Chapter 3 PDF
Chapter 3 PDF
Chapter 3 PDF
Sc:t:tio.n 3 1
31 ThcrJC1i:cofX is {o.l.2.....1000f
3-S. Tho rooac ol' X i> {I. 2.....491}. llccolu>C 4!)0 JlWU ""'canlbnning. o. ncnoonlonnin!!- pori m1.t<t be ""locto;l m
~~ SCl:tl<liL~.
J .7 The r~c of X iHlOo\'<:rtiently nlOdclod os nll r~armesori'-.: itl(e~m. Thnr is.. tbe mn~te ofX is {0.1.2....}
Section 32
3 15. All probabilitid 011\!' grc:ttr r than or equal to ttm tsntl sum to on.:.
al l'(X S2)- I/8 +218 -2J8 t- 218 + 1/8 1
b) =
P(X >- 2) 218 + 2/S 2.1'8- 118 111! =
c) P(-ISXS'I)-218 2/R nn;6R 3f4
d) I'(X S - l or X - 2)- II'S- :!ll~ + 118 418 lf2
319. X- numbcrofsu('{'c>siulsu~eries.
P(X = 0) = 0.1(0.3:1) = 0 033
I'(X - I)-0.9(0J3) + 0.1(0.67)-0.364
I'(X - 1}- 0.9(0.671 0.603
.32l. P(X - SO nrillicn) - 0.5. I'~X - 2S mlllioo) - 0.3. 1' (X - 10 million) - 0.2
31
.12~. I'(X IS null ion) - 0.6. 1'(X- S millkln) -OJ. I'(X- -o..s million)- 0. 1
0.038. .t I
(). 11)2, T 2
017'2. ,Y 3
0.204.
0 174.
' 4s
t
f(.r) 0.114. Y - (1
008(1. T 7
0.036. t g
0028. 9
0.(122. t 10
0020. y 15
0005. y ll7
0.00\ t liM
0045. y 231
((tl
0.370. T 255
0.1S I, y 261
0 426. .. 317
32
'
.\
,,
"-'
u. :c <-2 f.,( 2) - 1/ R
1/ 8 - 2 $.t <-1
fx(- 1) = 218
3/S - 1<.< < 0
F (.<) - wb."'tc fx<0> = 218
518 osx< l
fx(l)- 2/ S
718 l !>.t<2
l 1 (2) = 1/ 8
I 25.
~~ P(X s 1.25)- 7/8
b) P(X :52 2) = I
~) P(-1. 1 < X s 1) - 718- I IN -J.I~
J.J).
0. x< O
0.008. OS:r< l
F(.<) 0.101. 1< .< < 2
().~R, 2s;x< 3
I. 3 ->.<
3-37.
0, <I() ,T
F(.T) = 0.2.
10 $.V<2$
o.s. 25 <.r< SO
I. 50 s; x
when: P(X SO milli:m} - 0..5, PIX 25 n>illion) 0.}. P{X - 10 million) 0.2
139. Tile sum oflhc p<~>b:Jbilhld I> I :u>il all probotnlilk s ore 1"'4lct rlnn 01 <>qUll ur :..:nr: prnl:jl l) - O.S.j(3) - O.S
a} P(X S 3) = I
b) P(X S 2) O.S
~) P(l S X <:2) P(X I) 0.5
d) I'(X > 2) - 1 - I~ X S2) - 0.S
34 1, Tile sum of rbc proll<1bi l ir ie$ i~ I nnd IllI rroNt>~ilk11 nn: ~rcr r~n or oqwl l(l?cro:
prn(: 11-10) - 0.25. 1130) - 0.5. QSO) - 0.25
ol P(X ~ $0) = I
b) P(X :i 40) 0.75
c) P(IO S X S W)- rrx - 50) 0.25
d) P(X < 0) - 0.2~
c) P(O s X < 10) - 0
f) P(- 10 -.: X -.: I()) P O
3-oB.
f), ... < 26a
0.2~. 266 $ .< < 2?1
F (.Y ) :
O.S4. 2il $ . < 274
I. 274 $.<
when: P(X - 266 K) - 1).24, P(X - 271 K) - 1).30. P(X - 174 Kl - I)A6
0, A< I.S
005 J, , ...
. . I .) .oo.< ,'
F(x) = 0.30. 3 $ ' < 4.S
0.65. 4.5 $- < S
0.85, S $ :t< 7
7 <:t
= == =
wh<'l1: P(X = I .5) O.OS, P(X J) 0.25. P{X = 4.5)=0..>5. P(X=S) =0.20. P(X 7) = O.IS
Sa:tion ;w
3Si. X - numbcrarcDmj)utcrs tloat vulc lor, kn roll wl:.:n o risht rull i>"''I"""P<i:r!c.
I' E(X) otlO) + I Qt) + 2!l2) + 3 Q:l)HO ~l
=o 0.0003999 * zs9991o~ 33.99961 ou + -tao= o.oo().:
s
VI X) = :[ f(x1).x1 1)' - 0 000399!16
i I
359. (a)
'61 . )J - 11(:\" )- I (0.038) ' 2(11. 102) 3(0.17!) I 4(0.204) I 5(0. 174) < 6(0.124) I 7(0.1A';) I 8(0.036) I 9(0.028)
10(0.022) " I 5(0.020)
= 4-SI)S b:lln
s
V(X) = L fi9.X
' I
3-63. I' - t;(X)- 2.SS(0.370) + 2 18(0.003) ~ 3 17(0.426) + 23 1(0.045} ~ 267{0.1.SI) + 21i(0..00.S)- 28 1.S3
'
V( X) - L:l<x,X. - tl~ 976.2~
t I
3~)1). a= 67.;. h = 7bO
3-71. TJ!.ern.ngeof\' isb . .;, 10 . .... 45, E{X) = {O ... 9)/~ = 4-5
E.(\') = O{l/ tO) .;{l/ tO) + ... + 45{1/ 10)
= .;IO(O.lh I(O.lh ... .... 9(0.1)1
= sE!Xl
= .;(4S)
= ~2..; ~
V{X) = 8.2._;., V(\') = 5 { 82.5) = ~062..;.<7>r = 14,36
375 A binomial distribt:tion is based on indepe:rrlent trials '\ith 1'\.,.o ot:toomt'SaDda oonstant probabilityofSll.OC('S.Soneaeh trial
a) reasonable
0 reasonable
g) probabilityoffinding a defect not oonstant
1\) lff.l!.e fiiJsare independent with: a oonstant proOObilityofan und-erfill. then the bioomial distrib1:tion for the m:mbcr packages u:nderfi!IOO
is reasonable.
i) Becauscoft.J!.e hursts.eaebtrial (that ooosistsofsending a bit) is not iOOependent.
$n . { a) P{X ;) = 0.9298
{b) P(X > 8) = o
Binomal (10.0.01)
0.9
0 .&
0.7
~ 0.6
0
.Q 0.5
2
Q. 0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0 D
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 & 9 10
X
f(O) =
64
0 x<O
0.4219 O~x< l
F(x) = 0.8438 l <x<2 where
/(1)= 3l~Jl~r =~:
?
0.9844 2<x<3
3 :s; x f(2)=3l~H~l= :4
/(3) = [~]3
4
= -'
64
385. lcl X ll>."f)(lt<: 111< munb.:1ut"liu>t:S the I~ isoccupi.oJ.
Thro. X h"s " hinomiol dis1ribU1~n whh n- 10 and p = 0.4
~) 1
P(X - J) -( ; 10..11(0.6)1 -D.liS
b) Lei Z &:nocc 1hc: n11mbcr ofl inlC 1hc: line i<t'OT oc:cupioOO. Then Z ha<n binomi.:ol di&1ril1111ion with n = I0
nnd p 0.1). P(7. 2 1)- I P(7. -0) - I ~~~D.f,!\1..1 10 -().999!).
Cj &{X) = 1(1(0.4\ = 4
393. Let X dwocc tbc J!O.SS<I'S<:I'S with ticket~ thottlo not show up fll<' the lliafu.
Thro, X i$ binontinl with n - 12S and p- 0.1.
a1 P{X > S) = I - P (.\' < 4)
=1-[[I~S r.l0(0.9)1l! -r ('~S r.l 1 {o.9)1 ~ .,.li~S Jo.I! (0.9)tll - [ I~SJO.I 1 (0.9)t!! - [I ~5 ~0.1' f0.9)1! 1
= 0.996
395. P(kngllrtf '")" < 4) - 0.516
al Let A' denote d~e tlll<ltber o l'pooplc (out offh cl Utili w:~illels tb:ln or equsl l<l4 hours.
b) Let Ndcoote tbc ntnbcro fpooplc (out of lil'l:) thot wnn more than 4 1wu~.
P (N - 21 ~
[ ](0.4S4)1(0.S 1(1) 1 - (l.J22
c) let N d<noto ""' number o f p'<IJ'Ic (out ofliw) thttt '"'" mu"' th:m 4 houn..
J-<)7. /'(chon[;>'< .;,lays) = 0.3. Let ,'( - ntlll1bcr ofdte IOcltnn~ mode in less thnn 4 dnys.
310 1. Ut X ~:nc~~e lh<! nuntbct of IJ'i)1s II> obtain the iitst JUC\.'\.'SS.
3) E<Xl - 111:1.2 ... S
b) Occm~ of the 131:k (Ifmemory proll<fly,thc C<Jl<Cicd ''~luc isstill S.
31 0.>. l.e1 X denote the number of ni.Jis It> cbmin the f~1 ~sli l lllignmem.
T111:n X is:. ~<<>n~tric r.uxlom vurilbl..: wltb p - O.K
3) I'( X = 4) = ti - O.s1>o.s = 0.2'<l.s = 0.01)64
b) P(X S 4) = I'(X = I) + PiX = 2) + P(X = ll - PIX = 4)
- ( I II.H)0 0.l! ... {I 0.8)10.8 + ( I 0.8) 10.8 + (I 0 .8)'0.8
= o.s - 0.2(0.SJ - o.2~<0.S> - o.2'o.s = o.99S4
c) /'(X ~ 41 = 1- /'(X S J) = 1- [/'IX = 1) - I'(X = 2) - I'(X = 3))
= 1- [(1- 0.8)0 0.8 .1. (1 - 0.81 10.8 - (1 - 0.8)?0.8)
,
= 1- [0.8 - 0.2(0.8) + 0.2(0.81)= 1- 0.992 = 0.008
.!109. p - 0.005 . r - 8
u) !'(X - 8) - 0.00.S 1 - J .91.YIO ~
.l I I I. Lc1 X denote the numhcrof tmn;nctilliU until oil oompnlrn< ""'"' foiled.
Then. X is ucg;stnc binomial ~n.Wm '""inble wsth p - II) and t - 3.
1
al E<XJ = h 10
b) V(X) - [3( 1-10"0)1( 10' 1' ) - 3.0 X 10 10
When t - l.lhis tcdttl'e>IO 1\x) - (1- l>l'''p. "llO.'h is lhe pd(ofs g'"'"IC:I' ~ t.111d0111 v:lriloblc.
Also, E(X) = rfpand V(X') = Jrt I - p) Jip' reduce 10 EIX) = 1/p noo VO() = (I - p)'p', respectively.
310
H23. N-300
(u) K - 243, n = ~. I'(X = I) - M S7
th> l'(:n I ) - 0.9934
(c) K - 26 + 13 - 39. I'(X - I) - 0.297
(d) K = 300 - IS = 2S2
=
l'(X 2: I ) 0.999$
31:!5. Lei X &:no: lhc uumb.:r uf bblcs in 11>.: .!ample LimI '"'' dull.
~) 1"(.\';::: I) = 1- P<.I' = 0)
P(X - 0) - 1TsfJ
10~38]
0 k 5 -
38!
Wij - 38!43! - 0.29Jl
IS! 48!33!
[sj s r4J!
I'( X ;::: I) = I - I"( X = 0) = 0.70
[5
~3] ~K ! 4K!4l!
5!43!
[6]14
0 5
2) 42 '
On 1hesocood d;ly, /'{.\' = 0) = = 5!;\i ! = .tli 4J! = 0.49&S
[$ 4~1 4~
S!4J!
48!37!
3-127. 3)
h)
31 2
4 ! = (1.19.54
e- 4 48
d) 1\:X = 8) = 8! = 0 .0><)8
-X
~-l~l. P(X=O)=e =O.o.;.Tit.ereforc,i.= -ln(o.o.;) = a.9!)6.
Cons-equ-ently. F..(X) = V(X) = 2.'%.
10} 10 0
1\Y = 101=
(10 o.GoG;l <o.:m.;l = o.ooG?
c) let W dcoote the number ofcars '~itbsu:rfaoe fl aws. &::a use tJt.e number offlaws has a Poissondistribt:tion, ilie()()tl!rrcnce.;ofs-u.rface
fla,,-s iocarsare i.ndependent ~ts withoomtant probability. From part (a). the probabilitya car cootaimsurface fJa,~-s is 1 - O.fJ06.; =
0,39j,.;. Conseqnently, Wis bioomial ,,;thn = 10 a.ndp = 0,393..;.
1Q0] 0 10
Jl:W = ()) =
[ (O.J935) {0.606.;) ::0.0067
IOJ 1 9
/{IV= 1) =
[ I (0:)935) {O.f>06;) = 0.0437
~tv:; 1) = 0 .006] -0.0437 = 0 .0.;04
e-0250.250 + , - 0.250.25'
3-141. a) RX ~ 2)= 1-IJ\X=O).a. RX= 1))::1- = 0 :0~6
0! I!
b) A=o.~~= 1!!5 p;."'l' fhedays
It\'=())= e = 0 .~87
c) IU's::!)=lt\'=0)"-1\X=l)-lt\'=::!)
-1.25 25 -1.25 252
= , -1 25 +e 1. +" I. = 0.868
I! 2!
31-19. l<:t X t!.mutc lhc numbt:t ol'n"IOmir~s nL..,.I<il toobt:un. s rec:n ligln.
1 hro X i>a jlcOOu.'lric r.tlldorn oroble with p - 0.20.
a) PCX = 4)=(1 0.2)"0.2 =Q, IOZ4
b) Oy in~epcntkn.-c. (O.S)"'- 0.1074. (,\I so. P(X ,. 10) - 0.1074)
,;.1 5 1. Let X llroote the nwnber of rills ncc&.-d to detect thn:e tmcltl\\c~ht iX!clc~~ScS.
Then, X i rtqyrth'C birl(lmial mndom \'orinhlc with p -0.001 nnd r 3.
3) E(X) .1,-0.00 I 3000
b) V{X) =(3(0.999)11).001' 1= 29'>1000. TherefOre, a, =1131.18
3-1 SS. Let X llroote lht: number of c.'lls thot ~rc nnswcrcd in 30 sct'Oflds or lc!S.
Then, Xi, binomiol r~<>m ' .ui:>hlc w~h p - 0.75.
b) r(X ~ 1 6) - r(X - 16) t P(X - 17) P(X - ll!) I'(X - 19) 1 P(X - 20)
3157. Lct w d..>noW 1he nwnbcr of calls noedcd to ol>toit1 two answers in le;s tllsn 3() seconds.
Then. \II h11s ncp:h-e bill<" ni:tl di<trib<lli(Jn wi1h p 0.75.
31 61. l..ct X llroote the number of iOOiviJ:luals that rero1-cr in coe 11eek. Assume tbe itX!ividuals 31"< ind::pcndem.
Tl"'tl X is 11 binomial random ari:oblc with n - 20 Md p- 0.1.
P(X <: 4)- I - I'( X:; 1)- I -0.~70-1). 1 3 '1).
316.'. Let X ~:note !hi: nurnbi:r llf:dS<:mblk:i ne<xlcd hH btain S dcfcctivi.'S.
Thm, X i~ ,, no:gMi\'C birl'.'minl mnoom W(f"inblc ,vjth p - (),0 I ru>d r ~ S.
a) E(X) - rip - 500.
b) Vi X) (S 0.99)"0.0 1' - -19500 ao:J a,- 222.49
316.'i. Rcquiretll) f\2)H(J) + ti4J = I. Tha:reforc.c( l +2 + 3 + 4) = 1. Thm:f~, c = O. I.
31 ~.
3171. let X ~note the number of <ITO~ in a ,.,.;terr. lhcn. X is Poisson r:ul4lom \":uiablc with >. - 0 .32768.
al P(X > 1) - 1- l'(XSII - 1- """",..-e_,..,,...I0.32768) - 0.()433
b) Let Y d<oor.c the number of =tors tullil on cm~r is fo111td.
Then. Y i!'.~mctr"' mndom v:uuhle and P - P(X l! I) I - P(X - 0) - I - c 4 .,..,._ 0.!1',14
EtY) - lip- 3.58
3113. o) llypc~ctric =
rnndom l'nrioblc with N 500. n S, ond K = =125
[
I ~s~.;;s]
. 6.0164/110 - 0 2''7
(0)
J,y - ['~)J 2.SS24El l . --~
m
l ][ns)
m I .! _ 1 25t8. 1~5SES) - 0-'?
!.SS2SI!I I
71
115 [37S
!,.(2) -
2
l
s~
' _ nSOt$71 88751 _ .
2.5s24cl l
0 2647
12S 1375
[
l (JJ _ J 2 _ J I7750<10I25l - o.osn
.v e~ 2.SS2~ EI I
1
[12SII3'51
f
.\ (I) = 4 I = %913iS(;liS) :
rs~l 2.55241 1
O.J1 4 Z4
316
12S][37Sl
[
I ISl = s o = 2.3.4538 = o.ooo<n
.v f~ J 2..m.w 1
b)
() 2 J s 6 7 10
11~) 0.0546 0.1866 0.2837 0.2S28 0.1 463 0.15N 0.0 155 0.0028 0.0003 0.0000 0.1000
3-1 75. Lc11 dcno<c nn in.tcrval ofcimc in hours God Icc X denote the number of mes~ thai nrrh'C in tinlC t
Then. X i~ n Poi!SOn r.>noom v.vioblc w~h ~. - IOt.
Tl~en. P(X - 0) - 0.9 nnd c 11' - 0.9. n:>uhll'l!; in 1- 0.010.$ hour.l - 37.8 ><eondi
Tlte Jistnbulion ofllle pruiXLbility a5SO<'Ioted with this IM'IXC!S Is kn<l\\n a> II>? l'oill'(Jn disttibuti.m :md we can
.::<pn:ss chc prob<lbilil)l mnss 1\lnccion ns.
e ">.'
nx) - :......:.:._
x!
317
L
3-li'J. E(X) = I( + tu - 1)-. . - b)b - u + II
tt-E~
_ ot I I _
l l>(h + l) _ (n - l )ax.
2 2
a
1.
n 4 1) - 0 a IJ
(b' - u + h- al
> '
2 =l (b+ n;(l> - a .. IJ I ~b-a- 1)
(b a + l) 2 V'
(b - a)
2
b I (II - a - lXII - a)
l:tl
l:!;-;1 I
"'
(b I n)1_j I
V( X) = -"'."---- ' , 4
h- a- l 1> - u - l
= b(b + 1)(2b + I) _ (a - l)o(2<t - I) - (f> - a)l b(b - 1)- (a -1)ol- (b - o - l}(b - a)
2
6 6 2 . 4
b- a+ l
= (/> - o - 1)'' - I
12
3-181. Let X - Mrtlbo' of~SCOS''fS with tJ n:s..-n'-"<1 seat "'ho arriw til !he Oi~t.
11 = num~ of sc-..u m<:f''nti<tM. p = probability thO! a tickctro ~~cr oni"~ fort he flight
l In lhi pgrt wedctcnninc n >u:h th:u P(X ~ 120} <: 0.9. lly tc~inl\ lorn in Minibb the minimum v:tluc i<
II - 131.
b) In Ibis jlQlt "cdet,rminc nso<h that I' (X> 120) S 0.10 whi~h i><-quha~tlll(>
l - l'(X!: 1201 sO.IO Qr0.91)s P(X!: 120).
ll)' tcstin~ f<1r 11 in Millitob the :K}hll ion is n - 12J.
c) One po;:iibk '''"""'' ~llows. lfthc airlmc il ml>it ~'<lnc'\.-mtxl with losin;g cu;uorn<r.l Juc toowr-bool:i'lf!.
thcysb:lu1dotii)' Scll1 23 tO:-kctS for dtis Oight. The probOOility o>fo,~r-bookins is lhcn31 rn051 10%. Ifthe
~itlinc i~ m<J<~t ~~>."eJl'led " 'ith "'"'in
!I~ lill flight, tl>ey soorrld ~11 IJ I tickots for this flisht. The chnl).'(:
the tltght is full i~ tl:cn :11 h::1)1.90~\. ~t c:dC1Jl:.tticans ;,U,.umc custonrrs: ::~ni\.c intkpc:nl.kntly on:.t group~
ot' 1"-"'Ple INI ani\ e (Of d~ no>l :liTh e) tO{;ct1.cr tb r lr3\'l!l make the On:ll}'Sis more cocnplbtl'<l.
3-18'. lfll.,lr>t >i7e i< sm.>l~ tmufthc lnl mi!!fll he in>Unicic.'nt rodetoxt oonconfonn ing pn>duo::t. For exumplc. if the
lot ,.ir.c ES 10. lhcn n );,Ullpli: cat' >-izc one has~~ probability or cmly<t2 of dclccling ~ nnnoont(nmins prot,luct in ~
lot lh:11 is 2~ u.c.ln..-onfb:rning..
If the 11)1 si~eC i:s wgc. 10% of the lol migll4 be a IOfl.!CI' 511<nple ~zc th<ln is pmctic-~1 or nc:!Snry For tlUIIllrk.
if the 1<11$Ux: i> 5000, then u $nmplc: ofSOO i:s rcqlliml. FI.W1hcnnOCX', lh: l>in<>minl "'J[X'I>imation to tile
lryperscoorcuk disuibutiun,..n b.: used lo >lrw the IOll"wmg. lfS% oftl"' loe o!'sw.> SOOt> is rwnCl'011IOtnung.
then th: probability ofuw oonconfi)Rl1 in~ [X'I)du..'ls in th: Mmple i:s (lf)proximntely 7 x 10 r: . U$int; a somple of
1<10. the """"' pmbobility is ~ill only 0.0059. The >.>mplc of s ir.c 5()() might be mucl> IUIJ~c:r lh>n is ncxxJciJ,
3185. Ltl X &.-oote the nurnbcr l)f rolls 1H\XIU<'I:d.
2000 :S: X $ ;1000 0.05x 0.3(1000) .. 0.05(~ - I000) .I 0.3(2000) + O.OS(x - 2000) 0.3x
mean profit - 0.0Sx(0.3} [0..1( 1000)+0.0S(x- I000)~0.2) + [0.3(2000)
+ Q,QS(x - 2000))(0.3} + 1)3x(0.l) - O.lx
3000 sx O.OSx 0.3(1000) .. 0J(2000) + 0..1(3000) ~
(I.OS(x - I(l(lO) O.OS(x - 2000) 0.05(:< - 3000)
"''""' prolit - O!ISx(O.J) + (0.3( IOIXI) 0 .05(x - IOOO)K0.2) + (0.3(2000) I O.OS(x - 2000)}(1.3
+ [0.31.1000) + O.OS(x- 3000))().2- O.b
319