2018-3-29 Moldova Poll Presentation

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Public Opinion Survey:

Residents of Moldova
February-March 2018
Detailed Methodology

• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center
for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting.

• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between February 7 and March 7, 2018
through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of 1,513 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is
representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size.

• Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural and gender.

• A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection
procedures.

• Stage one: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria)
were surveyed.
• Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages).
• Settlements were selected at random.
• The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the
particular type of settlement in each region.
• Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent.

• The response rate was 64 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development.
2
Mood of the Country
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going
in the right direction or wrong direction?
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know, no answer
90%
83% 82%
79% 78%
80%
73% 74% 73%

70% 66%
61%
58% 57% 58% 62%
60% 54% 55% 54% 53%
51%
47% 45% 51%
50%
47%
42%
40% 38% 38% 41%
40% 42% 41% 32%
30% 37%
34% 33% 32% 33%
30% 31%
20% 27% 19% 26%
22% 21% 13% 11%
17% 9% 10% 16%
10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 5% 5%
12% 11% 13% 14%
10% 11% 12% 1%
8% 9% 8% 5% 8% 6% 6%
0%
Mar-04

Mar-07

Mar-16

Mar-17
Apr-06

Apr-08

Jun-09

Jun-14
Sep-10

Sep-14

Sep-16
Jan-12
Feb-10

Feb-11

Aug-11

Feb-18
Nov-04

Nov-08

Nov-09

May-10

Dec-11

Oct-15

Oct-17
*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is
often referred to as “the stolen billion.”
**In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round 4
contest on November 13, 2016.
Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?
I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace
I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough
I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast
No change is taking place
Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 5% 44% 6% 42% 2%

October 2017 4% 48% 7% 39% 2%

March 2017 10% 45% 9% 33% 3%

September 2016 3% 38% 7% 49% 3%

March 2016 4% 31% 15% 46% 4%

October 2015 1% 30% 15% 50% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

5
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in
Moldova changed?
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

February 2018 1% 16% 42% 24% 14% 3%


October 2017 15% 45% 21% 16% 3%
March 2017 1% 16% 35% 29% 15% 3%
September 2016 1% 6% 25% 30% 35% 3%
March 2016 1% 6% 23% 32% 36% 2%
October 2015 4% 16% 34% 42% 4%
September 2014 6% 22% 24% 21% 19% 7%
June 2014 4% 20% 33% 23% 14% 6%
January 2012 2% 13% 31% 28% 22% 4%
December 2011 2% 15% 20% 31% 29% 3%
August 2011 5% 23% 34% 17% 18% 3%
February 2011 3% 25% 27% 22% 18% 5%
September 2010 5% 18% 28% 26% 17% 6%
May 2010 2% 14% 30% 30% 19% 5%
February 2010 2% 11% 24% 38% 21% 4%
November 2009 2% 8% 34% 39% 10% 7%
June 2009 1% 9% 22% 42% 20% 5%
November 2008 2% 20% 30% 28% 15% 5%
April 2008 2% 13% 30% 29% 20% 6%
March 2007 4% 24% 32% 27% 10% 4%
April 2006 3% 24% 36% 27% 5% 5%
November 2004 5% 26% 37% 22% 6% 4%
March 2004 3% 23% 37% 25% 9% 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
6
Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your
household changed?
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

February 2018 1% 12% 53% 23% 9% 2%


October 2017 12% 56% 19% 12% 1%
March 2017 1% 11% 53% 23% 10% 2%
September 2016 1% 7% 42% 24% 23% 2%
March 2016 1% 5% 32% 33% 27% 2%
October 2015 4% 24% 33% 35% 4%
September 2014 4% 21% 38% 19% 15% 3%
June 2014 2% 18% 45% 24% 9% 2%
Janauary 2012 2% 10% 41% 29% 15% 3%
December 2011 1% 13% 39% 28% 17% 2%
August 2011 4% 18% 43% 18% 14% 3%
February 2011 1% 16% 34% 31% 15% 3%
September 2010 4% 14% 36% 29% 14% 4%
May 2010 1% 11% 42% 29% 15% 2%
February 2010 1% 8% 36% 36% 16% 4%
November 2009 1%7% 46% 34% 9% 3%
June 2009 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 5%
November 2008 1% 15% 39% 27% 14% 4%
April 2008 2% 11% 37% 25% 16% 9%
March 2007 3% 19% 41% 23% 9% 5%
April 2006 2% 25% 44% 22% 5% 1%
November 2004 4% 23% 47% 20% 5% 1%
March 2004 2% 16% 48% 22% 10% 1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
7
In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova
change in the next 12 months?
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer

February 2018 2% 24% 35% 18% 7% 14%

October 2017 1% 20% 42% 14% 8% 15%

March 2017 4% 27% 32% 19% 7% 11%

September 2016 1% 13% 35% 20% 17% 14%

March 2016 2% 14% 34% 21% 19% 10%

October 2015 1% 6% 21% 30% 32% 10%

September 2014 11% 27% 24% 11% 12% 15%

June 2014 6% 24% 29% 17% 7% 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

8
What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at
the moment?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

Low income/Pensions 34%


Unemployment 32%
Corruption 31%
Emigration 16%
Poverty 15%
Bad government 13%
High prices/Inflation 10%
Roads 9%
Economic crisis 6%
Government indifference 4%
"The stolen billion" 4%
Expensive utilities/Housing 4%
Low standard of living 3%
Citizen indifference 3%
Crime 3%
Healthcare 3%
Conflicts between politicians 2%
Political crisis 2%
Ineffective laws 2%
Education 2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
9
What are the most important problems facing your village/town at
the moment?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
Roads 48%
Unemployment 20%
Water supply 11%
Cleanliness 11%
Emigration 8%
Insufficient street lighting 7%
Lack of public transport 6%
Expensive utilities/Housing 6%
Low income/Pensions 6%
High prices/Inflation 5%
Gas supply 5%
Lack of sanitation or sewerage 5%
Corruption 4%
Lack of gas stations 4%
Healthcare system 4%
Poor conditions at schools 2%
School closing 2%
Citizen indiference 2%
Lack of cultural centers and activities 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


10
What are the most important problems facing you and your
household?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

Low income/Financial problems 45%

Unemployment 14%

Health problems 12%

Expensive utilities/Housing 9%

Emigration 6%

High prices/Inflation 5%

Poverty 4%

Expensive medicine/Poor medical service 3%

Loneliness 3%

Poor housing and utilities 3%

Poor social assistance 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

11
How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in
Moldova?
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer

February 2018 2% 20% 31% 43% 4%


October 2017 1% 17% 33% 44% 5%
March 2017 2% 24% 34% 37% 3%
September 2016 2% 12% 26% 54% 6%
March 2016 3% 11% 22% 58% 6%
October 2015 1%7% 23% 66% 3%
September 2014 9% 31% 26% 26% 7%
June 2014 4% 41% 30% 16% 9%
January 2012 1% 18% 43% 27% 11%
December 2011 3% 23% 36% 29% 9%
August 2011 5% 25% 39% 22% 9%
February 2011 3% 29% 36% 21% 10%
September 2010 5% 23% 41% 24% 8%
May 2010 2% 27% 40% 21% 10%
February 2010 4% 22% 37% 27% 10%
November 2009 3% 27% 37% 20% 14%
June 2009 1% 16% 41% 25% 17%
November 2008 2% 21% 42% 20% 15%
April 2008 2% 17% 41% 24% 16%
March 2007 5% 21% 41% 18% 15%
April 2006 1% 25% 43% 14% 17%
November 2004 2% 26% 44% 14% 14%
March 2004 2% 24% 44% 17% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
12
Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?
Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)
Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system
Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order
Don't know/No answer

February 2018 68% 19% 10% 3%

October 2017 61% 17% 17% 5%

March 2017 60% 17% 13% 10%

September 2016 78% 9% 7% 6%

March 2016 74% 12% 6% 8%

October 2015 71% 14% 9% 6%

September 2014 58% 21% 11% 10%

June 2014 57% 24% 8% 11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

13
Views on Corruption
Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the
majority of people or the interest of some groups?
Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer

February 2018 7% 89% 4%

October 2017 5% 91% 4%

March 2017 7% 89% 4%

September 2016 5% 90% 5%

March 2016 17% 78% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
15
How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today?

It is a very big issue It is a big issue It is not a big issue


It is not an issue at all Don't know/No answer

February 2018 80% 16% 2%2%


October 2017 85% 11% 2%2%
March 2017 75% 19% 3%1%2%
September 2016 89% 7%1%1%2%
March 2016 87% 8% 1%1% 3%
October 2015 87% 8%1% 2%2%
September 2014 73% 18% 5% 1% 3%
June 2014 81% 14% 1%1% 3%
January 2012 73% 21% 2% 3%
December 2011 80% 15% 2%1%2%
August 2011 61% 29% 3% 1% 6%
February 2011 59% 33% 3% 1% 4%
September 2010 57% 31% 4%1% 7%
May 2010 53% 37% 4% 1% 5%
February 2010 58% 33% 4% 2% 3%
November 2009 61% 31% 3% 5%
November 2008 62% 27% 4%1% 6%
April 2008 60% 25% 5% 10%
March 2007 64% 26% 2% 8%
March 2006 66% 25% 3% 5%
November 2004 72% 24% 2% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

16
What, in your opinion, is the greatest cause of corruption in
Moldova?
February 2018 October 2017 March 2017

42%
Lack of government control and oversight 36%
38%
21%
Poverty and necessity 27%
25%
17%
The actions of business leaders and oligarchs 21%
21%
9%
Education levels of citizens 9%
11%
5%
Custom and history 4%
2%
2%
Other 1%
1%
5%
Don't know/No answer 3%
2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


17
Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova?
February 2018 October 2017 March 2017

30%
The Parliament 30%
20%
21%
Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen) 22%
25%
11%
Judical branch 9%
10%
8%
Prime Minister and Cabinet 10%
11%
7%
Political parties and leadership of parties 7%
7%
7%
Business leaders, oligarchs 9%
13%
5%
Everywhere 4%
6%
4%
The President 4%
3%
3%
Local officials 3%
2%

Other 1%
1%
6%
Don't know/No answer 3%
2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%


18
Politics
How much interest do you have in politics?

Interested Medium interest Not interested Don't know/No answer


February 2018 29% 34% 37%
October 2017 27% 30% 41% 2%
March 2017 35% 34% 31%
September 2016 30% 29% 40% 1%
March 2016 31% 39% 29% 1%
October 2015 35% 30% 33% 2%
September 2014 34% 28% 35% 3%
June 2014 31% 29% 39% 1%
January 2012 28% 32% 38% 2%
December 2011 37% 33% 29% 1%
August 2011 29% 30% 40% 1%
February 2011 34% 29% 36% 1%
September 2010 32% 26% 41% 1%
May 2010 28% 29% 41% 2%
February 2010 32% 31% 36% 1%
November 2009 30% 30% 39% 1%
June 2009 34% 30% 35% 1%
November 2008 22% 31% 46% 1%
April 2008 25% 29% 45% 2%
March 2007 21% 29% 49% 2%
March 2006 25% 26% 46% 3%
November 2004 23% 28% 48% 1%
March 2004 27% 31% 41% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

20
Are people in Moldova afraid or not to openly express their political
views?
Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid Don't know/No answer

February 2018 34% 25% 18% 21% 2%


October 2017 43% 28% 12% 15% 2%
March 2017 24% 26% 27% 19% 3%
September 2016 39% 26% 17% 15% 3%
March 2016 42% 26% 19% 11% 2%
September 2014 17% 24% 30% 17% 12%
June 2014 27% 30% 24% 15% 4%
January 2012 28% 32% 28% 9% 3%
December 2011 31% 26% 23% 16% 4%
August 2011 34% 31% 18% 10% 7%
February 2011 25% 30% 22% 18% 5%
September 2010 31% 27% 19% 17% 6%
May 2010 25% 25% 24% 17% 8%
February 2010 30% 27% 24% 14% 5%
November 2009 30% 32% 22% 10% 6%
June 2009 30% 29% 19% 13% 9%
November 2008 26% 28% 24% 16% 6%
April 2008 29% 27% 22% 14% 8%
March 2007 28% 27% 20% 15% 10%
April 2006 23% 32% 26% 14% 5%
November 2004 25% 31% 25% 14% 5%
March 2004 27% 27% 25% 16% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
21
Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)
Igor Dodon 31%

Maia Sandu 16%

Andrei Nastase 8%

Pavel Filip 6%

Zinaida Grecianii 6%

Vladimir Plahotniuc 4%

Vladimir Voronin 4%

Renato Usatii 2%

Irina Vlah 2%

Iurie Leancă 2%

Local mayor 1%

Andrian Candu 1%

Ilan Shor 1%

Other 13%

None 26%

Don't know/No answer 10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%


22
What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or
members of the Moldovan government?
Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard Don't know/No answer

Igor Dodon 51% 46% 3%


Pavel Filip 40% 52% 4% 4%
Zinaida Greceanii 40% 52% 4% 4%
Maia Sandu 40% 55% 1%4%
Andrei Nastase 35% 49% 9% 7%
Vladimir Voronin 35% 61% 1% 3%
Dorin Chirtoaca 32% 58% 3% 7%
Traian Basescu 26% 51% 14% 9%
Andrian Candu 25% 59% 10% 6%
Iurie Leancă 24% 66% 4% 6%
Ilan Shor 22% 65% 8% 5%
Renato Usatii 20% 74% 2% 4%
Vlad Plahotniuc 18% 77% 1% 4%
Mihai Ghimpu 13% 82% 1% 4%
Valentina Buliga 12% 55% 28% 5%
Tudor Deliu 9% 24% 62% 5%
Viorel Cibotaru 9% 27% 58% 6%
Vadim Pistrinciuc 6% 18% 71% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

23
What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?
Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer

Moldovan Orthodox Church 69% 25% 6%


Army 68% 25% 7%
Romanian Orthodox Church 65% 25% 10%
Moldovan mass media 57% 36% 7%
Education system 56% 41% 3%
International Monetary Fund 53% 31% 16%
Local authorities 51% 46% 3%
NGOs 49% 29% 22%
Police authorities 47% 50% 3%
President’s Office 43% 53% 4%
Central Bank 36% 50% 14%
Central Electoral Commission 36% 50% 14%
Healthcare system 36% 62% 2%
Moldovan Government 32% 64% 4%
Courts of justice 24% 66% 10%
Moldovan Parliament 22% 75% 3%
Political parties 20% 76% 4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

24
Youth Political Engagement
Do you think that today’s generation of young people has a good
future in Moldova?

6%
18%

Yes

No

Don't know/No answer

76%

26
Which of the following should be the government’s first priority
regarding Moldovan youth?

First choice Second choice

Employment 63% 17%

Educational reform 18% 21%

Institute reforms that make it easier for youth to start


businesses
9% 32%

Address youth health and psychological issues 5% 14%

Encourage youth participation in public life 3% 6%

Encourage youth participation in political life 1% 5%

Don’t know/No answer 1% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%


27
What is the main challenge to young people’s political
participation in Moldova today?
(Respondents permitted to supply several spontaneous answers)
Lack of interest or motivation 14%
Emigration 10%
Lack of investment in or support for young people 10%
Unemployment 7%
Lack of trust/Disappointment 7%
Political parties do not encourage 5%
Poor education 5%
Corruption 5%
Financial problems/Low incomes 4%
Youth are not respected/Do not feel heard 4%
Politics are dominated by older people 3%
Lack of confidence or hope in future 3%
Lack of information 3%
Nepotism 2%
Fear for physical safety 2%
Impact of general negative situation in the country 2%
Poor social assistance 2%
There are no opportunities in political parties 2%
Bureaucracy 1%
Lack of civic education 1%
Other 5%
Don’t know/No answer 35%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

28
Attitudes Toward the President,
Government and Local Authorities
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of
Moldova Igor Dodon?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 28% 21% 15% 33% 3%

October 2017 26% 22% 14% 33% 4%

March 2017 31% 23% 15% 29% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

30
Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 7% 28% 16% 41% 8%

October 2017 7% 29% 20% 35% 9%

March 2017 6% 22% 26% 39% 7%

September 2016 5% 20% 19% 42% 14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

31
What is your opinion of the activities of each of the following
Moldovan ministries?
Positive Negative Don’t know/No answer

Ministry of Defense 54% 38% 8%

Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration 52% 38% 10%

Ministry of Education, Culture and Research 48% 46% 6%

Ministry of Internal Affairs 47% 45% 8%

Ministry of Agriculture, Regional Development and


43% 51% 6%
Environment

Ministry of Health, Labor and Social Protection 35% 60% 5%

Ministry of Finance 25% 68% 7%

Ministry of Justice 24% 68% 8%

Ministry of Economy and Infrastructure 24% 69% 7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

32
What are the most important problems that the Filip government
must solve?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

Wages/Pensions 28%
Job creation 27%
Tackling corruption 12%
Economic performance 7%
Emigration 6%
Roads 6%
Low standard of living 5%
Disconnect between the government and citizens 5%
Consumer prices 4%
Government should quit 3%
Heathcare system 3%
Recovering the "stollen billion" 3%
Assistance to young people 3%
High price of utilities 3%
Issues of public order 2%
Social Assistance 2%
Assistance to pensioners 2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%


33
Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority led by
the Democratic Party?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 5% 21% 22% 46% 6%

October 2017 3% 18% 26% 45% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

34
Do you think that the Moldovan parliament is responsive to the
needs of citizens like you?

Very responsive Rather responsive Rather not responsive Not responsive at all Don't know/No answer

February 2018 1% 18% 30% 49% 2%

October 2017 1% 14% 29% 53% 3%

March 2017 1% 13% 27% 57% 2%

September 2016 1% 7% 20% 70% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

35
Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local
government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 19% 35% 23% 20% 3%

October 2017 21% 36% 21% 18% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

*Below the central government, Moldova is divided administratively into 3 municipalities, 2 autonomous regions and 32 districts which
are referred to as raions. The raions are governed by a locally-elected council. 36
Parliamentary Elections
What is your opinion of the mixed election system, with half the
deputies being elected on party lists and half in single-mandate
constituencies? *
Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat do not support Strongly do not support Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 15% 28% 17% 25% 15%

October 2017 21% 30% 15% 21% 13%

March 2017 21% 22% 18% 23% 16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

* The wording of the question in March 2017 was: “Would you support reforming the electoral law to include a mixed election
system, with half the deputies being elected on party lists and half in single-mandate constituencies?”
38
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

February 2018 62% 25% 6% 5% 2%

October 2017 60% 23% 7% 7% 3%

March 2017 62% 24% 8% 3%3%

September 2016 61% 26% 5% 5% 3%

March 2016 75% 18% 3% 2%1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

39
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary
elections?
(Disaggregated by age)
Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

18-29 years old


62% 24% 8% 4% 2%
(N=273)

30-49 years old


59% 25% 7% 7% 2%
(N=480)

50+ years old


64% 26% 4% 4%2%
(N=760)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

40
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
First choice Second choice

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) 32% 4%

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) 18% 6%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) 8% 4%

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 4% 6%

Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) 4% 9%

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă) 2% 2%

Our Party (Usatii) 2% 3%

Liberal Party (Ghimpu) 1% 1%

Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc) 1% 1%

National Unity Party (Salaru) 1% 1%

Other 1% 1%

None of the parties 4% 13%

Will not vote 4% 13%

Don’t know/No Answer 18% 36%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


41
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
(Likely voters: N=1,317)
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) 36%

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) 20%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) 8%

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 4%

Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) 4%

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă) 2%

Our Party (Usatii) 2%

Liberal Party (Ghimpu) 2%

Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc) 1%

National Unity Party (Salaru) 1%

Other 1%

None of the parties 2%

Don’t know/No Answer 17%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%


42
When voting for a candidate to represent your district in
parliament, what is more important to you?

6% The candidate as a person

The party or bloc the candidate


represents
40%
The fact that the candidate is from my
city/raion/village
34%
The fact that the candidate is a well-
known national political leader

All are equally important

6% 8%
6% Don’t know/No answer

43
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the
same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is
a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?
Would vote for the female candidate Makes no difference to me
Would vote for the male candidate Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 14% 47% 37% 2%

March 2017 14% 35% 49% 2%

September 2016 15% 37% 44% 4%

March 2016 17% 31% 44% 8%

October 2015 23% 27% 35% 14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

44
Have you seen any political activists working in your area in the last
12 months?
Yes No Don't know/No answer

February 2018 18% 81% 1%

October 2017 19% 78% 3%

March 2017 27% 70% 3%

September 2016 16% 81% 3%

March 2016 30% 63% 7%

October 2015 27% 66% 7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

45
If yes, which political party did the political activists in your area
represent?
(Respondents who reported having seen political activists working in their
area: N=276; Respondents allowed to provide multiple answers)
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii) 54%

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc) 25%

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu) 10%

Liberal Party (Ghimpu) 6%

Our Party (Usatii) 5%

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 5%

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru) 5%

Socialist People's Party of Moldova (Stepaniuc) 3%

Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase) 3%

Shor Party 3%

Other 2%

Don’t know/No Answer 9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

46
International Relations
How would you assess current relations between Moldova and each
of the following countries?
Good Neither good nor bad Bad No answer

European Union 18% 14% 3%


64%

Romania 62% 17% 18% 3%

United States 50% 25% 14% 11%

Russia 49% 21% 28% 2%

Ukraine 45% 29% 21% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

48
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest
economic partner, political partner and threat for Moldova?
European Union Russia Romania United States Ukraine None Don't know/No answer

80%

70%
70% 68%

60%
55% 56%

50%
44%

40% 38%

29% 30%
30% 27%
24% 24%
21%
20% 18%
16%

9% 10% 9%
10%
6% 6%
4%
1%
0%
Economic partner Political partner Threat

49
If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which
one should it be?
The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 43% 42% 7% 8%

October 2017 49% 38% 5% 8%

March 2017 42% 43% 8% 7%

September 2016 40% 43% 8% 9%

March 2016 43% 44% 4% 9%

October 2015 38% 45% 3% 14%

September 2014 46% 42% 1% 11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

50
If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which
one should it be?
(Disaggregated by age)

The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

18-29 years old


59% 32% 4% 5%
(N=273)

30-49 years old


47% 38% 6% 9%
(N=480)

50+ years old


34% 48% 9% 9%
(N=760)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

51
If a referendum was held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would
you vote?
For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer

February 2018 21% 41% 30% 8%

October 2017 22% 43% 22% 13%

March 2017 27% 45% 18% 10%

September 2016 21% 42% 21% 16%

March 2016 16% 40% 24% 20%

October 2015 19% 35% 19% 27%

September 2014 31% 31% 15% 23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

52
What do you think the future of Transnistria should be?
An ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomous status An autonomous entity within the state of Moldova
A part of the Russian Federation A part of Ukraine
Independent Don't know/No answer

February 2018 64% 21% 2%1% 7% 5%


October 2017 70% 15% 3% 7% 5%
March 2017 60% 23% 4% 9% 3%
September 2016 60% 24% 3% 7% 6%
March 2016 48% 26% 7% 1% 13% 5%
October 2015 56% 26% 8% 2% 5% 3%
September 2014 60% 15% 8% 2% 11% 4%
June 2014 67% 16% 7% 1% 6% 3%
January 2012 66% 16% 7% <1% 7% 4%
December 2011 66% 17% 6% 1% 5% 4%
August 2011 61% 20% 6% 1% 8% 4%
February 2011 60% 18% 5% <1% 8% 9%
September 2010 65% 16% 3% 1% 7% 8%
May 2010 72% 12% 2%<1% 8% 6%
February 2010 68% 17% 4% 1% 5% 5%
November 2009 69% 18% 2%1% 5% 6%
November 2008 68% 19% 1% <1% 4% 7%
April 2008 65% 21% 2%1% 4% 7%
March 2007 61% 21% 3% 4% 11%
April 2006 80% 12% 1%2% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
53
Sources of Information
Which of these media outlets do you use for gaining political
information?
(Respondents permitted to supply several answers)
February 2018 October 2017 March 2017 September 2016
89%
TV – news, programs 87%
89%
90%
42%
Internet 47%
45%
40%
32%
Relatives, friends 34%
43%
25%
26%
Radio – news, programs 31%
41%
30%
15%
Articles in newspapers 18%
28%
20%
14%
Debates
11%
Social media 15%
21%
11%
7%
Work colleagues 8%
14%
7%
5%
Meetings with politicians 11%
13%
7%
4%
Leaflets, other free information by mail 8%
17%
8%
3%
Billboards, stands in the streets 9%
15%
8%
3%
Articles in magazines 6%
9%
5%
2%
Don't know/No answer 1%
1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
55
Which television channels do you watch for political information?
(TV channels mentioned at least by 1 percent of respondents)
Prime TV 48%
Moldova 1 27%
Jurnal TV 25%
Publica TV 21%
Pro TV 19%
RTR 14%
NTV 11%
Canal 3 9%
Canal 2 6%
TV8 4%
Rossia 2%
TNT 2%
N4 2%
Accent TV 1%
TV7 1%
2+ 1%
TVR1 1%
Ren TV 1%
CTC 1%
GTR 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

56
If you had to choose one, which of the following channels do you
watch most of the time?
(TV channels mentioned at least by 1 percent of respondents)
Prime TV 26%
NTV 20%
RTR 19%
TNT 12%
CTC 12%
Canal 3 10%
Moldova 1 10%
Canal 2 8%
Jurnal TV 5%
TV1000 5%
Pro TV 4%
Discovery 3%
Publica TV 3%
N4 2%
Rossia 2%
Mir 24 1%
RenTV 1%
Domashnii 1%
TVR1 1%
2+ 1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

57
Which of the following is the primary channel you usually watch
most of the time if you had to choose one?

Prime TV 26%

Jurnal TV 12%

NTV 9%

Moldova 1 8%

RTR 7%

Pro TV 5%

TNT 5%

Publica TV 5%

Canal 3 3%

CTC 2%

Canal 2 1%

Other 7%

I do not watch TV 7%

Don't know/No answer 4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

58
How often do you use the internet?
Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer

February 2018 49% 4% 5% 2% 4% 36%


October 2017 46% 4% 4% 3% 5% 38%
March 2017 40% 8% 6% 3% 6% 37%
September 2016 38% 6% 5% 3% 5% 42% 1%
March 2016 35% 6% 6% 3% 8% 41% 1%
October 2015 34% 6% 6% 4% 4% 46%
September 2014 33% 6% 6% 4% 3% 47% 1%
June 2014 32% 6% 6% 4% 3% 48% 1%
January 2012 23% 4% 4% 4% 11% 52% 2%
December 2011 23% 4% 4% 4% 8% 56% 2%
August 2011 18% 6% 7% 6% 14% 45% 4%
February 2011 17% 6% 8% 5% 12% 51% 1%
September 2010 18% 5% 5% 6% 11% 51% 3%
May 2010 13% 5% 8% 7% 13% 52% 2%
February 2010 15% 5% 7% 6% 12% 48% 6%
November 2009 12% 2% 4% 6% 12% 59% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
59
Do you own a smartphone which can access the internet?
(Respondents who use the internet)

Yes No Don’t know/No answer

February 2018
68% 30% 2%
(N=960)

October 2017
67% 32% 1%
(N=940)

March 2017
68% 30% 2%
(N=946)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

60
Do you use any of the following social media sites?
(Respondents who use the internet)
February 2018 (N=960) October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946) March 2016 (N=699)

68%
Odnoklassniki 65%
76%
72%
56%
Facebook 58%
59%
47%
18%
Instagram 22%
18%

13%
Vkontakte 18%
18%
14%
5%
MoiMir 6%
4%
8%
3%
Twitter 5%
5%
5%
3%
LiveJournal 1%
3%
1%
1%
Linkedin 1%
1%
2%
16%
I don’t use social media 14%
13%
16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

61
How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?
(Respondents who use the internet)

3%

18%
Every day

5-6 days a week


43%
3-4 days a week
11% 1-2 days a week

Less often
7% Never

10%
Don't know/No answer
8%

62
Demographics
Demographics

GENDER
Male 47%
Female 53%
18-29 years 18%
AGE

30-49 years 32%


50 years and older 50%
Unfinished secondary 14%
EDUCATION

Secondary 21%
Vocational 40%
Higher, incomplete higher 24%
Romanian 7%
Moldovan 75%
ETHNICITY

Russian 5%
Ukrainian 6%
Other 7%
Russian Orthodox 86%
RELIGION

Romanian Ortodox 10%


Other 2%
None 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
64
Demographics
Manager/Director/Patron 1%
Specialist 8%
Technician 1%
White collar 3%
Services/Trade 4%
Blue collar 9%
OCCUPATION

Unqualified worker 8%
Farmer 3%
Student 4%
Retired (not working) 34%
Housewife 6%
Unemployed/Looking for a job 15%
Unemployed/Not looking for a job 3%
Other 1%
My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm 38%
BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD

The salary or income of some of the members of my family 42%


Sale of products of the part-time farm 11%
Use of products of the part-time farm 29%
Social benefits 38%
The help of relatives/friends in a form of money/food/goods 11%
Something else 1%
No answer 2%
SETTLEMENT

Chisinau 21%
TYPE

Mid-sized/Small town 24%


Rural area 55%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


65
Center for Insights in Survey Research
202.408.9450 | [email protected]
www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

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