Your Money or Your Life PDF
Your Money or Your Life PDF
Your Money or Your Life PDF
.A.
P l u t o WW W1 P r e s s
LONDON STERLING, VIRGINIA 4 1
Ur^ Mkukl na Nyota Publishers
DARES SALAAM
Disclaimer:
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available for inclusion in the eBook.
Introduction 1
1. Globalisation and the Neo-Liberal Offensive 14
2. The Concentration of Capital 31
3. Globalisation and Exclusion: the Marginalisation of
the Third World and the Strengthening of the Triad 36
4. Financial Globalisation 47
5. Globalisation and the Growing Debt Burden 65
6. The Debt Crisis in Historical Perspective 70
7. The Third World Debt Crisis in the 19 8 Os and 19 9 Os 80
8. The Transfer of Wealth from the South to the North 93
9. The World Bank and the IMF: 50 Years is Enough! 112
10. The World Bank and the Third World Debt Crisis 127
11. Structural Adjustment Programmes 134
12. The Two Phases of Structural Adjustment 140
13. Neo-Liberal Ideology and Policies in Historical
Perspective 170
14. Debt in the 1990s: Latin America and Sub-Saharan
Africa 189
15. Case Studies 200
Argentina 200
Mexico 205
Rwanda 212
16. The Asian Crisis and its International Repercussions 218
VI/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Chronology: The World Bank, the IMF and the Third World 265
Glossary 277
Bibliography 294
Index 314
List of Tables and Figures
TABLES
Table 1.1 Evolution of the Real Income of US Households 20
Table 1.2 Turnover or GNP In S billions
Table 2.1 Company Acquisition and Creation by F oreign 27
Capital in the US
Table 2.2 Some Examples of Global Concentration at the 32
End of the 1980s and in the 1990s
Table 3.1 Origin and Destination of FDI Flows in 19 9 0 33
(percentage of total world FDI) 37
Table 3.2 19 8 7-9 2 FDI Flows to Developing Regions 38
Table 3.3 Relative Share of the World Market in
Manufactured Goods 39
Table 3.4 The Share in Global Exports of the Three Main
Blocs of Developing Countries between 1950
and 1990 43
Table 4.1 Daily Value of Financial Transactions and the
Total Annual Value of Global Exports 53
Table 4.2 Finance Expanding More Quickly than GNP: Trade
and Foreign Direct Investment in OECD Countries
(1988 compared to 1980) 54
Table 5.1 Growth in Financial Assets, 1980-92 67
Table 5.2 Share of Financial Markets in Foreign Debt 67
Table 7.1 Nominal Interest Rates, Real Interest Rates and
Inflation 90
Table 8.1 Gross and Net Debt-end of 1995 104
Table 14.1 Evolution of External Debt in Latin America
and the Caribbean 190
Table 14.2 Evolution of sub-Saharan Africa's External Debt 195
VIII/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
FIGURES
Figure 3.1 Distribution of Foreign Direct Investment 36
Figure 4.1 The Evolution of Financial Assets by Investor
Type, 1980-94 61
Figure 5.1 Share of Nine Most Indebted Third World
Countries in Total Third World Debt, 19 9 5 68
Dedication
IX
Acknowledgements
xi
XII/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
those that hold the reins of economic and cultural power. No effort is
spared to promote the idea that private initiative is superior to public
intervention, contrasting the efficiency and profitability of the former
to the incompetence and wastefulness of the latter. Or the idea that
humans naturally prefer private initiative over collective solidarity.
Or the need to limit the state and government to the sole task of
upholding law and order, social control and the defence of personal
safety and private property. While this ideological campaign never
tires of insisting that a free country is one in which there is freedom
to do business, it remains curiously silent about the permanent
collusion between the state apparatus and big business lobbies. It
has, however, led to the implementation of policies of systematic
deregulation that seek to fulfil two wide-ranging objectives.
In the first place, there is the objective of progressively establishing
- sector by sector - a global space, or rather a world market, in which
the only law is that laid down by multinationals to regulate the
competition between them, a kind of chivalrous code for economic
warfare. The task of drawing up and overseeing such a code, for
example, has been devolved to the World Trade Organisation (WTO)
- a gargantuan organisation that renders null and void the
legitimacy of national states and governments.
The second objective is that of providing the best possible
opportunity for those with the requisite astronomical wealth - that
is to say, the multinational corporations - to take full advantage of
the potential created by the new technologies. This is especially so in
the financial sector - where the split-second transmission of capital
and the mushrooming of exchanges, brokerage houses, financial
products and speculative instruments have created a massive
financial bubble out of all proportion to economic realities. Between
SI,200 and 1,500 billion are traded each day on the markets, the
equivalent of one week of US GNP and 60 times the funds needed to
settle actual international transactions in goods and services. This
bubble could burst at any time and do irreparable damage, as has
already been the case in Mexico and, more recently, in Southeast
Asia. This financial bubble is the scene of the hottest investments and
the most risky speculative operations; it is also the destination of
choice for a significant proportion of the savings deposited in mutual
and pension funds, and for the liquid assets of banks and companies.
The second political upheaval was the fall of the Berlin Wall in
December 19 8 9, an event symbolic of the collapse through implosion
FOREWORD/XIII
of the bloc of socialist countries led by the Soviet Union. It was also
symbolic of the disappearance of an economic and political system
that put itself forward as the historic alternative to an increasingly
unpopular capitalism. The socialist sphere of influence put up no
resistance and displayed a kind of greed-induced naivete; it was
quickly conquered by the Western free market democracy model.
This has not been the case for a handful of countries in the process of
rapid transformation (such as Vietnam) or reduced to decrepit
museums of a long-gone era (such as North Korea). Nor has it been
the case of China, which intends to retain its political autonomy
behind a wall of market socialism in which there is a great deal more
market than there is socialism. The triumph of capitalism resulting
from the disintegration of its arch-rival put an end to the East-West
conflict, which had overdetermined international relations and the
fate of peoples and nations for some 50 years. This triumph also put
an end to the 'Third World', a term used to describe the often risky
attempt by countries of the South as a whole to use the superpower
conflict as a means to protect their economic and political indepen
dence. Above all else, this capitalist triumph over the Socialist Bloc
has confirmed the historic defeat of the working classes and of the
world proletariat. Henceforth, they will be condemned to limitless
exploitation by a brutal and arrogant capitalism that, at long last, has
been delivered from its age-old fear of world revolution.
This is the state of affairs as we embark upon an era in which the
world's new masters seek to establish a universal totalitarianism.
Indeed, this is the only possible way for the handful of all-powerful
economic warlords, who will soon own most of the planet, to
perpetuate their domination over many billions of victims. The
progressive establishment of this new order is being carried out in
three main areas.
In the first place, there is the near-monopoly of the ideology of the
ruling classes and of the neo-liberal discourse that legitimises their
rule. Be it the printed press, radio and TV, publishing, academic insti
tutions, think-tanks, or talks and seminars, there is very little in the
field of the production and dissemination of mainstream ideas that is
not directly or indirectly controlled by those in positions of wealth
and power. The scope for manipulation provided by the mass media,
their potential for 'manufacturing consent' and adapting their
message to each audience, gives them unlimited possibilities for
subjecting ever greater sectors of the population to their influence,
XIV/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
especially those most likely to become their victims. Fewer and fewer
people have the wherewithal to extricate themselves from the
dominant discourse. An overwhelming majority of intellectuals has
been won to the new dominant ideology. Before, the intelligentsia
were mobilised in opposition to the Establishment; now they have
become its well-paid guard dogs. A veritable caste of arrogant and
cynical intellectuals has emerged to defend the liberal faith, to declare
the 'end of history', to hunt down and burn at the stake all those who
dare contest the new doctrine. They monopolise the written and
spoken word, recite the free market mantra, and pull economic
'miracles' out of thin air. These new theologians and dedicated
scientists of the liberal faith do not hesitate to falsify history to erase
anything that might contradict their regurgitated 'truths', nor do
they baulk at manipulating statistics to give their pontificating a
scientific gloss. In this, they have continued a proud tradition of
totalitarian practices that began with the nationalist bourgeoisies
and was perpetuated by fascist and socialist regimes. From a very
young age, children are enrolled in the economic war, put forward
as the unavoidable choice between life and death - both at school and
in their sporting activities, where each is pitted against all and where
victors and the powerful are praised and losers and the weak are con
temptuously dismissed. For all this, however, no attempt is made to
pinpoint the exact purpose of this indefinite and perpetual war of the
kind described by George Orwell in 1984. The war's objectives, one's
allies and one's conquests are ephemeral, in a constant state of flux.
Secondly, there is the attempt to submit the whole of human
activity to the market order and the rule of profit. No sphere can
escape this process, neither the protection of privacy, nor the right to
breathe unpolluted air, nor the use of human genes. Everything can
become a commodity, including spirituality, and enter the circuits of
capital in order to be made profitable. The goal is that of granting
capital totalitarian control over human and biological life and
development. This shameful pillage of humanity's collective
inheritance has necessarily been accompanied by wide-ranging and
growing criminalisation. While the old order has been destroyed and
the rules governing relations between states and between states and
multinationals are no longer effective, the resulting vacuum has not
been filled by a new set of rules and corresponding sanctions for the
new order. Brutal competition between the various economic
warlords has, instead, been greased by generalised corruption. Not a
FOREWORD/XV
Christian de Brie
Editorial staff member at Le Monde diplomatique
Preface
xvii
XVIII/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Robert Reich is quite right when he says that a ceiling has been
reached. A recession in the North and an increase in interest rates in
the South could lead to a huge drop in consumer spending in the
North and across-the-board bankruptcy of households in countries
of the periphery - in line with what we saw in the 1994-1995
Mexican crisis, and with what we have seen in the Southeast Asian
crisis ofl997-1998and the Russian crisis of 19 9 8.
Three examples illustrate this fall in income for the majority of the
world's population. First, the UNDP notes that in Africa, 'Consumer
spending has on average dropped 20 per cent over the last 25 years'.
Second, the UNDP notes that in Indonesia poverty could double as a
result of the 1997 crisis. According to the World Bank, even before
the crisis there were 60 million poor in Indonesia out of a total
population of 203 million. Third, according to Robert Reich, real
incomes continue to fall in much of Latin America. According to a
World Bank report released at the end of 1998 (Agence France
Presse, 3 December 1998), 21 countries experiences a fall in per
capita income in 1997. The same report estimates that in 1998, some
36 countries - including Brazil, Russia and Indonesia - will register
a drop in per capita income.
According to a 26 November 1998 press release issued by the
Russian undersecretary of the economy, unemployment was
expected to rise by 71 per cent between the end of 1998 and the
beginning of 2001 - from 8.4 million to 14.4 million.
much wealth as the total annual Income of three billion people! The
gap between holders of capital, on the one hand, and the majority of
the population, on the other, is growing wider and wider.
The UNDP also makes a radical critique of Thatcherism without
mentioning the Iron Lady by name: 'During the 1980s, the gap
[between rich and poor] in the United Kingdom widened by a degree
never before seen in an industrialised country.'
The October 1998 IMF package to keep Brazil afloat was also
financed by public funds. The plan enabled Brazil to go on servicing
its external and internal debts to the international and domestic
private financial system. Private financial institutions categorically
refused to contribute to this so-called rescue package. Instead, the
IMF ensured that their debts would be paid off, and they cynically
decided to hang back and refuse to make new loans to Brazil. They
adopted exactly the same stance in the face of the 1982 crisis. The
time has surely come to put an end to such publicly-funded bailout
packages for private finance.
not been enough to lure the North and the South's private lenders
back from their preference for bonds from the North. As was the case
in the early 1980s, when the last debt crisis hit, credit has become
rare and dear for the periphery. Between 1993 and 1997, there was
a steady increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) in Southeast Asia
(including China) and the main economies of Latin America (drawn
by the massive wave of privatisations). This tendency faltered in
1998 and could well do so again in 1999: FDI in Southeast Asia fell
by more than 3 0 per cent between 1997 and 1998; and loans fell by
14 per cent between the first half of 19 9 7 and the first half of 19 9 8.
IMF-dictated measures in the countries of the periphery have led
to recession, a loss of some of the key pillars of national sovereignty,
and a calamitous fall in the standard of living. In some countries,
these measures have merely worsened conditions that were already
unbearable for much of the population.
While the incomes of domestic holders of capital in these countries
continue to rise, there has been a disastrous fall in those of working-
class households. This chasm is as wide or wider than at any time in
the twentieth century.
During the months of September and October 1998, for example,
holders of Brazil's internal debt were receiving nearly 50 per cent in
annual interest payments, with inflation hovering below 3 per cent.
Brazilian capitalists and multinational companies, especially those
based in Brazil, could borrow dollars at 6 per cent interest on Wall
Street and loan them to the Brazilian government at between 20 and
49.75 per cent! All the while, these same capitalists continued to
siphon most of their capital out of the country, to shelter themselves
from abrupt changes in the country's economic fortunes.
For the 400 million inhabitants of the former Asian 'dragons' and
'tigers', IMF has come to mean 'I'M Fired'. Across the planet,
including in Europe, a sizeable share of the population has begun to
challenge neo-liberal policies. In some cases, this has taken on con
tradictory and confused forms. In most countries, the weakness of the
radical Left and the slavish submission of the traditional Left to the
dictates of the market (that is, of holders of capital) have created an
opening for parties and movements that redirect the population's
consciousness and will to act against a series of scapegoats, be they
foreigners or followers of a different faith.
Successful resistance to the ongoing neo-liberal offensive is no easy
matter; but those engaged in struggle have a number of points in
their favour, including partial victories. The October 1998 decision
by the French government of Lionel Jospin to withdraw from negoti
ations on the Multilateral Accord on Investments (MAI) came about
in response to a broad campaign of opposition organised by an array
of movements, trade unions and parties in France, the USA, Canada,
the Third World and across Europe. To be sure, multinational corpo
rations and the US government will again attempt to push through
the MAI's objectives of total freedom for holders of capital. For the
moment, though, they have suffered a major reversal. It is indeed
possible to roll back such government and corporate initiatives
through campaigns and mobilisation.
Another sign of the changing times was the UNCTAD statement of
September 1998 in favour of the right of countries to declare a
moratorium on foreign-debt payments. UNCTAD said: 'A country
which is attacked can decide to declare a moratorium on debt-
servicing payments in order to dissuade "predators" and have some
"breathing room" within which to set out a debt restructuring plan.
Article VIII of the IMF's Statutes could provide the necessary legal
basis for declaring a moratorium on debt-servicing payments. The
decision to declare such a moratorium can be taken unilaterally by a
country in the face of an attack on its currency' (UNCTAD press
release, 28 August 1998).
Of course, UNCTAD is a small player in comparison to the G7, the
IMF, the World Bank and the World Trade Organisation (WTO). But
this forthright defiance of the so-called inalienable rights of money
lenders reveals that governments in the periphery are finding it
increasingly difficult to j ustify their support for the neo-liberal global
isation project.
XXVIII/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
The UNDP's 1998 report calculates that a 4 per cent tax on the
assets of the world's 225 wealthiest people would bring in 40 billion
dollars. This is the modest sum that would have to be invested annually
in 'social spending' worldwide over a period of ten years in order to
provide: universal access to clean water (1.3 billion people went
without such access in 19 9 7); universal access to basic education (one
billion people are illiterate); universal access to basic health care (17
million children die annually of easily curable diseases); universal
access to basic nutrition (two billion people suffer from anaemia);
universal access to proper sewage and sanitation facilities; and
universal access by women to basic gynecological and obstetric care.
Meeting these ambitious targets would cost only 40 billion dollars
annually worldwide over a period of ten years. The UNCTAD report
compares this figure to some other types of spending which
humankind could easily do without: in 1997,17 billion dollars were
spent on pet food in the USA and Europe; 50 billion dollars were spent
on cigarettes in Europe; 105 billion dollars were spent on alcoholic
drinks in Europe; 400 billion dollars were spent on drugs worldwide;
there was 780 billion dollars in military spending worldwide; and
one trillion (1,000 billion) dollars were spent on advertising.
1999 and 2000 are Jubilee years in the Judeo-Christian tradition
which culturally dominates the select club of G 7 countries. With yet
another debt crisis upon us, Jubilee tradition demands that we ener
getically call for the complete and total cancellation of the debts of the
countries of the periphery.
A host of other measures must be implemented urgently, such as:
a tax on international financial transactions (as called for by the
ATTAC coalition); an inquiry into the overseas holdings of wealthy
citizens of the countries of the periphery, leading to the expropriation
and restitution of these holdings to the peoples of the countries in
question when they are the result of theft and embezzlement; bold
measures to restrict capital flows; an across-the-board reduction in
the working week with corresponding hiring and no loss of wages;
land reform providing universal access to land for small farmers and
peasants; measures favouring equality between men and women.
Though incomplete and insufficient, these measures are a
necessary first step towards satisfying basic human needs.
Eric Toussaint
6 December 1998
Introduction
1
2/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Colombia, Brazil and the Philippines in order to 'clean up' their cities.
According to the 1997 report of the UN Development Programme,
there are 200,000 street children in Brazil. Hundreds of them have
been murdered by the 'upholders of law and order' in recent years.
The International Labour Office also calculates that some 250 million
children between the ages of five and fourteen are obliged to work in
order to survive (Le Soir, 13 November 1996 and 2 7 February 1997).
A significant number of these children become bonded labourers to
repay debt (Bonnet, in Schlemmer, 1996). In the countries of the
North, networks for the sexual abuse of children are frequently
uncovered. The bodies of these children are treated as goods to be
disposed of after use (Tondeur, 1996).
No self-respecting human being can be unmoved by such injustice.
We are moved to unite with others and do what we can, to put an end
as quickly as possible to this intolerable state of affairs.
Barbarism now reigns over a significant part of human civilisation.
This does not mean that those living in such conditions do not have
the will to change their lot. They are not barbarians! Hundreds of
millions of people struggle every day, have organised themselves into
movements for a better future. This book is dedicated to them. Their
creativity and their struggles have strengthened my belief in the
possiblity for emancipation.
Karl Marx declared long ago that the emancipation of the
oppressed can be achieved only by the oppressed themselves. The
fundamental objective must be that of contributing to this emanci
pation of the oppressed, wheresoever on the planet they may be.
payments. This helped pave the way for economic success, with
14 governments of different political hues reacting simulta
neously and implementing policies focused more than ever on
domestic markets. During the 1980s debt crisis, the United
States and the other main capitalist powers imposed country-by-
country negotiations and came out on top (Chapters 6 and 7).
19. The Third World and Eastern Bloc debt crisis is closely
intertwined with the first stages of the deregulation of financial
markets in the second half of the 1960s (Chapters 5 and 7).
2 0. The Third World grew rapidly from the second half of the 1960s
until the end of the 1970s. Private banks, the World Bank and
governments in the North (especially through export credits)
pursued an active policy of low-interest loans, or even negative-
interest loans. For countries of the South at the time, borrowing
was therefore a very interesting proposition, especially as export
earnings were on the rise thanks to an increase in the volume of
exports to the North. Governments in the North encouraged
such borrowing in order to find outlets for their goods. For their
part, private banks held a considerable volume of capital on
deposit and were on the lookout for investments, even high-risk
ones (Chapters 5, 7, 9, 10, 14 and 16).
21. The Third World debt crisis, which began in 1982, was due to
the sudden increase in interest rates decided by the US Federal
Reserve at the end of 19 7 9, the drop in export earnings (creating
a trade deficit for the South) and the suspension of bank loans
(Chapter 7).
22. The governments of the North and South, the multilateral
financial institutions (IMF, World Bank) and the big private
banks managed the Third World debt crisis in such a way as to
force Third World and Eastern European countries - which had
acquired real industrial and even financial power - into a cycle
of dependence. The Southeast Asian crisis can be expected to
produce similar results (Chapter 16). As for the least developed
countries of the Third World, which had not gone through a
cumulative experience of industrialisation, their subordination
to the main industrialised countries has merely been deepened
(Chapters 10, 11, 14, 15 and 16).
23. The international lenders, the IMF, the World Bank, the Paris
Club (which brings together the North's governments in their
capacity as lenders; see glossary) and the London Club (which
8/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
countries might find they are unable to raise the huge sums
required for repaying their debts and ensuring their balance of
payments. The Mexican crisis of December 1994 and the East
and Southeast Asian crises of 1997 and 1998 are proof of this.
38. The growing instability of the global financial system is
heightened by the ease with which market players can acquire
debt paper and currencies and dispose of them when they feel the
need. The 199 7 financial crisis in Southeast Asia subjected the
four 'dragon' economies (Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines and
Indonesia) to attacks from market players that speculated
against their currencies, creating a domino effect that subse
quently hit Hong Kong, South Korea and Brazil. This is further
proof of the systemic instability of the current order. As during
the 1994 Mexican crisis, IMF intervention was required to limit
the damage. But the IMF is not Santa Claus. It provides loans -
with a risk premium on its interest rates - that increase the
burden of foreign debt in the targeted countries. The IMF clearly
comes out on top in such operations.
3 9. There has been an overall increase of financial flows into a few
Third World countries since the beginning of the 1990s. Into
China, whose foreign debt rose by 12 3.2 per cent between 1990
and 1995. Into the four 'dragons' of S outheast Asia, whose debt
rose by 80 per cent between 1990 and 1995. Into the four
'tigers' (South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore),
whose debt rose by 114.6 per cent between 1990 and 1995.
Finally, into Mexico and Brazil. In all these countries, a new debt
cycle has begun, whose features have already been described.
Until the summer of 1997, the four 'dragons' and South Korea
had no problems meeting their foreign debt obligations. The
crisis that hit during the second half of the year plunged them
into an entirely new situation. Debt servicing has become very
onerous, indeed almost unbearable. China might experience
similar difficulties in the near future (Chapters 5, 14 and 16).
40. There has also been a change in the form of debt in the highly
indebted poorest countries (HIPCs). Private banks are no longer
interested in such countries. The main lenders are governments
of the North (bilateral debt) and international financial institu
tions (the IMF, the World Bank and its regional associates: the
African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank and
the Inter-American Bank for Development). Most debt payments
12/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
14
GLOBALISATION AND THE NEO-LIBERAL OFFENSIVE/15
Since the beginning of the crisis in the 19 70s, the world has
experienced a series of major changes that have progressively
eroded living conditions for a majority of the planet's inhabitants.
Mass unemployment has settled in for the long haul, the unequal
distribution of wealth has intensified and working-class wages have
fallen sharply.
MASS UNEMPLOYMENT
The Industrialised Capitalist Countries
Looking only at those countries that already belonged to the
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD; see
glossary) in 1993, in 1996 there were officially 3 7 million
unemployed. This is three times the figure in the early 1970s, in a
population with a near-zero growth rate. The average unemploy
ment rate in these countries has more than doubled, from 3.2 per
cent in 1960-73 to 7.3 per cent in 1980-94.
The number of unemployed in these countries rose by 10 million
between 1990 and 1994. In fact, the 3 7 million figure actually
underestimates the true situation because it does not account for a
number of different categories of the unemployed. The number of
unemployed in 1998 in OECD countries (taking into account only
those countries that belonged to the OECD in 1993) is actually
somewhere between 60 and 70 million.
The deregulation of the labour market is merely a mechanism for
shifting from 'declared' to 'disguised' forms of unemployment
through the creation of poorly paid and unproductive jobs. In 198 7,
according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development (UNCTAD; see glossary), more than 6 million people
working in the service sector in the USA and more than 700,000 in
the United Kingdom belonged to this 'disguised' category of unem
ployment. While US and Japanese officials boast about their
successful fight against unemployment, the facts tell a different story.
UNCTAD estimates that in 1987 - the most recent year for which
reliable figures for comparison are available - the real unemploy
ment rate was 11.5 per cent in the US, more than 13.3 per cent in
Japan and more than 13.2 per cent in the UK (UNCTAD ,1995).
According to the 19 March 1993 Wall Street Journal, the economic
restructuring currently underway 'could lead to the elimination of
16/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
some 2 5 million ] obs in the United States, that is between one and two
million jobs per year for the next 15 to 20 years'. The same issue goes
on to quote the head of a consulting firm: 'We know how to explain
job loss but are unable to see where jobs will be created.'
With the increase in the price of staples and basic services in Third
World countries, S3 or even S4 per day are not enough to find even
adequate food and shelter - never mind for education, health care
and culture. By setting the threshold of absolute poverty at SI per
day, the World Bank has consciously chosen to underestimate the
number of absolute poor. The World Bank argues that poverty is a
marginal phenomenon in the Third World, while in fact the ma] ority
of the population in most Third World countries live below the
threshold of absolute poverty. In Brazil - whose population exceeds
160 million - the prices of basic necessities in 19 9 7 were the same as
in France and Belgium, even though the legal minimum wage was
about SI00 per month. The World Bank estimates that 35 million
Brazilians, or a little more than 20 per cent of the population, live
below the absolute poverty threshold. In point of fact, according to
our calculations, the actual figure is 60 per cent of Brazilians, three
times higher than World Bank estimates. Treating poverty as a
marginal phenomenon is part of an attempt to deny the ruinous
failure of IMF and World Bank-imposed structural adjustment
policies. The egalitarian redistribution of wealth is an inescapable
measure for achieving genuine development. Falsifying statistics on
poverty is one way to deny the urgent need for measures going in
such a direction.
Eastern Europe
With the restoration of capitalism in the countries of the former
Eastern Bloc, the average rate of absolute poverty in the region -
based on a daily wage of S4 (p. 2 ) - h a s risen from 4 per cent in 1988
22/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
paid to men. Some industrialised countries have even fallen way back
in the human development classification. Canada, for example,
dropped from first to ninth place; Luxembourg fell 12 places; Holland
16; Spain 26 (UNDP, 1995). Predominantly female professions are
undervalued (healthcare, teaching). As far as the social safety net is
concerned (unemployment insurance, for example), women were
the first to be excluded by austerity packages as 'live-ins' and long-
term unemployed. They are herded into jobs where wages are much
lower, such as in free market zones. In Mexico's maquiladoras, for
example, women's wages have plunged from 80 per cent to only 5 7
per cent of those of male workers. The fact that women work for a
pittance in such zones and in the informal sector is glorified by free
marketeers, starry-eyed over the absence of 'paralysing' state
regulations.
Official studies in the Chinese countryside carried out in 19 8 8 and
1989 reveal that women earn 20 per cent less than men. Private
firms in the cities pay women on average 5 6 per cent of a man's wage.
Women's right to work is impeded by a multitude of government
measures. Women, of course, have the 'option' of part-time work,
which could be anything from half-time down to a 'zero-hour'
contract in which the worker is at the employer's beck and call to
work from zero up to any number of hours. And this, in spite of the
fact that every opinion poll has shown that a majority of women
workers would like to work full-time. Cutbacks in funding for services
such as nurseries and daycare centres, and the privatisation of other
services like retirement homes dramatically increase the number of
obstacles for women that want to work full-time. 'Equality at work'
has been applied negatively to bring back night-shifts for women.
This is unacceptable as a point of principle and extremely difficult for
women in any case given their family responsibilities.
In the Third World, the World Bank - with the help of a number of
NGOs - finances a host of women's organisations and cooperatives.
It has decided all of a sudden that women are the key to development.
Although the World Bank is clearly trying to boost its public image,
it is only laying the groundwork for future misfortune. Take the
example of women-run tomato cooperatives in Senegal. They worked
very well until the day an Italian multinational decided to take over
the Senegalese market, crushing the defenceless cooperatives with
their competition and lower prices. The NGO concerned packed up
26/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
shop once 'its' project was 'complete', leaving the locals to deal with
the nagging question of the unpaid World Bank loan.
Another effect of the patriarchal system is that poverty goes hand-
in-hand with violence. Before birth, female foetuses are aborted;
during childhood, there is sexual abuse; domestic violence after
marriage. An estimated 4 million women are victims of domestic
violence in Germany. In Canada, New Zealand and the United
Kingdom, studies show that one women in six is raped during her
lifetime. In 19 9 7 in Spain, more than 60 women were killed by their
partners. Suicide among women is higher than among men. Violence
against women erupts in times of broader conflict; of this, events in
the former Yugoslavia and in Algeria provide ample evidence.
Violence is an integral part of women's lives.
'While women account for half of the electorate, only 13 per cent
of seats in parliament are occupied by women; and only seven per
cent of government posts' (UNDP, 1997).
This handful of statistics, though far from exhaustive, demon
strates more than ever the need for a specific struggle by women for
their emancipation. Let no one reduce this to a matter of 'biology'.
Rather, it is a matter of wide-ranging choices a society must make to
ensure development, the only way to create genuine personal choice
in a series of key areas. Women in the North have better lives than
their sisters in the South thanks to the underlying fabric of social
gains from previous decades. Women must take on the ideological,
political and economic system that erodes these gains or prevents
them from being adopted.
itability have been restored, but this growth will remain fragile for a
long time to come; and there is mass unemployment (Husson, 1996).
The weakness of effective demand - due to the reduction of both the
buying power of the majority of the world's population and of
government social spending - is one of the main reasons for the world
economy's persistently sluggish rate of growth (Toussaint, 1995b).
2
The Concentration of
Capital
31
32/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Acquisition
by value (S billions) 5 12 20 31 34 65 60 55 17
bynumber 229 315 390 555 543 869 837 839 501
Creation
by value (S billions) 3 3 3 8 6 8 9 n/a n/a
bynumber 476 449 363 485 435 555 456 n/a n/a
Banking, retail sales, tourism and mass media are further examples
of corporate concentration in the framework of globalisation.
In 1995, five advanced capitalist countries (US, Japan, France,
Germany and the UK) controlled 168 of the 200 biggest multina
tional corporations (Clairmont, 199 7). These 168 account for 85.9
per cent of the overall turnover of the 200 biggest corporations.
The Third World is virtually absent from such rankings. Only
China, Brazil, Venezuela and Mexico make a modest appearance,
with one multinational each. These four multinationals account for
only 1 per cent of the overall turnover of the 200 biggest corpora
tions. South Korea has indeed entered the select club of the major
industrial powers. However, its six multinationals account for only
2.3 per cent of the 200 biggest corporations' total turnover. It will be
interesting to see what happens to South Korea's multinationals
following the crisis that began in 1997. The main multinationals of
the industrialised countries are in favour of dismantling a number of
South Korean industrial houses organised into chaebols. It is
therefore not excluded that a number of South Korean multination
als will be cut back and lose their place in the Top 200 hit parade.
THE'GLOBAL VILLAGE'
The term 'globalisation' is sometimes linked to the idea of a 'global
village'. This gives globalisation a very user-friendly image.
Accelerated concentration in the mass media sector has given a
boost to this image makeover. Images we see on the television news
are in fact rebroadcast by television networks the world over. A huge
THE CONCENTRATION OF CAPITAL/33
Third World countries have been cast further onto the margins by the
rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) (see Figure 3.1).
Figure 3.1 clearly shows how sharply the flow of investment into
Third World countries has fallen in proportional terms. The fall is
1967 69.4 5
36
GLOBALISATION AND EXCLUSION/37
IC US WE JA OT TW World
Source: De Laubier, 1993, based on IMF figures and national sources; from
Adda, 1996.
Total
Sub-Saharan Africa 5.1 4.3 6
North Africa 4.1 3.4 5
Middle East 2.1 3.4 3
South Asia 1.2 1.5 2
East Asia 21.2 45.6 43
Latin America 20.9 34.6 36
Eastern Europe 0.3 7.5 5
Total developing world 54.9 100.3 100
INTRA-TRIAD INVESTMENT
US multinationals have been behind a number of mergers and
takeovers - in Western Europe, above all, but also in Japan. They
would have liked to go further in Japan, but there are strict limits on
foreign acquisitions of Japanese companies. The multinationals of
the different EU countries have been involved in a great many
takeovers and fusions within what is now the Single Market, on the
one hand, and in North America, on the other. They have had even
less success than the Americans in acquiring Japanese companies.
Since 1989-90, German multinationals have bought up a number
of companies in the former Soviet Bloc, especially in countries with
whom Germany shares a border. Japanese multinationals have
invested in North America, Europe and their zone of influence in
Asia. Japanese companies have thus outstripped their competitors by
penetrating key markets while protecting their own with
government backing. US multinationals have topped the Europeans
GLOBALISATION AND EXCLUSION/39
1980 1990
% %
Source: Data from Dgur Muldur, Les formes et les indicateurs de la globali
sation, FAST, Commission des Communautes Europeennes, Brussels, 1993
(Petrella, 1995, p. 135).
with the prescriptions of the IMF and World Bank (Coutrot and
Husson, 1993;Ugarteche, 1997).
Hong Kong and Singapore are special cases. These two cities are
financial centres above all. Hong Kong has been returned to China,
its economic future is closely intertwined with the mainland's.
According to the World Bank, in 1990 South Korea, Taiwan, Hong
Kong and Singapore accounted for 61 per cent of Third World manu
facturing exports.
There are other Third World countries that seemed to be making
something of a leap forward, such as Mexico, Thailand, Malaysia,
Indonesia and the Philippines. The IMF and World Bank pointed to
these countries as examples - that is, until they were sent reeling by
a major crisis, in 1994 in the case of Mexico and in 1997-98 for the
others. These countries are in a very vulnerable position, due to a
combination of high external debt, a structural trade deficit and the
volatility of financial inflows and outflows since the beginning of the
1990s.
Table 3.4 The share in global exports of the three main blocs of
developing countries between 1950 and 1990
Another source, the 1992 GATT report, provides figures that differ
from those in Table 3.4. The report says that industrialised countries
held a 7 2.4 per cent share of the global trade in commodities in 19 9 0
(see Table 3.3) as compared with the 22.9 per cent share of
developing countries. Eastern Europe had a 4.7 per cent share.
Trade between industrialised countries accounted for 55 per cent
of total global trade in commodities.
Trade between industrialised countries accounted for 76 per cent
of their total share in world trade.
In other words, not only do industrialised capitalist countries
dominate world trade (72.4 per cent); trade between them (76 per
cent of their total trade bill) is considerably greater than trade with
the rest of the world.
Furthermore, trade between developing countries accounts for
only 32.5 per cent of their total foreign trade (including between one
another). This shows how far developing countries' trade is
dominated by trade with the industrialised world (67.5 per cent).
Developing countries are thus at polar opposites from their industri
alised capitalist counterparts.
South-South trade (32.5 per cent) is much less important for the
South than North-North trade (76 per cent) is for the North.
exerting pressure for steps towards a new global economic order. Yet
UNCTAD itself made an about-face at the beginning of the 1990s.
UNCTAD put itself at the disposal of MNCs and promoted the policy
of 'export-oriented development'. It began sending out reports to
Third World governments which explained how to go about
attracting investment and competing with one another. To all intents
and purposes, the 1993 UNCTAD report declared, 'Multinationals
are the only salvation!' (Decornoy, 1993). More recently, UNCTAD
has made some gestures inspired by its original objectives; its 1995
report calls for a one-off property tax, and a tax on international
financial transactions of the kind advanced by James Tobin (see
Chapter 17). In the latest twist, however, the 199 7 UNCTAD report
takes a hard neo-liberal line. The institution's general secretary,
Rubens Ricupero, declares, 'Governments must encourage liberal
trade and investment policies and a culture of competition, in order
to maximise their economy's potential' (UNCTAD, press
communique, 21 September 1997). This is a definite step backwards
compared to 19 9 5. The report is also excessively optimistic about the
prospects for FDI in Third World countries and its supposed potential
for lifting them out of dependence. When the 1997 report came off
the presses, FDI in China and the Southeast Asian 'dragons' had
already dropped significantly.
Transaction Costs and the Theory of the Multinational Enterprise) lists the
various problems MNCs can solve by placing themselves outside the
ambit of the market. Casson explains that the market does not allow
for contact between seller and buyer; that it means ignorance of one
another's needs; there is no agreement on price, no confidence that
the ordered goods conform to the buyer's specific needs; there are
trade tariffs, taxes on profits made in the transaction, price controls;
there is no confidence that goods will be returned in case of non
payment, and the list goes on (from Chesnais, 1994).
Does our dear Mr Casson realise that he has in fact formulated a
rather trenchant overall critique of the free market system per se?
4
Financial Globalisation
47
48/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
our sale prices in step with the competition. That is as it should be.
But this will push up inflation. And increased inflation means a
symmetrical decrease in the yield of our financial investments in
the country.'
surged 11.7 per cent upwards on the Paris stock market. This is
striking proof of the contradictory development of capital as a whole.
Company accounts determine profit by adding up revenues earned
on various types of capital. Profit is the measure of how far a company
is able to optimise its total capital holdings over a given period of time.
However, as far as the overall reproduction of capital is concerned,
things are not so simple. Indeed, financial revenues from various
types of money-capital investments are nothing more than the cream
skimmed off the surplus value (see glossary) that is created in the
productive sector of the economy (Serfati, in Chesnais, 1996;
Husson, 1996, 1997).
Loans provided by bankers and money taken in through stock and
bond issues can clearly be seen as complements to accumulation.
They allow the productive capital cycle to unfold unfettered by
serious financial constraints. But they are also pregnant with a
number of different conflicts over the sharing out of surplus value
created in the productive process. The main quarrel is over how
much of this surplus value will, on the one hand, be kept as profit by
the company and reinvested, and how much, on the other, will go
towards servicing debts (interest) and paying out dividends on
securities.
But the IMF has itself pushed for the generalised deregulation of
capital flows, in particular through the elimination of exchange
controls.
For his part, the head of the investment strategy division of Banque
Bruxelles Lambert, Roland Leuschel, declared, 'We are a bit like an
airline pilot who knows she is going to crash but whose computer
controls no longer respond. The computer follows its own rules, that's
what the market is like' (Le Monde, 5 April 1995).
We are now beginning to feel the effects of financial deregulation.
This deregulation was systematically pursued by the governments of
the main industrial powers, the international financial institutions -
the IMF, World Bank, Bank for International Settlements - whose
policies these governments by and large dictate (which doesn't mean
the international institutions don't have some degree of autonomy),
and the MNCs.
Currency markets are the segment of the financial markets that
have registered the strongest growth. During the 1980s, the volume
of transactions increased ten-fold. Yet the main function of currency
trading is supposed to be that of providing currency to settle foreign
trade contracts. However, the total value of actual trade transac
tions was not even 10 per cent of the value of foreign currencies
traded on exchange markets. According to the latest study by the
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), more than SI,400 billion
change hands every day on currency markets (Chesnais, 1996).
While there is no disagreement over the amounts traded each day,
there are differences as to how much of this corresponds to
speculative transactions. Basing himself on BIS studies, F. Chesnais
(Chesnais, 1996) says that somewhere between 5 and 8 per cent
correspond to transactions linked to the 'real' international
economy. For his part, J. Adda (Adda, 1996)says, '95 percent of the
value of transactions carried out on exchange markets correspond to
financial operations with no connection to trade in goods and
services'. Also basing himself on BIS figures, D. Plihon (Plihon, 1996)
says, 'transactions on exchange markets of a purely financial nature
account for 50 times more total volume than those linked to global
trade in goods and services'. This would mean that less than 2 per
cent of the value of all transactions is linked to actual international
trade in goods and services!
FINANCIAL GLOBALISATION/53
Table 4.1 Daily value of financial transactions and the total annual
value of global exports (Sbn)
Source: table assembledby Robert Went (199 6, p. 13), based on figures from
Piot (1995, pp. 38-9).
Table 4.2 Finance expanding more quickly than GDP: Trade and
foreign direct investment in OECD countries (1988 compared to
1980)
In a few centuries, the history books might say that in the 1980s
and 1990s a fetishist cult prospered. The dramatic rise of this cult
will perhaps be associated with two heads of state, Margaret
56/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. It will be noted that, from the start,
this cult had the backing of governments and powerful private
financial interests. Indeed, for this cult to gain ground within the
population, public and private media found it necessary to pay
homage to it day in and day out.
The gods of this religion were the financial markets. Its temples
were known as Stock Exchanges. Only the high priests and their
acolytes could enter these temples. The faithful were called upon
to commune with their market-god on television, in the daily
papers, on the radio and at the bank.
Thanks to television and radio, even in the most remote parts of
the planet, hundreds of millions of people whose right to meet their
basic needs was denied, were also beseeched to celebrate the
market-god. In the North, in the papers read by a majority of
workers, housewives and unemployed, an 'investment' section
was published every day, even though the overwhelming ma] ority
of readers did not own a single share.
Journalists were paid to help the faithful understand signals sent
by the gods.
To heighten the power of the gods in the eyes of the faithful,
commentators periodically declared that the gods had sent signals
to governments to express their satisfaction or discontent.
The places where the gods were most likely to forcefully express
their moods were Wall Street in New York, the City in London, and
at the Paris, Frankfurt and Tokyo stock exchanges. To gauge their
moods, special indicators were devised: the Dow Jones in New
York, the Nikkei in Tokyo, the CAC40 in France and the Bel20 in
Belgium.
To appease the gods, governments sacrificed the Welfare State
to the stock markets. They also privatised public property.
Why were ordinary market operators given a religious aura?
They were neither unknown nor ethereal. They had names,
addresses. They were the people in charge of the 200 biggest
multinationals that controlled the world with the help of the G 7
and institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and the World
Trade Organisation. Governments were no strangers to this
situation; from Reagan and Thatcher onwards, they relinquished
the means they had of controlling financial markets.
As a result, money could cross borders with not a single cent in
taxes being levied. More than SI,400 billion raced around the
FINANCIAL GLOBALISATION/57
planet every day. Less than 10 per cent of this amount was linked
to actual trade in goods and services. More than 90 per cent
concerned purely speculative currency trades and money
laundering (for drugs, for example).
Newspapers reported on a regular basis that Wall Street had
reacted favourably to the increase in unemployment and slow
downs in economic growth. It is difficult to underestimate how
much this period in history contributed to the spread of a kind of
ideology of death.
the past year should have put an end to them' (p. 225). Rather than
seeking to 'regulate these markets', there Is a need to 'maximise the
disciplinary power' wielded by the markets. The BIS feels there is no
need for governments and the population to know what is going on
in the markets in order to control them; rather, it proposes the exact
opposite:
they control went in the same direction. They roundly denounced the
head of the Malaysian government for criticising big investors on the
financial markets. Simultaneously, they called for neo-liberal
measures to buoy up these very same big financial players.
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500 --
1000
500
o -H4="H>H>'I
Pension Mutual Insurance
o Banks
J =
c iH
Foundations
Funds Funds
* End of third q u a r t e r .
Many people feel that markets are the best way to share out
resources and create a balanced situation. I believe the opposite is
true. I do not believe in market perfection. Measures have to be
taken to stabilise the market, otherwise there will be dangerous
developments, especially since imbalances are cumulative. I feel
markets aren't sufficiently monitored and that there should be
tighter regulations. Broadly speaking, market mechanisms have
come to play too great a role in our societies. I am not a fan of
laissez-faire. (Le Monde, 2 November 1996)
Such declarations did not hold Soros back from playing - according
to the Malaysian prime minister - a vanguard role in attacks on
various Southeast Asian currencies, the Thai bhat and Malaysian
ringgit in particular. According to the Mexican daily El Financiero (2 8
July 1997), on 26 July 1997 Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir
Mohammed openly accused Soros of secretly organising speculative
attacks which, from July onwards, led to a depreciation in the value
of Southeast Asian currencies. Soros denied any such involvement.
El Financiero relates other declarations from Mahathir:
A few days later, Soros was the new South Korean president's guest
of honour. He said that, after withdrawing his South Korean
Investments In 1997 (which helped provoke the crisis), he was
planning new Investments In the country. This Is the way he
cynically applies the rule of 'maximum profit-minimum risk'. In
response to a journalist's question over who had been right - the
welcoming South Korean president or the angry Malaysian prime
minister - he replied In an equally cynical manner, 'One or the other
Is clearly mistaken' (International Herald Tribune, 3 January 1998).
To be sure, Soros and his Quantum Fund are not omnipotent. But
they often play a key role In times of crisis by spearheading
speculative attacks. At times, Soros blazes a trail for the really big
players - the pension funds, mutual funds, Insurance houses and
other Institutional Investors.
5
During the 1980s and the first half of the 1990s, there was a meteoric
increase in debt the world over. The share of Third World (and ex-
Soviet Bloc) debt in this overall debt has dropped. In 19 9 5, total Third
World external debt was SI,940 billion (OECD, 1996), while the US
public debt alone was S4.900 billion. According to the OECD, US
public debt accounts for 3 9 per cent of total OECD member country
public debt. The total public debt of European Union (EU) member
countries is more than S4.200 billion.
What has not declined, however, are the sacrifices imposed on the
majority of citizens in all countries in order to service these debts.
The phenomenon of globalisation described thus far and the debt
problem are inextricably linked. The process of globalisation began
in earnest in 1980 with the first wave of deregulation; the debt crisis
broke out around the same time, or perhaps even in October 1979
with the about-turn in US Federal Reserve policy under Volker (see
Chapter 7). The two developments were tightly intertwined. Post-
1982 debt-crisis management was very much part of globalisation;
it was an integral part of the realignment in the relationship of forces
between countries of the North and South. The countries of the South
entered a phase of heightened dependence.
Debt securitisation (see glossary) is another key element of the link
between the way in which the Third World debt crisis has unfolded
and other globalisation-related phenomena.
This securitisation concerns a significant part of OECD country
public debt along with both the external and internal debt of Third
65
66/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
World countries - at least for those that still have not been excluded
from International financial markets. Securitisation is a key feature
of globalisation.
WHAT IS SECURITISATION?
The term is used to describe the new place of privilege occupied by
security issues in market activity. Security issues are traditional inter
national bonds issued by a foreign borrower on the financial markets
and in the currency of a given lender country. Or they may be Euro
bonds denominated in a currency other than the market for which
they are issued. Or they may be international stocks. In addition,
former bank debt has been converted into tradable securities - thus
freeing banks from their responsibilities to developing countries in the
wake of the debt crisis.
The sharing out of risk is the main feature of this securitisation
trend. In numerical terms, above all, since the risk of loan default is
not borne solely by a small number of multinational banks closely
linked to one another. In qualitative terms, too, since each element
of risk linked to a given issue can itself be the object of another
financial instrument that can also be traded on the markets.
Negotiable futures contracts exist, for example, to hedge against
currency and interest rate fluctuation; there are also options, which
are negotiable on the market; the list of such products goes on and on
(Adda, 1996).
The growth in securitisation is clearly illustrated by Table 5.1.
There was a strong increase in financial assets between 1980 and
1992. The total was multiplied by 3.5, from S10,706 billion to
S35.483 billion. As shown in Table 5.1, international and
government bonds posted the strongest growth, even if in absolute
terms currency and stocks remain on top.
The big financial players invest a growing share of their holdings
in the government bonds of the major industrialised countries and of
those Third World countries that have achieved a certain level of
industrial development. These Third World countries, in fact, have
the highest external debts in absolute terms.
Here are the 19960ECD figures for the most indebted Third World
countries in absolute terms: Mexico, S134.4 billion in 1995; China,
S125.3 billion; Thailand, $116.3 billion; South Korea, $113.5
GLOBALISATION AND THE GROWING DEBT BURDEN/67
* Expressed in 19 9 2 dollars.
** RG = average annual real rate of growth in %.
Source: McKinsey, 1994, inChesnais, 1996, p. 25.
Rest of the
Third World
51%
Thailand
6%
China
6%
(quoted in Macias Cardone, 199 7, p. 8). But since I do not have this
kind of independent research for all the countries in question, I have
used OECD figures. Suffice it to say that they should be handled with
some caution, especially in the case of East and Southeast Asia,
whose countries' debt has increased significantly since the second
half of 1997. For example, in early January 1998, South Korea's
external debt was calculated to be somewhere in the vicinity of S160
and 200 billion.
Of the nine countries in Table 5.2, seven have more than 50 per
cent of their debt held by the financial markets.
A growing number of Third World countries issue debt paper, in
the main financial markets of the highly industrialised countries, in
their own domestic securities exchanges, and even through private
and public banks present on their soil. Most of these issues involve
debt instruments that have the advantage of being extremely liquid;
the purchaser can offload them when necessary at a moment's notice
to a host of players on the secondary markets.
6
70
THE DEBT CRISIS IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE/71
into all the factors that enabled Japan's shift from feudalism to
capitalism (see Anderson, 1976).
economies of the centre. One key reason for this growth was the
decision by 14 Latin American countries to suspend debt
payments;
between the long wave of slow growth from 19 73-74 onwards
and the current Latin American (and Third World) debt crisis.
components of the Brady method. The method has won over the
IMF and World Bank, who have since applied it the world over.
Indebted countries pay back debts by selling off entire sections of
their industrial apparatus, communication firms (telecommuni
cations, airlines, ports, and so on) and banking system.
Apparently never one to be lacking in chutzpah, Brady threw in
a further twist in the case of Mexican debt. The Mexican authorities
were forced to buy US Treasury bonds as a guarantee for new loans
from private banks in the North and from the IMF and World Bank.
In other words, among other methods for financing its gargantuan
debt, the US obliges Mexicans to loan it money through the
purchase of US Treasury bonds. Thanks to this loan to the United
States, the Mexicans are authorised to borrow on international
markets to finance debt repayment! Through it all, the Mexican
debt has risen from S95 billion in 1982 to nearly SI30 billion in
1994 and more than SI 70 billion in 1997.
Meanwhile, members of the Mexican ruling elite have not failed
to cash in on all the myriad financial transactions and privatisa
tion sell-offs. Indeed, by 1996, 24 Mexican families had joined the
ranks of the world's 100 wealthiest families, breaking all records
of speed - and greed. These 24 families own the means of
production responsible for creating 14 per cent of the country's
GDP. At the same time, some 3 5 million Mexicans live on less than
SI per day. Not for them, retirement to a dream home on the
Cayman Islands!
The 1997 UNDP annual report reveals that the richest Mexican
owns more wealth than the total annual wages of the poorest 17
million Mexicans taken together.
What was the origin of the crisis that began in August 1982?
Why did the North's private banks, the IMF, World Bank and the
governments of the most industrialised countries encourage the
countries of the South to take on so much debt?
Were they aware of the impending dangers?
How did the private banks deal with the crisis?
How did the IMF and World Bank grow stronger even though the
crisis could well have weakened them?
Why did the South's governments and companies take on so much
debt? Was there a valid reason or were they simply corrupt and
thirsting recklessly for short-term profit and personal enrichment?
Is the South really paying back its debts?
In the 1930s, 14 Latin American countries - including the most
powerful ones - unilaterally suspended foreign debt payments. Why
have the countries of the Third World not followed their example this
time?
Why have most, if not all, governments of the South agreed to pay
off debts for which they are very often not responsible? Do they have
a vested interest in doing so, or rather is there no other choice?
What does interest (rent) payment on borrowed money represent?
Is it merely another way in which wealth is transferred from the
South to the North? Or rather, are things more complex? Is it a
transfer of the surplus produced by workers and small producers in
the South to the holders of capital in the North and South, with the
South's governments picking up a commission in the process?
80
THE THIRD WORLD DEBT CRISIS IN THE 1980s AND 1990s/81
RECYCLED PETRODOLLARS
Many analysts and opinion-makers in the North have incorrectly
blamed the surge in Third World debt on the 1973 increase in the
price of oil, decided by the OPEC cartel of oil-producing countries from
the South. They have got their facts wrong. As we have just shown,
debt had increased significantly well beforehand. Two factors linked
to the oil shock did, however, accelerate indebtedness. First, most of
the revenues obtained by oil-producing countries were transferred by
the South's governments into the North's financial system. This
further heightened the excess liquidity of the North's banks. As a
result, these banks sought to loan money to the South even more
aggressively than they had done in the late 1960s and early 1970s.
Second, non-oil-producing countries of the South were hit by the
increase in their oil bill, creating a deficit in their trade balance. To
finance this deficit, they were forced to borrow in the North's
financial markets (Montes, 1996; Norel and Saint-Alary, 1988).
It is one thing to identify these two factors, quite another to blame
OPEC countries for the Third World debt crisis.
It should come as no surprise, however, that a number of analysts
have indeed blamed OPEC countries. It is an easy way to let decision
makers in the North off the hook. Beyond this, it is also a way to
blame OPEC for the 1974-75 world economic crisis.
At the time, Ernest Mandel warned against such an explanation for
the crisis (see in particular his article 'La hausse du prix du petrole n'a
pas provoque la 20eme crise de surproduction depuis la formation du
marche mondial du capitalisme industriel', Inprecor, 16 January
1975; Mandel, 1982; see also Norel and Saint-Alary, 1988). A reg-
ulationist economist such as Michel Aglietta has provided a similar
explanation (Aglietta et al., 1990).
Further on, we examine Argentinian debt under the 197 6-8 2 dic
tatorship. It is clear that there was systematic complicity between
the banks of the North, the IMF, US officials and the Argentinian dic
tatorship to steep the country in debts while enriching Argentinian
officials and the North's financial institutions.
A considerable share of money loaned by the North (almost 80 per
cent according to Vilas, 1993, and other writers) never reached the
target countries - let alone the people of these countries.
It is also possible to get an idea of the huge share of money loaned
to the South that made its way into Northern bank accounts, by
looking at Table 8.1 ('Gross and net debt - end of 19 9 5'). In the case
of Latin America, the table shows that the equivalent of two-thirds of
total debt has been deposited by Latin Americans into Northern bank
accounts. Without a doubt, a significant share of this money comes
from the funds loaned to Latin American countries and subsequently
embezzled by government officials and businesspeople from these
countries.
One also has to take into account the loan money used for projects
aimed at increasing the prestige of dictatorial and non-dictatorial
regimes. In Cote d'lvoire, for example, Houphouet-Boigny built a
replica of St Peter's Basilica in the village where he was born. Mobutu
had the Gbadolite Palace built in his home village. These examples
are just the tip of the iceberg.
Finally, account should be taken of the environmental and human
damage caused by the building of energy mega-projects and com
munications infrastructure. We should also keep in mind that most
of the spending on these projects went towards importing equipment
from the North and paying the salaries of experts from the North.
Very little money actually made it to the South. To top it all off, many
of these projects were never completed or work very much under
capacity since they were not drawn up in accordance with the real
needs of the countries in question.
Corruption also made headway within private business, where
individuals from both the North and the South filled their pockets. A
revealing example is that of Elf Aquitaine in Congo-Brazzaville. In
1997, the former Congolese president, Patrice Lissouba, opened up a
can of worms when he lodged a complaint against the Elf group for
involvement in a coup d'etat. This was the way Elf had chosen to
'punish' Lissouba for considering the idea of selling a series of oil wells
to an American oil company. Lissouba's complaint says: 'It would not
THE THIRD WORLD DEBT CRISIS IN THE 1980s AND 1990s/87
respectively, the biggest financial power and the country with the
biggest international currency market. Interest rates were sharply
increased. The primary objective of the 'second October revolution',
as some commentators called it, was to stamp out inflation in the US.
The result was an increase in interest rates on short-term loans to
unprecedented levels.
This policy was promoted worldwide from 1980 onwards by the
Reagan administration and Thatcher government. Neo-liberal
policies were progressively imposed the world over, leading to a
fundamental overhaul in the way national economies were financed
internally and externally. This change in financial policy had a major
impact on the most vulnerable countries (in the form of the Third
World debt crisis), and on employment, salaries, social spending and
the public debt in the developed capitalist countries.
Table 7.1 Nominal Interest rates, real Interest rates and Inflation
Prime Rate
Year Nominal Real US inflation
0/ 0/ 0/
/o /o /o
(It should also be noted that real interest rates were higher
throughout the 1980s and 1990s than in the 1970s. This means
that new loans granted in the 1980s and 1990s to finance servicing
of 19 70s debts usually had higher real interest rates than those of the
loans they were meant to service.)
THE THIRD WORLD DEBT CRISIS IN THE 1980s AND 1990s/91
in the case of Latin America, the real interest rate went from an
average of-3.4 per cent [a negative rate favourable to debtors]
between 1970 and 1980 to +19.9 per cent in 1981, +27.5 per
cent in 1982 and +17.4 per cent in 1983. (Edwards, 199 7)
One idea is deeply embedded in the public psyche: the North helps the
South. Still, former French president Frangois Mitterrand declared at
the July 1994 G7 meeting in Naples:
Debt Repayment
Here are the UN's official figures: total developing country foreign
debtin 1980, S567 billion; in 1986, SI,086 billion; in 1992, S1.419
93
94/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
billion (Khor, 1994). By the end of 1995, the figure was SI,940
billion (SI.9 trillion).
According to the UN, between 1980 and 1992 interest payments
totalled S771.3 billion, to which should be added S890.9 billion in
repayment of principal. In other words, during these twelve years
Third World countries made SI,662.2 billion (SI.7 trillion) in debt
payments. During this period, they paid three times more than their
1980 debt - only to find themselves three times more in debt. The
external debt has become an eternal debt, with new loans serving
only to pay off old ones.
How is it that principal repayment could possibly be greater than
the amount originally owing in 1980? We come to the heart of the
transfer mechanism set up by the North's bankers, with the help of
the Paris Club and the IMF-World Bank duo. The IMF and the World
Bank actually take in more money than they give out in loans, and
have done so since 1986.
Year in, year out, debt servicing soaks up between SI60 and 200
billion (of which S 70 billion in principal repayment) go to private
banks, other institutional investors, the IMF, the World Bank and
the most industrialised countries. This is more than 3.5 times the
money disbursed in official development assistance (ODA - see end of
chapter). In 1994, Third World debt servicing totalled S200 billion
and has actually increased since.
Debt repayment works like a vacuum which sucks away a portion
of the social surplus produced by the South's working men and
women (be they waged workers, individual or families of small
producers, or service sector workers in the informal sector). It sends
off these vast sums to holders of capital in the North and to dominant
sectors in the South. The South's dominant classes grow rich off the
sums transiting through and out of their countries, while the
national economies they head stagnate or decline and the local
populations become impoverished.
ends of the planet, had to double the yield on their debt issues in order
to remain attractive to foreign investors.
What influences changes in risk premiums? The level of investor
confidence in a borrower country's ability to pay off its debts.
Obviously, the economic crisis in Southeast Asia has reduced investor
confidence. Yet it was the very same investors who unleashed the
crisis by withdrawing their capital from the countries of the region.
These same lenders (including the IMF and the World Bank) are now
demanding a higher rate of return as a condition for bringing back
some of this capital.
Two American rating agencies, Moody's and Standard and Poor's,
specialise in 'country-risk' estimations. They have significant
influence on risk-premium levels. On 22 December 1997, Moody's
decided to downgrade South Korea by several notches in its 'country-
risk' tables. Until that date, South Korea had been given the same
ranking as reliable industrialised countries. Overnight, it became a
high-risk country on a par with the Philippines. Ever since, South
Korean debt paper has had the same risk rating as junk bonds.
We are seeing a repeat of the 1982 crisis, 16 years later, on the eve
of the new millennium. South Korea and the countries of the Third
World will henceforth pay higher interest rates than the North. The
phenomenon has been exacerbated by the 'flight to quality'. As a
result, since the end of 1997, institutional investors have preferred
debt issues from the most industrialised states over those from the
economies of the Periphery. This has sparked a generalised fall in the
rates offered by the North's governments.
The gap is widening still further between the interest rates paid by
the periphery and those found in the centre.
basket of goods from the South could buy 52 per cent less In 1992
than It could In 1980. In other words, a country In the South must
export twice as much to obtain in exchange the same quantity of
goods from the industrialised world.
OPEC member countries have seen their terms of trade plummet
even further. In 1992, the real price of crude oil was one-third of
what it was in 1981.
For sub-Saharan Africa, from 1986 to 1989 alone (just four years)
the fall in the terms of trade meant S55.9 billion in lost earnings.
Ninety per cent of exports from half the countries of Africa is made up
of raw materials.
Fifteen countries belong to the 'severely indebted middle-income
country' (SIMIC) category: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile,
Colombia, Cote d'lvoire, Ecuador, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, Peru,
the Philippines, Uruguay, Venezuela and Yugoslavia. Between 1981
and 1989, the deterioration in the terms of trade cost them S247.3
billion.
Above and beyond this downward tendency and market sensitivity
to marginal fluctuations, industrialised countries have aggravated
the problem by manufacturing substitutes: synthetic fibres, artificial
sweeteners, and so on.
The most recent substitute, and not a minor one at that, would
allow countries of the North to label as 'chocolate' a product they
make that has virtually no cocoa in it. The European Commission
has authorised European chocolate makers to substitute cocoa butter
(produced in the South) with fat, totalling up to 5 per cent of the
product's net weight. The Commission realises that this would
trigger a fall in cocoa exports to the European Union (EU), leading to
an inexorable fall in the price of cocoa on the world market and
severe poverty for the South's cocoa farmers. But the European lobby
is very powerful. This is a clear example of EU protectionism against
the South.
Even when they export manufactured goods, countries of the
South generally lose out in trade with the North. Between 1980 and
1990, the price of the South's manufactured exports increased in
nominal terms by 12 per cent. During the same period, the G7's
manufactured exports rose 35 per cent in price (UNDP, 1992). In
real terms, the South's manufactured exports dropped in price, the
North's rose.
98/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
reasons. But foreign deposits are so great for Latin America, North
Africa and the Middle East - where they equal two-thirds of total
foreign debt - that it is safe to conclude that they largely correspond
to the fraudulent and personal enrichment of people from
government and business circles. Such people have embezzled a large
share of foreign money loaned to their countries (the Argentinian
example is striking). Some of these deposits also come from organised
crime, the drug trade in particular.
merits), textiles and clothing (51), steel and steel products (39),
electronics (3 7) and footwear (21) (UNDP, 1992).
Moreover, technology markets are also highly protected. Potential
losses could amount to some S20 billion (UNDP, 1992). Beyond the
theft by MNCs of Third World communities' ancestral heritage (see
section on intellectual property rights), the cost of acquiring techno
logical patents has risen sharply. Between 1981 and 1988, trade in
machine goods (and the related technology) between industrialised
countries grew at an annual average of 10.2 per cent. Such trade
grew only at an annual average of 1.5 per cent with developing
countries. As a result, most Third World countries have been left on
the margins of trade in technological innovation. Increased trade
between industrialised countries has boosted their own dynamism
and competitiveness, and prevented the rest of the world from
sharing in the fruits of research (UNDP, 1992).
year), their annual income would total some S220 billion. They
would send between S40 and 50 billion to their countries of origin,
the UNDP calculates that after five years such remittances could
reach a total of at least S200 billion per year (UNDP, 1992).
The UNDP rightly points out that the effects of these losses are
cumulative, given that the cost of opportunities denied in the present
increases with time.
ODA is usually 'tied aid'. This means that funds given or loaned will
be used to buy products or services from the donor country. This has
led some critics to say the bilateral ODA is actually assistance
provided by industrialised countries to their exporters. Such a
critique is backed up by the fact that contracts between companies
from the North and countries of the South are usually guaranteed by
government bodies (as with Ducroire in Belgium) or private concerns
acting on behalf of the government (as with the COFACE in France,
which was privatised in 1994). In the US, the analogous body is the
Eximbank, in Germany it is Hermes, and in Britain it is the ECGD. If
the aid recipient in the South defaults on payment, these bodies step
in to compensate the exporter from the North with public money. In
general, the compensation also goes down in the books as ODA.
ODA has dropped by more than 10 per cent since 1994
(AlternativesEconomiques, March 1997), even though the Northern
heads of state present at the 1992 Rio Summit had promised to
increase annual ODA by S125 billion (Toussaint and Comanne,
19 94, p. 4). That would have meant tripling annual ODA volume. In
fact, according to a 19 9 7 UNICEF report, ODA has sunk to its lowest
level for 45 years (Lajornada, 22 July 1997, Mexico City).
ODA provided by industrialised countries and multilateral institu
tions to the Third World is very low. In 1991, it totalled S4 7.2 billion.
This figure is obtained by calculating the difference between aid that
has been provided - S 5 7.2 billion - and the sums that have been paid
by Third World countries to reimburse previous aid, about S10
billion (World Bank, 1994). ODA is far less than debt servicing
payments made by Third World countries, which come to about 200
billion dollars annually.
account for two-thirds of total sales - with Taiwan, China and South
Korea topping the list of Third World arms importers.
Since 1996, there has been an intense debate in the US and Latin
American press on the arms trade. In 1977, at the time of the Latin
American dictatorships, US President Jimmy Carter placed an
embargo on arms sales to the region. This embargo has now come
under fire, since Latin American countries feel an urgent need to
upgrade their weaponry. The Chilean air force, for example, bought
20 second-hand Mirage jets from Belgium (Jornal do Brasil, 5 April
1997) at a time when the US would like nothing more than to sell
Latin American governments its brand-new F-16 jets. The US Chiefs
of Staff are currently consulting Latin American leaders; in 1997,
President Clinton authorised US military aviation companies to
explore the Chilean market. This is seen as a first step towards lifting
the embargo. One of Chile's neighbours, Argentina, has rightly
expressed concern over the proliferation of arms in the region.
This kind of US pressure is being felt in other parts of the world:
Arab countries, Asian countries and the new NATO members
(Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic) have been barraged with
offers. This US offensive stops at nothing: the Pentagon has even
bought up Mig-29 and Suthoi-27, 30 and 3 7 jets from countries of
the former Socialist Bloc in order, on the one hand, to replace them
with US hardware and, on the other, to study Soviet era military
technology (Le Monde, 18 November 1997). The reasons are quite
straightforward: the US military-industrial complex is preparing to
unleash a new generation of arms. In the interim, the challenge is to
offload its stocks of military hardware from the previous generation.
Many countries are going to receive arms that will be technologi
cally obsolete in two to three years, when the countries in question
will have just begun paying for them. The new generation of arms
will give a strategic advantage to the US if ever there is a military
conflict, since the US will be a generation ahead and have complete
control over its adversary's military technology. The US will provide
their customers with spare parts and technical assistance for
outdated hardware, while progressively equipping itself with the
latest from the new generation.
To summarise: ODA is directly tied to the strategic interests of the
countries of the centre. It is tied in particular to arms sales, with the
arms industry seeking the 'state intervention' that alone can enable
or oblige Third World customers to buy its products.
9
112
THE WORLD BANK AND THE IMF/113
favourable results In the short term, but over time have been
disastrous in a number of ways.
First, they require ever greater purchases of inputs: chemical
fertilisers, pesticides, herbicides, and so forth, since these imposed
varieties of rice are genetically programmed to degenerate after a
generation.
Second, when the costs are added up, the performance of these
varieties is no better than those obtained through traditional
selection and improvement techniques. On the contrary.
Dependence, on the other hand, has grown enormously - on
machinery and fertilisers, all provided by the North's industries.
Finally, the 'Green Revolution' has produced a number of other
harmful effects. It was carried out to the detriment of communal
lands (forests, grazing lands). It has led to a severe impoverishment
of biodiversity, an increase in plant diseases (traditional varieties
were more resistant) and soil exhaustion (intensive crops have
removed certain vital micro-elements). It requires much greater
irrigation than traditional crops (and this, in regions where there are
real risks of drought); the massive use of inputs has salinated huge
tracts of land. As a result, the ecological balance has been irremedi
ably destroyed through the intensification of these monocultures.
Before the Green Revolution, the Ford Foundation had concluded
that land in Punjab was under-utilised. In fact, peasants and small
farmers had been using the land in a balanced way so as to avoid soil
exhaustion. Now that we are well into the disaster of the Green
Revolution, the Ford Foundation and World Bank have just
discovered the virtues of organic fertiliser - rather late in the day.
In a number of works, Vandana Shiva has decried the violence of
the Green Revolution. She places this entire episode within an
historical perspective that reveals what really lies behind the
'revolution'. She sees it as part of the plunder and exploitation of the
peasantry for the benefit of the trade and industry of the countries of
the centre. In the eighteenth century, Indian agriculture was
thriving. Until 1750, those who worked the land kept 700 of every
1,000 units produced. Of the remainder, only 50 left the village while
250 stayed in the village for the upkeep of the community. By the
nineteenth century, after 50 years of British colonial rule, this pattern
of distribution had been overturned. For every 1,000 units of
production, peasants had to hand over 600, of which 590 went to the
central authority, Britain. In spite of this tax grab on peasant
THE WORLD BANK AND THE IMF/119
The influence the Bank enjoys today derives in large part from the
patronage networks it established in countries that later became its
customers and, of course, its debtors. The World Bank pursued a
policy of active influence-peddling in order to build up its network
of debtors.
From the 1950s onwards, one of the Bank's main objectives was
to 'build up institutions'. This building programme usually involved
the creation of autonomous agencies within governments, agencies
which became long-term borrowers from the World Bank. Such
agencies were intentionally founded in such a way as to be relatively
independent financially from their governments and free from the
control of local political institutions. They became natural relays for
the Bank, to which they owed their very existence.
The creation of these patronage networks was a cornerstone of
World Bank strategy for getting involved in the economic policies of
Third World countries.
Obeying no rules but their own (often drawn up in keeping with
World Bank recommendations), staffed by big-name local
technocrats who shared World Bank aims, championed and admired
by the Bank, these agencies served to create a stable and reliable
source for what the Bank needed most: 'viable' loan proposals. They
also provided a parallel power base through which the Bank was able
to transform national economies - nay, entire societies - without
having to bother with the 'cumbersome' process of democratic
control and debate.
The implications of such a policy are most worrying. The
International Legal Center (ILC) in New York carried out a study of
the Bank's involvement in Colombia between 1949 and 1972. The
ILC report concludes that the Bank's autonomous agencies had a
profound impact on political structure and social development
throughout the region. They weakened 'the system of political parties
and the respective roles of the legislature and judiciary' (Rich, 1994).
By the 1960s the Bank had set up its own new mechanisms for
continually intervening in the internal affairs of borrower-countries.
The Bank, however, emphatically denies that such interventions are
political in nature. On the contrary, it insists that its policies in no way
impinge on power structures, and that political and economic
matters occupy two discrete spheres.
THE WORLD BANK AND THE IMF/121
The Bank and its representatives shall not interfere in the political
affairs of any member-state. They are forbidden to be influenced in
their decision by the political character of the concerned member
or members. Only economic considerations can influence their
decision, these considerations will be weighed without bias, with
the goal of meeting the objectives (set by the Bank) stipulated in
article I.
Too little, too late, is history's most fitting epitaph for regimes that
have fallen in the face of the cries of the landless, unemployed,
marginalised and oppressed, pushed to despair. As such, there
must be policies designed specifically to reduce the poverty of the
poorest 40 per cent of the population in developing countries. This
is not just the principled thing to do, it is also the prudent thing to
do. Social justice is not only a moral obligation, it is also a political
imperative. (McNamara, 1973)
By the end of 19 72, the debt totalled 75 billion dollars and annual
servicing was more than seven billion dollars. Debt servicing rose
by 18 per cent in 1970 and by 20 per cent in 19 71. The average
rate of increase of the debt since the 1960s has been almost twice
as high as the rate of increase in the export revenues that these
countries must use to service the debt. This situation cannot
continue indefinitely. (McNamara, 1973)
127
128/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Yet any serious analysis of the figures provided by the Bank itself,
in the very same report, would have drawn a different conclusion.
Private sector debt had risen sharply in 19 9 6, without any guarantee
whatever on this debt. Short-term high-interest debt had also surged.
There had also been a significant increase in highly volatile portfolio
investment.
When the crisis finally hit, the World Bank proposed the same
remedies that have caused so much human suffering elsewhere and
failed to restore growth into the targeted economies.
11
Structural Adjustment
Programmes
'FLEXIBILITY'
It is noteworthy that the same single word appears indiscriminately
in economic policy recommendations - whether these are made to
industrialised countries, to the Third World or to countries of the
former 'socialist' camp. The neo-liberal turn has given rise to a near-
monolithic slate of recipes for all the countries of the world, whether
in the North or South. The watchword is 'flexibility'. In the North,
this has meant dismantling a number of key institutional safeguards
and gutting the social gains that, initially, went hand in hand with
the successes of postwar growth and, later, progressively became a
hindrance to capitalist profitability and accumulation. In the South,
it is state intervention as such that has become the target of the
'letters of intention' that debtor countries negotiate with the IMF,
which demands policies of social austerity (Coutrot and Husson,
1993).
While the IMF has had ties with the countries of the periphery for
a long time, it has focused much more attention on them, and seen
its power there grow, since the outbreak of the debt crisis in the
1980s. As for the World Bank, we have seen how it has played an
ever more important role in the periphery since the end of the 19 60s.
From the beginning of the 1980s onwards, the World Bank and
IMF have teamed up to manage the debt crisis and implement
adjustment policies.
They have at the same stroke become large-scale debt collectors.
134
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMMES/135
One major paradox is that the IMF and World Bank have
continued to grow in strength and stature even though their stated
objective of restoring long-term growth has not been met and even
though their policies have actually heightened financial instability.
It is worth noting, however, that since the 1994 Mexican crisis, the
IMF has had the upper hand over the World Bank when it comes to
defining government policies. The IMF has come out even further on
top in the wake of the 199 7-9 8 Asian crisis. The World Bank remains
in charge when it comes to dealing with the poorest countries,
dealing with NGOs (in order to 'co-opt' them) and setting up
programmes for the poorest sectors of the population in countries of
the Periphery.
As for the other omnipresent word, 'adjustment', to what exactly
are countries of the South expected to 'adjust'? The world economy
is not a united whole, it has a hierarchy. Developing countries cannot
merely imitate policies pursued in industrialised countries at some
point in the past. It is clear, therefore, that structural adjustment of
these countries to the industrialised world cannot offer any real
prospects for development. Quite the opposite, in fact.
and the environment are all drawn up under the watchful eye of the
World Bank.
The Bretton Woods Institutions have a variety of lending
mechanisms at their disposal and are quite prepared to use them, on
condition that the country in question follow their policy recom
mendations.
12
140
THE TWO PHASES OF STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT/141
Budget Austerity
The IMF imposes very precise guidelines, taking stock of the budget
deficit and the breakdown of government spending. These guidelines
affect both operational spending and development spending. The
Bretton Woods institutions dictate the dismissal of public sector
employees and drastic cuts in spending on social programmes.
These austerity measures affect all categories of public spending.
When the debt crisis began, the international financial institutions
restricted their intervention to setting budget-deficit objectives that
would enable the country in question to meet its debt-servicing
obligations. Since the end of the 1980s, the World Bank has tightly
controlled the very structure of public spending through what is
known as the Public Expenditure Review. In this way, the breakdown
of each ministry's spending is supervised by the Bretton Woods insti
tutions. The World Bank recommends an 'effective transfer of costs'
from regular areas of spending to those 'with a specific objective'.
According to the World Bank, the goal of 'public spending
supervision' is to 'promote poverty reduction through effective and
efficient spending'.
The structure of investment spending is also forced to target a
'specific objective'. The Public Investment Programme, also under
the supervision of the World Bank, demands that governments
severely reduce the number of investment projects. The concept of
'investment to meet an imposed objective' is used to reduce spending
on basic economic and social infrastructure to the bare minimum.
142/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Price Liberalisation
This measure aims at eliminating subsidies and/or price controls. It
has an immediate impact on real earnings, whether in the formal or
informal sector. The deregulation of prices on grains for household
use, and import liberalisation on food reserves from the North, are
key components of this process. Subsidised European and North
American agricultural products (Common Agricultural Policy
subsidies in the case of the European Union) invade local markets.
This reduces the earnings of local farmers, driving many of them to
bankruptcy. In fact, it is not rare for the North's agricultural
surpluses to be sold to the South at cut-rate prices.
Liberalisation programmes also have an effect on the prices of
imported goods and raw materials. When combined with currency
THE TWO PHASES OF STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT/143
The fact that even the poor are entirely prepared to pay for most infra-
structural services, makes it all the more possible to charge fees.
Private-sector participation in management, financing and
ownership will, in most cases, be necessary to give a commercial
edge to infrastructure use. (World Bank, 1994) (emphasis mine)
De-indexation of Salaries
The IMF imposes a reduction in real wages by de-indexing salaries
and liberalising the labour market. This means removing cost-of-
144/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
1. Trade Liberalisation
Protectionist tariff barriers are eliminated in order to make the
domestic economy more 'competitive'. In truth, trade liberalisation
destroys industrial production for the domestic market and 'liberates'
domestic capital from genuinely productive activities.
4. Tax Reform
Reforms aim to undermine domestic production, on both the demand
and supply sides. The introduction of value-added taxes (VAT) and
sales taxes, alongside changes in the structure of direct taxation,
mean a greater tax burden for middle-income groups. Registering
146/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Patrick Lenain was at one point an IMF official. His remarks need no
comment.
5. Land Privatisation
This policy involves issuing land titles while raising the ceiling below
which access to property is denied. Such measures concentrate land
in the hands of the wealthy few, while small farmers give up their
land or mortgage it - only to become tenant farmers (sharecroppers)
and seasonal agricultural labourers, or to ] oin the ranks of the urban
poor. The policy violates traditional land rights (in Africa and India,
for example) and undermines the gains of authentic revolutionary
transformations. In Mexico, for example, Article 2 7 of the
Constitution - which enshrined the rights of indigenous peoples and
poor farmers over collective lands known as ejidos (see Chapter 1 5 ) -
was reformed earlier in the 1990s. This kind of land counter-reform
has been the object of huge mobilisations of poor farmers in Egypt
since 1997.
Land privatisation is also a way to repay the debt. The public land
sell-off generates state revenues, which are channelled off to inter
national creditors. Additional dirty money is also repatriated and
laundered in the process, no questions asked.
The quest for greater worker mobility will often mean implement
ing measures that allow the process of] ob destruction - which will
include dismissals in the public sector - to follow its course [sid].
(World Bank, 1995)
[It is a] policy that seeks to help the unemployed find work and to
improve the future prospects of those already working. This
involves job-search assistance, training and job-creation
initiatives. [On the other hand], a passive policy seeks to support
the standard of living of those not working through monetary and
other forms of assistance. (World Bank, 1995)
On the subject of wages, the World Bank comes out clearly against
minimum wage legislation in Third World countries. It argues that
in places where a minimum wage exists, it is 'too high in relation to
the country's earnings and to other wages; even a small increase
would reduce employment' (World Bank, 1995). The conclusion is
categorical: 'The establishment of a minimum wage may be of some
use in industrialised countries, but it is difficult to justify in low and
middle-income countries' (World Bank, 1995).
7. Trade Unions
According to the World Bank, trade unions heighten the 'privileges'
of workers in the formal sector and, as a result, 'skew revenue distri
bution' to the detriment of that 'mass of workers who make up the
active population in the informal and rural sectors' (World Bank,
1995). The World Bank also finds that 'trade unions have on
occasion used their political power to oppose structural adjustment'
148/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
8. Pensions
In recent years, the World Bank has turned its attentions to pension
reform. It actively promotes capitalisation-style pension systems
based on the development of private pension funds. Such funds have
grown in size and number in Brazil, Chile and Mexico - encouraged
by the World Bank and big capital. In Brazil, a number of them have
already run into problems; their managers are regularly implicated
in corruption scandals.
Timing
A clear three to six month time lag can be observed between the
announcement of stabilisation measures and the outbreak of
strikes, demonstrations and other social unrest. This lag is
interesting since it proves - contrary to the hypothesis of rational
expectations - that political reactions occur when measures are
implemented rather than when they are announced.
Errors to be Avoided
Measures to be Avoided
This is Easy
months without being paid. This lack of operating funds has been
compensated by the establishment of tuition fees, and special charges
collected through parent associations and local communities. This
has meant the partial privatisation of essential social services and the
de facto exclusion of broad sectors of the population, especially in rural
areas.
Two explicit conditions for adjustment loans are: a freeze in the
number of diplomas awarded in teaching colleges; and an increase in
the number of students per teacher. Education budgets are being
slashed; children spend no more than a half-day at school. 'Two-way
flow classes' are created as a result, with each teacher taking separate
morning and afternoon classes (N'Diaye, 1995). Each teacher now
does the work of two; the money saved goes towards repaying
government debt.
These measures - carried out in the name of 'cost efficiency' - are
still seen as falling short of the mark. In sub-Saharan Africa, some
lenders have proposed a system whereby a teacher would lose his or
her salary in exchange for a small loan for setting up their own
'private school'.
In this system, however, the Ministry of Education would still be
responsible for maintaining the 'quality' of teaching.
In Africa, primary school enrolment had risen from 41 per cent of
eligible children in 1965 to 79 per cent in 1980. By 1988, however,
it had fallen back to 67 per cent (UNDP, 1992).
In Zambia, between 1990 and 1993, the government spent S3 7
million on primary education and SI.3 billion on debt servicing. In
other words, for every dollar invested in primary education, 35 left
the country to repay the debt. By 1995, the government was
spending six times less on primary education than ten years before.
In fact, 80 per cent of primary school expenses were borne by the
children's families.
Healthcare
The international institutions claim that state subsidies to healthcare
create undesirable 'market distortion' which 'benefit the rich'.
Moreover, in the name of'greater equity' and 'efficiency', they argue
that users of primary healthcare services should pay user fees, even
if they are from an impoverished rural community.
THE TWO PHASES OF STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT/157
The IMF and the World Bank say users should pay for healthcare
services. As a result, In Mozambique the number of consultations at
the Maputo hospital dropped by 24 per cent between 1986 and
1987. In Malaysia - even before the crisis that broke In 1997-98 -
40 per cent of the population could not afford private healthcare
services (Balasubramanlam, 1996).
As for maternal health, In Nigeria the number of women using the
capital city's main maternity ward for childbirth dropped from 6,535
In 1983 (beginning of SAP) to 4,377 In 1985 and 2,991 In 1988
(Bruno Dujardin, Antwerp Institute of Tropical Medicine).
Through the prism of IMF and World Bank Ideology, however, the
'social costs' of SAPs are a 'separate' matter. 'Undesirable side-effects'
cannot be blamed on the economic model. They belong to a 'separate
sector': the social sector. According to the IMF and World Bank, the
social costs are compensated for by the 'economic benefits' of macro-
economic stabilisation. 'Social costs' are short-term while 'economic
benefits' are long-term.
Political Consequences
Most debtor countries lose part or all of their economic sovereignty,
along with control over economic and monetary policy. The central
bank and Ministry of Finance are reorganised; some state institutions
fall apart, paving the way for outside 'economic supervision'. The
local teams and missions of the IMF and World Bank come to form a
'parallel government' which overrides local organisations and the
national parliament.
Countries not respecting the IMF's 'performance goals' are
blacklisted. Sudan is on such a list today, as was Nicaragua between
1979 and 1990.
160/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
grave social protection - and therefore saw no need for free and
independent trade unions. (World Bank, 1995)
Need we point out that it is sheer demagogy for the World Bank to
mention the absence of free trade unions, given that it has supported
(and continues to support) any number of dictatorships, be it Chile
under Pinochet or Romania under Ceaucescu, just to name two
examples?
Clearly, the World Bank's main priority is eliminating state inter-
ventionism and attempts at autonomous development and planning.
Yet, as a general rule, countries in the periphery that have scored
successes have done so largely by relying on the active role of the
state. This is particularly true of countries not long ago seen as models
of success: South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand, Brazil and
Mexico. Whether run by the national bourgeoisie, sections of the
petty bourgeoisie or a dictatorial bureaucracy in the countries of the
so-called Socialist Bloc, the state played a key role in spurring real-if-
deformed development. The 'overdevelopment' of the state in the
countries of the periphery (leaving aside the Socialist Bloc) is a
function of the weakness of the local capitalist class. The state was a
crutch for a local bourgeoisie handicapped by long years of colonial
exploitation.
By shrinking the role of the state in the periphery, the World Bank
seeks to heighten these countries' dependence on big capital at the
centre.
For those seeking a progressive answer to this challenge, there are
a number of pitfalls to be avoided. It is wrong, for example, to defend
the state per se, as if its social content were neutral and its role globally
positive. In the capitalist countries of the South, the state is a force for
domination in the hands of the local exploiting classes. This state
organises the repression of people's movements and enables the
capitalist class to amass profits in peace. The neo-liberals should not
have a monopoly on criticism of the state.
Indeed, Karl Marx was not the only one to decry the exploitative
character of the capitalist state. The classical economist Adam Smith
wrote, 'Civil government, so far as it is instituted for the security of
property, is in reality instituted for the defence of the rich against the
poor, or of those who have some property against those who have
none at all' (Smith, 1776). The World Bank and the neo-liberals
might even be able to claim this passage as their own, on condition
164/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
that the last part be removed. In their demagogic world view, 'the
rich' are state sector workers; these workers use the state to exploit
the poor. But it is pure communist heresy to say that the state was set
up to defend the private property of the rich against those who have
none.
There is good reason to fight the state, and replace it. The
overthrow of the capitalist state comes as part of an authentic eman
cipatory revolution. This revolution must also end with the withering
away of the new state structures, which are established for a transi
tional period. The objective is indeed the elimination of the state - not
to give free rein to market forces; but rather to replace class dictator
ship with a free association of working people.
Which brings us to the following question: What do the World
Bank and the neo-liberals have in mind when they fulminate against
the state? Is it not the system of social security partially financed from
state funds? And overly accessible public education and healthcare
programmes? And labour laws that more or less protect workers
against unjust dismissal?
The main targets for neo-liberal wrath are the fragments of
democracy and collective solidarity that exist within the state, and
whose existence is guaranteed by the state. These fragments of
democracy and collective solidarity stem from a mix of social gains
secured through tremendous struggle by the oppressed, and
concessions made by the rulers to maintain social peace. We must
protect these fragments of democracy and solidarity.
The World Bank seeks to dismantle other areas of state authority.
It insists on the elimination of remaining legislation protecting
domestic markets in the countries of the South. It seeks to eliminate
the control that some states in the South still have over strategic
industries and natural resources. For the World Bank, these things
must be eliminated to allow for the totally free circulation of capital
- which can only bolster the supremacy of MNCs and the North's
economies.
In this respect, we must learn to handle certain lines of argument
with caution, lest we give credence to World Bank demagogy. The
World Bank argues, for example, that the privatisation of state-run
enterprises reduces corruption, increases company efficiency and
curtails corrupt state bureaucracy. Let us not jump from the frying
pan into the fire: there is surely no need, on the eve of the third
THE TWO PHASES OF STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT/165
goods are exported and from which goods are imported: i.e. such
a country gives more objectified labour in kind than it receives,
even though it still receives the goods in question more cheaply
than it could produce them itself. (Marx, Capital, volume III,
pp. 344-5)
Translator's note: in North American English, the terms 'neo-liberal' and, especially,
'liberal' are rarely used in the same way as they are in this chapter. In the US and
Canada, advocates o f neo-liberal' and 'liberal' economic policies are usually referred
to as 'neo-conservatives', 'fiscal conservatives' or simply as 'free marketeers'.
170
NEO-LIBERAL IDEOLOGY AND POLICIES IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE/171
concessions to the working class; for the crisis of the colonial empires
and the liberation struggles of dominated Third World peoples; for the
relative successes of industrialisation by import-substitution in Latin
America; for economic dynamism in India (after it won independence
from Britain in 1947), Algeria (after it won independence from
France in 1962) and Egypt (under Nasser in the 1950s and 1960s)
until the 19 70s; and for economic progress in the so-called socialist
countries (Eastern Europe after the war, the USSR from the 1930s
onwards).
The period had a number of striking features. First, a large number
of private companies came under public control ('nationalisations'),
beginning in Western Europe in the wake of the victory over the Nazis
and extending into the Third World until the mid-1970s. Second,
social welfare systems were set up and expanded as part of what
became known as the Welfare State. Such reforms were also carried
out in a number of Third World countries, such as Mexico in the
1930s under Lazaro Cardenas. Third, the economic model in place
was 'Fordist' - that is, involving the development of mass
consumption of durable goods in the industrialised countries. Fourth,
a social compromise was reached in these countries between the
leadership of the labour movement (parties and trades unions) and
'their' capitalist class. This compromise took the form of agreements
on 'social peace'.
These features arose and prospered within a framework of
sustained growth - in the developed capitalist countries, the Third
World and the so-called socialist countries.
These wide-ranging political and economic developments also
included a worldwide renewal of non-dogmatic Marxism in the
developed capitalist countries (the works of Ernest Mandel, Paul
Sweezy, Paul Baran, Andre Gunder Frank, to name but a few), and
in Cuba after the revolutionary victory (beginning with the works of
Ernesto Che Guevara in the 1960s). In Eastern Europe (Kuron and
Modzelewsky in the Poland of the 1960s, Karel Kosik, Rudolf Bahro
and others) a non-dogmatic Marxism emerged in opposition to the
ossified Stalinist variant.
It is also worth noting the emergence of the Marxist-influenced
dependency school of thought in Latin America (Theotonio Dos
Santos, Rui Mauro Marini, Fernando Henrique Cardoso). Finally,
there was the work of Samir Amin on de-linking.
NEO-LIBERAL IDEOLOGY AND POLICIES IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE/173
Jean-Baptiste Say
In 1803, Say described a law whereby the role of money Is neutral In
the economy and 'supply creates Its own demand'. Therefore, no
crisis of overproduction Is possible In a free market economy.
Say's law Is a key reference for liberal (and neo-llberal) economists.
Yet It was proved wrong by events In Say's time, a point that has been
raised by a wide range of economists going from Malthus (1820,
Principles of Political Economy Considered According to their Practical
Application) to Slsmondl (1819, Nouveaux principes d'economie
politique ou de la richesse dans ses rapports avec lapopulatiori) and Marx.
David Ricardo
In Rlcardo's theory of competitive advantages (Ricardo, 1817,
chapter 7), he critically takes and enhances Smith's stance In favour
of free trade and an International division of labour. For Ricardo, a
country does well to specialise In those areas of production whose
relative costs are lowest - In other words, those areas where It has the
greatest comparative advantage. Unlike Smith, he goes on to say that
countries that have competitive advantages In all areas of production
should none the less specialise.
depression, proposals came forward for major public works, for anti-
cyclical injections of public money, and even for bank expropriations.
Such proposals came from a wide variety of sources: Germany's
Doctor Schacht; the Belgian socialist Deman; the founders of the
Stockholm School, backed by the Swedish social democrats; Fabian
socialists and J.M. Keynes in Britain; J. Tinbergen in the Netherlands;
Frisch in Norway; the Groupe X-crise in France; Mexican President
Lazaro Cardenas (1935-40); Peronism in the Argentina of the
1930s; US President Roosevelt (elected in November 1932) and his
New Deal.
The entire range of proposals and pragmatic policies was partially
summed up in Keynes's 1936 work General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money.
At the end of the Second World War, Hayek was teaching at the
LSE. In 194 7, he and von Mises founded the Societe du Mont-Pelerin.
The first meeting was held in April 1947 and brought together 36
liberal luminaries at the Hotel du Pare at Mont-Pelerin near Vevey in
Switzerland. The gathering was financed by Swiss bankers and
NEO-LIBERAL IDEOLOGY AND POLICIES IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE/181
It was only in the middle of the 19 70s, when Hayek's works figured
prominently in the readings that Keith Joseph [Thatcher's
economic adviser and participant at Mont-Pelerin meetings] gave
me that I really grasped his ideas. It was only at that point that I
considered his arguments from the point of view of the type of state
dear to Conservatives (a limited government based on the rule of
law), as opposed to the point of view of the type of state to be
avoided (a socialist state where bureaucrats ruled unchecked).
(Thatcher, The Path to Power, 1995; quoted in Udry, 1996)
For the hand to remain invisible, the eye must be blind. (Bensaid,
1995)
since 1980 have indeed cut back on what they see as obstacles to the
free functioning of the market - for example, by diminishing the
strength of the trade union movement and rolling back social welfare.
But they have also strengthened other such 'obstacles': through the
greater concentration of companies, creating oligopolies in certain
sectors; through the privatisation of state-owned companies,
eliminating any form of democratic control; through maintaining
protectionism against foreign competitors (tariff barriers and other
constraints on the free market); through strengthening the power of
financial players, leading towards a 'tyranny of the markets'; and
through restricting the free circulation of labour.
Meanwhile, in the case of the US, inequalities have increased and
poverty affects a larger share of the population. A significant share of
new jobs are poorly paid and short-term. The prison population has
gone from 250,000 in 1975 to 744,000 in 1985 and 1.6 million in
1996: according to prison authorities, 'a black man is seven times
more likely than a white man to go to prison' (Le Monde, 13 August
1997). Never before have their been so many economic activities of
a criminal character by company heads and public officials -
encouraged by the deregulation of capital flows.
In defence of their record, neo-liberals always retort that resources
are not optimally allocated since there is nowhere that the market
functions unfettered. The task, therefore, is to struggle against
obstacles to the market in view of achieving universal prosperity at
some point in the distant future.
In fact, in the name of the quest for a free market (the neo-liberal
promised land), the objective is to destroy the gains of workers and
the oppressed generally - gains which are described as so many
reactionary 'rigidities'.
To all intents and purposes, the World Bank said the same thing 50
years later in its 1995 report entitled 'The World at Work in a
Borderless Economy'. Here are a few excerpts (emphases mine):
There is good reason to fear that those who most benefit from social
security - usually well-off workers - do so at the expense of other
workers. (World Bank, 1995)
The rate of poverty dropped in the 1950s and even more quickly
in the 1960s and 1970s. The 1980s were disastrous. In the 1990s,
189
190/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Medium-sized countries
Ecuador n.a. n.a. 6 n.a. 12 n.a. 14.5
Small countries
Bolivia n.a. n.a. 2.7 3.3 3.8 4.5 n.a.
Haiti n.a. n.a. 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 n.a.
El Salvador n.a. n.a. 1.2 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.3
Guatemala n.a. 0.6 1.0 2.7 2.6 2.1 3.0
Nicaragua n.a. 0.6 1.8 4.9 10.5 10.2 n.a.
Paraguay n.a. n.a. 0.8 1.7 1.7 1.4 n.a.
*In its 19 9 7 report, the World Bank provides a figure for total Latin American
debt S49.5 billion higher than the one given here (S 6 5 6.5 billion as opposed
to the CEP AL figure of S607 billion),
n.a. = not available
In fact, these investment flows were (and are) volatile. They were
primarily attracted to these countries for two reasons: first, a policy
of high interest rates pursued by the IMF's best pupils (Brazil, Mexico,
Argentina, to name a few) and an unprecedented wave of privatisa
tions (large state-owned companies sold for a song). In order to
sweeten the pot, the government declared a fiscal amnesty for all
nationals repatriating capital that had been invested abroad. It was
misguided to expect that this huge mass of capital on the lookout for
a juicy rate of return could ever get Latin American economies back
on track by rejuvenating privatised companies with new money. All
along, the Mexican trade deficit was getting worse and worse; and
this ultimately shook private investors' confidence and led them pro
gressively to withdraw their money throughout 1994. Stock market
shares were sold off; Mexico plunged into crisis once again. To avoid
a similar fate, the governments of Brazil and Argentina have been
pursuing an aggressive policy of high interest rates in an attempt to
keep investment from going elsewhere. The Mexican government
has been doing the same.
192/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
In Africa, the economy is not doing any better than the continent's
social indicators.
Three economic indicators should be examined to have an idea of
the real situation in sub-Saharan Africa: its constantly rising external
debt, its rising trade deficit and the low level of private investment.
Source: World Bank, World Debt Tables to 1996 and Global Development
Finance, 1997, vol. 1.
Trade Losses
Sub-Saharan Africa has to use a significant part of its export earnings
to pay back its foreign debts, which are all denominated in hard
currencies. As a result, the ratio of annual export revenue to overall
debt provides some idea of the gravity of the situation. In 1996, total
debt was worth 32 7 per cent of total annual exports (not including
South Africa). In other words, to pay off its debts, the region would
have to hand over all its export earnings continuously for three years
and three months.
Changes in the region's balance of trade are crucial to evaluating
its ability to pay off its debts. If export earnings are inferior to import
spending, it is difficult to see how the debt can be paid without further
cuts in social spending and the resulting increase in poverty.
Since the beginning of the 1980s, there has been a deterioration in
the terms of trade for sub-Saharan export products on the world
market in relation to the products imported from industrialised
countries. In spite of a brief boom in the price of some products (coffee,
196/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Sub-Saharan Africa receives little FDI, but this does not prevent the
head offices of MNCs operating in the region from repatriating their
profits to the North. In 1995, repatriated profits were worth twice as
much as total FDI.
Case Studies
ARGENTINA
Debt and Dictatorship
Argentina's foreign debt skyrocketed under the military dictatorship
of General Videla, which lasted from 1976 to 1981. From 2 April
1976 onwards, the Minister of the Economy, Martinez de Hoz,
pursued an economic policy that marked the beginning of a process
that devastated the country's productive apparatus - and paved the
way for a speculative economy that has bled the country dry. Most of
the loan money granted to the Argentinian dictatorship came from
private banks from the North. It is important to note that the US
authorities (both the Federal Reserve and the administration) fully
supported Argentina's policy of debt accumulation. The architects of
Argentina's policy of debt accumulation were de Hoz and the
Secretary of State for Economic Coordination and Planning,
Guillermo Walter Klein. In order to secure credit from private banks,
the government forced state-owned companies to borrow from inter
national private banks. State-owned companies became the
cornerstone of a strategy aimed at denationalising the state, through
an accumulation of debt that has forced the country to sacrifice much
of its national sovereignty.
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CASE STUDIES/201
Government Debt
The IMF and those in charge of the dictatorship's economic policy
argued that massive government debt was justified, since the country
needed to boost its hard currency reserves if it wanted to open up the
economy from a position of strength. A sound economic policy would
have sought increased foreign reserves in the country's international
trading activity. Instead, the dictatorship obtained its foreign
currency by going into debt.
These foreign reserves were neither managed nor supervised by
the central bank. In fact, the huge sums borrowed from the North's
banks were usually deposited right back into the same banks; or at
least into competing institutions. In 19 79, 83 per cent of these
reserves were deposited in foreign banking institutions. The reserves
were worth S10.1 billion; deposits in foreign accounts totalled S8.4
billion. That same year, foreign debt rose from SI2.5 billion to S19
billion (Olmos, 1990). Of course, interest earned on these foreign
deposits was lower than interest owing on the borrowed amounts.
The Argentinian authorities pursued this line of action for the
following reasons: first, individuals in the regime grew rich off the
commissions offered by the North's banks; second, increased foreign
reserves meant a significantly increased capacity to import - in
particular, to import arms; third, the policy of economic liberalisation
and debt accumulation recommended by the IMF, improved the dic
tatorship's credibility with the main industrialised countries,
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especially with the US. The dictatorship would not have been able to
sustain the initial years of domestic terror (1976-80) without the
blessing of the US administration.
For its part, the US Federal Reserve was all the more favourably
inclined to the dictatorship's policies since most of the borrowed
money was deposited in US banks. From the point of view of the US
administration and the IMF, Argentina's growing debt load was
bringing the country back into the US fold - after decades during
which Argentina had been something of a nationalist rebel and
achieved real economic progress within the framework of the
Peronist system.
Conflicts of Interest
Walter Klein was Secretary of State for Economic Coordination and
Planning from 1976 until March 19 81. At the same time, he headed
a private legal firm that represented the interests of foreign creditors
in Buenos Aires. When he joined the military regime, his firm
represented the interests of one bank, the Scandinavian Enskilda
Bank. A few years later, it represented the interests of 22 foreign
banks. In March 19 81, he left his government ] ob as General Viola was
replacing General Videla at the head of the dictatorship. A few weeks
later - 7 April 1982, five days after the Argentinian armed forces had
occupied the Malvinas (Falkland Islands) and Britain had declared
war - Klein was made the official representative in Buenos Aires of the
British-based Barclays Bank Limited, one of the main private holders
of Argentinian public and private debt. When the dictatorship fell and
Raul Alfonsin came to power in 1984, his legal firm continued in its
role as defender of the interests of foreign creditors.
A Wave of Privatisation
In 1990-92, the government of Alfonsin's successor, Carlos Saul
Menem, undertook a vast programme of privatisation, selling off
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one time also railed against the debt; once in power, though, he
abandoned all talk of revisiting this eminently taboo subject.
In spite of all the delays and compromises, a trial is now underway.
It is the result of a complaint lodged by an Argentinian citizen in
October 1982, while the country was still ruled by a dictatorship.
Thanks to this courageous and tireless journalist, the question of who
is responsible for the country's debt burden is now being examined
by the judicial authorities. Many of the dictatorship's economic
officials and heads of state-owned companies have had to testify at
trial hearings. Walter Klein's legal firm has been searched; most of the
documents from the period in question have been seized and placed
in safekeeping at the Central Bank. Sixteen years later, despite indis
putable proof of the guilt of people such as de Hoz and Klein, the trial
has not reached any conclusions. There is reason to fear that the
guilty parties will never be punished.
In the meantime, Argentina has been paying astronomical sums
to service its debts - which hasn't prevented the total owing from
rising. Strategic state-owned companies are now in private hands.
The central bank has not been authorised to create money since the
April 1991 Menem government decision to set up a currency board.
Under this system, the number of pesos in circulation is scrupulously
limited to a fixed ratio of the amount of hard foreign currency held by
the central bank (Cartapanis etal, 1996).
In 1976, Argentina owed S8.2 billion to foreign creditors. In 1980,
it owed S27.1 billion; in 1983, S43.5 billion; in 1993, S74.5 billion;
in 1995, S84 billion. By 1996, the country owed S96.2 billion
dollars to foreign creditors.
MEXICO
1982 to 1998: Mired in Debt
Mexico is at the heart of the 'debt crisis'. The crisis is said to have
begun in August 1982, when Mexican authorities announced that
they would no longer be able to meet their debt-service payments.
This sounded the alarm for private US banks; in the end, however, the
US federal government bailed them out. It saved a number of small
banks known as Savings and Loans, which had become heavily
involved in the Mexican economy. The Reagan administration
negotiated a number of successive agreements with Mexico in order
206/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
peasants and small farmers, and served the Interests of the big
domestic and foreign agro-export companies. Furthermore, the state-
owned industrial sector was thoroughly restructured and, for the
most part, also privatised. MNCs have tightened their grip on the
Mexican economy. This neo-liberal shock therapy was designed to
prepare Mexican capitalists to prosper within the new North
American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) zone linking the US,
Canada and Mexico.
The wave of privatisations initiated in 1982 by President de la
Madrid has been breathtaking in its scope. Of the 1,550 state-owned
companies that existed in 1982, about 100 remain in state hands.
Privatisation has led to a pronounced concentration of capital in a
few private hands. Currently ten groups control 71.2 per cent of
shares quoted on the Mexico City stock exchange. Privatisation has
enabled capitalists to acquire companies at cut-rate prices, and to
repatriate dollars invested abroad, no questions asked. For foreign
capital, privatisation has been a heaven-sent invitation to buy up
companies in strategic sectors, such as telecommunications. The
funds that have entered Mexico have not created any jobs; indeed,
they have been used to buy up companies that already existed, and
then to 'streamline' them of a number of their employees. When
NAFTA came into effect, Mexico did not come out on top; in fact, the
trade deficit with its neighbours actually increased.
To make matters worse, much of the capital on the stock market
was very volatile. The investors in question were at the ready to sell
off their shares in order to tap into better profit opportunities
elsewhere. Between April and December 19 94, this money took flight
(Toussaint, 1994; in this article, I noted that capital flight had begun
before the August 1994 elections, paving the way for the December
1994 crisis).
By the end of 1995, Mexican capital deposited in US accounts
totalled S24.6 billion - that is, twice the total of the previous year.
Current Mexican president Ernesto Zedillo has the temerity to say
that the SI00 billion that entered the country during the Salinas
presidency were speculative, incorrectly included in calculations of
national revenue: 'Those revenues did not belong to us.' He does not
mention the fact that, in order to attract this speculative capital, the
government auctioned off state-owned companies that did indeed
belong to the nation.
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The crisis began with the 1988 elections, which were won by the
main opposition candidate, Cardenas. He was denied victory through
an enormous PRI-orchestrated electoral fraud. A huge mass
movement against the fraud shook the regime. The January 1994
Zapatista rebellion was the second shock wave, amplified by the
December 1994 economic crisis. The latest blow to the regime was
the July 1997 elections. Taken together, these knocks have
sharpened conflicts within the regime itself. Thus far, however, the
country has not seen a rising momentum of social forces capable of
delivering a knock-out blow to the regime, as part of a process of
growing experience, strength and consciousness. The direction taken
after 1988 by the main progressive opposition party, the PRD, has
disoriented and profoundly disappointed broad sectors of the mass
movement (Toussaint, 1996c). Thanks to the EZLN's boldness and
the gigantic mobilisation against repression of the indigenous
rebellion, it was able to force the regime to the negotiating table
between 1994 and 1996.
But the regime still has a number of tricks up its sleeve; for example,
it led negotiations with the EZLN into an impasse. It has succeeded in
waging a low-intensity war against grassroots movements, especially
against small farmers and indigenous communities, by placing the
army on a permanent war footing in a number of states (Chiapas,
Guerrero, Oaxaca, Tabasco). In two years, the Mexican army has
grown considerably; most of the armed forces are permanently
deployed outside barracks. The judiciary and police apparatus have
also grown more active; more and more grassroots activists are being
arrested, leading many movements to turn inwards. The dirtiest
repressive work is carried out by private militia linked to big capitalists
and landowners ensconced in the PRI machine. The December 1997
212/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
RWANDA
The 1994 Genocide
Beginning on 7 April 1994, within a period of three months, more
than one million Rwandans - the exact figure has yet to be
determined - were exterminated because they were Tutsis or thought
to be. Several tens of thousands of Hutus were also killed - political
opponents of the regime and people who refused or might have
refused to support the genocide. The population of Rwanda before the
atrocities is estimated to have been about 7.5 million.
Comparisons with the genocide of the Jews and Gypsies are fully
justified. Of course, there are differences: the absolute number of
victims (the Nazis murdered 6 million Jews) and the methods used
(the Nazis designed and used industrial techniques to implement the
Final Solution).
But there was indeed a genocide in Rwanda - that is, the planned
destruction of an entire community through mass murder, with the
objective of preventing it from reproducing itself biologically and
socially.
Bank estimated that 85-95 per cent of Rwandans lived below the
threshold of absolute poverty.
Worthy of note is the major increase in the number of households
run by women: from 21.7 per cent before the genocide to 29.3 per
cent now, with peaks of 40 per cent in some districts. Their situation
is particularly disturbing in view of the profound discrimination
against women in such matters as inheritance, access to credit and
property rights. Even before the genocide, 35 per cent of women
heads of households earned less than 5,000 Rwandan francs ($17)
per month; the corresponding figure for men was 22 per cent.
In spite of a high rate of adoption of orphans (from the genocide
and AIDS deaths), there are between 95,000 and 150,000 children
without families.
In the education system, only 65 per cent of children are enrolled
in primary schools; and no more than 8 per cent in secondary schools
(Woodward, 1996).
One statistic tells the whole tragic tale: average life expectancy in
Rwanda fell from 42.3 years in 1960 to 23.1 years in 1994 (UNDP,
1997).
Beginning in 19 9 8, Rwanda is expected to repay S15 5 million per
year to its creditors - mainly the Bretton Woods institutions.
Is it right that survivors of the genocide should be forced to pay for
the arms used to commit the crime?
16
The world's stock markets have been unstable since late October
199 7. Those stocks that had generally registered major gains in
recent years have dropped in value. No clear tendency can as yet be
detected. The representatives of triumphant neo-liberalism -
governments, financiers, the heads of the World Bank, IMF and the
Bank of International Settlements, and stock market commentators
- are putting on a brave face but it is clear that they are worried.
Confidence in the future is the watchword, they say.
But where did this crisis come from? Did the IMF forecast it? Who
will pay for the damage that has been done?
218
THE ASIAN CRISIS AND ITS INTERNATIONAL REPERCUSSIONS/219
In the five years running up to the crisis, the external debt of these
countries had more than doubled. The 1997 crisis unleashed a
renewed explosion of debt, suddenly making it very difficult for the
countries to meet their financial obligations. Taiwan and China are
exceptions to the rule, but for how long? Growth in the 'dragon'
countries (Thailand, with a population of 60 million; Indonesia with
203 million; the Philippines with 73 million and Malaysia with 20
million) was driven by an inflow of foreign capital, by the importation
of goods and machinery and by low salaries. This soon led to the
appearance of two negative factors. First, the external debt - largely
in the form of short-term loans contracted on the financial markets
- grew rapidly; second, the trade deficit continued to rise. Indeed,
imports were systematically higher than exports. In other words, the
productivity of these countries remained structurally lower than that
of the industrialised countries with which they were trading. The
four 'dragons' have retained the characteristics of Third World
economies and therefore suffer under the effects of unequal trade.
The relative price of their exports is lower than the relative price of the
goods they must import in order to reach their growth targets and
satisfy the consumer demands of the wealthiest sectors of the
population. It is only these layers of the population that have the
necessary purchasing power to buy high-quality consumer goods. A
large sector of the population did not benefit from the fruits of growth,
which explains why the gap between rich and poor within the
countries in question actually grew in size, in spite of an overall
increase in the national income. Now that the crisis has struck, the
richest sectors of the population continue to amass riches while the
majority of the population - including most in the middle classes -
have seen their income plummet. This will only serve to accentuate
the characteristic features of an 'underdeveloped' economy.
Thailand was the first country to plunge into crisis, its money being
pegged to the dollar (which was not the case for the other three
'dragons'). The Thai bhat therefore kept in step with the dollar, which
had strongly risen in value. This made Thai exports much less
competitive, provoking capital flight. The three other 'dragons' were
dragged down by the Thai collapse.
Thailand is the fifth most indebted Third World country in absolute
terms, just behind Brazil (population 170 million), Mexico
(population 90 million), China (population 1.2 billion) and South
Korea (population 45 million).
220/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
foresee the crisis that would hit South Korea, the world's eleventh
strongest economy, in November 1997. The IMF's pronouncements
recall a well-known French song from the depression era 19 3 Os, 'All
is well, Madame la Marquise'. In it, the maid-servant replies to the
marquise's question about the state of her castle, 'Your castle is
burning to the ground, but all is well.'
IMF president Michel Camdessus constantly changes his
explanation for what is happening. He has become a champion of
political and diplomatic doublespeak. At a press conference held at
IMF headquarters on 18 December 1997, he said that the IMF had
underestimated both the danger and scale of the crisis. Yet in Brussels
on 21 January 1998 he blamed the crisis on the leaders of the
countries affected. He accused them of not having heeded IMF
warnings! He added, 'If we had been able to act six months earlier, the
crisis in South Korea would never have happened' (Le Soir, 22
January 1998). What nonsense!
Soon after, once the crisis began, these very same Thai, Indonesian
and Malaysian officials became the targets of criticism from the IMF
and neo-liberal ideologues. Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir was
a particular source of irritation to the IMF for a number of reasons.
From late July 1997 onwards he denounced the criminal role of big
speculating financial institutions; he criticised the IMF and refused its
assistance; he visited Fidel Castro in September 1997; and his
country hosted the G15 Summit in the autumn of 1997, bringing
together the main countries of the Third World in a (sadly) failed
attempt to put pressure on the governments of the industrialised
countries.
As previously stated, one of the main causes for the crisis in the
'dragon' countries was a high growth rate based on a massive inflow
of foreign capital and on a level of imports that consistently exceeded
the value of exports. This led to an increasing current account deficit,
THE ASIAN CRISIS AND ITS INTERNATIONAL REPERCUSSIONS/225
accentuated by the rise in the value of the dollar in 1996 and 1997.
These countries pursued a low-wage and high-interest policy aimed
at attracting foreign direct investment and speculative capital. This
policy created a distorted domestic market in which only a small
wealthy minority enjoyed high levels of consumption, and in which
speculative investment exploded in sectors such as real estate.
Financial and industrial concerns in the 'dragons' all took on high
levels of debt to undertake ma] or development pro] ects and to engage
in speculative investment practices. Local banks and brokerage firms
made huge loans without requesting adequate guarantees from their
debtors. When the vanguard among international and local financial
speculators - with George Soros's Quantum Fund in the lead -
determined that governments would be unable to defend their
currencies, they unleashed their attack, starting with the Thai bhat.
The first round of attacks proved to be a success, a wave of panic
selling followed; the local capitalists that could were quick to offload
their local currencies in exchange for dollars, which they invested in
safer markets far away. For this reason, Mahathir's condemnation of
international speculators is inadequate. He covers for local capitalists
who behaved in exactly the same way, sheltering their capital from
turbulence in the region. The Malaysian prime minister seems more
interested in finding a scapegoat to redirect the population's anger,
and thus to protect the region's homegrown capitalists. Indeed, like
his Thai counterparts, he seems to have found another category of
scapegoats - the large number of migrant workers both countries
have decided to expel.
The crisis has awoken the region's governments to the disadvan
tages that come with a massive inflow of volatile capital. This inflow
feeds a speculative financial bubble and pushes up the value of the
local currency (due to the enormous quantity of strong currencies in
circulation on the domestic market). An example of the change in
thinking in the region came from Cesar Bautista, the Filipino Minister
of Commerce and Industry. While not jettisoning his neo-liberal
creed, he made revealing statements in his 13 January 1998
interview with the French newspaper Le Monde. Asked, 'Do you think
that five years ago you should have let the peso fall below a rate of 3 0
to the dollar as some were suggesting? Could you have averted the
crisis by abandoning your policy of maintaining higher interest rates
than those of your neighbours?', he replied: 'Our currency was never
pegged to the American dollar. We always let the market determine
226/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
the exchange rate. The problem was - and the same goes for other
countries - that the market was functioning abnormally due to the
excessive influx of dollars. When dollars flood into your economy,
your currency is probably overvalued.' Further on, Bautista engages
in self-criticism. 'We should have applied much stricter measures
over the last two years, to control the enormous influx of American
money. We could track portfolio investment more closely, we should
also encourage these funds to make a longer-term commitment to the
country by penalising short-term speculative operations.' But for the
moment, the IMF remains hostile to such measures.
extensive layoffs, the central bank has been made Independent of the
government (making it easier for the IMF to exercise its influence
over it), interest rates have skyrocketed (sinking local industry and
consumer spending into recession), major investment projects have
been abandoned, the big South Korean conglomerates (the chaebols)
are being dismantled, the South Korean labour code is being reformed
to allow for extensive layoffs, and Indonesia has abandoned its
ambitions in the aviation and automobile sectors. These countries
have been plunged into a deep recession.
Governments have been placed under the supervision of the IMF,
the World Bank - and the G7 countries, particularly the US. They
must make regular reports to their overseers, who can at any time
threaten to stop the flow of loans that the countries need to pay back
private creditors. This represents nothing less than a loss of national
sovereignty.
The loans provided by the IMF, the World Bank and private banks
all include a risk premium tacked on to the market interest rate
(except for a small number of the World Bank loans, which target the
most vulnerable sectors of the population). These institutions will
make huge profits. IMF head Michel Camdessus recognised as much
at a press conference given on 18 December 1997. The tens of
billions of dollars contracted in loans were immediately used to pay
back the banks and other international financial institutions. Every
single one of the contributors to the so-called rescue package will be
paid back, thanks to the countries' export revenues and savage cuts
in public spending. Tax revenues will also go towards paying off the
external debt.
Openings for foreign investment (with no limit on the repatriation
of profits) will clear the way for American, European and Japanese
multinationals to buy up Asian companies at rock-bottom prices. The
IMF convinced South Korean officials to allow foreign companies to
acquire 100 per cent ownership in South Korean companies.
International financial institutions will now be able to return to the
region to invest a part of the funds they had previously withdrawn in
a panic. George Soros acknowledged having withdrawn his funds
from the region in 1997, yet he was welcomed back to the country
like a visiting dignitary by the new South Korean president, Kim Dae-
jung, who promised he could pursue his lucrative interests in the
country. The new president announced that foreign investors were
230/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
region, this would create serious problems for the Americans. Indeed,
it would increase global financial and monetary instability. It is
unlikely that Japanese capitalists will want to bear responsibility for
such an outcome.
Lastly, the US has a strong military presence in the region (particu
larly in Japan and South Korea), and they have shown no intention
of changing this state of affairs.
ARMS SALES
The official line of the IMF is that Asian countries engulfed in the
crisis have to undertake drastic cuts in state budgets, especially in the
area of arms spending. As is often the case, reality is very different
from the IMF's hypocritical posturing. South Korea and the four
'dragons' are the main customers of American arms dealers. In the
14 January 1998 edition of the International Herald Tribune, Steven
Lee Myers of the New York Times writes about how US Secretary of
Defense William Cohen 'is seeking ways to maintain the military
orders' placed by the countries in crisis. In January 1998, close on the
heels of Michel Camdessus and US Treasury representative (and
former World Bank head) Larry Summers - making their tour of
Asian countries subjected to IMF austerity conditions - was another
delegation following exactly the same itinerary. It was led by William
Cohen, accompanied by Todd Crawford from the US Treasury. South
Korea wants to cancel its order for AWAC planes, and Thailand
wants to cancel its order for eight F/A 18 fighter jets. The US,
however, wants Malaysia, Thailand, South Korea and Indonesia to
maintain their orders, and has offered a special source of financing to
this end.
When the crisis hit, we could have let it deepen and given a lesson
to international lenders. The alternative is to try to moderate the
effects of the crisis on a regional and global level in a way that
spreads the burden between borrowers and lenders. However, we
cannot rule out undesirable side-effects. This latter approach
makes more sense. The general interest, and therefore the interest
of the United States, is reliant upon a strong Asia that can import
and export in a way that drives world growth. ('The Asian Crisis:
A View from the IMF', IMF press release, 22 January 1998)
2. As far as the IMF, the World Bank and 99 per cent of the world's
governments are concerned, the worst thing to do would be to limit
the free flow of capital. On the contrary, it should be freed up even
THE ASIAN CRISIS AND ITS INTERNATIONAL REPERCUSSIONS/237
Towards an Alternative
We can now turn our attention to the task of examining and debating
possible alternatives. Some of the proposals in this final part of the
book actually stem from ideas put forward by social movements in
various countries. They originate either in the deliberations of the
social movements themselves or from the work of different
researchers and international organisations. This is not an all-
inclusive programme, nor should it be seen as a proposal to accept or
reject en bloc. They are suggestions, alternative avenues for debate
and reflection. At best, they are a collection of necessary-but-insuffi
cient conditions for charting a path forward. The angle of attack is in
keeping with the analysis provided thus far. The issues addressed are
thus: the burden of the Third World debt for the peoples of the South;
North-South relations; 'power'financial deregulation; the evolution
of revenue distribution in favour of the holders of capital; and unem
ployment. This section of the book is addressed to those directly
involved in the struggle for change.
238
TOWARDS AN ALTERNATIVE/239
ON A WORLD SCALE
Guaranteed Employment for All
In the North, the debate over the reduction of working time is in full
swing. If carried out in a radical and generalised fashion, with no loss
in wages, such a reduction can be a powerful measure for providing
employment for all.
This kind of project raises the need for workers' control to ensure
that such measures are applied in full and that the pace and organi
sation of work are not changed to the detriment of the workforce. This
means implementing a universal ban on overtime and work speed
up, and other restrictive measures.
In the South and East, the reduction of working time is also a
priority. Aside from making a step in the direction of social justice,
240/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
Women's Liberation
Women are the first victims of austerity policies, in both the South
and North. Enduring oppression in patriarchal society, women are
also directly hit by attacks on job security, wage levels and social
programmes. Such attacks further restrict their participation in
economic, social and political life. To ignore the major contribution
of women's work, however, would mean scuttling the very idea of
development. The UNDP's 1995 Report estimates at S16.000 billion
(SI6 trillion) the value of human activity not accounted for in the
current wage system. This is equivalent to just under 70 per cent of
annual world production, officially calculated at S23.000 billion.
Of these SI6,000 billion, SI 1,000 billion correspond to the
'invisible' contribution of women. One major objective is acknowl
edging this contribution and, above all, ensuring that it is reflected in
the way social power is shared between men and women.
Throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries in the industri
alised countries, it was only after fierce struggles for social rights - in
TOWARDS AN ALTERNATIVE/241
which women played a central role - that women began to reduce the
gap that prevented them from enjoying full equality with men. Now
that the World Bank itself is cynically promoting women as capitalist
trailblazers, it is crucial that women in the North and South fight for
their emancipation based on an agenda that they themselves decide.
As for the IMF and the World Bank, can these institutions be
reformed? There is reasonable cause for doubt. Should they not
instead be replaced by other bodies established to regulate capital
transfers? By other bodies established to provide low interest loans
that are not linked to monetarist, neo-liberal conditionalities - and
that are instead aimed at restoring to the countries of the periphery
a part of what was stolen from them? Should humankind not create
international institutions with which the peoples of the world truly
identify? Institutions in which national delegates would debate the
major questions facing the world in full public view (with radio and
TV coverage)? Institutions in which the GNP and military might of a
handful of countries - or one country alone - would not be the
deciding factor?
At the very least, those interested in seeing immediate improve
ments must debate what intermediate measures could be taken right
away to lessen the burden of the heavily indebted poor countries
(HIPCs). Two specific proposals follow.
Such figures are well known and must also be taken into account
when determining who is responsible for what. The colossal fortunes
of Mobutu and other dictators were built through outright theft from
the people of their countries. Confiscating these fortunes held abroad
- mostly in the countries of the North with the complicity of the banks
and even some governments - goes hand-in-hand with cancelling
these countries' debts. Indeed, there can be no question of letting
dictators off scot-free. Tough measures must be implemented to freeze
and expropriate their assets, to eliminate in one fell swoop their
TOWARDS AN ALTERNATIVE/245
credibility, their power and their ability to strike back. The foreign
assets of dictatorial and corrupt regimes must be returned to the
people of the country in question, in the form of national development
funds democratically controlled by grassroots organisations. In
1997, the question was squarely posed after the fall of the Mobutu
regime. Would Mobutu's entourage live abroad comfortably from a
fortune built on theft, embezzlement and murder? If Mobutu's assets
were frozen and expropriated, to whom would they go? To lenders in
the North, with the IMF and World Bank first in line? Or to the
Congolese people?
Since those with assets abroad also hold domestic assets, their
domestic wealth can be frozen as long as the tax penalty is not paid.
If the penalty is never paid, a part of the person's domestic assets can
be confiscated and transferred into the public domain.
Similarly, in order to calculate special wealth taxes (not to be
confused with tax penalties) foreign assets have to be taken into
account.
On a World Scale
The Wealth Tax Proposed by UNCTAD
In its 1995 annual report, the United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development (UNCTAD) proposes that a one-off non-renewable
wealth tax should be levied to reduce budget deficits.
Wealth taxes are levies on the estates of holders of capital; they can
be imposed the world over.
that every day more than 90 per cent of international financial trans
actions are purely speculative (and therefore non-productive)
operations. According to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS),
in 1995 these transactions totalled SI,400 billion every day. It is
calculated that a 0.5 per cent tax on such transactions would bring in
SI,800 billion in its first year. This measure of basic social justice
would have such a dissuasive effect on speculation that the windfall
would drop off dramatically after the first year. But the exercise reveals
that it is indeed possible to acquire badly needed funds. Such a measure
would also shore up the autonomy of national monetary policies.
Tobin calls for a proportional tax, imposed on all international
currency transactions. The tax would apply at both the time of sale
and the time of purchase, whatever the purpose of the operation
(commercial or financial). Initially, the tax was meant only for up
front transactions. However, since there would be too many ways to
get round such a tax, it is clear that the tax would also have to apply
to other types of transactions - whether up-front, futures, options,
currency swaps or other types of exchange transactions.
The tax would be levied at one rate the world over, to avoid the
transfer of speculative activities to competing marketplaces and
countries. The different national governments would collect the tax
for all operations carried out within their territory, whatever the
currency used.
The tax would curb speculation because the total tax collected is
inversely proportional to the length of time the asset is held. The
shorter an investor's position, the more quickly the total tax collected
increases automatically. For example, a 0.5 per cent tax levied on a
two-day-long operation produces the equivalent of a 517 per cent
annual tax. For a seven-day-long operation, an annual equivalent of
68 per cent. For a month-long operation, 13 per cent. Three months,
four per cent. Three years, 0.3 per cent. Ipso facto, a surtax on purely
speculative transactions.
during these debates in the North not carry the risk of heightening
the North's protectionism? The question is important. If the answer
is yes, it would mean that social clauses produce the opposite effect of
what is desired by those who see such clauses as a way to improve the
lot of super-exploited workers (who are often child labourers). There
is not enough space to go into all the different arguments. Above all,
there has to be an honest debate between the social movements in the
North and South (Horman, 1996 and 1997). A key point in this
debate would be the indirect control over production wielded by the
big marketing and distribution firms and the big network companies
(such as Nike, Reebok, Adidas and Benetton). These multinationals
have found a perfect way to sidestep their legal obligations in the area
of labour rights and working conditions (Petrella, 1995).
International Measures
Globalising Resistance
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GLOBALISING RESISTANCE/253
meaning save that of giving capital and its thirst for immediate profits
control over all key decisions; and to smother culture in the quest for
a 'normal' way of life. The time is ripe for the millions of people and
tens of thousands of organisations in the struggle, to learn to live
together through a recognition of the complementarity and interde
pendence of their projects. To organise and promote the globalisation
of forces for the (re)building of our common future, to broadcast far
and wide a world view rooted in solidarity.
The time is ripe.
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266/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
AUTHOR'S NOTE
In this book the following terms are used interchangeably: Third
World, (the countries of) the South, the periphery, the developing
countries. These terms are generally used in contrast to: the Triad,
the main industrialised countries, (the countries of) the North, the
centre, the imperialist countries - also considered as synonymous.
277
278/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
DEBT
Multilateral Debt
Debts due to the World Bank, the IMF, the regional development
banks such as the ADB (African Development Bank), and other multi
lateral institutions such as the European Development Fund.
Private Debt
Loans contracted by private borrowers, regardless of the lender.
Public Debt
All loans contracted by public borrowers.
Rescheduling
Modification of the terms of a debt, for example by modifying the due
dates or by postponing repayment of the capital sum and/or the
interest.
Debt-Servicing
Repayment of interest plus amortisement of the capital sum.
EURODOLLARS
The eurodollar market is said to have arisen, during the Cold War of
the 1950s, from the Soviet authorities' wish to capitalise their dollar
reserves without having to sell them on the American money market.
Nevertheless, in structural terms it was the amount of American
capital outflow which caused the market's spectacular boom in the
second half of the 1960s. The growing deficit of the balance of
American capital during this period results from the combination of
three elements: massive investment in American firms abroad,
especially in Europe; the ceiling imposed on interest rates by 0
regulations, which encouraged foreign loans on the American
market and discouraged deposits in the US; the cost of the Vietnam
War. In 1963 the US authorities introduced a tax on non-resident
borrowing, to slow down capital outflow. The result was a shift in the
demand for financial backing in dollars from the US market to the
European markets, where American bank subsidiaries could operate
more freely. The supply of dollars on these markets came partly from
American institutions and companies discouraged by the very low
280/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
interest rates in the US, partly from the central banks of the rest of the
world holding their exchange reserves in dollars. The term
'eurobanks' refers to banks dealing in dollars on European soil, and
by extension, to the 'xenobanks' dealing in any currency outside its
country of origin. Free of state control and the obligation to lay down
reserves, they could offer high returns to their depositors and
competitive rates to their clients without reducing their profit
margins (Adda, 1996).
G5
The G5 (Group of Five) came about in 196 7, when the US and the UK
called a meeting of the Ministers of Finance of the top five industrial
countries (Germany, US, France, UK and Japan). The G5 nations still
carry most weight in the G 7.
G7
Germany, US, France, UK, Japan, Italy and Canada. The seven heads
of state generally meet annually in late June, early July. The first G 7
summit was held in 1975, on the initiative of the French president,
Valery Giscard d'Estaing.
G8
Composed of the G7 plus the Russian Federation (since 1995).
G10
Composed of the G7 plus Belgium, the Netherlands and Sweden, the
ten countries which signed the General Agreement to Borrow in
GLOSSARY/281
G24
The G24 was created in 1972 by the G77 whose members were
worried at the growing influence of the G10. At first, its main
function was to prepare the developing countries' positions for the
Committee of 20. Since the establishment of the Interim Committee
and the Development Committee, its field of interest has broadened
to include development issues. It is the mouthpiece for the developing
countries, as the G10 is for the OECD countries.
G77
The G 7 7 arose from the group of developing countries which met to
prepare the first UN conference on trade and development (UNCTAD)
in Geneva in 1964. The group provides a forum for the developing
countries to discuss international economic and monetary issues.
INDUSTRIALISATION BY IMPORT-SUBSTITUTION
This strategy mainly concerns a historic experiment in Latin America
in the 1930s and 1940s, and the school ofthought known as CEP AL
(the UN Economic Commission for Latin America), and especially
work published by the Argentinian Raul Prebisch. The starting point
is the observation that when faced with a drastic reduction in
currency exchange, the main countries of Latin America had
managed to respond to domestic demand by replacing imported
products by the development of local production. The CEP AL theory
holds that this process can be fruitfully extended to all sectors of
industry, one after the other, and thus enable the country to
'disconnect' from the centre. A good dose of protectionism and
coordinated state intervention are expected to promote the expansion
of budding industries. It is a sort of reformist version of the
dependence theory, which relies on dynamic local entrepreneurs
(Coutrot and Husson, 1993, p. 117; Prebisch, 1981; Clairmont,
1987;Ugarteche, 1996).
to another expansive long cycle, and so on.... The long waves are not
just empirically demonstrable. They do not simply represent
statistical averages for given time spans. There is nothing "formal" or
"conventional" (i.e., in the last analysis, arbitrary) about them. ...
They represent historical realities, segments of the overall history of
the capitalist mode of production that have definitely distinguishable
features. For that same reason, they are of irregular duration' (E.
Mandel, Long Waves of Capitalist Development: A Marxist Interpretation,
Verso, 1995). Such historical periods are characterised by a
'productive order' or 'accumulation regime', with a specific mode of
accumulation of capital, type of material productive forces, mode of
social regulation, type of international division of labour and repro
duction scheme.
MARKET TYRANNY
'This means nothing less than the right of those among whom the
money-capital is concentrated, after having made it and greatly
increased it, to take for themselves a disproportionate share of the
wealth created through the production process' (Serfati, in Chesnais,
1996).
NEW DEAL
This term appeared for the first time at the US Democratic Party
convention in Chicago in July 1932.Itwasto refer to the experiment
attempted in 1933 by President Franklin Roosevelt, to end the deep
economic crisis that the US had been going through since 1929. The
expression New Deal covered a series of measures from aid to the
worst-hit economic sectors to social reforms. From 1938 on, a new
recession occurred and showed the limits of the New Deal. The
economic revival took place thanks to the outbreak of the Second
World War. Roosevelt did not draw up a consistent plan such as the
one implemented by the British Labour government of 1945.
and in Asia and the Pacific: Japan, Australia and New Zealand. Since
1994, three Third World countries have entered the OECD: Turkey,
also a candidate for the EU; Mexico, also part of NAFTA with its two
North American neighbours; and South Korea (December 1996).
Since 1995, three countries of the former Eastern Bloc have joined:
the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary. Recent additions to the
OECD faithfully reflect the configuration of the Triad as described in
this book, i.e. the three central axes of the USA (plus Canada),
Western Europe and Japan (plus Australia) and their respective
peripheries.
List of the 29 OECD member countries in 1997 in alphabetical
order: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic,
Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland,
Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Mexico, Netherlands, New
Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, South Korea, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, Turkey, UK, US.
OLIGOPOLY
'A state of limited competition when a market is shared by a small
number of producers or sellers' (Shorter OxfordDictionary, 1983). The
condition of oligopoly arises from the interdependence between the
firms that make it up: 'firms which no longer react to impersonal
forces coming from the market, but to their rivals, personally and
directly' (Pickering, 19 74). The global oligopoly is an 'area of rivalry',
defined by mutual market-dependent relations between the small
number of large groups which manage to acquire and keep the status
of effective competitor, within an industry (or within a complex of
industries with a common generic technology), on a world scale. The
oligopoly is the focus both of ferocious competition and of collabora
tion between groups (Chesnais, 1996).
PRIVATE LOANS
Loans granted by commercial banks, whoever the borrower.
PUBLIC LOANS
Loans granted by public lending institutions, whoever the borrower.
the qualitative spread of the risk, since each component of risk carried
by any particular security may lead to the invention of specific
negotiable instruments of protection such as fixed-term contracts to
protect against the exchange risk, fixed-interest contracts to protect
against variation in interest rates, negotiable option markets, etc.
This proliferation of financial instruments and derivative markets
gives the international markets a casino-like air.
SURPLUS VALUE
Surplus value is the difference between the value newly produced by
labour power and that labour power's own value, that is, the
difference between the value newly produced by a worker and the
costs of reproduction of his or her labour power. Surplus value, that
is the sum total of the incomes of the propertied classes (profits +
interest + ground rent), is therefore a deduction from the social
product: it is what remains of the social product once the reproduc-
290/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
TRIAD
The expressions 'Triad' and 'Triadic' come from K. Ohmae (1985).
They were first used in business schools and economic journalism,
before entering into more common usage. The three axes of the Triad
are the US, the European Union and Japan, but round each of these
axes larger groups have formed. According to Ohmae, the only hope
for a developing country - to which must now be added the former
GLOSSARY/291
WELFARE STATE
The term 'Welfare State' dates from 1942. It was a pun on 'Warfare
State'. Sir William Beveridge wrote two reports for the Conservative
government, the second of which, published in 1944, was entitled:
'Full Employment in a Free Society'. In it he discusses the ideas of the
economist John Maynard Keynes for combating poverty, unemploy
ment, etc. Immediately after the war, with the rise to power of the
Labour Party, the expression 'Welfare State' was applied to cover a
series of social reforms. During the 1950s, the term became
associated only with the strictly social aspects. The English term
'Welfare State' has been translated into French as I'Etat-Providence,
implying that social rights 'fall from heaven' onto 'passive' and 'irre
sponsible' citizens. It is important not to confuse the British and
European sense of 'Welfare State' with the US acceptance, where it
refers to handouts only.
294
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Index
Note: The Chronology (pp. 265-76) has not been indexed. Bold page nos.
indicate Tables and Figures.
314
INDEX/315
prices, 18, 19, 251; collapse of Russian Federation, xix, 16, 18-19,
Third World export, 44, 97-8, 95-6
130, 2 3 0 - 1 ; liberalisation, Rwanda: case study, 212-17; funds
142-3; public services, 143; for arms, 214, 215-16;
timing of increases, 154; world genocide, 34, 212; loans to,
market, 160-1 213-15; post genocide crisis,
private banks, 10, 75, 83-4; 216-17
withdrawal from Third World
debt market, 91-2 Samuelson, Paul, 174
private debt, 202, 203, 209, 278 Say, Jean-Baptiste, 170, 176
private sector: debt levels, xxii; Second World War, 171-2
government bail-outs, xxiii-xiv, securitisation, 288-9
234 severely indebted low-income
privatisation, 28, 104, 144, 145; countries, 289
Argentina, 203-4; Latin Singapore, 11, 40
America, 191; Mexico, 206-8; Smith, Adam, 163, 170, 174-5
South Korea, 227 social clauses, in trade, 248-9
profits: repatriated, 8, 9 9 - 1 0 1 , social costs, 158; in Mexico, 208-9;
Southeast Asia, 2 2 0 - 1
145, 197, 197; and wages,
social crises, 8, 23 7
29-30
social movements, 238, 253-4,
protectionism, 8-9, 97, 232,
256-7, 261; Mexico, 209-10,
249-50; against South, 105-6
256; role for, 241
social rights, 240
Reagan, Ronald, US President, 182,
social spending, xxviii, 4, 251; to
183-4
alleviate poverty, 23; public
recession, xxvi; (1930s), 177-8,
works programmes, 251; user-
179; (1974-75), 84; (1980-81), funded, 142, 156, 158
91-2 social welfare, 172, 187-8;
resistance: fragmented (Mexico), reduction, 28, 148; welfare
209-10; to globalisation, xvi, state, 291
253, 255; to neoliberalism, socialism, discredited, 261
xxvii, 254, 257; to structural Somalia, 35
adjustment, 152-3, 256, see also Soros, George, 62-4, 225, 229
social movements South Africa, 121-2, 198, 215
resources, optimum allocation of, South Asia, FDI in, 3 7, 38
185-6 South Korea, 11, 32, 39, 55, 259;
Ricardo, David, 170, 175, 176-7 crisis (1997), 226-7; debt
Rio World Summit, 13, 248 statistics, 66-7, 67, 68, 69, 219;
risk premiums, 1 1 , 9 5 - 6 and regional bloc, 42; risk
risk rating agencies, xxiii, 96, 220 rating, 96, 220, 229; Soros and,
Roosevelt, F.D., 112; New Deal, 64, 229; structural adjustment,
171,286 228-30
rural development, ODA for, 107 Southeast Asian crisis, xxv, 6, 220,
Russian Empire, foreign debt, 72 221-2; capital inflows, 219,
INDEX/321