Marketing Strategy For BJP: A Study On Delhi Assembly

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Marketing Strategy for BJP

A Study on Delhi Assembly

Alok Pratap Singh


Election Facts
• A candidate in exchange of votes offers
Political Leadership and is a service provider.
• A political campaign is based on
– What voters think?
– What competitors are saying?
• A young, fragmented & more informed
electorate.
• The decline of Party Loyalty
• The high cost of running an election.
Candidate Environmental
Focus The Marketing Campaign Forces
A. Technology
Market (Voter) Candidate Strategy i)Television
A. Party Segmentation Positioning Formulation and ii) Mobile
Concept Implementation B. Structural
Shifts
A. Assess Voter A. Assess A. The 4 P’s
i)Primary
Needs Candidate 1. Product
and
Strengths and (Campaign
convention
Weakness Platform)
Rules
B. Product 2. Push
ii) Financial
Concept Marketing
Regulations
B. Profile Voters B. Assess (Gross Roots
iii) Rallies
Competition efforts)
C. Power
3. Pull Marketing
Broker Shifts
(Mass Media)
in Influence
4. Polling
i) Candidate
C. Selling C. Identify Voter C. Target Segment (Research)
ii)
Concept Segments B. Organizational
Consultant
Development and
iii)Pollster
Control
iv)Media
D. Establish Image
v)Political
THE POLITICAL CAMPAIGN Party
vi)Political
D. Marketi
Preprimary Primary Convention General Action
ng Committees
Stage Stage Stage Election
Concept /Interest
Stage
Group
vii) Voters
Product concept

Party
Concept

1998 Atal Bihar Bajpayee


Environmental Forces
A. Technology
– Internet – Online survey, Social networking, Commercials.
– Television - Commercials, Television Debates, Media Analysis
– Mobile – SMS, 3G Technology
B. Structural Shift
– Primary and Convention Rules – One constituency differs from the
other
– Financial – Fund availability & Contributions.
– Rallies – Leadership Quality, Communication Skill.
C. The Power Brokers
– The Candidate
• Shiela Dixit INC – Development Ideology & Philosophy
• Arun Jaitely BJP – Not clear
– The Consultant – Delhi State president & Prabhari
– The Pollster - Supreme Court Ban
– The Media – Investigative journalism, Sting Operations, Whistle
Blowers, Candidate performance review
The Marketing
Market (Voter) • Voter Behavior (BJP)
– Functional Value
Segmentation
Campaign • Swadeshi
Market (Voter) • Swadeshi approach to
Globalization
Segmentation
– Social Value
A. Assess Voter Needs • Justice for all, appeasement to
none “Dharam Rajya”
• Good Governance, Development
& Security
– Emotional Value
B. Profile Voters • Uniform Civil Code
• Hindutva
• Ram Mandir at Ayodhya
– Conditional Value
• Temporary Events
C. Identify Voter Segments – Epistemic Value
• Incumbency Factor
• New Innovative different
orientation
Delhi Fact Sheet
Religion/Sexwise Total Population in Delhi 2001
Total Person Male Female
Nos %ge Nos %ge Nos %ge
All Religion 13850507 7607234 55 6243273 45
Hindus 11358049 82 6249351 82 5108698 82
Muslims 1623520 14 911006 12 712514 11
LITERACY PERSON (%) MALE (%) FEMALE(%)
YEAR 2001 81.82 87.37 75.00%

No of Constituency
Type of Constituency Gen SC ST Total
No of Constituency 57 13 0 70
Market (Voter) Segmentation

Business Class
(Baniya/traders)

Sweet spot

Hindu
Fundamentalist(radical Forward casts
& Moderate)
The Marketing
Market (Voter) • Voter Behavior (INC)
Segmentation
Campaign – Functional Value
Market (Voter) • Economic Policy – Free
Segmentation Market Policy with Govt.
A. Assess Voter Needs
Regulation
• Foreign Policy – Non
Alignment
– Social Value
B. Profile Voters
• Sarvodaya - upliftment
of all section of society
– Emotional Value
C. Identify Voter Segments Secularism
– Conditional Value
Temporary Events
Strategy Formulation &
Implementation
• Positioning
• Market Analysis
– Image of Candidate
– How Delhi has fared
economically, socially & • Candidate Recognition
politically? – Brand
• Candidate Internal Situation • State Prabhari & Mantri
– Background, motivation – Brightest & Smart
• Competitive Analysis • Primary Stage
– INC candidates – Flexibility
• Final Stage
– Consolidating from Poll
Survey
The Candidate Positioning
INC (Sheila Dixit) BJP (???)
Strengths No clearly identified Chief
•Development Minister candidate for BJP
Metro
Flyovers
•Law and Order
Police image has improved
Crime rate has reduced
Weaknesses
•Corruption
CWG
•Electricity
Most expensive industrial unit
cost in India
Candidate Positioning
Leadership
(strong)

Arun

Image
Image
positive
negative Sheila

(weak)
ELECTION 2003 DATA
ELECTORS 2003 MEN WOMEN TOTAL
i. NO. OF ELECTORALS 4756330 3691994 8448324
ii. NO.OF ELECTORALS WHO VOTED 2610829 1902306 4513135
iii. POLLING PERCENTAGE 54.89% 51.53% 53.42%
PERFORMANCE OF WOMEN CANDIDATE 2003
MEN WOMEN TOTAL
i. NO.OF CONTESTANTS 739 78 817
ii. ELECTED 63 7 70

PERFORMANCE OF POLITICAL PARTIES 2003


VOTES POLLED
NATIONAL PARTIES SEATS WON VOTES %
BJP 20 1589323 35.22%
INC 47 2172062 48.13%
BSP 0 259905 5.76%
Targeting Segments
• Three target group of constituency
– Top end constituency – Janak Puri (Margin 21.81%
BJP)
– Play Hard constituency - Gole Market (65%
INC), Minto Road (65% INC)
– Big challenge constituency – Kasturba Nagar (683
votes-BJP), Mahipalpur (Margin 7.5% INC)
Application of Swing Model on 2003 Delhi
Assembly Election

INC (27) BJP (17)

Running Catching
Away (8) Up(5)
Swinging
(9)
Swing Model (2 Party Model) – Lees: Marshment

Party K’s Den


Party J’s Den

Running
Away Catching Up
from K Swinging with K
(alternate)
Assumptions:
– Swing is Alternate
– Each Party’s Dominant area is unaffected to exogenous factors
– Factors affecting the voter decision are factored in the longitudinal
pattern of data
2008 Prediction Vs Actual Tally
(Considering the swing on Congress Side)

Party Dominance Swings Catching Up/ Total Actual Tally


Running Away
Congress 27 9 8 44 42
BJP 17 - 5 22 23

2013 Prediction
(Considering the swing on BJP Side)
Party Dominance Swings Catching Up/ Total Magic No
Running Away
Congress 27 - 8 35
BJP 17 9 5 31 35

Data
The Pull Strategy
• Learn from the success of constituencies from where BJP has been
consistently winning with increasing margin YoY:
– Delhi Cantonment
– Tilak Nagar
– Sahibabad Daulatpu (Rithala/Rohini)
– Tughlakabad
• Following Constituency should be targeted
Within 10% of losing margin
– Nangloi Jat
– Mandawali (Laxmi Nagar)
– Narela (SC)
– Timarpur
Narrowing the Gap
– Adarsh Nagar (from 31% to 15%)
Marketing Strategies 2013
4P of Political Marketing Organizational Development
• Product State
– Eliminate Corruption President

– Sushasan, Vikas
• Push Marketing State
– Gross Root Efforts Prabhari
• Pull Marketing
– Mass Media TV, Radio, Internet,
Mobile, Print, CD, Negative Sanghatan
Treasurer Secretary
Advertisement, Celebrity Mantri
endorsement
• Polling – Market Research, polls
Strategy Implementation
• Primary Stage
– In the initial phase of the campaign, strategy should be
flexible to accommodate the twists and turns of election
• Final Stage
– When the campaign moves into final leg of the
race, implementation of the strategy should be carried out
with sharp focus
• Monitoring and Controlling the Strategy
– Prabhari & Mantri constantly review how well their
strategy is working through Market Survey and Poll

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