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    Simple Regression Analysis

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    Fitriana Susanti
    - Simple regression analysis uses a straight-line model to predict a numerical dependent variable (Y) from a single numerical independent variable (X). - The least squares method is used to determine the regression coefficients (intercept and slope) that minimize the sum of squared differences between actual and predicted Y values. - The simple linear regression equation is Y = bo + b1X, where bo is the intercept (Y when X=0) and b1 is the slope (change in Y per change in X). This equation can be used to predict Y values from X values.

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    Simple Regression Analysis

    Uploaded by

    Fitriana Susanti
    34 views4 pages
    - Simple regression analysis uses a straight-line model to predict a numerical dependent variable (Y) from a single numerical independent variable (X). - The least squares method is used to determine the regression coefficients (intercept and slope) that minimize the sum of squared differences between actual and predicted Y values. - The simple linear regression equation is Y = bo + b1X, where bo is the intercept (Y when X=0) and b1 is the slope (change in Y per change in X). This equation can be used to predict Y values from X values.

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    - Simple regression analysis uses a straight-line model to predict a numerical dependent variable (Y) from a single numerical independent variable (X). - The least squares method is used to determine the regression coefficients (intercept and slope) that minimize the sum of squared differences between actual and predicted Y values. - The simple linear regression equation is Y = bo + b1X, where bo is the intercept (Y when X=0) and b1 is the slope (change in Y per change in X). This equation can be used to predict Y values from X values.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    34 views4 pages

    Simple Regression Analysis

    Uploaded by

    Fitriana Susanti
    - Simple regression analysis uses a straight-line model to predict a numerical dependent variable (Y) from a single numerical independent variable (X). - The least squares method is used to determine the regression coefficients (intercept and slope) that minimize the sum of squared differences between actual and predicted Y values. - The simple linear regression equation is Y = bo + b1X, where bo is the intercept (Y when X=0) and b1 is the slope (change in Y per change in X). This equation can be used to predict Y values from X values.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 4

    SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS

    (Analisis Regresi Sederhana)

    BASICS OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS


    In regression analysis, you develop a model that can be used to predict the values of a
    dependent or response variable based on the values of one or more independent or
    explanatory variables.

    SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS (CONCEPT)


    The statistical method that uses a straight- line relationship to predict a numerical dependent
    variable Y from a single numerical independent variable X.

    SIMPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS (INTERPRETATION)


    Simple linear regression attempts to discover whether the values of the dependent Y (such as
    store sales) and the independent X variable (such as the size of the store), when graphed on a
    scatterplot would suggest a straight- line relationship of the values.

    DETERMINING THE SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION EQUATION


    After you determine that a straight- line relationship exists between a dependent variable Y
    and the independent variable X, you need to determine which straight- line to use to represent
    the relationship. Two values define any straight line: the Y intercept and the slope.

    INTERCEPT
    The value of Y when X = 0, represent by the symbol bo or a

    SLOPE
    The change in Y per unit change in X represented by the symbol b1. Positive slope means Y
    increases as X increases. Negative slope means Y decreases as X increases.

    LEAST- SQUARES METHOD (CONCEPT)


    The simple linear regression method that minimizes the sum of the squared differences
    between the actual values of the dependent variable Y and the predicted values of Y.
    LEAST- SQUARES METHOD (INTERPRETATION)
    For plotted sets of X and Y values, there are many possible straight- lines, each with each
    own values of b0 and b1, that might seem to fit the data. The least square method finds the
    values for the Y intercept and the slope that makes the sum of the squared differences
    between the actual values of the dependent variable Y and the predicted values of Y as small
    as possible.

    INTERPRETATION
    The Y intercept and the slope are known as te regression coefficients, The symbol bo is used
    for the Y ontercept, and the symbol b1 is used for the slope. Multiplying a specific X value by
    the slope and then adding the Y intercept generates the correspponding Y value. The equation
    Y = bo +b1X is used to express this relationship for the entire line. (some sources use the
    symbol a for the Y intercept and b for the slope to form the equation Y = a+bX
    Iklan : X
    Produk yang terjual : Y
    Berapa banyak produk yang terjual ketika iklan nol : intercept
    Berapa banyak peningkatan atau kenaikan produk yang terjual ketika iklan naik 1 : slope.

    EXTRAPOLASI
    Kita tidak bisa memprediksi harga yang trend- nya tidak ada pada rentang data yang
    disediakan.

    Contoh Regresi
    Langkah
    Analyze  regression  linear  lama independent  Skor dependent  ok

    Mencari Variasi Pada Y

    Model Summary

    Adjusted R Std. Error of the


    Model R R Square Square Estimate

    1 .923a .852 .848 3.87236

    a. Predictors: (Constant), lama_belajar


    Kesimpulan
    Variasi pada Y dapat dijelaskan sebesar 85% oleh predictor X

    Menentukan rumus/ formula

    Coefficientsa

    Standardized
    Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients

    Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

    1 (Constant) 51.124 1.627 31.420 .000

    lama_belajar .652 .047 .923 13.995 .000

    a. Dependent Variable: skor

    Y = 51. 124 + (0.652) X


    Kesimpulan
    Setiap X naik sebesar 1 satuan, maka Y akan naik sebesar 0.652.
    Hitunglah nilai Y (prestasi siswa) jika X (lama belajar) adalah 17 jam!

    Y = 51. 124 + (0.652) 17


    =.....
    Kesimpulan
    Jika X adalah 17 jam maka nilai yang mungkin diperoleh siswa adalah ....

    Latihan 1

    Model Summary

    Adjusted R Std. Error of the


    Model R R Square Square Estimate

    1 .762a .581 .566 22.66879

    a. Predictors: (Constant), tes

    Variasi pada Y dapat dijelaskan sebesar 58% oleh predictor X

    Coefficientsa
    Standardized
    Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients

    Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

    1 (Constant) 105.887 41.609 2.545 .017

    tes 3.494 .561 .762 6.230 .000

    a. Dependent Variable: toefl

    Y = 105.887 + (3.494) X

    UJIANNYA 3 ANALISIS: ANOVA, ANCOVA, REGRESI

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