Armored PDF
Armored PDF
Armored PDF
ARMOURED VEHICLES
MARKET REPORT 2017
sponsored by
CONTENTS
Executive Summary 4
Survey Analysis 5
Regional Developments 20
Europe
North America
Middle East
Asia-Pacific
Africa
Latin America
Military Insight 68
Credits 76
In 2016 we have continued to see hotspots of unrest and conflict across the world, particularly in the Middle East and North
Africa region, and there are few indications that these will abate in 2017. Conflict is unpredictable and asymmetric in nature
and, in responding to these threats, armies across the globe are expecting their armoured vehicle fleets to provide the
backbone of their ground based fighting capability. Versatile and flexible in use, armoured vehicles provide the protection and
mobility for the deployment of troops, sensors and weapon systems. They deliver the military capability and troops on the
ground where and when they are needed.
At NIMR, we closely monitor market trends to ensure we are ready to meet the emerging demands of our customers. With
this in mind, we welcome the annual Global Armoured Vehicles Market Report and are delighted to introduce the 2017
Report. Launched ahead of the series of armoured vehicle conferences, the report identifies the trends within the sector that
will shape the market activity for the coming year. We expect to see continued growth in the demand for vehicles from the
international market, both for new capability and to replace some ageing fleets.
The modern battlefield sets a variety of challenges, demanding high levels of operational and tactical mobility alongside
protection for crew and mission systems. At NIMR we believe firmly these requirements can be best provided by a range of
multi-role wheeled vehicles. These versatile platforms can be rapidly deployed over large distances to respond to new threats,
whilst also providing tactical mobility in demanding terrain along with high performance as a fighting platform.
Protecting our soldiers remains our highest priority and the most significant trend. Whilst the threats continue to grow
stronger, especially from IEDs and the proliferation of RPG and similar weapons, a mixture of responses is needed to deliver
this protection. Physical measures alone do not ensure survivability, and consequently NIMR has developed a range of other
characteristics to improve survivability. We firmly believe that tactical mobility across all types of terrain can deliver a critical
advantage and accordingly our platforms are designed to achieve the highest levels of mobility. Fightability the ability to use
the vehicle as a fighting platform is also a high priority and the seamless integration of mission and weapon systems onto the
vehicle is a critical success factor.
With a global economic slowdown and reduced oil prices, the defence market is becoming more sensitive to cost and value
for money, both in terms of acquisition and through life costs. This is another area where NIMR aims to lead the market, with
a range of multi-role wheeled vehicles with low initial cost and, importantly, low through life costs achieved by a mixture of
platform commonality and reliable performance. This also delivers a lower logistic footprint with benefits in terms of reduced
resupply and simpler training and support.
We at NIMR look forward to seeing you at the International Armoured Vehicles conference and throughout 2017 at the
subsequent conferences held across the globe. These events provide an excellent opportunity for discussion with expert
speakers and representatives from both industry and Governments. I recommend this years Global Armoured Vehicles
Market Report to you as a starting point for what promises to be another interesting and challenging year for armoured
vehicles.
Topics examined include; the key emerging regional markets, global procurement requirements, the primary
challenges facing armoured vehicle manufacturers over the next decade, armoured vehicle design requirements,
and the new normal in the industry as the effects of the global financial crisis begin to wane and new
opportunities emerge.
7%
Goverment organisation
25%
42% Military
Media / academic
11%
The largest segment of survey respondents (42 percent) 35 percent of all respondents and 15 percent identifying
derived from the commercial sector, which is a decrease themselves as government employees or from related
of 15 percent on the number of respondents from organisations. Individuals from defence academia and
industry in last years Global Armoured Vehicle Market the media accounted for the remaining 7 percent of
Report. This variance is due to an increase in end-user respondents.
participation, with military respondents accounting for
8% 10% Africa
12% Asia-Pacific
17%
Europe
Middle East
20%
North America
This report represents a similarly diverse and regionally increasing interest in the armoured vehicle market, Figure
measured level of response as last years analysis, with 2 is more a reflection of the make-up of Defence IQs
the majority of participants working within or focused membership base than any particular insight into wider
on regions outside of Europe and North America. armoured vehicle trends please consult the data in
Participation from the Asia-Pacific (17 percent) increased Figure 4 for target markets and regional growth potential.
on last year, perhaps indicative of the climbing market The graph above is only designed to give the reader an
in that part of the world. However, Europe also saw an understanding of which geographies the data is collected
increase in proportional response, accounting for 33 from and should be considered within this regional
percent, up 7 percent. Again, this appears to correlate context. A number of graphs and figures in this report
with the rebounding fortunes of the European market have been broken down into their regional responses but
particularly in Eastern Europe with rising demand for the majority are taken as a global response.
land systems in the wake of continued fears of Russian
aggression and security pressures on NATOs southern
frontier. It should be noted that while this data can go
some way to indicating which regions are seeing an
GLOBAL
Very confident 42%
Quite confident 43%
Not confident 8%
Unsure/no opinion 7%
AFRICA ASIA-PACIFIC
Very confident 58% Very confident 50%
Quite confident 37% Quite confident 41%
Not confident 0% Not confident 9%
Unsure/no opinion 5% Unsure/no opinion 0%
EUROPE MIDDLE-EAST
Very confident 27% Very confident 63%
Quite confident 55% Quite confident 28%
Not confident 8% Not confident 0%
Unsure/no opinion 11% Unsure/no opinion 10%
Overall, confidence in the global armoured vehicle market to robust faith in the regional market. However, this still
is near level with last years statistics which were found to equates to a massive 91 percent of responses.
be at a five-year high. While the percentage is marginally
lower than 2015-16, 42 percent of respondents stated Steadily increasing budgets, new contract opportunities,
a firm assurance in order books over the next decade, and the growing intensity of local conflict saw the Middle
marking a 9 percent bump from where the result stood in East gain the biggest jump in market confidence, with 63
2014 when just a third of our participants identified being percent feeling particularly buoyant about future business.
very confident in the future of the market. Not a single respondent from this region declared
anything but confidence here.
Of note, North America dropped lost its status as the
dominant market influencing global opinion, with only 30 The same cannot be said of Europe or Africa, both
percent of participants centred in this region indicating of which are still registering high levels of confidence
a robust confidence (compared to 47 percent last year). (between 75-95 percent on average), but in a more
This is still an improvement on two years prior when measured stance the former down 4 percent on very
confidence in the North American market tanked as half confident; the latter down 10 percent on the same figure.
of respondents claimed to have no faith in the sector.
A number of high profile government contracts and One of the clearest signs of self-assurance is being
investments not least the $30bn Joint Light Tactical (JLTV) decisive; sitting on the fence rarely inspires confidence.
programme, which was awarded to Oshkosh Corp. has With this in mind, the number of respondents stating
seen confidence in the worlds largest armoured vehicle they were unsure about the market outlook rose from
market stay afloat with 48 percent still declaring a fair level 3 percent in the 2016 report to 7 percent in 2017. While
of confidence. confidence in the market is yet to return to the levels of
buoyancy, recovery has been established and industry
Latin America saw little change in assurance levels, with is beginning to heavily invest in future capabilities and
marginal gains in confidence in spite of ongoing economic infrastructure. That said, there is a significant air of caution
and political uncertainty across the region. Likewise, the represented in this data, perhaps highlighting the fact that
Asia-Pacific seen by most analysts as driving the future the market for the year ahead is reliant on many external
of the market over the next ten years saw little gain on and unpredictable factors.
last year, landing exactly level on those expressing fair
International Armoured Vehicles
23 - 26 January, 2017
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4. Overview of key armoured vehicle growth markets
Which countries present the greatest potential for growth and will be
targeted as a priority over the next 10 years?
Afghanistan 23%
Australia 20%
Brazil 12%
Canada 4%
China 22%
Colombia 9%
Finland 4%
France 17%
Germany 20%
India 35%
Iraq 31%
Israel 30%
Japan 12%
Malaysia 12%
Mexico 4%
Netherlands 4%
Nigeria 18%
Norway 5%
Pakistan 21%
Poland 18%
Qatar 17%
Russia 18%
South Africa 9%
Sweden 2%
Thailand 7%
Turkey 35%
UAE 36%
Ukraine 24%
UK 20%
USA 33%
Central America 5%
In the history of this report, protection has consistently and future theatre, keeping protective systems in this
been identified as a key attribute for armoured vehicles, category under high demand. The next most critical was
and this year is no different. What is different is that it has ballistic protection with 45 percent the same as last
been pipped to first place for the first time in six years year. Protection has again trumped speed (26 percent
by the need to prioritise reliability (with 53 percent of critical) and unit cost (22 percent) in the great survivability
respondents calling this a critical feature. While admittedly vs mobility vs cost debate. However, both of these latter
a vague term, its growing importance in this study suggests categories witnessed a year-on-year upswing, which were
a collective recognition that inventories are in need of not at 18 percent and 17 percent respectively in 2016.
only long-term service but must also show a capacity to
deal with a quickly evolving theatre of operations, wherein As with last year, load carrying capacity and environmental
many of the threats are becoming more numerous as control systems scored as the least important attributes.
well as more sophisticated. In efforts to reduce through- Interoperable communications climbed 5 percent,
life costs, government requirements for reliability also consistent with an increase in efforts to integrate vehicle
represent a step-change as vehicle integrators are working types within a fleet to deliver a timely and coordinated
hard to meet the new demands. response to a shared battlespace picture, as well as
efforts to ensure coalition-led operations do not suffer
IED and blast protection was said to be critical by 48 communication gaps between individual forces. Fresh
percent of respondents. Although the MRAP market spending commitments from NATO members are likely at
has contracted, all other vehicles are likely to be faced the core of rising interest in interoperability.
with the prospect of ID emplacement in any current
GLOBAL
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 34%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 58%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 56%
Blast / IEDs 79%
Directed energy systems attack 35%
RPG 68%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 44%
AFRICA
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 26%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 74%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 58%
Blast / IEDs 89%
Directed energy systems attack 21%
RPG 68%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 32%
ASIA-PACIFIC
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 27%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 52%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 55%
Blast / IEDs 76%
Directed energy systems attack 42%
RPG 55%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 64%
EUROPE
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 41%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 56%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 60%
Blast / IEDs 79%
Directed energy systems attack 38%
RPG 78%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 33%
NORTH AMERICA
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 39%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 48%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 57%
Blast / IEDs 74%
Directed energy systems attack 35%
RPG 70%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 48%
LATIN AMERICA
CBRN (Chemical Biological Radiological Nuclear) 7%
Small arms ballistic attack (up to and including 7.62mm) 67%
HMG ballistic attack (above 7.62mm) 47%
Blast / IEDs 47%
Directed energy systems attack 20%
RPG 60%
Unfamiliar and difficult terrain / climate 40%
Supporting the data in Figure 5, blast and IEDs are seen as acquisition for the likes of laser and electromagnetic
the most significant threat to armoured vehicles over the technology. The threat posed from Chemical Biological
next decade. Globally, 79 percent of respondents believe Radiological Nuclear (CBRN) attack also rose by 5 percent.
the IED to be the key threat (up marginally on last year), Undoubtedly, we are in a diverse era of warfare.
followed by RPGs (up 10 percent year-on-year) and small
arms ballistic attack (58 percent down 5 percent). Regionally, the IED is still the biggest threat in the Middle
East (95 percent), Asia-Pacific (76 percent), Europe (79
Overall, this years survey found that these statistics are percent), North America (74 percent) and Africa (89
slightly more level than last year, indicating a greater percent). Indeed it is seen as the priority armoured vehicle
awareness of fringe threats as playing an increasingly requirement in every region other than Latin America,
larger role in the battlespace. For example, the threat where small arms ballistic attack was considered the most
of directed energy weapons saw a 15 percent jump in important attribute among 67 percent of respondents, and
importance (particularly in the Middle East, which saw the where RPG attacks also rated higher on the threat-scale.
DE threat climb a massive 36 percent). This is a significant
result that suggests an anticipation of a far more tech-
savvy adversary in the coming years and an ease of
Main Battle Mine-Resistant Light Protected Armoured Amphibious Unmanned Little demand
Tanks (MBT) Ambush-Protected Vehicles (LPV) Personnel Armoured Ground Vehicles for any
(MRAP) Carriers (APC) Vehicles (UGV) armoured
vehicles
Following the new trend from last year, the Armoured to recent figures around 6,000 MBTs are forecast to be
Personnel Carrier (APC) remains the vehicle most likely to produced globally over the next 10 years for a total cost of
be in highest demand over the next decade after the slow about $26bn.
decline of the once-prominent Mine Resistant Ambush
Protected (MRAP) vehicle. The APC was identified as the However, this has by no means taken demand away from
vehicle likely to be in highest demand globally over the light armoured vehicles. Around 11,000 light tracked
next ten years with 28 percent of respondents indicating vehicles are forecast to be produced over the next decade,
it as a key choice, just a percentage point up on last year. valued at over $30bn while almost 27,000 light wheeled
The MRAP fell four points to 21 percent. vehicles valued at over $12bn are also forecast to be
produced. LPVs alone accounted for 14 percent on this
Demand for the Main Battle Tank (MBT) rose this year, years demand-scale.
fending off the wider trend for lighter, more agile and
flexible vehicles. A number of countries are developing The Unmanned Ground Vehicle (UGV) also edged further
new and modernising old MBTs with Turkey, South Korea up the chain with 15 percent identifying it as a platform of
and Thailand all requiring a heavy armoured platform in choice in the future compared with 14 percent last year.
the future. Although seen as less versatile to meet the A number of countries are investing in the technology
range of possible future operational scenarios, the MBT including the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade
is still viewed as the staple in fleets requiring resistance (Minpromrtorg), which is aiming to create a roadmap for
to sophisticated weapons and armoured adversaries. the development of robotic systems and UGVs valued at
The risk of state-on-state conflict between such high-end around $0.5m.
militaries, rather than against low-tech guerrilla fighters, is
arguably more intense now than in recent years. According
Communications systems
41%
Maintenance,repair and overhaul (MRO)
66%
Training and simulation pertaining to
armoured vehicles
41%
Consistent with the analysis of the data in Figures 5 and 6, platforms. It is a sign of the times that the through-life cost
the technologies that respondents believe will be granted of an armoured vehicle is now viewed on a par with the
the most significant levels of investment are counter-IED factory cost of a vehicle. It underscores that governments
measures and blast protection systems. Almost two thirds are getting or at least trying to get smarter at procuring
(66 percent) said that these systems will be favoured when military equipment and investing more resources into
defence ministries look to apportion budgets over the ensuring that the kit they buy is not only relevant and cost
next few years. This represents a 2 percent year-on-year effective now, but 30 years from now too.
increase, further underlying the significance of the IED and
blast threat and need for future investment. The spike in the demand for ballistic armour systems at
6 percent on last year corresponds with the expansion
Demand for investment into maintenance, repair and of efforts to counter adversaries armed with small and
overhaul (MRO) continued its decline this year at 41 medium ballistic weapons, from Daesh in the Middle East
percent, down 4 percent on last year and 6 percent and North Africa, to rebel groups and operating in the
on the year before. This is perhaps due to an increase jungles of Latin America and South-East Asia.
in the number of new vehicles and vehicle-types, as
well as associated technologies, currently being sought
for procurement in lieu of maintaining existing/ageing
Active Mine Protection Systems (AMPS), and other APS such as Rafaels Trophy, which is designed to identify
innovations to mitigate the specific effect of IED blasts, and intercept incoming projectiles, are still seen to be
were identified as likely to have the greatest impact on critical AFV technologies according to 53 percent of
future armoured vehicle design, with more than half of respondents, reinforcing the number one priority of
respondents citing these as front-running technologies. keeping the troops safe inside. Used in combination with
This overtakes the factor of more general Active Protection traditional armour, active protection systems can offer
Systems (APS) last years leader by 3 percent. Any much needed supplementary support and will continue
military strategist will tell you that the IED threat is not to see significant investment from research houses
going away. At present, innovators are reflecting on and specialist manufacturers. While APS are unlikely to
lessons learnt from Iraq and Afghanistan and developing replace physical armour systems in the short-term, the
more sophisticated systems for future armoured vehicles advancement of the technology does not appear to be in
to face hybrid threats in complex operating environments. doubt and is likely to become a major component of an
The development of active mine protection systems is armoured vehicles protection system in the future.
central to the work in this field. This particularly important
as demand for the MRAP with its ultra-heavy frame Electric armour has been a burgeoning technology for a
recedes and new methods of blast protection is needed number of years but it still hasnt emerged as a reliable
on the large number of light or tracked vehicles rolling market solution for the mass market. 14 percent of
(back) into service. A number of companies are in the respondents a nominal 2 percent increase believe it will
midst of trialling or marketing ground-breaking solutions have an impact on the armoured vehicle market over the
in this field, including Advanced Blast & Ballistic Systems next ten years. Its likely that when electric armour been
Limited (ABBS) which received UK government funding through a robust development and testing programme
to advance its AMPS project towards new tests in October it will be an effective protection solution whether that
2016 and TenCate Armors recently launched Active Blast happens within the next decade is unknown.
Counter Measures System (ABDS).
Budget limitations
Although a negligible fraction, more respondents thought factor to deal with behind budget, with 57 percent rating
the challenge of working with government entities was it very challenging-to-insurmountable. This reinforces
an insurmountable hurdle (6 percent) but over half of what we already know that regional armoured vehicle
all respondents did not see this as a major problem. manufacturers and component suppliers are seeking
This suggests that while business is not often hindered to expand their global operations and diversify their
by a breakdown in communication with government customer-base, but that they need help. Assistance
representatives, when it is, the impact is lethal. invariably will come from more engagement with regional
military and industry leaders and gathering intelligence on
Understanding the future threats and requirements and specific markets.
budget limitations (5 percent each) also saw small slivers
of similar disgruntlement from respondents. Overall, While still one of the key challenges for industry and
money remains the most challenging factor, with budget governments, the improved economic environment
limitations accounting for 68 percent of strong concern has had a soothing effect on market confidence and
among respondents. As indicated in Figure 8, budget requirements are again considered an important
limitations present a more intense problem for industry consideration as opposed to cost alone. Given that most
and government, considering that the demand for better of those surveyed remain largely happy with working
protection is steadily rising year-on-year. with governments and suppliers, there is hope that these
requirements can be readily met through a cooperative
The task of reaching new markets drops from the top approach.
spot on 2016 but remains the second most difficult
72%
20%
8%
After years of decline in how much faith military There has at the same time been a marked decrease (7
respondents had in the future of their armoured vehicle percent) in those expressing a negative outlook of vehicle
fleets, last year saw an increase in confidence returning potency since last years report. Overall, 92 percent of
with 69 percent. This has now risen to 72 percent, respondents believe future armoured vehicles will be
confirming a new trend of assurance that that future at least as potent in the battlefield as they are today,
armoured vehicle fleets will be more potent within the consistent with the resurgent strength of the market.
next decade. That marks a significant 16 percent rise since
2015.
Figure 12 gives an overview of current levels of satisfaction and unconventional engagements driving a need for an
within the military community regarding their armoured improved diversity in capabilities.
vehicle fleets.
Interestingly, survivability measures are thought to be
There was a 10 percent increase in those who felt current much more effective than they appeared in last years
communications systems are exceptional. Aside to an results, with only a fifth of respondents believing them to
8 percent increase in those felt there was considerable be wholly inadequate, compared to 44 percent last year.
scope for modernisation, most recorded a modest This corresponds to recent efforts to up vehicle protection
opinion of current fleet capabilities. Likewise, the flexibility in the last 12 months across many militaries, but adjacent
of vehicles to operate at home or abroad saw almost a to other statistics suggests that this is a temporary
third of respondents express an opinion that current improvement, with future threats likely to bring forth
vehicles are inadequate. Again we see uncertainty in further upgrade requirements.
the style or intensity of future conflicts, with military
personnel expecting a schism between conventional
Further to its purchase of 58 surplus T-72s from May 2016 saw the unveiling of the Slovak-built
Hungary in 2014, the Czech Ministry of Defence is Aligator 4x4 Master II, built by Kerametal and aimed
looking to procure 210 tracked armoured vehicles at both armed and special forces. The vehicle is
for the army in order to replace its current fleet of amphibious and intended as a platform for a wide
obsolete Russian-designed BMP-2 tracked IFVs and range of deployments such as command, surveillance,
APCs. Once the contract worth $2bn is signed, reconnaissance, weapons station, CBRN and police.
deliveries are anticipated to begin in 2019 and take
place over the ensuing ten years. Among the expected In addition, the armed forces received six Tatra T 815-
bidders are Zetor Tractors, a manufacturer of tractors 79OR99 38 300 8x8.1R-L2 High Mobility Heavy Duty
and other agricultural machinery, which has developed (HMHD) tactical trucks at the start of 2016 as part of a
a new tracked IFV for military-use in the form of the wheeled vehicle fleet recapitalisation programme that
Wolfdog. began in 2012, with over 200 new vehicles from four
suppliers have so far been delivered. The L2 variant
The Czechs have been pooling resources with Slovakia offers a maximum road speed of 85 km/h, a payload
in order to achieve joint modernisation aims and capacity of 19,450 kg and NATO STANAG 4569 Level 2
bolster manufacturing industries across both countries. protection to counter small arms fire and mine threats.
GDELS signed a partnership with Czech firm Excalibur
Army in 2015 to market the Steyr Pandur II armoured However, unlike some of its neighbours, Slovakias
vehicle in Eastern Europe and Asia. That same year, the relationship with Russia is much less frosty, allowing for
Czech MoD confirmed the Army will be procuring 20 defence business to continue with Moscow. As such,
Pandur IIs to compliment the existing 107-strong fleet Russias Military Industrial Company (VPK) delivered a
of Pandur 8x8s. batch of Tigr multipurpose infantry mobility vehicles to
Slovakia (and other countries) in 2016. These vehicles
have been manufactured at the Arzamas Machine-
vehicle manufacturing
threshold by 2018.
military equipment in
Elbit Systems Land and C4I completed the upgrade of
M1064A3 120mm tracked armoured mortar carriers
of Mechanized Infantry Brigade Iron Wolf with new
barrel and digital automated fire control system. A
new Mechanized Infantry Brigade was created with its the near future
headquarters to be implemented in Klaipda in 2016.
Estonias Defence Minister announced plans at Poland, particularly spurred into action by the threat
the start of 2016 to spend around $916m on the of recent Russian military activity, is planning to spend
acquisition of new weapons and equipment by 2020. $21.6bn on new military equipment in the near future,
The 2016 budget of around $503m comes to 2.07 significantly modernising all services. This includes a
percent of the GDP. budget of $9.58bn for 2017, pushing military spending
to 2.01 percent of GDP.
The country has purchased 35 extra CV90 AFV hulls
from Norway for $674m, complementing the existing Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa (PGZ), the state-run defence
44 CV9035NL IFVs bought from the Netherlands in group, has a strategy to triple its revenues by 2030,
2014. Estonia is planning to convert the additional hulls with an increasing eye towards raising its profile
domestically into combat support (CS) and combat for exports and foreign partnerships. Its subsidiary
service support (CSS) vehicle variants. Esterlines Racal Rosomak SA (formerly WZM), is currently producing
Demand for infantry within Africa, Sudan is one of its main clients. Tanzania,
Morocco and Algeria have also become customers
increase in response
states and Ukraine has found business in providing
second hand equipment. Indian vehicle manufacturer
to counterinsurgency
Tata Motors has supplied 585 military vehicles to
a variety of African countries for use in the United
operations
Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization
Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) mission in Mali. Meanwhile,
U.S. donations and sales have been targeted chiefly at
strengthening nations fighting Islamist insurgencies.
Africas complicated security situation still presents
fertile ground for armoured vehicles sales. Demand Among the most notable of developments is that Mali
for infantry mobile vehicles (IMV) and IFVs is likely to has doubled its defence budget since 2013, following
increase in response to the aforementioned conflicts the ongoing conflict between rebels and French-
and counterinsurgency operations. However the led forces. The presence of various rebel groups
market for AFVs cannot be proportionally translated and Islamist terrorist organisations has resulted in
in sales as western intervention strategies in this area a significant increase in violence and deterioration
usually consist of the deployment of these vehicles to in security, and there is always a concrete risk that
support operations. violence could spill over borders. The EU has raised
its contribution to the Mali mission to provide $21.2
While conflict is no stranger to Africa, it is just as million in its 2016 budget allocation, which will be
important to recognise the positive progress that is used for training and new security provisions for
being made continent-wide, with more democratic staff. Meanwhile, China and Germany have recently
governments beginning to take shape and many announced further commitments to peacekeeping
economies seeing growth. Where armoured vehicles operations, with Canada on the verge of initiating a new
are concerned, local industry is fledgling but no longer mission.
confined to South Africa and Northern Sahara. Nigeria
The UAE is currently involved in the air and ground This past summer, the Israeli Defense Ministry
operations in Yemen as part of the Saudi-led campaign. unveiled its new APC Eitan offering an upgrade in
From November 2015, Yemeni forces arrived in dozens terms of protection and sophistication. It is capable of
of UAE-supplied military vehicles on the front line at seating up to 12 soldiers and, with a 750 hp engine,
the battle for the city of Taez, which had been under can reach speeds of up to 90 km p/h. The vehicle will
siege for weeks by Houthi forces. Further security be introduced to operations alongside the IDFs Namer
vehicles (non-armoured) have since been donated (Leopard) APCs and will be equipped with an active
from the UAE to Yemen to bolster the mission. The interception defense system capable of intercepting
latest available SIPRI figures for UAE defence spending incoming anti-tank missiles, similar to the Trophy
(2014) puts the state in 14th place on the world table, system already employed on selected IDF tanks. Israel
registering a 136 percent increase from 2006-15. plans to gradually replace all of its ageing M-113s.
In spite of many of these forces operating in the region and the high volume of
defence systems sold by the US to Taiwan ($46bn) are
posture, few are eager to claims. Likewise, its long-running animosity with Japan
has not been helped by an expansion of Japanese
Over 10,000 Bangladeshi troops contribute to the In early 2016, Japans Ministry of Defence awarded
UNs peacekeeping forces, which is more than any BAE Systems a $149m contract for 30 new AAV7A1
other country. Bangladesh is an equalising power in assault amphibious vehicles (AAVs). These vehicles will
the region and pioneered the creation of the South be AAV7A1 Reliability, Availability, and Maintainability/
Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) Rebuild to Standard (RAM/RS) variants which provide
in the 1980s. It is currently going through a multi-year a more powerful engine and drive train, as well as an
modernisation period, which includes the potential upgraded suspension system, allowing the new vehicles
upgrade of its ageing T-54/Type 59 and Type 69 main to meet or exceed original AAV7A1 performance.
battle tanks. Production was scheduled to begin in August 2016
and final vehicles deliveries expected by the end of
Amid the widespread tensions, Japan approved its 2017. The contract includes tools and test equipment
largest ever defence budget this past year at $44bn. as well as training aids. The US Marine Corps is also
In tandem with this investment, the country signed in considering a new amphibious vehicle programme.
new laws to ease long-running restrictions on Japanese
military personnel from operating outside of national
International Armoured Vehicles
23 - 26 January, 2017
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Register today!
The Republic of Korea (ROK) has budgeted $36.49bn Singapore raised its defence budget in 2016 by 6.4
for 2017 defence budget, marking a 4 percent increase percent on the previous year, taking it to $10.2bn and
on 2016 and a record high for the countrys history. marking the fastest rate of growth seen in the country
Over a quarter of this budget is expected to be spent for five years. Defence expenditure also increased
on defence modernisation, including procurement as a proportion of GDP for the second consecutive
and research and development. The nation of course year, rising to 3.4 percent. Owing to the injection, the
remains in a tense diplomatic gulf with the DPRK and a Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) has confirmed that it will
strong military is unlikely to fall off the nations priority commission its next generation AFV by 2019 in order
list. to replace the ageing Ultra M113 fleet. The new vehicle
will offer a larger calibre gun and enhanced firepower
A programme of mass-production of indigenous and protection. Development of the new vehicle
armoured vehicles began in June 2016 under the began in 2006 through collaboration of the SAF, the
oversight of the ROKs Defence Acquisition Programme Defence Science Technology Agency, and Singapore
Administration (DAPA), aiming at improving mobility Technologies (ST) Kinetics (the land systems division of
and operability of infantry troops. 100 6x6 KW1 (K806) state-affiliated defence prime ST Engineering).
and 500 8x8 (K808) wheeled armoured vehicles are
to be produced by 2023. This renews the initiative ST Kinetics is hoping to expand exports of its Terrex
first launched in December 2012, with work being 8x8 IFV family, which now includes three distinct
undertaken by Hyundai Rotem. 16 low-rate initial platforms with gross vehicle weight ratings ranging
production vehicles are to be delivered to the Republic from 24-35 tonnes. The company has indicated that
of Korea Army (RoKA) for field trials scheduled to last till interest has been shown from countries in the Middle
the end of 2017. Production will commence thereafter East, North America (specifically, the US Marine Corps
from 2018. Amphibious Combat Vehicle Phase 1 Increment 1
programme), Latin America, and by those involved
in the Australian Army Project Land 400 Phase 2.
Design and engineering capabilities are said to
support in-country manufacturing to help manage
cost and risk for the customer. ST aims to build on its
foreign experience in providing technical advice and
consultancy services to Thailands Defence Technical
Institutes (DTIs) indigenous 24-tonne 8x8 Black Widow
Spider armoured vehicle development for the Royal
Thai Army (RTA).
Indias armed forces are to benefit from a new wave of
equipment upgrades in its defence spending boost.
Meanwhile, STs 4x4 Protected Combat Support Vehicle
Image: Wikimedia
(PCSV) scheduled to be commissioned by 2017 is
also set to provide the SAFs motorised infantry with
While the 16-tonne K806 and 20-tonne K808 share improved firepower and protection. The 20-tonne
similar features such as a 420 hp Hyundai Motor platform is based on the Paramount Marauder MRAP
Company diesel engine and a two-person crew with from South Africa, is operated by a crew of two seated
space for up to nine fully equipped troops the K806 in a protected cabin, and offers a payload capacity
is conceived as an escort-type protective vehicle for of 4,000 kg or up to eight dismounts. The modular
convoys and facilities or reconnaissance while the K808 design of the rear compartment enables the vehicle
is designed to integrate with other combat vehicles for to be configured for a range of missions, with mortar,
high-intensity operations over difficult terrain. DAPA battlefield casualty evacuation, and resupply variants
believes the new wheeled armoured vehicles, equipped being planned. The PCSV will replace the soft-skin
with cutting-edge technologies, can move swiftly on the MAN military utility trucks currently involved in logistics
ground as well as cross water obstacles, carry heavy operations. When equipped with the SAFs Army
firepower and protect the troops inside from enemy Battlefield Internet (ABI) network, the vehicle will be
machine gun attacks that will enormously increase able to integrate with the Terrex IFV.
infantry units operability. The vehicles will also compete
on the export market if they prove to offer a cost-
advantageous option over alternatives.
Not all has been positive for Taiwan. The tail end
of 2015 saw a number of Taiwanese officials and
The Thai Defence Technology Institute (DTI) recently introduced contractors charged over a procurement scandal
the first Black Widow Spider 8x8 amphibious armoured car. involving locally produced 8x8 CM-32 Yunpao (Clouded
Leopard) APCs, which saw a $243.9m manufacturing
contract awarded to Chung Hsin Electric and Machinery
Thailand is targeting a small increase in the defence Manufacturing Corp. (CHEM) only for a number of
budget for 2017 of 3 per cent at around $6bn (1.5 per alleged irregularities. Those indicted were accused
cent of GDP). This marks a deceleration in comparison of using Chinese-made spare parts and not holding
to annual expenditure in the last three years, based proper certifications to fulfil the contract, resulting in a
seemingly on a slowing economy. The past year significant number of vehicle breakdowns. However,
has seen interesting developments for Thailand the CM-32s will continue to provide coverage to the
in international cooperation as well as domestic Army, with Taiwan allocating $175m for new research
vehicle development. Ukraine and Thailand signed and development into home-grown weapon systems,
an agreement at the end of 2015 on joint production including those that can be integrated into these
of BTR-3 AFVs. The agreement provided for the vehicles.
These tensions are equally driving defence spending The Ministry of National Defence (SEDENA) launched
decisions, including investment into MBTs, IFVs and a procurement programme in 2015 for 105 new
APCs. In recent activity U.S.-based Textron Systems armoured vehicles as well as a programme to upgrade
was awarded a $65m contract in 2016 to provide 54 its existing 119 6x6 Panhard Defense ERC 90 Lynx
Commando Select APCs with 40mm/.50 turrets as a armoured reconnaissance vehicles. The investment
foreign military sales contract to Colombia. Funds for would see the new vehicles bring four of its nine
the four-wheel APC will come out of the U.S. Armys Armoured Reconnaissance Regiments (RBRs) to full
other procurement pool. The contract follows a 2014 spec. Mexico has purchased 3,335 HMMWV (Humvees)
delivery of 67 4x4 Textron Commando Advanced APC from ex-U.S. military stocks for $504m. The country
high mobility vehicles 39 of which were ordered has $499m earmarked for APCs and amphibious APCs,
without turrets and another 28 ordered with 40/50 forecast at approximately $200m per programme.
calibre remote turrets at around $1.13m each.
More recently, SEDENCA activated the 21st Military
No stranger to drug trafficking organisations Police (MP) battalion at Guachochi, Chihuahua, as part
themselves, Mexico remains in a fragile state when of the Mexican Armys expansion of its Military Police
it comes to national security. However, the budget Corps. The newly operational 4th Military Police Brigade
allocations for defence and security are complex. is expected to eventually comprise 3,000 soldiers and
According to Forecast International, When measured conducts patrols in a number of vehicles including the
in dollars, defence spending [in Mexico] declined in Oshkosh Sandcat.
FY16. However, this is largely due to the rising value
of the dollar compared to the peso. In terms of pesos,
the FY16 Mexican budget [increased to] 1.4 percent to
MXN99,651.9 million. Even so, the decline in oil prices
Recent senate reforms Ecuador has been looking carefully at provisions for
new roles for its land forces, including peace keeping,
in Paraguay have natural disaster relief and custom vehicles for internal
security. However, unpopular government policies and
Recent senate reforms in Paraguay have been passed In 2015, the Army received 709 HOWO-series logistics
to expand military powers in the continued fight against support vehicles from the China National Heavy Duty
guerrilla insurgents of the Paraguayan Peoples Army Truck Import and Export Corporation (CNHTC) through
(EPP) and drug traffickers. While a small force, the EPP a package announced by the Ecuadorian government
have upped their attacks on its targets in recent years, at $81m. Before the acquisition, 70 percent of the
including bombings, arson and assassinations. August countrys land transport fleet was reported to be
2016 saw eight troops killed in an ambush when obsolete and only 51 percent operational.
guerrillas detonated explosives to destroy a military
vehicle.
The four day event kicked off with a pre-conference Despite resource challenges, I detect this is a
focus day about modernisation, retrofit and MRO reasonably healthy industry, said Lt Gen Coward, but
(maintenance, repair, and overhaul). The presentations underscored that there is clearly a need to improve
encouraged hearty debate about these important the dialogue between suppliers, manufacturers, the
topics from a truly international delegation, which military, and government.
included officials from Jordan, Ghana, Zambia,
Tunisia, and Malaysia.
Defence IQ: General, given the complexity and variety capabilities are there, what technology may mature in
of potential future theatres, how is the US Army time, and then where we can modernise our current
planning ahead to ensure readiness for its vehicle fleet fleet with those new technologies we will do so. More
for any eventuality? importantly what we want to do is ensure that were
prepared when we acquire systems in the 2030/40
General Dennis L Via: Certainly the armoured vehicle timeframe, that were going to maintain the leap ahead
fleet is central to our operations for our ground forces. technologies and the technological edge that we enjoy
Were continuously looking at acquiring and filling the today against the perceived threats that we may see at
best capability we can provide for our soldiers as they that period of time and in that particular environment.
deploy in complex operations around the world. Were
placing a lot of research in development funding in
Defence IQ: General, what can you tell us about the what is actually happening to main battle tanks. What
current priorities for the Finnish army in terms of its is going on in the anti-tank section, and so on? Were
armoured vehicles fleet? investigating this now.
Lt Gen Seppo Toivonen: This is of course a time of DIQ: The idea of balancing capabilities has come up
change and different challenges but, in a way, we have quite a lot at the IAVs conference. How are you finding
a good background in different mechanised units. We an approachable and affordable option plan, and
will continue with those products we have. We were indeed how is the industry helping you come to those
very happy to buy surplus Leopard 2A6 MBTs from the particular decisions?
Netherlands as that will strengthen our fleet where
we already have 100 Leopard A4s. Then I would say ST: Its related to many issues. Its related to the
what we are doing now is looking through the different different organisationshow strong a battle group
options and approaches to modernisation. For you create, what the role of brigade level and above
instance, the BMP 2 with western technology, its still capabilities will be. In Finland we see that the brigade is
a good combat proven tool in the battlefield. Next to still an excellent tool in the battlefield, and through the
come is the upgrade of the CV 9030 in the beginning of brigade level you can bring in new, modern capabilities.
next decade. So, in a way we respond y improving on So, its a combination of ensuring you have a diversity
those how should I say? good products, and thats of tools, but the art comes in how you do that and
the way we are moving ahead. who is doing it. Usually at a battalion level you have to
concentrate on the task, and then at the upper level,
DIQ: What about the longer-term the 2030s and even in the army corps level, you have to find how to fit
beyond? How can you be sure that youll be making the the new capabilities into the equation. There is always
right decisions from that period? something of a changing role when it comes to new
capabilities like electronic warfare. Its growing all the
ST: Thats a good question, and of course the IAVs time.
conference deals with those issues quite well. You
have to have all the senses open, to look past what DIQ: How useful have you found the International
the new technology is offering. You need this kind of Armoured Vehicles conference in terms of knowing
baseline of different capabilities and only then can how to approach all that?
you build up something new. So we are very much
keeping our options open. We know that there will ST: I would say that this is a good concept. Its not
be a need for something new, especially towards the oversized, so it gives you the possibility for interaction
end of the 2020s, and thats why we are following with colleagues and industry. There are good panel
closely whats happening in the market. You also need discussions, excellent presentations and then you also
a good understanding of how the requirements are have something to feel and touch. I would say that this
changing. Having that knowledge will keep us alive conference is really fine.
and in a really good condition until 2030. There is
also being discussed a ten-year time frame to find out International Armoured Vehicles
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Colonel John Atkinson
US Marine Corps
Defence IQ: Colonel, what can you tell us about how Peninsula. Alexander the Great saw similar adversaries
the Marine Corps is anticipating the future operating in Afghanistan, when he was there. So, while some
environment and how that will impact combat people say its new, I think its just changing. The
development? character of warfare is always changing; the nature will
remain immutable.
Were looking at
DIQ: With that chaos and the uncertainty being
predicted ,what does that mean for the equipment that
different ways to
will be fielded or indeed the challenges that you have in
fielding the correct equipment?
harness energy JA: If you dont know what youre going to face its
difficult to fully prepare for it, but if you have the proper
so we can sustain, mind-set, if you have the proper approach intellectually
and you can think through problems, then you have
survive, fight and a good start at it. When you examine the globe for
whats going on and predict as best you can and
environments you can begin to build a picture that gives you the basis
you need. With our capabilities and, being a force that
needs to be prepared to fight tonight, anywhere on the
globe, against any threat, or respond to humanitarian
Colonel John Atkinson: The Marine Crops sees situations across the range of military operations, it
an increasingly complex and dynamic operational remains very difficult to get it perfectly accurate. But if
environment, where hybrid threats will become you have a balanced force thats able to operate in any
increasingly capable, with capability sets that in some climate or place, that has the ability to command and
cases will have parity to modern nations. It also control in high-threat degraded environments where
sees some development in the enduring nature of youre leveraging technology but not overly dependent
operational environments war time environments. on it, then you begin to have the opportunity to
Were going to continue to see war be chaotic, and leverage technology and use it to your advantage,
uncertainty in fact will be the only certainty hybrid rather than have it contribute to your own demise and
threats, criminal networks, combining regular and create dilemmas for the enemy, whether the enemy
irregular forces. But again, its new in some ways is a war fighting enemy or a catastrophic storm. And I
but its really old lessons being relearnt. Napoleon think thats at least an approach.
experienced regular hybrid threats on the Iberian
Defence IQ: Major Laroche, could you summarise for now with the more conventional threats on the Ukraine
us the key messages being communicated at the ATDU border, mean we need to be adaptive. We need to
briefing at IAVs? really concentrate all our armoured platforms towards
all types of threat be ready for anything, and then
Major Francois Laroche: The key message is really choose what is appropriate for a specific theatre. It
cognitive burden. So, to explain a bit of what that really is about having a lot of new technology fitted
is, at the end of the day we represent the user, the just to ensure were well prepared when we enter any
multi-mission close combat user, and with those new new theatre, and we never know which enemy were
armoured platforms, like Ajax or the Warrior Capability going to face. That situation will definitely influence the
Sustainment Programme, there comes a lot of new solutions on the market. You need to keep your eye
technology, a lot of new sensor input on those turrets, open to all kinds of threat and be prepared to counter
and so on. You dont want the human inside that turret it.
to be the weakest link when it comes to dealing with
all that information, all those feeds coming to the
soldier, to the gunner, or to the commander. Thats
our message to make sure that people understand
You need to keep
the cognitive burden, the information overload, and
making sure that we understand the problem if there your eye open to all
kinds of threat and be
is a problem. Maybe the new generation using this
technology will feel comfortable inside those new
prepared to counter it
turrets, but we just want to make sure that people,
especially the industry who design those platforms,
understand that you ultimately want your user to
maximise all of those capabilities rather than being
overwhelmed by them.
DIQ: So, as you say, we dont know what the
DIQ: When it comes to your work and the technology future threats will be, but in terms of balancing the
youre seeing coming through, has there been much possibilities that are before us how do you find that
impact from the recent conflict and the way the militaries are able to do that from an affordable
theatres have developed? perspective?
FL: Yes. Ill say they always influence things. Im a firm FL: Thats hard to say. Again, the best solution is to
believer that you should always look at all the potential have most of all those capabilities in one package, like
threats to base your acquisition and procurement you would with a golf bag having a multitude set of
strategy. So, definitely the threat should be a focus
point of all the new technologies. Indeed, the previous
experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq, and especially
International Armoured Vehicles
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clubs to respond with all those capabilities from light to DIQ: And hopefully IAVs has also been part of that
heavy. Its a big challenge to make it affordable, but its process
essential to have that.
FL: Definitely. This forum also helps and maintains
that relationship in that it has in one central place
the experts from the military, from all these different
countries, and being industry-specific in the area of our
expertise. Everyone is in the same place so having that
networking opportunity, and those great presentations
about all the new technology and capabilities, thats
great. Its a great event.
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