Brief Analysis of Fukuyama's Thesis
Brief Analysis of Fukuyama's Thesis
Brief Analysis of Fukuyama's Thesis
Selcen N E R *
ZET
Makalede Francis Fukuyama ksaca tantldktan sonra, 1989'da yazd
"Tarihin Sonu" makalesi, makalede temel vurgulanan konular ve elikili yanla
r tartlyor. Ardndan makalenin tartmalara yol amas zerine 1992'de yaz
d "Tarihin Sonu ve Son nsan" kitabnda savunduu temel noktalar belirtilerek,
makaleyle karlatrmalar yaplyor.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Tarihin sonu, ilk insan, son insan, Bat liberal
demokrasisi.
ABSTRACT
Brief look at the profile of Francis Fukuyama. Discusses Fukuyama's article
"The End Of History?" which was written in 1989, at the end of Cold War in an
optimistic atmosphere. The main contradictions, shortcomings, early and genera
lized conclusions of this article, in explaining the post Cold War world are discus
sed. This article is compared with the book "The End of History And The Last
Man", which was also written by Fukuyama. Main arguements that were stated in
this book are also discussed.
Key Words: the end of history, Western liberal democracy, first man, last man,
thymos, struggle for recognition
A. INTRODUCTION
Francis Fukuyama, is a senior researcher at the Rand Corporation. He is
also a fellow of the John Hopkins University, School for Advanced International
* .. ktisat Sosyolojisi Anabilim Dai Aratrma Grevlisi.
94 A BRIEF ANALYSIS OF FUKUYAMA'S THESIS "THE END OF HISTORY?"
1 ht^://www.edveniure.com/pcforum/96pcf/speakers/fukuyama.html
2
Davutoglu, Ahmet, "The Clash of Interests: An Explanation of the World (Dis)order", Percep-
tions, December 97-February98, p.92
SELCEN NER 95
the 20th century. The victory of the West and Western idea is evident firstly with
the collapse o f systematic alternatives to Western liberalism. He states that, in
the past decade, there have been important changes in the intellectual climate of
the world's two largest communist countries(Russia, China) and reform move-
ments have begun in both. Also it can be seen in the spread of consumerist Wes-
tern culture. As a result of these indications, he reaches to his main idea: "What
we may be witnessing is not just the end of the Cold War or the passing of a par-
ticular period of post-war history; that is the end point of mankind's ideological
evolution and the universalization o f Western liberal democracy as the final form
3
of human government." But as we see from the beginning, he states his argu-
ments without a strong basis and with a lack of evidence.
After expressing his main arguement, he makes some references to Marx,
Hegel and Kojeve. He says that his main concept 'the end of history', is not an
original concept. This concept was firstly used by Hegel. According to Hegel,
history is a dialectical process, with a beginning, a middle and an end. On the ot-
her hand, Marx, believes that, the direction of historical development was a pur-
poseful one and would come to an end with the achievement of a communist Uto-
4
pia that would finally resolve all prior contradictions.
He was affected especially by Hegel's historicism. According to this pers-
pective, mankind has progressed through a series of primitive stages of consci-
ousness, on his path to the present. Hegel believes that, at the end, rational form
of society and state became victorious. According to Hegel, history came to an
end in 1806 with Napoleon's defeat of the Prussian monarchy at the Battle of
Jena which symbolised the victory of the ideals of the French Revolution. At that
point, the vanguard o f humanity actualized the principles of the French Revolu-
tion. But particular regimes in the real world might not implement these ideas
fully. After stating these references, Fukuyama explains his own opinions. Ac-
cording to him, the state that emerges at the end of history is liberal, democra-
tic, recognizes and protects man's universal right to freedom through a system
of law. Fukuyama, also makes references to Kojeve, who is a modern French in-
terpreter of Hegel. For Kojeve, this so-called 'universal homogenous state' is re-
5
alized in the countries of post-war Western Europe.
lism. But he thinks that, societies are satisfied in the sphere of personal life
which is permitted in liberal societies.On the other hand, the vast majority of the
world's nationalist movements do not have a political program, according to
8
him. So these possibilities will not be real challenges to liberalism.
According to him, international life for the part of the world which has re-
ached the end of history is more occupied with economics than with politics or
strategy. Death of Marxism-Leninism, means the growing 'Common Marketiza-
tion' of international relations. World at that point, would be divided between
historical and post-historical parts. Conflict between these states, would still be
9
possible. Also ethnic and nationalist violence, terrorism will continue. So at this
point he again confirms that, the end of history can not be achieved throughout
the world and also there will be still contradictions between different countries
and new emerging challenges.
On the other hand, he states that, the end of history will be very sad. Be-
cause the struggle for recognition will be replaced with economic aims. There
will be neither art, nor philosophy. As a result of these, most of the people that
has reached the end of history feel nostalgia and this may cause competition
10
even in the post- historical w o r l d . So here he again confirms that, there will not
be a phase in the world history which is totally peaceful and without any cont-
radictions and challenges.
If we look at some of the criticisms about this article; Allan Bloom, who
is a Professor at the Comittee on Social Thought at the University of Chicago,
criticizes Fukuyama at that point. For Kojeve and Kojeve's Hegel at the end of
history, reason has won and the real has become rational but Fukuyama says that
he'll rebel against it, in order to get history started all over again. Gertrude Him
melfarb, who is a Professor at the University of New York criticizes him that he
comes lately to the possibility of religion, nationalism, race and ethnicity as ide-
ological competitors to liberal democracy and dismiss them as not serious com-
11
petitors because they have no universal significance.
8 ibid.
9 Ibid.
10 Ibid.
1 1
" Responses to Fukuyama", The National Interest, Summer 89.
98 A BRIEF ANALYSIS OF FUKUYAMA'S THESIS "THE END OF HISTORY?"
1 2
Fukuyama, Francis, The End of History And The Last Man. The Free Press, NewYork,
1992,ix(Introduction)
13 "Booknotes Transcript- Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and The Last Man" Retrieved
January 12;20Q0~6n1rreW^13"'W^
SELCEN NER 99
19//wd.,pp.l58-159
20/Wd.,p.l83
21 lbid.,p.m
22 I b i d . , p . 2 5 4 " ' - - - - - - -
23 Ibid.,p.25S
SELCEN NER 101
24
curred in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe since the mid-1980's. But in
1990's, especially in Eastern Europe in cases of Bosnia and Kosovo, we saw ab-
solutely different developments which falsify his argument about this issue.
He talks about historical and post-historical worlds. For the foreseeable
future, the world will be divided between these parts according to him. In the
post-historical world, the main interaction between states would be economic
and power politics would decrease.There would be considerable economic but
little military competition.The post-historical world would still be divided into
nation-states but nationalisms would have made peace with liberalism. Econo-
mic rationality will abolish traditional forms of nationalism. On the other hand,
in the historical world, there would still be religious, national and ideological
conflicts, depending on the stage of development of the country. Also in the his-
torical world, old rules of power politics still exist and nation-states are still the
25
main actors. So, he accepts that there is a lot of difference at the development
levels of the stales. And to prove his thesis, he states that some parts of the world
has come to the end of history.
He also accepts that major social inequalities will remain even in the most
perfect liberal societies. There would still be tension between principles of l i -
berty and equality. There is no point that liberty and equality come into balan-
26
ce. As a result of imperfect reciprocity of recognition, there may be attempts
in the future to find alternatives to liberal democracy and to capitalism from the
27
Left. So he believes that, there have not been still any alternatives to libera-
lism, but he accepts that there will be attempts to find one.
30
that some degree of 'megalothymia' is a neccessary precondition for life itself.
Fukuyama claims that, liberal democracy is successful at substituting 'mega-
lothymia' with rational consumption, and we become last men. But human be-
ings will rebel at the idea of being undifferentiated members of a universal and
homogeneous state. They will find it boring. They will want to have ideals by
which to live and die, they will want to risk their lives. This is the contradiction
31
that, liberal democracy has not yet solved. Fukuyama, with accepting this
contradiction of liberal democracy, disproves his own main argument. Because
human beings can not still reach the satisfoctary last era with the liberal democ-
racy.
in addition to this, he states that, human beings can not imagine living in
a world without struggle. I f the greater part of the world is characterized by pe-
aceful liberal democracy, then they will struggle against peace, prosperity and
32
democracy. He again disproves his claim of totally peaceful era of the human
history by this statement.
At the end.of his book, he defends an absolutely different argument from
his main thesis. He states that, no regime is able to satisfy all men in all pla-
ces.This includes liberal democracy. Liberty and equality have not been exten-
ded to all people, So people, who remain disssatisfied, will always have the po-
tential to restart history. At that point he made a reference to Aristo's cyclical his-
tory argument. He also accepts that, all regimes are imperfect in some way and
33
those imperfections would lead people to change the regime. So Fukuyama ac-
cepts at the end of his book again that liberal democracy can not satisfy all hu-
man needs so can not be regarded as the end point of mankind's ideological evo-
lution and as the final form of human government. By this statement he falsifi-
es his own arguments of he put in his article 'The End of History'.
30 Fukuyama, F., The End of History And The Last Man, p.315
31/fof.,p.314
32 /Md.,p.330 " "
33/A/.,pp.334-335
SELCEN NER 103
3 4
Davutoiu, Ahmet, Civilizational Transformation And The Muslim World, Mahir Pub.,1994,p.l
35 Ibid. ,p.5
36 Anboan, lke, "The Place of Idealism in The Discipline of Internationa) Relations", ktisat
Fakltesi Mecmuas, October 97,p.l4
37 Davutoiu, A.,Civilizational Transformation And The Muslim World, p.5
38 Ibid. ,p.69
39 Ibid., p.2
104 A BRIEF ANALYSIS OF FUKUYAMA'S THESIS "THE END OF HISTORY?"
40
ce framework that shapes the status quo. So these theories of endism try to de-
velop ideological formulations of a status quo. Fukuyama's attempt can be defi-
ned as to formulate a theory of endism to prepare the theoretical basis of the sta
us quo, which the USA wants to maintain in the post Cold War era.
Fukuyama's methodological approach reduces the essence of historical
continuity to one predominant factor: 'the struggle for recognition'. This reduc-
tion creates a highly overgeneralized historical theory. This pragmatic approach
may lead to a huge deterministic theory of history, also a very categoric interp-
retation of the historical past. In addition to these, it produces independent spon-
taneous pictures of the external features of the social structures, which creates an
image of discontinuity. He also goes beyond Hegel's methodological principles,
because Hegel insists that philosophy should deal with, what has really objecti-
fied itself in the actual world, rather than with prediction to the future of the his-
tory, based on the potentialities, which always be the subject of subjectivity. So
Fukuyama's methodological approach, can neither provide a consistent analysis
of the existing actual phenomena, nor suggest a pragmatic problem-solving met-
41
hod and theory for the difficulties, which face the future of the mankind.
His theoretical approach can be defined as neo-liberal. Idealist approaches
reaccelerated in the second half of the 1980's, in the name of neo-idealism or
neo-liberalism.This approach is different from Wilson's liberalism; because in
Wilson's liberalism there is a demand and belief for the peaceful resolution of
the conflicts and a peaceful world, but according to neo-liberalism there has not
been any reason for conflicts till now; contradictions were solved, liberalism and
democracy are the winners in the conflict that has occurred with totalitarian re-
42
gimes, all through the history. In this context, Fukuyama believes that, there
is not a reason of war between democratic and liberal states. His thesis is the ver-
sion of idealism that is identical with ideological victory.
E-CONCLUSION
Fukuyama's, "th e end of history" thesis fully fits to the Gulf War conditi-
?
ons. Because, after Iraq's attack to Kuwait, all democratic countries from all
over the world came together to end this condition which did not suit the world's
4
0 I bid., p A
41 Davutoglu, A.,Civiiizational Transformation And The Muslim "World', p'p.6^7"
42 Anbogan, ., "The Place of Idealism in The Discipline of International Relations", p.I4
a
last stage of ideological evolution. However, his thesis was completely falsified
firstly with Bosnia. Ethnic cleansing in Bosnia marked the end of the optimistic
43
dreams of Fukuyama's endism. Because none of liberal democratic countries,
try to end this unhumanitarian event. The states that finished their evolution did
not act as they had to do. Moreover the cases of Kosovo and especially the
events on 11 September 2001 in the USA show that, nothing has come to an
end, instead of this, the world history will probably face with important transfor-
mation processes in the future.
He tried to make a long-term civilizational analysis, but with only analy-
sing short-term indicators. So he may use the term 'civilizational transformati-
on', instead of 'end of history'. The era which was tried to be analyzed and de-
fined by Fukuyama was only one of the turning points in the world history. As
we can see, the history is within an ongoing transformation process which needs
further analysis.
Consequently we can say that, Fukuyama wanted to give a name to the si-
tuation after the collapse of communism. He gave the name 'the end of history',
with one-dimensional, ethno-centric perspective. He was too quick to claim
such an assertive thesis. Probably he did this to legitimize and formulate the the-
oretical framework of the New World Order. Because to create a new world or-
der, the old one must have an end. To legitimize US's leader role, he uses Hegel.
Because he also ends history with the victory of one state. To show US's ever
lasting victory, he had to create a very optimistic perspective. His main contri-
bution is, after his article's publishment there has been an acceleration in criti-
ques about the post cold war world. So people from all over the world think and
talk about the post-cold war era and its consequences.
KAYNAKA
Books:
Davutolu, Ahmet, Civilizatjonal Transformation and The Muslim World, Mahir Pub.,1994
Fukuyama, Francis, The End of History and The Last Man, The Free Press, New York, 1992
Articles:
Anoogan, Deniz lke, "The Place of Idealism in the Discipline of International Relations", kti
sat Fakltesi Mecmuas, October 97.
Davutolu, Ahmet, "The Clash of Interests: An Explanation of the World (Dis)order", Percepti
ons, December97-February 98
Fukuyama, Francis, "The End of History?", The National Interest, Summer 89
"Responses to Fukuyama", The National Interest, Summer 89
Internet:
"Booknotes Transcript-Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and The Last Man", Retrieved Ja
nuary 12, 20O on the World Wide Web: http://www.booknotes.org/trarscrip'.s/50062.htm