Iri Sondaj
Iri Sondaj
Iri Sondaj
Residents of Moldova
May-June 2018
Detailed Methodology
• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center
for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting.
• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between May 21 and June 18, 2018 through
face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 1,517 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is
representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size.
• Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural, age and
gender.
• A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection
procedures.
Stage one: All districts of Moldova were grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria)
were surveyed.
Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages).
o Settlements were selected at random.
o The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the
particular type of settlement in each region.
Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development.
2
Mood of the Country
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going
in the right direction or wrong direction?
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer
90%
83% 82%
79% 78%
80%
73% 74% 73%
69%
70% 66%
61%
58% 57% 58% 62%
60% 54% 55% 54% 53%
51%
47% 45% 51%
50%
47%
42%
40% 38% 38% 41%
40% 42% 41% 32%
30% 37%
34% 33% 32% 33%
30% 31%
20% 27% 19% 26%
24%
22% 21% 13% 11%
17% 9% 10% 16%
10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 5% 5%
12% 11% 13% 14%
10% 11% 12% 1%
8% 9% 8% 5% 8% 6% 6% 7%
0%
Mar-04
Mar-07
Jan-12
Mar-16
Mar-17
Apr-06
Apr-08
Jun-09
Jun-14
Jun-18
Sep-10
Sep-14
Sep-16
Feb-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Feb-18
Nov-04
Nov-08
Nov-09
May-10
Dec-11
Oct-15
Oct-17
*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is
often referred to as “the stolen billion.”
**In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round
4
contest on November 13, 2016.
Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?
I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace
I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough
I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast
No change is taking place
Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
5
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in
Moldova changed?
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
8
What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at
the moment?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
Roads 42%
Unemployment 20%
Cleanliness 10%
Emigration 9%
Low income/Pensions 9%
Water supply 8%
Lack of sanitation or sewerage 7%
Insufficient street lighting 6%
Bad mayor 6%
Lack of public transport 5%
Expensive utilities/Housing 5%
Poor conditions at schools/Kindergartens 4%
High prices/Inflation 4%
Gas supply 4%
Corruption 4%
Traffic jams 3%
Lack of cultural centers and activities 3%
Citizen indifference 3%
Poverty 2%
Healthcare system 2%
Social assistance 2%
Infrastructure 2%
No pharmacy 1%
Ecology 1%
No parks and green spaces 1%
No parking space 1%
Homeless dogs 1%
Unauthorized buildings 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
10
What are the most important problems facing you and your
household?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
11
How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in
Moldova?
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
13
Views on Corruption
Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the
majority of people or the interest of some groups?
Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
15
How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today?
16
What, in your opinion, is the greatest cause of corruption in
Moldova?
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
42%
42%
Lack of government control and oversight
36%
38%
22%
21%
Poverty and necessity
27%
25%
20%
17%
The actions of business leaders and oligarchs
21%
21%
10%
9%
Education levels of citizens
9%
11%
4%
5%
Custom and history
4%
2%
1%
2%
Other
1%
1%
2%
5%
Don't know/No answer
3%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
17
Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova?
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
22%
The Parliament 30%
30%
20%
20%
Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen) 21%
22%
25%
12%
Judicial branch 11%
9%
10%
12%
Business leaders, oligarchs 7%
9%
13%
11%
Prime Minister and Cabinet 8%
10%
11%
8%
Political parties and leadership of parties 7%
7%
7%
4%
The President 4%
4%
3%
4%
Local officials 3%
3%
2%
3%
Everywhere 5%
4%
6%
Other 1%
1%
5%
Don't know/No answer 6%
3%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
19
For whom have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in
order to receive services?
(Respondents who had to do this in the last 12 months)
1%
Tax inspector 1%
1%
<1%
Civil servant 1%
2%
1%
Other 6%
4%
11%
Don't know/No answer 6%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 20
Politics
Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
Zinaida Grecianii 6%
Pavel Filip 6%
Vladimir Plahotniuc 5%
Vladimir Voronin 4%
Ion Ceban 3%
Renato Usatii 3%
Ilan Shor 2%
Irina Vlah 2%
Adrian Candu 2%
Dorin Chirtoaca 1%
Other 10%
None 29%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
23
What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?
Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer
24
Attitudes Toward the President,
Government, and Local Authorities
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of
Moldova Igor Dodon?
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
26
Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government?
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
27
What is your opinion of the activities of each of the following
Moldovan ministries?
Positive Negative Don’t know/No answer
28
What are the most important problems that the Filip government
must solve?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
Wages/Pensions 32%
Job creation 26%
Tackling corruption 13%
Roads 9%
Emigration 7%
Consumer prices 6%
Economic performance 6%
Living conditions 4%
Assistance to young people 4%
Education reform 3%
Poverty 3%
Heathcare system 3%
Government should quit 2%
Low standard of living 2%
Solving problems of citizens 2%
Recovering the "stolen billion" 2%
High price of utilities 2%
Disconnect between the government and citizens 2%
Cooperate with President Dodon 2%
Assistance to pensioners 2%
Assistance to rural areas 2%
Social assistance 2%
Open factories and plants 1%
Issues of public order 1%
Build a team of professionals 1%
Repair schools and kindergartens 1%
Development of agriculture 1%
Good relationship with Russia 1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
29
Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority led by
the Democratic Party?
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
30
Do you think that the Moldovan Parliament is responsive to the
needs of citizens like you?
Very responsive Rather responsive Rather unresponsive Not responsive at all Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
31
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local
government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)?
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Below the central government, Moldova is divided administratively into three municipalities, two autonomous regions and 32 districts
which are referred to as raions. The raions are governed by a locally-elected council. 32
Parliamentary Elections
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
34
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
(Disaggregated by age)
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
35
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
First choice Second choice
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) 32% 4%
Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) 15% 8%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) 8% 4%
Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) 8% 11%
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 3% 6%
Other 1%
2%
The candidate as a person
4%
All are equally important
4%
4% Don’t know/No answer
9%
38
For each attribute, please tell me if it would make you more or less
likely to vote for the candidate, or if it would not matter?
More likely to vote for the candidate Makes no difference to me
Less likely to vote for the candidate Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
42
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest
economic partner, political partner and threat for Moldova?
European Union Russia Romania United States Ukraine None Don't know/No answer
70%
65% 64%
60%
53%
51%
50%
41%
40% 38%
30%
26%
23% 23% 22% 22%
21%
20% 19%
16% 15%
10% 11%
10% 9%
6% 5%
2%
0%
Economic partner Political partner Threat
43
If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which
one should it be?
The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
44
If Moldova could join only one international economic union, which
one should it be?
(Disaggregated by age)
The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
45
If a referendum were held today on Moldova joining NATO, how
would you vote?
For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
46
Youth Political Engagement
Do you think that today’s generation of young people has a good
future in Moldova?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
48
Which of the following should be the government’s first priority
regarding Moldovan youth?
Other 1%
50
Sources of Information
Which of these media outlets do you use for gaining political
information?
(Respondents permitted to supply several answers)
June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017
86%
89%
TV – news, programs 87%
89%
50%
42%
Internet 47%
45%
38%
32%
Relatives, friends 34%
43%
33%
Radio – news, programs 26%
31%
41%
24%
15%
Articles in newspapers 18%
28%
16%
14%
Debates
14%
11%
Social media 15%
21%
12%
Work colleagues 7%
8%
14%
8%
3%
Billboards, stands in the streets 9%
15%
7%
4%
Leaflets, other free information by mail 8%
17%
7%
3%
Articles in magazines 6%
9%
7%
5%
Meetings with politicians 11%
13%
2%
None
1%
2%
Don't know/No answer
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 52
Which television channels do you watch for political information?
(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents)
Prime TV 41%
Moldova 1 29%
Jurnal TV 27%
Publica TV 21%
Pro TV 19%
RTR 13%
NTV 13%
Canal 3 9%
Canal 2 6%
Accent TV 4%
TV8 3%
TNT 2%
N4 2%
CTC 1%
53
Which television channels do you watch for entertainment?
(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents)
Prime TV 24%
RTR 18%
NTV 15%
TNT 13%
Moldova 1 12%
Canal 3 12%
CTC 11%
Canal 2 8%
Pro TV 8%
Jurnal TV 7%
TV1000 6%
Discovery 4%
Publica TV 4%
N4 2%
RenTV 1%
Ukraine 1%
Muz TV 1%
Noroc TV 1%
54
If you had to choose one, which of the following is the primary
channel you watch most of the time?
Prime TV 20%
Jurnal TV 13%
Moldova 1 10%
RTR 7%
NTV 7%
Pro TV 6%
TNT 5%
Canal 3 5%
Publica TV 4%
Canal 2 3%
CTC 1%
Other 7%
55
How often do you use the internet?
Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
56
Do you own a smartphone which can access the internet?
(Respondents who use the internet)
June 2018
73% 26% 1%
(N=1,033)
February 2018
68% 30% 2%
(N=960)
October 2017
67% 32% 1%
(N=940)
March 2017
68% 30% 2%
(N=946)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
57
Do you use any of the following social media sites?
(Respondents who use the internet)
June 2018 (N=1,033) February 2018 (N=960) October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946)
65%
Odnoklassniki 68%
65%
76%
60%
Facebook 56%
58%
59%
21%
Instagram 18%
22%
18%
18%
WhatsApp
14%
Vkontakte 13%
18%
18%
4%
Twitter 3%
5%
5%
3%
Telegram
2%
MoiMir 5%
6%
4%
2%
LiveJournal 3%
1%
3%
1%
LinkedIn 1%
1%
1%
16%
I don’t use social media 16%
14%
13%
58
How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?
(Respondents who use the internet)
Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer
June 2018
48% 6% 9% 8% 8% 19% 2%
(N=1,033)
February 2018
43% 8% 10% 7% 11% 18% 3%
(N=960)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
59
Demographics
Demographics
GENDER
Male 47%
Female 53%
18-29 years 20%
AGE
Secondary 26%
Vocational 39%
Higher/Incomplete higher 24%
Romanian 5%
Moldovan 77%
ETHNICITY
Russian 6%
Ukrainian 6%
Other 6%
Russian Orthodox 80%
RELIGION
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
61
Demographics
Manager/Director/Patron 2%
Specialist 7%
Technician 3%
White collar 3%
Services/Trade 5%
Blue collar 11%
OCCUPATION
Unqualified worker 8%
Farmer 2%
Student 4%
Retired (not working) 29%
Housewife 8%
Unemployed/Looking for a job 11%
Unemployed/Not looking for a job 4%
Other 1%
Refused 2%
My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm 45%
BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD
Chisinau 21%
TYPE