Global Economy - Economics - Notes
Global Economy - Economics - Notes
Global Economy - Economics - Notes
Global economy: refers to the sum of the interactions between the economies of individual
countries that are now increasingly linked together into one economic unit.
Gross world product (GWP): refers to the sum of total output of goods and services by all
economies in the world over a period of time.
Globalisation: refers to the integration between different countries and economies and the
increased impact of international influences on all aspects of life and economic activity.
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HSC Economics Topic 1
Financial Flows
Foreign exchange market (FOREX): refers to the market in which currencies are traded.
Portfolio investment: refers to the short-term movement of funds between economies for loans or
speculative reasons (less than 10% of a company).
Speculators: are investors who buy or sell financial assets with the aim of making profits from
short term price fluctuations (i.e. portfolio investment).
International financial flows have expanded substantially following financial deregulation around
the world, which in most countries occurred in the 1970s and 1980s
New technological advancement and global communication networking have increased financial
flows by linking financial markets through the world and have reduced the cost of world trade
Foreign exchange markets (FOREX) have experienced exponential growth in recent years, with
average daily turnover reaching USD $5.5 trillion in 2014
95% of FOREX transactions are related to short-term speculative portfolio investments rather
than long term direct investment and trade
Greater global financial flows allow countries to obtain funds for domestic investment
Transnational corporations (TCNs): are global companies that have production facilities in at
least two countries and are owned by residents of all least two countries
Foreign direct investment is strongly affected by the global business cycle, for example, the GFC
saw a huge drop in FDI as it meant there was far greater risk for investors
Traditionally FDI has been more attracted to high income economies, however, for the first time
in history in 2010, emerging economies received more FDI than developed economies
TCNs play a vital role in global investment because they utilise the benefits of global integration,
and since the 1990s the number of TCNs grew from 37,000 to 10,4000
Because TCNs often bring capital and job opportunities, governments sometimes encourage
them to set up in their countries by providing subsidies and tax concessions
International mergers and takeovers have further increased global investment, however mergers
and takeovers are strongly influenced by economic growth and in 2012, mergers fell 45% due to
instability and subdued growth in developing economies
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Brain Drain: refers to the emigration of highly trained or qualified people from a particular country.
International division of labour: refers to how the tasks in the production process are allocated
to different people in different countries around the world.
In 2014, there were 232 million international migrants in the world, 60% of whom resided in
developed economies
Since 2010, migration has slowed down due to the aftermath of the GFC, however, rising
pressure from labour supply and income equality could increase migration again
Migration to advanced economies is concentrated at the top and bottom end:
- Highly-skilled labourers migrate for better pay and opportunities, known as brain drain
- Unskilled workers migrate to advanced economies to receive relatively better pay than for
the same job in their country of origin
Globalisation and the international division of labour mean people migrate to where their skills
are most needed as countries specialise in areas where they have comparative advantage
- Developing economies large population of workers with basic labour skills/education levels
leads to comparative advantage in labour intensive manufacturing (and many TCNs move
their production facilities to developing countries to reduce costs, known as offshoring)
- Advanced economies focus on specialised service aspects which take advantage of the
abundance of highly skilled/educated workers available
However, worker and business mobility is restricted by barriers such as migration restrictions,
language, cultural factors and incompatible education qualifications
International business cycle: refers to fluctuations in the level of economic activity in the global
economy over time (usually measured in GWP).
Although economic growth differs between countries, for most nations, economic growth is
stronger when there is an upswing in the international business cycle and weaker when the there is
a downswing. This highlights how highly integrated the global economy is, and how how quickly
the transmission of economic conditions from one economy to another is.
TRADE FLOWS
If there is a boom or recession in one country will affect the demand for exports and therefore
affect the aggregate demand of other nations. It was estimated that during the GFC more than
25% of the decline in US growth was transmitted to other countries.
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INVESTMENT FLOWS
Strong economic conditions in one country will make it more likely that businesses in that country
will invest in new operations in other nations, which will then add to their economic activity. In early
2010 there was limited FDI from developed economies due to weak growth in the US and Europe.
TRANSNATIONAL CORPORATIONS
The actions of TCNs have had an increasingly significant effect on the international business cycle.
For example, in 2011, Toyota temporarily reduced its manufacturing operations in Australia due to
the impact the earthquake and tsunami had on the companys headquarters in Japan.
FINANCIAL FLOWS
The global integration of financial markets means that 70% of financial market vulnerability in
advanced economies is transmitted to emerging countries, which takes about one to two months.
INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATIONS
International forums such as the G8 or G20 can play an important role in influencing the global
business cycle by influencing macroeconomic changes in the worlds major economies.
COMMODITY PRICES
Higher commodity prices will generally cause a contraction in GWP, however, some individual
economies will benefit from this while others will suffer. The decrease in oil prices in 2015 when the
Middle East flooded the market benefitted oil importers such as China but was detrimental to the
economic growth of oil producing economies such as Russia.
STRUCTURAL FACTORS
Different economies have different comparative advantages, resources, financial systems and
attitudes towards consumption and saving. Structural changes in one economy may affect
economic growth in other economies, for example, in 2015, Brazil decreased capacity constraints
by building large scale ocean liners to increase international competitiveness in the commodity
export sector, thereby decreasing the demand for Australian iron ore.
REGIONAL FACTORS
Economies are highly influenced by the economic growth of their neighbours as neighbouring
economies tend to be highly integrated, such as the European Union or ASEAN.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): is the total market value of all final goods and services
produced in an economy over a period of time.
In the same way that countrys economic activity can be influenced by global changes they can
also be influenced by regional factors.
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While changes in the American business cycle will affect countries all around the world, the
effects will be most profound on Canada and Mexico due to the North America Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA), which integrates these economies
Similarly, the East Asia region is highly influenced by economic activity in China and Japan, who
are the second and third largest economies in the world, respectively
Fluctuations in Germany, the UK and France influence the other 28 members of the EU
Some regions containing a high proportion of developing economies such as Sub-Saharan Africa
can be dependent on high income economies for more than 80% of exports, and therefore, these
economies are increasingly influenced by international factors rather than regional factors
While regional conditions are dominated by the larger economies in that region it is important to
recognise that small economies can also have significant influence on regional economic growth:
- In the late 1990s the East Asia Financial Crisis was triggered by a depreciation of the Thai
Baht, even though Thailand is a relatively small economy compared to the rest of Asia
- In the early 2000s problems in Argentina affected all of Latin America
- In 2010 financial turmoil in Greece affected the whole European Union
- in 2014 political conflict in the Ukraine reduced economic growth across Asia and Europe
It is important to note that the regional business cycle can by quite different to patterns in global
economic growth and while the international business cycle may be in recession some regions
may still be prospering during this time
Free Trade
Free trade: refers to a situation where governments impose no artificial barriers on trade for the
purpose of shielding domestic producers from foreign competitors.
Comparative advantage: is when an economy has an advantage over other nations in a certain
area of production because they have the lowest opportunity cost, possibly due to an abundance of
natural resources, low wages or the presence of highly-skilled labour.
Specialisation: occurs when an economy concentrates on producing a particular set of goods and
services in which it has a comparative advantage.
Opportunity cost: is the cost of the forgone alternative andrepresents the alternative use of
resourcesthat is, the cost of satisfying one want over an alternative want.
Free trade allows countries to specialise in areas where they have a comparative advantage,
thereby reducing their opportunity cost and making themselves more efficient. The reduction of
tariffs and other artificial barriers involved with free trade will eventually increase a countrys
standards of living as it imports goods in sectors from sectors where it has a comparative
disadvantage from countries that have a comparative advantage in this sector and vice versa.
Dumping: is the practise of exporting goods to a country at a price lower than their selling price in
their country of originusually a way of disposing of production surpluses.
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Wider variety of goods: countries are able to Increased short term unemployment: as
obtain goods and services they can not some domestic businesses find it harder to
produce themselves in an efficient manner compete with tariff free imports and are force
(such as ETMs in Australia because we have a out of business leading to a decrease in the
comparative disadvantage in manufacturing). demand for labour in the short term. However,
in the long term as the economy reallocates its
resources unemployment will decrease.
Specialisation: Allows countries to specialise Decreased demand for domestic goods and
in the production of goods and services where services: local producers may experienced
they are most efficient leading to a better reduced demand due to increased demand for
allocation of resources and higher production. now cheaper tariff free importsthis implies an
increase in leakages via the export sector.
Allocative efficiency: free trade encourages Entrepreneurial difficulties: it may be difficult
efficient allocation of resources by countries for new businesses and industries to establish
who specialise. themselves if they are not protected from larger
already established international competitors.
Economies of scale: Specialisation leads to Decreased government revenue: the
economies of scale, which will lower average government produces less revenue by
costs and lead to increased productivity. decreasing tariffs, however, the government
may also be able to cut spending by reducing
subsidies and export incentives.
World Bank
Soft loans: refer to loans that have very little or no interest.
The role of the world bank is to help poorer countries with their economic development by
funding infrastructure, reducing poverty and helping countries embrace globalisation
The world bank has a number of sub-organisations that provide specific assistance to lower
income countries:
- International development association: provides soft loans to developing countries
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- International finance corporation: attracts private sector investment to the bank
- Multilateral insurance guarantee agency: provides risk insurance to private investors
The World Bank funds its projects from member countries and from its own borrowings in global
financial markets
The bank makes loans to developing nations at rates that are below standard commercial rates
to fund infrastructure projects, and thereby promote economic development
In response to the GFC in 2008 the world bank provided USD $280 billion to assist developing
countries with their recovery from the crisis
In 2014 the world bank made USD $39.6 billion in new lending commitments for programs to
reduce global poverty and encourage economic development internationally
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Monetary union: refers to where two or more countries share a common country.
Free trade agreement: refers to when a number of countries agree to reduce imposed trade
barriers that are designed to give to give domestic producers an artificial advantage.
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Protection
DOMESTIC EMPLOYMENT
When local producers are protected from more competitive international imports, there will be an
increase in demand for the now relatively cheaper domestic goods and services, in turn, this
means firms will increase the demand for labour and thereby decrease domestic unemployment
However, protection tends to distort the allocation of resources away from efficient areas to less
efficient areas, and in the long run, this may lead to higher levels of unemployment
By phasing out protection it is hoped that better and more long lasting jobs will be created in
sectors of the economy that have comparative advantage and are internationally competitive
DUMPING
Dumping is used by foreign countries to dispose of large production surpluses and put domestic
competitors out of business in order to establish market position in another country
In the short run domestic consumers will enjoy cheaper prices from the dumped goods, however
once the international competitors have got a foothold in the market and eliminated domestic
competitors from the market they will raise their prices again
Because the act of dumping can force domestic producer out of business and thereby lead to
loss of productive capacity and higher unemployment, governments will often choose to protect
certain industries against dumping
DEFENCE
Many powerful countries want to retain their own defence industries to be confident that in time of
war they can supply their own defence equipment and wont be reliant on other countries for their
national security (America is a prime example of this)
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SELF-SUFFICIENCY
Some countries use protection to ensure that they are not too heavily reliant on international
economies for vital imports such as food
Although Japan is highly inefficient in producing its own food supplies, it retains very high tariffs
on rice imports as it wants to retain self-sufficiency in supplying its own food because it
experienced famines twice in the 20th Century due to wartime blockades that prevented imports
When a country adopts this approach, it must accept that it is gaining self-sufficiency at the
expense of higher living standards that accompany specialisation and free trade
OTHER ARGUMENTS
Countries may use protection to block goods coming from countries that have inadequate
environmental regulations and use unsavoury production processes
Similarly, protection can be used to block goods from countries with inadequate human rights
regulations, where human rights may be abused in the production process
Methods of Protection
Tariffs
Tariffs: are taxes on imported goods imposed for the purpose of protecting domestic industries.
Tariffs are a favourable form of protection for governments because they generate more revenue
for the government than other forms of protection
Tariffs are the most likely form of protection to result in the retaliation effect, whereby in response
to higher tariffs placed on imports, other countries will also place tariffs on exports
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Subsidies
Subsidies: are cash payments from the government to businesses to encourage production of a
good or service and help businesses compete with overseas producers of that good or service.
The supply curve SS represents domestic supply before the subsidy and the demand curve DD
represents domestic demand
After the subsidy is introduced, the industry becomes more appealing for entrepreneurs as the
potential for profit is greater now that operating costs have been reduced
This causes an increase in supply from SS to S1S1, causing quantity to rise from 0Q to 0Q1 and
price to decrease from 0P to 0P1
Because the price has now been decreased, the domestic producers become more
internationally competitive
The size of the subsidy can be found by looking at the vertical distance between the supply
curves SS and S1S1 at the original quantity 0Q, which in this case is the distance P - P2
Both producers and consumers gain from subsidies, as consumers enjoy lower prices and
producers enjoy cheaper costs
However, this comes at the cost of increased government spending to the government and a
distorted allocation of resources moving the economy away from its PPF
Quotas
Quotas: refer to restrictions on the amounts or
values of various kinds of imported goods.
Quotas are far more effective at limiting the imported quantity of a good with inelastic demand
because they set a clearly defined limit on the quantity of that good that can be imported
Quotas are inflexible and do not fluctuate with the supply and demand of the market
Quotas do not raise any revenue for the government
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In return for guaranteeing that a minimum percentage of locally made parts are used the
government will provide trade protection assistance which may include the abolition of tariffs on
secondary goods that producer is importing to create their product
The Australian domestic car industry had an 85% local content rule for many years, meaning that
only 15% of their production components could be imported
To protect Australian culture, there are local content rules on Australian Television stations that
specify that a minimum number of hours of Australian content must be broadcast
Local content rules are limited in their effectiveness because they are complex to implement
Export Incentives
Export Incentives: refers to the provision of assistance to domestic producers in the form of
grants, loans or technical advice (such as marketing or legal advice) to encourage businesses to
enter global markets and expand their market share.
The popularity of export incentives has grown considerably in recent years as nations have
moved to a greater focus on capturing foreign markets for export-led growth, rather than
protecting domestic import-competing businesses
Export incentives are limited in their effectiveness because they do not protect domestic
businesses who are competing against importers and WTO agreements limit the scope of export
incentives that governments are permitted to use
Effects of Protection
Trade effect: causes domestic producers to generate a greater quantity of the good, and
therefore, protection increases output and employment
Reallocation effect: the economys resources are reallocated to less efficient protected
industries, leading to a decrease in efficiency, and in the long term, slower growth
Redistribution effect: consumers pay a higher price for locally manufactured goods, and hence,
income in the economy is redistributed from consumers to producers
Revenue effect: some forms of protection (such as tariffs) raise revenue for the government
Retaliation effect: protectionist policies may cause other governments to retaliate by protecting
their own domestic markets
Economic growth: occurs when there is a sustained increase in a country's productive capacity
over time. This is commonly measured by the percentage increase in real GDP.
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Economic development: is a broad measure of welfare in a nation that includes indicators of
health, education and environmental quality as well as material living standards.
Gross national income (GNI): is the total income earned by domestically owned factors of
production over a given period of time.
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME:
High income economies receive over half the worlds GNI (PPP)
While the richer nations are far better off than the poorer nations, this inequality gap is shrinking,
however, this process is happening extremely slowly
Technological changes have meant that there is less demand for low-skilled labour and more
demand for highly-educated labour (which tends to be more abundant in developed nations),
meaning that for low-skilled workers unemployment is far higher
DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH:
Wealth in the global economy is more inequitable than income
Global wealth is concentrated around households in North America (34% of global wealth),
Europe (30%) and rich Asia-Pacific countries like Japan and Australia (24%) while the remaining
countries share only a little over 10% of the worlds wealth
Gross national income is a measure of income and not a direct measure of quality of life, meaning
that it is indicative of the economic growth of a country rather than its economic development.
The GNI is a popular measure of comparing living standards between nations because it
represents the ease with which a nations citizens can satisfy their material wants
To overcome differences in population the usual measurement used is GNI per capita
To overcome differences in exchange rates when measuring GNI the PPP system is used
However economic growth and GNI alone are unable to give a well-rounded and accurate
measurement of the living standards in a nation
The HDI is a measurement of both income and economic development as it takes into account
health, education and material living standards by including the GNI.
Advanced Economies
Advanced economies: are developed or industrialised economies who have high levels of
economic development, close ties with each other and generally liberal-democratic politics.
Emerging Economies
Emerging economies: are in the process of industrialisation and experiencing sustained high
levels of economic growth (usually around 5-10%) with positive economic prospects.
Developing Economies
Developing economies: have low living standards, low education levels and generally have
agriculture based economies with poor infrastructure and unstable political institutions.
Global Factors
GLOBAL TRADE SYSTEM
Protectionism and global trading blocs keep wealth in the developed nations, especially in terms
of agriculture, where developed nations are extremely inefficient, however high levels of
protection cause wealthy nations to maintain domestic agriculture industries
Agreements from the WTO usually benefit advanced economies over developing nations
The administrative costs for developing countries to develop and implement free trade
agreements with other countries is too high
Domestic Factors
NATURAL RESOURCES
Economies with an abundance of reliable natural resources are far better suited to take
advantage of international export markets and produce higher GNI
ENTREPRENEURIAL CULTURE
Strong work ethic and an entrepreneurial drive within an economy can assist in the process of
developing new markets and industrialising
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
Political instability, corruption and a lack of economic support from government institutions can
make it far more difficult for industries to develop so that they are competitive on an international
scale and can operate sustainably in the country
Effects of Globalisation
Globalisation has a plethora of effects on individual nations and the world as a whole. By and
large, globalisation has been extremely beneficial to the global economy, however there have been
both advantages and disadvantages in terms of growth and development, trade, investment,
TCNs, environmental sustainability, income equality and the international business cycle.
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Income Equality
Increased trade in the global economy as increased the income of agricultural workers in
developing countries and has lifted many out of poverty
The reduction in tariffs resulting from free trade has reduced the price of imports and has made
consumer goods cheaper, improving standards of living for the poor
Growth resulting from increased FDI and trade has created many employment opportunities
The IMF estimates that one fifth of the increase in world income equality is due to globalisation
Environmental Sustainability
TCNs may take advantage of countries will low levels of environmental regulation in order to
reduce costs, or advanced economies may import goods that were manufactured using
environmentally unsavoury practises
The growth in global trade has increased consumption of non-renewable fuels used for
transportation vehicles travelling by air, road, rail and sea
TARRIF RESTRUCTURES
Chinas average tariff rate was reduced from 32% to 19% by 1996 and had fallen to 15% by 2000
This contributed to the aforementioned increases in trade
These tariff reductions have been heightened further by the governments negotiations of 12
FTAs with a number of its major trading partners:
- Most notable is the ASEAN-China FTA which reduces the tariff on 90% of imports to zero
and reduced the tariff on over 99% of exports to zero
- This FTA has the third largest trade volume in the world after the EU and NAFTA
ENTRANCE TO WTO
China became a member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 2001
This gave China trade access to more countries, thereby widening its export base as it now
produced more ETMs, which were being demanded in large quantities by the main developed
economies in the WTO
As a result, Chinese exports grew by 27.9% of GDP from 2001-2006
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