................................................................................................................... 52
Introduction.
“The 2014 Negeri Sembilan and Selangor water crisis was a water crisis that began in
the Malaysian states of Negeri Sembilan and Selangor and lasted from February to August
2014. Its roots can be traced to hot and dry climactic conditions in Peninsular Malaysia in
early 2014, but other factors, including water infrastructure problems and political deadlock in
negotiations between the government and private water concessionaires also played central
roles.”
The Selangor water crisis has affected upwards of 6.7 million people in the state of Selangor,
and caused millions of ringgits worth of losses to businesses. The Sungai Selangor Dam
reached critically low levels of water, roughly at 31% of maximum capacity as rivers
supplying the dam dried up due to El Nino induced drought. The Sungai Selangor Dam
supplies close to 60% of the states water demand.
The Selangor state has proposed for the construction of a dam and reservoir on Sungai
Sepang, with hopes of adding 60,000 million liters of water to the states water supply. The
proposed dam will be created near the area of Taman Serbau, and the palm oil plantation
adjacent to the land will be repurposed into a reservoir. The proposed reservoir will be dug
out of the ground, as geographically there isn’t a traditional valley formation to serve as a
natural reservoir. The river will be diverted into the reservoir via the dam, and the overflow
will be released downstream, effectively diverting the path of the river over a distance of few
kilometers.
The project will be controversial, and the State of Selangor is looking into to do an
environmental valuation of the site as well as the costs and benefits of the environmental
impacts on Sungai Sepang. The environmental consultation company Doublemint Dams are
hired to carry out the preliminary environmental valuation work.
Executive Summary:
This report will examine the methods used to value the Sungai Sepang River, as well as
methods to establish monetary values for the various associated environmental impact. The
main asset in question in this report is the Sungai Sepang River. The goods and serviced
provided by the river are evaluated in terms of direct use, indirect use, altruistic and
existence, and non use values. Additionally the impacts of the construction of the dam,
operation of the dam and the decommissioning of the dam is also taken into consideration.
Benefits from the creation of the dam and the reservoir is taken into account as well, hence
giving the total environmental cost/benefit as :
The final value(TEC,TEB) is then adjusted(compound interest rate as decided) to the life
expectancy of the dam, and then discounted(at agreed discount rate) back to get the
environmental costs at present value. This value ATEC or ATEB, is the final costs of the
environmental impact of the project.
Various methodologies are employed to collect the data, mostly from a revealed preference
and stated preference standpoint. Revealed Preference was used for the estimation of
values that can be readily observed and quantified, whereas Stated Preference was to
estimate values that people place on an environmental asset. All the proposed
methodologies are to be carried out by a data collection firm and the data collected will have
to be statistically analyzed to produce the appropriate willingness to pay (WTP) for each
category. These WTPs are collected from pockets of samples from households all across the
Selangor State, and the payment vehicle used is an increase in water bill, as is popularly
used worldwide to fund water supply related projects.
A questionnaire design is undertaken, and its described in details all the decisions made
during the process of the survey design. A well designed survey is crucial to elicit accurate
willingness to pay from respondents. Willingness to pay is used for all the survey in this
report, as it is more conservative then willingness to accept. The survey was developed
using a stage-gate method whereby respondents will have to answer questions to determine
its level of use of the environmental asset. Various steps were integrated into the survey to
provide better accuracy of WTP.
1 : The Lifecycle and Impacts of the Sungai Sepang Dam
Dams are historically constructed for myriad purposes. These include the establishment of
water reservoirs for irrigation, and water supply. Dams are also erected to supply fuel for
hydroelectric power plants, and flood mitigation (Eyre, 2005). The construction of a dam is an
enormously expensive venture, and generally has a significant impact on the environment
(Association, 2015). Many large dams across the world have reservoirs stretching 50 to
80kms, and some hold enough water weight to physically alter the geographical
configuration of the land surrounding the reservoir.
The construction of the Sungai Sepang Dam is expected to take 4 to 5 years, as the scope of
work will include the erection of a retaining wall (dam) across Sungai Sepang, and the
creation of a dug out reservoir, as opposed to a traditional dam where the reservoir is
contained behind the retaining wall. During the construction phase, major changes will
happen to the environmental asset, and other environmental damage.
Resource Profile:
Sungai Sepang a river with a total length of 18.42 kilometers, and is next to Sungai Pelek
(Geoview, 2001). It serves as a border marker between the states of Selangor and Negeri
Sembilan. The river will be dammed and diverted into a reservoir.
1. Aesthetic Value : The existence of the river in its current state will hold some value to
many individuals. This is a non-use value.
2. Recreation Value : The river will hold recreation value for the public who use the river
for various activities such as fishing, picnicking, kayaking or rafting, and camping.
This is a direct use value.
3. Income Value : There will be groups of individuals who will derive their income from
the river, mostly through fishing, but also through fish farming(aquaculture) in the
river. This is also a direct use value.
4. Biodiversity Value : The river will house a typical tropical river ecosystem, or more
commonly known as mangrove forests. This can be of both non use and use value,
depending on if there are individuals who actively harvest the biodiversity here for
recreation or income. A distinction is made between the aquatic population in the
river, and the population of other organisms outside the river, but within the
immediate vicinity of the river, e.g. monkeys, birds and crabs.
To value the impacts (change) on each of the services provided by the river, we have to
identify the particular endpoints that will affect the public. Once the endpoints are
established, then we can proceed to do valuation on it (Cabinet, July 2014).
1.1: Aesthetic Value:
Resource:
The water level of the river is deemed as an asset, as it is deemed as natural beauty
(Corrigan, et al., July 2007). The water level in the river is an aesthetic value that users
derive utility from, and hence is considered as an asset. Changes to this asset will cause the
reduction of utility that users will derive from it. People derive utility from the river by
spending time by the river, kayaking and photography along the river, which is direct use
values, and they also derive utility from knowing of the existence of the river, which is
existential value. (Recreational and Aesthetic Value of Water Using Hedonic Price Analysis,
1995)
Resource:
The downstream portion of the river has a few recreational activities happening in it.
A quick browse on the blogosphere reveals various fishing enthusiasts (Panggang, 2014)
who use the river for recreational fishing. Sungai Sepang is also used as a launch jetty,
where charter fishing boat operator launch into the Straits of Malacca, bringing recreational
sea fishermen. The river is also used for recreational kayaking, albeit a more popular option
seems to be Sungai Pelek which leads to Bagan Lalang (Zulzaha, 2015).
Changes to the Resources:
The construction of the dam will significantly lower the water level downstream of the
river, and this will disrupt recreation activities happening downstream. The water level might
drop to a level too low for boats to be used to carry fishermen into the sea for fishing. The
lower level of water will also cause the current jetty and vessel docking area be redundant,
as there will be no water there anymore. These have to be moved from their current site
further into the river area, thus incurring costs to the fishermen. The lower level of the river
will however may encourage swimming as it will decrease the flow-rate of the river, as
observed in other reservoir damming project. Currently the river isn’t being used extensively
for watersports.
Resource:
Sungai Sepang is used as a launch for charter boats to bring sea fishing enthusiast
into the Straits of Malacca for fishing. There is significant number of boats there, hence
suggesting the amount of traffic happening. There also is a medium sized fish farm by the
jetty, the Sepang Fish Farm, and supplies reared fish to local restaurants, as told by one of
the fishing farm owners. The nutrients in the river are deposited in mangrove forest nearby
which has a different biodiversity such as crustaceans, and a different variety of fish.
Although this is not commercially harvested, there are individual who fish in mangroves and
collect shellfish on a daily basis. The river water is also harvested by the plantations for
watering of the crops. There also is a effluent treatment area which discharges treated water
into the river.
Next, the Environmental Impacts caused by the construction of the dam is analyzed. The
major environmental impacts that happen during the construction of the dam is:
1. The removal of the palm oil plantation and the clearing of land for the
construction site office.
1.5.1: The removal of palm oil plantation and the clearing of land for the construction
site
Resource:
Currently a palm oil estate plot is in the area where the reservoir will be established.
The size of palm oil plantation is approximately 200 hectares, (2 km² = 200 hectares). This
roughly generates about RM 3,600,000 per year, approximated by data from Malaysian Palm
Oil Board Pocketbook (Jan – June 2015). There is a Hindu temple within the plantation.
Resource:
The area around Sungai Sepang is relatively quiet, with spikes in traffic during rush
hour. There is an airport nearby, but sufficiently far as not loud airport noises can be heard.
Environmental Impact:
Pollution from construction activities upstream is expected to affect the water quality
downstream. The process of removal of earth and the erection of the dam will inevitably
introduce refuse into the river, and this will be carried downstream and either taken into the
sea of deposited in the downstream delta.
1.6: The Dam Lifecycle : The Operation Phase
The environmental impact caused by the operation of the dam and reservoir is restricted to a
few key impacts. The dam and reservoir is expected to operate for a period of 50 years, and
the reservoir will hold a minimum of 60,000 million liters of water. During operation, water will
be channeled from the dam into the reservoir thus keeping it at a constant level, and the
overflow is channel back downstream.
The major environmental impacts that occur during the 50 year operation phase of the dam
and reservoir are:
4. Flooding.
Environmental Impact:
It is predicted that the dam will slow down the river water velocity, and this will reduce
the speed of water body upstream of dam. This causes a decrease in sediment-carrying
capacity, which results in sediment being deposited upstream and nutrient rich silt deposited
behind the retaining wall of the dam and in the reservoir. This deposition of silt will cause
inefficiencies in the ability of the reservoir to supply the required quantity of water, and also
cause undue wear on treatment equipment.
The reservoir creation will lead to accumulation of sediment upstream of the dam. This
causes smaller sediment load discharged downstream. The stream seeks to restore
sedimentation balance quickly, thus causing turbulence, which increases riverbed erosion
downstream of dam. This in turn will increase salinity of the soil which will be bad for
agricultural activities. The deposition of mass quantities of nutrient rich silt in the reservoir will
cause eutrophication in the reservoir, and this will encourage massive algae bloom. As the
algae die at the end of their lifecycle, they will rot and release methane and hydrogen
sulphite into the atmosphere.
The river flow carries sediment downstream, from Sungai Kelembai, where the flow width
narrows down. At this point, the total length to the proposed dam area is 7.15 km. These
sediment would eventually build up inside the dam, thus causing sedimentation upstream
and at the river, and erosion in the downstream flow. The total flow downstream is 4.5 km
where the river flows to the Straits of Malacca. The possible soil erosion would eventually
build up as a delta just 1 km away from Jimah Power Plant.
1.6.2: Nutrient and pH Value
Environmental Impact:
With the presence of the dam, the nutrient flow from upstream would also build up
inside the dam. This would cause nutrient to build up thus allowing the condition for aquatic
vegetation. The flow downstream would experience a severe reduction in the nutrient flow
and possible alteration to its pH value adaptable for soil growth. The change in pH value will
also affect the vegetation downstream, as plants only thrive under a limited range of pH
values. This will cause the plants to die off, which in turn will adversely affect the biodiversity
downstream (Changes in Water Quality After the Construction of an Estuary Dam in the
Geum River Estuary Dam System, Korea, November 2014).
Environmental Impact:
Apart from soil, the presence of the dam would also affect fish and its diversity. A
study needs to be conducted to understand the existing biodiversity of fish as different fish
species would react differently to hydrological alteration. As river flow downstream
decreases, sea water will push further into the river mouth and the effects of this
phenomenon on fish and fish diversity will have to be studied as well (Assessment of salinity
intrusion in the James and Chickahominy Rivers as a result of simulated sea-level rise in
Chesapeake Bay, East Coast, USA, 2012).
There would also be a necessity to study the overall fishing activities surrounding the river
area. There are a number of existing fishing businesses situated downstream of the dam,
namely:
Changes of river flow regime could potentially disrupt these businesses, including other river-
related activities such as fishing.
1.6.4: Flooding
During rainy seasons, the total quantity of water in the river will rise, and unless
demand is match to this increase in water quantity, a lot of water will be discharged
downstream. This discharge must be monitored and controlled or this will cause flooding
downstream, and around the reservoir. Flooding around the reservoir will have adverse
effects as the reservoir will be close to residential areas. Studies should be undertaken to
asses this impact and how to manage it.
1.7: The Dam Lifecycle: The decommissioning of the Dam
As the years go by, the level of silt in the dam builds up significantly, drastically
reducing the reservoir capacity. When the reservoir is no longer able to supply the required
load it was built for, the reservoir must be decommissioned from service. The decision to
decommission the dam will result in a choice of two actions, one it is to remove the dam and
reservoir completely and return the river flow to its original configuration. The other option is
the reservoir will be repurposed and maintained indefinitely (THE H. JOHN HEINZ III
CENTER FOR SCIENCE, 2004). Rivers without significant historic and cultural value, and
lack of anadramous fish populations aren’t usually decommissioned, but rather converted
into recreation areas. The key decision making factor lies in the significance of the river to
the population, the gain in environmental value from the removal and the maintenance cost
of keeping up with an ageing infrastructure.
The first step in the decision making process to remove a dam is to first define the
goals and objectives for keeping the dam and removing the dam (THE H. JOHN HEINZ III
CENTER FOR SCIENCE, 2004). Once the goal and objectives can be identified, major
issues of concern that will help achieve the goals are then examined. Data is collected to
address all the major issues identified, as well as surveying the affected population for data.
With this collected data, regression analysis can be conducted to identify the key benefits
and costs associated with keeping the dam and reservoir after decommissioning, or to
remove the infrastructure completely.
For the proposed Sungai Sepang Dam project, the dam and reservoir will be
decommissioned after 50 years of service. Hence, after existing for 50 years, the reservoir
would have reached an equilibrium with its environment and would have developed
biodiversity around the reservoir. Some of the large man-made lakes in Malaysia such as
Tasik Kenyir, Tasik Temenggor and Tasik Pedu, to name a few ,have extensive ecosystems
developing around them (Lakes and Reservoir in Malaysia: Management and Research
Challenges, 2008). This secondary ecosystem is formed around the dam and reservoir. The
ecosystem created will be a function of the time of retention of water in the reservoir. The
ecosystem surrounding it may resemble more of an ecosystem around a lake if the retention
time is longer, and more like a river if the retention time is short (Scott, 2009). One notable
example is the Lake Kariba, the largest man-made lake in the world which sits on the border
between Zambia and Zimbabwe (LakeNet, 2004). The lake has a man-made ecosystem
around the dam, and with the introduction of fishes, it now supports thriving fisheries. The
lakes has tremendous ecotourism potential with elephants frequenting it, as well as Nile
crocodiles, hippopotamus and birds are a common sight in the reservoir area (Board, 2015).
Reservoirs are considered lentic ecosystems and do indeed have the capability of
developing its own ecosystem around it (Agostinho, et al., 1999)
Thus to remove a reservoir that has reached equilibrium with its surroundings, which
could potentially be as diverse if not more than its predeceasing environment, will pose
substantial ecological losses. The main sources of degradation of the lakes include the
surface runoff containing nutrient rich water from nearby plantations, sewage from
communities living around the lake, logging activities and oil discharges from motorboats
(Lakes and Reservoir in Malaysia: Management and Research Challenges, 2008).
Many dams and reservoirs worldwide, open their reservoirs for recreation activities.
Most notable will be Lake Mead behind the Hoover Dam, which is widely used for fishing and
water recreation activities (Kumar, et al., Dec 2009). The creation of a reservoir, while will
potentially decrease the diversity of the river based ecosystem, can give rise to a lake
ecosystem, and can be further commercialized with the addition of species of fishes for sport
fishing. Reservoir lakes such as Tasik Kenyir in Malaysia capitalizes significantly in the
recreation activities demanded from the lake, with the establishment of resorts and sport
fishing opportunities (Lakes and Reservoir in Malaysia: Management and Research
Challenges, 2008). In other words, the conversion of the ecosystem to a lake ecosystem
actually might have increased its significance and existence values rather than before the
lake was created. The same can be said for the Sungai Sepang project, as the area currently
before development is just a palm oil estate with a river flowing through it. This area will
always have low foot traffic limited to plantation personnel and the occasional river fisherman
who may use the plantation road to go fishing. However once a reservoir is established, and
its area open to public recreation, the traffic to the area will increase, thus increasing number
of people will derive utility from it (Association, 2015). Over a period of 50 years, it will not be
hard to imagine as the reservoir being a focused recreation area for the locals with significant
foot traffic over the years. Although data for foot traffic cannot be obtained through surveying
the current inhabitants, we may pattern their behavior to find out how frequently might they
use a recreation area that is available nearby.
Reservoirs opened to public for recreation activities however must comply with the
requirements established by DOSH to ensure that recreation activities can be conducted
safely around the reservoir. This in turn will incur some costs, as capital will have to be
invested, such as safety warning signs, patrol boats, and personnel to oversee the safety
and continual maintenance of the site. Systems must also be in place to monitor the levels of
dissolved bacteria in the water, and to ensure that the reservoir will not be breeding grounds
for Aedes mosquitoes. Many lakes and reservoirs in Malaysia are also used as fisheries, to
harvest fish for consumption, and this may also be an economic benefit of maintaining the
reservoir. Thus by looking at the possible outcome of the project environment in 50 years, we
may establish the key goals and objectives we would like to achieve both for keeping the
dam and for removing the dam.
1.7.1: For Keeping the dam, the goals that we have to fulfill is
3. To develop housing area around the vicinity of the reservoir, as a potential eco
development project.
1.7.1.3: To develop housing area around the vicinity of the reservoir, as a potential eco
development project.
The development of a reservoir lake will be a boon of real estate development. It is
observable in the real estate market, individuals pay more money for a plot near a lake or
any such environmental feature (Recreational and Aesthetic Value of Water Using Hedonic
Price Analysis, 1995). Many examples can be found throughout Malaysia of this, where in
some cases, open pit mines are allowed to be filled up with rainwater, and housing projects
are developed around it. These lakes are then developed to house recreational facilities, as
well as provisions for fishing and fish farming. Some lakes are simply just maintained for its
beauty, and limited amounts of recreation are allowed in it, such as the man made saltwater
lake by Taman Sepang Putra, which is very close to the proposed project site. The proposed
project will reclaim a 5 km length of the river, which will be diverted, and this can be
developed into high end eco neighborhoods in the future.
1.7.2: On the flipside, for removing the dam, the goals we have to fulfill are:
2. The restoration of the ecosystem of the river, by returning the flow of the river to
its original configuration, and the reestablishment of the palm oil plantation in the place of the
reservoir.
1.7.2.2: The restoration of the ecosystem of the river, by returning the flow of the river
to its original configuration, and the re-establishment of the palm oil plantation in the
place of the reservoir.
The removal of the dam and reservoir will enable the river to be restored to its
original flow regime, which would mean that the river level downstream will now rise to the
level it was prior to the impoundment (THE H. JOHN HEINZ III CENTER FOR SCIENCE,
2004). This can have a positive effect on the river ecosystem, as it will enable the river to
restore the initial biodiversity. However, the ecosystem downstream would have adapted
over the period of 50 years and reached an equilibrium with the lower level of water
(Anderson, et al., 1987) (Lytle, et al., 2004), and the abrupt addition of water will now
submerge vegetation and in itself will cause decay underwater and the release of methane,
though not in such significant numbers. The increase in water level will also cause relocation
of the jetties and fish farming areas again.
Thus we have now covered all the environmental impacts that will happen for the project,
from the initial environmental values, to the impacts due to construction, operation and
decommissioning of the dam. Next we will evaluate the methods used to determine the
environmental valuation for each impact.
2: Environmental Impact Valuation.
Various methods are used to determine the values associated with the environmental impact
caused. The main goal here is to initially determine the costs due to changes to the original
ecosystem services, as well as additional impacts caused by the construction of the dam,
operation of the dam and removal of the dam. In some cases there will be a beneficial impact
as opposed to a detrimental impact and this value will cause the total costs of the
environmental impact to diminish.
Opportunity Cost is used to value the monetary benefits that is lost or not achieved due to a
change in the status quo.
There are at least two ways to calculate the damages. One way is use the replacement cost
method, and another is opportunity cost.
This method calculates the cost of relocating the agricultural activities elsewhere, taking
into account the cost of purchasing or leasing the new land, planting new seeds, and loss
of production while waiting for the products to yield (Eyre, 2005).
This method assumes that no alternative pasture exists, and the total number of palm oil
production will be reduced. Essentially, it is calculating the production loss due to the
reduced number of palm oil trees (Eyre, 2005).
The disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account behavioral adaptations
and price responses.
2.2: Hedonic Cost Method
= , − , × × ( )×
where:
Lyear,obs = Annual equivalent noise due to the construction activities
Ldn,back = Expected noise without the construction activities
Nhouses = Number of houses at that location
A(P) = Annuitised average house price
NDSI = Noise Depreciation Sensitivity Index
dB(A) costing approach has clear advantages when compared to annoyance costing:
a) Valuation of the increased level of noise can easily be tied with hedonic pricing,
instead of relying low annoyance probabilities as proxy for amenity
b) It allows for amenities to be more sensitive to new sources of noise (provided low
background noise levels)
However, the dB(A) costing approach comes with several disadvantages. Among the biggest
is its problem of transferring hedonic pricing studies to rural, low noise reference
environments, which is clearly the case in this environmental valuation study. One way to
mitigate this issue is to set a lower limit background noise, whereby anything lower than this
limit, then annoyance costing method will need to be conducted instead.
The conclusion of the study is to use an avoidance costs approach for the central value. The
summary of the avoidance costs are as below:
€9/ton CO2 as lower bound value
€19/ton CO2 as central value
€50/ton CO2 as upper bound value
This report recommends the use of €19/ton CO2 in valuation of CO2 emissions. By
extension, it can be applied to all greenhouse gases.
However, the avoidance costs are actually only for CO2 emissions, and the costs are
extended to other GHG due to limited studies on other greenhouse gases. Extensive
research and studies are needed to come up with other GHG costs with a higher confidence
level. In addition to that, these avoidance costs are based on European context, and the
costs may be lower in Malaysian context.
To gain direct results, a single survey based questionnaire could be used to accommodate a
mixture of dichotomous and open-ended questions, where applicable, to reduce possible
answer bias. As stated in the previous statement, one of the weaknesses of using CVM is
the possibility of answer bias. Other disadvantage would be CVM is based on what people
say they would do, instead of what people are observed to do.
The advantages would be that by using the CVM method, we could get the net present value
of the fish of the different species as well as the soil, thus we could quantify the value.
Another advantage would be that we could get the value of how much the population would
be willing to pay in terms of water bill for a healthy supply of water quantity and quality (Han,
et al., September 2007).
As observed from above, the preservation of the dam and reservoir will actually become an
environmental benefit, and the removal of the dam and reservoir in the future will pose an
environmental impact due to the removal of an entire ecosystem. Thus, it is expected that
the bias will be more towards the preservation of the dam, as there are no anadramous fish
population that need the river for specific breeding grounds, such as salmon (Han, et al.,
September 2007). Since the loss of the fish farms can be mitigated by the establishment of
fish farms in the reservoir, and the recreational fishing done in the river can be mitigated in
the same manner, it is quite possible that the majority of the population will bid more to keep
the dam and reservoir as opposed to removal of the dam.
3: Survey/Analysis Design
3.1: Noise Survey Design
The noise survey needs to capture 4 main elements necessary to calculate the dB(A) costing
approach. The 4 elements are:
1. Magnitude of the noise emissions (in dB(A))
2. Variation of noise as a function of time of day
3. Analysis of tonal content
4. Analysis of intermittency
The observed noise level is then plugged into the following calculation:
,
= 10. (10 + 10 )
15 9 ( )
= 10. ( 10 + 10 )
24 24
The Ldn levels are then input into the Lobs equation to calculate Ldn,obs.
This becomes:
, ,
, = 10. ( . 10 + 10 )
1. water bodies – all portions of inundation area which are flooded throughout the year
2. floodplain – soil is either flooded or saturated only during high flow periods
3. upland – balance of inundation area
Sedimentation Trap
Quantitative analysis of the net GHG for pre- and post-impounded areas will then be
calculated based on a set of procedures, which is illustrated as below.
3.3: Opportunity Cost Analysis Design
The opportunity cost can be estimated by taking into account the production loss of oil palm
trees for the dam lifecycle (e.g. 50 years) with an agreed discount rate. The loss of revenue
of oil palm can be predicted by performing a study of existing production yield and revenue in
the area and a random sampling of other fields in nearby areas.
If this reduction of production means that existing workers need to be reduced or to find new
jobs, the welfare loss from the workers should be added.
3.4: CV Survey
Firstly we must describe the extent of area that encompasses all the potential respondents,
including businesses and plantations. Once the population zones are identified, surveys can
be conducted on those population areas.
The impact of altering the environmental asset such as river flow, fish population, aesthetic
appeal, and loss of biodiversity is considered. The aim of the CV is to then estimate what the
environment qualities are worth to the affected population sample. Also from the data, the
average WTP must be estimated from the sample.
Then regression analysis should be undertaken to identify the key variables which are driving
the answers given. It is essential that this is done to check the sample is taken is
representative of the population as a whole. For example, if the regression analysis indicates
that age is a key determinant of WTP, then the age structure of the sample must reflect the
age structure of the population as a whole.
And finally, the data is aggregated to the total population of the affected area.
Once all the WTP data is acquired for a particular environmental change, the data is graphed
to produce a probability density function graph, which looks like:
Figure 7 (University,2015 : Fig 4)
The Mean WTP is basically the area under graph, which can be estimated mathematically, or
Mean WTP = (each observed WTP x probability of observed WTP bid occurring)
Another way of expressing the WTP data is by creating a probability survivor function, which
will produce a graph that looks like:
Survey design is designed upon guidelines from various resources (Arrow, et al., January
1993) (Han, et al., September 2007) (Pearce, et al., 2002), and the steps in designing the
survey questions are outlined below:
1. First the hypothetical scenario must be clearly defined, stating both the good and bad
impacts of the project to the population/respondents.
2. A scenario example relative to the Sungai Sepang project. “The state of Selangor
suffers from severe water shortages during the dry season and at times of drought.
This shortage of water causes disruption to the water service both for industries and
household. This amounts to X million in losses annually. The government is
proposing to build a new dam and reservoir, over an area called Taman Seri Serbau,
which is essentially a palm oil plantation plot, with Sungai Sepang flowing through it.
The proposed dam will disrupt the flow of Sungai Sepang downstream, and divert the
water into a water storage reservoir, a man made lake approximately 2km x 2km”.
3. Attitudinal questions: The next stage seeks the respondents attitudes to general
issues, concerning the good, then to the good in questions. For our scenario, we will
have to get the respondents attitude towards the asset in question.
a. For matters of dam decommissioning:
i. Asset 1: Reservoir biodiversity
ii. Asset 2: Recreation area
b. We can hence ask questions that reflect the attitude of the respondent to:
i. Asset 1: How would you feel about the removal of a manmade lake
that has ecosystems, such as secondary forests and a fish and bird
population, developed in it?
ii. Asset 2: Which is more important to you,
1. A palm oil plantation with a river running, undisrupted through
it, albeit with the possibility of agricultural nutrients running
through it?
2. A recreation area for public use, created around a reservoir
that will be established in the aforementioned palm plantation,
resulting in the removal of the palm oil plantation plot, and a
dam to be built to divert the water from the river into the
reservoir?
It becomes a little tricky here to find out the use of the reservoir as a recreation area, as at
the time of interview, the reservoir is yet to be established. We can however find the
willingness to pay for the establishment of a recreational area around the reservoir to find out
the value of the recreation area at present.
Therefore, now focusing on the good in question in present, the biggest asset in question is
the Sungai Sepang, and the disruption to its flow patterns. Hence we must find out how
much the Sungai Sepang is worth to the population of Selangor.
One way to establish the users and non users of the river:
When valuing the environment, we must establish the goods and services provided by the
river, at its current state, and define how that will change, and consequently how much
respondents are willing to pay to avoid the change to the asset. Now considering the biggest
asset in the picture is the river:
Aesthetic value
Recreation value
Income value
Biodiversity value
To value aesthetic value, we have to identify the features of the river’s aesthetic that will
change:
i) How much are you willing to pay to preserve the quantity of water flowing in
Sungai Sepang?
Recreation value:
i) Do you fish in the Sepang River? Yes/No
ii) Do you use the Sepang River for recreational activities? Yes/No
If both yes or one yes, respondents draw utility from the Sepang River.
i) How much are you willing to pay / year to be able to use Sungai Sepang for
recreation? If a reservoir lake is established by Sungai Sepang, where fishing
can be done in the lake, as well as recreation, how much will you be willing to
pay to still use Sungai Sepang?
Income:
Questions: How much are you willing to pay to ensure that a dam will not be built in Sungai
Sepang?
Biodiversity value:
Again, instead of classifying the biodiversity into its specific groups; we try and get the WTP
for the resource as a whole. A scenario sample as follows is wrote out describing the impact
or change on the environmental goods and services, followed by a WTP question:
“The construction on a dam in Sungai Sepang will have an impact on the population of fish in
the river downstream from the dam, as well as loss of biodiversity down in the delta
downstream. How much are you WTP /year to ensure that the biodiversity of the river system
is not compromised?”
.
We have to remember that we are trying to find the non-use value, or environmental goods
and services that are not actively traded in the market place. This in addition to use values,
such as the loss of the palm oil plantation plot and others should give us the total cost of the
environmental impact.
The last part of the survey will be to elicit socioeconomic characteristics of the respondents.
This information is used to test whether the WTP answers conform to theoretical
expectations: a minimum list of such characteristics such as age, sex, interests, income and
education. Other factors deemed important should also be analyzed (Arrow, et al., January
1993). Similar methods of using weighting systems, such as the importance of the existence
of a particular goods and service to an individual, rated from a scale of 1 to 5, for a more
accurate WTP are studied and added with the survey.
.
4. CVM Questionnaire
The Sepang River is a river flowing in between two of thirteen states in Malaysia, namely
Selangor and Negeri Sembilan.
YES NO
Note: Questions 1 & 2 is about establishing users and non-users of the river.
Please let us know the importance of water quality as you fill the following questions.
3. How would you rate the following qualities of Sepang River to you? (Please skip this
question if you don’t know or choose not to answer)
Not Important Mildly Important Important Very Important
Fishing 1 2 3 4
Scenery 1 2 3 4
Drinking Water 1 2 3 4
Crop Irrigation 1 2 3 4
Navigation 1 2 3 4
Fishing 1 2 3 4
Farming 1 2 3 4
Note: Questions 3 & 4 establishes the goods and services provided by the river in its current
state in terms of:
Aesthetic value
Recreation value
Income value
Biodiversity value
If you choose Never or Rarely on question 4 for Fishing or Farming, please skip
question 5 - 10.
A possibility to the presence of the dam is that there could be a loss of the fish population
and biodiversity, mostly downstream to the river.
5. Do you fish at Sepang River as your primary income, daily consumption or for
recreational? (Please check those that apply)
□ Primary income
□ Daily Consumption
□ Recreational
6. How much would you be willing to pay for an additional of x fish species caught in a
day?
__________
7. How much would you be willing to pay for an additional of y fish species caught in a
day?
__________
Note: Questions 5 through 7 would be to estimate and correlate the value of good based on
the type of fishing activity of the respondent..
Throughout the operation of the dam, the nutrient cycle is altered and the nutrient component
of the water would not be evenly distributed along the river flow. If one of the uses of the river
water is for crop irrigation, there would be a possibility for a reduction in plants nutrient, thus
affecting the output/yield and/or income.
8. Do you farm at Sepang River vicinity as your primary income or daily consumption?
(Please check those that apply).
□ Primary income
□ Daily Consumption
9. How much area of soil do you currently use for farming purpose?
__________
10. How much would you be willing to pay for an additional yield of x crop if there was an
increase in the soil quality?
__________
The state of Selangor has the largest population in Malaysia, accounting up to 5.79 million
population based on the year 2013. The sole dependency of water supply from the Selangor
Dam has caused problems as the growth of population as well as industrialization demands
for more water. During the previous dry and drought seasons, the water which can be
supplied from the existing dam was unable to meet the demand, thus causing losses almost
two third of whole Selangor population totaling up to x million Ringgit. The government
acknowledges this and proposes that a new dam to be built at Taman Seri Serbau, which at
its current state is a palm oil. The proposed location can be seen below.
Upon completion, the dam would be able to solve the shortage of water in the State of
Selangor by catering 60 000 million liters of water, apart from that the reservoir will also be
concurrently used as a recreation area for the public. The reservoir area can be used for
activities such as fishing, and water sports; e.g. jet-skiing.
However, the construction of the dam would bring several impacts throughout its lifetime.
The major environmental impacts would be caused by water flow regime alteration and could
affect soil and vegetation, fish and diversity, and changes to nutrient and pH value.
Note: This is a detailed description of the project and all its impact and benefits
11. If the increase in price will be RM x per liter, would you support this program?
YES NO
12. What is the maximum amount of price addition that your household would be willing
to pay?
_________________
If your answer to question 12 was zero, please respond to question 13 and skip
question 14.
13. Why would you not contribute to the program? (Please check only one.)
14. Why would you contribute to the program? (Please check only one.)
The reservoir has an expected working life of 50 years, by the end of which the reservoir will
have to be decommissioned. The decommissioning process involves either the removal of
the reservoir and dam, thus restoring Sungai Sepang to the original state. The other
available action is to keep the reservoir, maintaining it as a recreation area for the public
indefinitely.
A reservoir and dam will be built next to Taman Seri Serbau, repurposing a palm oil
plantation plot, on which the reservoir will be built.
15. Please state how much are you willing to pay, as an extra cost per m3 of water
consumed,so that SYABAS can invest in equipment to clean the river water before it
is deposited into the reservoir?
_________________
The reservoir with a clean supply of water in it can then promote the propagation of various
lentic species, or a lake ecosystem. Fish can be introduced to encourage recreational
fishing, and facilities can be established around the reservoir to accommodate for jogging
and picnicking.
16. How much are you willing to pay, as an extra cost per m3 of water consumed, for
SYABAS to establish an eco-recreational area around the reservoir?
_________________
PERSONAL INFORMATION
Please note that the information that you provide is completely anonymous and will be used
for statistical purpose only.
1. □ Male □ Female
□ Within x km
□ x – y km
□ Over y km
4. In the last year, how often did you visit Sepang River?
□ 0 visit
□ 1 – 10 visits
□ over 10 visits
□ Elementary
□ High School
□ University
Thank you for your cooperation. Please return this survey in the envelope provided.
5. Scope of Work
Further work is required by future environmental consultant and opinion pollsters to complete
the environmental valuation of this project. The methods outlined here can be applied by the
opinion pollsters, and third party data collectors. The collected data should be analyzed by
qualified statisticians, and corresponding WTP values can be determined. The following sub-
sections highlight the summary of scope of work to be done by both parties.
1. Seek guidance of a professional sampling statistician for determination of sample type and
size. An accurate target population should be determined as well, for this scenario it is
recommended the target population be the population of the State of Selangor. The sample
frame population is crucial and should be able to accurately describe the water rates paying
population of Selangor. It is recommended samples taken from all the large population
zones in the State of Selangor. A full sample must be chosen to avoid two particular types of
bias, non-response error, and sampling error. The sample probability selection should be
random across all the population frame that pays the water rates. (Pearce, et al., 2002).
2. Ensure that survey is designed to minimize non-responses. The survey should first be tested
with a focus group to ensure that is able to elicit the required WTP data accurately, and test
for non-responsiveness (Pearce, et al., 2002).
3. Use willingness to pay rather than willingness to accept. Willingness to pay is always used
because it is conservative, and produces accurate WTP values as opposed to WTA values
(Arrow, et al., January 1993). The willingness to pay should be underestimated, rather than
overestimated. The lower end estimate of the values should always be considered, and
different regression analysis’s should be run to see the variable that provides the most
conservative estimates of WTP.
5. Pre-testing of photographs must be carefully explored. If photographs are used for the
purposes of eliciting WTP, these photographs must first be tested to ensure that the images
are able to supply adequate amounts of information to the respondents.
6. Provide no-answer option in the questionnaire so that interviewee is not forced to answer
any of the question, but need to carefully elicit the reason.
7. Provide yes/no follow-ups to the questions. Follow up questions, besides helping to clarify
the motives for and validity of responses, can also be used to test the credibility of the
scenario (Pearce, et al., 2002).
8. Pre-testing for interviewer effects to be done to ensure interviewee answers without bias
from interviewer. Interviewers should always approach the questioning from the most
neutral standpoint, and should actively avoid trying to influence the respondents. An
interviewer script should be prepared beforehand so the style of questioning, and word
selection is predetermined (Pearce, et al., 2002).
9. Face-to-face personal interview is recommended to be performed to answer the survey.
Face to face data collection is the most effective manner to get accurate data, followed by
mail, and lastly using email or electronically (Arrow, et al., January 1993).
6. Conclusion
The deployment of Sungai Sepang dam project will have numerous environmental costs and
benefits which will have social, physical and environmental impacts. There are 3 impacts that
have been identified during construction stage (deforestation, noise pollution, net GHG), 5
impacts during operation stage (flooding, nutrient and pH value, fish and fish diversity,
salinity intrusion, erosion and sedimentation), 3 impacts if reservoir is decommissioned
(ecosystem, aesthetic, soil and silt) and 3 impacts if reservoir is preserved (recreational area,
silt, tourism).
In total, four environmental valuation methods have been proposed to monetize each of the
identified burdens, which are Avoidance Cost Method, Hedonic Cost Method, Opportunity
Cost Method and Contingency Valuation Method. The advantages, limitations and
disadvantages of each method have been outlined.
Each of the valuation methods has different way of conducting the analysis or survey. For
estimating GHG emissions using Avoidance Cost Method, a Net GHG Analysis need to be
conducted first. For quantifying noise pollution, a Noise Survey need to be conducted prior to
using Hedonic Cost Method. Meanwhile, a CV survey is required for conducting Contingent
Valuation Method.
The summary scope of work for future environmental consultant and opinion pollsters have
also been proposed in the final part of the report.
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Reflection on the Assignment
The Assignment, sitting back after putting the final report draft in pdf, has taught me a lot of
things. Principally, it has thought me the importance of establishing a good team chemistry, and
working with each other’s strengths and weaknesses. We were able to draw from prior project
and research experience that we had, and we able to quickly synthesize a plan. Once we had a
plan, the sheer tenacity of my teammates made me want to keep up with them. Indeed we
were each motivating the other, and it simply showed as each person were able to pull their
weight. The process of putting together the report was extremely enjoyable, despite some
moments of utter frustration and swearing. The process of putting it all together required me to
cycle back and forth between literatures, and this gave me, and the team , a clear idea of how
best to deliver the report. As we shared all the information that we collected, we began to
realize that we had done a mountain of work, and will run out time to put it together. However I
believed we needed this amount of information, as it not only will help our understanding, but
also enable us to paint a very clear picture of how to carry out an environmental valuation. We
recollected, and pressed ahead. Having 3 people working through the pile of information is good
as it enabled us to specialize in a particular period of the lifecycle of the dam. I proposed that
the original resources that are there must be valuated, as the change in the river will cause a
decrease in utility downstream, and this cost must be quantified. I proposed a visit to Sungai
Sepang, and to the proposed construction site to get an actual feel for the place, and since we
are all adventure hungry, we embarked on the mission. It was a rewarding and eye opening
experience to see the actual site, as it negated my previous assumption that Sungai Sepang is
polluted and has no value to the population surrounding it. I met an adorable fat monkey which
belonged to one of the fishing boat operators, and met an old uncle who gets to sit on a wooden
platform overlooking the river, tucked in mangrove forests, drinking wine and watching his fish
farm and the river. He instantly gave me a fresh perspective on how I should consider a new
career path. All in all, I enjoyed working with Abang and Nikesh, as we have spectacular
chemistry and synergy, and I would look forward to working with them again.
Minutes of Meeting
NO AGENDA REMARKS
All 17/11/15
All 24/11/15
NO AGENDA REMARKS
Physical environment:
info
a) Construction – AAAR
b) Operations – NHS
c) Decommissioning – ARS
Prepared by: Approved by:
NO AGENDA REMARKS
a) Deforestation activities
b) Noise pollution to the environment
c) Net GHG emissions
Burdens during operation stage:
a) Flooding
b) Erosion & Sedimentation
c) Nutrient & pH Value
d) Salinity Intrusion
e) Fish & Fish Diversity
a) Ecosystem
b) Aesthetics
c) Soil and Silt
a) Recreational area
b) Silt
c) Tourism
info
All 24/10/15
N/A
Prepared by: Approved by:
NO AGENDA REMARKS
2.0 Methodologies
a) Deforestation activities:
Burdens Impacts
Construction
Deforestation Deforestation of:
a) impounded area
c) temporary road
diversion
Operations
Ecosystem Disturbance of
established
ecosystem inside the
reservoir.
2.0 Methodologies
Burdens Impacts
Construction Info
Operations
NO AGENDA REMARKS
info
Mangroves are present along the Sungai Sepang
riverbanks.